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Do Sweat the Small Stuff !
Do Sweat the Small Stuff !
Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology
Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology
Mike Treder, Executive Director
Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
www.CRNano.org WorldFuture 2005 Chicago July 30,
2005
Mike Treder, Executive Director
Center for Responsible Nanotechnology
www.CRNano.org WorldFuture 2005 Chicago July 30,
2005
Why Everyone Should CareWhy Everyone Should Care
About NanotechnologyAbout Nanotechnology
HowHow
WhatWhat
WhereWhere
When When
WhoWho
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
About NanotechnologyAbout Nanotechnology
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
You’re driving a car, very fast, on a poorly marked road, in the pitch-black darkness.
There are no streetlights, there is no moon out tonight, the only illumination you have is your car’s headlights. You’re in uncharted territory; you have no roadmap, no way to know for sure where you are going…but you’re driving very fast, into the pitch-black darkness…
That’s the state of nanotechnology today. We’re advancing rapidly into uncharted territory. The changes this technology will bring may arrive sooner than we are prepared to respond effectively to them. It’s like driving a car in the darkness with only your headlights to show what’s ahead. The speed you are driving exceeds your ability to react, and if something suddenly comes out of the darkness, you won’t have time to respond and avoid disaster.
One other thing: you don’t know it, but there is a chasm up ahead in the distance. You are driving directly toward it, very fast, and you don’t even know it’s there.
That’s where we are going with advanced nanotechnology.
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
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Who…Who…
Why…Why…
What… is nanotechnology?What… is nanotechnology?
What… is nanotechnology?What… is nanotechnology?
1) Nanoscale technology Big machines making
small products
1) Nanoscale technology Big machines making
small products
2) Molecular manufacturing
Small machines making big products
2) Molecular manufacturing
Small machines making big products
What… is nanotechnology?What… is nanotechnology?
1) Nanoscale technology Incremental advances Familiar problems
1) Nanoscale technology Incremental advances Familiar problems
2) Molecular manufacturing Revolutionary advances Unfamiliar problems
2) Molecular manufacturing Revolutionary advances Unfamiliar problems
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
Not just new products —
Not just new products —
A new means of production!
A new means of production!
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
faster, smaller, better
exponential proliferation
revolutionary products
vastly accelerated product improvement
faster, smaller, better
exponential proliferation
revolutionary products
vastly accelerated product improvement
Scaling laws
Factories that make factories
Bottom-up, atomically precise manufacturing
Cheap rapid prototyping
Scaling laws
Factories that make factories
Bottom-up, atomically precise manufacturing
Cheap rapid prototyping
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror
Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror
Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction
Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the
worldworld oror
Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every
movemove
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror
Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction
Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the
worldworld oror
Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every
movemove
Trillions of dollars of Trillions of dollars of abundanceabundance oror
A vicious scramble to A vicious scramble to own own
everythingeverything
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots oror
Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction
Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the
worldworld oror
Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every
movemove
Trillions of dollars of Trillions of dollars of abundanceabundance oror
A vicious scramble to A vicious scramble to own own
everythingeverything
Rapid invention of Rapid invention of wondrous productswondrous products oror
Weapons development Weapons development fast enough to fast enough to
destabilize any arms destabilize any arms racerace
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
Lifesaving medical Lifesaving medical robotsrobots
ANANDD
Untraceable weapons of Untraceable weapons of mass mass destructiondestruction
Networked computers Networked computers for everyone in the for everyone in the
worldworld
ANANDD
Networked cameras so Networked cameras so governments can watch governments can watch our every our every
movemove
Trillions of dollars of Trillions of dollars of abundanceabundance
ANANDD
A vicious scramble to A vicious scramble to own own
everythingeverything
Rapid invention of Rapid invention of wondrous productswondrous products
ANANDD
Weapons development Weapons development fast enough to fast enough to
destabilize any arms destabilize any arms racerace
How… will MM affect us?How… will MM affect us?
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?
Five leading drivers: Energy/Environment
Life Quality - Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
Industrial Productivity- Info Tech & Manufacturing
Security/Surveillance/Privacy
Military/Geopolitics
Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?
Energy/Environment Clean power Smaller footprint Remediation Nano-litter Planet-scale engineering Albedo change
Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?
Life Quality Conquer diseases Increase healthspans Improve mental wellness Overpopulation Psychotropic drug abuse
Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?
Industrial Productivity Supercomputing Low-cost manufacturing Rapid product improvement Economic disruption / social chaos Monopolies / black markets
Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?
Security/Surveillance/Privacy Counterterrorism Crime fighting & prevention Intrusive surveillance Stolen intellectual property Identity theft
Why… is MM coming soon?Why… is MM coming soon?
Military/Geopolitics Nano arms race
- Easy to build
- Hard to monitor
- Easy to deliver
- Obsolete almost immediately
- Programmable and controllable
Rapidly shifting balance of power
How…How…
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Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When… When…
Who…Who…
Why…Why…
Surveillance & Privacy
Information Technology
Ecological Remediation
Arms Control & Geopolitics
Sustainable Development
Who… should start preparing?Who… should start preparing?
All Stakeholders!
Social JusticeIntellectual
Property
Policing & Criminology
Business & Trade Medical Ethics &
Research
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When…When…Who…Who…
Why…Why…
How…How…
What…What…
Where…Where…
When…When…Who…Who…
Why…Why…
When… will MM be developed?When… will MM be developed?
When?When?
Brookhaven National Laboratory
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Idaho National Laboratory
Battelle – Foresight Roadmap Initiative
Technology Roadmap for Productive Nanosystems
We may know the answer soon…
CRN Policy and Implications Task Force
For Advanced Nanotechnology Study implications
Evaluate policy options Consider all stakeholders Seek integrated, comprehensive
solutions Publish recommendations Promote proposals with relevant
groups
Study implications Evaluate policy options Consider all stakeholders Seek integrated, comprehensive
solutions Publish recommendations Promote proposals with relevant
groups
Before molecular manufacturing starts working...
Before molecular manufacturing starts working...
Before molecular manufacturing starts working...
Before molecular manufacturing starts working...
WE ALL must start working
on wise solutions!
WE ALL must start working
on wise solutions!
For more information: For more information:
www.CRNano.org
Mike Treder — Executive Director Center for Responsible
Nanotechnology
www.CRNano.org
Mike Treder — Executive Director Center for Responsible
Nanotechnology
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