Upload
pinebridge
View
2.925
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
PineBridge Investments, Taiwan
17 Oct
2016
PAGE 1
I.
II.
III.
IV.
PAGE 3
Bloomberg2016/10/14%
-
-3.25
-2.59
-2.38
-2.04
-1.94
-1.90
-1.78
-1.52
-1.38
-1.18
-1.09
-0.96
-0.61
-0.02
0.09
0.42
0.85
1.08
1.69
1.97
0.62
0.18
0.81
0.36
1.34
1.29
1.33
1.17
-2.46
0.21
2.95
0.34
3.95
1.46
0.45
4.93
1.95
8.25
8.43
2.03
H
MSCI
MSCI
MSCI
RTS
SET
MSCI
500
200
Nikkei 225
600
DAX
BOVESPA
MSCI
PAGE 4
Bloomberg2016/10/14%
-
-3.03
-2.05
-1.82
-1.21
-1.00
-0.80
-0.80
-0.76
-0.54
-0.17
0.42
0.48
1.44
-0.01
-2.47
-0.87
-1.68
3.59
-0.13
0.23
-0.76
-0.89
0.13
1.98
4.31
2.82
PAGE 5
Bloomberg2016/10/14JPJACI%
-
-0.80
-0.48
-0.31
-0.28
-0.19
-0.18
-0.17
-0.16
-0.14
-0.11
-0.10
-0.03
-0.03
0.08
0.10
0.28
0.77
0.48
-0.55
0.90
0.46
-0.06
0.12
-0.13
-0.19
0.82
0.01
0.51
0.24
1.32
1.75
0.56
-
-
-
PAGE 6
Bloomberg2016/10/14%
-
-2.84
-2.16
-0.44
0.00
0.04
0.60
0.61
1.08
2.79
4.27
5.36
6.65
-0.70
-2.02
-5.41
5.61
13.30
2.09
5.56
15.53
6.55
6.78
3.66
4.47
LME
LME
LME
CRB
LME
PAGE 7
MOVE VIX
Bloomberg2016/10/14
-VIX
8bps1.80%3.40%VIX19.58%16.120.71%9.77(Bloomberg2016/10/14)
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
11.0
13.0
15.0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16
S&P500 VIX G7 FX
PAGE 9
10123154261514
10122328625
2016/10/13
PAGE 10
2016/10/13
-
10122.500.1%3.420.1%
10129.490.3%
Q3ECB
Q3 GDP 10/19 10/20 ECB
PAGE 13
: Bank of Japan2016/09/21
QQE
QQE
QQE:
1. 0.1%(QQE)
2. : 810
3.
4. 2%22%
:
1. +CPI2%
2. +=
3.
4.
?
PAGE 14
: () Haver Analytics, Nikkei NEEDS, BoJ, MIC, DB Global Markets Research2016/08/19() MHLW, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research2016/10/14
(Output Gap)
(Output Gap)
PAGE 15
: Bloomberg2016/10/14
22%
CPI (, )
CPI
16CPI22%
(1)2008CPI2%CPI
(2)2014CPI(CPI)2%CPI
PAGE 16
: Statistics Bureau, Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research2016/10/14
CPI()
CPI(, )
CPI()CPI()CPI
CPI2013-2015619CPI
PAGE 17
Bloomberg2016/10/14
Fed
225
JASDAQ
2015/12/31100
PAGE 18
PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited
()
101013
10414410 (02)2516-7883
407386128 (04)2217-8168
8026171(A5) (07)335-5898
TR 105157
PAGE 19
()
Rule 144A