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The many ways in which healthcare reform affects the healthcare industry are still playing out. Undoubtedly, a question for physicians and the hospitals that employ many of them is “how will physician compensation be affected?” PYA Principal Carol Carden recently spoke at the 2013 AICPA Healthcare Industry Conference, where she addressed this question with her presentation, “Current Reform Initiatives and Their Impact on Physician Compensation.”
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Current Reform Initiatives and Their Impact on Physician Compensation
November 14, 2013Carol W. Carden, CPA/ABV, ASA,CFENew Orleans, Louisiana
Carol Carden is a Principal with Pershing Yoakley & Associates, P.C., and provides business valuation and related consulting services to a wide variety of business organizations, primarily in the healthcare industry. Ms. Carden’s primary areas of expertise are in finance, valuation, managed care and revenue cycle operations for healthcare organizations. She has performed appraisals of businesses and securities for a wide variety of purposes such as mergers, acquisitions, joint ventures, management service agreements and other intangible assets.
In addition to being a Certified Public Accountant, she has also earned the Accredited in Business Valuation (ABV) credential from the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, the Accredited Senior Appraiser (ASA) credential from the American Society of Appraisers and the Certified Fraud Examiner (CFE) credential from the Association of Certified Fraud Examiners. She is the Chair of the Executive Committee for Forensic and Valuation Services and the former Chair of the Business Valuation Committee for the AICPA, was Chair of the 2010 National AICPA Business Valuation Conference and was on the planning committee for the 2011 AICPA National Healthcare Conference.
Speaker Biography
Agenda
Healthcare Reform Initiatives Overview
Regulatory Considerations
Value-Based Payment Modifier
Quality Incentives
Medicare-Medicaid Parity
Rise in Insured and Increased Access to Primary Care
Accountable Care Organizations and Bundled Payments
Healthcare Reform Initiatives Overview
Road100m
Menu
STARK LAWProhibited self-referrals for Medicare and Medicaid patients.
ANTI-KICKBACK STATUTEKnowingly and willful
offers, payments, or receipts for referrals.
IRS-NFP REQUIREMENTSIRC Section 501(c) 3 requirements
Navigating the Regulatory Environment
FAIR MARKET VALUE
COMMERCIAL REASONABLENESS
Overall Arrangement
“WHY?”
SENSE CENTS
Range of Dollars Only
“HOW MUCH?”
Scope
Key Question
Compliance Issues Regarding Hospital-Physician Financial Relationships
The Push Towards Quality and Lower Cost
Rebuilding Primary Care
Workforce
Increasing Medicaid
Payments to Primary Care Physicians
Linking Payment to
Quality Outcomes
Encouraging Integrated
Health Systems
Expanding Authority to
Bundle Payments
The Train Has Left the Station…
Healthcare reform begins with consumer-focused initiatives (i.e., focused on insurance reform)
Medicaid demonstration project – fee-for-service to global fee
Physician quality reporting – Physician Compare website
Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation – explore models of payment based on quality
Hospital readmissions – Reduction in payments to hospitals for preventive readmissions
ACO program launch – Shared savings
Hospital value-based purchasing program
Bundled payment initiatives
Medicare – Medicaid parity
Value-based purchasing – physician payments phased in 2015 to 2017
2010 2011 2012 2013
Value-Based Payment Modifier
• Pay for volume• No quality
measured
Fee For Service
• Quality per click• Process
improvement
Value- Based Payment • Quality
outcomes of episodes
• Whole system improvement
Care Coordination
THEN NOW FUTURE
The Future is Now
Calculation of Value-Based Payment Modifier in CY 2015
Source: Summary of 2015 Physician Value-based Payment Modifier Policies
Groups of Physicians with 100 or more Eligible Professionals
PQRS Participation (Groups that self-
nominate/register for PQRS as a group and report at least one measure, or elect PQRS
Administrative Claims)
Non-PQRS Participation (Groups that do not self-
nominate/register for PQRS as a group and do not report at least one measure)
Upward, downward, or no adjustment based on quality-tiering
0.0%
(no adjustment) -1.0%
(downward adjustment)
Elect Quality-Tiering Calculation No Election
PQRS – History
2007 and 2008
PQRI introduced 74 Measures 1.5% Lump incentive
2009 and 2010
2.0% Incentive payment
Group Reporting option established
Remove electronic prescription
measures
2011 1.0% Incentive for reporting
Individual Measures increased
2012 0.5% Incentive for reporting Incentive Changes
2013 0.5% Incentive for reporting
Reporting year for 1.5% payment
adjustment in 2015
2014 0.5% Incentive for reporting
Reporting year for 2.0% payment
adjustment in 2016
Tiered Value-Based Payment Modifier
Both upside reward and downside risk
Focused on outliers in quality and cost
Composite scores for cost and quality
Three tiers – High, Average, and Low
Additional upward adjustment for care of sickest patients
Sum of upward adjustments will be offset by downward adjustments
The CurveP
ER
FO
RM
AN
CE
TIME
First CurveFee-for-ServiceQuality Not RewardedPay for VolumeFragmented CareAcute Hospital FocusStand Alone Providers Thrive
Second CurveValue Payment
Continuity of Care RequiredSystems of Care
Providers at Risk for PaymentIT Centric
Physician Alignment
Straddle
Revenue DropsMinimal Reward for Quality
Volume Decreases
No Decisive Payment ChangePay for Volume Continues
High Cost IT InfrastructurePhysicians in Disarray
Quality Incentives
Quality Incentive Compensation
Overview – Arrangements by which hospitals compensate physicians for the achievement of certain pre-defined quality indicators
Increasingly common arrangements
Quickly becoming components of (or even fully characterizing) many physician-hospital alignment arrangements
Example factors generally considered when evaluating quality incentives: Core measures Patient satisfaction Specialty specific outcomes measures
Risk reduction Quality related educational activities
Overview – Arrangements by which hospitals compensate physicians for the achievement of certain pre-defined quality indicators
Management Company/
LLC/Committee
Hospital Physicians
•Base management fees• Incentive Compensation (limited) Including:
- Quality
- Operational
Efficiency
Hospital Pays for:
$
PhysiciansHospital
Service Contract to Manage Hospital’s Service Line at Risk
for Quality and Operational Goals
Co-Management Model
OIG Opinion No. 12-22
Employee Satisfaction –
5%
Patient Satisfaction –
5%
Quality of Care – 30%
Cost Reduction – 60%
Cardiac catheterization clinical co-management arrangement between a hospital and a cardiology group. The group received a fixed fee and a performance-based fee that was “at risk” based on the achievement of pre-determined metrics. Performance fee based on the following:
Areas of Concern Noted by the OIG
“Cherry Picking”
Stinting on Patient Care
Payments to Induce Patient
Referrals
Unfair Competition
The OIG states that “hospital cost-savings programs, in general, and the arrangement in particular, may implicate at least three Federal legal authorities: the civil monetary penalty, the anti-kickback statute and the physician self-referral law.”
Keys to Compliance
Self referral law (Stark Law) falls outside of OIG’s jurisdiction. As such, the opinion does not discuss whether the arrangement implicates this law.
CivilMonetaryPenalty
Anti-KickbackStatute
• Cost-savings component implicates the CMP; however, sanctions not sought due to the following safeguards:- Patient care is monitored through third-party utilization review
and internal committee and board review- Benchmarks are structured so that physicians have flexibility to
use cost-effective clinically appropriate materials- Term is limited to three years and is subject to a cap
• Sanctions not imposed for the following reasons:- FMV compensation and management responsibilities are
robust- Compensation is not variable with number of patients treated- Hospital operates only cardiac cath lab within 50 mile radius
and the group does not provide cath lab services elsewhere- Specificity of measures ensure that pay is for quality
improvement, not referrals- Three year term
Keys to Compliance
• OIG states that, if the agreement is renewed, then reviewing and rebasing quality metrics is essential.
– “We would expect that quality improvement and cost saving measures under the Agreement would be subject to adjustment over time, to avoid payment for improvements achieved in prior years and to provide incentives for additional improvements in the future. Continuing compensation for conduct that has come to represent the accepted standard of care could, depending on the circumstances, implicate the anti-kickback statute.”
Medicare-Medicaid Parity
New Primacy of Primary Care
• Enhanced Medicare payments For 2011-15, Medicare pays 10% bonus for:
o PC services furnished by PC practitioners
o Professional component of surgical procedure performed in HPSA
• Enhanced Medicaid payments Payment rates to PC physicians increased in 2013 and 2014 to 100% of
Medicare rates
• Significant new funding for community health centers
• Increase PC workforce by 16,000 by 2016
Expand National Health Services Corps
Other scholarships, loan repayment, and workforce training programs
Overview of Initiative
November 1, 2012
• CMS issues final regulation implementing payment of Medicaid services at Medicare levels for 2013 and 2014
March 31, 2013
• Deadline for states to submit a state plan amendment
July 1,2013
• According to CMS, ¼ of states had implemented the temporary payment increase
States estimated to receive $8.5 billion in 2013 and $6.1 billion in 2014 to fund Medicaid parity payments.
Nationally, average Medicaid
payments are approximately
66% of Medicare
rates.
Estimated Medicaid Rate Increases by State
Approximately 73% overall increase in Medicaid
rates.
Source: http://medialib.aafp.org/content/dam/AAFP/images/ann/2013-7/Medicaid-Fee-Hike-Map.png
Who Does it Impact?
• Eligibility requirements include:– Medicaid fee-for-service and managed care payments
for primary care services delivered by a family practice, internal medicine or pediatric medicine physician
– Self-attestation regarding board certification in above-mentioned specialties
– If not board certified, then the physician must self-attest that at least 60% of Medicaid codes billed are Evaluation & Management codes and vaccine administration codes
– Also applies to certain related subspecialties outlined in the regulations
Impact on Physician CompensationHospitalist Subsidy Example
Low HighREVENUE
Professional Collections 2,100,000$ 2,300,000$
EXPENSESPhysician Compensation and Benefits:
Physician Base Compensation 2,200,000 2,300,000 Physician Benefits 352,000 368,000
Total Physician Compensation and Benefits 2,552,000 2,668,000
Medical Director Compensation 54,450 56,250
Other Expenses:Liability Insurance 60,450 60,450 Office Overhead 265,460 265,460
Total Other Expenses 325,910 325,910
TOTAL EXPENSES 2,932,360 3,050,160
Estimated Net Income Before Subsidy (Loss) (832,360)$ (750,160)$
Subsidy, rounded (830,000)$ (750,000)$
Medicaid Parity Offset 180,000$ 197,143$ Revised Subsidy, rounded (650,000)$ (553,000)$
Hospitalist Services AgreementFinancial Assistance Calculation
Rise in Insured and Access to Primary Care
Effects of the PPACA on Primary Care
Source: Abraham, Jean Marie, Hofer, Adam N. and Moscovice, Ira. Expansion of Coverage under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and Primary Care Utilization. The Milibank Quarterly. Vol. 89, No.1. 2011
Enactment of provisions of the PPACA are expected to increase the number of covered individuals by 32
million.
By 2019, primary care visits are predicted to increase between 15.07 million to 24.26 million.
Assuming stable levels of physicians’ productivity, the increased demand
would require between 4,307 to 6,940 primary care physicians.
Decline in Uninsured
Source: http://kff.org/report-section/state-and-local-coverage-changes-under-full-implementation-of-the-affordable-care-act-report/
Demand on the Rise
• Median first year compensation for family practice physician (without OB) increased $7,000 between 2011 and 2012
• Median compensation for all primary care physicians increased $5,000 between 2011 and 2012
• Increases due in large part to rise of ACOs and integrated delivery systems that require the services of primary care physician
• Healthcare reform extending coverage to more people has created additional demand for services
• According to the Merritt Hawkins 2013 Review of Physician and Advance Practitioners Recruiting Incentives, family practice and internal medicine physicians are the most highly recruited specialties
Source: Demand for Family Physicians Fuels Salary, Compensation Increase, Survey finds. American Academy of Family Physicians. July 9, 2013.
Rise in Compensation
Drivers of Pay Increase
Supply
“Demand for Family Physicians Fuels Salary, Compensation Increase, Survey Finds”
Accountable Care Organizations and Bundled Payments
ACO – Where are they now?
Nine of the original 27 organizations are leaving the Pioneer ACO program; seven of the nine will join the MSSP.
As of January 2013, 250 ACOs provided care to four million beneficiaries (27 ACOs at initiation).
Based on a white paper released by Premier healthcare alliance, only 21% of commercial payers offer upside savings arrangements.
Medicare ACO in a Nutshell(“Shared Savings Program”)
• Mandatory - Sufficient PCPs to care for at least 5,000 beneficiaries• Optional - Other Medicare enrolled providersACO providers
• Legal entity, governing body, management structure, medical director• Meet patient-centeredness, evidence-based medicine, coordination,
and cost-effectiveness goals & measuresACO operations
• Patients assigned by CMS based on PCP TIN• Patients retain freedom of choiceBeneficiary assignment
•Receive shared savings payments if meet certain performance standards on 33 quality measures (or pay back Medicare); more demanding over time
•Minimum Savings Rate (MSR)
Performance requirements
• 1-sided – 50% shared savings• 2-sided – 60% shared savings, at risk for 2% over benchmarkShared savings payment
• Waiver from requirements of Stark Law, Anti-Kickback Statute, and Gainsharing CMP, AntitrustRegulatory waivers
• ACO participant receives same Medicare Part A and Part B FFS payments
• ACO is eligible for annual payment based on Medicare savings
– Savings = difference between Medicare’s projected total expenditures for ACO’s assigned beneficiaries (“benchmark”) and actual total expenditures
– Must be above Min Sav. Rt.
• Savings are based on FFS payments to all providers, including non-ACO providers.
Medicare ACO:How You Get Paid
Ben
chm
ark
Act
ual
Sav
ings $ACO
$CMS
MSR
Based on equity?
Based on revenue?
Utilization targets?
Some other way?
Return of withhold
Sharing of bonuses
Funding of losses
Return of withhold
Sharing of bonuses
Funding of losses
Funds Sharing Challenges
Shared Savings Models-MSSP
One-Sided Model (performance years 1 & 2)
Sharing Rate (assuming maximum performance on quality measures)
Up to 50%
FQHC/RHC Participation Incentives Up to 2.5 percentage points
Maximum Sharing Cap Payments capped at 7.5% of ACO's benchmark
Shared Losses Cap N/A
Considerations for Primary Care
Care delivery will likely shift to
mid-level practitioners changing the cost
structure of practices
Work relative value unit assignments likely to increase over the next
few years
Critical to the success of an ACO or bundled payment initiative
Will likely be a shortage by 2014 – even more so
than currently
Five-year initiative launched
January 31, 2013
Private payers already using
bundled payments
Bundled Payments for Care Improvement Initiative
Based on Medicare ACE Demonstration Project –
free range ACO
Single payment for defined group of services within specified episode
of care
Pricing based on discount of payer’s historic total cost
Gain-sharing incentives
Bundled Payment Initiative PilotMODEL MODEL 2 MODEL 3 MODEL 4
Types of Services Included in Bundle
• Inpatient hospital and physician services
• Related post-acute care services• Related readmissions• Other services defined in the bundle
• Post-acute care services• Related readmissions• Other services defined in the
bundle
• Inpatient hospital and physician services
• Related readmissions
Expected Discount Provided to Medicare
To be proposed by applicant; CMS requires minimum discount of 3% for 30-89 days post-discharge episode; 2% for 90 days or longer episode
To be proposed by applicant
To be proposed by applicant; subject to minimum discount of 3%; larger discount for MS-DRGs in ACE Demonstration
Payment from CMS to Providers
Traditional fee-for-service payment to all providers and suppliers, subject to reconciliation with predetermined target price
Traditional fee-for-service payment to all providers and suppliers, subject to reconciliation with predetermined target price
Prospectively established bundled payment to admitting hospital; hospitals distribute payments from bundled payment
Quality Measures To be proposed by applicants, but CMS will ultimately establish a standardized set of measures that will be aligned to the greatest extent possible with measures in other CMS programs
Bundled Payments - So, How’s it Working So Far?
Understanding data is critical
to success
Determination of episodes that offer the
greatest opportunity
Engaging physicians
Influencing utilization of post-acute
care services
Patient Engagement
Case Study from DataGen and New York-Presbyterian Hospital Addresses Key Success Factors for the Bundled Payment Care Initiative
Source: New Case Study Examines Key Success Factors for Medicare Bundled Payment Initiative. Yahoo! Finance. September 4, 2013.
Key Implications for Valuations
Physician Alignment
Transactions
Hospitalist Strategies
Quality Incentives
Call Pay Arrangements
Clinical
Co-Management Agreements
Direct Employment
Physician Practice
Acquisitions (“Buy and Employ”
Transactions)
Common Types of Physician Alignment Strategies
More IntegrationLess Integration
More Common
Less Common
Equipment JV
EMR
Co-Management
Medical Directorships
Shared Savings
Real Estate JV
Physician Advisory Council
PHO
Quality
Physician Services
Agreement
Physician Leasing
Agreement
Physician Employment
Physician Alignment Vehicles
Impact on valuations
We will be living in the “straddle” for several years
Benchmark compensation data will take 2 – 3 years to catch-up to changes in the industry and will, therefore, not be as meaningful
As appraisers, the “art” part of our analysis will become more prominent and we will have to develop new approaches and be prepared to defend them