Upload
oclc-research
View
837
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Keynote for OLAC Conference (Albuquerque, New Mexico) 19 October, 2012
Citation preview
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Big, social, and media-rich
OLAC 2012
19 October 2012
Eric ChildressConsulting Project ManagerOCLC Research
The world’s libraries. Connected.
• Big patterns• Media patterns• 50 years ago
Talk Map
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Big Patterns
The world’s libraries. Connected.
New companies blend:
•retail/advertising
•devices/OS
•content
•social
Players & positions shift…
The world’s libraries. Connected.
• Passing…• The exclusive reign of:
• a professional creator corps,
• publishing houses as gatekeepers, and,
• TV network & cinema studio executives as primary selectors of mass culture
• Big corporate funding & control
• Publisher owns copyright
• Packaged media
• Rising…• The “everyman” creative
class
• Low cost means of composing, editing and publishing
• Mobile devices as capture and creation platforms
• It’s all content
• Content is becoming social
• Crowdfunding of creators
• Many copyright strategies
• Digital
The creative ecology
The world’s libraries. Connected.
• GoodReads 11M members (390M books on their shelves)
• LibraryThing 1.6M members (76M books cataloged)
• Mendeley - 1.6M researchers (200M research documents)
• Academic.edu - 1M users (1.6M papers)
Resources are social
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Media Patterns
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Gaming
• Physical media• US, UK, Japan, &
Australian sales falling
• Console games dying?
• Game stores under pressure
• Digital format content• Sales rising
• Many forms, channels
• New business model: Crowdfunding
Patterns - Gaming
Project Eternity crowdfunded role-playing game
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Tidbit (Gaming)
• Game consoles can serve as platforms for more than games…
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Compact discs
• 30 yrs ago: Oct.1982: 1st commercial release: Billy Joel's 52nd Street
• 1st CD to beat its LP sales: Dire Straits' Brothers in Arms (1985)
LPs
• 2011: LP sales (3.9M) - up 39% over 2010
Patterns – Audio (Music)
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Digital music:
• 2011: digital track sales exceed CD sales
• Most popular track in 2012 (thru July):
• “Somebody That I Used To Know” / Gotye
• Internet radio• Pandora (150M users) -
6.53% of all radio listening in the U.S
Other trends:• Streaming/cloud
• iTunes Match
• Amazon Cloud Player
• New business models:
• Crowdfunding• Records: Lots of sites
• New: tour-funding…
• 360 deals• Labels and artists share
tour, recording, etc. revenue
Patterns – Audio (Music) (2)
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Tidbit (Music) – 1-bit symphony
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Tidbit (Music) – Algae music
The world’s libraries. Connected.
DVR / devices / on-demandDelayed viewing (DVR)
• 7-14 days later: Significant viewership for some shows
• “TV Everywhere” initiative – watch shows on any device
• Also: apps from ABC, HBO, etc.
• 10% of U.S. tablet owners watch videos daily
• Netflix = 33% of all peak-hour downstream Internet traffic in North America
• YouTube = 4B hours watched/month
Network TV
• Brand: Viewers know show, but may not know network
• Older viewers - steady
• Younger viewers - down
Patterns – TV & On-demand
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Tidbit (Netflix)
• Netflix will caption 100% of videos by 2014
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Industry worries:
• Rise of low-cost movie rental & subscription services
• Streaming revenue up
• Threat of Internet piracy
• Declines in DVD sales• Blu-ray rising significantly
• Overall DVD sales declining
Theatrical releases:
• Movie tickets sales• 1.57B (2002) – 1.28B
(2011)
• Revenue up (due to significant price increases)
• Studios like selling live “experience” (e.g., 3D) – no threat of piracy
Patterns - Films
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Tidbits – What films sell well?
Source: the Numbers
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Tidbit – How hit films are born
Source: the Numbers
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Tidbit – Harry Potter franchise
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Fifty years ago…
The world’s libraries. Connected.
On 5 October 1962, Dr. No released – 1st Bond film starring Sean Connery ; worldwide premiere was in London
The world’s libraries. Connected.
50 years ago… Love Me Do
On 5 October 1962 “Love Me Do” was released as a single (B-side: “P.S. I Love You”) in the U.K.
The song is an early Lennon–McCartney composition, principally written by Paul McCartney in 1958–1959 while playing truant from school at age 16.
Source: Wikipedia.
The world’s libraries. Connected.
Thank you