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Презентация ОГК-5 на конференции «Перспективная модель конкурентного рынка электроэнергии» «ОГК-5» Стратегия лидерства ОГК-5 21 сентября 2005г.

Презентация ОГК-5 на конференции «Перспективная модель конкурентного рынка электроэнергии»

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«ОГК-5» Стратегия лидерства. Презентация ОГК-5 на конференции «Перспективная модель конкурентного рынка электроэнергии». ОГК-5. 21 сентября 2005г. Содержание. ОГК-5 - пилотный проект энергореформы России Шаги по повышению капитализации ОГК-5 Стратегическая цель – рост стоимости ОГК-5. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • -5 -5 -521 2005.

  • -5 - -5 -5

  • (1965-1969) 2400 (1936-1972) 1182 (1970-1980) 3800 (1960-2000) 1290 _____________________________________________-5 - -5 8672 /Key

  • - 88,7%100%- - - - - - - - I. II. III. 01.11.04 - 01.02.05 01.02.05 - 09.09.05 09.09.05 - 28.02.06 - .- - - - - - - - -

  • 1

    0.125

    0.875

    ; 12,5%

    ; 87,5%

    Assets

    IC, MWOutput 2004Load 2004

    MWths MWh%

    Reftinskaya GRES380016313.249

    Sredne-Uralskaya GRES11505450.854

    Nevinomisskaya GRES1340527845

    Konakovskaya GRES2400608029

    OGK-5

    2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    CapacityMW8690869086908690869086908690869086908690869086908690869086908690

    Saleths MWh34385356393689438148394024065741911431664442045675456754567545675456754567545675

    Load%45474850525355575860606060606060

    Revenues$mn672751837924101611591286153517241934199420582125219722562318

    COGS$mn55363773684894110421111118412571333138314351489154616051666

    Fuel$mn41648556966774883889595510191087112911731220126813181371

    Non-fuel *$mn137153167180193204216229238247254262270278286295

    Depreciation$mn3222222111111000

    EBITDA$mn1191141017776117175352467600611622636651651652

    margin,%%181512871014232731313030302928

    Net income$mn888575575688132266354455463473483494495496

    Estimated free CF$mn918777595890134268355456464473483495495496

    * including maintenance capex

    WACC%16

    DCF$mn91755838324355951081201059281726253

    Terminal value (Gordon)$mn334

    NPV$mn1514

    12.5%87.5%

    OGK-5

    0

    0

    Nevinomisskaya GRES

    Fully regulated

    200320042005 F200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    Load%4547485051535456575960606060606060

    CapacityMW13401340134013401340134013401340134013401340134013401340134013401340

    Outputths MWh5458563458115987616363396515669168677043704370437043704370437043

    Fuel efficiencygce/kWh352350349347346344342341339338336336336336336336336

    REGULATED REVENUE$ mn18712413710611512477830

    TariffRR/MWh631

    Tariff$/MWh22.724.426.027.428.830.231.733.3

    y-to-y growth%07.56.55.55555

    Revenue$ mn187124137151164177192207223

    FREE REVENUE$ mn000404549109120221243268288309332357367378

    1. Aton approach$ mn134148164181200221243268288309332357367378

    2. Nera approach$ mn

    El revenues$ mn

    Capacity revenues$ mn

    Other revenue (heat, etc)$ mn0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    TOTAL REVENUE$ mn187124137146159173185203221243268288309332357367378

    COGS$ mn0.0101117136157175194208222237252264276289302316331

    Fixed costs$/kW13.415171819202122242425262627282930

    Fixed costs$ mn20222426272930323233343637383940

    Fuel costs$ mn7386102120135152163175188202212222234245257270

    Water costs$/kW1.31.51.61.71.92.02.12.22.32.42.42.52.62.62.72.82.9

    Water costs$ mn0891011121314151617181819192020

    Other costs (heat, etc)$ mn00000000000000000

    Depreciation$ mn21.91.81.61.51.41.31.11.00.90.80.60.50.40.30.10

    EBITDA$ mn2320103-1-8-5-1716243344555147

    margin%191572-1-5-2-13681113151412

    Interests expense$ mn?

    Non-operational results$ mn0000000000000000

    Pre-tax income$ mn-2211891-3-10-6-2615243343555147

    Income tax$ mn75420-1-2-1-1146810131211

    Net income$ mn-9161461-2-7-5-2412182533423936

    Estimated CF$ mn-7181682-1-6-3-1512192633423936

    Capex in maintenance$ mn0000000000000000

    Free CF$ mn-7181682-1-6-3-1512192633423936

    Discounted Free CF$ mn181362-0-3-1-023455643

    Terminal value$ mn21

    Free market share%00003030306060100100100100100100100100100

    NPV$ mn87

    NPV/Capacity$/kW65

    Energy prices by NERA$/MWh00000000000000

    0.013.415.317.520.021.924.025.126.227.428.630.131.633.234.836.638.4

    Table for report

    20042005F2006F2007F2008F2009F2010F2011F2012F2013F2014F2015F2016F2017F2018F2019F2020F

    Effective electricity price$/MWh0.022.724.425.126.628.129.331.133.035.538.140.943.947.250.752.153.6

    growth y-to-y%0836646677777733

    Salesths MWh05458563458115987616363396515669168677043704370437043704370437043

    growth y-to-y%0333333333000000

    Revenues$ mn187124137146159173185203221243268288309332357367378

    Sale of electricity$ mn187124137146159173185203221243268288309332357367378

    Other revenues$ mn160000000000000000

    y-to-y growth%-34116997991010777733

    COGS$ mn0101117136157175194208222237252264276289302316331

    Fuel$ mn07386102120135152163175188202212222234245257270

    Non-fuel$ mn28313437394244474951525455575960

    y-to-y growth%016161511117777555555

    Depreciation$ mn22222111111110000

    EBITDA$ mn1872320103-1-8-5-1716243344555147

    y-to-y growth%-88-12-50-74-142653-43-71-57014152383026-7-8

    margin%100191572-1-5-2-13681113151412

    Interests and other results$ mn00000000000000000

    Pre-tax profit$ mn-2211891-3-10-6-2615243343555147

    Income tax$ mn75420-1-2-1-1146810131211

    Net income$ mn-9161461-2-7-5-2412182533423936

    y-to-y growth%-272-13-54-86-313289-39-60-33916455393126-7-8

    margin%-5131041-1-4-2-124681012119

    Operating CF$ mn-7181682-1-6-3-1512192633423936

    y-to-y growth%-345-12-49-70-1221069-44-76-72913451373026-7-8

    margin%-4141161-0-3-2-025681012119

    Investing CF$ mn00000000000000000

    Capex$ mn11*0000000000000000

    Other$ mn00000000000000000

    Free CF$ mn-8181682-1-6-3-1512192633423936

    y-to-y growth%-335-12-49-70-1221069-44-76-72913451373026-7-8

    margin%141161-0-3-2-025681012119

    Discounted Free CF$ mn181362-0-3-1-023455643

    Terminal value$ mn21

    NPV$ mn87

    NPV$/kW65

    20042005 F2006 F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010 F2011 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F

    Skryabin:As it is in 2004 and down to 0 in 2020

    Skryabin:As in 2004

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    Nevinomisskaya GRES

    161.102245882120.49824691540.603998967

    189.9099372017146.056946588943.8529906128

    209.8198848543175.699557612734.1203272417

    241.9024937856210.143102813231.7593909724

    276.473101982242.246507769734.2265942122

    311.041079742277.955614681833.0854650602

    357.3674873309307.065318941850.3021683892

    417.8238619692338.306704832179.5171571371

    485.449226966370.2745093425115.1747176235

    562.3457043494404.4710933006157.8746110488

    576.4785715234423.0287284018153.4498431216

    591.3180820561442.4642676712148.8538143849

    606.8995681155462.8201069895144.079461126

    623.2601284778484.1407170518139.119411426

    640.4387168583506.4727457586133.9659710997

    658.4762346578529.8651256864128.6111089714

    Revenues

    COGS

    EBITDA

    Reftinskaya GRES

    30.296164214931.0367892149

    32.802922865733.4941728657

    25.443623703726.0854987037

    23.68683713924.279337139

    25.599436601326.1425616013

    24.769703445825.2634534458

    37.891922975838.3362979758

    60.132839424260.5278394242

    87.270110393987.6157353939

    119.7595543971120.0558043971

    116.4342557724116.6811307724

    112.9787989326113.1762989326

    109.3878154558109.5359404558

    105.6557026838105.7544526838

    101.7766130358101.8259880358

    97.744442818397.7444428183

    Net income

    Free CF

    Sredne-Urals GRES

    Fully regulated

    200320042005 F200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    Load%4950515253555657585960606060606060

    CapacityMW38003800380038003800380038003800380038003800380038003800380038003800

    Outputths MWh1631316677170431741017776181421850818874192401960719973199731997319973199731997319973

    Fuel efficiencygce/kWh341341340340339339338338337337336336336336336336336

    REGULATED REVENUE$ mn02502893172422602791711830

    TariffRR/MWh

    Tariff$/MWh13.615.317.318.619.820.922.023.124.225.4

    growth%13137.56.55.55555

    Revenue$ mn0250289317345372398427457489

    FREE REVENUE$ mn0000121134149333370686762847867888910934958984

    1. Aton approach$ mn402448498554617686762847867888910934958984

    2. Nera approach$ mn435504545592630667700733762791844877913949

    El revenues$ mn299349389434470510546578608637673706743783

    Capacity revenues$ mn136154156158160157154156154154171170169166

    Other revenue (heat, etc)$ mn0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    TOTAL REVENUE$ mn0250289317362395428503553686762847867888910934958984

    COGS$ mn214.1249278315355385417434451468484495506517528540552

    Fixed costs$/kW12.114151617181920212223232425252627

    Fixed costs$ mn46515762667073778183868891949699102

    Fuel costs$ mn167196220252288314342355369383397405413421430438447

    Water costs$/kW0.050.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.10.1

    Water costs$ mn11111112222222222

    Other costs (heat, etc)$ mn00000000000000000

    Depreciation$ mn00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00

    EBITDA$ mn36403948404487119235295362372382394406419433

    margin%1414121310101722343943434343434444

    Interests expense$ mn?0

    Non-operational results$ mn00000000000000000

    Pre-tax income$ mn36403948404487119235295362372382394406419433

    Income tax$ mn9109111010212956718789929497100104

    Net income$ mn2730303630336691178224275283291299308318329

    Estimated CF$ mn2730303630336691178224275283291299308318329

    Capex in maintenance$ mn

    Free CF$ mn2730303630336691178224275283291299308318329

    Discounted Free CF$ mn30252719183036606568605346413632

    Terminal value$ mn191

    Free market share%00003030306060100100100100100100100100100

    NPV$ mn836

    NPV/Capacity$/kW220

    Energy prices by NERA$/MWh2528303233353637384042444648

    10.311.812.914.516.217.318.518.819.219.519.920.320.721.121.521.922.4

    Table for report

    20042005F2006F2007F2008F2009F2010F2011F2012F2013F2014F2015F2016F2017F2018F2019F2020F

    Effective electricity price$/MWh15.317.318.620.822.223.627.229.335.638.942.443.444.545.646.848.049.3

    growth y-to-y%13812761582299223333

    Salesths MWh1631316677170431741017776181421850818874192401960719973199731997319973199731997319973

    growth y-to-y%2222222222000000

    Revenues$ mn250289317362395428503553686762847867888910934958984

    Sale of electricity$ mn250289317362395428503553686762847867888910934958984

    Other revenues$ mn160000000000000000

    y-to-y growth%161014991810241111223333

    COGS$ mn214249278315355385417434451468484495506517528540552

    Fuel$ mn167196220252288314342355369383397405413421430438447

    Non-fuel$ mn5258636771757982858890939699101105

    y-to-y growth%16121313884444222222

    Depreciation$ mn00000000000000000

    EBITDA$ mn36403948404487119235295362372382394406419433

    y-to-y growth%11-222-1699937972623333333

    margin%1414121310101722343943434343434444

    Interests and other results$ mn00000000000000000

    Pre-tax profit$ mn36403948404487119235295362372382394406419433

    Income tax$ mn9109111010212956718789929497100104

    Net income$ mn2730303630336691178224275283291299308318329

    y-to-y growth%11-222-1699937972623333333

    margin%1111910881316262933333333333333

    Operating CF$ mn2730303630336691178224275283291299308318329

    y-to-y growth%11-222-1699937972623333333

    margin%1111910881316262933333333333333

    Investing CF$ mn00000000000000000

    Capex$ mn11*0000000000000000

    Other$ mn00000000000000000

    Free CF$ mn2730303630336691178224275283291299308318329

    y-to-y growth%13-222-1699937972623333333

    margin%11910881316262933333333333333

    Discounted Free CF$ mn30252719183036606568605346413632

    Terminal value$ mn191

    NPV$ mn836

    NPV$/kW220

    20042005 F2006 F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010 F2011 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F

    Skryabin:As it is in 2004 and down to 0 in 2020

    Skryabin:As in 2004

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    Sredne-Urals GRES

    249.9552670742210.035102110339.9201649639

    288.7533318422252.350343062136.4029887801

    317.2252172574292.414942642824.8102746146

    362.1600607708337.940371009324.2196897615

    394.5098639692389.82466802544.6851959438

    428.3458460474432.9293408307-4.5834947833

    503.3642127417480.12631349423.2378992476

    552.7949662572511.942411458240.852554799

    685.6855982563545.7136426551139.9719556011

    762.1068104887579.9047626744182.2020478143

    846.749905177616.1535285597230.5963766174

    866.9454052004645.210133629221.7352715714

    888.150680225675.6670368111212.4836434139

    910.4162190009707.5926770473202.8235419535

    933.7950347155741.0588679472192.7361667683

    958.3427912158776.1409651035182.2018261123

    984.1179355412812.9180417304171.1998938108

    Revenues

    COGS

    EBITDA

    Konakovo GRES

    30.321237437430.3450373521

    27.649314033727.6716264537

    18.839981763818.8608066892

    18.392267771418.4116052021

    3.54718296593.5650329019

    -3.4958914907-3.4795290494

    17.649498468717.6643734154

    31.037767183731.0511546357

    106.3696422893106.3815422466

    138.4656428672138.4760553299

    175.2464632535175.2553882215

    168.5131539145168.5205913879

    161.4830470108161.4889969895

    154.1425003968154.1469628808

    146.477225752146.4802007413

    138.4722573494138.4737448441

    130.1119192962130.1119192962

    Net income

    Free CF

    Fully regulated

    200320042005 F200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    Load%5455555656575858595960606060606060

    CapacityMW11501150115011501150115011501150115011501150115011501150115011501150

    Outputths MWh54405500556156215682574258035863592459846044604460446044604460446044

    Fuel efficiencygce/kWh320320320320320320320320320320320320320320320320320

    REGULATED REVENUE$ mn0869810780869155580

    TariffRR/MWh

    Tariff$/MWh1415.817.819.220.421.522.623.724.926.2

    growth%13137.56.55.55555

    Revenue$ mn08698107115122130138146155

    FREE REVENUE$ mn0000394347104115211233256262269276283290298

    1. Aton approach$ mn130143158174192211233256262269276283290298

    2. Nera approach$ mn138158170184195204213222231239255265276287

    El revenues$ mn97112123136146157167175184193204214225237

    Capacity revenues$ mn4147474848474747464752525150

    Other revenue (heat, etc)$ mn0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    TOTAL REVENUE$ mn08698107119129138159173211233256262269276283290298

    COGS$ mn69.58396110126139153163172182192201211221231242254

    Fixed costs$/kW1112141516171818192021212222232424

    Fixed costs$ mn1314161718192021222324242526272728

    Fuel costs$ mn56687992107119132140148157167175184193203213224

    Water costs$/kW0.170.20.20.20.20.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.30.40.40.4

    Water costs$ mn11111122222222222

    Other costs (heat, etc)$ mn00000000000000000

    Depreciation$ mn00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00

    EBITDA$ mn16151192-1611395164615855514844

    margin%19151082-146182225232220181615

    Interests expense$ mn?0

    Non-operational results$ mn00000000000000000

    Pre-tax income$ mn16151192-1611395164615855514844

    Income tax$ mn44321-01391215151413121111

    Net income$ mn1211872-148303849464441393633

    Estimated CF$ mn1211872-148303849464441393633

    Capex in maintenance$ mn

    Free CF$ mn1211872-148303849464441393633

    Discounted Free CF$ mn11751-0231011121086543

    Terminal value$ mn19

    Free market share%00003030306060100100100100100100100100100

    NPV$ mn119

    NPV/Capacity$/kW103

    Energy prices by NERA$/MWh2428303233353637384042444648

    10.312.314.216.318.820.622.723.825.026.327.629.030.431.933.535.237.0

    Table for report

    20042005F2006F2007F2008F2009F2010F2011F2012F2013F2014F2015F2016F2017F2018F2019F2020F

    Effective electricity price$/MWh15.817.819.221.222.624.127.529.635.638.942.443.444.545.646.848.049.3

    growth y-to-y%13811761482199223333

    Salesths MWh54405500556156215682574258035863592459846044604460446044604460446044

    growth y-to-y%1111111111000000

    Revenues$ mn8698107119129138159173211233256262269276283290298

    Sale of electricity$ mn8698107119129138159173211233256262269276283290298

    Other revenues$ mn160000000000000000

    y-to-y growth%1491287159221010223333

    COGS$ mn708396110126139153163172182192201211221231242254

    Fuel$ mn56687992107119132140148157167175184193203213224

    Non-fuel$ mn15171819212223242525262728293030

    y-to-y growth%2015151510106666555555

    Depreciation$ mn00000000000000000

    EBITDA$ mn16151192-1611395164615855514844

    y-to-y growth%-8-27-14-74-142-679822603026-5-5-6-6-7-8

    margin%19151082-146182225232220181615

    Interests and other results$ mn00000000000000000

    Pre-tax profit$ mn16151192-1611395164615855514844

    Income tax$ mn44321-01391215151413121111

    Net income$ mn1211872-148303849464441393633

    y-to-y growth%-8-27-14-74-142-674822603026-5-5-6-6-7-8

    margin%1412861-135141719181615141211

    Operating CF$ mn1211872-148303849464441393633

    y-to-y growth%-8-27-14-74-142-680822603026-5-5-6-6-7-8

    margin%1412861-135141719181615141211

    Investing CF$ mn00000000000000000

    Capex$ mn11*0000000000000000

    Other$ mn00000000000000000

    Free CF$ mn1211872-148303849464441393633

    y-to-y growth%-6-27-14-74-142-680822603026-5-5-6-6-7-8

    margin%12861-135141719181615141211

    Discounted Free CF$ mn11751-0231011121086543

    Terminal value$ mn19

    NPV$ mn119

    NPV$/kW103

    20042005 F2006 F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010 F2011 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F

    Skryabin:As it is in 2004 and down to 0 in 2020

    Skryabin:As in 2004

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    249.9552670742210.035102110339.9201649639

    288.7533318422252.350343062136.4029887801

    317.2252172574292.414942642824.8102746146

    362.1600607708337.940371009324.2196897615

    394.5098639692389.82466802544.6851959438

    428.3458460474432.9293408307-4.5834947833

    503.3642127417480.12631349423.2378992476

    552.7949662572511.942411458240.852554799

    685.6855982563545.7136426551139.9719556011

    762.1068104887579.9047626744182.2020478143

    846.749905177616.1535285597230.5963766174

    866.9454052004645.210133629221.7352715714

    888.150680225675.6670368111212.4836434139

    910.4162190009707.5926770473202.8235419535

    933.7950347155741.0588679472192.7361667683

    958.3427912158776.1409651035182.2018261123

    984.1179355412812.9180417304171.1998938108

    Revenues

    COGS

    EBITDA

    30.321237437430.3450373521

    27.649314033727.6716264537

    18.839981763818.8608066892

    18.392267771418.4116052021

    3.54718296593.5650329019

    -3.4958914907-3.4795290494

    17.649498468717.6643734154

    31.037767183731.0511546357

    106.3696422893106.3815422466

    138.4656428672138.4760553299

    175.2464632535175.2553882215

    168.5131539145168.5205913879

    161.4830470108161.4889969895

    154.1425003968154.1469628808

    146.477225752146.4802007413

    138.4722573494138.4737448441

    130.1119192962130.1119192962

    Net income

    Free CF

    Fully regulated

    200320042005 F200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    Load%2932353841454851545760606060606060

    CapacityMW24002400240024002400240024002400240024002400240024002400240024002400

    Outputths MWh674974008052870493561000710659113111196312614126141261412614126141261412614

    Fuel efficiencygce/kWh330329328327326326325324323322321321321321321321321

    REGULATED REVENUE$ mn1871611901541761981271420

    TariffRR/MWh663.63

    Tariff$/MWh23.925.727.328.830.331.833.435.0

    growth%07.56.55.55555

    Revenue$ mn187161190220251283318356396

    FREE REVENUE$ mn000566678184215418485562576591607623640658

    1. Aton approach$ mn186221261306358418485562576591607623640658

    2. Nera approach$ mn224268299335367399430463481500533554576599

    El revenues$ mn138171200235266300333365384402425446469495

    Capacity revenues$ mn8697981001019997989797108108107105

    Other revenue (heat, etc)$ mn0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

    TOTAL REVENUE$ mn187161190210242276311357418485562576591607623640658

    COGS$ mn0.0120146176210242278307338370404423442463484506530

    Fixed costs$/kW1213151617181920212222232424252627

    Fixed costs$ mn32363941444648515254555759606264

    Fuel costs$ mn7999124153181212236263291321337354372390410430

    Water costs$/kW1.261.41.61.71.81.92.02.12.22.32.32.42.52.62.62.72.8

    Water costs$ mn010111416182022252730313132333435

    Other costs (heat, etc)$ mn00000000000000000

    Depreciation$ mn10.70.70.60.60.50.50.40.40.30.30.20.20.10.10.00

    EBITDA$ mn4144343234335080115158153149144139134129

    margin%25231613121114192428272524222120

    Interests expense$ mn?

    Non-operational results$ mn0000000000000000

    Pre-tax income$ mn-14043333134335079115158153149144139134129

    Income tax$ mn71010878812192838373635333231

    Net income$ mn-830332524262538608712011611310910610298

    Estimated CF$ mn-731332624262538618812011711311010610298

    Capex in maintenance$ mn0000000000000000

    Free CF$ mn-731332624262538618812011711311010610298

    Discounted Free CF$ mn31291915141215202530252117141210

    Terminal value$ mn57

    Free market share%00003030306060100100100100100100100100100

    NPV$ mn364

    NPV/Capacity$/kW152

    Energy prices by NERA$/MWh2831323334353637384042444648

    0.011.713.415.317.619.321.222.223.224.325.526.728.129.530.932.534.1

    Table for report

    20042005F2006F2007F2008F2009F2010F2011F2012F2013F2014F2015F2016F2017F2018F2019F2020F

    Effective electricity price$/MWh0.023.925.726.127.829.631.133.536.940.644.645.746.948.149.450.852.2

    growth y-to-y%0827658101010333333

    Salesths MWh0674974008052870493561000710659113111196312614126141261412614126141261412614

    growth y-to-y%01098777665000000

    Revenues$ mn187161190210242276311357418485562576591607623640658

    Sale of electricity$ mn187161190210242276311357418485562576591607623640658

    Other revenues$ mn160000000000000000

    y-to-y growth%-14181015141315171616333333

    COGS$ mn0120146176210242278307338370404423442463484506530

    Fuel$ mn07999124153181212236263291321337354372390410430

    Non-fuel$ mn42475257626671767983868891949799

    y-to-y growth%02120201515101099555555

    Depreciation$ mn11111100000000000

    EBITDA$ mn1874144343234335080115158153149144139134129

    y-to-y growth%-788-22-78-352584537-3-3-3-3-4-4

    margin%10025231613121114192428272524222120

    Interests and other results$ mn00000000000000000

    Pre-tax profit$ mn-14043333134335079115158153149144139134129

    Income tax$ mn71010878812192838373635333231

    Net income$ mn-830332524262538608712011611310910610298

    y-to-y growth%-4748-22-78-353594537-3-3-3-3-4-4

    margin%-4191712109811141821201918171615

    Operating CF$ mn-731332624262538618812011711311010610298

    y-to-y growth%-5258-22-78-352584537-3-3-3-3-4-4

    margin%-4191812109811141821201918171615

    Investing CF$ mn00000000000000000

    Capex$ mn11*0000000000000000

    Other$ mn00000000000000000

    Free CF$ mn-831332624262538618812011711311010610298

    y-to-y growth%-5078-22-78-352584537-3-3-3-3-4-4

    margin%191812109811141821201918171615

    Discounted Free CF$ mn31291915141215202530252117141210

    Terminal value$ mn57

    NPV$ mn364

    NPV$/kW152

    20042005 F2006 F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010 F2011 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016 F2017 F2018 F2019 F2020 F

    Skryabin:As it is in 2004 and down to 0 in 2020

    Skryabin:As in 2004

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    Skryabin:2004 actual

    161.102245882120.49824691540.603998967

    189.9099372017146.056946588943.8529906128

    209.8198848543175.699557612734.1203272417

    241.9024937856210.143102813231.7593909724

    276.473101982242.246507769734.2265942122

    311.041079742277.955614681833.0854650602

    357.3674873309307.065318941850.3021683892

    417.8238619692338.306704832179.5171571371

    485.449226966370.2745093425115.1747176235

    562.3457043494404.4710933006157.8746110488

    576.4785715234423.0287284018153.4498431216

    591.3180820561442.4642676712148.8538143849

    606.8995681155462.8201069895144.079461126

    623.2601284778484.1407170518139.119411426

    640.4387168583506.4727457586133.9659710997

    658.4762346578529.8651256864128.6111089714

    Revenues

    COGS

    EBITDA

    30.296164214931.0367892149

    32.802922865733.4941728657

    25.443623703726.0854987037

    23.68683713924.279337139

    25.599436601326.1425616013

    24.769703445825.2634534458

    37.891922975838.3362979758

    60.132839424260.5278394242

    87.270110393987.6157353939

    119.7595543971120.0558043971

    116.4342557724116.6811307724

    112.9787989326113.1762989326

    109.3878154558109.5359404558

    105.6557026838105.7544526838

    101.7766130358101.8259880358

    97.744442818397.7444428183

    Net income

    Free CF

  • -5 - -5 -5

  • -5________________________________________________________ -5 1 2 3

    14 2005 16 2005 16 2005

    19 2005Deutsche Bank :The London Stock Exchange ()Deutsche Boerse ()

    2008

  • -5 - -5 -5

  • , , .

    , , .

    , , . -5_____________________________________________________

  • -5 - !

    - !

    - ! _____________________________________________________

  • -5 / 8 2005 3566 . ., : 2830 . ., - 736 . . 3953 . ., : 2662 . ., - 1291 . . / 8 2005 .

    5

    36.761.740793878569.8292220114

    736 ..

    1291 ..

    / ( )

    %

    36,7

    61,7

    69,8

    2

    . -

    2002 2003 2004 2005 11.07.2005

    .875109.5900054.7914787.1491244.1

    / 696728.8710507.7729297.9392328.9

    - 533452.5553735.7552666.5297337.4

    437400.9450673.8451639.2246280.5

    96051.6103061.8101027.251056.9

    - 163276.3156772176631.594991.4

    103804.193202.4109597.659095.6

    59472.263569.767033.935895.8

    38620.340928.84252922502.6

    139760.4148618.2142960.176412.7

    :

    1988.83844.64366.72016

    -4501.4-5119.6-1738.8-2461.9

    -1527.7-1866.1-1933.9-796.9

    452.33049.14792.4701.2

    -666.4-1113.4-704.12498.2

    -7424.2-10908.8-10812.9-5439.7

    863430.9887776.8908696.1487775.9

    - 527400.7521238.4520006.7307489.4

    ..

    155523.8166631.5168061.186952.7

    .. 96051.6103061.8101027.251056.9

    59472.263569.767033.935895.8

    . 10501.612438.911955.55837.4

    . 8004.66657.36564.83083.88

    . 8013.36415.86317.63038.120024147

    6409.94321.62662

    5.9219961291

    . 2692.82527.12363.312832003

    042.78039.72004

    . 3187.33117.63267.81692.22005 (8 )

    . 21791460.41527.6789.1

    .. 2376.73282.13429.3940.6

    . 03907.45445.52568.1

    . 11191.713632129676322.7

    .5483.45721.15873.92025

    ..7034.87361.57300.34025.5

    .411.4415.1328.5162.6

    . 60375880.55627.83129.73789

    5878.44896.82830

    2.08731736

    . 95228454.78815.54384.7

    -.4006.52944.63039.91838.8

    . 6035.27555.46197.33716.9

    . 2293.43929.93066.11934.3

    . 1550.11764.71703.61002

    .5530.85516.751563041.4

    12540.31250013016.37878.9

    1331.71328.72267.81139.6

    - - 903.2907.811289.41006.2

    10288.710533.76225.76607.6

    5916.85864.37293466.8

    - 18677.323760.325378.911753.1

    4135.640544146.82263.9

    .0541.21984.11311.2

    .139760.4148618.2142960.176412.7

    .1497115171.715048.99730.9

    12109.312666.39321.12998.6

    .19527.723289.624527.315027.8

    . 18920.72193518225.49588.2

    .280272877029242.915602.4

    4065.839814218.61876.8

    24844.725428.42427912905

    . 95959918.710131.45231.7

    . 7513.17299.27814.43380

    .186.1158.415171.2

    527.043153.6209126615901054

    5.92199612912.08731736

    1.163.361.70.846.069.836.7

    2

    00

    00

    00

    ..

    2003 - 2005 .

    1

    00

    00

    00

    ..

    2003 - 2005 .

    000

    736 ..

    1291 ..

    / ( )

    %

    36,7

    61,7

    69,8

    0

    0

    0

    / 2003 - 2005 .

    20029605259472139760

    2003988081030627.355274635696.91469291486186.3

    200496223101027-2670346035211145290142960-3,8

    2005516055105734056358957985876412

    .1497115171.715048.99730.9

    12109.312666.39321.12998.6

    .19527.723289.624527.315027.8

    . 18920.72193518225.49588.2

    .280272877029242.915602.4

    4065.839814218.61876.8

    24844.725428.42427912905

    . 95959918.710131.45231.7

    . 7513.17299.27814.43380

    . .

    12540.312499.913016.37878.9

    1331.71328.72267.81139.6

    - - 903.2907.81805.41006.2

    10288.710533.711289.46607.6

    5916.85864.26225.73466.8

    . .8194.97228.887755265

    . 192.3190.499.9

    :-235.62610440.21192.4

    359.51999.31288.1740.6

    2460.34342.93019.92045.6

    -1527.7-1866.1-1933.9-796.9

    - -501.4-803.9-877.4-410.9

    - -1026.3-1062.2-1056.5-386

    48708.449735.649707.627362.5

    2002200320042005

    631637649403666474360292

    641637661941678592363404

    1.5831878121.93069634731.81822546720.8637438522

    .-. . .

    2002231187205401780047833548708

    2003238895213196802517986249735

    2004243327222727823758045549707

    2005129551119203445804270727362

    200020012002200320042005

    . 007513.17299.27814.43380

    . .6540.671148194.97228.887755265

    ..7244.97508.77034.87361.57300.34025.5

    . 7001.2036383.03360375880.55627.83129.7

    . 98001006195228454.78815.54384.7

    20042005

    477.4498.8

    411.3411.2

    557.2430.7

    804.2694.7

    1081.41190.2

    1154.91308.3

    20042005

    580643

    533682

    455586

    412461

    374332

    354311

    9605259472139760

    10306263569148618

    10102760352142960

    510573589576412

    ..

    1497115171.715048.99730.9

    12109.312666.39321.12998.6

    19527.723289.624527.315027.8

    18920.72193518225.49588.2

    280272877029242.915602.4

    4065.839814218.61876.8

    24844.725428.42427912905

    95959918.710131.45231.7

    7513.17299.27814.43380

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    ..

    2002 - 2005

    12540.312499.913016.37878.9

    1331.71328.72267.81139.6

    903.2907.81805.41006.2

    10288.710533.711289.46607.6

    5916.85864.26225.73466.8

    8194.97228.887755265

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    ..

    2002 - 2005

    359.52460.3-501.4-1026.3-235.6

    1999.34342.9-803.9-1062.22610

    1288.13019.9-877.4-1056.5440.2

    740.62045.6-410.9-3861192.4

    -

    -

    -

    -

    ..

    - 2002 - 2005 (11.07.2005)

    6316376416371.583187812

    6494036619411.9306963473

    6664746785921.8182254672

    3602923634040.8637438522

    &A

    Page &P

    ..

    ,%

    2002-2005 (11.07.2005)

    231187205401780047833548708

    238895213196802517986249735

    243327222727823758045549707

    129551119203445804270727362

    -

    .

    ..

    ,%

    2002-2005 (11.07.2005)

    007513.17299.27814.43380

    6540.671148194.97228.887755265

    7244.97508.77034.87361.57300.34025.5

    7001.2036383.03360375880.55627.83129.7

    98001006195228454.78815.54384.7

    &A

    Page &P

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    ..

    / - 2002 - 2005 (11.07.2005)

    477.4498.8

    411.3411.2

    557.2430.7

    804.2694.7

    1081.41190.2

    1154.91308.3

    2004

    2005

    ..

    I II - 2004 - 2005 .

    580643

    533682

    455586

    412461

    374332

    354311

    2004

    2005

    ..

    I II - 2004 - 2005 .

  • (100 % ) ( 2006)

    (01.11.2005)

    CC (30%) (65 %) (5%) (65 %) / (5%) (0-10%) (5%) (30%) 1

  • -5 : 650 ./EV/ , $/kW2005 EBITDA/ , $/kW : 57 ./

    : _____________________________________________________

  • -5(S-C*)(1-T) + Depr (CAPEX + WC)(1+ WACC)t t=n (EV)*** = t=1-

    $ 3,2 - -

    -

  • -5 1 . 1 (Fairness opinion Alfa Bank, Merrill Lynch)/ , -5

  • -5mn $ -5 (Fairness opinion Alfa Bank, Merrill Lynch) _____________________________________________________

    1

    9311514.3177518774

    10571651.3985838722

    12601814.5080499819

    13852014.9961479901

    14902269.2058628294

    16082565.0401421231

    17102871.5365186679

    17813175.8398324814

    1

    2

    3

    2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    - Ebit

    EBIT

    .

    . $-38308-2914742950652136166380176110479131642146606128736129717122440137010157852162377225269

    WACC %15.75%14.98%14.37%13.87%13.47%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%

    comulative WACC %115.75%133.09%152.21%173.33%196.67%222.48%251.67%284.68%322.04%364.29%412.08%466.15%527.30%596.49%674.75%763.27%

    %107.88%107.49%107.19%106.94%106.74%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%

    %107.88%124.42%142.65%162.77%185.00%209.58%237.07%268.18%303.36%343.16%388.18%439.11%496.72%561.90%635.62%719.01%

    . CF $-35511-234263010840064333313825646602490884832737515334162788327583280932554631331232852

    CF671059

    KGR NGR $260036

    Value of Firm

    Value of Firm by year $671058.717547877762213908259998403107399811590111232797128406113208881347583139564914490421516716157869916279721679185

    13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%2.87%2.02%3.57%3.83%4.67%4.09%3.12%3.15%

    Value of Firm by year inc. KGR NGR9310951057571.140014371260211.217802081385286.194539111490173.315754031608129.218054991710508.096369841781636.976639071832734.271035631869772.957502281936465.772045892010547.544852782104445.694914822190447.384914662258814.189670912329872.27476984

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    $9310951057571126021113852861490173160812917105081781637

    %13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%

    -5$13065161483988176833319438392091017225653324001922500000

    WACC%16%

    116%134.56%156.09%181.06%210.03%243.64%282.62%327.84%380.30%441.14%511.73%593.60%688.58%798.75%926.55%1074.80%1246.77%

    DCF$mn91755838324355951081201059281726253334

    Terminal value (Gordon)$mn334

    Value of Firm by year $$mn15141651181520152269256528723176337435013532355935793591359235933593

    NPV$mn1514

    174$/kW

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    9311057126013851490160817101781

    15141651181520152269256528723176

    3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    $

    $

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    3

    14

    40

    EBITDA/Capacity

    EBITDA/Capacity $/kW

    1

    2

    3

    2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    - Ebit

    EBIT

    .

    . $-38308-2914742950652136166380176110479131642146606128736129717122440137010157852162377225269

    WACC %15.75%14.98%14.37%13.87%13.47%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%

    comulative WACC %115.75%133.09%152.21%173.33%196.67%222.48%251.67%284.68%322.04%364.29%412.08%466.15%527.30%596.49%674.75%763.27%

    %107.88%107.49%107.19%106.94%106.74%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%

    %107.88%124.42%142.65%162.77%185.00%209.58%237.07%268.18%303.36%343.16%388.18%439.11%496.72%561.90%635.62%719.01%

    . CF $-35511-234263010840064333313825646602490884832737515334162788327583280932554631331232852

    CF671059

    KGR NGR $260036

    Value of Firm

    Value of Firm by year $671058.717547877762213908259998403107399811590111232797128406113208881347583139564914490421516716157869916279721679185

    13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%2.87%2.02%3.57%3.83%4.67%4.09%3.12%3.15%

    Value of Firm by year inc. KGR NGR9310951057571.140014371260211.217802081385286.194539111490173.315754031608129.218054991710508.096369841781636.976639071832734.271035631869772.957502281936465.772045892010547.544852782104445.694914822190447.384914662258814.189670912329872.27476984

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    $9310951057571126021113852861490173160812917105081781637

    %13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%

    -5$13065161483988176833319438392091017225653324001922500000

    WACC%16%

    116%134.56%156.09%181.06%210.03%243.64%282.62%327.84%380.30%441.14%511.73%593.60%688.58%798.75%926.55%1074.80%1246.77%

    DCF$mn91755838324355951081201059281726253334

    Terminal value (Gordon)$mn334

    Value of Firm by year $$mn15141651181520152269256528723176337435013532355935793591359235933593

    NPV$mn1514

    174$/kW

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    9311057126013851490160817101781

    15141651181520152269256528723176

    20052012

    EBITDA/Capacity1440

    3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    $

    $

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    0

    0

    EBITDA/Capacity

    4

    0.16

    0.132

    WACC

    13,2%

    1

    2

    3

    2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    - Ebit

    EBIT

    .

    . $-38308-2914742950652136166380176110479131642146606128736129717122440137010157852162377225269

    WACC %15.75%14.98%14.37%13.87%13.47%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%

    comulative WACC %115.75%133.09%152.21%173.33%196.67%222.48%251.67%284.68%322.04%364.29%412.08%466.15%527.30%596.49%674.75%763.27%

    %107.88%107.49%107.19%106.94%106.74%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%

    %107.88%124.42%142.65%162.77%185.00%209.58%237.07%268.18%303.36%343.16%388.18%439.11%496.72%561.90%635.62%719.01%

    . CF $-35511-234263010840064333313825646602490884832737515334162788327583280932554631331232852

    CF671059

    KGR NGR $260036

    Value of Firm

    Value of Firm by year $671058.717547877762213908259998403107399811590111232797128406113208881347583139564914490421516716157869916279721679185

    13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%2.87%2.02%3.57%3.83%4.67%4.09%3.12%3.15%

    Value of Firm by year inc. KGR NGR9310951057571.140014371260211.217802081385286.194539111490173.315754031608129.218054991710508.096369841781636.976639071832734.271035631869772.957502281936465.772045892010547.544852782104445.694914822190447.384914662258814.189670912329872.27476984

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    $9310951057571126021113852861490173160812917105081781637

    %13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%

    -5$13065161483988176833319438392091017225653324001922500000

    WACC%16%

    116%134.56%156.09%181.06%210.03%243.64%282.62%327.84%380.30%441.14%511.73%593.60%688.58%798.75%926.55%1074.80%1246.77%

    DCF$mn91755838324355951081201059281726253334

    Terminal value (Gordon)$mn334

    Value of Firm by year $$mn15141651181520152269256528723176337435013532355935793591359235933593

    NPV$mn1514

    174$/kW

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    9311057126013851490160817101781

    15141651181520152269256528723176

    2005201220052012

    EBITDA/Capacity1440WACC16%13.20%

    3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    $

    $

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    0

    0

    EBITDA/Capacity

    0

    0

    WACC

    5

    0.0638297872

    0.9230769231

    D/E

    /

    1

    2

    3

    2005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

    - Ebit

    EBIT

    .

    . $-38308-2914742950652136166380176110479131642146606128736129717122440137010157852162377225269

    WACC %15.75%14.98%14.37%13.87%13.47%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%13.12%

    comulative WACC %115.75%133.09%152.21%173.33%196.67%222.48%251.67%284.68%322.04%364.29%412.08%466.15%527.30%596.49%674.75%763.27%

    %107.88%107.49%107.19%106.94%106.74%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%106.56%

    %107.88%124.42%142.65%162.77%185.00%209.58%237.07%268.18%303.36%343.16%388.18%439.11%496.72%561.90%635.62%719.01%

    . CF $-35511-234263010840064333313825646602490884832737515334162788327583280932554631331232852

    CF671059

    KGR NGR $260036

    Value of Firm

    Value of Firm by year $671058.717547877762213908259998403107399811590111232797128406113208881347583139564914490421516716157869916279721679185

    13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%2.87%2.02%3.57%3.83%4.67%4.09%3.12%3.15%

    Value of Firm by year inc. KGR NGR9310951057571.140014371260211.217802081385286.194539111490173.315754031608129.218054991710508.096369841781636.976639071832734.271035631869772.957502281936465.772045892010547.544852782104445.694914822190447.384914662258814.189670912329872.27476984

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    $9310951057571126021113852861490173160812917105081781637

    %13.58%19.16%9.92%7.57%7.92%6.37%4.16%

    -5$13065161483988176833319438392091017225653324001922500000

    WACC%16%

    116%134.56%156.09%181.06%210.03%243.64%282.62%327.84%380.30%441.14%511.73%593.60%688.58%798.75%926.55%1074.80%1246.77%

    DCF$mn91755838324355951081201059281726253334

    Terminal value (Gordon)$mn334

    Value of Firm by year $$mn15141651181520152269256528723176337435013532355935793591359235933593

    NPV$mn1514

    174$/kW

    20052006200720082009201020112012

    9311057126013851490160817101781

    15141651181520152269256528723176

    2005201220052012

    EBITDA/Capacity1440WACC16%13.20%

    20052012

    D/E0.060.92

    3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    $

    $

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    0

    0

    EBITDA/Capacity

    0

    0

    WACC

    0

    0

    D/E

  • ____________________Source::OGK-5

    Chart

    48.410199

    43.29074

    28.66021

    24.15070

    23.34909

    32.26760

    367571

    41.48695

    36.37647

    37.57891

    38.18013

    30.56416

    306318

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    199248.410,199

    199343.29,074

    199428.66,021

    199524.15,070

    199623.34,909

    199732.26,760

    199836.07,571

    199941.48,695

    200036.37,647

    200137.57,891

    200238.18,013

    200330.56,416

    200430.06,318

    Chart

    753920012001323517

    768420022002320004

    6131.46820032003293835

    6042.20420042004268955

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    20017,539323,517

    20027,684320,004

    20036,131293,835

    20046,042268,955

    ()

    1

    300

    1965

    2

    300

    1965

    3

    300

    1965

    4

    300

    1966

    5

    300

    1967

    6

    300

    1968

    7

    300

    1968

    8

    300

    1969

  • 2 400 1965 : ( ) / (%) () // () ()/

    ____________________Source::OGK-5

    Chart

    48.410199

    43.29074

    28.66021

    24.15070

    23.34909

    32.26760

    367571

    41.48695

    36.37647

    37.57891

    38.18013

    30.56416

    306318

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    199248.410,199

    199343.29,074

    199428.66,021

    199524.15,070

    199623.34,909

    199732.26,760

    199836.07,571

    199941.48,695

    200036.37,647

    200137.57,891

    200238.18,013

    200330.56,416

    200430.06,318

    Chart

    753920012001323517

    768420022002320004

    6131.46820032003293835

    6042.20420042004268955

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    20017,539323,517

    20027,684320,004

    20036,131293,835

    20046,042268,955

  • --____________________Source::OGK-5

    /

    ()

    1

    25

    1960

    2

    25

    1960

    3

    60

    1961

    6

    150

    - 1964

    7

    150

    - 1964

    8

    150

    9

    150

    1966

    10

    150

    1967

    4

    50

    1968

    11

    160

    1970

    170

    1972

    5

    100

    1973

    5

    30

    2000

    3

    80

    2005

    Chart

    48.410199

    43.29074

    28.66021

    24.15070

    23.34909

    32.26760

    367571

    41.48695

    36.37647

    37.57891

    38.18013

    30.56416

    306318

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    199248.410,199

    199343.29,074

    199428.66,021

    199524.15,070

    199623.34,909

    199732.26,760

    199836.07,571

    199941.48,695

    200036.37,647

    200137.57,891

    200238.18,013

    200330.56,416

    200430.06,318

    Chart

    753920012001323517

    768420022002320004

    6131.46820032003293835

    6042.20420042004268955

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    20017,539323,517

    20027,684320,004

    20036,131293,835

    20046,042268,955

  • / (%) () // () ()/ ____________________Source::OGK-5 1 290 (1 210 2005 .) 1960 . : ( )

    Chart

    43.384533.8

    39.544171.8

    56.515872.8

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    200243.44,534

    200339.54,172

    200456.55,873

    Chart

    3230200020004461

    3212200120014395

    4220200220024383.29

    3855200320034359.906

    5450.8200420044462.8

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    20003,2304,461

    20013,2124,395

    20024,2204,383

    20033,8554,360

    20045,4514,463

  • ____________________Source::OGK-5

    ()

    1

    50

    1936

    2

    50

    1937

    5

    30

    1976

    6

    100

    1965

    7

    100

    1966

    8

    60

    1967

    9

    300

    1969

    10

    300

    1969

    11

    300

    1970

    Chart

    48.410199

    43.29074

    28.66021

    24.15070

    23.34909

    32.26760

    367571

    41.48695

    36.37647

    37.57891

    38.18013

    30.56416

    306318

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    199248.410,199

    199343.29,074

    199428.66,021

    199524.15,070

    199623.34,909

    199732.26,760

    199836.07,571

    199941.48,695

    200036.37,647

    200137.57,891

    200238.18,013

    200330.56,416

    200430.06,318

    Chart

    753920012001323517

    768420022002320004

    6131.46820032003293835

    6042.20420042004268955

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    20017,539323,517

    20027,684320,004

    20036,131293,835

    20046,042268,955

  • , . 1 182 (1 205 2005 .) 1936 . : ( ) / (%) () // () ()/ ____________________Source::OGK-5

    Chart

    43.384533.8

    39.544171.8

    56.515872.8

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    200243.44,534

    200339.54,172

    200456.55,873

    Chart

    3230200020004461

    3212200120014395

    4220200220024383.29

    3855200320034359.906

    5450.8200420044462.8

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    20003,2304,461

    20013,2124,395

    20024,2204,383

    20033,8554,360

    20045,4514,463

  • ____________________Source::OGK-5

    /

    1

    300

    1970

    2

    300

    1971

    3

    300

    1971

    4

    300

    1972

    5

    300

    1974

    6

    300

    1975

    7

    500

    1977

    8

    500

    1978

    9

    500

    1978

    10

    500

    1980

    Chart

    48.410199

    43.29074

    28.66021

    24.15070

    23.34909

    32.26760

    367571

    41.48695

    36.37647

    37.57891

    38.18013

    30.56416

    306318

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    199248.410,199

    199343.29,074

    199428.66,021

    199524.15,070

    199623.34,909

    199732.26,760

    199836.07,571

    199941.48,695

    200036.37,647

    200137.57,891

    200238.18,013

    200330.56,416

    200430.06,318

    Chart

    753920012001323517

    768420022002320004

    6131.46820032003293835

    6042.20420042004268955

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    20017,539323,517

    20027,684320,004

    20036,131293,835

    20046,042268,955

  • 3 800 1970 . : () / (%) () // () ()/ ____________________Source::OGK-5

    Chart

    4715617.8

    6421284

    6120250.8

    5117011

    5819147.2

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    Load Factor

    Electricity Output

    Data

    Load FactorElectricity Output

    199947.015,618

    200064.021,284

    200161.020,251

    200251.017,011

    200358.019,147

    Chart

    14882.519991999535

    20332.820002000506.9

    19337.420012001506.8

    16200.720022002513.7

    18248.720032003468.9

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    Electricity

    Heat

    Data

    ElectricityHeat

    199914,883535

    200020,333507

    200119,337507

    200216,201514

    200318,249469