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ThailandOpportunities Amid Challenges: Focusing on Fundamentals
The Stock Exchange of Thailand
August 2014
I. Thailand’s growth potential remains promising
• Growth opportunities through intra-regional trade and investment connectivity
• Exports to return as a bright spot, supported by stronger external demand
• Planned infrastructure investments to boost the country’s potential
II. The road to economic recovery
III. Thai listed companies continue to be resilient
IV. Thai capital market landscape
Opportunities amid challenges: focusing on fundamentals
Source: Fiscal Policy Office, Department of Tourism, Bank of Thailand, IMF’s World Economic Outlook
(%YoY) 2012 2013 2014f
GDP Growth 6.4 2.9 2.0
- Private consumption 6.6 0.2 0.3
- Private investment 14.6 -2.8 -3.5
- Public consumption 7.4 4.9 4.6
- Public investment 8.9 1.3 4.0
- Export value of goods (USD)
3.2 -0.2 1.5
- Import value of goods (USD)
7.8 -0.4 -5.2
- Number of tourists (%YoY) 16.0 19.6 1.1
- Number of tourists (million) 22.3 26.7 27.0
• The Thai economy has shown impressive resilience to shocks. The economy is expected to grow at around 1.5-2.5 percent in 2014 and will continue to expand at a healthy pace of 4-5 percent over the medium-term.
• Short-term growth will come from: - Exports to continue as a key driver- Planned infrastructure investments to boost the country’s potential.
Thailand: Medium-term GDP Growth forecast
0.1
6.4
2.92.0
5.0 4.8 4.7 4.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2011 2012 2013 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f
(%)
3
I. Thailand’s growth potential
Actual
Forecast*
Note: *2014 mid-range forecast by NESDB, 2015 onward forecast by BOT, IMF
1/ International reserves and net forward positions
Source: Bank of Thailand, Fiscal Policy Office, IMF's World Economic Outlook Database (as of May 2014)
External debt and international reserves
(billion USD)
63
144
192
0
50
100
150
200
250
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Jun-
14
Short-term external debt
Gross External Debt
Net international reserves 1/
• External vulnerabilities appear manageable with Thailand’s strong foreign reserve positions, and slight current account surplus.
• Strong commitment to fiscal discipline reflects sound fiscal positions and well-managed public debt.
4
I. Thailand’s growth potential
Public debt and fiscal balance (percent of GDP)
-0.3
46.6
0
20
40
60
80
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Jun-
14
Fiscal balance/ GDP (LHS)
Public debt/ GDP (RHS)
60
(%)(%)
Public debt to stay below 60 percent of GDP
under fiscal sustainability framework
Source: Bank of Thailand, Fiscal policy office
Capital adequacy and Non-performing loans
05101520253035404550
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Q1
Tier1 (LHS)
CAR (LHS)
Gross NPLs to total loan (RHS)
(%) (%)
15.5
12.3
2.3
• Subdued inflation leaves room for accommodative monetary policy stance
• Financial sector resilience is strengthening. Credit boom is gradually cooling off. Banks are well-capitalized and
asset quality has been stable.
5
I. Thailand’s growth potential
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Jan-09 Nov-09 Sep-10 Jul-11 May-12 Mar-13 Feb-14
headline inflation
core inflation
policy interest rate
Inflation
Jul-14
2.35
1.712.00
(%YoY, latest data as of Jul 14)
May
-14
Source: Bloomberg, The stock exchange of Thailand, The Thai bond market association
• Thai Baht has weakened during the past 12 months, but stabilized at around 32.4 Baht/US$ recently.
• Slight Baht depreciation could partly support Thailand’s export competitiveness.
• Nevertheless, Thai Baht has been less affected by the regional turbulence amid QE tapering.
Foreign net capital flowExchange rate
(%) Rebased end 2012 = 100 (billion USD) as of July 31, 2014
6
I. Thailand’s growth potential
70
80
90
100
110
end2
012
Jan-
13Fe
b-13
Mar
-13
Apr-1
3M
ay-1
3Ju
n-13
Jul-1
3Au
g-13
Sep-
13O
ct-1
3N
ov-1
3D
ec-1
3Ja
n-14
Feb-
14M
ar-1
4Ap
r-14
May
-14
Jun-
14
Singapore Malaysia Philippines
Thailand Indonesia
2.4
0.8
1.5
0.5
-1.6
-1
.5
-0.1
-2
.1
2.3
0.3
-1.9
-0
.4
-0.6
-0
.2
-0.1
0.
8 -2
.0
0.9
3.6
0.5
-0.6
0.
2 -0
.7 -0.2
-1
.8
0.0
-1.2
0.
3 0.
0 -1
.5 -1.2
-0.4
-0
.7
0.5
0.5
-1.1
-0.1
0.5
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Jan-
13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep-
13
Nov
-13
Jan-
14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Bond market Equity market
-23.5%
-7.1%-5.2%-2.5%-6.1%
5.011.8
8.31.4 2.6
-5.2
0.8
-2.5
8.04.1
-4.3
7.5
-1.5
2.8
-100
10203040
ASEAN (9) CLMV CLMM China EU (27) Japan US
2005 2010 2013 6M2014
26.0
8.3 10.911.9
9.89.7 10.0
25.8
8.9 11.4 11.0 10.5 9.9 10.2
0
10
20
30
ASEAN (9) CLMV CLMM China EU (27) Japan US
2005 2010 2013 6M2014
• Exports will return as a bright spot, supported by stronger global and regional demand.
• Border trade with CLMV is growing robustly and will likely do so for years to come.
Thailand’s export growth by destination (value in term of USD)
Source: The customs of Thailand, IMF's World Economic Database, forecast as of April 2014
Note: *CLMV= Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam. Real GDP growth rate for CLMV is weighted averaged.
**CLMM= Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Malaysia (border trade). Real GDP growth rate for CLMM is weighted averaged.
Thailand’s exports by destination to total exports
(%YoY)
Real GDP growth rate
Country 2012 2013 2014 2015 2019
ASEAN5 6.2 5.0 4.9 5.4 5.6
CLMV* 5.7 5.9 6.3 6.4 6.6
CLMM** 5.6 5.0 5.7 5.6 5.6
China 7.7 7.7 7.5 7.3 6.5
US 2.8 1.9 2.8 3.0 2.2
Euro area (17) -0.7 -0.5 1.2 1.5 1.5
Japan 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.1
(%)
7
(%)
I. Thailand’s growth potential
I. Thailand’s growth potential remains promising
II. The road to economic recovery
III. Thai listed companies continue to be resilient
IV. Thai capital market landscape
Opportunities amid challenges: focusing on fundamentals
9
• Thai economy has proven resilient to a number of political shocks
4.65.1 5.0
2.5
-2.3
7.8
0.1
6.5
2.9
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014f
Thailand’s GDP Growth (%)
Global Financial
Crisis
2006
Feb Government dissolved
the parliament.
Q2 Protest began
Sep Coup was launched
2008
Aug Protestors occupied the
Government House
Sep Caretaker PM was appointed after
previous PM was discharged.
Nov Protestors occupied the
Suvarnabhumi airport
Dec New PM sworn into office.
2010
Apr Protestors occupied
Rajaprasong area
2013
Nov Amnesty bill was
proposed, protestors
occupied streets in
Bangkok
Dec PM dissolved the
parliament
2007
May Constitutional court dissolved
a political party.
Dec New election launched and PM
was appointed.
2014
Jan-May Ongoing protest in
Bangkok area
May 22nd Coup was launched.
July 31st National legislative
assembly were
appointed
2009
Apr Protestors gathered at Din-
Daeng and Victory Monument
2011May Prime minister dissolved the
parliamentJuly New electionAug new PM was appointed.
Sources: NESDB, FPO
1.5-2.5
II. The road to economic recovery
10
The government is
processing to setup
the parliament in Q3
2014. The key
changes are:
• reforming political
system
• resolve populism
policies
• PM and some
politicians in
caretaker government
are in lawsuit.
• Tourism has been adversely impacted but historically has been quick to rebound.
• Fiscal disbursement was lagging, due to some delay in capital expenditures. But the Ministry of Finance has speeded up the disbursement of FY2014 budget and the approval of FY2015 budget, following the guideline from National Council of Peace and Order (NCPO).
16
28
23 22
26 25
18
2224
1411
4
0
-8 -9
-2
-11
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Jan-
13
Apr-1
3
Jul-1
3
Oct
-13
Jan-
14
Apr-1
4
No.of international tourists (LHS) %YoY (RHS)
International tourist arrivals
(%)(thousand)FY 2014 Framework
Amount (million Baht)
1-year Target(% of Framework)
1-year
Expected (% of Framework)
Expenditures 2,525,000 95.0% 90.0%
- Current
- Capital
2,096,645
428,355
97.7%
82.0%
96.3%
57.3%
Carry-over
expenditures
from previous
budgets
301,093 72.0% 70.3%
Budget for fiscal year 2014
Source: Bank of Thailand, Fiscal Policy Office, Ministry of Tourism and Sports
II. The road to economic recovery
11
The government is
processing to setup
the parliament in Q3
2014. The key
changes are:
• reforming political
system
• resolve populism
policies
• PM and some
politicians in
caretaker government
are in lawsuit.
• Experience shows that SET has proven resilient to political shocks, generally returning to pre-shock levels in less than a year.
40
60
80
100
120
140
Mon
th 0
Mon
th 1
Mon
th 2
Mon
th 3
Mon
th 4
Mon
th 5
Mon
th 6
Mon
th 7
Mon
th 8
Mon
th 9
Mon
th 1
0
Mon
th 1
1
Mon
th 1
2
Mon
th 1
3
Inde
x ch
ange
follo
win
g po
litic
al s
hock
s
Time since political shocks
SET index dynamics following political shocks
(rebase 100 one day before shock)
7 Months
2010 (Protest at Ratchaprasong)
1992 (Black May)
2013 (the amnesty bill
+ QE Tapering)
As ofJun25, 2014
2008 (PAD occupied the
Suvarnabhumi airport
+ Subprime crisis)
3 Months5 Months
13 Months
Source : The stock exchange of Thailand
II. The road to economic recovery
12
• The National Council for Peace and Order’s political roadmap leads to democratic elections.
• In the medium term, economic policies will continue to be pro-growth and supportive of domestic demand.
II. The road to economic recovery
Timeline of the events :
Political roadmap (tentative timeline) :
Fully functioning government is expected in September
Mission Statement and Policies of the Head of the National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO)
http://www.mfa.go.th/main/en/media-center/3756/47440-Mission-Statement-and-Policies--of-the-Head-of-the.html
Latest update on political situation in Thailand can be found at http://www.mfa.go.th/main/en/media-center/3756
Phase III (15+ months)
• Set up reform committees to
draft new constitution
•Put in place a new constitution
(mid-2015)
•New election
Phase II (Present)
• Thailand adopted a temporary constitution
• 200 members of national legislative assembly
were appointed.
•An interim government is expected in
September
•Enact reform initiatives
Phase I (May 22nd – July 2014)
• National Council on Peace and Order
(NCPO) took charge, and ensured order
and reconciliation
• Urgent economic measures were
implemented. FY2015 budget of 2.575
trillion baht has been approved.
•All curfews have been lifted for all areas
in the country.
13
• NCPO’s economic policy framework focuses on maintaining free market mechanism, removing market distortions, and addressing structural obstacles.
• Stimulus measures will boost economic growth in 2014-2015.
II. The road to economic recovery
NCPO’s Economic Policy Framework
1. Market-based, private sector-driven economy
- Reduction of SOE role
2. Free flow of capital and free trade
- Fostering border trade
3. Ensure fiscal discipline within fiscal sustainability framework
4. Comprehensive reforms to enhance long-term competitiveness
- Labor market reform
Short-term stimulus measures
1. Repay rice farmers under the rice-pledging scheme
2. Accelerate budget disbursement for 2014 fiscal year and approve
budget 2015 fiscal year
3. Infrastructure projects such as double-track railways, the
Metropolitan Rapid Transit (MRT)
4. Clarify tax measures:
- An extension of the current value-added tax rate (VAT) of 7%;
- Corporate income tax to be kept at 20%
Private sector
confidence
+
Foreign investor
confidence
Economic
growth
14
• Infrastructure investments in the pipeline will boost the country’s potential, support regional connectivity, and enhance logistic efficiency.
II. The road to economic recovery
The development of transportation infrastructure US$84 billion
over the next 8 years
1.Railway network:
Dual-track railways of 17 routes, new diesel locomotives, and
upgrading the railway signaling system.
2.Public transportation in Bangkok and vicinities:
Additional 10 metro rails and sky trains, NGV buses, road and bridge
construction in Bangkok and its vicinities.
3.Regional connectivity road and motorway:
Motorways to connect major cities and economic zones, roads to
support tourism and agricultural sector.
4.Water freight transportation network:
Developments of Pakbara port, cruise ship port, rail freight system
straight through Laem-cha-bung port, and Pah-sak river freight system.
5. Airport capacity expansion:
Capacity expansion for Suvannabhum airport, Don muang airport, and
Phuket airport.
Railway
network,
20.8
Bangkok
public
transportati
on, 37.3
Regional
connectivity
road and
motorway,
19.9
Water
freight, 3.1
Airport
capacity
expansion,
2.8
Transportation Infrastructure Development
(US$ Billion)
Source: Office of Transport and Traffic Policy and Planning
I. Thailand’s growth potential remains promising
II. The road to economic recovery
III. Thai listed companies continue to be resilient
IV. Thai capital market landscape
Opportunities amid challenges: focusing on fundamentals
100.879.6
53.730.1 21.6
-8.8 -10.6 -27.2
92.976.8
46.768.6
9.3 21.22.0
-35.4
Philippines Thailand Malaysia Indonesia Singapore India Vietnam China
In USD In local currency
25.7 24.318.4 18.1 17.3
7.92.4 2.0
19.122.3
16.6 15.7 18.1
6.50.2
4.0
Indonesia India Philippines Thailand Vietnam Singapore Malaysia China
In USD In local currency
4-year (2010-2013) index performance (%); data at end Dec 2013
YTD index performance and movement
(%); as of Jul 31, 2014
• YTD, SET index performance is approximately 18% in USD or 16% in local currency.
Source : Bloomberg, The stock exchange of Thailand
YTD index performance and movement
Dec 31, 2013=100
16
III. Thai listed companies
as of Jul 31, 2014
80
90
100
110
120
130
31/1
2/20
13
31/1
/201
4
28/2
/201
4
31/3
/201
4
30/4
/201
4
31/5
/201
4
30/6
/201
4
31/7
/201
4
Thailand
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
MSCI BRIC Index
MSCI World Index
1.21
2.14 2.14
2.94 3.03 3.20 3.23 3.073.44
1.06
1.97 2.16
2.99 3.06 3.10 3.15 3.233.64
Korea Indonesia Philippines Taiwan Thailand China Malaysia Singapore Hong Kong
End of July 2013 End of July 2014
19.3016.48 15.35 15.12 13.63 14.62
10.49 9.75 8.56
19.33 16.66 16.42 15.17 14.95 14.92
11.49 10.58 8.75
Philippines Malaysia Indonesia Taiwan Thailand Singapore Hong Kong Korea China
End of July 2013 End of July 2014
III. Thai listed companies • SET’s forward P/E ratio is attractive compared to peers, while market dividend yield is around 3.06%.
(unit: %)
Market Dividend Yield
Forward P/E ratio
Source : Bloomberg, The stock exchange of Thailand
17
(unit: times)
18
III. Thai listed companies
• Thai listed companies have become global and regional players.
19
III. Thai listed companies• Number of Thai listed companies invested abroad expanded significantly by approximately 50 percent between
2006-2013, from 59 to 109 companies.• Revenue of trade and investment abroad reached 45 percent of total revenue of listed companies in recent years.
Number of Thai listed companies invested abroad
47
36
1610 10
4 6 3
81
53
3124
2014 12 10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2006 2013
Source : The stock exchange of Thailand
* Data of 115 companies which reported revenue of trade and investment abroad FY 2006 - 2013
As of 2013, the number of Thai
listed companies invested
abroad totaled 109 companies
out of total 596 listed companies.
Revenue of trade and investment abroad to total revenue*
38
4341
4542
44 44 45
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
(%)
20
Source : IMF's World Economic Database, forecast as of April 2014
III. Thai listed companies
2013 GDP and Expected 2015-2018 GDP growth
USD 57 billion
7.8%
USD 156 billion
5.7%
USD 16 billion
7.3%
USD 10 billion
7.8%
USD 425 billion
3.8%
ChinaUSD 8,227 billion
7.3%
MalaysiaUSD 328 billion
5.0%
• In particular, Thailand stands to benefit from our connectivity to high-growth CLMV.
SET as connectivity for investing in CLMV
• Equity investment in listed companies operating in and exporting to CLMV
• Investing in holding companies operating abroad
• Infrastructure funds for infrastructure projects in CLMV
Holding company listing
• CK power (CKP) acquired majority of shares in South East Asia Energy Co.,Ltd. (SEAN), the major shareholder of Nam Ngum 2 hydro power plant in Lao PDR, making its core asset.
• CKP also invested in solar power and cogeneration power plants in Thailand.
• Listed on SET as of July 18, 2013 with 2,680 million baht IPO value.• Market Capitalization of CKP as of July31, 2014 with 17,270 million baht
The first holding companies operating abroad listed on SET
• AMATA VN invest in industrial estate and commercial project in Vietnam.• Under filing process.
Source : The stock exchange of Thailand
Holding company
(Thai incorporated)
Thai/Foreign
subsidiary
(core business)
Shareholders
(Thai/foreign)
50%
(must be maintained)
Company to be listed by 2014:
• PM Thoresen Asia Holdings Ltd. (PMTA)'s core operating is a fertilizer maker, Baconco which has evolved into Vietnam’s second largest fertilizer company in terms of production.
• Under filing process.
21
III. Thai listed companies• Holding company: a new investment vehicle to match investors in SET to businesses operating abroad.
Infrastructure fund listing
BTS rail mass transit growth infrastructure fund (BTSGIF) • 60 billion baht IPO size : the largest IPO in Thailand• Revenue from the operation of the original BTS sky train system.
3 infrastructure funds listed on SET
Amata B.Grimm power plant infrastructure fund (ABPIF) • 6 billion baht IPO size• Revenue from the operation of power plants for industrial
sectors in Thailand and Vietnam
Source : The stock exchange of Thailand
Potential businesses to utilize infrastructure fund:
Private sector: telecommunication, electricity cogeneration
State-own enterprises: Metropolitan Waterworks Authority, Provincial Waterworks Authority, Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
0
100
200
Jan-
13
Feb-
13M
ar-1
3
Apr-1
3
May
-13
Jun-
13
Jul-1
3
Aug-
13
Sep-
13
Oct
-13
Nov
-13
Dec
-13
Jan-
14
Feb-
14M
ar-1
4
Apr-1
4
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
(billion baht); data as of Jul31, 2014
Market capitalization of BTS and BTSGIF
BTSBTSGIF
BTSGIF first day trade
True Telecommunications Growth Infrastructure Fund (TRUEIF) • 58 billion baht IPO size: the first telecom infrastructure fund• Revenue from the rental of 5,845 telecommunication towers,core fiber-optic cable grids and related transmission equipment(FOC system)
0
20
40
Jul-1
3
Aug-
13
Sep-
13
Oct
-13
Nov
-13
Dec
-13
Jan-
14
Feb-
14
Mar
-14
Apr-1
4
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
(billion baht); data as of Jul31, 2014
Market capitalization of AMATA and ABPIF
AMATA
ABPIF
ABPIFfirst day trade
-50
50
150
Oct
-13
Nov
-13
Dec
-13
Jan-
14
Feb-
14
Mar
-14
Apr-1
4
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
(billion baht); data as of Jul31, 2014
Market capitalization of TRUE and TRUEIF
TRUE
TRUEIF
TRUEIFfirst day trade
22
III. Thai listed companies• Infrastructure funds are new SET investment vehicles and will support both domestic and regional infrastructure
developments.
I. Thailand’s growth potential remains promising
II. The road to economic recovery
III. Thai listed companies continue to be resilient
IV. Thai capital market landscape
Opportunities amid challenges: focusing on fundamentals
*Share turnover velocity is calculated by {Monthly EOB Domestic Share Turnover / Month-end Domestic Market Capitalization) *12
Source : World Federation of Exchanges (WFE).
IV. Thai capital market landscape
24
• SET has the highest average daily turnover in ASEAN, during the past 3 years.
Share turnover velocity* (2011 - Jun 2014)
(%)
Average daily turnover (2008 - Jun 2014)
(million USD)
19
Jun 1485
3226
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2008
Mar
-10
Aug-
10
Jan-
11
Jun-
11
Nov
-11
Apr-1
2
Sep-
12
Feb-
13
Jul-1
3
Dec
-13
May
-14
Thailand Singapore Malaysia
Indonesia Philippines
1,409Jun 14
784
552
176 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Jan-
11
May
-11
Sep-
11
Jan-
12
May
-12
Sep-
12
Jan-
13
May
-13
Sep-
13
Jan-
14
May
-14
Thailand Singapore Malaysia
Indonesia Philippines
30617
19% 18% 23% 24% 22% 24%
61% 62% 55% 55% 57% 56%
7% 8% 9% 8% 9% 10%
13% 12% 13% 13% 13% 10%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (YTD)
Foreign investors Local retail investors
Local institutes Proprietary trading
• SET has a well diversified investor base.
• Local investors have played a key role in providing liquidity to SET and stabilizing SET index amid volatile international capital flows.
Source : The stock exchange of Thailand
25
SET index and net buying position in SET and mai
Unit: million baht (LHS), index (RHS); cumulative Dec 31, 2013 - Jul 31, 2014
Transactions by investor type
(3,542) (5,347)
(average trading value: million baht)
(6,713) (7,830) (10,940)
(11,113) (18,018) (16,287) (17,765) (28,747)
(9,080)
(21,500)
(1,214) (2,205) (2,586) (2,512) (4,294)
(2,356) (3,495) (3,886) (4,198) (6,347)
(3,814)
(3,750)
IV. Thai capital market landscape
1,0001,0501,1001,1501,2001,2501,3001,3501,4001,4501,5001,5501,600
-50,000
-30,000
-10,000
10,000
30,000
50,000
2 Ja
n 14
2 Fe
b 14
2 M
ar 1
4
2 Ap
r 14
2 M
ay 1
4
2 Ju
n 14
2 Ju
l 14
Local institutes ProprietaryTradingForeign investors Local retail investorsSET index
Number of listed companies having market capitalization
>= $1 billion and daily average trading value* >= $10 milliondata as of 31 Jul 2014
*Average daily trading value during 26 Dec 2013 – 31 Jul 2014**Large-cap listed companies mean companies having market capitalization>= $1 billion and daily average trading value >= $10 million
Source : World Federation of Exchanges (WFE), Bloomberg
Market capitalization
(billion USD); data as of 31 July 2014
685
545
438 429
Singapore Malaysia Indonesia Thailand
25
20
108
Thailand Singapore Malaysia Indonesia
26
• SET has a relatively larger number of liquid large-cap listed companies compared to peers.
IV. Thai capital market landscape
18 9 13 21 8 8 3 1 8 7 4 1 19 34 34 3960
36 43 43 28 405 1 0 2 10 24 29
50 5522 16 16 22 15 16 24 38 20
18
454
652
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014*
Source: SETSMART (Include Property Funds & IFF)
* As of end-July 2014
Newly listed company (SET & mai & PFUND & IFF)
Total listed company (SET & mai & PFUND & IFF)
No. of companies
• Number of listed companies and securities has consistently increased from new IPOs, especially in last 3 years.
IV. Thai capital market landscape
27
Breakdown of number of listed companies and securities IPOs (2012-2014 latest) Total outstandingStocks: SET 30 498Stocks: mai 29 100Property funds & REIT 17 51Infrastructure funds 3 3
Total IPOs 79 652
Source: Asian Corporate Governance Association
The World Bank corporate governance country
assessment 2012ACGA ’s CG Watch market scores: 2007 to 2012
• Thailand is recognized as a leader in capital market corporate governance.
83 83 7685 87 83
64 69 62 65 66 63
Thailand (2012)Selected Asia (Indonesia, India, Malaysia, Thailand, Philippines, Vietnam)
67.7%62.3% 55.7%
48.9%43.3%
28.4%
75.4% 71.7% 71.7%58.0% 54.6%
33.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Thailand Malaysia Singapore Philippines Indonesia Vietnam
2012
2013
ASEAN corporate governance scorecard 2012 - 2013 *
* average total corporate governance score of the country’s 100 largest listed
companies based on market capitalization
Source : Joint Initiative of the ASEAN Capital Markets Forum
and the Asian Development Bank
2007 2010 2012
1.Hong Kong (67) 1.Singapore (67) 1.Singapore (69)
2.Singapore (65) 2.Hong Kong (65) 2.Hong Kong (66)
3.India (56) 3.Japan (57) 3.Thailand (58)
4.Taiwan (54) 4.Thailand (55) 4.Japan (55)
5.Japan (52) 4.Taiwan (55) 4.Malaysia (55)
6. Korea (49) 6.Malaysia (52) 6.Taiwan (53)
6. Malaysia (49) 7.India (49) 7.India (51)
8.Thailand (47) 7.China (49) 8.Korea (49)
9.China (45) 9.Korea (45) 9.China (45)
10.Philippines (41) 10.Indonesia (40) 10.Philippines (41)
11.Indonesia (37) 11.Philippines (37) 11.Indonesia (37)
Source: The World Bank
28
IV. Thai capital market landscape
Developed Advanced Emerging Secondary Emerging FrontierAustralia Brazil Chile ArgentinaAustria Czech Republic China Bahrain
Belgium/Luxembourg Hungary Columbia BangladeshCanada Malaysia Egypt Botswana
Denmark Mexico India BulgariaFinland Poland Indonesia Cote d’lvoireFrance South Africa Morocco Croatia
Germany Taiwan Pakistan CyprusGreece Thailand Peru Estonia
Hong Kong Turkey Philippines GhanaIreland Russia JordanIsrael Thailand KenyaItaly UAE Lithuania
Japan MacedoniaNetherlands MaltaNew Zealand Mauritius
Norway NigeriaPortugal Oman
Singapore QatarSouth Korea Romania
Spain SerbiaSweden Slovakia
Switzerland SloveniaUK Sri Lanka
USA TunisiaVietnam
Source : FTSE, MSCI, DJSI
• Thai capital market was upgraded from the Secondary Emerging Market to Advanced Emerging Market status by FTSE in March 2012.
• A number of Thai stocks are now presented in the global index calculation: 26 in MSCI Standard index and 3 in DJSI World index. 1. ADVANC: Advanced Info Service
2. AOT: Airports of Thailand3. BANPU: Banpu4. BBL: Bangkok Bank5. BEC: BEC World6. BGH: Bangkok Dusit Medical Services7. BTS : Bangkok Mass Transit System8. CPN: Central Pattana9. CPF: Charoen Pokphan Foods10. CPALL: CP All11. GLOW: Glow Energy12. HMPRO: Home product center13. IVL: Indorama Ventures14. IRPC: IRPC15. KBANK: Kasikornbank16. KTB: Krung Thai Bank17. MINT: Minor international18. PTT: PTT19. PTTGC: PTT Global Chemical20. PTTEP: PTT Exploration & Production21. SCB: Siam Commercial Bank22. SCC: Siam Cement23. TMB : Thai Military Bank24. TOP: Thai Oil25. TRUE: True Corporation26. BH: Bumrungrad Hospital
26 Thai stocks in MSCI Standard index (as of May 2014)
29
IV. Thai capital market landscape
3 Thai stocks in Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI) World Index(as of May 2014)
FTSE Global
Equity Index
Series
Country
Classification (as of May 2014)
DJSI World component Invited list for DJSI 2014(Number of companies)
1. SCC: Siam Cement Co. Malaysia 372. PTT: PTT PCL Thailand 313. PTTGC: PTT Global Chemical PCL Singapore 26
Indonesia 18
* Others comprise of Oil futures, SET50 Index options, Silver futures, Interest rate futures and Sector futures
* *TFEX has modified its SET50 futures contract to have a smaller contract size on May 6, 2014. The new SET50 futures, or mini-SET50 futures, have a contract size
that is one-fifth that of the previous one. The contract multiplier was reduced from THB 1,000 per index point to THB 200 per index point, resulting in a drop in size to
about THB 200,000.
Source: SETSMART 30
• Derivatives market is growing rapidly, especially single stock futures and SET50 index futures
Daily average trading volume in TFEX
(unit: number of contracts per day)
8,498 10,381 10,212 17,690 16,467
23,218
41,385
154 600 4,006
6,468 8,849
34,351
60,270
1,397 4,014
16,479 14,927
9,009
2,751
977
185 393 444
508 829
462
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Jan - Jul31,
2014
Others*
Currency futures
Gold futures
Single stock futures
SET50 index futures
CAGR 2008-2013 50%
8,837Total 12,771 18,676 41,145 48,823 68,017 108,868**
IV. Thai capital market landscape
Disclaimer This document was prepared by The Stock Exchange of Thailand in good faith upon sources believed to
be reliable but no representation or warranty expressed or implied is made to their accuracy or correctness.
The Stock Exchange of Thailand accepts no liability for any direct or consequential loss or damage arising
from any use of this document or its contents. All information and opinion expressed here is subject to
change without notice. The copyright belongs to The Stock Exchange of Thailand. No part of this document
may be published or copied in any form or by any means without the written permission of The Stock
Exchange of Thailand.
31
Post-Trade Services
Clearing & settlement
Central Depository
Securities and fund
registration
Derivatives
Stock index futures
Single stock futures
Gold / Silver futures
Derivative warrants
Interest rate futures
Oil futures
Currency futures
Sector Index Futures
Equities
Domestic common shares
Dual listings
State enterprise listings
SME listings
Warrants
Property funds / REITs / Infrastructure Fund
Domestic mutual funds / ETFs
Domestic indices / FTSE indices
Shariah index
Fixed Income
Corporate bonds
Government and state
enterprises bonds
SET Information Services
SET listed companies &
product information database
Exchangeand
Trading
Post-Trade Services
Data, System and Other Services
Integrated
Model
Appendix: Trading at SET
32
Trade stock-F
Most SET-listed Thai
companies have foreign
ownership restriction. Check
out foreign ownership
restriction of each stock via
www.set.or.th >>
company/securities info >>
equity >> then select your
preferred company.
2 options to get all benefits from investing in Thai stocks.
Option 1:
Mostly for strategic shareholders
Trade NVDR stock or stock-R
• Another option is to trade
NVDRs. (Non-Voting
Depository Receipts)
• Obtain all financial benefits
with the exception of voting
rights.
• Gain greater efficiency,
flexibility and convenience as
if you are local investors.
Option 2:
General option
Appendix: Trading at SET
Remarks: Trading stocks on local board is applicable. However, to get all benefits, stocks should be transferred to stock-F or stock-R. NVDRs traded on local
board, no price different from local stocks.
NVDR, 41.16%
Local Shares, 45.77%
Foreign Shares, 13.07%
Proportion of trading value by type
of stocks by foreign investors
Source: SET , May2012 - Apr2013
33
Allow SET to broadcast VDO File of Company’s Analyst Meeting
Opportunity Day Webcast
1. Website
www.set.or.th/oppday
www.settrade.or.th/oppday
2. iPhone & Smart Phone
3. Application on iPad & Android Tablet
Live from Meeting room
Appendix: Opportunity Day Webcast
3 channels to view and join Live opportunity Day
Note: Presentation in English is currently still limited. However, the company presenting in English are increasing gradually.
• Quarterly updated info of many listed companies are available on opportunity day webcast and application on tablet.
34
1
2
Application on iPad & Android Tablet
This application can be searched “OppDay” in AppStore or
PlayStore
Appendix: Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI)
35
3 stocks in DJSI World Index component (as of May 2014)
PTT: PTT PCL
PTTGC: PTT Global Chemical PCL
SCC: Siam Cement PCL
14 stocks in invited list
ADVANC: Advanced Info Service PCL
BBL: Bangkok Bank
BAY: Bank of Ayudhya PCL
BEC: BEC World PCL
BIGC: Big C Supercenter PCL
CPF: Charoen Pokphand Foods
CPALL: CP ALL PCL
KBANK: Kasikorn bank
KTB: Krung Thai Bank Co
PTTEP: PTT Exploration & Production PCL
PTTGC: PTT Global Chemical PCL
PTT: PTT PCL
SCC: Siam Cement Public Co.SCB: Siam Commercial Bank PCL
Appendix: FTSE ASEAN Index Series
36
ASEAN Exchanges announced the three new tradable indices on 30 May 2014.
What’s new:
• FTSE ASEAN Stars Index: Comprises the 30 biggest companies of each ASEAN
country. The index will contain 180 companies in total.
• FTSE ASEAN All-Share Index: Represents the performance of large, mid and small cap
ASEAN companies in all 7 markets.
• FTSE ASEAN All Share Ex-Developed Index: Represents the performance of all markets
in FTSE ASEAN All-Share Index except Singapore.
Existing FTSE ASEAN Index:
•FTSE/ASEAN 40 Index: Comprise the 40 biggest companies in ASEAN country.
• More info of FTSE ASEAN Index Series, go to http://www.set.or.th/en/products/index/ftse_asean_p1.html
Appendix: www.aseanexchanges.org• More info of ASEAN exchanges, go to www.aseanexchanges.org .
37
Appendix: GMS Exchanges information center• SET and GMS exchanges agree to exchange market information to be shown on GMS Exchanges’ information.
The website will be an integrated single-window view into the GMS capital market.
38
http://www.set.or.th/en/gms_exchanges
IPOs
39
• IPOs size hit SET’s all time high records in 2013
Symbol Trade Date Market Sector Market Capitalization
(Mil.USD)
BTSGIF 19/4/2013 SET Transportation & Logistics 1,894
TRUEIF 27/12/2013 SET Information & Communication Technology 1,760
M 15/8/2013 SET Food & Beverage 1,345
EA 30/1/2013 mai Medium-Sized Enterprise 622
NOK 20/6/2013 SET Transportation & Logistics 492
MONO 6/6/2013 mai Medium-Sized Enterprise 484
MEGA 19/11/2013 SET Commerce 459
CKP 18/7/2013 SET Energy & Utilities 433
MC 4/7/2013 SET Commerce 364
TLGF 19/3/2012 SET Property Fund & REITs 558
AAV 31/5/2012 SET Transportation & Logistics 544
ANAN 7/12/2012 SET Property Development 424
VGI 11/10/2012 SET Media & Publishing 318
LHBANK 10/5/2011 SET Banking 482
IPOs with market
capitalization over 300
million USD
522
2,473
891
2,543
5,791
3,293 3,160 3,2052,373
1,0391,839 1,319
3,249
11,275
2,847
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Market Cap. (Mil.USD)
Year
Market Capitalization of New Listed Companies (2000 - 2014)
Appendix: IPOs summary (year-to-date)• This year SET’s IPOs might reach 8 billion USD; many of IPOs in pipeline.
40
.
Trade (Mkt. Cap 3,853 Mil.USD)SET : 9 Companies 2,592 Mil.USDMai : 4 Companies 241 Mil.USDPFUND/REIT : 4 Funds 1,020 Mil.USDIFF : - Fund - Mil.USDRTO : - Company - Mil.USD
New Listing
(SET + mai)
Companies having filing approval (Mkt. Cap 1,028 Mil.USD)SET: : 2 Companies 352 Mil.USDMai : 4 Companies 143 Mil.USDPFUND/REIT : 5 Funds 533 Mil.USDIFF : - Fund - Mil.USD
Companies under SEC filing and expected to IPO within 2014 (Mkt. Cap 2.8 Bil.USD)SET : 6 Companies 500 Mil.USDmai : 9 Companies 124 Mil.USDPFUND/REIT : 5 Funds 649 Mil.USDIFF : 1 Fund 1,515 Mil.USD
Data are as of 30 June 2014
Remark: Companies are already traded or under filing at the Securities and Exchange Commission
41
Highlight of IPOs• Many of new IPOs and upcoming IPOs with market capitalization over 300 mil.USD
Kaset Thai International Sugar Corporation (KTIS)• Thailand’s third largest sugar producer who is a fully integrated sugar business including an ethanol
factory, a bleached paper pulp factory, a biomass power plant, and a bio-fertilizer pellet factory. • Market capitalization at IPO = 1.2 billion USD, biggest IPO YTD. • Trading : 28 April 2014
Ichitan Group (ICHI)• Producer and distributor of ready-made beverages, being a market leader of ready-to-drink green
tea. The company is categorized in food sector, which is one of the highlight sector of the SET.• Market capitalization at IPO = 512 million USD• Trading date: 21 April 2014
LH Shopping Center (LHSC)• Property fund investing in a shopping mall named “Terminal 21” located at the center of Bangkok and market village Hua Hin• Estimated market capitalization at IPO = 363 million USD• Trading : Q4/2014
Thai Hotel Investment Freehold and Leasehold Property Fund (THIF)• Property fund investing in five-stars hotels in Bangkok and other famous tourist destinations in Thailand
such as Chiangmai, Phuket and Samui Island • Market capitalization at IPO = 806 million USD• Trading : 16 June 2014