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ANNUAL RESULTS PRESENTATION
for the year ended 30 September 2017
Agenda
• Year Under Review
• Financial Review
Group Performance
• Divisional Performance
Essential Foods
Groceries
International
• Strategy Update
• Outlook
• Questions
Salient Features
• Local trading environment progressively weaker
• Pricing challenges in beverages and cereals
• African exports inhibited by poor economic conditions
• Dried fruit pricing and currency impacted performance
• Maize position cleared
• Operating cost discipline maintained
• Cash generation positive
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
No
v-1
5
Dec
-15
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar
-16
Ap
r-1
6
May
-16
Jun
-16
Jul-
16
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Oct
-16
No
v-1
6
Dec
-16
Jan
-17
Feb
-17
Mar
-17
Ap
r-1
7
May
-17
Jun
-17
Jul-
17
Au
g-1
7
Sep
-17
ASK‘d Food Index
ASK'd Value ASK'd Volume
There is a trended real value loss vs. last year across the Total Food Basket, aligned to the continued downward sentiment in consumer confidence.
Source: ASK’d Sep 17
Total SA Food Performance
YTD Sep 2017 12 MM 6MM 3MM
ASK’d Value 2.1% -0.5% -1.1%
ASK’d Volume -3.2% -3.8% -3.1%
Total SA Food Performance
Source: ASK’d Oct 17
Year ended 30 September 2017
Revenue -5% to R19.6bn
Adjusted operating profit* -44% to R1.28bn
Operating margin From 11.0% to 6.5%
Adjusted HEPS* -50% to 442 cents
Cash generated by operations +50% to R2.58bn
Final dividend declared 260 cents
Financial Review
* Adjusted for Phase I B-BBEE (charge)/income and for related hedge, as well as items of a capital nature and once off M&A costs
Major Categories –Unfavourable Movement
Full year Contribution 1H2017
Maize R408m 47% R357m
International Fruit R195m 22% R105m
Local & International Beverages R273m 31% R152m
R876m 100% R614m
Profit Movement Analysis
Source: IRI Sep 2017
12MM Oct 2016 – Sep 2017
Value Share
Share points change
27.8% -3.2%
28.7% -0.1%
30.5% -1.8%
37.9% -1.9%
17.1% -0.2%
24.3% 2.8%
29.3% -0.9%
Bak
ery
Power Brands
Flo
ur
31.630.3
12MM Sep 16 12MM Sep 17
1 Measured as weighted average of Pioneer Foods’ share in 18 categories in which it operates. TEG only. Including DOB’s.
Corporate Share1
Value Share by Brand – full yearBrand Performance
Bak
ery
Source: IRI Sep 2017
Power Brands 12MM 3MM
27.8% 28.7%
Flo
ur
28.7% 28.7%
30.5% 33.7%
12MM Sep 2017 versus 3MM Sep 2017
37.9% 37.7%
17.1% 17.2%
24.3% 26.5%
29.3% 30.0%30.3
31.3
12MM Sep 17 3MM Sep 17
1 Measured as weighted average of Pioneer Foods’ share in 18 categories in which it operates. TEG only. Including DOB’s.
Corporate Share1
Value Share by Brand – final quarterBrand Performance
Group PerformanceFelix Lombard
Financial Overview
Volumes
-5%to 2.56 million tons
Adjusted headline earnings
-50%to R822.6 million
EPS
-57%to R3.90
Net cash generated from operations
+50%to R2.58 billion
Total dividend maintained at
R3.65per share
Adjusted ROA
-49%to 14.8%
Turnover
-5%to R19.575 billion
2017 2016 %
R million R million change
Volumes ('000 ton) 2,479 2,597 -5%
Revenue 19,575.0 20,599.7 -5%
Cost raw materials and packaging 11,845.0 12,195.7 -3%
Naked margin 7,730.0 8,404.0 -8%
Naked margin % 39.5% 40.8% -3%
Gross profit % 26.3% 29.5% -11%
Operating cost 6,453.3 6,130.8 5%
Adjusted operating profit 1,276.7 2,273.2 -44%
Operating margin adjusted 6.5% 11.0% -41%
Group Operational Income Statement
Beverages and maize the major
detractors in absolute terms.
Group sales price inflation of
0%. Mainly result of major price
deflation in maize.
Deflation in soft commodities
and volume declines.
Volume decline resulted in
overhead under recovery.
Cash cost well contained on an
absolute basis.
2017 2016 %
R million R million change
Adjusted Operating Profit 1,276.7 2,273.2 -44%
Once-off merger and acquisition costs -17.6 -
Phase I B-BBEE share-based payment (charge)/income and related hedge -102.9 44.8
Items of a capital nature -57.0 21.3
Net profit on disposal of PPE, intangible and AFS financial assets 10.6 20.4
Fair value adjustment of step-up from joint venture to subsidiary -18.7 -
Net (loss)/profit on disposal of equity accounted investments and subsidiary -17.7 24.2
Impairment of goodwill, intangible and AFS financial assets -31.2 -23.3
Operating profit 1,099.2 2,339.3 -53%
Investment income 22.3 46.8 -52%
Finance costs -196.8 -167.3 18%
Share of profit of investments accounted for using the equity method 44.4 99.3 -55%
Share of items of a capital nature of investments accounted (equity method) 15.9 1.1
Profit before income tax 985.0 2,319.2 -58%
Income tax expense -258.8 -629.0 -59%
Profit for the year 726.2 1,690.2 -57%
Understanding Adjustments
Result of major decline in PFG
share price. Phase I B-BBEE
liability and hedge. Hedge
valued at 100% of the mark-to-
market value, whilst the liability
valued differently in accordance
with IFRS 2.
Cost related to failed corporate
transaction.
Accounting entry related to
acquiring of further shares in
Nigerian venture.
Sale of poultry assets in
Botswana.
Decline in performance of joint
ventures.
Reduced cash balances.
Divisional Income Statements
Maize and wheat volumes down.
Material price deflation in maize.
Result of maize procurement position.
Trade destocking, strong Q4 2016 and beverage decline the major
detractors. CSD’s (exited) a major contributor.
Major prime cost inflation resulted in high single to double digit price
inflation over all categories.
Result of volume declines.
Low dollar fruit prices and rand strength.
Result of margin and volume declines.
Dried fruit exports materially down on back of smaller crop in 2016.
Decline in African exports. UK volumes grew strongly.
2017 2016 %Essential Foods R million R million change
Volumes ('000 ton) 2,090 2,133 -2%
Revenue 12,469.8 12,854.8 -3%
Adjusted operating profit 800.2 1,249.5 -36%
Operating margin adjusted 6.4% 9.7% -34%
2017 2016 %Groceries R million R million change
Volumes ('000 ton) 288 332 -13%
Revenue 4,402.7 4,695.1 -6%
Adjusted operating profit 357.0 541.6 -34%
Operating margin adjusted 8.1% 11.5% -30%
2017 2016 %International R million R million change
Volumes ('000 ton) 135 161 -16%
Revenue 2,702.5 3,049.8 -11%
Adjusted operating profit 121.5 484.2 -75%
Operating margin adjusted 4.5% 15.9% -72%
2017 2016 % 2017 2016 %
R million R million change R million R million change
Other 179.3 160.3 12% 20.4 24.5 -17%
Bokomo Botswana 554.6 642.4 -14% 17.7 48.3 -63%
Bokomo Namibia 278.9 282.5 -1% 7.5 8.2 -8%
Heinz Foods SA 374.9 379.7 -1% -26.8 5.9 -555%
Food Concepts Pioneer Ltd (YTD) 70.0 56.0 25% 2.9 1.0 180%
Future Life Health Products 148.4 115.9 28% 17.3 11.4 51%
Weetabix East Africa 41.8 - 5.3 -
1,647.9 1,636.8 44.3 99.3
Turnover - PF G share Share of PAT*
Inability to recover primary
inflation in market. Volume
decline. Overhead cost
challenge.
Acquired share in March.
Performed well notwithstanding
political challenges.
Performance of Joint Ventures and Associates
Became a subsidiary during the
year. Excellent volume growth.
Maize procurement position.
Poultry business sold during the
year.
* Before items of a capital nature
2017 2016 %
R million R million change
Net cash profit from operating activities 1,661.4 2,667.9 -38%
Change in working capital 751.7 -774.5
Inventory 178.2 -490.3
Debtors 271.0 -48.9
Creditors 302.5 -235.3
Cash effect from hedging activities 165.8 -174.6
Net cash generated by operations 2,578.9 1,718.8 50%
Working capital as % of
turnover decreased from
16.8% to 13.7%.
Soft commodity deflation and
SSC implementation major
contributors.
Started the year with “out of
the money” futures.
Cash Flow Analysis
2017 2016 %
R million R million change
Additions of PPE and intangible assets -612.4 -469.2 30.5%
Replacements of PPE and intangible assets -347.5 -339.9 2.2%
Proceeds on disposal of PPE and intangible assets 71.4 69.3
Business combinations -8.7 -146.9
Proceeds on disposal of joint venture 5.8 -
Proceeds on disposal of subsidiary - 62.3
Investment in associates and joint ventures -191.5 -200.5
Interest and dividends received 106.6 71.0 50.1%
Proceeds on disposal of available-for-sale assets and loans 18.8 -29.0
Net cash flow from investment activities -957.5 -982.9 -2.6%
Investment program on existing
assets nearly completed.
Completion of Weet-Bix and
Aeroton Bakery the major
spend in 2017.
Cash Flow Analysis
Investment in Weetabix East
Africa in 2017, Future Life 2016.
Bowman’s and Bokomo
Botswana the major
contributors.
978
166
(97)
501
612
(200)
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Rm 15% 3% -1% 6% 8%
Net Debt Equity Ratio
excl RMB
509
* Excludes B-BBEE (third party) debt
RmDebt levels still low despite
difficult operating year and
high capital investment.
Group net debt and debt equity ratio*
132
221
332365 365
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cents per share
+16%
+67%
260
46c
8646
237
Final
nal
156
+50%
3.1 2.7 2.2 2.2 1.1Dividend
cover
+10%
46
6595 105
Interim
105
260
0%
Able to maintain dividend as result of strong
cash-flow. Optimistic that 2018 will deliver
turnaround performance.
Dividend per share and cover*
• Adjusted Headline Earnings divided
by total dividend (excluding dividend
on treasury shares).
Divisional Performance
ESSENTIAL FOODSRiaan Heyl
Essential Foods Salient features at a category level
• Deflation not bolstering category demand
• Maize volume recovery since June
• Wheat demand remains muted
• Bread volume resilience in TEG only
• Rice imports slowing down
Source: SAGIS, IRI, SARS Data
TEG – Top End Grocers
Performance Summary
12 Months ended 30 September 2017
VOLUMES
• Maize the major driver
• Bread and rice positive
-2%
EXTERNAL REVENUE (R12.5bn)
• All categories except bread
showing deflation in H2
• Maize deflation = 10.9% (FY)
• Wheat deflation = 4.0% (FY)
-3%
-36%
OPERATING PROFIT (R800m)
• Maize the primary contributor
• Wheat profitability regressed -
duty uncertainty and competitive
landscape
• Bread/Rice/Pasta/Dried
Vegetables contributing
positively
-34%
OPERATING MARGIN
• 2017: 6.4%
Essential Foods
Maize
• 2016 procurement strategy
• Remained lossmaking
• White Star brand leadership maintained1
• Profitability & share reversed July 2017
• White Star Instant Porridge making inroads
OUTLOOK
• Category growth given SA stock position & consumer value
• White Star, SA’s favourite maize meal2, to sustain profit normalisation
Essential Foods
1 Source: IRI2 Sunday Times Top Brand Survey 2017
Wheat / Bread / Pasta
• Wheat duty uncertainty
• Milling profitability regressed
• Aeroton bakery investment per plan
• Western Cape bread competition
• KZN bread capacity constraints
• Local pasta vs imports (wheat duty)
OUTLOOK
• Impact of affordable maize on bread demand
• Shakaskraal capability early 2018
• KZN wheat milling late 2018
Essential Foods
Rice / Dried Vegetables
• Rice supply chain efficiency improved
• Strong rice volume performance
• Spekko leading brand in TEG (July - Aug 2017)1
• Profitability of dried vegetables maintained
OUTLOOK
• Impact of cheaper maize on rice demand
• Full year rice supply chain benefits
Essential Foods
1 Source: IRI (Volume share)
Outlook
• Sufficient global and local soft commodity supply
• Maize profitability restored
• Wheat duty and currency uncertainty to remain
Increased wheaten value chain competition
Impact of maize meal affordability on wheat based products and rice
• Essential Foods positioned for growth
Fixed capital investment and capacity
Accelerated brand investment
• Cost and efficiency focus to be maintained
Essential Foods
Divisional Performance
GROCERIES Martin Neethling
Performance Summary
12 Months ended 30 September 2017
VOLUMES
• All categories record declines-13%
EXTERNAL REVENUE (R4.4bn)
• Category volume pressure
• Constrained consumer spend
• Moderate summer
• CSD exit
-6%
-34%
OPERATING PROFIT (R357m)
• Primary input cost inflation not
fully recovered from market
• Fixed costs
-30%
OPERATING MARGIN
• 2017: 8.1%
Groceries
Martin – use this commentary together
with previous slide
• Significant year-on-year input inflation
• Category volume growth in only 4 of 11 categories
• Price competition and increased discounting
Trade destocking
Increased trade investment did not deliver gain
• Intensified pursuit of value
• Discontinued CSD’s
• Long Life Juice the major profit underperformer
GroceriesPerformance Summary
Cereals – A Price Story
• Category showing some resilience - 2.1% volume growth
• Constrained regional trade results in export stock round-tripping
• Disrupted pricing levels
Barriers
Confusion
Relativities
• Weet-Bix maintains value share1
Groceries
1 Source: IRI
Beverages – Market Dynamics
• Cooler summer
• LLFJ category flat in volume
• Revenue regression driven by
Private Label CSD exit
LLFJ volume
• Strong resistance to higher prices in LLFJ
• Liquifruit maintains value share
• Dilutables category volume declined by -10.2%
• Wild Island and Fruitree under pressure due to competitor pricing activity
Groceries
Balance of Portfolio – Relative Success
• Significant improvement in fruit and nut margin performance – bolstered by favourable mix
• Volume share gains in Moir’s baking aids in a growing market
• Black spreads shows real volume growth, translating into market share gains
Groceries
Outlook – Restore the Core
• Volume growth in cereals
Relative pricing, shelf health, Weet-Bix
• Market share recovery in LLFJ
Innovation driver, improved service levels
• Lipton low sugar reboot
• Strong brand refresh in snacks
• Further honing of the portfolio
• Manufacturing interventions to deliver
Groceries
Divisional Performance
INTERNATIONAL Thushen Govender
Performance Summary
12 Months ended 30 September 2017
VOLUMES
• Africa and fruit volumes
remained under pressure
• UK delivered solid performance
-16%
EXTERNAL REVENUE (R2.7bn)
• Impacted by constrained African
markets
• Record low USD fruit pricing
-11%
-75%
OPERATING PROFIT (R122m)
• Volatile currency and basket
volume decline negatively
impacted operating profit
-72%
OPERATING MARGIN OPERATING MARGIN
• 2017: 4.5%
International
Exports
• Macro economic conditions in key markets impact performance
• Consequent price recovery of cost push constrained
• Credit default and associated mitigation measures impede sales growth
• Tier 2 markets show double digit volume growth
International
Fruit Exports – “The Perfect Storm”
• Increased competition for supply of SA dried fruit drives up raw material pricing
• Global USD pricing drops to an all time low
• Strengthening Rand post procurement
• Limited carry in stock from 2016
International
• Stream Foods integration concluded and the NPD pipeline on track
• Core business volume growth sound
• Drag on price increases to mitigate the impact of Brexit impairs performance
• European export opportunities pursued
• In-house capability leveraged to re-engineer product offering
• Further bolt-on opportunities being considered
United KingdomInternational
• Recovery of African export markets incremental
Choice of in country partners critical
Select market development a priority
• Increasing USD pricing on raisins
Increasing competition for SA raisin supply
Procurement price expectations elevated
• UK - healthy snacking remains on trend
Weaker GBP provides export opportunity
• Nigerian capacity expansion planned
Outlook
International
STRATEGY UPDATE
Tertius Carstens
CEO
Strategy
• Broad strategic themes entrenched
Drive above market growth
Continue to enhance competiveness
• Restoring the core takes precedence
Performance in maize, local beverages and cereals
Growth investments to deliver
African export market development
• Acquisitive vigilance
Focus on geographies and categories where present
Heinz Foods SA
• Capital expenditure
Ahead of investment curve for existing business
Outlook
• SA - Forecasts point to frail economic conditions to prevail
Political uncertainty and volatile currency to endure
Soft commodity deflation in the system
• UK - Brexit uncertainty to drag on
Continue to leverage key capabilities although pricing a remaining challenge
• Africa - Key market recovery slow given currency and credit risk
Partner relationship and choice key
• Western Cape drought - mitigation, alternative sourcing where possible
Impact on raw material - wheat, dried tree fruit, concentrates
• 2018
Local maize, beverages and cereals to rebound
African beverage exports: slower recovery
International vine fruit to improve
QUESTIONS?
THANK YOU
This document contains forward looking statements that, unless otherwise indicated, reflect the company’s expectations as at 20 November 2017. Actual results may differ
materially from the company’s expectations if known and unknown risks or uncertainties affect the business, or if estimates or assumptions prove to be inaccurate. The company
cannot guarantee that any forward looking statement will materialise and, accordingly, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements. The
company disclaims any intention and assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward looking statement even if new information becomes available as a result of future
events or for any other reason, save as required to do so by legislation and/or regulation.