Class 3 - HT

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    1

    Hypothesis Testing

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    2

    Learning Objective

    1. Solve Hypothesis Testing ProblemsMean

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    Statistical Methods

    Statistical

    Methods

    Descriptive

    Statistics

    Inferential

    Statistics

    EstimationHypothesis

    Testing

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    Hypothesis TestingProcess

    Population

    I Believe the

    Population

    Mean Age is 50.

    (Hypothesis)

    REJECT

    IsX = 20 X

    = 50? No!

    The Sample

    Mean Is 20

    SampleHypothesis

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    Hypothesis TestingSteps

    1. State H0

    2. State H1

    3. Choose

    4. Choose n

    5. ChooseTest

    6. Set Up Critical Values

    7. Collect Data8. Compute Test Statistic

    9. Make StatisticalDecision

    10. Express Decision

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    One Population TestsNumerical Data

    One

    Population

    Z Test t TestRuns

    Test

    xKnown

    2 TestSignedRanksTest

    Mean Median VarianceRandom-

    nessx

    Unknown

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    t Testfor Mean (

    XUnknown)

    1. Assumptions Population Is Normally Distributed

    If Not Normal, Only Slightly Skewed &Large Sample (n 30) Taken

    2. Parametric Test Procedure

    3. t Test Statistic

    tX

    S

    n

    x=

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    Two-Tailed t TestExample

    Does an average box of

    cereal contain 368

    grams of cereal? Arandom sample of36

    boxes had a mean of

    372.5 & a standarddeviation of12 grams.

    Test at the .05 level. 368 gm.

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    t0 2.0301-2.0301

    .025

    Reject H0

    Reject H0

    .025

    Two-Tailed t TestSolution

    H0: X = 368

    H1: X 368

    =.05df=36 - 1 = 35Critical Value(s):

    Test Statistic:

    Decision:

    Conclusion:

    Reject at = .05

    There is Evidence Pop.

    Average Is Not 368

    tX

    S

    n

    x=

    =

    = +

    372 5 368

    1236

    2 25.

    .

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    Two-Tailed t TestThinking Challenge

    You work for the FTC. A

    manufacturer of detergent

    claims that the mean weight of

    detergent is 3.25 lb. You take

    a random sample of64

    containers. You calculate the

    sample average to be 3.238lb. with a standard deviation of

    .117 lb. At the .01 level, is the

    manufacturer correct?

    3.25 lb.

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    Solution Template

    H0:

    H1:

    =df =

    Critical Value(s):

    Test Statistic:

    Decision:

    Conclusion:

    t0

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    Two-Tailed t TestSolution*

    H0: X = 3.25

    H1: X 3.25

    =.01df=64 - 1 = 63Critical Value(s):

    Test Statistic:

    Decision:

    Conclusion:

    Do Not Reject at = .01

    There is No Evidence

    Average Is Not 3.25

    t0 2.6561-2.6561

    .005

    Reject H0

    Reject H0

    .005

    tX

    S

    n

    x=

    =

    =

    3 238 3 25

    11764

    82. .

    ..

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    One-Tailed t TestExample

    Is the average capacity of

    batteries at least 140

    ampere-hours? A randomsample of20 batteries

    had a mean of138.47&

    a standard deviation of

    2.66. Assume a normaldistribution. Test at the

    .05 level.

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    One-Tailed t TestSolution

    H0: X 140H1: X < 140

    = .05df = 20 - 1 = 19

    Critical Value(s):

    Test Statistic:

    Decision:

    Conclusion:

    Reject at = .05

    There Is Evidence Pop.

    Average Is Less than 140t0-1.7291

    .05

    Reject

    tX

    S

    n

    x=

    =

    =

    138 47 140

    2 6620

    2 57.

    ..

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    One-Tailed t TestThinking Challenge

    Youre a marketing analyst for

    Wal-Mart. Wal-Mart had teddy

    bears on sale last week. Theweekly sales ($ 00) of bears

    sold in 10 stores was:8 11 0

    4 7 8 10 5 8 3.

    At the .05 level, is thereevidence that the average

    bear sales per store is more

    than5 ($ 00)?

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    Solution Template

    H0:

    H1:

    =df =

    Critical Value(s):

    Test Statistic:

    Decision:

    Conclusion:

    t0

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    One-Tailed t TestSolution*

    H0: X 5H1: X > 5

    = .05df = 10 - 1 = 9

    Critical Value(s):

    Test Statistic:

    Decision:

    Conclusion:

    Do Not Reject at = .05

    There Is No Evidence

    Average Is More than 5

    t0 1.8331

    .05Reject

    tX

    S

    n

    x=

    =

    = +

    6 4 5

    337310

    131.

    ..