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本簡報內容需參照附錄聲明 全球金融市場評論 PineBridge Investments, Taiwan 17 Oct 2016 本簡報內容需參照附錄聲明

柏瑞週報20161017

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  • PineBridge Investments, Taiwan

    17 Oct

    2016

  • PAGE 1

    I.

    II.

    III.

    IV.

  • PAGE 3

    Bloomberg2016/10/14%

    -

    -3.25

    -2.59

    -2.38

    -2.04

    -1.94

    -1.90

    -1.78

    -1.52

    -1.38

    -1.18

    -1.09

    -0.96

    -0.61

    -0.02

    0.09

    0.42

    0.85

    1.08

    1.69

    1.97

    0.62

    0.18

    0.81

    0.36

    1.34

    1.29

    1.33

    1.17

    -2.46

    0.21

    2.95

    0.34

    3.95

    1.46

    0.45

    4.93

    1.95

    8.25

    8.43

    2.03

    H

    MSCI

    MSCI

    MSCI

    RTS

    SET

    MSCI

    500

    200

    Nikkei 225

    600

    DAX

    BOVESPA

    MSCI

  • PAGE 4

    Bloomberg2016/10/14%

    -

    -3.03

    -2.05

    -1.82

    -1.21

    -1.00

    -0.80

    -0.80

    -0.76

    -0.54

    -0.17

    0.42

    0.48

    1.44

    -0.01

    -2.47

    -0.87

    -1.68

    3.59

    -0.13

    0.23

    -0.76

    -0.89

    0.13

    1.98

    4.31

    2.82

  • PAGE 5

    Bloomberg2016/10/14JPJACI%

    -

    -0.80

    -0.48

    -0.31

    -0.28

    -0.19

    -0.18

    -0.17

    -0.16

    -0.14

    -0.11

    -0.10

    -0.03

    -0.03

    0.08

    0.10

    0.28

    0.77

    0.48

    -0.55

    0.90

    0.46

    -0.06

    0.12

    -0.13

    -0.19

    0.82

    0.01

    0.51

    0.24

    1.32

    1.75

    0.56

    -

    -

    -

  • PAGE 6

    Bloomberg2016/10/14%

    -

    -2.84

    -2.16

    -0.44

    0.00

    0.04

    0.60

    0.61

    1.08

    2.79

    4.27

    5.36

    6.65

    -0.70

    -2.02

    -5.41

    5.61

    13.30

    2.09

    5.56

    15.53

    6.55

    6.78

    3.66

    4.47

    LME

    LME

    LME

    CRB

    LME

  • PAGE 7

    MOVE VIX

    Bloomberg2016/10/14

    -VIX

    8bps1.80%3.40%VIX19.58%16.120.71%9.77(Bloomberg2016/10/14)

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    2.0

    2.2

    2.4

    2.6

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16

    3.0

    5.0

    7.0

    9.0

    11.0

    13.0

    15.0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16

    S&P500 VIX G7 FX

  • PAGE 9

    10123154261514

    10122328625

    2016/10/13

  • PAGE 10

    2016/10/13

    -

    10122.500.1%3.420.1%

    10129.490.3%

  • Q3ECB

    Q3 GDP 10/19 10/20 ECB

  • PAGE 13

    : Bank of Japan2016/09/21

    QQE

    QQE

    QQE:

    1. 0.1%(QQE)

    2. : 810

    3.

    4. 2%22%

    :

    1. +CPI2%

    2. +=

    3.

    4.

    ?

  • PAGE 14

    : () Haver Analytics, Nikkei NEEDS, BoJ, MIC, DB Global Markets Research2016/08/19() MHLW, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research2016/10/14

    (Output Gap)

    (Output Gap)

  • PAGE 15

    : Bloomberg2016/10/14

    22%

    CPI (, )

    CPI

    16CPI22%

    (1)2008CPI2%CPI

    (2)2014CPI(CPI)2%CPI

  • PAGE 16

    : Statistics Bureau, Bloomberg, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research2016/10/14

    CPI()

    CPI(, )

    CPI()CPI()CPI

    CPI2013-2015619CPI

  • PAGE 17

    Bloomberg2016/10/14

    Fed

    225

    JASDAQ

    2015/12/31100

  • PAGE 18

    PineBridge Investments IP Holding Company Limited

    ()

    101013

    10414410 (02)2516-7883

    407386128 (04)2217-8168

    8026171(A5) (07)335-5898

    TR 105157

  • PAGE 19

    ()

    Rule 144A