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EndofCampaignPress

Conference

EliePieprz,Na-onalDirector

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500lbsofballotsdeliveredtothe

U.S.Embassyinthelastweekof

October

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Impact:SwingStates

Ohio 3500ballots Pennsylvania 3500ballots Florida 7500ballots

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Impact:CongressionalRaces

SenateOH,FL,MA,CT,WI,PA,MO,VA HouseSouthFL,NY,Chicago,LAmetro

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2012ExitPoll

AronShaviv

ShavivStrategyandCampaigns

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Methodologicalnotes:

Sample1,572

Marginoferror+/2.5% Actualvoters ConductedbetweenOctober2224 Demographics(2slides):

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16.8% 15.4%

42.2%

9.4%

15.2%

47.3%

21.9%

0.0%

5.0%10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

Inthelast10

years

Inthelast20

years

Over20years

ago

Nonreligious

(chiloni)

Tradi-onal

(masor-)

Na-onal

Religious(Da-

Leumi)

UltraOrthodox

(Haredi)

DemographicsHowlongagodidyoumake

aliyah/movetoIsrael?

Howwouldyoudescribe

yourreligiousstatus?

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20.7% 22.4%23%

33.8%

50.4% 49.6%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

1830 3150 5160 60orolder Female Male

Demographics

AgeGender

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11.2% 2.7% 11.2% 0.9%

61.3%

10.0%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%50%

60%

70%

Jobsand

Economy

Healthcare Iran Taxa-on Israelrelated

issuessuchas

thestatusof

Jerusalemand

Pales-nian

Other

Whatwasthemostimportantissueforyouinthese

elec6ons?

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62.0%

28.2%

1.4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

ARepublicancandidate ADemocratcandidate Anindependentcandidate

CongressionalVote2012HouseofRepresenta6ves

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63.0%

27.8%

1.0%0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

ARepublicancandidate ADemocratcandidate Anindependentcandidate

CongressionalVote2012-Senate

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85.0%

14.3%

0.6%0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

MiRomney BarackObama WriteIncandidate

Presiden6alVote2012

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59.3%

85.8%

19.5%

84.6%88.8%

28.7%

5.3%

75.6%

0.0%3.5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Jobsand

Economy

Iran Healthcare Taxa-on Israelrelated

issuessuchas

thestatusof

Jerusalemand

Pales-nians

Mi

Romney

Barack

Obama

Presiden-alVote2012ontheIssues

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84.8% 85.8%

15.1% 18.1%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

Florida Ohio

MiRomney

BarackObama

Presiden-alVote2012inBalegroundStates