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2013 12 (3-2) 62 A2/AD 1 2012 6 (Center for Strategic and Budgetary AssessmentsCSBA) (anti-access)(area-denial) A2/AD” (Outside-In) 2 CSBA A2/AD (AirSea Battle) 2012 9 (US Naval Force Central Command USNAVCENT) 33 (International Mine Counter Measure Exercise 2012 IMCMEX 12) 3 (US Central Command USCENTCOM) IMCMEX 12 4 1 Parisa Hafezi, “Shutting down oil exports ‘easier than drinking a glass of water’: Iran navy chief,” National Post, December 28, 2011, http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/12/28/shutting-down-oil-exports-easier-than-drinki ng-a-glass-of-water-iran-navy-chief/, Accessed January 22, 2013. 2 Mark Gunzinger, Chris Dougherty, Outside-In: Operating from Range to Defeat Iran’s Anti-Access and Area-Denial Threats, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments(CSBA), 2012. 3 Oscar Seara, “International Militaries Conclude Mine Countermeasure Exercise,” United States Central Command, September 27,2012, http://www.centcom.mil/press-releases/international-militaries-conclude-mine-counte rmeasures-exercise, Accessed January 18, 2013. 4 http://www.mod.go.jp/msdf/formal/imfo/news/201207/072001.pdf 2013 1 24

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1 Parisa Hafezi, “Shutting down oil exports ‘easier than drinking a glass of water’: Iran navy chief,” National Post, December 28, 2011, http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/12/28/shutting-down-oil-exports-easier-than-drinking-a-glass-of-water-iran-navy-chief/, Accessed January 22, 2013. 2 Mark Gunzinger, Chris Dougherty, Outside-In: Operating from Range to Defeat Iran’s Anti-Access and Area-Denial Threats, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments(CSBA), 2012. 3 Oscar Seara, “International Militaries Conclude Mine Countermeasure Exercise,” United States Central Command, September 27,2012, http://www.centcom.mil/press-releases/international-militaries-conclude-mine-countermeasures-exercise, Accessed January 18, 2013. 4 �·¸°¹BbD�bË=http://www.mod.go.jp/msdf/formal/imfo/news/201207/072001.pdf=2013 1� 24Ì�

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�`Lr 5 �°�deÌú��°f,g 24hi jklm=2012 7� 31Ì 201nr 6 U.S. Department of Defense (DOD), Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense:, DOD, January 2012, p. 1,4. 7 Mark Gunzinger, “Backgrounder- Outside-In: Operating from Range to Defeat Iran’s Anti-Access and Area-Denial Threats,” CSBA, 2012, p. 1.

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8 Andrew F. Krepinevich, Why AirSea Battle?, CSBA, 2010; and Jan van Tol with Mark Gunzinger, Andrew Krepinevich and Jim Thomas, AirSea Battle: A PointµofµDeparture Operational Concept, CSBA, 2010. 9 Gunzinger,¶Backgrounder- Outside-In,” p. 2. 10 Ibid., p. 2. 11 Gunzinger, Outside-In, p. 21. 12 v�wb�x�C3­®àp��}�J '=��·*~¸¹3�J�\]�Z0VJrº»¼½�AirSea Battle�m[ág�ׯàì��e�������f2012 12�=36nr 13 Gunzinger, Outside-In, p. 33.

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14 � �� A2/AD�¶* V0'=�������������I� �� A2/AD:Í�IJI�e�������f  3   1�ü� ��¯��¤2013 9�¡�r 15 Gunzinger, Outside-In, p. 41. 16 Fariborz Haghshenass,¶Iran’s Asymmetric Naval Warfare,” Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Sept 2008, pp. 5-6. 17 eInternational Securityfã��yà^_* V0'=��:¡��|�r ß����Í����¥���;¿K�R¼|�2011 8� 8Ì=http://blog.goo.ne.jp/kazzubc/e/07d3d70a8fdbbd57a168a89ac5dc19cc=2012 12� 5Ì��`Lr 18 JYK=��:¡��|�r �����BCDE�F*u¯J����÷�  Mv¤�2012 2� 21Ì= http://www.jpsn.org/free/cap_cabin/2012/0226_hormuz/=2012 12� 11Ì��`Lr 19 Caitlin Talmadge, “Closing Time-Assessing the Iranian Threat to the Strait of Hormuz,” International Security, Vol.33, No.1 (Summer 2008), pp. 82-117. 20 Gunzinger, Outside-In, p. 42.

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21 JYK=L�2b1�õ� Ashura-� Tareq-}�S=��� }9JR¼*34�Z0VJ�'Îò}�JrFariborz Haghshenass,¶Iran’s Asymmetric Naval Warfare,” Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Sept 2008, pp. 12-13. 22 [�õ Azarahkhsh-�½Ù56õ Tondar-¥��CÓ=ç IPS16-¥��C�7�Ó:_�/0VJrGunzinger, Outside-In, p. 41. 23 Ibid., pp. 51-52. 24 Fariborz Haghshenass,¶Iran’s Asymmetric Naval Warfare,” Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Sept 2008, pp. 13. 25 CSBA'=� ��Kilo-��* V0=�Cw��='(b���½� ���*uV08�»Ó�½���Nw¸Ø:lÅIJëà�È×/0VJrGunzinger, Outside-In, pp. 41-42. 26 Talmadge, “Closing Time,” p. 89. �T=Kilo-ÅO»�eD{* V0'=��:¡

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��|�r Naval Technology.com, “SSK Kilo Class(Type 877EKM) Attack Submarine, Russia Federation,” http://www.naval-technology.com/project/kilo877/, Accessed December 6, 2012. 27 Ù56õ�Ghadir-¥U��ÅO» 200��¤�Nahang-VóÅO» 500��¤:_�/0VJrFariborz Haghshenass,¶Iran’s Asymmetric Naval Warfare,” Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Sept 2008, p. 13. 28 Gunzinger, Outside-In,pp. 47-48. 29 Ibid., pp. 48,51-52. 30 JYK=����=>�* V0'=���¯�3�Jr Malcolm H. Potts, “Don’t Forget About Dedicated Sea Mine Countermeasures,” US Joint Forces Staff College, May 2005, http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA436 558, Accessed December 10, 2012; Marco D. Tomasi. “Water-borne IED Threats and Strait of Hormuz,” Joint Improvised Explosive Devise Defeat Organization, September, 2009; Andrew S. Erickson et al., “Chinese Mine Warfare: A PLA Navy ‘Assassin’s Mace’ Capability,” US Naval War College, China Maritime Studies, Number 3 (June 2009); and Scott C. Truver, “Taking Mines Seriously: Mine Warfare in China’s Near Seas,” US Naval War College Review , Spring 2012.

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31 Commander U.S. 7th Fleet, “Mine Countermeasure Ships Forward Deployed to Sasebo,” December 18, 2009, http://www.c7f.navy.mil/news/2009/12-december/08htm, Accessed December 10, 2012; Sydney J. Freedberg Jr., “Iran Mine Threat Scares Navy; CNO Scrambles To Fix Decades of Neglect,” Aol Defense, May 4, 2012, http://defense.aol.com/2012/05/04/iran-mine-threat-scares-navy-cno-scrambles-to-fix-decades-of-nel, Accessed December 4, 2012. 32 kç.l�m}�no�p*RS�q/TUSS Guardian3"r�ZTr��:¡��|�r��>BbD�bË=http://www.navy.mil/search/print.asp?story_id=72529, Accessed May 22, 2013. 33 ��>o�¶�K.äb��% Admiral Jonathan Greenert, Chief of Naval Operation¤'=�Cw����¦�»�Ð,û:Ös*/T|�* V0=� �\�ò(Iranian leaders)�-W��mé}�J|�:ªq/0VJr��:¡��|�r Jonathan Greenert, “Sea Change,” Foreign Policy, November 14, 2012, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/11/14/sea_change, Accessed January 24, 2013. 34 Talmadge, “Closing Time,” pp. 95-97.

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35 �²������=�I�ó���¯o�I�Og�de�·¸°¹ ��� ¡   2 ¦�f Î¢lm=2011¤243nr 36 ����'=aC(�Ë�|�;Ï* V0=£È*�3��� 20%3¤i{/0�Cw��·*�G¥¦/T�§��§¨3©¯0VJ|�:\]/0VJr����

�BCDE�F*u¯J����÷�  Öv¤�2012 2� 21Ì=http://www.jpsn.org/free/cap_cabin/2012/0228_hormuz/=2012 12� 11Ì��`Lr 37 Paul J. Ryan, “Iraqi Freedom: Mine Countermeasures a Success,” Proceedings, Vol.129, No.5, May, 2003, pp. 52-53. 38 Ibid.

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a�£b�Ò 1987Ì88¤I� ����� �I ªC=� ��_���'=� �GH�T) 1981 *Ù56!"/Ï/T��*¢Y=1985!"�·B«:,Þ/T���VðZ=V0Z~¬«��3«ô-��}��T39r/0=� �­®�°¹�>(IRGCN)'=1987 5�Ì88 4��È=�*��|°�À:æ�T²W�v W 91ð¤���� :RW/T zÖ¤r

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39 Ù56!"/Ï/T��'Myam�M-08=�·B«/T�' SADAF-01 MyamÀB�¤� SADAF-02  M-08ÀB�¤��ZJr��:¡��|�r David B. Crist, Gulf of Conflict: A History of U.S.-Iranian Confrontation at Sea:, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 2009), p. 12. 40 Ibid., pp. 12-15. 41 �·µâ×Ò#*uV0'=[¶� s��¤Oj��¥Oj�È�*N:·SIJ

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