Το αύριο της Ελλάδας

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Επιπτώσεις της κλιματικής αλλαγής στην Ελλάδα κατά το άμεσο μέλλον

Text of Το αύριο της Ελλάδας

  • WWF . :

    WWF , : , , 2009.

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    2021-2050 1961-1990 . 22-23

    7: (Tmin>20C)

    2021-2050 1961-1990 . 24-25

    8: (Tmax>25C)

    2021-2050 1961-1990 . 26-27

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    2021-2050 1961-1990 . 29-30

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    2021-2050 1961-1990,

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    2. Stern review on the economics of climate change, 20063. Christian Aid, Human Tide: the real migration crisis, www.christian-aid.org.uk 4. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 2007, Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007.

  • 8 . 1, . 1, . 1 . 2

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    5. 2000, , (1 , 1 , 2 2 ). , , . 4 . 40 , , . . 1 , . , , . 1 1, ( ). 1 : http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/emission/index.htm

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  • 12

    , , // . , , . 1.

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  • 13

    (Tmax > 35oC)

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    -0.03 6.13 12.29 18.45 24.61 30.77 36.93

    (max > 35oC)

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    -0.03 6.13 12.29 18.45 24.61 30.77 36.93

    (max > 35oC)

    M -

    -0.03 6.13 12.29 18.45 24.61 30.77 36.93

    (max > 35oC)

    M -

    -0.03 6.13 12.29 18.45 24.61 30.77 36.93

    (max > 35oC)

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    -0.03 6.13 12.29 18.45 24.61 30.77 36.93

    1: 35 C 1961-1990 2021-2050, .

    ( 1961-1990). , , 15 , , (10 ). , , .

  • 14

    A (min > 20oC)

    M -

    0.10 9.81 19.51 29.22 38.92 48.63 58.33

    A (min > 20oC)

    M -

    0.10 9.81 19.51 29.22 38.92 48.63 58.33

    A (min > 20oC)

    M -

    0.10 9.81 19.51 29.22 38.92 48.63 58.3

    A (min > 20oC)

    M -

    0.10 9.81 19.51 29.22 38.92 48.63 58.3

    A (min > 20oC)

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    0.10 9.81 19.51 29.22 38.92 48.63 58.33

    2: (Tmin> 20 C) 2021-2050 1961-1990 .

    . 20 . ( > 35oC) . 2 . . . , , , , ( ). 20 , .

  • 15

    , (flash floods) . 3 . , ( ) . , , . 3 . , , , , . , , . 20%, 15%. 10%.

    M - %

    -46.24 -33.53 -20.83 -8.12 4.59 17.29 30.00

    M - %

    -46.24 -34.37 -22.49 -10.62 1.25 13.13 25.00

    M - %

    -46.24 -34.37 -22.49 -10.62 1.25 13.13 25.00

    M - %

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    -46.24 -31.87 -17.4 9 -3.12 11.25 25.63 40.00

    3: , 2021-2050 1961-1990

  • 16

    . , . 4 . 5C (22C). . , , , 15 , 10 , , , , . 5 .

    (CDD>5)

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    -0.07 3.28 6.62 9.97 13.31 16.66 20.00

    (CDD>5)

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    -0.07 3.28 6.62 9.97 13.31 16.66 20.00

    (CDD>5)

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    -0.07 3.28 6.62 9.97 13.31 16.66 20.00

    (CDD>5)

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    -0.07 3.28 6.62 9.97 13.31 16.66 20.00

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    -0.07 3.28 6.62 9.97 13.31 16.66 20.00

    4: 2021-2050 1961-1990 .

  • 17

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    . 5 . . 15 .

    (HDD>5)

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    -37.83 -31.52 -25.20 -18.88 -12.57 -6.25 0.07

    (HDD>5)

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    -37.83 -31.52 -25.20 -18.88 -12.57 -6.25 0.07

    (HDD>5)

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    5: , 2021-2050 1961-1990, .

  • 19

    2. (: , : )

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    , , , . , , . , , . , . 2030. . , . , .

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    1 120.768

    2 63.749

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    10 27.629

    3, , . (2021-2050) (1961-1990). .

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  • 22

    6, 35 , . . , 15 35C, 10-15 . ( ) 10 . . , . 5 10 , , . . , .

    (Tmax > 35oC)

    M -

    -0.03 6.13 12.29 18.45 24.61 30.77 36.93

    (Tmax > 35oC)

    M -