ChrPerspInSci Dornbos FoodFaith 20141003

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    Food x FaithConsumptive Choices Could Solve TWOBig Global Problems AND Save Money

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    AND Save Money?

    Ever see a coupon you didnt like?

    Can you go out to eat without an

    inducement?

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    Two Big Global Problems

    1. Environmental degradation

    2. Global food security

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    Food x Faith

    Premises

    Environmental impacts of food are huge

    Christians strive to live faithfullyAll Christians make food choices, which

    confer environment & health implications

    Reformed perspective, every square inch

    [Genesis 1 & Revelation 21]

    Genesis 2:15 to serve and protect

    Genesis 3 the fall

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    Thesis Statement

    Reformed Christians, in the practice ofour faith, should adopt a whole food

    plants-based diet to better serve,protect and restore Nature at globalscale, including our own bodies as

    temples, all the creatures now andthose to be.

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    Environmental

    DegradationThe first big problem.

    Psalm 8:3 When I consider your heavens, the work

    of your fingersPsalm 19:1b the skies proclaim his handiwork

    Deut. 10:14 To the LORD your God belong theheavens, even the highest heavens, the earth and

    everything in it.

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    Creation Care

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    Problem - Creation Care

    Doesnt appear to sell well

    Strengths

    Plaster Creek stewards Sustainability buzz

    Weaknesses

    Its all about jobs, economy ~half U.S. GCC skeptical

    Oblivion on where food comes from

    Faith community? Celebrates Creation

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    Grand River @ Grand Haven:

    Sediment Load

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    Science, Sustainability, and the

    Human Prospect (Raven, Science - 2001) 3M MT of pesticide active ingredients annually

    More nitrogen fixed with fossil fuel than natural

    66% of fisheries harvested faster than renewed 20% of topsoil, 1/3 forests lost in last 50 years

    Extinction rate 100 - 1000X geological baseline

    1.2% of agricultural land base developed

    annually (like ~35-40% of U.S. land base) 45% of net primary productivity used by

    humans

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    Ecological Report Card(Worldwatch Institute, 2001)

    Agroecosystems (17% ofterrestrial surface)

    Food production capacity is

    GOOD All agroecosystem services

    are currently FAIR-POOR

    Future agroecosystemgoods and services to

    decline

    Other ecosystemsheavily impacted by foodproduction practice

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    Global Food SecurityThe second big problem.Gen. 1:22, 1:28 multiply and fill the earth

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    The World Food ProblemB.D. Singh (India, visiting Texas A&M; ASA, Nov 3 2013)

    1. Growing population

    2. Emerging climate change

    3. Stagnant productivity gains for 20 years4. Environmental pollution, low soil fertility

    5. Increased pesticide and fertilizer use

    6. Lack of new arable land

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    Thomas Malthus Two Postulata, 1798http://www.ac.wwu.edu/~stephan/malthus/malthus.0.html

    First, that food is necessary to theexistence of man.

    Secondly, that the passion betweenthe sexes is necessary and will

    remain nearly in its present state.

    Interpretation?

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    Powerful Predictions

    (Assuming my postulata , I say, that thepower of popu lat ionis indefinitely greater thanthe power in the earth to produce subsistencefor man.)

    Population, when unchecked, increases in aexponential ratio.

    Subsistence increases only in an arithmeticalratio.

    (A slight acquaintance with numbers will showthe immensity of the first power in comparisonof the second.)

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    Growing Human Population

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    Yield Increases

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    When More People, Less

    Grain/Person

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    Emerging Climate Change (NOAA)For every 1C increase in air temperature, crop productivity declines 10%.

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    Metaphorical Easter Island?(Jared Diamond, Collapse)

    Discovered 900 AD Isolated: 2300 mi from

    Chile

    Statues: ahu & moai implyadvanced civilization Population crashed from

    30K to 111 Lost capacity for

    agriculture, fishing, forestry Causes of collapse:

    deforestation,overpopulation, erosion,out of touch elite

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    Forget quaint notions of sustainability Historypredicts we wont survive (Jared Diamond, ASA Meeting)

    Of the 12 problems that plagued pastcivilizations, 10 are central to agronomy, top 5 -

    Deforestation

    Soil erosion

    Climate change

    Access to energy

    Human population Understanding the problem is one thing, how

    we respond is quite another

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    Two Proposed

    Approaches2 Speak to the Israelites and say to them: When you enter theland I am going to give you, the land itself must observe asabbath to the LORD. 3 For six years sow your fields, and for six

    years prune your vineyards and gather their crops.4

    But in theseventh year the land is to have a year of sabbath rest, a

    sabbath to the LORD. Do not sow your fields or prune yourvineyards. 5 Do not reap what grows of itself or harvest thegrapes of your untended vines. The land is to have a year ofrest. (Lev. 25:2-5 and Lev. 23:39, Lev. 26:34-35)

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    Intensify Industrial Agriculture

    Sustainable agriculture integrates threemain goals: environmental stewardship, farmprofitability, and prosperous farming

    communities. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainable_agriculture)

    Essentially, SA is the industrialized approachwith attempts to reduce systemic problems of

    monocultures: Reduce pesticide use

    Reduce soil erosion

    Increase soil organic matter

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_environmenthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stewardshiphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farmhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Profit_(accounting)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farminghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainable_agriculturehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainable_agriculturehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farminghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Profit_(accounting)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farmhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stewardshiphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_environment
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    Agroecology: Defined as the application ofecological concepts and principles to thedesign and management of sustainable

    agroecosystems (Gleissman, 1998) Used imprecisely as a

    Collection of practices: polyculture, organic

    Theoretical movement toward an alternative food

    system Emergent qualities of ecosystems: energy

    flow, nutrient cycling, populationregulation/biodiversity

    Build a New Food System Model

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    Nutrition TransitionDo you not know that your bodies are templesof the Holy Spirit, who is in you, whom you

    have received from God? You are not yourown; you were bought at a price. Thereforehonor God with your bodies. (I Cor. 6:19-20)

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    Global Nutrition Transition:

    As people get wealthier they eat more

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    U.S. Consumption Choices

    ( 1970 => 2000) Calorie intake +24.5%

    Refined grains +9.5 pct pts (45%increase)

    Fats and oils +9.0 (66% increase) Sugars +4.7

    Fruits and veggies +1

    Dairy and eggs -1.5

    +57 lb meat, -33% eggs

    Eating out 32% of food consumed

    From 46% overweight in 1980 to

    62% in 2000

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 1985(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 1990(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 1995(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2000(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2001(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    (*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2003(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2004(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2005(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2006(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2007(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2008(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2009(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults

    BRFSS, 2010(*BMI 30, or ~ 30 lbs. overweight for 5 4 person)

    No Data

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    More (Calorie Rich) Food

    [not the same as nutrient rich!]

    M. Nestle, EatingMade Simple (Sci Am)

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    Healthcare Efficacy2 Some men brought to him a paralyzed man, lying on amat. When Jesus saw their faith, he said to theman, Take heart, son; your sins are forgiven. (Matt 9:2)

    Jesus healed many who had various diseases. He alsodrove out many demons (Mark 1:34)

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    World-class, Expensive

    Miss directed? Should we treat

    Symptoms

    Causes Two types of disease (just like acute and chronic hunger)

    Infectious virus, bacterial, protozoan

    Chronic CHD Hypertension

    Many cancers (colon, breast, prostate, )

    Diabetes II

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    Epidemiological Transition is a CONSEQUENCEof Nutrition Transition (Infectious to Chronic)

    Developed Country

    Infectious diseasedeaths are negligible

    Predominant diseases Coronary heart

    disease High blood pressure Diabetes II Cancer

    Developing Country

    ~50% deaths due toinfectious disease

    Predominant diseases Respiratory/parasites

    (16M) Tuberculosis (3M) Malaria (2M) STDs (AIDS, 1.5M) Hepatitis B (1M) Dengue, Ebola (0.5)

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    Disease Incidence

    Cause Developed Developing

    1990 2020 1990 2020

    Infectious 7.8 4.3 48.7 22.2

    Cardiovasculardisease

    20.4 22 8.3 13.8

    Coronary heartdisease

    9.9 11.2 2.5 5.2

    Stroke 5.9 6.2 2.4 4.2

    Diabetes 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.7

    Cancer 13.7 16.8 4 9

    Neuropsychiatricdisorders

    22 21.8 9 13.7

    Injuries 14.5 13 15.2 21.1http://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/trends.html

    http://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/trends.htmlhttp://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/trends.html
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    Executive Office of the PresidentCouncil of Economic Advisers, June 2009

    http://www.whitehouse.gov/assets/documents/CEA_Health_Care_Report.pdf

    http://www.whitehouse.gov/assets/documents/CEA_Health_Care_Report.pdfhttp://www.whitehouse.gov/assets/documents/CEA_Health_Care_Report.pdfhttp://www.whitehouse.gov/assets/documents/CEA_Health_Care_Report.pdf
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    U.S. Healthcare Spend:2013 Per Capita and GDP %

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    U.S. Healthcare Cost-Benefit

    http://ucatlas.ucsc.edu/spend.php

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    What could (should?)

    a sustainable foodsystem look like?

    14

    if my people, who are called by my name, willhumble themselves and pray and seek myface and turn from their wicked ways, then I willhear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin andwill heal their land. (II Chron. 7:14)

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    Let food be thymedicine

    Hippocrates

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    Few Nurses Lived Healthy (3.1%)Healthy Living Reduced Coronary Events 82%

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    Animal Fat Consumption is Correlated

    with Breast and Prostate Cancer

    Carroll, K. K. (1975) Experimental evidenceof dietary factors and hormone-dependent

    cancers. Cancer Res 35:3374-3383.

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    The China StudyWestern v. Traditional Chinese Diet

    Study Metrics >50 diseases 65 counties 130 villages

    50 adults pervillage

    Blood, urine,food, histories

    1983-1984 367correlations

    Campbell et al., 1998 Diet, Lifestyle, and the Etiology of Coronary ArteryDisease: The Cornell China Study (Am. J. Cardiology)

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    Diet Alone Can Reverse CHD

    18 individuals, 49infarctions

    Aggressive plant-based diet

    12 year duration Reduced cholesterol No recurrent coronary

    events, 75% with regression

    Angiogram: 44 yr. oldcardiologist 32 mos. No cholesterol drugs From 156 (97 LDL) mg/dL cholesterol to 89

    mg/dL (38 LDL)(Esselstyn. 2001. Resolving the Coronary Artery disease Epidemic Through Plant-Based NutritionPreventive Cardiology 171-177)

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    Diet + Statins

    Nutritional, population, and interventional studiessupport the effectiveness of a plant-based diet andaggressive lipid-lowering to arrest, prevent, and

    selectively reverse heart disease.

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    Challenge the

    MessengersInfluencer motives: Food processors, Dairy/grainproducers associations, Pharmaceutical companies

    II Timothy 4:3For the time will come when people will not put up with sounddoctrine. Instead, to suit their own desires, they will gatheraround them a great number of teachers to say whattheir itching ears want to hear.

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    Marketing Ethics v. Buyer BewareAre ED drugs (e.g., Viagra) ethical?

    http://www.usda.gov/factbook/chapter2.pdf

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    1. Forks over Knives whole foodsplant-based diet

    2. King Corn farm subsidies,processed food and cheap meat

    3. Michael Pollan

    Eat Food Mostly Plants

    Not Too Much

    Other Messengers

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    Better (Best) Messenger?

    The church on Nature (Creation)

    Biblical truths speak to glory of Nature, itsbrokenness, our responsibility, and what will be!

    Genesis

    Leviticus

    Job

    Psalms I Corinthians

    II Timothy

    Revelation

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    Food x Faith: Consumptive Choices Could SolveTWO Big Global Problems AND Save Money

    If We ate a WFPBD with less processed foods and meat

    We reward efficiencies other than calories/hour of labor

    Then We can reduce grains used for meat production

    We can reduce monocultures in favor of polycultures

    And

    Our health will improve, reducing healthcare cost Yields will increase, providing theoretical food security

    for a growing global population and 40% of currentagricultural land for restoration

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    If Less Meat, Improved GlobalFood Security

    J.D. Singh (India) global food requirement! (from avegetarian Hindu) Individual diet: 2600 cal/day/person ~ 1000

    kg/year/person

    Cereals: 2400 cal/day/person Pulses and oilseeds: 200 cal/day/person

    Global today: 7.2 B MT/year Global 2050: 9.5 B MT/year, 26% increase, or 0.7%

    increase in productivity per year

    Each step up in trophic level results in food energyinefficiency (assuming CAFO efficiency) 1 calorie of beef => 8 calories feed (corn, soy) 1 calorie of pork => 4 calories 1 calorie of poultry/fish => 2 calories

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    If Polycultures, More Quality Calories/m2 &Improved Environmental Health

    Food production capacity (U.S.) could ~2X

    Tilman et al., +238% (16 spp. grass, legumes,

    forbs) Shaeffer et al., +28% (8 spp.)

    Picasso et al., +73% (2-6 spp.)

    Reduce many environmental problems byimproving efficiencies: N, fossil fuel,

    Problem . Labor!!! (anyone need a job?)

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    If Less Meat and Processed Food,

    Improved Env. & Human Health Food, Livestock Production, Energy,Climate Change and Health (Lancet 370:1253-1263, 2007)

    Food production - 35% GHG emissions

    Meat production, esp. beef, >50% of foodemissions

    Recommend contraction and convergencepolicy for meat consumption 90 g/p/day

    Save $

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    And Save Money

    $2.8T spent in U.S. during 2012 onhealthcare (https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-

    Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdf)

    75% of healthcare costs due to chronicdisease(http://www.cdc.gov/chronicdisease/resources/publications/aag/chronic.htm )

    Or, up to $2.1T is at play annually! delayed return, but seriously?

    https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdfhttps://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdfhttps://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdfhttps://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdfhttps://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdfhttps://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdfhttp://www.cdc.gov/chronicdisease/resources/publications/aag/chronic.htmhttp://www.cdc.gov/chronicdisease/resources/publications/aag/chronic.htmhttps://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/highlights.pdf
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    Conclusion

    Reformed Christians should be selfmotivated to live within Gods will by

    adopting a WFPBD plants-based diet totreat our body as the Spirits temple,thereby enhancing future global foodsecurity, improving environmentalhealth, and modeling a moreappropriate life style with the globalcommunity. (and save $)