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1
BRAZIL AND CHINA: TRADE DEVELOPMENT AND INVESTMENTS
MR. IVAN RAMALHO, DEPUTY MINISTER
São Paulo, 23 de junho de 2010
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_______________________Presentation Overview
1. Brazilian Economy
2. Brazilian Industry and Investment Oportunities
3. Trade performance
4. Bilateral Trade
3
_____________________________General Indicators
• Biggest Country in South America
• Population: 200 million
• Territorial coverage: 8.511.965 km2
• Greatest economy in South America and 8th in the world
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________________________________ Brazil - 2010
General indicators:
GDP: US$ 1,6 trillion;
International reserves: US$249 billion;
Public policies: macroeconomic estability, poverty
reduction and solid financial environment;
Source: IBGE/BACEN
_________________Brazilian Economy Dynamics
• From 2010 to 2013, US$ 735 billion are expected to be invested in industry and infra-structure projects;
• Pre-salt layer Programme: investment estimate is of US$ 400 billion;
• 32 million people upgraded from low to middle class in the last 7 years;
• In 2009, 1 million new job positions were created;
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______________________________Industrial Policy
Mobilizing Programs in Strategic Areas
Health Industrial Complex
InformationTechnology andCommunication
Nuclear Energy
Industrial Defense Complex
Nanotechnology Biotechnology
Programs for Consolidating and Expanding Leadership
AeronauticsOil, Natural Gas
and Petrochemicals
Bio-ethanol Mining Steel Pulp andPaper Meat
Programs for Strengthening Competitiveness
Automotive Complex
Capital Goods
Textile and Apparel
Wood and Furniture
Hygiene,Perfumery
and CosmeticsCivil
ConstructionServicesComplex
Naval and Shipping Industry
Leather, Footwear
And ArtifactsAgribusinessesBiodiesel Plastics Toys Electroelectronics Wheat
Productive Development Policy - PDP
___________________ Brazil-China Investments
• Bilateral investment flow faced a considerable increase in last years, but is still behind the potential of both economies.
• Outward Brazilian investments in China: led by Embraer (joint-venture Harbin Embraer); Weg (WEG Nantong Engines); Marcopolo and Random Commercial Representation.
• Inward Chinese investments in Brazil: 65,5% of chinese investments in Brazil is oriented to the commercial sector, followed by 14,05% to the mining sector.
• 6,7• 24,3• 38,42• 64,63
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__________________Brazilian Trade Performance
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-4,1
14,85,7 3,7
21,1
32,122,6
16,3
43,6
12,94,8
16,921,7
13,9 15,7 15,6
33,4
-24,4
16,6
-22,7
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
World Brazil
Fonte: SECEX/MDIC
Brazilian and World Exports Evolution(2000-2009 / % yoy)
60.43973.203
96.677
118.529137.807
160.649
197.942
152.995
55.48372.093
55.119 58.287
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009(January-May)
2010(January-May)
__________________Brazilian Trade Performance
Exports Evolution Brazil-World(2000-2009 and January to May-2010 / US$ million)
Fonte: SECEX/MDIC9
__________________Brazilian Trade Performance
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Special Op.; 2,1%
Manufactured; 44,0%Basics; 40,5%
Semimanufactured; 13,4%
Exports by Product Categories(2009 / % share)
Fonte: SECEX/MDIC
__________________Brazilian Trade Performance
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2,2
4,9
5,7
10,3
22,2
13,0
10,3
23,3
25,8
Eastern Europe
Middle East
Africa
United States
European Union
LA & Caribbean except Mercosur
Mercosur
Latin America & The Caribbean
Asia
Fonte: SECEX/MDIC
Major Markets for Brazilian Exports(2009 / % share)
__________________Brazilian Trade Performance
Imports Evolution Brazil-World(2000-2009 and January to May-2010 / US$ million)
Fonte: SECEX/MDIC
55.85162.836
73.600
91.351
120.617
172.985
127.647
46.180
66.48455.602
47.243 48.326
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009(January-May)
2010(January-May) 12
_________________ Brazilian Trade Performance
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Capital Goods; 23,3%
Consumption Goods; 16,9%
Oil and Fuels; 13,1%
Intermediate Goods; 46,8%
Imports by Product Categories(2009 / % share)
Fonte: SECEX/MDIC
_________________ Brazilian Trade Performance
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1,6
2,5
6,6
15,8
6,7
10,3
17,8
22,9
28,3
Eastern Europe
Middle East
Africa
United States
LA & Caribbean except Mercosur
Mercosur
Latin America & Caribbean
European Union
Asia
Major Supplier Markets(2009 - % share)
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_________________Brazilian Exports to China
Source: SECEX/MDIC
1.805 1.902 2.5214.533 5.441
6.8358.402
10.749
16.403
20.191
8.41710.644
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009(January-May)
2010(January-May)
Exports Evolution Brazil-China(2000-2009 and January to May-2010 / US$ million)
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_______________Brazilian Imports from China
Source: SECEX/MDIC
1.222 1.328 1.554 2.1483.710
5.3557.990
12.618
20.040
15.911
5.6798.759
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009(January-May)
2010(January-May)
Imports Evolution Brazil-World(2000-2009 and January to May-2010 / US$ million)
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______________________________Bilateral Trade
BRAZILIAN EXPORTS TO CHINA2008 2009
BASICS 77,5% 76,8%
MANUFACTURED 22,4% 23,2%
BRAZILIAN IMPORTS FROM CHINA2008 2009
BASICS 4,3% 1,6%MANUFACTURED 95,7% 98,4%Source: SECEX/MDIC
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_______________ Issues for Further Development
Export potential to be developed:
Oil and fuels;Engines;Aircrafts;Chemicals;Equipments for air conditioniners;Energy distribution equipments;Siderurgic products;
_______________ Issues for Further Development
Trade Remmedies
Safeguards;
Dumping;
Subsidies;
WTO;
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_______________Issues for Further Development
China Agenda
Compendium of positive policies aimed at enhancing bilateral trade;
Identification of potential products to be offered to the chinese markets;
Identification of investment oportunities;Support to public and private trade missions;APEX office in China;
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THANK YOU
Mr. Ivan RamalhoDeputy-Minister
Ministry of Development, Industry and Trade
www.mdic.gov.br