Click here to load reader
View
57
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Центр проблемного анализа и государственно-управленческого проектирования. Финансовая система России. Странности. С.С. Сулакшин доктор физико-математических наук, доктор политических наук. Internet: www.rusrand.ru E-mail: [email protected] Москва 2008. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2008 - .. - , .Internet: www.rusrand.ruE-mail: [email protected]
-
? -
? , !!! -
? , !!! -
-
!!! ! - 2 - 3 - ()() ? ! - - !012345-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R , , 012345-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R , ,
!!! , . - + . - -. 2/ ,, - . . .: . , , :
!!! , ! - = 0,7 = 0,1296100104108112199019921994199619982000200220042006-20002004006008001000120014001600 1+2+3, 1+2+3, 080160240
, -
- . , :1. ( - , )2. . -
- , 1. , - 01234567-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R , .0123456-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R ( ), .
- - , 2. 0123456
- - , 3. 0246-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R 0246-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R
- - , 4. ! -6-4-20246-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0 R (. ) (. .) %
- , 5. ()0246-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R (+)/0123456-1,0-0,8-0,6-0,4-0,20,00,20,40,60,81,0R (+)/
% 0+1+2 -
2 ( %) - International Financial Statistics Nov. 2006
1
201
162
136
132
124
122
116
115
110
107
105
97
86
85
78
71
71
68
67
65
57
53
51
48
45
43
41
33
33
32
31
29
2 , 2005 ., %
1
201
162
136
132
124
122
116
115
110
107
105
97
86
85
78
71
71
68
67
65
57
53
51
48
45
43
41
33
33
32
31
29
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
. 2 , %
2
3
: , ,
-
9
0.15801500790.09721149990.09854321710.0573410431
0.18030828260.11266112480.10379631810.065274459
0.19730842840.12403982680.11394496330.0705523366
0.24335914370.15416038170.14501838010.086885887
0.26004856930.16644131990.1418628340.0914726455
0.27991508550.18474899690.1349244130.0930272252
2
0
: ( % )
_1.01._1.01._1.01._1.01._1.01._1.01.
200120022003200420052006
259,064297,130340,173447,495605,733749,931
%51.8%14.7%14.5%31.5%35.4%23.8%
% 2.6%2.9%3.2%4.1%5.2%6.0%
18,27522,13524,59930,86043,15256,088
%7.8%21.1%11.1%25.5%39.8%30.0%
% 0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.4%0.5%
1,198,4831,324,8121,453,8371,640,9661,931,6422,224,811
%10.6%10.5%9.7%12.9%17.7%15.2%
% 12.2%13.1%13.9%15.0%16.6%17.9%
462,643474,097493,335575,330665,867775,410
%4.6%2.5%4.1%16.6%15.7%16.5%
% 4.7%4.7%4.7%5.2%5.7%6.2%
602,207509,797459,379506,784603,994796,284
%12.2%-15.3%-9.9%10.3%19.2%31.8%
% 6.1%5.0%4.4%4.6%5.2%6.4%
1,077,9371,118,3411,223,2721,511,1411,724,9531,766,160
%-8.8%3.7%9.4%23.5%14.1%2.4%
% 11.0%11.0%11.7%13.8%14.8%14.2%
1,905,7951,892,5952,025,7982,446,4322,754,7272,797,343
%-11.2%-0.7%7.0%20.8%12.6%1.5%
% 19.4%18.7%19.3%22.3%23.6%22.5%
9,817,00010,128,00010,469,60010,971,20011,667,50012,450,000
%5.9%3.2%3.4%4.8%6.3%6.7%
200120022003200420052006
25,52930,84138,76164,89585,931101,184
%69.5%20.8%25.7%67.4%32.4%17.8%
% 9.9%10.4%11.4%14.5%14.2%13.5%
398,330408,926487,644541,180691,055768,071
%5.9%2.7%19.2%11.0%27.7%11.1%
% 33.2%30.9%33.5%33.0%35.8%34.5%
2 40,93653,57567,119108,902157,520209,917
%61.5%30.9%25.3%62.3%44.6%33.3%
% 15.8%18.0%19.7%24.3%26.0%28.0%
2 1,658,3321,930,5182,300,9332,716,4853,033,1773,669,663
%12.1%16.4%19.2%18.1%11.7%21.0%
% 138.4%145.7%158.3%165.5%157.0%164.9%
0 14,85519,39524,00038,88155,40869,764
%57.4%30.6%23.7%62.0%42.5%25.9%
% 5.7%6.5%7.1%8.7%9.1%9.3%
0 205,194212,268236,501268,955259,631297,909
%5.7%3.4%11.4%13.7%-3.5%14.7%
% 17.1%16.0%16.3%16.4%13.4%13.4%
25,18433,47542,19568,986100,819138,549
%67.9%32.9%26.0%63.5%46.1%37.4%
% 9.7%11.3%12.4%15.4%16.6%18.5%
1,453,1381,728,2502,044,3772,447,5302,773,5463,371,753
%14.6%18.9%18.3%19.7%13.3%21.6%
% 121.2%130.5%140.6%149.2%143.6%151.6%
-
.2.1.
2.1
01.0101.0101.0101.0101.0101.01
200120022003200420052006
1. (1=2+3). .2,832.23,608.04,457.25,416.57,560.311,086.43.9
. 799.3775.8849.2959.32,143.83,526.1
. - %38.8%27.4%23.5%21.5%39.6%46.6%
2. . .1,434.71,631.31,923.11,669.81,710.62,229.41.6
. 197.0196.6291.8-253.340.8518.8
. - %15.9%13.7%17.9%-13.2%2.4%30.3%
2.1. . .422.9523.9726.4748.2935.11,437.93.4
. 130.9101.0202.521.8186.9502.8
. - %44.8%23.9%38.7%3.0%25.0%53.8%
2.1.1. . .391.5464.7645.6643.6781.21,039.72.7
. 124.573.2180.9-2.0137.6258.5
. - %46.6%18.7%38.9%-0.3%21.4%33.1%
2.1.2. . .31.459.280.8104.6153.9398.212.7
. 6.427.821.623.849.3244.3
. - %25.6%88.5%36.5%29.5%47.1%158.7%
2.2. . .1,011.81,107.41,196.7921.6775.5791.50.8
. 66.195.689.3-275.1-146.116
. - %7.0%9.4%8.1%-23.0%-15.9%2.1%
3. (3=4+5). .1,397.51,976.72,534.13,746.75,849.78,857.06.3
. 602.3579.2557.41,212.62,103.03007.3
. - %74.1%41.4%28.2%47.9%56.1%51.4%
: . .28.230.131.829.527.728.81.0
%4.4%6.7%5.6%-7.2%-6.1%4.0%
: ,
1.01.2006 1.01.2001
-
BW 1 .2.1.
2832.21434.7422.9391.531.41011.81397.5
36081631.3523.9464.759.21107.41976.7
4457.21923.1726.4645.680.81196.72534.1
5416.51669.8748.2643.6104.6921.63746.7
7560.31710.6935.1781.2153.9775.55849.7
11086.42229.41437.91039.7398.2791.58857
1. (1=2+3)
2.
2.1.
2.1.1.
2.1.2.
2.2.
3. (3=4+5)
. .
BW 2 .2.1.
2832.21434.7422.9391.531.41011.81397.5
36081631.3523.9464.759.21107.41976.7
4457.21923.1726.4645.680.81196.72534.1
5416.51669.8748.2643.6104.6921.63746.7
7560.31710.6935.1781.2153.9775.55849.7
11086.42229.41437.91039.7398.2791.58857
1. (1=2+3)
2.
2.1.
2.1.1.
2.1.2.
2.2.
3. (3=4+5)
..
.2.2.
2.2.
01.0101.0101.0101.0101.0101.01
200120022003200420052006
. .1,397.51,976.72,534.13,746.75,849.78,857.06.3
. 602.3579.2557.41,212.62,103.03,007.3
. - %74.1%41.4%28.2%47.9%56.1%51.4%
. .253.2374.1399.7534.11,486.42,811.411.1
. 155.1120.925.6134.4952.31,325.0
. - %158.1%47.7%6.8%33.6%178.3%89.1%
. .81.6121.7271.3326.61,092.12,008.424.6
. 31.440.1149.655.3765.5916.3
. - %62.5%49.1%122.9%20.4%234.4%83.9%
. .171.6252.4128.4207.5394.3803.04.7
. 123.780.8-124.079.1186.8408.7
. - %258.2%47.1%-49.1%61.6%90.0%103.7%
2. .1,144.31,602.62,134.43,212.64,363.36,045.65.3
. 447.2458.3531.81,078.21,150.71,682.3
. - %62.4%40.1%33.2%50.5%35.8%38.6%
: ,
1.12.2005
1.12.2005
1.12.2005
1.01.2006 1.01.2001
BW 1 .2.2.
1397.5253.281.6171.61144.3
1976.7374.1121.7252.41602.6
2534.1399.7271.3128.42134.4
3746.7534.1326.6207.53212.6
5849.71486.41092.1394.34363.3
88572811.42008.48036045.6
3. (3=4+5)
4.
4.1.
4.2.
5. 2
. .
BW 2 .2.2.
1397.51144.3253.281.6171.6
1976.71602.6374.1121.7252.4
2534.12134.4399.7271.3128.4
3746.73212.6534.1326.6207.5
5849.74363.31486.41092.1394.3
88576045.62811.42008.4803
2
. .
2 -
.2.3.
2.3.
2
01.0101.0101.0101.0101.0101.01
200120022003200420052006
5. 2. .1,144.31,602.62,134.43,212.64,363.36,045.65.3
. 447.2458.3531.81,078.21,150.71,682.3
. - %62.4%40.1%33.2%50.5%35.8%38.6%
5.1. 0. .419.3584.3763.21,147.01,534.82,009.24.8
. 152.7165.0178.9383.8387.8474.4
. - %57.3%39.4%30.6%50.3%33.8%30.9%
5.2. . .725.01,018.31,371.22,065.62,828.54,036.45.6
. 294.5293.3352.9694.4762.91207.9
. - %65.5%40.5%34.7%50.6%36.9%42.7%
5.2.1. . .444.6586.7706.71,003.21,277.51,805.74.1
. 193.7142.1120.0296.5274.3528.2
. - %77.2%32.0%20.5%42.0%27.3%41.3%
5.2.2. . .265.6420.9635.11,032.01,515.22,184.48.2
. 93.6155.3214.2396.9483.2669.2
. - %54.4%58.5%50.9%62.5%46.8%44.2%
5.2.3. . .14.810.729.430.435.846.33.1