鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司 THI Consultants Inc. The Taiwan Intercity Transportation Demand Model Version 2012 Derek Jenq, Planner THI Consultants Inc. Sep. 5, 2012

鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司THI Consultants Inc.

The Taiwan Intercity Transportation The Taiwan Intercity Transportation Demand Model Demand Model

Version 2012Version 2012

The Taiwan Intercity Transportation The Taiwan Intercity Transportation Demand Model Demand Model

Version 2012Version 2012

Derek Jenq, PlannerDerek Jenq, PlannerTHI Consultants Inc.THI Consultants Inc.Sep. 5, 2012Sep. 5, 2012

Derek Jenq, PlannerDerek Jenq, PlannerTHI Consultants Inc.THI Consultants Inc.Sep. 5, 2012Sep. 5, 2012

Citilabs Asia User ConferenceCitilabs Asia User Conference

鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司 THI Consultants Inc.

Citilabs Asian User ConferenceCitilabs Asian User Conference

2

ContentContentContentContent

3. Review of Taiwan Demand Model3. Review of Taiwan Demand Model

4. Introduction of TDM20124. Introduction of TDM2012

1. About Taiwan1. About Taiwan

2. About THI Consultants Inc.2. About THI Consultants Inc.



3

1. About Taiwan1. About Taiwan1. About Taiwan1. About Taiwan

Area: 36,000 KmArea: 36,000 Km22

Population: 23 million(about 640 Population: 23 million(about 640 people/Kmpeople/Km22))

17 Population Centers17 Population Centers

3 main metropolitan areas3 main metropolitan areas(Taipei, Taichung, and Kaohsiung) (Taipei, Taichung, and Kaohsiung)

Area: 36,000 KmArea: 36,000 Km22

Population: 23 million(about 640 Population: 23 million(about 640 people/Kmpeople/Km22))

17 Population Centers17 Population Centers

3 main metropolitan areas3 main metropolitan areas(Taipei, Taichung, and Kaohsiung) (Taipei, Taichung, and Kaohsiung)

Full Highway network in the futureFull Highway network in the future

Taipei

Taichung

Kaohsiung



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1. About Taiwan1. About Taiwan1. About Taiwan1. About Taiwan

Air systemAir system8 domestic airports14,000 passengers /day

Rail SystemRail SystemHigh Speed Rail(Since 2007)

Taiwan High Speed Rail (From Taipei to Kaohsiung)114,000 passengers / day

Tai-Rail systemTotal length: 2,313 km (6.42km/100km2)564,000 passengers / day

MRT SystemIn 2 main metropolitan(Taipei and Kaohsiung)Taoyuan Airport Line (in 2013)Taichhung MRT System (in 2025)

Highway systemHighway system8 Freeways and 12 expresswaysTotal length: 38,197 km (10.61 km/100km2)

Air systemAir system8 domestic airports14,000 passengers /day

Rail SystemRail SystemHigh Speed Rail(Since 2007)

Taiwan High Speed Rail (From Taipei to Kaohsiung)114,000 passengers / day

Tai-Rail systemTotal length: 2,313 km (6.42km/100km2)564,000 passengers / day

MRT SystemIn 2 main metropolitan(Taipei and Kaohsiung)Taoyuan Airport Line (in 2013)Taichhung MRT System (in 2025)

Highway systemHighway system8 Freeways and 12 expresswaysTotal length: 38,197 km (10.61 km/100km2)



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2. About THI Consultants Inc.2. About THI Consultants Inc.2. About THI Consultants Inc.2. About THI Consultants Inc.

Established since 1989Established since 1989The most reputable transportation and planning consulting The most reputable transportation and planning consulting firms in Taiwanfirms in TaiwanWith over 100 professional staffsWith over 100 professional staffsLocationsLocations

headquarterTaipei

5 branch officesKaohsiung, Taichung, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Macau

StructureStructureITS, Transportation Planning, Traffic Engineering, Land Development and BOT, Operations & Management

Established since 1989Established since 1989The most reputable transportation and planning consulting The most reputable transportation and planning consulting firms in Taiwanfirms in TaiwanWith over 100 professional staffsWith over 100 professional staffsLocationsLocations

headquarterTaipei

5 branch officesKaohsiung, Taichung, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Macau

StructureStructureITS, Transportation Planning, Traffic Engineering, Land Development and BOT, Operations & Management



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Transport & TranplanTransport & TranplanAll using in Northern of Taiwan

Taipei Metropolitan Area Comprehensive Transportation Planning Ⅱ(DOTS )ⅡXinyi Downtown People Mover Concession Project (In Taipei Metropolitan Area, DOTS )ⅠRapid Transit Planning Study for Hsinchu CityLight Rail Transit Planning Study for Hsinchu CityHsinchu Population Centers Highway System Planning

Transport & TranplanTransport & TranplanAll using in Northern of Taiwan

Taipei Metropolitan Area Comprehensive Transportation Planning Ⅱ(DOTS )ⅡXinyi Downtown People Mover Concession Project (In Taipei Metropolitan Area, DOTS )ⅠRapid Transit Planning Study for Hsinchu CityLight Rail Transit Planning Study for Hsinchu CityHsinchu Population Centers Highway System Planning

Taipei Metropolitan Area Taipei Metropolitan Area

Hsinchu Population Centers Hsinchu Population Centers



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MinutpMinutpTHI has been the Value Added Reseller (VAR) in Taiwan in 1992THI had popularized Minutp in 1992 ～ 1993, and it was been used in all of 17 Population Centers in Taiwan

Third Taiwan Area Comprehensive Transportation Plan (3rd TACTP)Chiayi Metropolitan Area Comprehensive Transportation PlanningKaohsiung Metropolitan Area Comprehensive Expressway System PlanningRapid Transit Planning for TaoyuanMetropolitan AreaRapid Transit Planning for TainanMetropolitan AreaRapid Transit Planning for Taichung Metropolitan AreaTaoyuan-Chungli Population Centers Highway System Planning

MinutpMinutpTHI has been the Value Added Reseller (VAR) in Taiwan in 1992THI had popularized Minutp in 1992 ～ 1993, and it was been used in all of 17 Population Centers in Taiwan

Third Taiwan Area Comprehensive Transportation Plan (3rd TACTP)Chiayi Metropolitan Area Comprehensive Transportation PlanningKaohsiung Metropolitan Area Comprehensive Expressway System PlanningRapid Transit Planning for TaoyuanMetropolitan AreaRapid Transit Planning for TainanMetropolitan AreaRapid Transit Planning for Taichung Metropolitan AreaTaoyuan-Chungli Population Centers Highway System Planning

Taoyuan Taoyuan

TaipeiTaipei



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TransCADTransCADTaoyuan Metropolitan Area Travel Demand Model

Rapid Transit Planning for Taipei International Airport

Light Rail Transit Planning Study for Keelung City

Evaluating analysis of Traffic Control System for Eastern Freeway

Traffic management strategy for full completion of Taipei-ilan Freeway

Kinmen Population Center Highway System Planning

Pintung Population Center Highway System Planning

TransCADTransCADTaoyuan Metropolitan Area Travel Demand Model

Rapid Transit Planning for Taipei International Airport

Light Rail Transit Planning Study for Keelung City

Evaluating analysis of Traffic Control System for Eastern Freeway

Traffic management strategy for full completion of Taipei-ilan Freeway

Kinmen Population Center Highway System Planning

Pintung Population Center Highway System Planning

Taoyuan Taoyuan

Taipei International Taipei International AirportAirport

Eastern FreewayEastern Freeway

KinmenKinmenIslandIsland

PintungPintung

Taipei-ilan FreewayTaipei-ilan Freeway



3. Review of Taiwan Demand Model3. Review of Taiwan Demand Model3. Review of Taiwan Demand Model3. Review of Taiwan Demand Model

For Taiwan area comprehensive transportation planningFor Taiwan area comprehensive transportation planning

Entrusted by Institute of Transportation(IOT), Ministry of Entrusted by Institute of Transportation(IOT), Ministry of transportation and communicationtransportation and communication

1st TACTP was developed in 1976, now it’s stepped into 1st TACTP was developed in 1976, now it’s stepped into 5th generation(TDM2012)5th generation(TDM2012)

Since 4th generation, THI Inc. began to join the planSince 4th generation, THI Inc. began to join the plan

It ‘s named “Taiwan Demand Model”(TDM)It ‘s named “Taiwan Demand Model”(TDM)

For Taiwan area comprehensive transportation planningFor Taiwan area comprehensive transportation planning

Entrusted by Institute of Transportation(IOT), Ministry of Entrusted by Institute of Transportation(IOT), Ministry of transportation and communicationtransportation and communication

1st TACTP was developed in 1976, now it’s stepped into 1st TACTP was developed in 1976, now it’s stepped into 5th generation(TDM2012)5th generation(TDM2012)

Since 4th generation, THI Inc. began to join the planSince 4th generation, THI Inc. began to join the plan

It ‘s named “Taiwan Demand Model”(TDM)It ‘s named “Taiwan Demand Model”(TDM)

9

1999 201220081976 1986

1st TACTP 2nd TACTP 3rd TACTP 4th TACTP 5th TACTP

Pre-research

2009-2011



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1st TACTP(1976) and 2nd TACTP (1986)1st TACTP(1976) and 2nd TACTP (1986)Aggregate Direct Travel Demand Model

Software: Self-develop

Include international and internal transportation systems (both passengers and freights)

3rd TACTP (1999)3rd TACTP (1999)Aggregate Sequential Travel Demand Model

Software: Minutp

Internal passenger and freight transportation system

Combining land use model and travel demand model

4th TACTP ( TDM2008)4th TACTP ( TDM2008)Integrated Travel Demand Model

Software: Cube

Intercity passenger and freight transportation system

1st TACTP(1976) and 2nd TACTP (1986)1st TACTP(1976) and 2nd TACTP (1986)Aggregate Direct Travel Demand Model

Software: Self-develop

Include international and internal transportation systems (both passengers and freights)

3rd TACTP (1999)3rd TACTP (1999)Aggregate Sequential Travel Demand Model

Software: Minutp

Internal passenger and freight transportation system

Combining land use model and travel demand model

4th TACTP ( TDM2008)4th TACTP ( TDM2008)Integrated Travel Demand Model

Software: Cube

Intercity passenger and freight transportation system




Features of TDM2008Features of TDM2008Focus on intercity tripsThe base data is quite different to urban modelsAverage trip lengths are longer than urban travel tripsThe trips are irregularlyVisiting and travel are the main purposesCan’t estimate by traditional home interview survey

Another work of TDM2008Another work of TDM2008Two important transportation infrastructure in 2007

High Speed Rail SystemTaipei-Yilan Highway

Estimate the influence of major traffic infrastructure

Features of TDM2008Features of TDM2008Focus on intercity tripsThe base data is quite different to urban modelsAverage trip lengths are longer than urban travel tripsThe trips are irregularlyVisiting and travel are the main purposesCan’t estimate by traditional home interview survey

Another work of TDM2008Another work of TDM2008Two important transportation infrastructure in 2007

High Speed Rail SystemTaipei-Yilan Highway

Estimate the influence of major traffic infrastructure

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5th TACTP ( TDM2012)5th TACTP ( TDM2012)

Base on TDM2008

Focused on the update of data, parameter, and the coefficient.

No big change of the model structure

Added several modules to the model

Container Freight Survey in 4 main international ports

5th TACTP ( TDM2012)5th TACTP ( TDM2012)

Base on TDM2008

Focused on the update of data, parameter, and the coefficient.

No big change of the model structure

Added several modules to the model

Container Freight Survey in 4 main international ports

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4. Introduction of TDM20124. Introduction of TDM20124. Introduction of TDM20124. Introduction of TDM2012

ScopesScopes

The whole Taiwan island

16 lifezones, and 361 traffic zones

Especially for “intercity trips”Trips which crossing lifezones and over 20 km

Including passenger and cargo trips

Weekday and holiday models

Analysis YearAnalysis Year

2010(baseyear) 、 2021 、 2031 、 2041

ScopesScopes

The whole Taiwan island

16 lifezones, and 361 traffic zones

Especially for “intercity trips”Trips which crossing lifezones and over 20 km

Including passenger and cargo trips

Weekday and holiday models

Analysis YearAnalysis Year

2010(baseyear) 、 2021 、 2031 、 2041

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Trip PurposeTrip Purpose

5 purposes Business, Travel, Visiting, Commuting, and others

Trip LengthTrip Length

Including 5 length classifications20-50km, 50-100km, 100-200km, over 200km

ModeMode

5 main modesAirline, High Speed Rail, Tai Rail, Highway Bus, and Automobile

Trip PurposeTrip Purpose

5 purposes Business, Travel, Visiting, Commuting, and others

Trip LengthTrip Length

Including 5 length classifications20-50km, 50-100km, 100-200km, over 200km

ModeMode

5 main modesAirline, High Speed Rail, Tai Rail, Highway Bus, and Automobile



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Intercity Trip Data CollectionIntercity Trip Data CollectionIntercity, Current, Comprehensive, Original-Source, Dual-Source

HSR(High Speed rail), Rail (TRA), Highway Bus and Airlines Daily Passenger Origin–Destination Data (2010/4/1-5/15)

Screenline Traffic Volume and Occupancy Survey (2010, 17 intercity screenlines)

Intercity Origin-Destination & Revealed Preference (RP) Survey during Midweek and Weekend (2010, 16,464 effective samples)

Container Freight Survey in 4 main international harbors (2010, 3,555 effective samples)

Intercity Trip Data CollectionIntercity Trip Data CollectionIntercity, Current, Comprehensive, Original-Source, Dual-Source

HSR(High Speed rail), Rail (TRA), Highway Bus and Airlines Daily Passenger Origin–Destination Data (2010/4/1-5/15)

Screenline Traffic Volume and Occupancy Survey (2010, 17 intercity screenlines)

Intercity Origin-Destination & Revealed Preference (RP) Survey during Midweek and Weekend (2010, 16,464 effective samples)

Container Freight Survey in 4 main international harbors (2010, 3,555 effective samples)

Base Data CollectionBase Data Collection



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Structure of TDM2012Structure of TDM2012

Freight Forecasting

module

Passenger Forecasting

module

Social EconomicParameterPredicting module

TouristBus

Predictingmodule

NonintercityTrips

Analyzingmodule

TDM2012

InternationalTrips

Predictingmodule




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Integrated Travel Demand ModelIntegrated Travel Demand Model

Trip Generation

Destination Choice

Mode Choice

Traffic Assignment

MCIV

DCIV

Travel Cost

Trip Distribution Matrices

Trip Ends

Mode Trip Matrices

鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司THI Consultants Inc.

The endThe end Thank you! Thank you!The endThe end Thank you! Thank you!

THI Consultants Inc.THI Consultants Inc.

Derek Jenq Derek Jenq

Address : 5F, NO.130, Sungshan Rd., Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. 11090Address : 5F, NO.130, Sungshan Rd., Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. 11090

E-Mail : [email protected] : [email protected]

Tel : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209Tel : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209

Fax : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209Fax : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209

THI Consultants Inc.THI Consultants Inc.

Derek Jenq Derek Jenq

Address : 5F, NO.130, Sungshan Rd., Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. 11090Address : 5F, NO.130, Sungshan Rd., Taipei, Taiwan, R.O.C. 11090

E-Mail : [email protected] : [email protected]

Tel : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209Tel : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209

Fax : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209Fax : +886-2-2748-8822 ext.209

Documents

鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司 THI Consultants Inc. The Taiwan Intercity Transportation Demand Model Version 2012 Derek Jenq, Planner THI Consultants Inc. Sep. 5, 2012