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4G Radio Developments without Europe?

Arnd Weber, Bernd Wingert

ITAS, Karlsruhe Research Centre (Germany)

Erik Bohlin, Sven Lindmark

Vinnova, Gothenburg (Sweden)

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Introduction

Research project:

„The Future of Mobile Communications in the EU:

Assessing the Potential of 4G“

Sponsored by EU (JRC/IPTS) in 2003 (Carlos Rodriguez, Jean-Claude Burgelman)

Partners Vinnova, ITAS, TNO

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Overview

1. Objectives2. Project Approach3. US4. China5. Japan6. Asia7. Europe8. Summary of Analysis9. Conclusions

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1. Objectives

Questions raised by European Commission in 2003

4G technologies emerging in the US and in Asia a threat? 4G in two senses:

Linear succession, after 3G Immediate deployment, starting with Wi-Fi

Identify policy options

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2. Project Approach

Analysis of Advanced use of 2.5 and 3G Scenarios and roadmaps towards 4G State of the art and research

By means of Desk research Gathering of expert views

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3. US

Dynamics of WLAN not over, cf. Intel, Flarion, etc. Licensed, unlicensed Indoor, outdoor

FCC supportive for flexibilisation, outdoor use

= „Immediate“ 4G, possibly disruptive

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4. China

Large mobile market

Aim at leadership in mobile area Industry policy Low cost production

Haier

Elitek

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5. Japan Best handsets

Infrastructure competition: PHS (real flatrate) PDC WCDMA Cdma2000 (cheapest) Progress towards TD-SCDMA, Flash-OFDM

Operator control of user interface Aim at cheaper costs for 3.5G, 4G (wireless VoIP ?)

More on Tuesday, session 4.5, starting 11:00

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6. Asia

Korea: 4 G ambitions Co-operation on 4G between CN, K, J discussed

India leap-frogging?

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7. Europe

Low use of mobile Internet

Not leading with handset features

Good radio research, but deployment?

UMTS license holder protection

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8. Summary of Analysis

US leading with potentially disruptive WLANs Asian players aim at leading with 4G-technologies Equipment built cheaply in Asia

= These markets develop, supported by spectrum regulation

= Europe runs risk of falling behind

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9. Conclusion for Europe

4G acknowledged topic

Allow for alternatives to UMTS?

Cf. Bohlin et al. (Rodriguez et al. eds.): Future of Mobile Communications... Seville 2004. www.jrc.es

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