20200304いきものがたり基調講演足立直樹公開版4 · Climate change disclosure was requested from 11,692 suppliers Responses were provided by 5,545 suppliers 3,150

Copyright © 2020 Response Ability, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

企業が語るいきものがたりPart 13SDGs2030年に向けた社会変⾰と企業経営

EUと欧州企業の動向から2030年を考える2020年3⽉4⽇

⾜⽴直樹

Copyright © 2020 Response Ability, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 1

いまどんな流れが始まっているのか?

2019年から振り返る


2度⽬標：21世紀後半にはCO2をゼロに

Geophysical Research Letters 10.1002/2016GL069563

Figure 4. A plot showing a range of pathways for e!ective CO2 emissions, all of which begin mitigation action in2015 and satisfying certain criteria. (a) Pathways which each have a 66% chance of not exceeding 1.5 K warmingabove preindustrial temperatures, illustrating the trade-o! between rapid action and long-term negative emissioncommitments. (b) Pathways which are likely to overshoot 1.5! for 50 years, (c) pathways which are likely to peak at2! warming, and (d) pathways which are likely to overshoot 2! for 50 years. RCP8.5 and RCP2.6, as well as theUNEP [2015] estimates for conditional and unconditional INDC emissions are plotted for context.

It is evident from considering the shallow contours of the 2! region in Figure 2b that for mitigation begin-ning in 2015, small di!erences in the emissions level achieved in 2030 translate to large di!erences in therequired 2100 emissions and the long-term emission level if one is to achieve the 2! goal. This occurs becausethe small di!erences in the emission pathways are integrated cumulatively until the time at which emissionsbecome net zero, but there is potentially only a short time available to remove these emissions in the negativephase before the temperature threshold is exceeded. This is illustrated in Figure 4c which shows a number ofscenarios, picked from the contour of the 2! region in Figure 2b such that they each have a 66% chance ofexhibiting a peak temperature of 2 K warming or less. It is evident that very small perturbations in near-termmitigation rates result in large increases in the future negative emissions capacity in order to likely remainbelow 2 K warming.

Hence, more aggressive action in the near-term allows the temperature to be much less sensitive to theend-of-century carbon removal capacity; if we consider the solution which achieves 2! with the least extremedecadal emission reductions relative to present-day emissions (2.9% yr"1, Figure 2b), this would require 2030emissions of at most 50 Gt CO2 eq/yr (a 10% cut from 2015 levels) and a long-term carbon emission level of"4 Gt CO2/yr (comparable to RCP2.6 requirements). All solutions with a delay until 2020 would require sig-nificantly faster reductions later in the century (with RCP2.6 long-term emission levels, a reduction of at least4% yr"1 would be required (relative to present-day emissions), Figure 2c).

In this study, all emissions pathways decay to an emissions floor and are held there until the end of thesimulation. Clearly, in reality, negative emissions might eventually be able to be scaled back down to allowatmospheric carbon concentrations to stabilize at an acceptable value. However, because such pathwaysrequire a higher dimensional representation of future emission trajectories, and any ramp-down of negativeemissions would occur after peak temperatures had occurred, we leave to further study strategies for rampingdown negative emissions activity.

SANDERSON ET AL. ACHIEVING THE PARIS TEMPERATURE TARGETS 7

Source: Sanderson et al. (2016) “What would it take to achieve the Paris temperature targets?”


65カ国が2050年までに実質ゼロイギリス、フランス、ドイツ、イタリア、スイス、ベルギー、スペイン…

地域：EU⾃治体：カリフォルニア州、ニューヨーク州、ハワイ…⽇本国内：東京都、横浜市、京都市…

Antonio Guterres


世界の常識 #1

CO2はゼロ遅くとも2050年までに

4


サプライチェーンの排出量の⽅が多い

Tackling impacts further upstreamBecause the upstream supply chain is typically [LIVI�WYGL�E�WMKRMƼGERX�TVSTSVXMSR�SJ�ER�SVKERM^EXMSRƅW�XSXEP�IRH�XS�IRH�GEVFSR�IQMWWMSRW�SGGYV��XS�QE\MQM^I�MQTEGX�MX�MW�GVMXMGEP�XLEX�MRƽYIRGI�extends beyond tier one suppliers.

Although it varies between sectors, on average companies report having supply chain greenhouse gas emissions that are 5.5 times greater than their own direct impact from scope 1 and 2 emissions. This was determined through fresh analysis based on the 33% of suppliers disclosing their upstream scope 3 emissions this year.6

In the majority of cases the efforts of CDP supply GLEMR�QIQFIVW�XS�MRƽYIRGI�YTWXVIEQ�IQMWWMSRW�are still not progressing beyond their direct VIPEXMSRWLMTW�[MXL�ƼVWX�XMIV�WYTTPMIVW��8LMW�]IEV�NYWX�35% of those suppliers report that they are in turn engaging their own suppliers on climate issues, helping to cascade change onwards.

,S[IZIV��XLMW�MW�E�WMKRMƼGERX�MRGVIEWI�JVSQ�XLI�23% reporting upstream engagement last year, suggesting that this is becoming increasingly commonplace and that efforts to strengthen engagement have been successful. Encouragingly, there also two sectors where a majority of respondents report upstream engagement with suppliers: hospitality (67%) and power generation (56%).

Climate change disclosure was requested from

11,692 suppliers

Responses were provided by

5,545 suppliers

3,150 suppliersreported emissions reduction activities for their own operations

1,937 suppliersreported engagement with their own supply chain

1,168 suppliersreported collaborating with CDP Supply Chain program members

165 supplierswere committed to the Science Based Targets initiative and 83 to the RE100 campaign

�� 1EVOIX�FEWIH�WGSTI��HEXE�[EW�YWIH�JSV�XLMW�EREP]WMW�[LIVI�EZEMPEFPI��[MXL�E�PSGEXMSR�FEWIH�ETTVSEGL�XEOIR�[LIR�MX� [EW�RSX��%REP]WMW�SRP]�MRGPYHIH�GSQTERMIW�VITSVXMRK�WGSTI��ERH��IQMWWMSRW�[MXL�ZIVMƼGEXMSR�SV�PMQMXIH�EWWYVERGI�� 3YXPMIVW�GSQTERMIW�[MXL�ZIV]�WQEPP�ERH�ZIV]�LMKL�VEXMSW�� XSXEP�VIWTSRWIW �[IVI�QERYEPP]�I\GPYHIH�JVSQ�XLI�EREP]WMW�

5.5:1 average ratio of supply chain to direct carbon emissions

18

Retail

Hospitality

Manufacturing

Food, beverage & agriculture

Services

Biotech, health care & pharma

Average

Infrastructure

Transportation services

Apparel

Materials

Power generation

Fossil fuels

10.9

7.9

6.5

5.9

5.9

5.8

5.5

4.8

2.1

2.1

1.3

1.3

0.4

Ratio of supply chain to direct emissionsSector

Source : CDP Global Supply Chain Report 2019

平均 5.5 倍

5


森林破壊の原因となる原材料CDPが注意を喚起する原材料

出典：CDPウェブページ

6


森林破壊ゼロへのコミット

Source: Compiled by Climate Focus based on data presented on Supply-Change.org in July 2018.

7


• FSC (林産物・紙)

• Rainforest Alliance（農産物）

• RSPO (パームオイル)

• RTRS (⼤⾖)

• BONSUCRO（サトウキビ）

• GRSB（⽜⾁）

森林に悪影響を与えない原料を使う


世界の常識 #2

サプライチェーンで森林破壊ゼロ

9


海洋プラスチック


このままだと…


世界の常識 #3

サーキュラーエコノミー= 新規投⼊資源ゼロ

12


世界はゼロを⽬指している

カーボン・ゼロ

森林破壊ゼロ

新規投⼊資源ゼロ

13


負荷ゼロで、持続可能なビジネスに

14

2030年に向けて


「誰⼀⼈とり残さない」

ゼロ⽬標を本気で


⽣物多様性でも新たなゼロ⽬標!?

“A New Deal for Nature and People”


WWFのNew Deal2030年までに…

1. ⾃然⽣息地の破壊ゼロ2. ⼈為的な絶滅ゼロ3. フットプリントを1/2

2020: A New Deal for Nature and People page 5

2020A NEW

DEAL FOR NATURE

AND PEOPLETHE WORLD MUST COME

TOGETHER TO REVERSE NATURE LOSS AND SAFEGUARD THE

FUTURE OF HUMANITY

出典：WWF International

2020年は⽬標を（再）設定する年

出典：Business for Nature


2020年の主要な国際⾏事1/21-24 WEF Annual Meeting

6/1-10 Bonn Climate Conference

6/11 IUCN CEO Summit

6/11-19 IUCN World Conservation Congress

7/27-31 UN CBD Open Ended Working Group

9/** UN General Assembly & UN Nature Summit

10/5-20 CBD COP15

11/9-19 UNFCCC COP26

19

1

EuropeanBusinessandNatureSummitBuildingactionfornatureandpeople

7&8November2019,MadridThe European Business and Nature Summit is a regional stepping stone in the global run to strengthen the role of businesses in supporting nature conservation and its sustainable use. The specific objectives of the Summit are to provide:

– A forum to explore the most recent progresses made by businesses and financial institutions to better account for their impacts and dependencies on nature and take informed decisions to generate net positive impact.

– A place to collect and celebrate commitments for nature by the business community feeding into the Action Agenda for Nature and People.

– An opportunity for businesses to call for strong political ambitions to protect biodiversity and to provide valuable input to the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework.

– A chance to engage a wide international audience in addressing biodiversity loss and move towards a critical mass of businesses integrating biodiversity and natural capital into their decision making.

The summit supports the Action Agenda for Nature and People seeking to mobilize action in the lead up to the fifteenth meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP15) of the Convention on Biological Diversity taking place in 2020. It represents a key milestone in the engagement of businesses in this process and their commitments to nature conservation. It is hosted by CaixaForum in the very centre of Madrid, Spain, and brings together key representatives from businesses, financial institutions, governments and civil society.

Organisingpartners

Organising entities

Collaborating entities

Funding entities

With contributions from:

1

EuropeanBusinessandNatureSummitBuildingactionfornatureandpeople

7&8November2019,MadridThe European Business and Nature Summit is a regional stepping stone in the global run to strengthen the role of businesses in supporting nature conservation and its sustainable use. The specific objectives of the Summit are to provide:

– A forum to explore the most recent progresses made by businesses and financial institutions to better account for their impacts and dependencies on nature and take informed decisions to generate net positive impact.

– A place to collect and celebrate commitments for nature by the business community feeding into the Action Agenda for Nature and People.

– An opportunity for businesses to call for strong political ambitions to protect biodiversity and to provide valuable input to the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework.

– A chance to engage a wide international audience in addressing biodiversity loss and move towards a critical mass of businesses integrating biodiversity and natural capital into their decision making.

The summit supports the Action Agenda for Nature and People seeking to mobilize action in the lead up to the fifteenth meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP15) of the Convention on Biological Diversity taking place in 2020. It represents a key milestone in the engagement of businesses in this process and their commitments to nature conservation. It is hosted by CaixaForum in the very centre of Madrid, Spain, and brings together key representatives from businesses, financial institutions, governments and civil society.

Organisingpartners

Organising entities

Collaborating entities

Funding entities

With contributions from:

2019年11⽉7,8⽇マドリードで開催

欧州の⾏政、企業、NGOが集合して、2020年とその先

を議論

出典：European Business and Nature Summit


共通の認識lこのままでは、⼈々の⽣活とビジネスを⽀えている⽣物多様性・⽣態系が崩壊する（cf. IPBES）l2030年までの10年でその流れを逆転するl2030年までが鍵。気候危機と⽣物多様性が⼆⼤柱l国の動きを待っていたら間に合わないので、企業がリードするl“A New Deal for Nature and People”を作り出すlその中⼼になるイニシアティブが Business for Naturel気候危機を模倣し、⽬標設定や様々なツールを開発する（SBT、ambitious targets, transformative change, BDP, TNFD…）

21


1. ビジネスの声を⼀つにまとめる

2. ビジネスの野⼼を⽰す3. ビジネスソリューショ

ンを提⽰する4. ⾃然の喪失を逆転させ

るためのビジネスケースを伝える


ビジネスからのパートナー組織

さらに拡⼤中…

23


その他…

保護団体からのパートナー組織

24


A New Deal for Nature and Peopleの採択に向けて政策提⾔

1. ⾃然と⼈の⾮常事態宣⾔の採択を明⾔して⽀援する2. 2030年までに⾃然の喪失を⾷い⽌めるよう、科学に基づいた野⼼的な⽬標

に合意する3. 現在の経済⾦融システムの変⾰を⽀援する4. 気候マニフェストのための⾃然に基づいたソリューション(NBS)に署名する5. ⽣物多様性に関連する条約の決定を統合し⼀貫的に調和させる6. 国連が環境に関するSDG⽬標について野⼼的に取り組み続けるよう求める


具体的なソリューションを提供する

1. ⾃社の事業とサプライチェーンを通じた活動

2. 地域レベルでリードする3. ビジネスモデルを通じて組織的

な変化を起こす4. 政策の変更を推奨し、促す

出典：Business for Nature

Copyright © 2020 Response Ability, Inc. All Rights Reserved.�� CEO GUIDE TO THE CIRCULAR BIOECONOMY

THE CIRCULAR BIOECONOMY

!�SOLUTION�TO�TODAYśS�GREATEST�ENVIRONMENTAL�CHALLENGES�

THE CIRCULAR BIOECONOMY AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

A circular bioeconomy contributes to the

Paris Agreement by REDUCING�FOSSIL FUEL�CONSUMPTION��REUSING�BIOMASS�OVER�MULTIPLE�LIFE�CYCLES and eventually serving

as alternative fuel for energy-intensive

industries.

Biomass serves many functions

over multiple lifetimes, maximizing

value created and RELIEVING�PRESSURE�ON�LAND�

0RODUCTION�AND�HARVESTING�OF�BIOMASS�IS�SUSTAINABLE�AND�REGENERATIVE, promoting

biodiversity and contributing to the

Convention on Biological Diversity.

The circular bioeconomy

ALLEVIATES�RESOURCE�SUPPLY�risks by shifting from fossil-fuel

and non-renewable resources

towards sustainable, renewable

biomass.

Climate change

Land use

%LRGLYHUVLW\Food loss & waste

Resource scarcity Circular

bioeconomy

Production and use of

food and feed is smarter,

MINIMIZE�WASTE�GENERATED.

Any waste and by-products

should be recovered and

used as products or energy.

CLIMATEACTION

LIFE BELOW WATER

LIFE ON LAND

RESPONSIBLECONSUMPTION AND PRODUCTION

27


「ポスト2020グローバル⽣物多様フレームワーク」1⽉13⽇にゼロドラフトが公開2⽉25〜29⽇ OEWG2でさらに検討l「これまでのやり⽅では、愛知⽬標、SDGs、いずれも達成不可能」 cf. IPBES報告書l「経済、社会、政治、技術についてtransformative changeが必要」

→ Theory of Changeアプローチを採⽤l「今だかってなかった程度の社会全体によるエンゲージメントが必要」l⽣物のためだけでなく「⼈間のため」という視点l野⼼的な数値⽬標

28

→企業に対する期待はより明確に、そして⼤きく


CBD 2030年・2050年⽬標1. 2030年までにノーネットロス、2050年までに[20%]以上の向上2. 絶滅危惧種を[X%]まで減少3. 遺伝⼦の多様性は維持もしくは強化4. ⾃然の恵み：改善された栄養、安全で飲める⽔、⾃然災害へのレジリエンス、パリ協定の達成へ少なくとも[30%]分の貢献

5. 遺伝⼦資源と伝統的知識の利⽤による利益の公正かつ衡平な配分

29


⽇本企業が特に注⽬すべき視点lノー・ネット・ロスl侵略的外来種lNature based solutions（防災・減災も含めて）l都市住⺠の健康と福利l計画と開発における戦略的環境アセスメント（⽣物多様性オフセットも含めて）l持続可能なサプライチェーン（森林破壊ゼロも含めて）l情報開⽰や意志決定にも⽣物多様性を考慮する

30


2030年までの10年間l⽣物多様性が気候危機と並ぶ⼤きなテーマにlサプライチェーンを含めて、⽣物多様性に与える影響を徹底的に減らす（半減）以上を常識とした経営が必要（おもに⼤企業）

オルタナティブな「質の⾼い⽣活」を実現する価値を、⽣物多様性を活⽤して創るl価値創造と価値発信lNature Based Solutionsのモデル作りl地域の⾃然資本を活⽤したローカル経済lより多くの企業の参加（地⽅企業、地銀、⾷品・飲料、旅⾏業、建設業…）

31

ビジネスにおける⽣物多様性の「⽇常化」


ご意⾒・ご質問は、[email protected]

32

Copyright (c) 2020 Response Ability, Inc. All rights reserved. このプレゼンテーション⽂書の著作権は、株式会社レスポンスアビリティもしくは引⽤元の組織等にあります。事前の書⾯での許可なく、あらゆる形での複写、再利⽤、再配布、放送等は禁じられています。

万全の注意を払って作成していますが、内容の正確性等について保証するものでははありません。

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Documents

20200304いきものがたり 基調講演 足立直樹 公開版4 · Climate change disclosure was requested from 11,692 suppliers Responses were provided by 5,545 suppliers 3,150

20200304いきものがたり基調講演足立直樹公開版4 · Climate change disclosure was requested from 11,692 suppliers Responses were provided by 5,545 suppliers 3,150