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Empresa de bienes 180 costos fijos anuales costo 60 demanda min 1500 max 10000 ENSAYO DEMANDA VENTAS INGRESO COSTOS TOTALES 1 6583 5000 900000 310000 2 2928 6583 1184940 404980 3 1631 6583 1184940 404980 4 9816 5000 900000 310000 497 5708 5000 900000 310000 498 6585 5000 900000 310000 499 8753 5000 900000 310000 500 6622 5000 900000 310000 precio de venta la empresa solo puede producir

clase de Simulacion

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clase de simulacion

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Page 1: clase de Simulacion

Empresa de bienes

180

costos fijos anuales10000

costo 60 5000

demanda min 1500max 10000

ENSAYO DEMANDA VENTAS INGRESO COSTOS TOTALES UTILIDADES1 6583 5000 900000 310000 5900002 2928 6583 1184940 404980 7799603 1631 6583 1184940 404980 7799604 9816 5000 900000 310000 590000

497 5708 5000 900000 310000 590000498 6585 5000 900000 310000 590000499 8753 5000 900000 310000 590000500 6622 5000 900000 310000 590000

precio de venta

la empresa solo puede producir

Page 2: clase de Simulacion

DISTRIBUCION UNIFORME

PARAMETROSvalor minimo a+r(b-a)valor maximo minimo + aleatorio*(maximo-minimo)

PE promedio 664464.32 410,394.00 300000desviacion estandar 92830.7188319 106,034.18 500n°utilidad>300000 500 254probabilidad 1 85%NC 99%Z 2.58LC(li) 394.625.07LC(ls) 426.162.93

Page 3: clase de Simulacion

6583.346052927.777951631.260119816.339616105.777152262.398145288.125257758.201853356.318869342.402423376.81204

1545.91514722.617273879.024634883.968635096.942053072.267839664.326913503.402817883.236183578.890359654.728848182.851653352.168343276.940218367.809085755.577268595.309315365.688047033.936586795.541254347.514279025.406669711.539057085.299239142.399374760.490744315.347767339.259014204.580839539.551992765.388968574.297317904.507581741.248827705.801576764.152967853.92315

Page 4: clase de Simulacion

2679.525136997.360156172.185436973.235273215.20127

7940.56526999.435412105.456717727.332388424.619283743.873417005.661184455.946531965.11734

9405.43846285.287036981.017497325.510425931.714843138.935519857.066567179.464096043.000584931.180763164.098037516.174817829.020057471.037937996.07837

8743.69031753.440969053.941475645.84796

6687.88726965.971864599.139383010.788299948.118537550.15717

7958.20494974.761194806.405843609.500411725.165568790.383627144.962925324.442277127.84204

Page 5: clase de Simulacion

3723.380235076.967686374.004333321.558285975.035868241.996522863.185527673.894471647.862187468.443869144.734033858.531456272.576079759.010599178.197583843.226423158.131663300.027477314.874727096.194343084.200578947.843876649.75433

7091.26564600.177014894.604332333.475753937.910093944.135878472.869054980.986973216.757713852.824498289.208663068.63613

2345.92738771.9657

5156.086926965.453054059.312726736.136978010.864596979.201647320.841091935.804325283.974735067.88842

6758.446

Page 6: clase de Simulacion

4730.91834415.219583601.458781940.733059132.023076975.051128815.805545076.708279012.955113586.67257

8849.78795966.99423

6571.15399113.086349505.569631783.791624798.364219800.515762625.049598008.789335482.680754340.510279719.321275104.464864501.861632048.905917742.118599251.869265928.083137115.64989

7154.82049227.22556

4207.17495129.627374162.038038749.65667

6928.35786331.202129269.249559877.300334950.636318794.793541544.099256777.382734902.645953995.757932232.30689

3952.1775

Page 7: clase de Simulacion

5316.919466964.674836606.173899246.940525921.338543979.155861696.630767217.337577846.659754003.021334297.189257686.346029270.027771817.514576874.66048

5066.85085257.774595054.91806

3785.89742780.175184825.861389583.651232433.347586345.988345978.667567447.431874757.637263473.830389748.374895317.438288199.19431

4734.555493.316451651.493883027.13095

1638.00478479.613642522.06488

6673.61989196.356095500.320447309.16776

9961.08897299.8291

8560.289321717.902163366.435747486.86178

Page 8: clase de Simulacion

4382.274858319.0405

9215.292838430.845068255.745112564.348287436.277357226.416829991.180157988.814973782.784518302.17902

3495.888539.536739145.51225

1535.27946741.32511

8747.3228857.310714401.211588627.216417184.652245128.589743730.643644520.279559919.324327502.945042408.444475975.814082411.816773472.273936585.940127907.620476564.928135145.19181

5739.4942726.737275372.432638607.760862153.187667709.173866378.15485

4366.19166148.838778111.774049388.836333015.198222648.91507

Page 9: clase de Simulacion

3301.583915151.676992018.03644

9394.80277411.893068447.96594

2243.2022899.761964792.657255800.714138646.153142468.626979271.58422

8258.8584736.625263353.72478

6489.44064451.2772

5224.570456886.333814825.861384371.379746480.620758651.341298183.111063090.945167206.961275540.787998639.667963858.272043955.030981760.444967744.193856282.433556385.418266618.366042960.203865558.42769

2402.47814174.489587531.479841936.323133066.04205

6577.89856280.8771

6884.258553908.078259671.59032

Page 10: clase de Simulacion

9110.751672652.546779555.37584

5190.84752717.917423190.557579292.07739

4136.35674790.581993118.182937957.426684645.573294201.727355206.411948314.889983445.554988466.38386

6570.89456786.9808

9712.836097476.226086528.870519194.799657415.524776778.420369825.418879392.208623474.089797414.746543179.662475437.803285809.793399083.773316359.21812

4691.74789113.864567147.038185725.486017481.414232414.670259238.63948

7466.10925723.410758271.568967998.67244

9957.45723146.97714

6171.1478

Page 11: clase de Simulacion

3693.807794965.681948504.257334958.159124742.072822636.982338410.611296374.004336404.354992981.215867206.442465535.599843162.541582302.087474480.330828430.585659548.11243

8276.75716142.353598256.263928933.835877636.539817691.015352682.897439060.68606

4656.46843063.188572367.198714808.221696400.723298707.892092293.786439980.544454929.883723271.752072276.665559618.671222426.343582044.236585692.800683107.028411934.507285044.022956281.914736591.906499673.924993893.032622585.87909

Page 12: clase de Simulacion

6471.282085626.133

7367.793827360.0116

4478.255564850.245677267.143776529.129921619.327374727.546015989.303265022.492141987.42637

8591.67761956.038093561.510062708.319355942.609943277.199629730.475788543.946656206.167798293.877993904.446553413.388476230.552086393.459885872.310562348.521385482.940155736.640529719.321275649.998478644.856115282.158889307.641834257.759332058.763392758.384969431.119722605.594045232.612086966.49068

6967.26893971.114235350.901821554.475547112.79641

Page 13: clase de Simulacion

9587.542343498.733487161.305588021.500292035.157326051.561022058.763391932.432026678.029732930.372029696.49342

2607.66936156.102184183.050022774.727622663.701285707.846316584.902498753.028966622.25715

Page 14: clase de Simulacion

menos de 2500 2500 180

costos fijos anuales10000

150 2500 a más 2500 150

COSTO 60 menos de 2500 2500 60 500050 2500 a mas 2500 50

MINIMO 1500MAXIMO 10000

ENSAYO DEMANDA VENTAS INGRESO COSTOS TOTALES UTILIDADES1 8099 50002 6679 50003 4695 80994 2778 80995 3689 80996 8895 50007 8824 50008 4733 80999 8028 5000

10 4980 809911 2820 809912 9963 500013 2115 809914 5860 500015 9072 500016 5139 500017 2545 809918 7224 500019 7826 500020 2470 809921 3889 809922 4272 809923 4525 809924 2555 809925 6045 500026 2469 809927 2052 809928 3213 809929 2818 809930 7194 500031 8605 500032 5573 500033 6923 500034 8064 500035 9794 5000

PRECIO VENTA 180

la empresa solo puede producir

Page 15: clase de Simulacion

36 5199 500037 4025 809938 8951 500039 7513 500040 5395 500041 8728 500042 8187 500043 3150 809944 7741 500045 3280 809946 3364 809947 5651 500048 4265 809949 3061 809950 3864 809951 6262 500052 8249 500053 5083 500054 9817 500055 2056 809956 9433 500057 9396 500058 5109 500059 5793 500060 5596 500061 8766 500062 9560 500063 6142 500064 1871 809965 2583 809966 5048 500067 1566 809968 8840 500069 4592 809970 5999 500071 6840 500072 6212 500073 2474 809974 9341 500075 1649 809976 8255 500077 2806 809978 3020 809979 5426 500080 3051 809981 6669 500082 7459 500083 1766 8099

Page 16: clase de Simulacion

84 3768 809985 8784 500086 5544 500087 9019 500088 9121 500089 5080 500090 1987 809991 8605 500092 2411 809993 3700 809994 2089 809995 9740 500096 3862 809997 6937 500098 2963 809999 4439 8099

100 3099 8099101 9548 5000102 5664 5000103 2388 8099104 9288 5000105 5055 5000106 9325 5000107 1581 8099108 5623 5000109 6030 5000110 4308 8099111 4577 8099112 1745 8099113 3813 8099114 9490 5000115 8867 5000116 4645 8099117 1761 8099118 8563 5000119 8646 5000120 8030 5000121 1923 8099122 8415 5000123 9924 5000124 4072 8099125 7566 5000126 6249 5000127 4777 8099128 3725 8099129 4180 8099130 1504 8099131 7201 5000

Page 17: clase de Simulacion

132 6640 5000133 6299 5000134 2936 8099135 9167 5000136 8115 5000137 5405 5000138 4751 8099139 8684 5000140 2669 8099141 9964 5000142 6211 5000143 3432 8099144 5464 5000145 9434 5000146 2519 8099147 5133 5000148 4249 8099149 6563 5000150 3574 8099151 4427 8099152 5152 5000153 3858 8099154 6782 5000155 3736 8099156 5068 5000157 6141 5000158 3884 8099159 6254 5000160 1575 8099161 3287 8099162 9609 5000163 1809 8099164 6850 5000165 7835 5000166 3826 8099167 6095 5000168 1701 8099169 9046 5000170 9140 5000171 2462 8099172 5894 5000173 5436 5000174 4101 8099175 3378 8099176 9768 5000177 3201 8099178 6267 5000179 5115 5000

Page 18: clase de Simulacion

180 1694 8099181 3311 8099182 8228 5000183 4133 8099184 8471 5000185 8094 5000186 2706 8099187 3675 8099188 5331 5000189 7985 5000190 9467 5000191 5660 5000192 1977 8099193 7541 5000194 6131 5000195 4397 8099196 2010 8099197 9029 5000198 8612 5000199 5220 5000200 4710 8099201 7199 5000202 9674 5000203 7478 5000204 7970 5000205 2883 8099206 4211 8099207 3221 8099208 5498 5000209 4448 8099210 5894 5000211 3541 8099212 6141 5000213 5915 5000214 9462 5000215 1917 8099216 5981 5000217 9648 5000218 9039 5000219 7482 5000220 4000 8099221 7546 5000222 3789 8099223 4206 8099224 4500 8099225 5170 5000226 9401 5000227 7059 5000

Page 19: clase de Simulacion

228 3418 8099229 3019 8099230 4410 8099231 3310 8099232 9041 5000233 5911 5000234 2194 8099235 2191 8099236 9799 5000237 2866 8099238 3017 8099239 4588 8099240 8534 5000241 8427 5000242 5014 5000243 8577 5000244 5224 5000245 2240 8099246 9115 5000247 7696 5000248 2001 8099249 7016 5000250 4192 8099251 8704 5000252 8106 5000253 9188 5000254 2205 8099255 4063 8099256 6273 5000257 1771 8099258 7649 5000259 5644 5000260 2127 8099261 4446 8099262 5552 5000263 4831 8099264 9594 5000265 4135 8099266 8609 5000267 9851 5000268 7972 5000269 2487 8099270 5687 5000271 6562 5000272 7326 5000273 5361 5000274 3662 8099275 7331 5000

Page 20: clase de Simulacion

276 5030 5000277 4716 8099278 5376 5000279 6776 5000280 2568 8099281 1855 8099282 8188 5000283 2007 8099284 8696 5000285 7303 5000286 2287 8099287 9472 5000288 9313 5000289 7142 5000290 9959 5000291 6194 5000292 2044 8099293 5780 5000294 8514 5000295 2427 8099296 9784 5000297 4671 8099298 2076 8099299 7858 5000300 4083 8099301 2837 8099302 7868 5000303 4548 8099304 2908 8099305 8616 5000306 2996 8099307 3578 8099308 7829 5000309 6526 5000310 8818 5000311 3867 8099312 8241 5000313 4351 8099314 3678 8099315 8414 5000316 5364 5000317 8509 5000318 5226 5000319 5379 5000320 5329 5000321 5578 5000322 3548 8099323 3375 8099

Page 21: clase de Simulacion

324 8669 5000325 4462 8099326 9815 5000327 3781 8099328 7671 5000329 6348 5000330 7461 5000331 8400 5000332 8708 5000333 1729 8099334 9652 5000335 9202 5000336 4941 8099337 8296 5000338 6320 5000339 2004 8099340 4948 8099341 2147 8099342 8179 5000343 7503 5000344 5352 5000345 4168 8099346 9852 5000347 3334 8099348 9010 5000349 4334 8099350 8858 5000351 5210 5000352 2225 8099353 3177 8099354 7681 5000355 5421 5000356 6882 5000357 2827 8099358 7095 5000359 5483 5000360 3218 8099361 4411 8099362 3022 8099363 8210 5000364 3395 8099365 3974 8099366 3767 8099367 7762 5000368 7034 5000369 9540 5000370 3478 8099371 5939 5000

Page 22: clase de Simulacion

372 2302 8099373 7408 5000374 4260 8099375 7167 5000376 1972 8099377 4195 8099378 8728 5000379 8796 5000380 8694 5000381 5733 5000382 2240 8099383 4520 8099384 2096 8099385 2037 8099386 7131 5000387 8709 5000388 8972 5000389 7626 5000390 4616 8099391 5389 5000392 8829 5000393 7510 5000394 8928 5000395 2100 8099396 2042 8099397 2803 8099398 9621 5000399 5105 5000400 4933 8099401 7031 5000402 9355 5000403 4380 8099404 3642 8099405 8229 5000406 3082 8099407 1580 8099408 6281 5000409 2054 8099410 8965 5000411 7571 5000412 9212 5000413 4302 8099414 8229 5000415 7228 5000416 4273 8099417 9436 5000418 9738 5000419 9741 5000

Page 23: clase de Simulacion

420 5904 5000421 9027 5000422 3633 8099423 6517 5000424 9541 5000425 4526 8099426 8164 5000427 8069 5000428 7232 5000429 5802 5000430 9256 5000431 4723 8099432 3748 8099433 2202 8099434 6374 5000435 1938 8099436 2642 8099437 4010 8099438 8679 5000439 9643 5000440 7696 5000441 7079 5000442 7950 5000443 1887 8099444 7351 5000445 5120 5000446 3566 8099447 7608 5000448 5995 5000449 3963 8099450 3146 8099451 2482 8099452 1586 8099453 3536 8099454 8613 5000455 7478 5000456 8746 5000457 2672 8099458 4357 8099459 8469 5000460 4476 8099461 1945 8099462 3218 8099463 2189 8099464 7716 5000465 6788 5000466 6740 5000467 1563 8099

Page 24: clase de Simulacion

468 8241 5000469 4486 8099470 5056 5000471 3632 8099472 2414 8099473 2701 8099474 3415 8099475 2278 8099476 6812 5000477 9836 5000478 5803 5000479 7426 5000480 9763 5000481 5037 5000482 3792 8099483 2424 8099484 6121 5000485 1773 8099486 6064 5000487 8079 5000488 8012 5000489 1948 8099490 2127 8099491 2144 8099492 7358 5000493 4727 8099494 6716 5000495 7981 5000496 8142 5000497 3644 8099498 7245 5000499 4117 8099500 9904 5000

Page 25: clase de Simulacion

PE

Page 26: clase de Simulacion

EMPRESA DE BIENES

PRECIO VENTA180 DE 1000 A 2000 COSTOS FIJOS ANUALES150 DE 2001 A 4000130 MAS DE 4000 LA EMPRESA SOLO PUEDE PRODUCIR 5000 Y NO MENOS 5000

COSTO60 DE 1000 A 2000 50 DE 2001 A 4000 COSTO DE ALMACEN40 MAS DE 4000

DEMANDA PRESENTAR UN ESCENARIO DE UTILIDADESMIN 1500MAX 1000

ENSAYO DEMANDA VENTAS INGRESO UTILIDADESCOSTOS TOTALES

Page 27: clase de Simulacion

10000

LA EMPRESA SOLO PUEDE PRODUCIR 5000 Y NO MENOS 5000

15

PRESENTAR UN ESCENARIO DE UTILIDADES

PE