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China air source heat pump market development
Cooper Hengyi Zhao 赵恒谊 Rotterdam, May 17th, Vice general secretary – China heat pump alliance, CHPAProgram manager-International Copper Association, ICA
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Policy lobby
Supply Chain
Market education
Market intelligence
International cooperation
A
B
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D
EOEMs Parts
Distributors Consulting
Local associations
Institution
Organization Strategies Targets
Promote heat pump, especially, air source heat pump heating application.
Policy makers
China heat pump allianceOrganization, Strategy, Targets
China heat pump alliance is initiated by China Energy Conservation Association and International Copper Association in 2009 .
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>200 manufacturer members, represent >80% air source heat pump production in China
Gained grant from EU Switchasia fundingSigned MOU with EHPA
China heat pump allianceOrganization, Strategy, Targets
Promote ASHP to replace gas/coal-fried, and electrical resistance boiler, to gain more market share in heating sector.
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2009
2016
2011
China heat pump alliance development
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Air Source Heat pumps in China热泵在中国的总体情况
Product HP Market Size-2016 Remarks
Air toairHP Airtoair
reversible
RoomAC 50millionunits,
>200billionRMB Primary -
CoolingVRF 30billionRMB
PackageAC
10billionRMBDuctAC
Airto air Industrial drying 100 millionRMB Heating
Air towaterHP
Airtowater
Domestic-Sanitaryhotwater 1.3millionunits
7 billionRMB Only/Primary
forheatingCommercial-Sanitaryhotwater 120Kunits
Spaceheating 200K units
Airtowater
reversible
Scrollcompressor 5 billionRMB Primary -
CoolingScrewcompressor 1.2billion RMB
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Air Source Heat Pump Growth in ChinaHeating Application, not including reversible cooling product
In 2016, 12.8 billion RMB turnover(Factory price)
7Source: China heat pump alliance
Air source heat pump-Sanitary hot water
Air to water heat pump-Sanitary hot water applicationDomestic sales, 1.3 million units in 2015.
Typical domestic model:150L/200L water tank1P/1.5P compressor
Typical commercial model:10P compressor
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• Renewable energy policy for air source heat pump heating equipment:• Since 2012, CHPA works with Congress, National bureau of Energy, and Ministry of building
(MOHURD), to facilitate the RE policy for air source heat pumps.
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Renewable policy-Air source heat pump heating product (Aerothermal）
Province or City Policy Issued By Issued On
National
Guidebook for Including Aerothermal Energy in Renewable Energy Sources
Center of Science and Technology of Construction, MOHURD November 25, 2015
13th five-years national energy conservation action plan State council Dec. 2016
Zhejiang Rules for Development and Utilization of Renewable Energy of Zhejiang Zhejiang Provincial People's Congress May 30, 2014
Fujian Fujian Design Standard for Energy Efficiency of Residential Buildings DBJ/T 13-62-2014
Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of Fujian December 1, 2014
Guangxi Rules for Development and Utilization of Renewable Energy of Zhejiang Zhejiang Provincial People's Congress Sep 12, 2016
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Air source heat pump water heater Household project
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Total residential water heater, 40 million units sold in 2014DHW-HP, 3% by units, 9% by value. Still big potential.
Heat pump water heater-Sanitary hot water HPWH market share in China
GasElectrical resistanceSolar thermalHPWH
Share by units Share by value
Source: China heat pump alliance & Chinaiol
2015 China residential water heater market share
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Air source heat pump-Space heating
2016, low temp air to water, ASHP, 215K unitsAround 700% growth, comparing with 2015. 2014 to 2016 low temp air to water
heat pump installation in China
Household Commercial
Air pollution, “Haze”, a big problem in north of China during winter
•Air pollution, “HAZE”, big threats for people health.
•Central government set targets and timeline to control air pollution. Especially for the area, around Beijing, the capital.
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“Coal to electricity” program in China Coal fired boiler replacement by electrical heating devices
Since 2013, Beijing government, agriculture committee, started the “coal to clear energy” subsidy program. 90% equipment investment subsidized by government
Investigation and field trials for several kinds of electrical heating products, including,
• Direct electrical heater• Thermal storage electrical heater• Electrical heating film • Electric carbon rail • Geo source heat pump• Air source heat pump
In 2015, 50,000 households participated in “coal to electricity” program. 5844 units air to water heat pump were installed with air to water heat pump, around 12%.
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CHPA supports Beijing government to choose heat pump as key technical solution, in “Coal to electricity” program
From 2015 to 2016, CHPA worked close with Beijing agriculture committee to do technical comparing and “coal to electrical” program guidelines,
• Policy proposal preparation. • Organize OEM for field trials. • Industry investigation. • Technical workshops• Draft guideline and work plan.
Key benefits-Air source heat pump,-Energy saving-Low grid update investment-Comfort
Thanks helps from Thomas-EHPA, Roger Normand-IEA HPC, Marek-ISE.
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“Coal to electricity” in China Coal fired boiler replacement by electrical heating devices
As a result, in 2016, Beijing decided to set the 80% market share requirement in the “Coal to electricity” program guidelines for heat pump and hybrid system,
For each household who choose air source heat pump,
Government subsidy, 24,000 RMB
Self-paid, 4,000 RMB
Total around 28,000 RMB for one typical air to water heat pump system, not including heat emitter
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Air to water heat pump Replaced coal-fired boilersVillage by village in 2016 winter
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In 2016, air to water heat pump achieve 28 times growth in Beijing
28 times
5,844 units
161,000 units
2015 2016
Heat pump market share in “Coal to electricity” program ofBeijing, increase from 12% in 2015 to 76.8% in 2016.
161,000 units installed ASHP for space heating in Beijing in2016.Comparing with 2015, 28 times increase
Beijing government gave 5 billion RMB subsidy for airsource heat pump in 2016 to replace coal fired boilers.
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Beijing, air to water heat pumpTechnical details in 2016
Source: China heat pump alliance
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2017 bigger marketContinue fast growth
Prime minister, Li Keqiang, announced in thisMarch, in 2017, China will complete 3 millionhousehold “coal to clear energy”, including gas andelectricity.
2017, Beijing plans to install around 300,000 unitsair to water heat pumps.
Shandong, Shanxi, Hebei, Henan, provinces willtake actions for “coal to electricity” program.
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Industrial and agriculture application
ASHP industry application also grows fast in China. In 2016, the whole market is already 350 million RMB, 45% growth rate comparing with 2015.
4900 6000 8000 10000 11700
24000
3500022.45%
33.33%25%
17%
105.13%
45.80%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2010-2015 China ASHP industrial dryer market development
市场规模（万元） 增速
Source: China heat pump alliance
• Tea, tobacco, etc.Agriculture
• Publication, paper making, etc.Industry
• Mushroom, seafoodFood process
• Wolfberry, etc. Chinese medcine
• ClothsCloth dryer
• Mud, fireworksSpecials
ASHP industrial and agriculture application
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China heat pump industry projection(Air source heat pump heating application)
On Feb 17, we had our core member meeting. 116 manufacturer representatives voted for the industry projection.48% chose >50 billion RMB till 2020.
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• Heat pump application need policy support globally to competing with traditional/ fossil fuel heating equipment.
• Create a synergy in the world heat pump community to speak for heat pump technologies at policy making process.
-RE policy for China, Japan and other countries.-Unified EE standard for all water heater and boilers.-Existing Coal boiler replacement.
-Policy handbook, policy best practices/experience sharing workshop, etc.
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Food for Thoughts
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Thank you 谢谢！
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For more information please [email protected]@cecaweb.org.cn
赵恒谊 Cooper Hengyi Zhao
电话：021 6391 5816
手机：189 1618 1988
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