19
Barykovsky lane 4, building 2, office 201 Moscow, 119034 Phone number: +7 495 988 96 06 e-mail: [email protected] www.indexbox.ru Demo-Version Russia: Timber Market Analysis and Forecast to 2017 April 2011 Marketing Research

Russia: Timber Market

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Russian Market Report (business division of IndexBox Marketing Ltd., Moscow, Russia) is a leading Russian marketing and consultancy company, a well-known provider of consumer, retail, and wholesale market research information for a wide range of industries. For years of service, it has built an image of a loyal partner, a trustworthy source of information, and a specialist in its sphere. This has been achieved by very precise problem recognition and problem definition, appropriate research design, exact choice of research methods, state-of-the-art primary and secondary data collection, quantitative and qualitative research expertise, thorough and accurate analysis, and effective implementation.

Citation preview

  • 1. Demo-VersionRussia: TimberMarketAnalysis and Forecast to 2017April 2011Marketing ResearchBarykovsky lane 4, building 2, office 201 e-mail: [email protected] www.indexbox.ruMoscow, 119034Phone number: +7 495 988 96 06

2. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Brief OverviewThe report on the Russian timber market contains: Analysis and forecast of market dynamics; Structure of consumption by region; Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players; Analysis of exports and imports; Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market; Analysis of end-uses; Assessment and forecast of market development; Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.Methodology: Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market; Analysis of information, received from the main market participants; An analysis of statistical information: o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat); o The Federal Customs Service (FTS); o The Ministry of Economic Development; o The Federal Tax Service; o Industry associations.The report will allow you to: 1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on market data; 2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.Key figures presented in the report on the Russian timber market: Volumes of production, exports and imports; Indicators of market development; Consumption.The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of theforecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations andunions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided withspecial conditions on the purchase of the reports.Page 2 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 3. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Why People Choose Us We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis. We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts verify all secondary information used in the report. We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a complete picture of the market of interest. Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work. We offer unique and individualized customer service: o Personal account on the website with a personal manager; o Monitoring of the status of your order online; o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions. We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested, find out about these conditions from our specialists now! Page 3 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 4. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Research DesignThe purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian timber market and build aforecast of the industry in the medium term.Geography of the research: RussiaMethodology1.Analysis of secondary market data:Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors sites,shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state andprivatemedia companies,marketingagencies, commercialdatabases, IndexBoxMarketing own research.2.Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the marketand the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on marketparticipants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sendingrequests for price lists and other presentation materials.3.Expert Interviews with Market ParticipantsTheanalysis of secondaryinformationis completed by expert interviewswithrepresentatives of market participant companies manufacturers and trading companies.Our approach to the estimationThe consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants(experts).ExpertsAs market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expertopinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regularbasis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special requestor under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensivedatabase of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, areprovided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports. Page 4 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012www.indexbox.ru 5. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Accuracy of forecastsThe accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historicalperiod (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts tocreate the overall average forecastIndicators1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of domestic production.3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.Page 5 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 6. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Table of ContentsAbout IndexBox1. Executive summary2. Research design3. Description of timber4. Characteristics of the Russian timber market in 2005 - 2010. Forecast for 2011 -2017 4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian timber market in 2005 - 2010. Forecast for2011 - 2017 4.2. Structure of the timber market: production, exports, imports, consumption5. Characteristics of domestic timber production in 2005 - 2010. Forecast for 2011- 2017 5.1. Volume and dynamics of timber production in 2005 - March 2011 5.2. Structure of wood production by region 5.3. Production capacity of the timber manufacturing enterprises and their level ofloading 5.4. Level of concentration of production and characteristics of competition on themarket 5.5. The main manufacturers of wood and their corresponding market shares 5.5.1. The group of companies "Titan" 5.5.2. The group of companies "Investlesprom" 5.5.3. Timber corporation "Ilim Pall" 5.6. Investment projects in the industry6. Characteristics of the price of timber 6.1. Dynamics of manufacturers prices of wood in 2005 March 2011 6.2. Comparison of manufacturers prices of wood by Federal Districts of Russia7. Characteristics of the imports of timber on the Russian market7.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of timber7.2. Countries, leading suppliers of the timber, imported into the Russian Federation7.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the timber, imported into Russia7.4. Russian recipient companies of the imported timber7.5. Recipient regions of the Russian imports of timber8. Characteristics of the Russian exports of timber8.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of timber8.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of timber8.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying timber for exports8.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of timber9. Factors, influencing the development of the timber market 9.1. State of the construction industry in Russia 9.2. State of the pulp and paper industry in Russia10. Characteristics of wood consumption 10.1.Dynamics and volume of wood consumption in 2005 - 2010. Forecast for 2011 -Page 6 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 7. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)201710.2.Volume and structure of wood consumption by Federal Districts in 2005 - 2010.Forecast for 2011 - 201710.3. Structure of wood consumption by industry in 2005 - 2010. Forecast for 2011 -201710.4.Balans between production and consumption of wood in 2005 - 201011. Forecast for the development of the timber market in 2011 - 201711.1. Assessment of the potential volume of wood supply for 2011 - 2017Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry Revenue (net) from sales of products in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR Selling and administrative expenses in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR Cost of products in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR Gross profit on product sales in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR Investments in the sector in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR Average number of workers employed in the sector in 2006 - 2010Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers in the industryThe following data (or analysis of the data) is presented for each of the companies: Contact details Registration data Management Subsidiaries Major shareholders Balance sheets Profit and loss accounts Key financial performance indicatorsPage 7 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 8. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Data presented in tabular form Dynamics of the timber market in 2007 - 2016 Production of timber in 2005 - March 2011, in tons Volume of timber production by type of wood in January March 2011, in tons Production of timber by Federal Districts in 2005 - March 2011, in tons Use of annual production capacity in Russia for the production of timber in 2005 2010 by region, in % Average manufacturers prices of timber in Russia in January 2007 - March 2011 Volume of the imports of timber in Russia by manufacturing countries in 2010, intons Volume of the imports of timber in Russia by manufacturing companies in 2010, intons Volume of the imports of timber in Russia by importing companies in 2010, in tons Volume of the imports of timber in Russia by recipient regions in 2010, in tons Volume of the Russian exports of timber by recipient countries in 2010, in tons Volume of the Russian export of timber by manufacturing companies in 2010, in tons Volume of the Russian exports of timber by sending region in 2010, in tons Performance of the steel industry in Russia in 2008 - March 2011 Indicators of the construction industry in Russia in 2008 - March 2011 Indicators of the pulp and paper industry in Russia in 2008 - March 2011 Forecast for the consumption of timber until 2017 by Federal DistrictsPage 8 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 9. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Data, presented in the form of figures Volume of timber supply on the market in 2007 - 2016 Production of timber in 2009 - March 2011, in tons Production of timber in January 2008 - March 2011, in %, to the corresponding periodof the previous year Production of timber in 2005 - 2010, in tons Structure of timber production in January - March 2011 by type, in tons Structure of timber production by Federal Districts in January - March 2011 Structure of timber production by Federal Districts in 2005 2011 Capacity for the production of timber by Federal Districts in 2010, in tons Level of annual production capacity for timber production in Russia in 2000 2010, in% Commissioning of new capacities for the production of timber in Russia in 2000 2010, in tons Indices of average manufacturers prices of timber in Russia in January - March 2011 Indices of average manufacturers prices of timber in Russia in January - March 2011 Dynamics of average manufacturers prices of timber in Russia in January 2009 -March 2011, deviation in % over the corresponding period of the previous year Comparison of the average manufacturers price of timber by Federal Districts in March2011 Dynamics of the imports of timber in the Russian Federation in January - March 2011,in tons Structure of the imports of timber in Russia by manufacturing countries in 2010 Structure of the imports of timber in Russia by manufacturing companies in 2010 Structure of the imports of timber in Russia by importing companies Structure of the imports of timber in Russia by recipient regions in 2010 Dynamics of the Russian exports of timber in 2010, in tons Structure of the Russian exports of timber by recipient countries in 2010 Structure of the Russian exports of timber by manufacturing companies in 2010 Structure of the Russian exports of timber by sending region in 2010 Indicators of the iron and steel industry in Russia in 2008 - March 2011 Indicators of the construction industry in Russia in 2008 - March 2011 Indicators of the pulp and paper industry in Russia in 2008 March 2011 Dynamics of timber consumption in Russia in 2009 - 2017, in tonsPage 9 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 10. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Executive SummaryKey figures and conclusions about the marketThe volume of supply on the Russian timber market in 2010 was almost million tons,which is % higher than the the same figure for 2009. It should be noted that the volumeof imported products on the timber market was %.The volume of production of timber in 2010 was million tons, which is % higher than thevolume of production in 2009.The largest share (%) of all timber manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2010belongs to the Federal District.In 2010, the import volume of timber in Russia amounted to tons in physical terms and to thousand USD in value terms.Page 10 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 11. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)4. Characteristics of the Russiantimber market...4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian timber market in2005-2010. Forecast for 2011 2017The volume of supply on the Russian timber market in 2010 was almost million tons,which is % higher than the the same figure for 2009. It should be noted that the volumeof imported products on the timber market was % of the total market.Source: Data (Rosstat, FTS), Analysis (IndexBox) Fig. 1. Volume of supply of timber in 2009 - 2010 and forecast for 2011 - 2017, in tonsPage 11 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 12. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)4.2. Structure of the timber market in Russia: production,exports, imports, consumptionThe volume of imports of timber was about tons, which was % of the total marketvolume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below. Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the timber market in 2009 - 2010 andforecast until 2017, in tons 200920102011F 2012F 2013F2014F2015F 2016F 2017FVolume of In unitsproductionIn %, to %%%% % %%% thepreviousyearVolume of In unitsexportsIn %, to %%%% % %%% thepreviousyearVolume of In unitsimportsIn %, to %%%% % %%% thepreviousyearVolume of In unitstotal supplyIn %, to %%%% % %%% thepreviousyear Source: Data (Rosstat, FTS, Expert opinion), Analysis (IndexBox)Page 12 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 13. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)5. Characteristics of the domesticproduction of timber in 2005 2010Characteristics of domestic production - Volume and dynamics by type of product - Production capacities - Structure of production - Main producers and their market shares5.1 Volume and dynamics of production of timber in 2005 April2011For the period January April 2011, the volume of production was higher than for theanalogical period of the previous year.Page 13 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012www.indexbox.ru 14. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version) Source: Data (Rosstat), Analysis (IndexBox)Fig. 7. Production of timber in 2010 April 2011, in tonsPage 14 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 15. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)5.4 The main producers of timber and their share in productionTable 5. Volume of production by timber manufacturers in 2010, in tons Production ofManufacturerRegiontimber, in tonsOTHERSTOTAL Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (IndexBox) Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (IndexBox)Fig. 2. Shares of timber manufacturers in the total production of pumps in2010 in physical termsPage 15 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 16. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)7. Characteristics of the imports oftimber 7.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of timberThe volume of imports of timber in 2010 was tons. The largest amount of timber wasimported in , when were imported tons. Table 2. Dynamics of the imports of timber in 2010, in thousands of tonsMonth Quantity, in thousands of tonsIn %, to the previous monthJanuaryFebruary %March %April %May %June %July %August %September %October %November %December %TotalSource: Data (FTS), Analysis (IndexBox) Page 16 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 17. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version) Source: Data (FTS), Analysis (IndexBox) Fig. 16. Dynamics of the imports of timber in 2010, in thousands of tons and in %Page 17 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 18. Market Research Russia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)About IndexBox"IndexBox" is one of the leading companies in the sphere of marketing consulting. We carryout pieces of marketing research and consult on questions about strategic marketing.The "IndexBox" team has been working together for more than 7 years.The average experience of "IndexBox" specialists in the marketing sphere is 10 years.IndexBox" employs 15 specialists in its research analytical department.The gathering of the researched information is controlled by 8 employees, all with vast experience in field work. And who oversee more than 150 experienced interviewers.Over 10 years, we have completed more than sixteen hundred projects, most of which are focused on the consumer and industrial markets. The geography of the research includes not only the territory of Russia, but also foreign markets.In total, more than 80,000 respondents have taken part in our research studies.Not only does "IndexBox" have a wide partner network in the regions of the Russian Federation, the CIS, and the Baltic countries, but also has countless foreign partners, including the largest research companies in the USA, the UK, France, India, and China.Our clients are big Russian and foreign companies:Page 18 from 19 IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru 19. Market ResearchRussia: Timber Market. April 2011 (Demo-version)Marketing researchOur specialization - the study of consumer and industrial markets, segments of B2C andB2B. Among the methods used: desk research, consumer surveys, expert surveys,competitive analysis, sales audit, a wide range of qualitative market research products andservices. Our competitive advantage is the formation of special research techniques to thetasks of each project. System planning and operational monitoring of the industry, created acompany that allows professionals to operate in IndexBox their work relevant and accurateinformation.Business PlanningWe are professionally engaged in developing business plans, feasibility studies, investmentmemoranda, conduct financial analysis of enterprises and prepare analysis for transactionsM & A. Business plans developed by IndexBox, contain a complete financial model for thefurther implementation of the project, all calculations are based on marketing information,which is permanently collected and analyzed for over 7 years. Documents comply with thestandards of Russian and foreign banks, the projects have market feasibility and realisticprojections, and we provide assistance in finding an investor and financing, legal support.Strategic MarketingWe develop strategic development for brands, products, separate business units andindustry. Generally, programs include product, pricing, marketing and communicationstrategy. Projects in the field of strategic marketing are relevant to large enterprises,financial and investment companies that are planning to expand its interests as well assmall companies that are thinking about business development.DevelopmentConsulting in development - is to develop the best options for use of the area. To do this,our marketing agency, conducts research real estate market, analyzes the possibleconstruction, and estimates the market feasibility and economic benefits of investing in realestate. Marketing agency IndexBox offers a range of professional services for the study ofthe real estate market and the development of individual marketing concept of the facility.Page 19 from 19IndexBox Marketing 2012 www.indexbox.ru