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At the launch of the Sunshine Coast Business Confidence Survey on the 27th of October 2011 Darryl Conroy from Suncorp Bank gave the following presentation.
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Living on the Edge
Darryl Conroy
Financial Markets Analyst
October 2011
Dieselpower83
General Advice Warning
• This advice has been prepared without taking into account your particular objectives, financial situation or needs. For that reason, before acting on the advice you should consider the appropriateness of the advice having regard to your own objectives, financial situation and needs.
• Where the advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product, you should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement relating to the product and consider the Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision about whether to acquire the product.
Where do we sit ?
3
Australia
Julian Wilson
Climbing the Wall of Worry
• Sovereign Debt Woes
• US Debt Debacle
• Chinese Property Bubble
• Political & Social Unrest
• Inflation / Deflation
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Australia’s Exports by Destination
Destination 1999/2000 2009/2010 Change
China 5.1 23.2 355%
Japan 19.3 18.5 - 4%
South Korea 7.8 8.2 5%
India 1.6 8.1 406%
United States 9.9 4.8 - 52%
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Why So Confident ?
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4 Ugly Sisters
Interest Rates 0.25% 1.50% 0.50% 0.10%
Debt to GDP 62% 85% 76% 198%
Budget Deficits -8% -6% -10% -8%
Unemployment 9.1% 10% 8.1% 4.3%
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Gold & Silver Shine
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Housing Sector
12
Households
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Cash Rate Cut ?
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Aussie Dollar
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Final Word
“Be Prepared for Anything”
Mr Allan Gyngell AO – ONA16