2016 9

Assessment and Prospect of China-Laos Development Cooperation

2016 9

.............................................................................................................1

.............................................................................................................3

...........................................................................7

.....1.1 .....................................................8

.....1.2........................................................................9

.....1.3...........................................................12

.........................................................................15

.....2.1......................................................................16

.....2.2..............................20

.....2.3...............................................................22

.........................................................................29

.....3.1 .................................................................30

.....3.2......................................................................34

.....3.3......................................................................37

.....3.4...............................................................42

........................................................................................47

1990-2016....................................51

6 1

Embassy

of the Peoples Republic of China in the Lao Peoples

Democratic Republic

SINAOHYDRO Corporation Limited in Laos

Suzhou University Campus in Laos

China Chamber of Commerce in Laos

Institute of Foreign Affairs, MoFA

Institute of Foreign Affairs and ASEAN

Department of MoFA Economic

Affairs Department, MoFAPermanent

Secretary Office, MoFA Ministry

of Natural Resources & Environment

National Economic Research Institute (NERI)

of MoPI Department

of Planning and Cooperation, Ministry of Agriculture and

Forestry Confucius School in

National University of Laos

The Lao-Japan Human Resource Cooperation

2 3

Centre in National University of Laos

Department of Agricultural Economy and Food

Technology, National University of Laos

Chinese Chamber of Commerce in Laos

Australian Embassy in Laos

Asia Foundation in LaosGIZ

ADB in LaosThe

Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Office in Laos

Japan International Volunteer Center,

JVCCGIAR

Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems

Center for Creative Leadership, CCL

Village Focus International, VFI

HELVETAS Swiss IntercooperationOxfam

Nancy Y. Kim

2

23.68

2/3

52%

20 80

2013

2016

2016 134 2015 5

1600

2017 7% 2020

7.2% 2020 2978

2013

4 5

2030

6 7

1

8 9

1974 4 1975 12 1991 8

1954 1961 5 12 1954 1962 7 1

1.2

1961 4 25 1978 12 1979 2 1979 6

1 2004 303

1.1

14 170717131779 19 1893 19401945 8 10 12 1946 1950 1954 7 1962 1964 1973 2

10 11

1980 7 8 1 20 80 1985 12 10 1986 4 25 1988 6 1989 10 1990 12

2016 9 2 +1 +3 +6

1 1988 147 2

2016 5 3 http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/zyxw/t1360348.shtml

1. 1 1989-2016

1989 1990 1991

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1998 1999 2000 2002 2003 2004

2005 2006

2007

2008 2009 2010 2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016 2

12 13

2020 41 10 29 1

12013 7 16

1.3

1986 ; ; ; 2013 158

2013 (H.E.Somsanith Souvannalath) 1

1 2016 06 22 http://www.chinanews.com/cj/2016/06-22/7913856.shtml

14 15

2

16 17

18 41.9419 39.3120 39.26

7872.52

2014 21

2000 1 1 2013 6 1 49 50%3.9 10% 1 20112015 5 943423.9 117.9 20062010 9.22% 12% 84.6 2

2015 90%2001 2009 12 3

12013 5 39

2 12%2015 5 13 http://la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/zwjingji/201505/20150500973253.shtml2016 7 23

32014 3 47

2.1

2015 10 13.6 36.2%1 2005 0.329 2014 44.91 20 1

1 2014 ( )

1 5099.202 493.203 442.374 380.115 238.826 206.40

17 44.91

1 2016 2 14 http://la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/jmxw/201602/20160201254473.shtml2016 7 25

18 19

2012 12 1 2015 11 21 3 1

2011 2014 2014 1 2 ,

1.5 1500 3

1 2016 9 4 http://news.ifeng.com/a/20160904/49896410_0.shtml2016 9 12

2 2014 6 27 http://la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/sqfb/201406/20140600643042.shtml2016 7 23

3 2016 9 7

2016 (2015-2017 )2016 1 6 88 2% 96%1

2011 12 115 EPC2

2016

1 2016 1 22 http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2016-01/22/c_128657254.htm

2 3 9

20 21

1 WTO GSP WTO

2015 8 31 - 2

1 2016 3 23 http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/gjhdq_676201/gj_676203/yz_676205/1206_676644/1207_676656/t1350038.shtml2016 7 22

2 2015 9 1 http://la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/zwjingji/201510/20151001147759.shtml2016 7 3

2.2

2016 9 1 417 5 374 2016 12 25 2014 2016 9 8 21175 110 0.5% 99.5% 2

1 2016 9 9

http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/web/ziliao_674904/zt_674979/dnzt_674981/lzlzt/lkqcxdyhzldrhy_687612/zxxx_687614/t1396153.shtml2016 9 12

2 2015 2016 9 22 http://www.gov.cn/xinwen/2016-09/22/content_5110783.htm2016 9 23

22 23

1

2015 1.1 1 2012 7 19 3 2002

690

10% 20%1 2016 2 15 http://

la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/zwjingji/201602/20160201254863.shtml2016 7 25

2013 8 10 + 70% 10 6%1

2.3

1 2013 12 10 http://la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/sqfb/201312/20131200419472.shtml2016 7 23

24 25

2009 10%15% 1 2012 5-6 2 58 50 800 3

3

1 Heike, B.KateL. 2012 8

2 2012 5 30 http://la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/sqfb/201205/20120508153903.shtml2016 7 25

3Phonethavong Singhalath, Current Investment Regime of the Lao PDR, 27-28 March 2012, Phnom Penh, available at http://www.oecd.org/investment/investmentfordevelopment/50075285.pdf, accessed on July 7, 2016.

2 2 4 4 2 1 5 133 11 2

2

1 2011 03 2011 3 6 http://la.mofcom.gov.cn/article/ddfg/201204/20120408081967.shtml2016 7 23

22016 17 44

26 27

2016 2015 134 42 83 0.5%66 53 1.1% 70 92 153 73 4.9% 158 134 1522.6 189 1

2009 3 2 3 1World Bank Group: Doing Business 2016: Measuring Regulatory Quality and

Efficiency, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 2016, p.213.2Article 3 of Law on Investment Promotion, National Assembly, Lao PDR, No.02/NA,

July 08, 2009.3Article 61 of Law on Investment Promotion, National Assembly, Lao PDR, No.02/NA,

July 08, 2009.

G20

4

28 29

3

30 31

24.5 2.7 10.5 1.1

10.2 1.1 8.5 0.7 925.0 100

Francois Guegan (2005) Historical perspectives on development assistance to the Lao PDR, University of Rennes2, France.

1975 1975 1985 50% 20 80 1500 1981-1985 11.6 3.2 50 11977 2

3.2 1975-1985

%

547 47.11 133 11.45

105.01 9.04 85.11 7.33 50.27 4.33 37.57 3.24

31.11 2.68 24.21 2.09

21.85 1.88 21.28 1.83

16.23 1.4 14 1.21

9.17 0.79 9.02 0.78 7.42 0.64

1Martin Stuart-Fox (2008), Historical Dictionary of Laos, The Scarecrow Press, Inc. P. 175.2Martin Stuart-Fox (2008), Historical Dictionary of Laos, The Scarecrow Press, Inc.

50 60 20 70 80 20 90 2012

3.1

20 50 1955-1971 7.7 83.5%3.1 1

3.1 1955-1971

(US$ Million) % 770.1 83.5 67.5 7.3 33.9 3.6

1 1953 -1975 Pathet Lao

32 33

2002 16% 2013 4% 3.2 1975 2009 160 3500

3.1 2003-2013

www.aidflows.org,

3.2 2003-2013

www.aidflows.org,

70 80 90

%

EEC 5.82 0.5 11.46 0.98

31.55 2.72 1161.08 100

www.aidflows.org;

1986 1990 5 1992 90% DAC 90 60-70% DAC 1986-2002 40% 11%8%8%6% 1986-2003 3% 1991

3.3 2013 OECD-DAC

1 75.962 49.223 1 34.724 27.075 25.846 24.557 17.768 16.939 9.34

10 7.6

www.aidflows.org,

2003 3.95 ,2008 5 2013 4.2 3.1

1

34 35

1959 1975 9.65 866 9900 38 29

220 70 80 1978-1986

20 70 80 1977 6 25 70 1978 1979 2 1

320 80 1987

80 90 2000 2002 2012 2.6 44 2002 2012 1.1 11 2% 3% 2003 2004 Triumphal Arch 1000 1991 2008 55

1 2012 310-311

3.2

20 70 20 70 80 20 80 2012 3.4

12070(1954-1978

20 50 60 1971 1973 2 1974 2500 1975 1975 6 2000 800 1977 500 2000

36 37

2014 ODA 1.87 2 1

3.3: 2002-2014

: AidData; Khennavong (2014)

3.4 2012

: Khennavong (2014)

3.3

1

1 5 9779 47523985 2829

1

2001-2002 2001 2004 12 4 2.3 5 1989-2008 27-35 2.3 22005 2006 7.6 1 1 5.6

2010 50002011 11 70 3 2011 2012 2500 4200 3(Mustapha & Greenhill 2016)4

2013 1 1