Hampton Hurricane NWS

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    Taking the pulse of the planetTaking the pulse of the planet

    Hurricanes and

    Hurricane Readiness

    Hurricanes and

    Hurricane ReadinessStorm Surge and TidalFlooding A Hampton

    Specific Look

    Storm Surge and TidalFlooding A Hampton

    Specific Look

    Bill Sammler

    Warning Coordination Meteorologist

    NOAAs National Weather Service, Wakefield VA

    http://weather.gov/akq

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    Taking the pulse of the planetTaking the pulse of the planet

    Storm Surge DefinedStorm Surge Defined

    STORM SURGE The abnormal rise in waterlevel directly associated with the wind and

    pressure forces associated with a hurricane

    Storm Surge Example hurricane makes landfall at high tide

    Storm Surge is highest in right forward quadrant near

    center as it crosses coast

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    Taking the pulse of the planetTaking the pulse of the planet

    Coastal Hurricane ThreatsCoastal Hurricane Threats

    Storm Surge is

    highest in the

    RIGHT FORWARDQUADRANT close

    to where center

    makes landfall

    Storm SurgeStorm Surge

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    Taking the pulse of the planetTaking the pulse of the planet

    Coastal Hurricane ThreatsCoastal Hurricane Threats

    Storm Surge Example Hugo 1989Storm Surge Example Hugo 1989

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    Taking the pulse of the planetTaking the pulse of the planet

    Coastal Hurricane ThreatsCoastal Hurricane Threats

    Storm Surge FactorsStorm Surge Factors

    Storm Intensity and Size Stronger = Higher Surge

    Larger = Larger Area

    Affected Storm Speed

    Slower Often MeansHigher Surge

    Angle to Coast atLandfall Perpendicular Maximizes

    Surge (Katrina)

    Storm Intensity and Size Stronger = Higher Surge

    Larger = Larger Area

    Affected Storm Speed

    Slower Often MeansHigher Surge

    Angle to Coast atLandfall Perpendicular Maximizes

    Surge (Katrina)

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    Hurricane ThreatsHurricane ThreatsSTORM SURGE STORM INTENSITY

    CAT 2 NNW 20 mph

    CAT 2 NNW 20 mph

    CAT 1 NNW 20 mph

    CAT 1 NNW 20 mph

    CAT 3 NNW 20 mph

    CAT 3 NNW 20 mph

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    Hurricane ThreatsHurricane ThreatsSTORM SURGE STORM SPEED

    CAT 3 NNW 10 mphCAT 3 NNW 10 mph

    CAT 3 NNW 30 mphCAT 3 NNW 30 mph

    CAT 3 NNW 20 mphCAT 3 NNW 20 mph

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    Hurricane ThreatsHurricane ThreatsSTORM SURGE ANGLE TO COAST

    CAT 3 N 20 mphCAT 3 N 20 mph

    CAT 3 WNW 20 mphCAT 3 WNW 20 mph

    CAT 3 NW 20 mphCAT 3 NW 20 mph

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    Storm Surge contd.Storm Surge contd.STORM SURGE Isabel

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    Hurricane IsabelHurricane IsabelStorm Surge & Wave ActionStorm Surge & Wave Action

    Jordan Point Marina Near Gloucester

    Hampton Buckroe Area

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    And Then There Was ErnestoAnd Then There Was Ernesto

    Overriding Principle

    Good Wind Forecast =

    Good Coastal FloodForecast

    Get the Winds Wrong,

    And

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    Ernesto Wind AnimationErnesto Wind Animation

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    Ernesto Tidal Departures

    vs. Wind

    Ernesto Tidal Departures

    vs. Wind

    Yorktown VA (USCG)

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    Ernesto Tidal Departures

    vs. Wind

    Ernesto Tidal Departures

    vs. Wind

    Windmill Point VA

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    Wachapreague Tides

    vs. Ocean City Tides

    Wachapreague Tides

    vs. Ocean City Tides

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    Tropical vs. Noreaster FloodingTropical vs. Noreaster Flooding

    Yorktown - Ernesto(2006)

    Gloucester Point1998 Noreaster

    48 Hours

    24 Hours

    1-2 Tide Cycles(Tropical)

    vs.

    Several Tide Cycles(Noreaster)

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    Storm SurgeStorm SurgeHurricanes vs. Noreasters

    Sewells Point - Isabel

    Sewells Point

    11/2009 Noreaster

    Minor Flooding Begins

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    Hurricane Stats SE Va.Hurricane Stats SE Va.

    Hurricanes Only

    All Tropical Cyclones

    1933 Hurricane

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    Hurricanes in VirginiaHurricanes in Virginia

    Ernesto (2006) Inland and Coastal Gaston, Ivan, Frances (2004) Mainly

    Inland

    Isabel (2003) Inland and Coastal

    Floyd (1999) Coastal and Inland

    Camille (1969) Inland****

    Donna (1960) Coastal only

    Hazel (1954) Inland and Coastal 1933 Hurricane Inland and Coastal

    1749 Hurricane Willoughby Spit

    Ernesto (2006) Inland and Coastal Gaston, Ivan, Frances (2004) Mainly

    Inland

    Isabel (2003) Inland and Coastal

    Floyd (1999) Coastal and Inland

    Camille (1969) Inland****

    Donna (1960) Coastal only

    Hazel (1954) Inland and Coastal 1933 Hurricane Inland and Coastal

    1749 Hurricane Willoughby Spit

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    Hurricane Stats SE Va.Hurricane Stats SE Va.Hurricane Return Period

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    Some H.R. High Water EventsSome H.R. High Water Events

    *

    ***

    *

    *

    *

    * - Denotes Event Since 1998

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    Hurricane Stats SE Va.Hurricane Stats SE Va.Tropical Cyclones by Year

    ?

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    The End!!The End!!

    Are There Any

    AdditionalQuestions?

    Are There Any

    AdditionalQuestions?

    [email protected]@noaa.gov

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    NWS Wakefield EM/Briefing PageNWS Wakefield EM/Briefing Pagehttp://weather.gov/akq/empage.php

    Local

    Radar

    Hazard/Topic

    Specific Tabs

    Local

    WFOProducts

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    NWS Wakefield,VA Briefing Page:http://weather.gov/akq/empage.php

    NWS Wakefield,VA Briefing Page:http://weather.gov/akq/empage.php

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    NOAA Tides and Currents Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/

    NOAA Tides and Currents Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/

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    NOAA Tides and Currents Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/

    NOAA Tides and Currents Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/

    d l i

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    NOAA CBOFS Model Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs/cbofs/cbofs.html

    NOAA CBOFS Model Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs/cbofs/cbofs.html

    d l iO C O S d l Si

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    NOAA CBOFS Model Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs/cbofs/cbofs.html

    NOAA CBOFS Model Site:http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs/cbofs/cbofs.html

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    Hurricane Info 24/7/365Hurricane Info 24/7/365National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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    k h l f h lT ki h l f h l

    NOAA Weather RadioNOAA Weather Radio

    24/7 Weather Broadcast

    IMMEDIATE broadcast of

    Watches & Warnings

    Newer radios (S.A.M.E.)are programmable to

    local areas

    24/7 Weather Broadcast

    IMMEDIATE broadcast of

    Watches & Warnings

    Newer radios (S.A.M.E.)are programmable to

    local areas