Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
ODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
+++++
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX
4.941,01 93,50
1.93%
Previous 4.847,51 Lowest
4.847,52 Highest 4.960,07 Val IDR bn
12,869
Volbn 11,157 Mkt Cap IDRtr
5.713,18 Net Forg 1DIDRbn 1.507,10 Net ForgYTDIDRbn
(7.823,47)
Return YTD (%) (21,57) Month to date (%)
3,94
Indices
Last Chg% YTD% Americas
Dow Jones United States 26.269,89 2,05 3,70 S&P 500 United States 3.122,87 1,36 11,40 Nasdaq United States 9.682,91 0,78 28,64 EIDO United States 19,68 4,68 (22,09) EMEA
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 6.382,41 2,61 (11,53)
CAC 40 France 5.022,38 3,36 (4,67) D DAX Germany 12.487,36 3,88 4,31
Asia Pacific
Nikkei Japan 22.325,61 1,29 10,79 Shanghai China 2.921,40 0,07 1,15 TWSE Taiwan 11.127,93 1,73 7,81 KOSPI Korea 2.087,19 2,87 3,83 KLSE Malaysia 1.507,69 2,05 (7,05) ST – Times Singapore 2.611,63 3,40 (13,54) Sensex India 33.825,53 0,84 (15,29) Hangseng Hongkong 23.995,94 1,37 (9,55)
Sectoral Previous Last Chg% YTD% AGRICULTURE 966,68 997,73 3,21 (34,55) MINING 1.270,45 1.282,05 0,91 (17,21) MISC INDUSTRY 854,21 876,89 2,66 (28,35) BASIC INDUSTRY 759,54 767,74 1,08 (21,51) CONSUMER GOODS 1.820,50 1.838,29 0,98 (10,44) PROPERTY 326,47 333,01 2,00 (33,91) INFRASTRUKTUR 883,53 899,99 1,86 (20,88) FINANCE 995,52 1.027,34 3,20 (24,16) MANUFAKTURE 1.197,74 1.212,57 1,24 (16,99) TRADE 611,58 614,31 0,45 (20,20) LQ 45 749,52 770,66 2,82 (24,03)
Commodities Previous Lastest Chg% YTD%
Oil (USD/bbl) 36,81 37,29 1,30 (39,83) Gold (USD tr.oz) 1.727,70 1.699,67 (1,62) 12,03 Nickel (USD/mtrc ton) 12.853,00 12.867,00 0,11 (8,26) Tin (USD/mtrc ton) 16.009,00 16.001,00 (0,05) (6,84) Copper (USD/mtrc ton) 5.528,50 5.524,50 (0,07) (10,52) CPO (MYR/ton) 2.460,00 2.474,00 0,57 (18,65) Coal (USD/ton) 56,50 56,40 (0,18) (16,75)
Currencies
Last Chg% YTD% IDR / USD
14.095,00 3,65 (1,62)
IDR / AUD
9.722,29 1,22 (0,05) IDR / EUR
15.802,05 2,99 (1,57)
IDR /SGD
10.111,68 2,29 1,95 IDR / JPY
129,99 4,25 (1,75)
IDR / GBP
17.719,20 2,27 2,84 Global Macro Economics
CB Rate CPI YoY GDP YoY
United States 0,25 0,30 0,20 Euro Area 0,00 0,30 -3,20 United Kingdom 0,10 0,80 -1,60 Japan 0,10 0,10 -2,00 China 4,35 3,30 -6,80 Domestic macro Economics Latest Chg% YTD% Jibor 5,00 (15,02) 28,20 GovBonds (5y) 6,49 (2,39) 0,87 GovBonds (10y) 7,00 (2,09) (0,92)
Inflasi YoY 2,19
Inflasi MoM 0,07 Bi rate 4,50 GDP Growth YoY (%) 2,97
Foreign Reserve (Bn) 127,88 Government Bonds Yield% Wow% Ytd% 7 Year 7,00 6,95 6,95 15 Year 7,52 7,52 7,52 20 Year 7,55 7,55 7,55 30 Year 7,82 7,82 7,82
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
Market Review Pada perdagangan Rabu (3/6) IHSG kembali naik signifikan hampir menyentuh 2%. IHSG naik ke level 4.941,01 atau naik 1,93% yang diiringi dengan penguatan seluruh indeks sektoral dimana 3 sektor yang mencatatkan kenaikan tertinggi yakni sektor Agriculture sebesar 3,21%, finance 3,20% dan misc industry 2,66%. Net buy Asing tercatat sebesar Rp 1,51 trilliun. Hal ini mencerminkan bahwa investor masih cukup optimis terhadap pasar saham di Indonesia dan beberapa sentimen positif dalam negeri juga nampaknya masih cukup kuat mendorong IHSG ke arah zona hijau. Global Review Adapun semalam (03/06) bursa saham Wall Street kompak ditutup dalam teritori positif, dimana Dow Jones memimpin penguatan sebesar 2,05%, disusul S&P 500 dan Nasdaq yang masing-masing naik sebesar 1,36% dan 0,78%. Penguatan tersebut masih terdorong oleh optimisme pasar melihat tanda-tanda pemulihan ekonomi, beberapa data seperti Markit Composite dan Markit Services di bulan Mei naik dari level terendahnya pasca pandemi. Adapun saat ini pasar tengah fokus menunggu rilis data perkerjaan dan ketenaga kerjaan AS yang diperkirakan tumbuh positif. Optimisme pemulihan ekonomi nampaknya lebih menjadi pusat perhatian pasar dibandingkan protes keras yang terjadi di AS akibat kasus kematian George Floyd yang memasuki malam kedelapan setelah para demonstran kemarin mengabaikan jam malam yang diterapkan oleh pemerintah. JCI Prediction IHSG ditutup menguat sebesar 1,9% ke level 4.941. IHSG ditutup bullish candle. Adapun indikator Stochastic bullish dan MACD histogram bergerak positif dengan Volume meningkat. Kami perkirakan IHSG bergerak menguat dengan pergerakan di kisaran 4.884 – 4.975 Calendar Economic Realese
Caixin Services China bulan Mei naik ke
level 55.0 dari sebelumnya di level 44.4.
Markit Services United States bulan Mei
naik ke level 37.5 dari sebelumnya di level
26.7.
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
TODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
Top Gainers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
JPFA IJ Equity
1.165 18,88 (24,10) 13,66 1,71
BSDE IJ Equity
790 17,91 (37,05) 15,20 1,55
MNCN IJ Equity
1.010 14,12 (38,04) 14,42 1,12
TKIM IJ Equity
4.750 11,50 (53,77) 14,79 2,36
CTRA IJ Equity
665 9,92 (36,06) 12,34 1,57
Top Losers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBRI IJ Equity
3.100 (2,52) (29,55) 382,37 1,47
INCO IJ Equity
2.880 (1,71) (20,88) 28,62 1,95
INTP IJ Equity
13.400 (0,74) (29,57) 49,33 1,46
SMGR IJ Equity
9.700 (0,26) (19,17) 57,54 1,57
BRPT IJ Equity
1.340 - (11,26) 119,28 1,83
Top Volume
Last Volume (Mn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBTN IJ Equity
1.010 602,7 (52,4) 10,70 1,64
PGAS IJ Equity
970 544,3 (55,3) 23,51 1,90
BBRI IJ Equity
3.100 438,1 (29,5) 382,37 1,47
PWON IJ Equity
412 381,2 (27,7) 19,84 1,63
JPFA IJ Equity
1.165 315,6 (24,1) 13,66 1,71
Top Value
Last Value (Bn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBRI IJ Equity
3.100 1.449,1 (29,5) 382,37 1,47
BBCA IJ Equity
28.900 1.048,3 (13,5) 712,53 1,15
TLKM IJ Equity
3.290 575,1 (17,1) 325,91 1,01
BBNI IJ Equity
4.130 543,4 (47,4) 77,02 1,70
BBTN IJ Equity
1.010 530,5 (52,4) 10,70 1,64
Top Gainers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BENCHMARK INDICES COMPARISON Indices
Country Latest P/E PBV Target 2020F
Asia Pacific IHSG
Indonesia 4.941 15,79 1,64 4.931
Nikkei
Japanese 22.614 26,34 1,76 23.596
Shanghai
China 2.923 14,87 1,38 3.295
TWSE
Taiwan 11.320 19,22 1,74 11.553
KOSPI
Korea 2.147 24,69 0,85 2.468
KLSE
Malaysia 1.539 18,83 1,54 1.483
ST - Times
Singapore 2.700 10,72 0,92 2.905
Sensex
India 34.110 22,00 2,60 37.629
Hangseng
Hongkong 24.326 10,58 1,01 29.240
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX MOVERS
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBCA IJ Equity
28900 7,84 (13,54) 713 1,15
BMRI IJ Equity
4860 5,19 (36,68) 227 1,55
ASII IJ Equity
4890 3,38 (29,39) 198 1,46
UNVR IJ Equity
8225 1,54 (2,08) 314 0,83
TLKM IJ Equity
3290 1,23 (17,13) 326 1,01
Laggard
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBRI IJ Equity
3100 (2,52) (29,55) 382 1,47
MAYA IJ Equity
6500 (6,92) (28,57) 44 0,99
POLL IJ Equity
7850 (4,46) (29,28) 65 0,19
MIKA IJ Equity
2350 (6,30) (11,99) 33 0,02
EMTK IJ Equity
4650 (6,80) (16,59) 26 0,22
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
OSO MANAJEMEN INVESTASI
Mutual Fund
Latest 1 Month (%) YTD% Oso Sustainability Fund
1.014,68 3,48 (26,54)
Oso Syariah Equity Fund
299,34 (15,34) (47,08)
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
COMPARATION OF JCI PERFORMANCE (SEAG)
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 05 April 2019
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
MACRO ECONOMIC & INDUSTRY NEWS
Optimisme konsumen masih menurun pada Mei 2020. Indeks Keyakinan Konsumen (IKK) pada bulan lalu sebesar 75,3 alias turun 6,1% dari bulan sebelumnya yang sebesar 80,2. Penurunan optimisme konsumen ini berada di level terendah sejak Juli 2008 dan sebagai bukti bahwa imbas Covid-19 cukup besar bagi konsumen. Apalagi, dilihat dari penurunan IKK yang tajam selama dua bulan terakhir.
Pemerintah memastikan defisit Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara (APBN) tahun 2020 melebar hingga 6,34% dari Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB). Defisit tersebut disebabkan oleh perkembangan penggunaan anggaran dalam penanganan pandemi virus corona (Covid-19). Nantinya revisi ini akan dimasukkan dalam Peraturan Presiden (Perpres) nomor 54 tahun 2020.
Ekonomi Australia mengalami kontraksi pada kuartal pertama tahun ini sebagai dampak dari pandemi Covid-19. Berdasarkan data The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) PDB Australia turun 0,3% dari periode kuartal IV 2019. Ini merupakan penurunan pertama dalam satu kuartal sejak tahun 2011. Kontraksi ekonomi Australia ini terjadi akibat anjloknya konsumsi rumah tangga
CORPORATES NEWS
PT Surya Esa Perkasa Tbk. berencana untuk menerbitkan surat utang dan atau mengambil pinjaman perbankan dengan nilai sebesar-besarnya US$450 juta sebagai langkah refinancing utang perseroan. ESSA berencana mencari dana US$450 juta dengan mengemisi surat utang valas (global bond) sebesar US$350 juta dan pinjaman bank maksimum US$100 juta.
PT PP Presisi Tbk. (PPRE) menegaskan tetap akan membagikan dividen tunai di tengah pandemi yakni senilai Rp66,3 miliar. Berdasarkan rasio pembayaran dividen atau dividend payout ratio, realisasi tersebut mencakup 20 persen dari laba bersih yang diatribusikan kepada pemilik entitas induk sebesar Rp331,3 miliar untuk tahun buku 2019.
PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk. (ENRG) mencetak pendapatan US$79,65 juta dengan laba bersih US$11,83 juta pada kuartal I/2020. Bila dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun laku, terdapat peningkatan sebesar 51,54 persen dan 58,53 persen.
PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk. (DNET) mencatatkan kinerja cemerlang sepanjang tahun 2019. Berdasarkan laporan keuangan perseroan per 31 Desember 2019, perseroan mencatatkan pertumbuhan laba bersih 80,73 persen secara tahunan menjadi Rp523,05 miliar.
PT Garudafood Putra Putri Jaya Tbk. (GOOD) atau Garudafood mengumumkan akan membagikan dividen sebesar Rp28 per saham.
PT Siantar Top Tbk. (STTP) membukukan kinerja cemerlang sepanjang tahun 2019 silam. Perseroan meraup total penjualan Rp3,51 triliun sepanjang tahun 2019. Realisasi tersebut bertumbuh 24,25 persen secara tahunan dibandingkan perolehan tahun lalu sebesar Rp2,83 triliun.
Lembaga pemeringkat Fitch Rating menurunkan peringkat PT Waskita Karya (Persero) Tbk. dan surat utangnya lantaran proyeksi profil keuangan yang diekspektasikan melemah pada 2020. Lembaga pemeringkat internasional itu menurunkan peringkat Waskita Karya dari A(idn) menjadi BBB+ dengan outlook negatif. Fitch juga menurunkan peringkat program surat utang senior perseroan dari A-(idn) menjadi BBB(idn). Sumber: Kontan, Bisnis Indonesia, Iqplus
NOTE: Positive Sentiment Negative Sentiment Netral
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 08 April 2019
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Sideways MACD line/histogram : Positif Stochastic : Bullish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Trading Buy Entry Buy : 1.530 – 1.590 Target Price : 1.630 – 1.690 Support : 1.525 – 1.530 Cutloss : 1.520
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY LPPF l PE : 3,3 l PBV : 2,43 l ROE : 76,74 l NPM : 13,30 l DER : - l Fair Value : 1.771
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 1.630. Apabila break 1.630 next harga ke level 1.690. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 1.520 jika sudah melewati support 1.525 – 1.530.
NOTE:
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 08 April 2019
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Bullish Stochastic : Bullish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Trading Buy Entry Buy : 980 – 1.010 Target Price : 1.045 – 1.075 Support : 970 – 980 Cutloss : 965
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY MNCN l PE : 5,6 l PBV : 1,08 l ROE : 20,78 l NPM : 26,74 l DER : 35,71 l Fair Value : 1.164
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 1.045. Apabila break 1.045 next harga ke level 1.075. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 965 jika sudah melewati support 970 – 980.
NOTE:
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 08 April 2019
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Bullish Stochastic : Bullish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Trading Buy Entry Buy : 950 – 970 Target Price : 1.000 – 1.050 Support : 930 – 950 Cutloss : 925
DAILY TECHNICAL
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 1.000. Apabila break 1.000 next harga ke level 1.050. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 925 jika sudah melewati support 930 – 950.
PGAS l PE : 33,0 l PBV : 0,64 l ROE : 1,92 l NPM : 1,76 l DER : 85,04 l Fair Value : 994
Souce: OSO Research Team
BUY
NOTE:
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 08 April 2019
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
Sector Rotation
Mingguan
Bulanan
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price last Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR BASIC INDUSTRY
BRPT IJ Equity 1.340 - (11,26) 7,12 225,24 18,09 0,62 3,76 92,01 880 -34% Sell
CPIN IJ Equity 6.000 3,45 (7,69) 4,48 26,30 16,34 12,63 17,76 23,96 4.494 -25% Sell
INKP IJ Equity 6.000 4,35 (22,08) 0,58 8,44 2,68 3,18 7,06 95,94 11.300 88% Buy
INTP IJ Equity 13.400 (0,74) (29,57) 2,14 26,88 15,79 6,61 7,93 0,48 15.073 12% Buy
JPFA IJ Equity 1.165 18,88 (24,10) 1,26 7,61 3,24 6,93 17,39 75,31 1.237 6% Hold
SMGR IJ Equity 9.700 (0,26) (19,17) 1,74 22,40 6,40 3,27 8,00 82,74 11.146 15% Buy
TKIM IJ Equity 4.750 11,50 (53,77) 0,75 6,26 8,99 5,53 12,71 102,26 13.000 174% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2,58 46,16 10,22 5,54 10,66 67,53
Total of Industry Average 1,35 32,78 8,40 0,85 (13,56) 116,42
SECTOR CONSUMER GOODS
ACES IJ Equity 1.500 1,69 0,33 5,43 24,87 17,82 18,33 23,01 - 1.328 -11% Sell
GGRM IJ Equity 48.175 1,42 (9,10) 1,74 8,45 5,24 15,40 21,76 34,19 55.528 15% Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 1.850 0,27 (11,90) 5,51 15,58 11,60 22,95 35,40 1,17 1.877 1% Hold
ICBP IJ Equity 8.500 0,29 (23,77) 3,63 17,44 11,05 14,48 22,56 8,81 10.368 22% Buy
INDF IJ Equity 6.200 2,90 (21,77) 1,37 10,97 4,04 4,94 13,24 42,38 7.824 26% Buy
KLBF IJ Equity 1.415 2,17 (12,65) 4,04 25,70 17,00 12,50 16,31 4,89 1.492 5% Hold
UNVR IJ Equity 8.225 1,54 (2,08) 43,47 41,76 27,66 34,45 92,21 75,07 8.660 5% Hold
Industry Average in LQ45 9,96 19,98 12,77 17,45 33,58 27,75
Total of Industry Average 3,28 26,58 9,41 5,05 (34,61) 54,59
SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE
EXCL IJ Equity 2.580 0,39 (18,10) 1,34 130,48 2,13 3,38 11,14 140,83 3.378 31% Buy
JSMR IJ Equity 3.940 3,14 (23,86) 1,53 12,96 4,23 2,42 12,40 185,14 4.381 11% Buy
PGAS IJ Equity 970 9,60 (55,30) 0,64 33,00 1,63 0,65 1,92 85,04 994 3% Hold
TBIG IJ Equity 1.090 3,32 (11,38) 5,29 27,40 5,56 2,63 20,68 415,69 1.214 11% Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 3.290 1,23 (17,13) 3,27 17,46 4,96 8,73 18,81 44,42 4.084 24% Buy
TOWR IJ Equity 1.010 4,12 25,47 5,45 21,33 10,10 8,42 26,91 173,14 1.026 2% Hold
Industry Average in LQ45 2,92 40,44 4,77 4,37 15,31 174,04
Total of Industry Average 1,82 26,85 10,89 (1,96) (2,18) 128,49
Source: Bloomber LP
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR MINING
ADRO IJ Equity 1.165 1,75 (25,08) 0,70 6,85 2,92 5,50 10,24 48,89 1.153 -1% Sell
AKRA IJ Equity 2.450 0,41 (37,97) 1,14 13,24 6,41 3,65 8,65 45,79 3.411 39% Buy
ANTM IJ Equity 555 - (33,93) 0,74 68,83 6,46 0,62 1,06 47,19 718 29% Buy
INCO IJ Equity 2.880 (1,71) (20,88) 1,02 18,97 7,60 4,91 5,56 0,06 2.998 4% Hold
ITMG IJ Equity 8.825 4,13 (23,09) 0,78 6,50 3,22 7,76 12,17 1,20 9.197 4% Hold
PTBA IJ Equity 2.110 1,44 (20,68) 1,19 6,10 4,20 14,55 20,64 3,42 2.196 4% Hold
Industry Average in LQ45 0,93 20,08 5,14 6,17 9,72 24,43
Total of Industry Average 1,99 29,88 4,89 (0,28) (3,85) 90,83
SECTOR MISC INDUSTRY
ASII IJ Equity 4.890 3,38 (29,39) 1,28 9,29 5,09 5,89 14,37 49,42 5.050 3% Hold
SRIL IJ Equity 156 2,63 (40,00) 0,36 2,55 1,03 5,89 15,05 144,29 Neutral #VALUE! #VALUE!
Industry Average in LQ45 0,82 5,92 3,06 5,89 14,71 96,85
Total of Industry Average 1,21 21,89 7,81 2,07 17,85 100,14
SECTOR PROPERTY
BSDE IJ Equity 790 17,91 (37,05) 0,54 6,17 5,56 4,32 8,91 39,96 1.100 39% Buy
CTRA IJ Equity 665 9,92 (36,06) 0,84 11,63 5,24 2,91 7,16 51,66 911 37% Buy
PTPP IJ Equity 760 2,70 (52,05) 0,35 5,08 1,51 1,67 7,10 94,11 1.252 65% Buy
PWON IJ Equity 412 7,29 (27,72) 1,33 7,30 5,57 10,64 19,73 26,51 573 39% Buy
WIKA IJ Equity 1.190 3,93 (40,20) 0,65 4,67 3,35 3,77 14,60 78,48 1.515 27% Buy
WSKT IJ Equity 665 5,56 (55,22) 0,50 9,62 1,90 0,76 5,23 237,92 855 29% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 0,70 7,41 3,86 4,01 10,45 88,11
Total of Industry Average 2,01 28,37 12,71 3,00 6,41 42,02
Source: Bloomber LP
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR TRADE
ERAA IJ Equity 1.285 1,98 (28,41) 0,83 11,72 4,19 3,15 7,24 54,32 1.186 -8% Sell
LPPF IJ Equity 1.590 7,07 (62,23) 2,43 3,27 2,09 27,70 76,74 - 1.771 11% Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1.010 14,12 (38,04) 1,08 5,62 3,38 13,07 20,78 35,71 1.164 15% Buy
SCMA IJ Equity 1.000 3,63 (29,08) 2,83 16,29 9,77 14,28 19,39 0,21 1.004 0% Hold
UNTR IJ Equity 17.075 4,27 (20,67) 1,01 6,32 2,67 8,70 16,90 22,89 19.874 16% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1,63 8,64 4,42 13,38 28,21 22,62
Total of Industry Average 2,08 26,76 52,98 0,73 0,89 61,96
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) LDR (%) NPL NIM (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR FINANCE
BBCA IJ Equity 28.900 7,84 (13,54) 4,15 24,50 86,78 1,30 6,48 6,38 28.651 -1% Sell
BBRI IJ Equity 3.100 (2,52) (29,55) 2,14 11,04 89,64 2,80 7,01 66,52 3.156 2% Hold
BBNI IJ Equity 4.130 4,03 (47,39) 0,71 4,95 93,76 2,30 5,03 59,54 4.891 18% Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 1.010 9,19 (52,36) 0,65 #N/A N/A 113,51 4,78 3,24 225,31 1.250 24% Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 4.860 5,19 (36,68) 1,11 8,25 100,37 2,33 5,30 50,07 6.067 25% Buy
BTPS IJ Equity 3.100 1,64 (27,06) 4,43 17,06 479,42 1,37 39,48 140,00 2.980 -4% Sell
Industry Average in LQ45 1,75 12,19 96,81 2,70 5,41 81,56
Total of Industry Average 43,23 42,01 112,29 3,61 7,58 79,67
Source: Bloomber LP
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
ACES IJ Equity 1.500 0,3 Negatif OverBought Positif 1.245 1.385 1.530 1.450 1.400 1.345 1.505 1.555 1.325 Sell
ADRO IJ Equity 1.165 (25,1) Negatif Trading Positif 850 960 1.070 1.060 1.050 985 1.125 1.135 970 Hold
AKRA IJ Equity 2.450 (38,0) Negatif OverBought Positif 2.055 2.320 2.585 2.445 2.400 2.345 2.500 2.545 2.310 Sell
ANTM IJ Equity 555 (33,9) Negatif Trading Positif 486 515 540 535 525 510 550 560 500 Hold
ASII IJ Equity 4.890 (29,4) Negatif OverBought Positif 3.325 3.850 4.375 4.550 4.515 4.320 4.745 4.780 4.255 Sell
BBCA IJ Equity 28.900 (13,5) Negatif Trading Positif 23.050 25.150 27.250 26.375 26.150 24.775 27.750 27.975 24.400 Hold
BBNI IJ Equity 4.130 (47,4) Negatif Trading Positif 3.345 3.705 4.065 3.800 3.805 3.640 3.965 3.960 3.585 Hold
BBRI IJ Equity 3.100 (29,5) Negatif Trading Positif 2.240 2.535 2.835 2.790 2.800 2.650 2.940 2.930 2.610 Hold
BBTN IJ Equity 1.010 (52,4) Negatif Trading Positif 720 815 905 855 890 820 925 890 805 Hold
BMRI IJ Equity 4.860 (36,7) Negatif Trading Positif 3.740 4.100 4.460 4.375 4.410 4.185 4.600 4.565 4.120 Hold
BRPT IJ Equity 1.340 (11,3) Negatif Trading Negatif 1.095 1.270 1.440 1.305 1.290 1.250 1.345 1.360 1.230 Sell
BSDE IJ Equity 790 (37,1) Negatif Trading Positif 590 655 720 715 725 670 770 760 660 Hold
BTPS IJ Equity 3.100 (27,1) Negatif OverBought Positif 1.855 2.250 2.650 2.710 2.680 2.470 2.920 2.950 2.435 Sell
CPIN IJ Equity 6.000 (7,7) Negatif OverBought Positif 3.965 4.590 5.225 5.375 5.475 5.100 5.750 5.650 5.025 Sell
CTRA IJ Equity 665 (36,1) Negatif Trading Positif 463 510 555 585 605 565 625 605 555 Hold
ERAA IJ Equity 1.285 (28,4) Negatif Trading Positif 1.100 1.190 1.280 1.275 1.205 1.155 1.325 1.395 1.135 Hold
EXCL IJ Equity 2.580 (18,1) Positif Trading Positif 2.275 2.450 2.620 2.590 2.520 2.420 2.690 2.760 2.385 Speculative Buy
GGRM IJ Equity 48.175 (9,1) Positif Trading Positif 41.900 45.950 50.025 47.875 46.850 46.200 48.525 49.550 45.500 Speculative Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 1.850 (11,9) Negatif OverBought Positif 1.415 1.700 1.990 1.915 1.860 1.830 1.945 2.000 1.800 Sell
ICBP IJ Equity 8.500 (23,8) Positif Oversold Negatif 8.650 9.600 10.550 8.225 7.875 7.400 8.700 9.050 7.300 Speculative Buy
INCO IJ Equity 2.880 (20,9) Negatif Trading Negatif 2.300 2.785 3.270 2.895 2.815 2.725 2.985 3.065 2.680 Sell
INDF IJ Equity 6.200 (21,8) Positif Oversold Negatif 5.800 6.400 6.975 5.725 5.400 4.895 6.225 6.550 4.820 Speculative Buy
INKP IJ Equity 6.000 (22,1) Negatif Trading Negatif 4.835 5.150 5.475 5.325 5.500 5.175 5.650 5.475 5.100 Sell
source: Bloomberg Lp
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
INTP IJ Equity 13.400 (29,6) Negatif OverBought Positif 10.075 10.975 11.850 12.200 11.825 11.050 12.975 13.350 10.875 Sell
ITMG IJ Equity 8.825 (23,1) Negatif Trading Positif 6.725 7.550 8.400 8.375 8.400 8.125 8.650 8.625 8.000 Hold
JPFA IJ Equity 1.165 (24,1) Negatif Trading Positif 870 915 955 975 1.005 920 1.060 1.030 905 Hold
JSMR IJ Equity 3.940 (23,9) Negatif OverBought Positif 2.525 3.395 4.265 3.925 3.845 3.735 4.035 4.115 3.675 Sell
KLBF IJ Equity 1.415 (12,7) Positif Trading Negatif 1.285 1.380 1.475 1.360 1.355 1.310 1.405 1.410 1.290 Hold
LPPF IJ Equity 1.590 (62,2) Negatif Trading Positif 1.105 1.330 1.560 1.505 1.470 1.395 1.580 1.615 1.370 Hold
MNCN IJ Equity 1.010 (38,0) Positif Trading Positif 810 875 935 935 940 885 990 985 870 Speculative Buy
PGAS IJ Equity 970 (55,3) Negatif Trading Positif 755 835 910 910 915 875 950 945 860 Hold
PTBA IJ Equity 2.110 (20,7) Negatif Trading Positif 1.715 1.915 2.115 2.110 2.080 2.040 2.150 2.180 2.010 Hold
PTPP IJ Equity 760 (52,1) Negatif Trading Positif 590 645 705 725 695 665 755 785 655 Hold
PWON IJ Equity 412 (27,7) Negatif Trading Positif 318 352 387 399 390 367 422 431 361 Hold
SCMA IJ Equity 1.000 (29,1) Negatif OverBought Positif 725 820 915 965 940 895 1.010 1.035 880 Sell
SMGR IJ Equity 9.700 (19,2) Negatif OverBought Positif 6.550 8.025 9.500 9.500 9.275 9.025 9.750 9.975 8.900 Sell
SRIL IJ Equity 156 (40,0) Negatif Trading Negatif 144 153 163 152 150 147 155 157 144 Sell
TBIG IJ Equity 1.090 (11,4) Positif Trading Negatif 1.020 1.105 1.185 1.075 1.065 1.040 1.100 1.110 1.020 Hold
TKIM IJ Equity 4.750 (53,8) Negatif Trading Negatif 3.990 4.605 5.225 4.500 4.480 4.240 4.740 4.760 4.175 Sell
TLKM IJ Equity 3.290 (17,1) Positif Trading Negatif 3.010 3.210 3.415 3.205 3.195 3.125 3.275 3.285 3.075 Hold
TOWR IJ Equity 1.010 25,5 Negatif OverBought Positif 840 890 945 965 950 905 1.010 1.025 890 Sell
UNTR IJ Equity 17.075 (20,7) Negatif Trading Positif 14.075 15.300 16.550 15.525 15.775 15.075 16.225 15.975 14.825 Hold
UNVR IJ Equity 8.225 (2,1) Positif Trading Negatif 7.575 8.100 8.625 8.175 8.075 7.875 8.375 8.475 7.775 Hold
WIKA IJ Equity 1.190 (40,2) Negatif OverBought Positif 820 940 1.060 1.110 1.110 1.060 1.160 1.160 1.040 Sell
WSKT IJ Equity 665 (55,2) Negatif Trading Positif 555 590 620 635 620 595 660 675 585 Hold
source: Bloomberg Lp
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
MAJOR ECONOMIC RELEASE CALENDAR ECONOMICS
Date Event Country Act Prev Cons
03-Jun-20 US API Crude Oil Stock Change 29/MAY USD -0,5M 8.7M
JP Jibun Bank Services PMI Final MAY JPY 26.5 21.5 25.3
JP Jibun Bank Composite PMI Final MAY JPY 27.8 25.8 27.4
CN Caixin Services PMI MAY CNY 55.0 44.4
CN Caixin Composite PMI MAY CNY 54.5 47.6
US MBA Mortgage Applications 29/MAY USD =3.39% 2.7%
US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate 29/MAY USD 3.37% 3.42%
US ADP Employment Change MAY USD -2760K -20236K -9000K
US Markit Services PMI Final MAY USD 35.5 26.7 36.9
US Markit Composite PMI Final MAY USD 37.0 27.0 36.4
US ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity MAY USD 41 26 34
US ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices MAY USD 55.6 55.1
US ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders MAY USD 41.9 32.9
US ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment MAY USD 31/8 30
US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI MAY USD 45.4 41.8 44
US Factory Orders MoM APR USD -13% -10.3% -14%
US Factory Orders ex Transportation APR USD -8.5% -3.7%
US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 29/MAY USD -2.077M 7.928M
US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change 29/MAY USD 2.066M 2.066M
04-Jun-20 JP Foreign Bond Investment 30/MAY JPY ¥-432.9B
JP Stock Investment by Foreigners 30/MAY JPY ¥75.4B
US Balance of Trade APR USD $-44.4B $-49B
US Unit Labour Costs QoQ Final Q1 USD 0.9% 5%
US Nonfarm Productivity QoQ Final Q1 USD 1.2% -2.6%
US Initial Jobless Claims 30/MAY USD 2123K 1800K
US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 30/MAY USD 2608K
US Continuing Jobless Claims 23/MAY USD 21052K 20100K
US Exports APR USD $187.8B
US Imports APR USD $232.2B
US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change 29/MAY USD 109Bcf
05-Jun-20 JP Household Spending MoM APR JPY -4% -8.7%
JP Household Spending YoY APR JPY -6% -15.4%
JP Foreign Exchange Reserves MAY JPY $1368.6B
JP Leading Economic Index Prel APR JPY 84.7
JP Coincident Index Prel APR JPY 90.2
US Non Farm Payrolls MAY USD -20500K -8000K
US Unemployment Rate MAY USD 14.7% 19.7%
US Manufacturing Payrolls MAY USD -1330K -400K
US Participation Rate MAY USD 60.2%
US Nonfarm Payrolls Private MAY USD -19520K -7750K
US Average Weekly Hours MAY USD 34.2 34.3
US Average Hourly Earnings YoY MAY USD 7.9% 8.6%
US Government Payrolls MAY USD
-980K
US Average Hourly Earnings MoM MAY USD 4.7% 1%
Source: Tradingeconomics
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
CORPORATE ACTION
Dividend
Code Status Cum- Date Ex-Date Recording Date Pay -Date Ammount (IDR)/Share
MDKI Cash Dividen 28-Apr-20 29-Apr-20 30-Apr-20 20-Mei-20 9 CINT Cash Dividen 29-Apr-20 30-Apr-20 04-Mei-20 20-Mei-20 2 PRDA Cash Dividen 30-Apr-20 04-Mei-20 05-Mei-20 18-Mei-20 112 INDY Cash Dividen 30-Apr-20 04-Mei-20 05-Mei-20 20-Mei-20 89 BJTM Cash Dividen 05-Mei-20 06-Mei-20 08-Mei-20 20-Mei-20 48 SDRA Cash Dividen 11-Mei-20 12-Mei-20 13-Mei-20 19-Mei-20 13
AKRA Cash Dividen 12-Mei-20 13-Mei-20 14-Mei-20 03-Jun-20 50 TOWR Cash Dividen 14-Mei-20 15-Mei-20 18-Mei-20 27-Mei-20 17 EPMT Cash Dividen 14-Mei-20 15-Mei-20 18-Mei-20 05-Jun-20 80 LUCK Cash Dividen 15-Mei-20 18-Mei-20 21-Mei-20 10-Jun-20 5
IPO Company Underwriter Offering Date Listing Date IPO Price Shares (Mn)
Cashlez Worldwide Indonesia Tbk Sinarmas Sekuritas 27 - 29 April 2020 04-Mei-20 350 250
Right Issue
Code OS NS Price (IDR) Cum Date Ex Date Trading Period
TNCA 2 : 3 344 08-Jan-20 09-Jan-20 14 - 20 Januari 2020
FAST 100 : 7 1.25 18-Jun-20 19-Jun-20 24 - 30 Juni 2020
Source: KSEI and OSO Research Team
www.oso-securities.com Disclaimer on.
OSODaily 04 Juni 2020
Disclaimer This report has been prepared by PT OSO Sekuritas Indonesia on behalf of itself and its affiliated companies and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstance.is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. This report has been produced independently and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained herein are entirely those of PT. OSO Sekuritas Indonesia. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT. OSO Sekuritas Indonesia, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action , suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT. OSO Sekuritas Indonesia, its affiliated companiesor their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or mis-statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. The information contained in this report is not be taken as any recommendation made by PT. OSO Sekuritas Indonesia or any other person to enter into any agreement with regard to any investment mentioned in this document. This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regards tothe specific person who may receive this report. In considering any investments you should make your own independent assessment and seek your own professional financial and legal advice.
Research Team Ike Widiawati Head of Research +62 21 2991 5300 ([email protected])
Rifqiyati Research Analyst +62 21 2991 5300 (Rifqiyati @oso-securities.com)
Sukarno Alatas Research Analyst +62 21 2991 5300 ([email protected])
Mochammad Cahyo Research Analyst +62 21 2991 5300 ([email protected])
Michelle Abadi Research Associate +62 21 2991 5300 ([email protected])
Disclosure Of Interests
As of the date of this report, 1. The research analysts primarily responsible for the preparation of all or part of this report hereby certify that:
the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of each such analyst about the subject securities
and issuers; and
no part of the analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views
expressed in this research report.
2. The research analysts primarily responsible for the preparation of all or part of this report, or his/her associate(s), do not have any interest (including any direct or indirect ownership of securities, arrangement for financial accommodation or serving as an officer) in any company mentioned in this report
3. PT OSO Securities Indonesia on a business in Indonesia in investment banking, proprietary trading or agency broking in relation
to securities
PT OSO Sekuritas Indonesia - Research Cyber 2 Tower, 22
nd Floor
Jl. HR. Rasuna Said Blok X-5 No. 13 JakartaSelatan, 12950 Telp: +62-21-299-15-300 Fax : +62-21-290-21-497