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經濟部工業局委辦計畫. 我國石化工業政策環境影響評估 第一次範疇界定會議. 財團法人台灣綜合研究院. 中華民國 97 年 8 月 27 日. 簡報內容. 壹、國際石化工業發展概況 …………………………2 貳、 石化工業政策環境 影響評估 範圍與方案規劃 ..18 參、 石化工業政策環境 影響評估 方法與項目 ……. 26. 壹、國際石化工業發展概況. 石化工業發展強弱的衡量指標. 乙烯 (Ethylene) 為石化產業鏈之最上游,其 所衍伸之原料種類繁多,因此國際間常將乙烯產能視為衡量一個國家石化產業發展強弱的代表性指標。. 全球石化工業發展趨勢. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
97 8 27
2 ..18 . 26
(Ethylene)
20062007245.1199920063.3 200620124.7
() Platts 2008~2009
Honam PC
Korea
400
BASF
Beligum
280
NPC~Nam
Iran
1,320
PTT
Thailand
100
YanSab
Saudia Arabia
1,300
Haldia
India
150
Lotte Daesan
Korea
350
Ineos
Germany
100
Sinope Yanzi Pc
China
100
Tasnee
Saudia Arabia
1,300
Sharq
Saudia Arabia
2008
6,700
Sinopec Fujina
China
800
Dow Equate
Kuwait
850
Q-Chem
Qutar
1,300
Petrochina Dushanzi PC
China
100
Sumitomo/Saudi Aramco
Saudia Arabia
1,300
Petrochina-Fushun PC
China
800
SinopecZhenhai refining
China
1,000
Inovene
Saudia Arabia
1,200
2009
8,250
IEK(2007/10)125,139.5 116,172.3
CMAI
ASEAN
2006
2012
119.9
158.4
35.0
54.0
6.0
7.3
2.9
4.4
9.5
19.2
6.4
10.6
2.5
4.8
7.7
7.7
24.4
25.0
39.9
42.3
11.7
26.7
06-12
38.4
19.0
1.3
1.6
9.7
4.2
2.3
0.0
0.6
2.4
15.0
06-12
4.7
7.5
3.3
7.6
12.5
8.7
11.1
0.1
0.4
1.0
14.7
200025,298200634,471201245,000 CMAI
200633,341201234,021200611,729201226,724 ()
CMAI ()
CMAI
CMAI
20081 CMAI ()
2008
GDP
2007
2.3%
Chart1
1951044.44385717
449133
399538
43285
192010
172760
1168104
3871015
47%
1986894577
19871047427.39012285
19881123631.67083204
19891111820.06462525
19901096443.31266523
199149686441219269.242464044987614666863207556618332196217093373288113515506596285616994611472855218172041706097406698299399169278023766690525736784652452129559
199250151761199378.177435175217164900073170951044630475514503960652104322434846083817378811271461074193834730244421328308916175524924727092324740471055076124946
199352454441209870.129346745430475125913045646758628006313007857445980283952258506168734107180615542190857930074782813147261914821261684105675442545450391120538
199456947211372068.330625095536845226873099749801432483511624156938909423482856114190036128323617132249608455344994983460362109522283486120362945082453960117623
199565219531642067.04441565933285637962953250681034957710627550958828603093251928218580154313642672175279733785890743843042505983308491154766947082356158122842
199666520541545118.685786556061675765922957550961035609010541048110811373017250965200773133885668882067109907835985903921932712528331977175305045225351912123336
199770633631614555.3720681851804448668431360525826374029104383474147995228107518452029871344606852720806611167757106994060762998500357684199246346962753746124980
199872536601555482.7524174749159346263828955523897362137113665480957709323292538011988051295016930421768511571577330824240753230754349160221258949852551689118791
199974557281620978.280958274854064589442646249171635214795768438017438519809545762035041384986500617786711284137113364170773475907368060249026645833052465106786
200084223211896515.435684024645254398122471347957735158086059419386915616783523732217631556236614019423212073267962094111174106056406157304819448114658584111975
200174411321832906.592888444558424294022644041653130969671002358335188314607372761836541242755937916716710150266583853566413491312341420260246639456950753102104
200280585851951044.443857174491334182143091939953829616665821375514328512963303221920101349635704717276011681047960363720683871015364761288905945531259197102686
20031-91642530
2002(1-9)1413903
199149686441219269.2424640449876156618311351516994617204170609716927805138592.24246404
199250151761199378.1774351752171651044610432217378819383473024417552495188977.17743517
199352454441209870.129346745430474675869802816873421908579300719148215414178.12934674
199456947211372068.330625095536844980149094219003622496084553421095225884760.33062509
199565219531642067.04441565933285068108286021858021752797337825059836740533.0444156
199666520541545118.685786556061675096108113720077320671099078327125286852826.68578655
199770633631614555.3720681851804452582679952202987208066111677529985007264705.37206818
199872536601555482.7524174749159352389777093198805217685115715732307547452466.75241747
199974557281620978.2809582748540649171674385203504177867112841334759077658176.28095827
200084223211896515.4356840246452547957769156221763194232120732641060568639150.43568402
200174411321832906.5928884445584241653151883183654167167101502634913127614321.59288844
200280585851951044.4438571744913339953843285192010172760116810438710158246889.44385717
200280585851951044.4438571744913339953843285192010172760116810438710158246889.44385717
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1986894,5770.045,229-23,769-99,6350.08,478-67,3290.083,0660.059,5180.018,8210.0143,1300.051,7110.02938910.0
19871,047,42717.09%142,866215.87%23,7690.00%95,444-4.21%6,906-18.54%72,6557.91%86,4114.03%67,09112.72%21,51414.31%150,1404.90%52,7562.02%32787311.56%
19881,123,6327.28%148,7514.12%23,477-1.23%112,05217.40%6,534-5.39%76,3785.12%109,39126.59%71,8677.12%25,17317.01%136,377-9.17%55,6585.50%3579739.18%
19891,111,820-1.05%161,5068.57%23,7801.29%98,278-12.29%6,495-0.60%84,29310.36%100,432-8.19%73,2341.90%26,6625.92%138,9711.90%54,319-2.41%343,850-3.95%
19901,096,443-1.38%161,374-0.08%27,14314.14%93,076-5.29%6,7554.00%79,112-6.15%104,8174.37%75,8263.54%28,9208.47%139,1710.14%58,7328.12%321,517-6.49%
19911,219,26911.20%169,9465.31%31,85217.35%100,1247.57%6,733-0.33%95,27420.43%124,44918.73%92,43921.91%30,5775.73%169,93422.10%61,9255.44%336,0154.51%49686440.245392755546668632075321962170933732885065962856114728552183584321230161699346192533601517204140669829939923766690525736784652452129559
19921,199,378-1.63%173,7982.27%32,9833.55%94,060-6.06%6,8341.50%93,278-2.10%133,1817.02%98,3076.35%32,9257.68%159,152-6.34%64,3273.88%310,533-7.58%50151760.239149768149000731709304755145039606524348460838112714610743603361312321591526432731053319383442132830891624727092324740471055076124946
19931,209,8700.87%168,734-2.91%33,3931.24%100,8707.24%6,672-2.37%82,631-11.41%146,86510.27%100,8142.55%33,4241.52%181,74914.20%59,574-7.39%295,144-4.96%52454440.2306516149512591304562800631300785744539522585061071806155437043113423818174959574295144219085478281314726261684105675442545450391120538
19941,372,06813.41%190,03612.62%36,74810.05%139,67838.47%6,8873.22%104,40626.35%205,61140.00%108,2947.42%34,9554.58%168,917-7.06%58,027-2.60%318,5087.92%56947210.2409368836522687309973248351162415693834828561141283236171349333014324916891758027318508224960499498346036283486120362945082453960117623
19951,642,06719.68%218,58015.02%40,55110.35%202,00544.62%7,64911.06%140,01134.10%293,93942.96%116,0167.13%36,5584.59%210,58024.66%63,7979.94%312,379-1.92%65219530.2517753569563796295323495771062755095830932519281543136426768415515257421058063797312379217527589074384304308491154766947082356158122842
19961,545,119-5.90%200,773-8.15%42,7205.35%167,173-17.24%7,7791.70%121,428-13.27%241,410-17.87%119,9843.42%39,7058.61%227,4348.00%62,541-1.97%314,1720.57%66520540.2322769307576592295753560901054104811030172509651338856688858051015968922743462541314172206710598590392193331977175305045225351912123336
19971,614,5554.49%202,9871.10%43,7482.41%172,1983.01%7,8701.17%125,9463.72%247,8782.68%126,1385.13%42,1856.25%255,02712.13%62,300-0.39%328,2784.49%70633630.2285816787486684313603740291043834741428107518451344606852759932216832325502762300328278208066710699406076357684199246346962753746124980
19981,555,483-3.66%198,805-2.06%43,7600.03%150,062-12.85%7,523-4.41%114,354-9.20%248,0850.08%124,893-0.99%44,0404.40%256,0750.41%62,199-0.16%305,687-6.88%72536600.2144410894462638289553621371136654809523292538011295016930456378416893325607562199305687217685733082424075349160221258949852551689118791
19991,620,9784.21%202,3801.80%43,9070.34%178,18518.74%7,086-5.81%106,158-7.17%251,6951.46%132,5926.16%46,2174.94%278,3458.70%61,538-1.06%312,8752.35%74557280.217413816745894426462352147957684380119809545761384986500658682217895027834561538312875177867711336417077368060249026645833052465106786
20001,896,51517.00%219,3858.40%49,71413.23%245,40737.73%6,688-5.62%120,50013.51%295,31117.33%148,32711.87%47,9323.71%396,40442.41%62,1531.00%304,693-2.62%84223210.225177292143981224713351580860594193816783523731556236614072035519636039640462153304414194232796209411117406157304819448114658584111975
20011,832,907-3.35%188,777-13.95%50,8952.38%270,86710.37%5,918-11.51%111,371-7.58%287,462-2.66%128,061-13.66%47,430-1.05%413,6624.35%57,550-7.41%270,914-11.09%74411320.246320935242940226440309696710023583314607372761242755937973353117721142118157550270246167167658385356641341420260246639456950753102104
20021,951,0446.45%192,1141.77%48,786-4.14%311,22114.90%5,643-4.65%117,2005.23%303,4805.57%139,9309.27%48,0801.37%431,1174.22%63,79210.85%289,6816.93%80585850.242107571541821430919296166658213755112963303221349635704779043218769843110463792289713172760796036372068364761288905945531259197102686
20031-91,642,530155,95240,506298,1634,36896,901250,790110,12738,889386,28250,479210,073
2002(1-9)1,413,903142254362192124494292859192250741035733511330619346583216234
152,772
19510583,889
11630
A+++
1986393,1600.099,6350.067,3290.083,0660.0143,1300.0
1987404,6502.92%95,444-4.21%72,6557.91%86,4114.03%150,1404.90%
1988434,1987.30%112,05217.40%76,3785.12%109,39126.59%136,377-9.17%
1989421,974-2.82%98,278-12.29%84,29310.36%100,432-8.19%138,9711.90%
1990416,176-1.37%93,076-5.29%79,112-6.15%104,8174.37%139,1710.14%
1991489,78217.69%100,1247.57%95,27420.43%124,44918.73%169,93422.10%
1992479,671-2.06%94,060-6.06%93,278-2.10%133,1817.02%159,152-6.34%
1993512,1156.76%100,8707.24%82,631-11.41%146,86510.27%181,74914.20%
1994618,61320.80%139,67838.47%104,40626.35%205,61140.00%168,917-7.06%
1995846,53636.84%202,00544.62%140,01134.10%293,93942.96%210,58024.66%
1996757,445-10.52%167,173-17.24%121,428-13.27%241,410-17.87%227,4348.00%
1997801,0495.76%172,1983.01%125,9463.72%247,8782.68%255,02712.13%
1998768,576-4.05%150,062-12.85%114,354-9.20%248,0850.08%256,0750.41%
1999814,3835.96%178,18518.74%106,158-7.17%251,6951.46%278,3458.70%
20001,057,62329.87%245,40737.73%120,50013.51%295,31117.33%396,40442.41%
20011,083,3622.43%270,86710.37%111,371-7.58%287,462-2.66%413,6624.35%
20021,163,0187.35%311,22114.90%117,2005.23%303,4805.57%431,1174.22%
20031-91,032,136298,16396,901250,790386,282
2002(1-9)829,63521244985919225074306193
++
2002195101163040793,8013320480.13800.119.5%15709
20082755815,1164191.98,250403919307.9
80483486112.94449.1
A++
1986250,0300.099,6350.067,3290.083,0660.0
1987254,5101.79%95,444-4.21%72,6557.91%86,4114.03%
1988297,82117.02%112,05217.40%76,3785.12%109,39126.59%
1989283,003-4.98%98,278-12.29%84,29310.36%100,432-8.19%
1990277,005-2.12%93,076-5.29%79,112-6.15%104,8174.37%
1991319,84715.47%100,1247.57%95,27420.43%124,44918.73%
1992320,5190.21%94,060-6.06%93,278-2.10%133,1817.02%
1993330,3663.07%100,8707.24%82,631-11.41%146,86510.27%
1994449,69636.12%139,67838.47%104,40626.35%205,61140.00%
1995635,95641.42%202,00544.62%140,01134.10%293,93942.96%
1996530,011-16.66%167,173-17.24%121,428-13.27%241,410-17.87%
1997546,0223.02%172,1983.01%125,9463.72%247,8782.68%
1998512,501-6.14%150,062-12.85%114,354-9.20%248,0850.08%
1999536,0384.59%178,18518.74%106,158-7.17%251,6951.46%
2000661,21923.35%245,40737.73%120,50013.51%295,31117.33%
2001669,7001.28%270,86710.37%111,371-7.58%287,462-2.66%
2002731,9019.29%311,22114.90%117,2005.23%303,4805.57%
20031-9645,854298,16396,901250,790
2002(1-9)523,44221244985919225074
2008927,764
B+++
1986377,8490.023,769-8,478-51,7110.02938910.0
1987411,3048.85%23,7690.00%6,906-18.54%52,7562.02%32787311.56%
1988443,6427.86%23,477-1.23%6,534-5.39%55,6585.50%3579739.18%
1989428,444-3.43%23,7801.29%6,495-0.60%54,319-2.41%343,850-3.95%
1990414,147-3.34%27,14314.14%6,7554.00%58,7328.12%321,517-6.49%
1991436,5255.40%31,85217.35%6,733-0.33%61,9255.44%336,0154.51%
1992414,677-5.01%32,9833.55%6,8341.50%64,3273.88%310,533-7.58%
1993394,783-4.80%33,3931.24%6,672-2.37%59,574-7.39%295,144-4.96%
1994420,1706.43%36,74810.05%6,8873.22%58,027-2.60%318,5087.92%
1995424,3761.00%40,55110.35%7,64911.06%63,7979.94%312,379-1.92%
1996427,2120.67%42,7205.35%7,7791.70%62,541-1.97%314,1720.57%
1997442,1963.51%43,7482.41%7,8701.17%62,300-0.39%328,2784.49%
1998419,169-5.21%43,7600.03%7,523-4.41%62,199-0.16%305,687-6.88%
1999425,4061.49%43,9070.34%7,086-5.81%61,538-1.06%312,8752.35%
2000423,248-0.51%49,71413.23%6,688-5.62%62,1531.00%304,693-2.62%
2001385,277-8.97%50,8952.38%5,918-11.51%57,550-7.41%270,914-11.09%
2002407,9025.87%48,786-4.14%5,643-4.65%63,79210.85%289,6816.93%
20031-9305,42640,5064,36850,479210,073
2002(1-9)303,32836219429246583216234
1986-20021.62%
2008449,190.95
41,288.93
C+
1986104,7470.045,229-59,5180.0
1987209,959100.44%142,866215.87%67,09112.72%
1988220,6185.08%148,7514.12%71,8677.12%
1989234,7406.40%161,5068.57%73,2341.90%
1990237,2001.05%161,374-0.08%75,8263.54%
1991262,38510.62%169,9465.31%92,43921.91%
1992272,1053.70%173,7982.27%98,3076.35%
1993269,548-0.94%168,734-2.91%100,8142.55%
1994298,33010.68%190,03612.62%108,2947.42%
1995334,59612.16%218,58015.02%116,0167.13%
1996320,757-4.14%200,773-8.15%119,9843.42%
1997329,1252.61%202,9871.10%126,1385.13%
1998323,698-1.65%198,805-2.06%124,893-0.99%
1999334,9723.48%202,3801.80%132,5926.16%
2000367,7129.77%219,3858.40%148,32711.87%
2001316,838-13.84%188,777-13.95%128,061-13.66%
2002332,0444.80%192,1141.77%139,9309.27%
20031-9266,07949.79%155,952110,127
2002(1-9)245,827142254103573
1987-20023.32
2008403,926.33
D
198618,8210.018,8210.0
198721,51414.31%21,51414.31%
198825,17317.01%25,17317.01%
198926,6625.91%26,6625.92%
199028,9208.47%28,9208.47%
199130,5775.73%30,5775.73%
199232,9257.68%32,9257.68%
199333,4241.52%33,4241.52%
199434,9554.58%34,9554.58%
199536,5584.59%36,5584.59%
199639,7058.61%39,7058.61%
199742,1856.25%42,1856.25%
199844,0404.40%44,0404.40%
199946,2174.94%46,2174.94%
200047,9323.71%47,9323.71%
200147,430-1.05%47,430-1.05%
200248,0801.37%48,0801.37%
20031-938,88998.02%38,889
2002(1-9)35,11335113
1986-20026.13%
200868,705.83
E
631
997.9
187
935.2
2751.1
2002A+B+C+D
++++++11,398.0
3,320.4
480.8
15,199.2
2002A+B+C+D
0
0
0
2008A+B+C+D+E
2002
++++++13769.513769.563.4%1370060.4%11,398.02,302.0
/6790.4719433.1%820036.1%3,320.44,879.6147.0%
687.1755.83.5%8003.5%480.8319.266.4%
15,199.2
2124721719.322700
5800
28500
2008A+B+C+D+E
0
0
0
2002A+B+C+D
+++++++15,709.0
3,320.4
480.8
19,510.2
2002A+B+C+D
0
0
0
2008A+B+C+D+E
10%
+++++++19608.419608.471.2%
/6790.47194.3326.1%
687.1755.812.7%
27085.927558.54
2008A+B+C+D+E
0
0
0
1986751447
1987897287.341146396
1988987254.762499822
1989972849.04560445
1990957272.311226081
19911049335.02141943
19921040226.24088333
19931028120.98736298
19941203151.40122795
19951431486.79776784
19961317684.60575046
19971359528.25074507
19981299407.7483081
19991342633.19399156
20001500111.01153773
20011419244.54935204
20021519927.40166088
2003F1594403.84434227
2004F1672529.63271504
2005F1754483.58471808
2006F1840453.28036926
2007F1930635.49110736
2008F2025236.63017162
1986894577
19871047427.39012285
19881123631.67083204
19891111820.06462525
19901096443.31266523
19911219269.24246404
19921199378.17743517
19931209870.12934674
19941372068.33062509
19951642067.0444156
19961545118.68578655
19971614555.37206818
19981555482.75241747
19991620978.28095827
20001896515.43568402
20011832906.59288844
20021951044.44385717
2003F2054693.67993708
2004F2163849.28168374
2005F2278803.77477319
2006F2399865.22530802
2007F2527358.0654025
2008F2661623.96262701
Sheet3
GDP
(%)
(%)
(%)
2000
5.77
0.02
1.69
1.38
0.28
4.06
5
2001
-2.17
-0.04
-2.19
-1.8
-0.36
-0.06
17
2002
4.64
0.09
2.01
1.68
0.33
2.54
7
2003
3.5
-
1.13
1.04
0.21
2.37
6
2004
6.15
-0.07
2.54
2.19
0.44
3.68
7
2005
4.16
-0.13
1.85
1.59
0.32
2.44
8
2006
4.89
0.09
2.10
1.79
0.36
2.70
7
2007
5.72
-0.04
2.83
2.45
0.5
2.93
9
2008
()
6.06
-0.01
3.24
2.82
0.56
2.83
9
()() 3E
20253.6100%
1.
2.
3. 3
1.
2.
1.
2.
3.
(1)(2)3E()201520251.97 5 27 2.
/20072015202550525420152025()33,00040,00047,30016,29422,00036,00042053965944265665695%82%100%
2005
2015
2025
2005
~2015
2015
~2025
2005
~2025
2005
~2015
2015
~2025
2005
~2025
243,266
(100.0%)
118,096
(100.0%)
202,173
(100.0%)
293,735
(100.0%)
71.2%
45.3%
148.7%
5.52%
3.81%
4.66%
108,116
(44.4%)
157,620
198,713
45.8%
26.1%
83.8%
3.84%
2.34%
3.09%
30,177
(25.6%)
48,439
(24.0%)
64,622
(22.0%)
60.5%
33.4%
114.1%
4.85%
2.92%
3.88%
7,500
(3.1%)
17,785
20,356
137.1%
14.5%
171.4%
9.02%
1.36%
5.12%
1,307
(1.1%)
3,379
(1.7%)
3,982
(1.4%)
158.6%
17.8%
204.8%
9.97%
1.65%
5.73%
CO220252000(214)112.4CO2
Sheet1
200520152025
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
$243,266100.0%
$108,11644.4%$157,620$198,71345.8%26.1%83.8%3.84%2.34%3.09%
$7,5003.1%$17,785$20,356137.1%14.5%171.4%9.02%1.36%5.12%
200520152025
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
$118,096100.0%$202,173100.0%$293,735100.0%71.2%45.3%148.7%5.52%3.81%4.66%
$30,17725.6%$48,43924.0%$64,62222.0%60.5%33.4%114.1%4.85%2.92%3.88%
$1,3071.1%$3,3791.7%$3,9821.4%158.6%17.8%204.8%9.97%1.65%5.73%
CO2
200520152025
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
$257,265100.0%345,000~350,000100.0%370,000~375,000100.0%
$143,35155.7%$190,64254.5%~55.3%$199,02853.1%~53.7%33.0%4.4%38.8%2.89%0.43%1.65%
$30,47711.8%$44,74312.6%~12.8%$48,84113.0%~13.2%46.8%9.2%60.3%3.91%0.88%2.39%
200520152025
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
4.753.943.08-17.1%-21.7%-35.2%-1.86%-2.42%-2.14%
23.3313.2412.27-43.2%-7.4%-47.4%-5.51%-0.76%-3.16%
Sheet2
Sheet3
Sheet1
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
$243,266100.0%
$108,11644.4%$157,620$198,71345.8%26.1%83.8%3.84%2.34%3.09%
$7,5003.1%$17,785$20,356137.1%14.5%171.4%9.02%1.36%5.12%
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
$118,096100.0%$202,173100.0%$293,735100.0%71.2%45.3%148.7%5.52%3.81%4.66%
$30,17725.6%$48,43924.0%$64,62222.0%60.5%33.4%114.1%4.85%2.92%3.88%
$1,3071.1%$3,3791.7%$3,9821.4%158.6%17.8%204.8%9.97%1.65%5.73%
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
$257,265100.0%345,000~350,000100.0%370,000~375,000100.0%
$143,35155.7%$190,64254.5%~55.3%$199,02853.1%~53.7%33.0%4.4%38.8%2.89%0.43%1.65%
$30,47711.8%$44,74312.6%~12.8%$48,84113.0%~13.2%46.8%9.2%60.3%3.91%0.88%2.39%
2005~20152015~20252005~20252005~20152015~20252005~2025
4.753.943.08-17.1%-21.7%-35.2%-1.86%-2.42%-2.14%
23.3313.2412.27-43.2%-7.4%-47.4%-5.51%-0.76%-3.16%
Sheet2
Sheet3
(1)()(2)
()660
(1)(2)CO220252000
550 CO220252000(214)CO2
1.2.3.4.(10)5.6.7.8.9.
()
()
()
()
()
()()()()()()()()()()()
(Policy) SEA
()
consultation
TSPPM10SO2NO2O3PbCO H+() ) (LUI)
()GDPGDP
()
/
(TSPPM10)(SO2)(NO2)(O3)(Pb) CO
1.
2.
3.
TSPPM10SO2NO2O3PbCO
(Distance to Target Method)
TSPPM10SO2NO2O3PbCO
4.
1.
kg-eq NOx(air)
NOx
NMVOC
2.kg-eq PM2.5air
SOxNOxTSP
PM10,SOx,
PAHs
1.
T-P(NH3-N)(SS)(CN-)BOD
2.
()()
/
1. (Distance to Target Method)
2.
Disturbance Case
()
/
( kg-2-4-Dsoil)
(2,4-D)(2,4-Dichlorophenoxyacetic acid)
VOCsPAH
Hmole
SOxNOxNH3HClHF
SOxNOxNH3HClHF
( kg-2,4-Dwater)
2,4-D
VOCsPAH
Hmole
SOxNOxNH3HClHF
SOxNOxNH3HClHF
()
/
(kg-eq Bezeneair )
(kg-eq Tolueneair )
VOCsPAH
()
/
LUI(land use index)
1. (Distance to Target Method)
2.
1.
2.
3.
() ()
/
1. (Distance to Target Method)
2.
/
1.
2.
()
/
Ozone Depleting Substances, ODSCFC-11
1. CFC-11
CO2CH4CFC-11CFC-12N2OO3
(CO2)
1. CO2
CO2CH4
-
(LLW)
(HLW)
1.
(LLW)
(HLW)
()
/
-
GDP
GDP
GDP
GDP
GDP
()
/
GDP/
/
(-)/
()731972921
()
1. ()2. ? ()3. (level) ()4. ()5. ()6. ()
1.()2. ()3. (p.2-p.4) 4. ()
1. ()2.NGO()
1.()2. ()3.()4.()5.()
1.(TSP)(SOx)(NOx) (VOCs)()2.CO2VOCs ()3. ()4.CO2()5.CO22009COP14()
6. ? ()7.CO2 ()8. ()9. () ()()10.(BAT) ()11. () 1. ()2. ()
1. ()2. ( )