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(Constant) -0.163 0.408 -0.4 0.69 Population density 2010 73.963 26.825 0.154 2.762 0.007 Distance to downtown (km) -0.228 0.03 -0.511 -7.539 0 Change in % homeowner 1990- 2010 2.916 1.108 0.156 2.631 0.009 Change in % with some college or higher 1990-2010 3.08 0.954 0.193 3.227 0.002 % renter occupied units 2010 1.582 0.601 0.187 2.633 0.009 % unemployed 3.99 1.887 0.132 2.114 0.036 Summary N R R 2 Adjusted R 2 Std. Error of the Estimate 149 0.767 0.588 0.57 1.064 Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients B Std. Error Beta t Sig. (Constant) -0.779 0.309 -2.516 0.012 Change in population density 1990-2010 68.551 23.72 0.079 2.89 0.004 Population density 2010 99.105 17.511 0.183 5.66 0 Distance to downtown (km) -0.153 0.014 -0.334 -11.193 0 Change in % White 1990-2010 1.421 0.364 0.137 3.909 0 More than 40% non- White in 1990 -0.583 0.172 -0.121 -3.397 0.001 Change in % with some college or higher 1990-2010 -2.052 0.509 -0.144 -4.033 0 % with some college or higher 2010 4.483 0.414 0.44 10.824 0 % new resident since 2009 2.586 0.707 0.109 3.656 0 Change in median home value (per $1000) 1990-2010 0.002 0.001 0.177 4.053 0 Median home value (per $1000) 2010 -0.003 0.001 -0.219 -4.003 0 Summary N R R 2 Adjusted R 2 Std. Error of the Estimate 844 0.683 0.466 0.46 1.642 Unstandardized Coefficients !., 4'8,1% :,", 35)1( %(,&H:)%, <'" ,#-. -)(7 #$8 '$17 %)=$)<)-#$( 6#")#31,% #", %.':$? F"$)(! !)%!)BB"E$ *E#)F X(!"(AF) #)J"$"'"E$B 2010 Conditions Change in community composition 1990-2010 Description and expected associations Expected model relationship Distance to downtown** N/A Proximity to downtown (km) is expected to be associated with increased cycling infrastructure. ! Distance to transit N/A Distance (km) from the census tract centroid to the nearest transit station (CTA, TriMet MAX or Portland Streetcar) is expected to relate to increased cycling infrastructure. ! Population density Population density** Change in population density* A positive change in population density is expected to reflect an increase in cyclists and, by extension, cycling infrastructure supply. + % non-White* Change in % White population* An increase in White population concentrations is associated with gentrification. " % renter occupied units* Change in % homeownership* High rentership rates are an indicator that gentrification may occur, followed by a switch from renting to homeownership. " % with some college or higher* Change in % with some college or higher* Higher educational attainment is associated with gentrification. " %new resident since 2009* N/A High mobility, whether through displacement or in-migration, is associated with gentrification and changing community composition. " Median home value (per $1000)* Change in median home value (per $1000)* An increase in housing costs is associated with gentrification. " % unemployed (civilian labor force)* not available 1990 A decrease in unemployment is associated with gentrification and is expected to be associated with increased cycling infrastructure. ! Median household income (per $1000) Change in median household income (per $1000) Increased affluence is associated with gentrification and is expected to be associated with increased cycling infrastructure. + Median age Not available 1990 Lower median age is associated with gentrification and is expected to be associated with increased cycling infrastructure. ! Median age^2 N/A Median age squared is used to reflect the non linear relationship with the dependent variable in the linear model ! Independent Variables Distance (constant 1990-2010) Gentrification indicators R )$8)-#(,% (., 6#")#31, )% %)=$)<)-#$( )$ '$, 4'8,1 RR)$8)-#(,% (., 6#")#31, )% %)=$)<)-#$( )$ 3'(. 4'8,1%

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S

Standardized Coefficients

B Std. Error Beta t Sig.

(Constant) -0.163 0.408 -0.4 0.69Population density 2010

73.963 26.825 0.154 2.762 0.007

Distance to downtown (km)

-0.228 0.03 -0.511 -7.539 0

Change in % homeowner 1990-2010

2.916 1.108 0.156 2.631 0.009

Change in % with some college or higher 1990-2010

3.08 0.954 0.193 3.227 0.002

% renter occupied units 2010

1.582 0.601 0.187 2.633 0.009

% unemployed 3.99 1.887 0.132 2.114 0.036

Summary N R R2 Adjusted R2 Std. Error of the Estimate

149 0.767 0.588 0.57 1.064

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

B Std. Error Beta t Sig.

(Constant) -0.779 0.309 -2.516 0.012Change in population density 1990-2010

68.551 23.72 0.079 2.89 0.004

Population density 2010

99.105 17.511 0.183 5.66 0

Distance to downtown (km)

-0.153 0.014 -0.334 -11.193 0

Change in % White 1990-2010

1.421 0.364 0.137 3.909 0

More than 40% non-White in 1990

-0.583 0.172 -0.121 -3.397 0.001

Change in % with some college or higher 1990-2010

-2.052 0.509 -0.144 -4.033 0

% with some college or higher 2010

4.483 0.414 0.44 10.824 0

% new resident since 2009

2.586 0.707 0.109 3.656 0

Change in median home value (per $1000) 1990-2010

0.002 0.001 0.177 4.053 0

Median home value (per $1000) 2010

-0.003 0.001 -0.219 -4.003 0

Summary N R R2 Adjusted R2 Std. Error of the Estimate

844 0.683 0.466 0.46 1.642

Unstandardized Coefficients

* !.,*4'8,1%*:,",*35)1(*%(,&H:)%,*<'"*,#-.*-)(7*#$8*'$17

%)=$)<)-#$(*6#")#31,%*#",*%.':$?

F"$)(!&!)%!)BB"E$&*E#)F&X(!"(AF)&#)J"$"'"E$B

2010 Conditions Change in community composition 1990-2010 Description and expected associations

Expected model relationship

Distance to downtown** N/A Proximity to downtown (km) is expected to be associated with increased cycling infrastructure. !

Distance to transit N/A Distance (km) from the census tract centroid to the nearest transit station (CTA, TriMet MAX or Portland Streetcar) is expected to relate to increased cycling infrastructure. !

Population density Population density** Change in population density* A positive change in population density is expected to reflect an increase in cyclists and, by extension, cycling infrastructure supply. +

% non-White*Change in % White population* An increase in White population concentrations is associated with gentrification. "

% renter occupied units* Change in % homeownership* High rentership rates are an indicator that gentrification may occur, followed by a switch from renting to homeownership. "

% with some college or higher*

Change in % with some college or higher* Higher educational attainment is associated with gentrification. "

%new resident since 2009* N/A High mobility, whether through displacement or in-migration, is associated with

gentrification and changing community composition. "Median home value (per $1000)*

Change in median home value (per $1000)* An increase in housing costs is associated with gentrification. "

% unemployed (civilian labor force)* not available 1990 A decrease in unemployment is associated with gentrification and is expected to be

associated with increased cycling infrastructure. !Median household income (per $1000)

Change in median household income (per $1000)

Increased affluence is associated with gentrification and is expected to be associated with increased cycling infrastructure. +

Median age Not available 1990 Lower median age is associated with gentrification and is expected to be associated with increased cycling infrastructure. !

Median age^2 N/A Median age squared is used to reflect the non linear relationship with the dependent variable in the linear model !

Independent Variables

Distance (constant 1990-2010)

Gentrification indicators

R*)$8)-#(,%*(.,*6#")#31,*)%*%)=$)<)-#$(*)$*'$,*4'8,1

RR)$8)-#(,%*(.,*6#")#31,*)%*%)=$)<)-#$(*)$*3'(.*4'8,1%