1. ‡â€½‡â€ §ˆ§â€‌§â€‌£(1) Gross Domestic Product (1) 2020-01-24¢  Domestic demand Real gross domestic product

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  • 41 実体経済 2020/02/25

    1. 国内総生産(1) Gross Domestic Product (1)

    GDP 年度・期 デフレーター

    名目 2011年連鎖価格(実質) 2011暦年=100

    Nominal Chained (2011) yen (real)

    十億円 季調済 十億円 季調済 (billion yen) 前期比% (billion yen) 前期比%

    1999 FY 521,923.7 -0.8 452,884.6 0.7 115.2 -1.5 2000 FY 528,446.7 1.2 464,182.6 2.5 113.8 -1.2 2001 FY 519,189.1 -1.8 461,747.3 -0.5 112.4 -1.2 2002 FY 514,854.4 -0.8 465,846.1 0.9 110.5 -1.7 2003 FY 517,719.5 0.6 474,930.5 2.0 109.0 -1.4 2004 FY 521,348.5 0.7 482,962.0 1.7 107.9 -1.0 2005 FY 525,642.7 0.8 492,526.0 2.0 106.7 -1.1 2006 FY 529,033.6 0.6 499,433.3 1.4 105.9 -0.7 2007 FY 530,922.8 0.4 505,429.0 1.2 105.0 -0.8 2008 FY 509,482.0 -4.0 488,074.7 -3.4 104.4 -0.6

    2009 FY 491,956.9 -3.4 477,431.6 -2.2 103.0 -1.3 2010 FY 499,429.1 1.5 493,029.7 3.3 101.3 -1.7 2011 FY 494,042.3 -1.1 495,280.0 0.5 99.8 -1.5 2012 FY 494,369.7 0.1 499,323.9 0.8 99.0 -0.7 2013 FY 507,255.2 2.6 512,534.7 2.6 99.0 0.0 2014 FY 518,235.1 2.2 510,704.1 -0.4 101.5 2.5 2015 FY 532,786.0 2.8 517,223.3 1.3 103.0 1.5 2016 FY 536,850.8 0.8 r 521,963.0 0.9 r 102.9 -0.2 2017 FY 547,586.0 2.0 r 532,070.1 1.9 102.9 0.1 2018 FY r 548,366.5 0.1 r 533,640.2 0.3 102.8 -0.2

    2016.Q4 139,345.4 1.1 0.3 133,120.7 1.2 r 0.3 104.7 -0.1 2017.Q1 134,509.0 1.0 r 0.8 r 133,087.5 1.8 r 1.2 r 101.1 -0.8 2017.Q2 134,461.1 1.6 r 0.4 r 129,118.8 2.0 0.4 104.1 -0.3 2017.Q3 134,034.1 2.5 1.1 r 132,195.6 2.4 r 0.6 101.4 0.2 2017.Q4 142,893.2 2.5 r 0.3 r 136,495.6 2.5 r 0.4 104.7 0.0 2018.Q1 136,197.6 1.3 -0.5 r 134,260.1 r 0.9 r -0.4 r 101.4 0.4 2018.Q2 r 136,033.5 1.2 r 0.2 r 130,452.6 1.0 0.5 104.3 0.1 2018.Q3 r 133,231.4 -0.6 -0.6 r 131,767.8 -0.3 r -0.8 101.1 -0.3 2018.Q4 r 141,662.9 -0.9 r 0.1 r 136,132.8 r -0.3 r 0.5 104.1 -0.6 2019.Q1 r 137,438.7 0.9 r 1.2 r 135,287.0 0.8 0.6 101.6 0.1 2019.Q2 r 137,773.7 1.3 r 0.5 r 131,586.3 0.9 0.5 104.7 0.4 2019.Q3 r 136,336.6 2.3 r 0.5 r 134,044.9 1.7 r 0.1 101.7 0.6 2019.Q4 142,914.0 0.9 -1.2 135,605.9 -0.4 -1.6 105.4 1.3

    内閣府

    Cabinet Office

    GDP deflator 2011CY = 100

    資料出所

    Source

    国内総生産(支出側)

    Gross domestic product (expenditure approach)

    Period

    前年比% 前年比% 前年比%

    (1) (2) (1) (2) (1)

    (1) Percentage changes from the previous year (2) Percentage changes from the previous period based on seasonally adjusted data

  • 2020/02/25 実体経済 42

    1. 国内総生産(2) Gross Domestic Product (2) (寄与度%) (Contributions to changes in real gross domestic product (expenditure approach) by component, percent)

    民間需要 公的需要

    Private demand Public demand

     

    1999 FY 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.8 0.1 -0.2 -0.6 0.6 0.6 -0.1 0.6 -0.6 2000 FY 2.5 2.4 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.6 -0.6 1.0 -0.9 2001 FY -0.5 0.0 -0.2 1.0 -0.3 -0.7 -0.3 0.2 0.6 -0.4 -0.8 0.3 2002 FY 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.6 -0.1 -0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.3 1.2 -0.4 2003 FY 2.0 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 -0.2 0.4 -0.5 1.1 -0.2 2004 FY 1.7 1.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.1 -0.3 0.2 -0.5 1.4 -0.9 2005 FY 2.0 1.4 1.8 0.9 0.0 1.1 -0.2 -0.4 0.1 -0.4 1.2 -0.7 2006 FY 1.4 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.1 -0.3 0.1 -0.3 1.3 -0.5 2007 FY 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 -0.2 1.5 -0.4 2008 FY -3.4 -2.4 -2.1 -1.1 0.0 -0.9 0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -1.8 0.7

    2009 FY -2.2 -2.5 -3.4 0.5 -0.7 -1.8 -1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 -1.4 1.7 2010 FY 3.3 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.3 1.2 0.0 0.4 -0.4 2.4 -1.5 2011 FY 0.5 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.7 2012 FY 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.6 2013 FY 2.6 3.2 2.4 1.6 0.3 1.0 -0.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.7 -1.2 2014 FY -0.4 -1.0 -0.9 -1.5 -0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 -0.1 1.4 -0.8 2015 FY 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 2016 FY 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2 2017 FY 1.9 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 -0.6 2018 FY 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 -0.4

    2016.Q4 r 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.5 -0.1 2017.Q1 r 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 r 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 r 0.4 r -0.3 2017.Q2 0.4 r 0.6 r 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.2 2017.Q3 r 0.6 0.1 r 0.1 -0.4 -0.1 r 0.1 0.5 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 r 0.3 0.2 2017.Q4 r 0.4 r 0.5 r 0.4 r 0.3 -0.1 r 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 r 0.4 -0.4 2018.Q1 r -0.4 -0.5 -0.6 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 r -0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 r 0.2 -0.1 2018.Q2 0.5 r 0.4 r 0.3 0.1 -0.1 r 0.3 -0.1 r 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.1 2018.Q3 r -0.8 r -0.6 r -0.5 -0.1 0.0 r -0.7 0.3 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 r -0.4 0.2 2018.Q4 r 0.5 r 1.0 r 0.9 r 0.2 0.0 r 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 r -0.1 r 0.3 -0.7 2019.Q1 0.6 r 0.2 0.2 r 0.0 0.0 r -0.1 r 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.4 0.8 2019.Q2 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 -0.4 2019.Q3 r 0.1 r 0.4 r 0.2 0.3 0.0 r 0.1 -0.2 0.2 0.1 r 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 2019.Q4 -1.6 -2.1 -2.2 -1.6 -0.1 -0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5

    内閣府

    Cabinet Office

    Public investment

    Exports of goods and services

    Imports of goods and services

    民間在庫 変動

    政府最終 消費支出

    公的固定 資本形成

    財貨・ サービス の輸出

    財貨・

    サービス

    の輸入

    Change in private

    inventories

    Government consumption

    民間企業 設備

    Private non-resi.

    investment

    資料出所

    Source

    Private consumption

    Private residential investment

    民間最終 消費支出

    民間住宅

    年度・期 国内需要

    Period Domestic demand

    Real gross

    domestic product

    (expenditure approach)

    実質 国内総生産 (支出側)

    年度計数は原計数。四半期は季節調整済。

  • 43 実体経済 2020/02/25

    2. 景気動向 Economic Conditions

    短観(全国企業短期経済観測調査)

    (a)

    業況判断 D.I. (b)

    Business conditions D.I.

    Month 景気の山

    製造業 非製造業 製造業 非製造業

    2016.07 96.4 98.9 99.5 1951/ 6 2009.12 -24 -22 -40 -35 2016.08 96.5 99.1 99.7 1951/10 2010.3 -14 -14 -30 -31 2016.09 96.4 99.3 100.2 1954/ 1 2010.6 1 -5 -18 -26 2016.10 97.5 100.1 99.9 1954/11 2010.9 8 2 -14 -21 2016.11 r 98.8 101.4 100.2 1957/ 6 2010.12 5 1 -12 -22 2016.12 100.9 101.2 100.8 1958/ 6 2011.3 6 3 -10 -19 2017.01 r 100.9 100.9 101.0 1961/12 2011.6 -9 -5 -21 -26 2017.02 100.8 101.5 101.5 1962/10 2011.9 2 1 -11 -19 2017.03 101.4 101.6 102.1 1964/10 2011.12 -4 4 -8 -14 2017.04 r 100.7 102.9 102.4 1965/10 2012.3 -4 5 -10 -11 2017.05 r 100.9 102.3 102.1 1970/ 7 2012.6 -1 8 -12 -9 2017.06 r 101.5 102.7 102.6 1971/12 2012.9 -3 8 -14 -9 2017.07 r 101.5 102.1 102.4 1973/11 2012.12 -12 4 -18 -11 2017.08 r 102.6 103.5 103.0 1975/ 3 2013.3 -8 6 -19 -8 2017.09 102.0 102.7 103.2 1977/ 1 2013.6 4 12 -14 -4 2017.10 101.5 102.8 104.3 1977/10 2013.9 12 14 -9 -1 2017.11 r 103.0 104.1 104.6 1980/ 2 2013.12 16 20 1 4 2017.12 r 102.1 105.2 105.0 1983/ 2 2014.3 17 24 4 8 2018.01 r 101.2 102.5 104.5 1985/ 6 2014.6 12 19 1 2 2018.02 r 101.4 103.3 104.7 1986/11 2014.9 13 13 -1 0 2018.03 r 100.3 103.2 104.8 1991/ 2 2014.12 12 16 1 -1 2018.04 r 101.7 104.1 104.6 1993/10 2015.3 12 19 1 3 2018.05 r 101.7 103.9 105.2 1997/ 5 2015.6 15 23 0 4 2018.06 r 100.6 103.4 105.1 1999/ 1 2015.9 12 25 0 3 2018.07 r 99.6 102.9 104.4 2000/11 2015.12 12 25 0 5 2018.08 99.6 103.0 104.8 2002/ 1 2016.3 6 22 -4 4 2018.09 99.4 101.9 104.1 2008/ 2 2016.6 6 19 -5 0 2018.10 r 98.9 103.9 104.1 2009/ 3 2016.9 6 18 -3 1 2018.11 98.2 102.2 104.6 2012/ 3 2016.12 10 18 1 2 2018.12 r 96.9 101.0 104.2 2012/11 2017.3 12 20 5 4 2019.01 96.3 100.1 104.8 2017.6 17 23 7 7 2019.02 r 96.7 101.4 104.5 2017.9 22 23 10 8 2019.03 r 95.7 100.9 104.6 2017.12 25 23 15 9 2019.04 r 96.0 101.4 104.6 2018.3 24 23 15 10 2019.05 r 95.1 102.1 104.5 2018.6 21 24 14 8 2019.06 93.5 99.1 104.6 2018.9 19 22 14 10 2019.07 r 93.4 99.3 104.7 2018.12 19 24 14 11 2019.08 r 92.1 98.7 104.6 2019.3 12 21 6 12 2019.09 r 91.8 100.4 104.2 2019.6 7 23 -1 10 2019.10 91.6 95.3 r 103.8 2019.9 5 21 -4 10 2019.11 r 90.8 r 94.7 r 104.4 2019.12 0 20 -9 7 2019.12 91.6 94.7 106.9 2020.3 0 18 -12 1 2020.01 予測

    (Forecast) 資料出所 内閣府 日本銀行

    Sources Cabinet Office Bank of Japan

    (a) 大企業:資本金10億円以上、中小企業:同:2千万円以上1億円未満。 (b) 「良い」-「悪い」の社数構成比%ポイント。

    調査時点

    Month of survey

    景気動向指数 2015年=100

    Nonmanu- facturing

    Peak Trough

    Month Manu-

    facturing Nonmanu- facturing

    Manu- facturing

    Of which: Large enterprises

    Of which: Small enterprises

    景気基準日付

    TANKAN: Short-Term Economic Survey of Enterprises in Japan

      うち     大企業

      うち     中小企業

    Leading index

    Coincident index

    Lagging index

    Reference dates of business cycles

    Indexes of business conditions CY 2015 = 100

    先行指数 一致指数 遅行指数

    景気の谷

  • 2020/02/25 実体経済 44

    3. 生産・出荷・在庫(1) Production, Shipments, and Inventories (1)

    Period

    Of which: Final demand

    goods

    季調済 季調済 季調済 季調済 季調済

    前期(月) 前期(月) 前期(月) 前期(月)

    比% (2) 比% (2) 比% (2) 比% (2) 比% (2) 比% (2)

    1999 FY 103.3 2.7 101.2 3.1 0.2 -0.8 -2.4 2.8 2000 FY 107.7 4.3 105.7 4.4 3.3 7.2 -0.7 5.3 2001 FY 97.8 -9.2 96.9 -8.3 -6.6 -11.6 -7.3 -4.3 2002 FY 100.7 3.0 100.4 3.6 -1.0 -3.8 -4.0 4.2 2003