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Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

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Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling Session 3A Presented at the New Horizons in Responsible Gambling Conference in Vancouver, January 27-29, 2014

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Page 1: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 2: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 3: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Dr. Michael Wohl

When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors that Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Co-authored by Dr. Jeffrey Derevensky, Dr. Rina Gupta, and Melissa Salmon

Page 4: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Dr. Michael J.A. Wohl (Carleton University)Dr. Rina Gupta (McGill University)Dr. Jeffrey Derevensky (McGill University)Melissa Salmon (Carleton University)

Page 5: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 6: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 7: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
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8.3

14.2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Social Gaming Revenue - Worldwide (in Billions)

2012 2015-E

Source: Super Data Research

Page 10: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 11: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

53% of Facebook users play social media

games (81 million people play at least one

game daily).

Social Media Games

Page 12: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 13: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 14: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 15: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

There are currently 170 million social casino

gamers, well over triple the number of

online gamblers (Morgan Stanley, 2012).

A whopping amount of social

casino gamers

Page 16: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

53% of Facebook users play social media

games (81 million people play at least one

game daily)…. many of which are social

casino games.

Social Casino Games

Page 17: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 18: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling
Page 19: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Estimated revenues (2012) from of social

casino games is U.S.$1.6 billion (SuperData

Research, 2012)

The Morgan Stanley Blue Paper (2012) highlighted the

importance of trying to migrate social casino gamblers

to become online gamblers.

The Hunt to Make More $$$

Page 20: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

As exposure to a stimulus increases, the

most vulnerable are the first to be

“infected”

We might see increases in gambling

participation near epicenters of gambling(LaPlante & Shaffer, 2007)

At issue…

Page 21: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Play for fun Play for pay

Is there a link?

Page 22: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Focus groups

Objective:

1. Understanding factors that attract young adults to online gambling, including the potential role played by social media sites.

2. Avoid presuppositions influencing program of research

From the mouth of the gamer

Page 23: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Six focus groups were conducted:

1) Play-for-fun (N=30): Three focus groups of social casino gamblers, but who do not play online for money

2) Play-for-pay (n=21): Three focus groups with regular online gamblers

Method

Page 24: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Everyone who is participating in this group has indicated gambling online for money. That makes you the experts. We are turning to you to help us understand certain things related to online gambling activity. We are not looking to find out personal information on your play activity; we are looking for information in general.

1.For example, I’d like to gain a better understanding of the things that lead to online gambling in the first place. Based on what you know, what are the factors, the events, or the influences that result in a young person deciding to bet money on gambling activities online?

2.You know that social media sites have gambling-type games such as Texas-Hold’em or Sloto-mania. In your opinion, do you think experience with these games leads a person to seek online gambling sites? In other words, do these types of games serve as a form of initiation to gambling online with real money?

3.In your opinion, do you think people who gamble online have particular personality traits, or factors that are unique to them that make them more likely to gamble online?

4.There are a lot of gambling sites out there. How do you choose one over the other?

5.What are the features that render one online gambling site more appealing than another?

6.If you think about the sites that are “not good”, sites that you have navigated away from, what were the things you did not like?

7.What are the pros and cons of online gambling?

8.Once you are engaged in an online gambling session, what usually makes you decide that it is time to stop?

9.What strategies do people your age tend to use to minimize their risks? Are there common responsible gambling practices?

Page 25: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

1.When you think about social media sites like Facebook, what is the first thought that comes to mind? What do you like best aboutsocial media? What do you like least?

2.You all must be aware of games that are offered on sites such as Facebook. I’m talking about games such as Farmville, Words with Friends, etc… What, in your opinion, are the benefits or downfalls of these games? Overall, do they contribute to your well-being? If not, in what way? Which games have the greatest appeal?

3.There are also gambling-type games such as Texas Hold’em and simulated casino play offered on these sites. Texas Hold’em is actually the most popular of all the games offered on Facebook (62 million fans on their page). What, do you think, is the appeal of these free gambling-type games?

4.Even though there is no real money exchanged, people do seem to get very caught up in the gambling-type games, often playing forlonger than intended. Due to recent developments, Facebook now allows online casinos to advertise on their site. What are your opinions on this? Would you ever click on the casino ads?

5.We are interested in your impressions (based on your own experiences or those of others whom you know) about what role, if any, social networking sites play in promoting or encouraging online gambling behavior (for real money).

6.Do you think individuals who never would have considered gambling online, will gamble now that they are exposed through thesesocial media sites?

7.Online casinos often offer “play for fun” options, allowing you to play without real money. In your opinion, what are some advantages or downfalls of these play-for-free options?

8.Thinking about the free games on social media sites as well as free-play options on online gambling sites, would people be likely to move from free games to paying games? Why or why not?

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General Observations

Page 27: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Primary themes– Good for the Ego (Self-enhancement)

– social media is an integral and important part of daily life, and that to not be part of it is isolating (Socialization/ Social pressure to play)

– Increases skill on skill-based games (Skill building)

– Spending a lot of time spent playing (loss of control)

Play-for-fun Sample

Page 28: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Primary themes:

– Tendency to be more impulsive online (loss of control)

– Ease of access

– manipulations by online providers (including promotion/advertisement tactics)

Play-for-pay Sample

Page 29: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Comparison of expression

Page 30: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Play-for-fun participants: spontaneous mention of a

possible transfer to play-for-pay

Play-for-pay participants: Spontaneous mention of a

transfer happening

Commonality: FACEBOOK

Page 31: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

“I DIDN’T UNDERSTAND HOW I GOT FROM ONE PLACE TO ANOTHER

PLACE, FROM PLAYING FOR FUN TO BEING IN TROUBLE.”

Page 32: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

� Play-for-fun

� Social competition and/or connectedness (self-enhancement)

� Fun (excitement/entertainment)

� Training for real gambling (skill building)

� Play-for-pay

� Elevation of mood, feel better about oneself, relieve stress (coping)

� Enhancement of experience/win money (excitement/entertainment)

� Opportunities to learn (Skill building)

Clues in Motivation?

Page 33: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

1) Minimal awareness that serious problems could arise from online gambling, despite their understanding of how easily one could lose control.

2) Felt immune to serious problems given they are “university educated” re: gambling

3) Online ≠ Real world

Sign of trouble ahead?

Page 34: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

“You look at other people and they have scores that are ridiculously higher than you, and you like have to find a way to beat that score. And you waste the whole day and in the end it doesn’t matter because it’s not real. It’s in the fake world. There is regret afterwards”

From the mouth of a Play-for-fun

participant

Page 35: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

“If you transfer from Facebook to online gambling, you still have the mentality that you are in a fake world and you are used to playing with fake money and you forget that the money you are spending is real.”

From the mouth of a Play-for-pay

Participant

Page 36: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

LONGITUDINAL STUDY

Participants:

N=603

Student and community sample (via Amazon Mturk)

Method

Time 1: People who indicate they play for fun

Follow-ups: 6 month follow-up to be discussed

12, 24 months later (to be collected)

Longitudinal Study

Page 37: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

LONGITUDINAL STUDY

Measures

• Where do you play?

• Motivation to start playing for fun: – Entertainment, Social, Stress reduction, Skill building

• Initiator of session play: – Friends posting scores

• Time spent playing

• Do you pay for credit?

Longitudinal Study

Page 38: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Where do you play?

Page 39: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Motivation for playing free games

5.13

2.87

4.26

3.50

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

Entertainment Socializing Stress Reduction Skill Building

Page 40: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

• Entertainment: p = .004

• Socializing: p < .001

• Stress Reduction: p = .01

• Skill Building: p = .31

Motivations as predictor of

Facebook posts leading to play?

Multiple regression

Page 41: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

• Entertainment: p = .59, Exp(B) = 1.13

• Socializing: p = .07, Exp(B) = .76

• Stress Reduction: p = .25, Exp(B) = 1.20

• Skill Building: p = .006, Exp(B) = 1.44

Motivations and paying for credits

Multiple logistic regression

Page 42: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

The issue with paying for credits

2.00

4.20

2.94

2.21

4.81 4.83

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Impulsivity Craving I might play-for-pay

No

Yes

Page 43: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

• Entertainment: p = .30

• Socializing: p < .001

• Stress Reduction: p < .001

• Skill Building: p = .73

Motivation as a predictor of

time spent

Multiple regression

Page 44: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

LONGITUDINAL STUDY

Method of re-contact:

Reminder 2 weeks prior to date. Initial email and 2 reminder emails.

Participants:

N=182 to-date (of the 603 that completed the full survey)

Longitudinal Study:

Six-month follow-up (in process)

Page 45: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Play-for-fun to Play-for-pay

Page 46: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Narratives

1. Eventually I just wanted to see if I could win real money

2. I felt that I became great at the play-for-fun games

3. Had a little extra money, wanted to try it.

4. thought I could start making some extra cash.

5. Payout for play for fun was very "rewarding" (likely to be

replicated on play for pay)

6. I wanted more exciting experiences and wanted to make my

wins more meaningful.

7. Playing for fun not stimulating enough.

8. I just wanted to try spicing things up.

Page 47: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

• Entertainment: p = .16, Exp(B) = .65

• Socializing: p = .56, Exp(B) = 1.12

• Stress Reduction: p = .22, Exp(B) = 1.28

• Skill Building: p = .98, Exp(B) = 1.00

Predicting transition: T1 motivation

Multiple logistic regression

Page 48: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Facebook posts:

p = .17, Exp(B) = 1.17

Predicting transition: T1 posting

Page 49: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Paying for free credits at T1:

p = .004, Exp(B) = 6.13

Predicting transition:

Paying for Credits at T1

Page 50: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Time spent playing:

p = .007, Exp(B) = 1.74

Predicting transition:

T1 time spent playing

Page 51: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Exposure

Page 52: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Exposure Study

Participants:

N=28 (to-date) young adults who don’t gamble online.

Procedure

Step 1: Played Candy Crush or Party Casino Slots

Step 2: Given $10 for participating

Step 3: Second Study Paradigm: Offered opportunity to use $10 is an unrelated gambling study.

Page 53: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Expressed Desire to Gamble

Page 54: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

1. Casino Games as Prophylactic?/ Social Games as Catalyst?

“Playing slots on Facebook gives me the fix I need”

2. Game specific transfer?

Slot � Slots

Poker � Poker

“I don’t like slots, are there other games I can play?”

Possible Explanation

Page 55: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

1. The need to assess the possible effect of preferred game.

2. The need to assess willingness to buy credits.

3. Possible demand effects

Limitations

Page 56: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

People seem to recognize that they are being targeted online.

They also seem to Play-for-Fun to socialize and reduce stress

THE IMPACT OF CREDITS

THE IMPACT OF TIME SPENT!

THE IMPACT OF EXPOSURE!

In sum

Page 57: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

Governments and operators have yet to articulate clear rules and procedures for social casin0 games. One reason for this lack of urgency is the paucity of knowledge regarding the impact of social gaming on the user.

At issues: accessibility and availability

The need: To keep an eye on convergence of gambling and social media � contributing to the normalization of gambling online.

Conclusion

Page 58: Michael Wohl: When is Play-For-Fun Just Fun? Identifying Factors That Predict Migration from Social Networking Gaming to Internet Gambling

DATA COLLECTION CONTINUING

Play for fun Play for pay