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    IMPORTANT

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    Evaluation of the fibromyalgia impact questionnaireat baseline as a predictor for time to pain improvementin two clinical trials of pregabalin

    A. G. Bushmakin,1 J. C. Cappelleri,1 A. B. Chandran,2 G. Zlateva2

    Introduction

    Fibromyalgia (FM) is a chronic condition that may

    occur in individuals regardless of age or gender, but

    disproportionately affects women in an approximate

    ratio of 7 : 1 (1). Although FM has been convention-

    ally characterised by chronic widespread pain, fatigue

    and multiple tender points (2), the frequent presence

    of a constellation of comorbid symptoms contribute

    to the reduced function and quality of life reported

    by patients with FM (35). These symptoms include

    sleep disturbances, headaches, irritable bowel, cogni-

    tive dysfunction, anxiety and depression, all of which

    are associated with significant impact on daily func-

    tioning. It is now recognised that these symptoms

    are part of the clinical presentation of FM (6) and

    have been incorporated into clinical guidance (7).

    The aetiology and pathogenesis of FM have yet to

    be fully elucidated. Nevertheless, re-evaluation of the

    clinical concept of FM, incorporating results of neu-

    roimaging studies, support a dysfunction in central

    pain processing and other alterations in neurotrans-

    mitters as integral to the pathways underlying the

    multidimensional nature of this disease (8,9).

    Recent evidence-based recommendations for the

    management of FM suggest the use of non-pharma-

    cologic and pharmacologic therapies (10), with the

    latter consisting of agents from diverse therapeutic

    classes. Although these classes include analgesics,

    antidepressants, anticonvulsants, muscle relaxants

    S U M M A R Y

    Background: The Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQ) is a patient-reported

    outcome that evaluates the impact of fibromyalgia (FM) on daily life. This study

    evaluated the relationships between the functional status of FM patients, measured

    with the FIQ at baseline, and median time to a clinically relevant pain reduction.

    Methods: Data were derived from two randomised, placebo-controlled trials that

    evaluated pregabalin 300, 450 and 600 mg

    day for the treatment of FM. TheKaplanMeier (nonparametric) method was applied to estimate median times to

    transient and stable events. The transient event was defined as a 27.9%

    improvement on an 11-point daily pain diary scale (0 = no pain, 10 = worst pos-

    sible pain), and the stable event was defined as the mean of the daily improve-

    ments 27.9% relative to baseline over the subsequent study duration starting on

    the day of the transient event. A parametric model using time-to-event analysis

    was developed for evaluating the relationship between baseline FIQ score and the

    median time to these events. Results: Median time was longer among patients

    treated with placebo relative to pregabalin for the transient events (1112 days

    vs. 57 days) and stable events (86 days vs. 1329 days). A significant association

    was observed between baseline FIQ scores and median time to transient and sta-

    ble events (p < 0.001). Median times to events were similar between the studies.

    For transient pain reduction events, median times ranged from 3.0 to 4.5 days for

    baseline FIQ scores of 10, and 9.19.6 days for FIQ scores of 100; for stable pain

    reduction events, the median time ranged from 11.0 to 13.0 days and from 27.0

    to 28.5 days for baseline FIQ scores of 10 and 100 respectively. Conclu-

    sions: Time to a clinically relevant reduction in pain was significantly associated

    with FM severity at baseline as measured by the FIQ. Such an analysis can inform

    patient and physician expectations in clinical practice.

    Whats knownCategorisation of fibromyalgia as a

    multidimensional condition has enabled

    development of patient-reported outcome measures

    that have successfully evaluated the disease and its

    treatment within the context of pain (with a

    numeric rating scale, NRS) and, separately, patient

    function and disease severity surrounding theimpact of fibromyalgia on daily life (with the

    Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire, FIQ).

    Whats newAmong subjects with fibromyalgia, longer median

    times to pain reduction (as measured by NRS), both

    transient and stable reduction, after pregabalin

    treatment were associated with higher levels of

    baseline fibromyalgia severity (as measured by the

    FIQ). Determining the time to clinical efficacy and

    its relationship with baseline disease severity is a

    useful approach for enhancing management

    strategies by informing patients and physicians

    regarding clinically realistic expectations of

    pregabalin treatment.

    1Pfizer Inc., Statistics, Groton,

    CT, USA2Pfizer Inc., Outcomes

    Research, New York, NY, USA

    Correspondence to:

    Joseph C. Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc.,

    445 Eastern Point Road (MS

    8260-2502), Groton, CT 06340,

    USA

    Tel.: +1 860 441 8033

    Fax: +1 860 686 5139

    Email: joseph.c.cappelleri@

    pfizer.com

    Disclosures

    Andrew G. Bushmakin, Joseph

    C. Cappelleri, Arthi B.

    Chandran, and Gergana Zlateva

    are employees and stockholders

    of Pfizer Inc, the sponsor of

    this study.

    OR I GI NA L P A P E R

    2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd52 Int J Clin Pract, January 2013, 67, 1, 5259. doi: 10.1111/ijcp.12035

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    and sedativeshypnotics, only three drugs have been

    specifically approved for the treatment of FM: pre-

    gabalin (11), duloxetine (12) and milnacipran (13).

    In contrast with the antidepressants duloxetine

    and milnacipran, pregabalin is an anticonvulsant that

    is a high affinity ligand of alpha2-delta subunits of

    voltage-gated calcium channels (14). Pregabalin has

    been shown to reduce the release of neurotransmit-ter, including glutamate (15,16) and substance P

    (17). Pregabalin was the first pharmacologic therapy

    approved in the US for the treatment of FM, and

    has also been approved at doses up to 450 mg daily

    for FM in 24 countries, including Canada, Russia,

    Israel, and several Asian, Middle Eastern and Latin

    American countries. Its approval was based on dem-

    onstration of statistically and clinically significant

    reductions in pain relative to placebo as well as

    improvements in other patient-reported outcomes

    (PROs) (1820).

    Although pain remains a primary outcome mea-

    sure in FM, the categorisation of FM, as a multidi-

    mensional condition, has enabled development of

    PROs that evaluate FM within a broader context of

    patient functioning and categorisation of disease

    severity (21). In particular, the Fibromyalgia Impact

    Questionnaire (FIQ) was developed and validated as

    a PRO for evaluating the impact of FM on daily life

    (22). Cutoff scores for defining severity levels on the

    FIQ have been established, as has a clinically relevant

    difference on the FIQ (23).

    In clinical trials, PROs, such as the FIQ, are gener-

    ally analysed in the form of the differences between

    treatment arms. However, time-to-event modelling(i.e. survival analysis) can provide an additional

    perspective of treatment effects that includes initial

    improvement and stable improvement. Such a per-

    spective may enhance our knowledge of the relevant

    events that may be expected during treatment in a

    clinical setting, including time to improvement and

    an understanding of why patients switch medica-

    tions, especially if a surrogate marker is identified

    that can be used to estimate the time to response.

    The purpose of the current investigation is to evalu-

    ate the relationship between functional impairment

    in patients with FM, measured by FIQ scores at

    baseline, and the median time-to-improvement for

    clinically meaningful reductions in pain for different

    doses of pregabalin and placebo.

    Methods

    Data used for modelling in the current analysis were

    derived from two similarly designed randomised, pla-

    cebo-controlled trials that evaluated three doses of

    pregabalin (300, 450 and 600 mgday) for the treat-

    ment of FM (19,20). It should be noted that

    600 mgday is not an approved or a recommended

    dose for FM. All patients, including patients rando-

    mised to 600 mgday, were included in this second-

    ary analysis to be consistent with the two main

    efficacy publications emanating from the two studies

    (19,20).

    In one study (Study 1), 745 patients were rando-mised to 14 weeks of double-blind treatment (19),

    and in the other study (Study 2), 748 patients were

    randomised to 13 weeks of treatment (20). Both

    studies were conducted in accordance with the Dec-

    laration of Helsinki, approved by the appropriate

    institutional review boards or independent ethics

    committees, and patients provided written informed

    consent prior to participation.

    Details of the subjects, methodology and results of

    the trials have been previously published (19,20).

    Two types of events were considered in this analy-

    sis, a transient event and a stable event. The tran-

    sient pain reduction event was defined as an

    improvement by 27.9% on an 11-point daily pain

    diary numerical rating scale (0 = no pain, 10 = worst

    possible pain); this percent reduction in pain has

    been previously determined to be a clinically impor-

    tant difference (24). The stable pain reduction event

    was defined as having the mean of the daily

    improvements be 27.9% relative to baseline over

    the subsequent study duration starting on the day of

    the transient event.

    Two different methods of time-to-event analysis

    were used to provide distinct sets of results (25). In

    the first time-to-event analysis, KaplanMeier (non-parametric) methodology (26) was applied to esti-

    mate median time to events stratified by treatment

    arm. In the second analysis, parametric models were

    fit to evaluate the relationship between baseline FIQ

    scores and the median time to event for patients

    treated with pregabalin. The models included time to

    event as the outcome accounting for censoring, and

    baseline FIQ as the predictor. Time to event was

    taken to follow a gamma distribution, and thus the

    gamma model provides the parametric survival esti-

    mate. The model included an intercept parameter,

    the coefficient parameter for baseline FIQ, and scale

    and shape parameters. On the basis of the model,

    the times to transient and stable events were pre-

    dicted for deciles of baseline FIQ values. Scoring of

    the FIQ is on a 0100 scale, with higher scores indi-

    cating a greater impact of FM.

    Using the same types of model, a secondary analy-

    sis was performed that evaluated baseline pain as a

    predictor of time to event, with the times to tran-

    sient and stable events predicted for each baseline

    pain severity score from 4 to 10; a minimum score

    Time to meaningful pain reduction 53

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    of 4 was required for entry into the clinical trials. All

    analyses were conducted using sas version 9.2 (SAS

    Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA).

    Results

    Subject demographics in both studies were similar,

    well-balanced across treatment groups, and consis-tent with what may be expected for an FM popula-

    tion (Table 1). The overall population was

    predominantly female (94.4%) and white (90.6%),

    with a mean age of 49.4 (standard deviation 11.2)

    years.

    On the basis of KaplanMeier estimation, median

    times to the transient event of clinically meaningful

    pain reduction were similar in both studies

    (Table 2), and were longer among patients treated

    with placebo (1112 days) relative to pregabalin

    (57 days). Median times to stable pain reduction

    events were also similar between the studies; pregab-

    alin resulted in a shorter median time relative to pla-

    cebo, with a median time for placebo subjects in

    study 1 that was beyond the study duration.Although the pregabalin 300 mg dose generally

    resulted in a longer median time to event, there was

    a general lack of significance in the median time to

    transient and stable events across active treatment

    dose groups, enabling the doses to be pooled in each

    study for the predictive modelling using a parametric

    approach. In addition, the proportions of patients

    Table 1 Demographic and clinical characteristics of the study populations

    Variable

    Placebo Pregabalin 300 mg Pregabalin 450 mg Pregabalin 600 mg

    Study 1(n = 184)

    Study 2(n = 190)

    Study 1(n = 183)

    Study 2(n = 185)

    Study 1(n = 190)

    Study 2(n = 183)

    Study 1(n = 188)

    Study 2(n = 190)

    Sex, n (%)

    Female 169 (91.8) 183 (96.3) 173 (94.5) 174 (94.1) 183 (96.3) 169 (92.3) 179 (95.2) 180 (94.7)

    Male 15 (8.2) 7 (3.7) 10 (5.5) 11 (5.9) 7 (3.7) 14 (7.7) 9 (4.8) 10 (5.3)

    Age, years, mean (SD) 49 (11.4) 48.6 (11.3) 49.1 (11.2) 50.1 (10.4) 50.8 (11.8) 47.7 (10.8) 50.9 (11.1) 48.7 (11.2)

    Race, n (%)

    White 169 (91.8) 167 (87.9) 164 (89.6) 169 (91.4) 171 (90.0) 169 (92.3) 174 (92.6) 170 (89.5)

    Black 7 (3.8) 10 (5.3) 9 (4.9) 10 (5.4) 12 (6.3) 7 (3.8) 5 (2.7) 8 (4.2)

    Other 8 (4.3) 13 (6.8) 10 (5.5) 6 (3.2) 7 (3.7) 7 (3.8) 9 (4.8) 12 (6.3)

    FM duration, years, mean (SD) 10.3 (9.0) 8.8 (6.9) 9.6 (7.0) 9.6 (8.6) 10.3 (7.7) 9.6 (8.5) 9.9 (8.3) 9.3 (7.6)

    Baseline pain score, mean (SD) 6.6 (1.3) 7.2 (1.2) 6.7 (1.3) 7.1 (1.4) 6.6 (1.4) 7.1 (1.4) 6.7 (1.4) 7.0 (1.1)

    Baseline FIQ score, mean (SD) 58.7 (15.6) 65.1 (13.7)* 61.1 (15.7) 65.8 (13.4)* 59.6 (15.1) 63.6 (13.9)* 59.5 (16.2) 62.7 (13.2)*

    *Calculated separately as they were not reported in the study publication.

    Table 2 Median time to events based on KaplanMeier estimation

    Study

    Median time to event, days (percent responders) p*

    Placebo Pregabalin 300 mg Pregabalin 450 mg Pregab alin 600 mg All subjects Pregabal in subjects

    Transient event

    Study 1 12 (75.3) 7 (83.5) 6 (85.7) 6 (86.5) 0.0001 0.6818

    Study 2 11 (75.5) 7 (79.4) 6 (87.8) 5 (84.7) < 0.0001 0.0271

    Stable event

    Study 1 (42.3) 23 (61.5) 14 (63.0) 15 (58.9) < 0.0001 0.725

    Study 2 86 (46.8) 29 (59.4) 18 (62.8) 13 (60.3) 0.0029 0.7005

    *On the basis of the log-rank test of equality among distributions of the treatment groups examined; p-values for all subjects indicate that at least one intervention

    group was different from at least another intervention group, and p-values for pregabalin subjects indicates that at least one pregabalin group was different from at

    least one other pregabalin group for transient event in study 2.

    Transient event defined as a 27.9% improvement on an 11-point daily pain diary numerical rating scale (0 = no pain, 10 = worst possible pain).

    Stable event defined as the mean of the daily improvements being maintained at a level 27.9% relative to baseline over the study duration starting on the day

    of the transient event.

    54 Time to meaningful pain reduction

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    who were transient and stable responders were con-

    sistently higher with pregabalin (Table 2), and these

    proportions were similar between the two studies.

    For the pooled doses of pregabalin in the paramet-

    ric model, a clear relationship was observed in both

    studies between baseline FIQ scores and median time

    to improvement for the transient event of pain

    reduction (Figure 1A, C) and the stable event of painreduction (Figure 1B, D). These graphs show that

    longer median times to improvement were associated

    with higher (less favourable) FIQ scores at baseline,

    and these relationships were statistically significant

    (p < 0.001).

    On the basis of this model, the median times to

    the transient event of pain reduction across deciles of

    baseline FIQ scores were generally consistent between

    Study 1 and Study 2 (Table 3), and increased from

    4.5 [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.4, 6.0] and 3.0

    (95% CI 2.1, 4.3) days for baseline FIQ scores of 10

    in Study 1 and 2, respectively, to 9.1 (95% CI 7.2,

    11.5) and 9.6 (95% CI 7.5, 12.4), respectively, for

    baseline scores of 100. Similarly, the median times to

    stable events were also consistent between the studies

    and were approximately three times higher than the

    median to transient events, regardless of the FIQ

    score. For the stable event, the estimated median

    time for subjects with baseline FIQ scores of 10 was

    13.0 (95% CI 8.6, 19.7) and 11.0 (95% CI 6.6, 18.3)

    in Studies 1 and 2, respectively, and this increased to

    28.5 (95% CI 19.5, 41.5) and 27.0 (95% CI 18.1,

    40.4), respectively, for subjects with baseline FIQ

    scores of 100.Clear relationships were also observed between

    baseline NRS pain score and time to transient and

    stable events (Figure 2). Estimation of median time

    to events was consistent between the two studies for

    each level of pain severity (Table 4), and there was a

    moderate correlation between baseline pain and base-

    line FIQ; Pearson r = 0.52 and 0.51 in Study 1 and

    Study 2 respectively (p < 0.0001 for both studies).

    Discussion

    Although the results reported in this study were

    derived from clinical trials, they are relevant to the

    clinical setting by providing data that can inform

    physicians and patients regarding treatment expecta-

    tions, such as the length of time to onset of efficacy.

    Figure 1 Parametric model demonstrating the relationship between baseline score on the Fibromyalgia Impact

    Questionnaire (FIQ) and predicted median time to events. Black circles represent predicted median time to event and the

    shading represents the 95% confidence interval. Transient event in Study 1 (A) and Study 2 (C) defined as a 27.9%

    improvement on an 11-point daily pain diary numerical rating scale (0 = no pain, 10 = worst possible pain). Stable event

    in Study 1 (B) and Study 2 (D) defined as the mean of the daily improvements being maintained at a level 27.9%

    relative to baseline over the study duration starting on the day of the transient event.

    Time to meaningful pain reduction 55

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    Table 3 Predicted median and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for time to event in active treatment arms in

    Studies 1 and 2 as a function of baseline scores of the Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQ).

    Baseline

    FIQ score

    Median (95% CI) time to event, days

    Transient event* Stable event

    Study 1 Study 2 Study 1 Study 2

    10 4.5 (3.4, 6.0) 3.0 (2.1, 4.3) 13.0 (8.6, 19.7) 11.0 (6.6, 18.3)

    20 4.9 (3.8, 6.2) 3.4 (2.6, 4.6) 14.2 (9.9, 20.5) 12.2 (7.9, 18.9)

    30 5.2 (4.3, 6.4) 3.9 (3.1, 5.0) 15.5 (11.2, 21.5) 13.5 (9.3, 19.5)

    40 5.7 (4.9, 6.6) 4.4 (3.7, 5.3) 16.9 (12.6, 22.7) 14.9 (10.9, 20.4)

    50 6.1 (5.4, 7.0) 5.1 (4.4, 5.8) 18.4 (14.1, 24.2) 16.4 (12.5, 21.5)

    60 6.6 (5.9, 7.4) 5.8 (5.2, 6.4) 20.1 (15.4, 26.2) 18.1 (14.1, 23.3)

    70 7.2 (6.3, 8.1) 6.5 (5.8, 7.3) 21.9 (16.7, 28.9) 20.0 (15.5, 25.9)

    80 7.8 (6.7, 9.1) 7.4 (6.4, 8.6) 23.9 (17.7, 32.3) 22.2 (16.6, 29.6)

    90 8.4 (6.9, 10.2) 8.5 (7.0, 10.3) 26.1 (18.7, 36.4) 24.5 (17.4, 34.3)

    100 9.1 (7.2, 11.5) 9.6 (7.5, 12.4) 28.5 (19.5, 41.5) 27.0 (18.1, 40.4)

    *Transient event defined as a 27.9% improvement on an 11-point daily pain diary numerical rating scale (0 = no pain, 10 = worst

    possible pain).

    Stable event defined as having the mean of the daily improvements be 27.9% relative to baseline over the subsequent study dura-

    tion starting on the day of the transient event.

    Figure 2 Parametric model demonstrating the relationship between baseline pain Numerical Rating Scale (NRS; 0 = no

    pain, 10 = worst possible pain) score and predicted median time to events. Black circles represent predicted median time

    to event and the shading represents the 95% confidence interval. Transient event in Study 1 (A) and Study 2 (C) defined

    as a 27.9% improvement on the NRS. Stable event in Study 1 (B) and Study 2 (D) defined as the mean of the daily

    improvements being maintained at a level 27.9% relative to baseline over the study duration starting on the day of the

    transient event.

    56 Time to meaningful pain reduction

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    These results show that there is a direct and signifi-

    cant relationship between FM severity, assessed using

    the FIQ, and the time to a clinically significant

    reduction in pain with pregabalin; a longer time to

    pain reduction was observed at greater levels of FM

    severity. Furthermore, the magnitude of both the

    relationship and the reduction can be quantified in a

    meaningful, practical and comprehensive manner.

    The results of these analyses, with respect to both

    responder rates and response times, were consistent

    across both studies, demonstrating stability and

    repeatability. In particular, the substantial rates ofresponse with pregabalin suggest that the median time

    to event is unlikely to be influenced by patients who

    failed to achieve the study endpoint. Importantly,

    both models (FIQ- and pain-based) resulted in pre-

    dictions that were similar. Furthermore, the models

    based on different studies also gave close results, pro-

    viding further support of the models stability.

    Patients who have not (yet) experienced the event

    are said to be censored. Censored data contribute

    valuable information and they should not be omitted

    from the analysis. It would also be wrong to treat

    the observed time (at censoring) as the survival time.

    In our study, we used a specialised set of statistical

    methods that have been developed for handling such

    data. These methods use all information up to the

    time of censoring and do not throw away informa-

    tion. The censored observations contribute to the

    total number at risk up to the time that they ceased

    to be followed. If more than 50% of the observations

    are censored, estimates may not be reliable (27). In

    our study, less than 50% of the subjects (about 40%)

    did not experience a stable event (and hence were

    censored) and, therefore, we expect the estimates

    produced to be reliable. If the subjects were to expe-

    rience a stable event, it would be after their censored

    time and the analysis makes use of this information.

    Approximately 75% of patients on placebo were

    responders in the transient time-to-event analysis.

    This high percentage is suggestive of a large placebo

    effect for a transient response and underscores the

    importance of also conducting an analysis where

    responders are to have a stable event, which invokes

    a more rigorous standard. In the stable time-to-event

    analysis, the percentage of subjects on placebo whoresponded falls substantively to 42% in one study

    and 47% in another. In supplementing the transient

    analysis, the stable event analysis therefore adds fair

    balance to the overall analysis.

    As indicated by the general lack of significance

    across active treatment dose groups in the time-to-

    event curves for transient and stable events, the dose

    of pregabalin was consistently observed to be a statis-

    tically insignificant factor in the onset and mainte-

    nance of efficacy. Pregabalin 300 mgday resulted in

    a longer numerical estimate of median time to event

    relative to the other doses [450 mgday is the maxi-

    mum recommended dose for the treatment of FM

    (28)], which suggests a possible doseresponse rela-

    tionship. Across all doses of pregabalin, subjects with

    mild FM (FIQ score < 39) had a median time to ini-

    tial efficacy of approximately 45 days, whereas those

    with moderate (FIQ score 39 to < 59) and severe

    FM (FIQ score 59) had median times of approxi-

    mately 6 days and 79 days respectively. Pooling the

    three doses of pregabalin increased the stability of

    the results.

    Table 4 Predicted median and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for time to event in active treatment arms in

    Studies 1 and 2 as a function of baseline pain scores on a Numerical Rating Scale (NRS).

    Baseline NRS

    pain score

    Median (95% CI) time to event, days

    Transient event* Stable event

    Study 1 Study 2 Study 1 Study 2

    4 4.6 (3.7, 5.6) 3.5 (2.8, 4.2) 14.8 (10.7, 20.7) 13.0 (9.2, 18.2)

    5 5.3 (4.5, 6.1) 4.2 (3.6, 4.9) 16.6 (12.4, 22.2) 14.6 (10.9, 19.6)

    6 6.0 (5.3, 6.8) 5.0 (4.4, 5.6) 18.6 (14.2, 24.3) 16.5 (12.7, 21.5)

    7 6.9 (6.2, 7.7) 6.0 (5.4, 6.6) 20.7 (15.9, 27.1) 18.7 (14.5, 24.0)

    8 7.9 (6.9, 9.1) 7.1 (6.3, 8.0) 23.2 (17.4, 30.9) 21.0 (16.2, 27.3)

    9 9.0 (7.5, 10.8) 8.5 (7.3, 10.0) 25.9 (18.8, 35.8) 23.8 (17.7, 31.8)

    10 10.4 (8.2, 13.1) 10.2 (8.4, 12.5) 29.0 (20.0, 42.1) 26.8 (19.1, 37.5)

    *Transient event defined as a 27.9% improvement on an 11-point daily pain diary numerical rating scale (0 = no pain, 10 = worst

    possible pain).

    Stable event defined as having the mean of the daily improvements be 27.9% relative to baseline over the subsequent study dura-

    tion starting on the day of the transient event.

    Time to meaningful pain reduction 57

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    Although a short time to onset of efficacy after

    initiation of therapy is of great benefit, the ability to

    maintain a stable level of improvement during treat-

    ment is an equally important attribute that contrib-

    utes to patterns of dosing, adherence and switching.

    In the current analysis, the median time to stable

    improvement was approximately three times longer

    than the time to onset, regardless of baseline FMseverity (as measured by FIQ) or pain severity (as

    measured by NRS Pain).

    Two previous studies of pregabalin estimated the

    time to onset of pain relief (29,30). In these studies,

    however, the type of population and the definition

    of pain reduction differed from the ones presented

    in the current study. Patients in the previous two

    studies had postherpetic neuralgia or painful diabetic

    neuropathy; moreover, pain relief was defined as a

    1-point reduction in pain relative to baseline for

    those patients who had clinically meaningful pain

    reduction (> 30%) at end point (29,30). One of

    these studies reported a median time to pain reduc-

    tion of 1.5 days for fixed-dose pregabalin in patients

    with postherpetic neuralgia (29), and the other

    reported pain reductions by 2 days after initiating

    treatment (30). However, in contrast with those

    studies, which considered a statistically significant

    reduction in pain, the current analysis used a clini-

    cally significant reduction in pain as the marker for

    efficacy and evaluated the entire pregabalin cohort

    regardless of response. Therefore, both the median

    time to transient event and the median time to stable

    event may represent more realistic and relevant esti-

    mates of what may be expected in clinical practice.An important limitation of this study is that it was

    based on clinical trial populations, which may be dif-

    ferent from that of the clinical setting in that they may

    reflect patients who are more motivated or adherent

    to therapy. Thus, in clinical practice, it is possible that

    the time to achieve significant and consistent

    improvements may take longer than reported herein,

    especially since time for titration of dose to therapeu-

    tic levels may vary among treating physicians.

    Another potential limitation is that the predictive

    model for baseline pain only covered the NRS range of

    410, whereas for the FIQ, the full-scale range was used.

    However, a minimum pain score of 4 was part of the

    entry criteria for the clinical trials but there was no min-

    imum FIQ score. It should also be noted that although

    pain is a primary characteristic of FM and remains a

    key objective of therapy, the FIQ provides a more com-

    prehensive and clinically relevant perspective by assess-

    ing FM and categorising its severity as a condition. The

    moderate correlation between baseline FIQ and pain

    scores further supports the concept of FM as a condi-

    tion that is characterised by factors in addition to pain.

    This study could also potentially be criticised for

    not evaluating the time to withdrawal because of

    adverse events. Among the patients treated with pre-

    gabalin in both studies, adverse events and withdraw-

    als because of adverse events, which occurred in up

    to 32.6% of patients, were dose-dependent, with diz-

    ziness and somnolence the adverse events that most

    frequently led to withdrawal (19,20). However, itshould be considered that while a patient may or

    may not discontinue therapy upon occurrence of an

    adverse event, in the absence of knowledge of when

    efficacy is likely to occur, patients may discontinue

    prior to its onset. Thus, informing patient and physi-

    cian expectations of the timing of treatment benefits

    may be more clinically relevant for maintaining per-

    sistence with therapy than occurrence of adverse

    events. As such, this study focused on determining

    efficacy onset and whether time to clinically mean-

    ingful reductions in pain are associated with, and

    can be predicted by pain and functional impairment

    at baseline; similar evaluations for adverse events

    may be worth pursuing in a subsequent analysis.

    Despite these limitations, this study represents a

    new approach to evaluating clinical trial data that

    may have direct application to clinical practice.

    Conclusions

    This study demonstrated how techniques for time-to-

    event analysis can be used to explore relationships

    between baseline values of a surrogate measure and

    efficacy outcomes. In particular, for patients with FM,

    baseline FIQ scores were predictive of the time to effi-cacy in a clinically meaningful and quantifiable man-

    ner. Such an understanding has practical applications

    by informing patients and physicians regarding the

    clinical expectations of therapy and enhancing man-

    agement strategies. This relationship may also provide

    a metric for comparative analysis of expected out-

    comes and, in addition, a methodological framework

    for evaluating changes in other outcomes as a

    function of a baseline surrogate measure.

    Acknowledgements

    This study was funded by Pfizer Inc. Editorial assis-

    tance was provided by E. Jay Bienen and was funded

    by Pfizer, Inc.

    Author contributions

    All authors contributed to the study design, statistical

    analysis plan, results interpretation and review of the

    draft manuscript; the final manuscript was read and

    approved by all authors.

    58 Time to meaningful pain reduction

    2012 Blackwell Publishing LtdInt J Clin Pract, January 2013, 67, 1, 5259

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    Time to meaningful pain reduction 59

    2012 Blackwell Publishing LtdInt J Clin Pract, January 2013, 67, 1, 5259