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Insert the title of your presentation here Presented by Name Here Job Title - Date A reduction in fatal casualties Who, why and what does this mean? Louise Lloyd

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Insert the title of your presentation here. A reduction in fatal casualties Who, why and what does this mean? . Presented by Name Here Job Title - Date. Louise Lloyd. Agenda. 1. Introduction. 2. Who : Which road user groups?. 3. Why : Vehicle safety influences. 4. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Insert the title of your presentation herePresented by Name HereJob Title - Date

A reduction in fatal casualties Who, why and what does this mean?

Louise Lloyd

Page 2: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 2

Agenda

Who: Which road user groups?

Why: Vehicle safety influences

Why: Temporal and economic influences

What does this mean?

1

2

3

4

5

Introduction

Page 3: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Aim

Page 3

Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10

Page 4: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Aim

Page 4

Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Casu

altie

s in

dexe

d to

200

0 fig

ure

Killed Seriously injured

Page 5: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Aim

Page 5

Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10

Fatalities:

A – 7,305 B – 1,901C – 3,409

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Aim

Page 6

Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Casu

altie

s in

dexe

d to

200

0 fig

ure

Killed Seriously injured

Page 7: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Hypotheses

Page 7

Changes in:

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Hypotheses

Page 8

Changes in:

Financial stability

Vehiclesafety

Weather

Traffic

Page 9: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 9

Agenda

Who: Which road user groups?

Why: Vehicle safety influences

Why: Temporal and economic influences

What does this mean?

1

2

3

4

5

Introduction

Page 10: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 10

Casualty trends by road user type

Killed casualty trend by casualty class

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Fata

l cas

ulati

es in

dexe

d to

200

0 fig

ure

vehicle occupant pedal cyclist motorcyclist pedestrian

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Page 11

Casualty trends by road user type

Killed casualty trend by casualty class

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Fata

l cas

ulati

es in

dexe

d to

200

0 fig

ure

vehicle occupant pedal cyclist motorcyclist pedestrian

Vehicle occupants:

A – 50% B – 70%C – 90%

Page 12: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 12

Casualty trends by road user type

Killed casualty trend by casualty class

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Fata

l cas

ulati

es in

dexe

d to

200

0 fig

ure

vehicle occupant pedal cyclist motorcyclist pedestrian

Page 13: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Fatal casualties by age group

Page 13

Page 14: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Young driver licence holders

Page 14

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Prop

ortio

n of

pop

ulati

on

Male, 17-20

Male, all 17+

Female, 17-20

Female, all 17+

Page 15: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 15

Agenda

Who: Which road user groups?

Why: Vehicle safety influences

Why: Temporal and economic influences

What does this mean?

1

2

3

4

5

Introduction

Page 16: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 16

Exposure data by car class

Traffic (billion kilometres) by vehicle type

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Traffi

c (bi

llion

kilo

met

res)

Minis and superminis Small saloons Medium saloonsLarge saloons Sports cars 4x4, people carriers

Page 17: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Fatality rate by car type

Page 17

0123456789

10

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Kille

d ca

sual

ty r

ate

Mini & superminis Small saloon Medium saloon

large/luxury saloon Sports 4X4, people carriers

Page 18: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 18

Exposure data by car age

Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Traffi

c (bi

llion

kilo

met

res)

0-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years

Page 19: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 19

Exposure data by car age

Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Traffi

c (bi

llion

kilo

met

res)

0-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years

Severity rate for new and old cars:

A – 6% v. 4% B – 6% v. 8%C – 6% v. 12%

Page 20: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Car registration year

Page 20

Year of accident

0-2 years

3-5 years

6-10 years

11-15 years

16+ years

2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13%

2010 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%

Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants

Page 21: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Car registration year

Page 21

Year of accident

0-2 years

3-5 years

6-10 years

11-15 years

16+ years

2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13%

2010 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%

Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants

Page 22: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Car registration year

Page 22

Year of accident

0-2 years

3-5 years

6-10 years

11-15 years

16+ years

2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13%

2010 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%

Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants

Page 23: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 23

Car secondary safety – drivers

Page 24: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 24

Car secondary safety – driver fatalities

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

pre-

1976

1978

-79

1982

-83

1986

-87

1990

-91

1994

-95

1998

-99

2002

-03

2006

-07

2010

-11

Prop

ortio

n of

all

car d

river

casu

altie

s ki

lled

Car drivers

Page 25: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 25

Car secondary safety – drivers seriously injured

pre-

1976

1976

-77

1978

-79

1980

-81

1982

-83

1984

-85

1986

-87

1988

-89

1990

-91

1992

-93

1994

-95

1996

-97

1998

-99

2000

-01

2002

-03

2004

-05

2006

-07

2008

-09

2010

-110%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%Car driver SI

Prop

orti

on o

f ca

r dr

iver

cas

ualt

ies

ser-

ious

ly in

jure

d

Page 26: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 26

Car secondary safety – drivers

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

pre-

1976

1978

-79

1982

-83

1986

-87

1990

-91

1994

-95

1998

-99

2002

-03

2006

-07

2010

-11

Prop

ortio

n of

all

car d

river

casu

altie

s ki

lled

Car drivers

Page 27: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 27

Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

pre-

1976

1978

-79

1982

-83

1986

-87

1990

-91

1994

-95

1998

-99

2002

-03

2006

-07

2010

-11Pr

opor

tion

of a

ll pe

dest

rian

casu

altie

s kill

ed

Pedestrians

Page 28: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 28

Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

pre-

1976

1978

-79

1982

-83

1986

-87

1990

-91

1994

-95

1998

-99

2002

-03

2006

-07

2010

-11Pr

opor

tion

of a

ll pe

dest

rian

casu

altie

s kill

ed

Pedestrians

Page 29: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 29

Agenda

Who: Which road user groups?

Why: Vehicle safety influences

Why: Temporal and economic influences

What does this mean?

1

2

3

4

5

Introduction

Page 30: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Quarterly fatality numbers

Page 30

Page 31: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Quarterly fatality numbers

Page 31

Page 32: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Minimum quarterly temperature

Page 32

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Min

umum

ave

rage

tem

pera

ture

(ce

lsiu

s)

Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec

Page 33: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Minimum quarterly temperature

Page 33

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Min

umum

ave

rage

tem

pera

ture

(ce

lsiu

s)

Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec

Page 34: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 34

Agenda

Who: Which road user groups?

Why: Vehicle safety influences

Why: Temporal and economic influences

What does this mean?

1

2

3

4

5

Introduction

Page 35: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Conclusions

Page 35

Financial stability

Vehiclesafety

Weather

Traffic

Page 36: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Conclusions

Page 36

Traffic

General reduction in traffic

Reduction in young male drivers

Drink driving accidents reduced

Small reduction in speeding

Page 37: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Conclusions

Page 37

Financial stability

Traffic

General reduction in traffic

Reduction in young male drivers

Drink driving accidents reduced

Small reduction in speeding

Page 38: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Conclusions

Page 38

Vehiclesafety

No change to trend in improvements due to secondary safety

Page 39: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Conclusions

Page 39

Weather

Progressively colder winters

Page 40: Insert the title of your  presentation here

What does this mean in Surrey?

Page 40

and 2011 and 2012?

Page 41: Insert the title of your  presentation here

Page 41

Louise LloydSenior Statistician

01344 [email protected]