Indonesia Dan Diplomasi Ekonomi

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  • INDONESIA

    DAN

    DIPLOMASI EKONOMI

    Leonard F. Hutabarat, Ph.D.

  • OVERVIEW

    INDONESIAN FOREIGN POLICY

    Independent and active

    Dynamic Equilibrium

    Foreign policy Stakeholders

    Foreign policy commitments

    Economic Diplomacy

  • Geopolitics :

    A method of foreign policy analysis which seeks to understand,

    explain and predict international political behavior primarily in

    terms of geographical variables, such as location, size, climate,

    topography, demography, natural resources and technological

    development and potential

    ( Evans and Newnham, 1998 )

    Basic Concept

    3

  • Indonesian Foreign Policy :

    Foreign Policy is the policy, attitude, and steps taken by the Government of the Republic of Indonesia in pursuance of relations with other states, international organizations, and other international legal subjects in the context of dealing with international issues in order to attain the national objectives. ( Law No. 37 / 1999 on Foreign Relations )

    Indonesian National Objectives :

    to protect all the people of Indonesia and their entire native land;

    to improve the public welfare;

    to advance the intellectual life of the people; and

    to contribute to the establishment of a world order based on

    freedom, abiding peace and social justice

    ( Preamble of the 1945 Constitution )

    4

  • WORLD MAP

  • WORLD POPULATION

    6

  • Source: Sindo, BPS, IMF

    Economic state of affairs: world income per capita

    File P3K2 Aspasaf BPPK

    East Asia

  • Geopolitical Shift

    Rank Country GDP (PPP) $M

    1 United States 14,264,600

    2 7,916,429 1

    3 Japan 4,354,368

    4 India 3,288,345

    5 Germany 2,910,490

    6 Russia 2,260,907

    7 United Kingdom 2,230,549

    8 France 2,130,383

    9 Brazil 1,981,207

    10 Italy 1,814,557

    11 Mexico 1,548,007

    12 Spain 1,396,881

    13 South Korea 1,342,338

    14 Canada 1,303,234

    15 Turkey 915,184

    16 Indonesia 908,242

    17 Iran 819,799

    18 Australia 795,305

    19 Republic of China (Taiwan) 711,418

    20 Netherlands 675,375

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)
  • Economic Integration and Energy Security

  • World largest economies : 4 out of 20 located in Asia Pacific

    10

  • 0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    1994 2000 2007

    Tahun

    Australia

    Canada

    Japan

    Russia

    United States

    Brunei Darussalam

    Chile

    China

    Hong Kong SAR

    Indonesia

    Korea

    Malaysia

    Mexico

    New Zealand

    Papua New Guinea

    Peru

    Philippines

    Singapore

    Taiwan Province of China

    Thailand

    Vietnam

    Index of GDP Growth : APEC's Economies

    11

  • Indonesia's Main Trading Partner

    12

  • The largest layer in Asia Pacific regional architecture.

    9 APEC economies are members of G-20, thus APEC has global relevance.

    De facto : Asia Pacific economy has been integrated under APEC?

    APEC

    13

  • MoU Bilateral dan Kemitraan

    Strategis ASEAN Economic Community 2015

    Ekspor Negara Non-Tradisional

    Potensi UMKM Indonesia

    Ekspor melalui Peluang Kerja Sama Teknis

    Persepsi Positif Investasi di Indonesia

    Kesiapan Proyek Investasi

    Market Size dan Kebangkitan

    Kelas Menengah

    Potensi SDM dan Tenaga

    Kerja

    Stabilitas Politik

    POTENSI EKSPOR DAN INVESTASI

    INDONESIA

    Potensi pasar 600 juta jiwa

    Di luar Amerika Utara, Eropa Barat, dan Asia Timur Potensi pasar yang besar

    Tren ekspor meningkat Bahan baku lokal dan

    penyerapan tenaga kerja

    Indonesia bukan lagi negara recipient, tapi sudah menjadi negara donor Pintu masuk produk Indonesia

    Investment grade FDI Confidence

    Index

    Pembuatan daftar proyek Public Private Partnership (PPP)

    240 juta penduduk >50% PDB konsumsi domestik 2014, kelas menengah 150 juta

    jiwa

    Angkatan kerja 119.4 juta jiwa Relatively cheap labor

    Transisi reformasi damai Iklim demokrasi

    12 kemitraan strategis Ratusan MoU

    bilateral

  • PASAR NON-TRADISIONAL INDONESIA

    15

    South Asia

    (3,76%) Africa

    North America (excl. US & Canada)

    Middle East

    (3,01%)

    (0,38%)

    Central America & Carribean

    (0,22%)

    (1,77%)

    South America

    Ekspor non migas Indonesia ke pasar non tradisional tahun 2011 didominasi ke kawasan Afrika sebesar US$ 6,01 milyar (3,76%), Middle East mencapai US$ 4,88 milyar (3,01%), South Asia sejumlah US$ 3,06 milyar (1,89%), Eastern Europe tercatat US$ 2,98 milyar (1,84%) dan South America senilai US$ 2,87 milyar (1,77%).

    Share ekspor yang masih relatif kecil dipasar tradisional, sesungguhnya sebagai bahwa pasar tersebut belum diberdayakan secara maksimal dan masih memberikan banyak peluang dan menyimpan berbagai kesempatan yang harus dioptimalkan dengan berbagai program promosi dan penetrasi.

    Sumber: BPS, Mei 2012 diolah Kemendag

    (1,84%)

    Eastern Europe

    (0,31%)

    Oceania (excl. Australia)

    (1,89%)

  • Indonesia Foreign Policy

    Managing Geopolitical Shift through Economic Diplomacy

  • Indonesia Foreign Policy Mainstreaming Economic Diplomacy

  • Leonard F. Hutabarat, Ph.D.

    E-mail : [email protected]