44
1 رات ها م ل ا ة ي م ن ت ن ي س د ن ه م ل ل ة ي صاد ت قلا اNew Vision of Engineering Economy Teaching

تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

  • Upload
    wells

  • View
    67

  • Download
    5

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

New Vision of Engineering Economy Teaching. تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين. Engineering Economy Module 1: Lectures 1-8. Dr. Mohamed F. El-Refaie (Sunday and Tuesday, L3,L4,L5 and L6) Dr. Sayed Kaseb (Saturday and Wednesday, L1,L2,L7 and L8). Module 1 Teaching Team. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

1

المهارات تنميةاالقتصادية للمهندسين

New Vision of

Engineering Economy

Teaching

Page 2: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

2

Engineering Engineering Economy Economy Module 1: Module 1:

Lectures 1-8Lectures 1-8 Dr. Mohamed F. El-RefaieDr. Mohamed F. El-Refaie

(Sunday and Tuesday, L3,L4,L5 and (Sunday and Tuesday, L3,L4,L5 and L6)L6)

Dr. Sayed KasebDr. Sayed Kaseb (Saturday and Wednesday, L1,L2,L7 (Saturday and Wednesday, L1,L2,L7

and L8)and L8)

Module 1 T

eaching T

eam

Page 3: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

3

Module 1 - Lecture 7Module 1 - Lecture 7

Equivalent Uniform Annual

Cost (EUAC)Dr. Sayed KasebDr. Sayed Kaseb

Associate Professor, MPED, FECUAssociate Professor, MPED, FECU

Manger of Pathways to Higher Manger of Pathways to Higher EducationEducation

Grant Coordinator of VISION Grant Coordinator of VISION ProjectProject

Page 4: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

4

Module 1 - Lecture 7 Overview

7.1 Review7.2 Annual cash flow7.3 Alternative selection using EUAC7.4 EUAC for infinite period

Page 5: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

5

Standard factor notationsP, A, F, i, n

Factor name Standard notation

Single-payment present worth (SPPWF)

Single-payment compound amount (SPCAF)

Uniform series present worth (USPWF)

Capital recovery (CRF)

Sinking fund (SFF)

Uniform series compound amount (USCAF)

/ , %,P F i n

/ , %,F P i n

/ , %,P A i n

/ , %,A P i n

/ , %,A F i n

/ , %,F A i n

Page 6: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

6

SINGLE-PAYMENT COMPOUND AMOUNT FACTOR (SPCAF)

1 2 3 4 n-1n-20

P= given

F= ??

(SPCAF)

n

1n

F P i

/ / , , 1n

F P F P i n i

Page 7: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

7

1 2 3 4 n-1n-20

P= ??

F= given

(SPPWF)

n

SINGLE-PAYMENT PRESENT WORTH FACTOR (SPPWF)

/ 1n

P F i

1/ / , ,

1nP F P F i n

i

Page 8: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

8

1 2 3 4 n-1n-20

F= ??(USCAF)

n

A =given

UNIFORM-SERIES COMPOUND-AMOUNT FACTOR (USCAF)

/ , ,F A i n 1 1

*( )n

iF A

i

Page 9: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

9

11

ni

iFA

, ,1 1

n

A iA i nFF i

1 2 3 4 n-1n-20

A = ??

(SFF)

n

F = given

SINKING FUND FACTOR (SFF)

Page 10: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

10

Uniform-series present-worth factor (USPWF)

-1- 1P P= , i, n =AA

ni

i

Page 11: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

11

Capital-recovery factor (CRF)

1, ,

1 -1

n

n

i iA A i nPP i

Page 12: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

12

Summary of Compound Interest Factors

Name Abbreviation

Notation Formula

Single-payment present worth factor

SPPWF

Single-payment compound-amount factor

SPCAF

Uniform-series compound-amount factor

USCAF

Sinking fund factor SFF

Uniform-series present-worth factor

USPWF

Capital recovery factor CRF

/ , ,P F i n 1n

i

/ , ,F P i n 1n

i

/ , ,F A i n 1 1n

i

i

/ , ,A F i n 1 1

n

i

i

/ , ,P A i n 1 1n

i

i

/ , ,A P i n 1 1n

i

i

Page 13: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

13

ARITHEMETIC PROGRESSION SERIES

Page 14: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

14

10 2 3 4 5 n-1 n

A’

10 2 3 4 5 n-1 n

G2G 3G

(n-1)G(n-2)G

Page 15: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

15

1 1 1 11'

n ni i

A G ni i i

F

1 1 1 11P '

1 1

n n

n n

i iA G n

ii i i i

Page 16: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

16

GEOMETRIC PROGRESSION SERIES

10 2 3 4

E=10 %

A’

10 2 3 4

E= -10 %

A’1000

1100

1210

1331 1000

900

810

729

Page 17: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

17

Compound amount of a geometric progression

10 2 3 4

E%

A’

n

F

1' 1

nF A n E for E i

1 1'

n nE i

F AE i

Page 18: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

18

Present worth of a geometric progression

10 2 3 4

E%

A’

n

P

The present worth can be found from

ni

FniFPFP

1

1,,/

for

1 11'

1

n n

n

E i

E iP A

E ii

for

1'

1

E i

P A nE

Page 19: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

19

Uniform series equivalent to a geometric progression

10 2 3 4

E%

A’

n

A A A A A

The equivalent uniform series can be obtained as

A / , ,1 1

n

iF A F i n F

i

for

1 1A = A '

1 1

n n

n

E i

E ii

E ii

1

for

1A = A '

1 1

n

n

E i

E En

E

Page 20: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

20

The annual cash flow analysis criteria is based on converting all the

cost of a project or an equipment over its entire life to an Equivalent

Uniform Annual Cost (EUAC) using the compound factors

7.2 ANNUAL CASH FLOW

P

A

F

EUAC = A’

≡Project X

Project X

Page 21: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

21

If a person purchased a new car for 6000 m.u. and sold it 7

years later for 2000 m.u., what is the equivalent uniform

annual cost if he spent 750 m.u., per year for upkeep and

operation? Use an interest rate of 15 % per year.

Example 7.1

Solution:

EUAC = 750 + 6000 (A/P, 15%, 3) – 2000 (A/F, 15%, 3)

= 750 + 6000 (0.015 (1.15)3 / (1.153 – 1)) – 2000 (0.15 / (1.153 – 1))

= m.u. 2801.92 per year.

Page 22: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

22

7.3 Alternative selection

using EUAC

1. Disbursements (irregular and uniform) must be converted to

an equivalent uniform annual cost

2. EUAC are calculated for each alternative for one life cycle.

NB: EUAC for one cycle of an alternative represents the equivalent uniform annual cost of that alternative forever.

Page 23: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

23

New plant design Upgrade old plant

Alternative 1

Description

Cash flows over some time period

Analysis using an engineering

economy modelEvaluated

alternative 1

Noneconomic issues-environmental considerations

Alternative2

Description

Cash flows over some time period

Analysis using an engineering

economy modelEvaluated

alternative2

•Income, cost estimations•Financing strategies•Tax laws

•Planning horizon•Interest•Measure of worth

•Calculated value of measure of worth

I select alternative 2

Rate of return (Alt 2) >Rate of return (Alt 1)

Alternatives

Methods of Economic Selection

Page 24: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

24

Compare the following machines on the basis of their equivalent

uniform annual cost. Use an interest rate of 18% per year.

Comparison pointNew Machine Used Machine

Capital cost 44000 m.u. 23000 m.u.

Annual operating cost

7000 m.u. 9000 m.u.

Annual repair cost210 m.u. 350 m.u.

Overhauling 2500 m.u. every 5 years 1900 m.u. every 2 years

Salvage value 4000 m.u. after 15 years 3000 m.u. after 8 years

Example 7.2

Cash flows of the two machines.

Page 25: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

25

EUACnew = 7,210 + (44000 – 2500) (A/P, 18%, 15) + 2500 (A/P, 18%, 5) – 4000 (A/F, 18%, 15)

= 7210 + 41500 (0.18 (1.1815) / (1.1815 – 1)) + 2500 (0.18 (1.185) / (1.185 – 1))

– 4000 (0.18/ (1.1815-1))

EUACnew = 16094.55 m.u. per year.

Page 26: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

26

EUACused = 9350 + (23000 – 1900) (A/P, 18%, 8) + 1900 (A/P, 18%, 2) – 3000 (A/F, 18%, 8)

= 21100 (0.18 (1.18)8 / (1.188 – 1)) + 9350 + 1900 (0.18 (1.18)2 / (1.182 – 1))

– 3000 (0.18 / (1.188 – 1))

= 15542.4 m.u. per year.

Page 27: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

27

Since we have found that: EUACused <EUACnew

Then it would be more economical to purchase the used

machine instead of the new one.

Providing that both have same productivity and quality.

NB: The overhauling cost is not taken into consideration at the end of the equipment life.

Page 28: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

28

Spreadsheet Solution for example 7.2

Page 29: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

29

New machine Used machineFirst cost 44000 23000 m.u

Annual operating cost

7000 9000 m.u./yr

Annual repair cost 210 350 m.u./yr

Overhaul every 2 years

1900 m.u.

Overhaul every 5 years

2500 m.u

Salvage value 4000 3000Interest rate 18% 18%

Life 15 8 yrsRequired

(EUAC)new (EUAC)old16,094.55 15,542.48

Select old machine

Example 7.2

Data

choose new or old?

Answer

Page 30: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

30

A moving and storage company is considering two possibilities for warehouse operations. Proposal 1 requires the purchase of a fork lift for m.u.5000 and 500 pallets that cost m.u.3 each. The average life of a pallet is assumed to be 2 years, lf the fork lift is purchased, the company must hire an operator for m.u.9000 annually and spend m.u.600 per year in maintenance and operation, the life of the fork lift is expected to be 12 years, with m.u.700 salvage value. Alternatively, proposal 2 requires that the company hire two people to operate power-driven hand trucks at a cost of m.u.7500 per person. One hand truck will be required at a cost of m.u.900 and the hand truck will have a life of years with no salvage value. If the interest rate is l2% per year, which alternative should be selected?

Example

7.3

Page 31: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

31

First proposal

EUAC1= 5000 (A/P, 12%, 12) + 2500 (A/P,12%,2) + 9600 – 700 (A/F,12%,12)

= 5000 (0.12 (1.12)12 / (1.1212 – 1)) + 2500 (0.12 (1.12)2 / (1.122 – 1))

+ 9600 – 700 (0.12/(1.1212-1))

EUAC1= m.u. 11857.423 per year.

Page 32: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

32

EUAC2 = 900 (A/P, 12%, 6) + 7500 × 2

= 900 (0.12 (1.12)6 / (1.126 – 1)) + 7500 × 2

= m.u. 15218.903 per year.

Second Proposal

Select proposal 1 because EUAC1<EUAC2

Page 33: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

33

The warehouse for a large furniture manufacturing company currently requires too much energy for heating and cooling because of poor insulation. The company is trying to decide between foam and fiber-glass insulation. The initial cost of the foam insulation will be m.u.35000 with no salvage value. The foam will have to be painted every 3 years as a cost of m.u.2500 the energy saving is expected to be m.u.6000 per year. Alternatively, fiber-glass can be installed for m.u.12000 the fiber-glass would not be salvageable either, but there would be no maintenance costs. If the fiber-glass would save m.u.2500 per year in energy costs, which method of insulation should be company use at an interest rate of 15% per year? Use a 24-year study period.

Example 7.4

Page 34: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

34

Foam:

EUACfoam= (35000-2500) (A/P, 15%,24)+2500(A/P,15%,3)-6000

=32500(0.15(1.15)24/ (1.1524-1)) +2500(0.15(1.15)3/(1.153-1))-

6000

= m.u.146.412 per year (costs)

Fiber-glass:

EUACf =12000(A/P,15%,24)-2500

=12000(0.15(1.15)24/(1.1524-1))-2500

= - m.u.634.84 per year (saving)

Then the company should use fiber glass for insulation as this

insulation method would result in savings for the company.

Solution:

Page 35: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

35

The following costs are proposed for two equal-service tomato-peeling machines in a food canning plant:

Item Machine A Machine B

First cost, m.u. 26,000 36,000

Annual maintenance cost, m.u. 800 300

Annual labour cost, m.u. 11,000 7,000

Extra income taxes, m.u./year 2,600

Salvage value, m.u. 2,000 3,000

Life, years 6 10

If the minimum required rate of return is 15%, which machine should be selected?

Example 7.5

Table 7.2: Cash out flows for the two machines in example 7.5

Page 36: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

36

AEUAC , 15%,6 11,800 , 15%, 6A AP SVP F

126,000 11,800 2,000

1 1 1 1

n

n n

i i i

i i

6

6 6

0.15 1.15 0.1526000 +11800-2000

1.15 -1 1.15 -1

AEUAC m.u.18442/year

Solution:

Page 37: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

37

B 10

0.15EUAC =P A/P 15%, 10 +9900-3000

1.15 -1

BEUAC =16925 m.u./year

1 2 3 40

m.u.36000

5

i= 15 %

6 7years

8

A = m.u.9900/year

9 10

S.V.=m.u.3000

Machine B

BEUAC machine BAEUAC Select

Page 38: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

38

Shown in Table 7.3 the information of two plans cash flows, using the annual cash flow analysis Compare between the two plans at i=15%.

Plan A Plan B

Machine 1 Machine 2

First cost, m.u. 90000 28000 175000

Annual operating cost, m.u./year

6000 300 2500

Salvage value, m.u. 10000 2000 10000

Life, years 8 12 24

Example 7.6

Table 7.3: the Cash flows for the two plans in example 7.6

Page 39: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

39

A 1 2EUAC =EUAC +EUAC

1 1

8

1 8 8

1

A AEUAC = P , 15%, 8 + 6000 - 10000 , 15%, 8P F

0.15 1.15 0.15EUAC = 90000 +6000-10000

1.15 -1 1.15 -1

EUAC = m.u. 25328 /year

Solution

Plan A:

2 2

12

2 12 12

2

A AEUAC = P , 15%, 12 +300-2000 , 15%, 12P F

0.15 1.15 0.15EUAC = 28000 300 - 200

1.15 -1 1.15 -1

EUAC = m.u. 5397 /year

AEUAC 25,328 5,397 . . 30725 / yearmu

Page 40: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

40

B

24

B 24 24

B

EUAC =P A/P, 15%, 24 +2500-10000 A/F, 15%, 24

0.15 1.15 0.15EUAC 175000 2500 -10000

1.15 -1 1.15 -1

EUAC m.u. 29646 / year

B ASelect plan B, since EUAC <EUAC

Plan B:

Page 41: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

41

7.4 EUAC FOR INFINITE PERIOD

But for an alternative with an infinite life in a problem with

an infinite analysis period:

EUAC for infinite analysis period = P(A/P, i,∞) + any other annual costs

When n = ∞, we have A = P × i and, hence, (A/P , i, ∞) equals i.

EUAC for infinite analysis period = P × i + any other annual costs

EUAC are calculated for any alternative for one life cycle, however, EUAC for one cycle of an alternative represents the equivalent uniform annual cost of that alternative forever.

EUAC for infinite analysis period = EUAC for limited life n

Page 42: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

42

Example 7.7

In the construction of the conduit to expand the water supply of a city, there are two alternatives for a particular portion of the conduit. Either a tunnel can be constructed through a mountain, or a pipeline can be laid to go around the mountain. If there is a permanent need for the conduit, should the tunnel or the pipeline be selected for this particular portion of the conduit? Assume a 6% interest rate.

Tunnel through mountain Pipeline around mountain

Initial cost m.u.5.5 million m.u.5 million

Maintenance 0 0

Useful life Permanent 50 years

Salvage value 0 0

Page 43: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

43

Tunnel:For the tunnel, with its permanent life, we want (A/P,6%,oo). For an infinite life, the capital recovery is simply interest on the invested capital. So (A/P ,6%,oo) = i EUAC = P × i = m.u. 5.5 million × (0.06) = m.u. 330000

Pipeline:

EUAC = m.u. 5 million (A/P, 6%, 50)

= m.u. 5 million (0.0634) = m.u. 317000

For fixed output, minimize EUAC. Select the pipeline

Solution

Page 44: تنمية المهارات الاقتصادية للمهندسين

44

The difference in annual cost between a long life and an infinite

life is small unless an unusually low interest rate is used. In

example 7.7 the tunnel is assumed to be permanent. For

comparison, compute the annual cost if an 85-year life is assumed

for the tunnel?

EUAC = m.u. 5.5 million (A/P,6%,85)

= m.u. 5.5 million (0.0604) = m.u. 332,000

The difference in time between 85 years and infinity is great

indeed, yet the difference in annual costs is very small.