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MARKET TIMING 投 資時機

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MARKET TIMING 投 資時機. Everyone usually asks me many questions. Basically everyone wants good advice. You need good advice to make good decisions . 很多人都問過我很多問題, 因 為每個人都渴求好的建議, 人 們需要好的建議來 幫助 他們做出正確決定。. Here is my advice. 這 是我的建議 : Do not try to time the market! - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: MARKET  TIMING  投 資時機
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MARKET TIMING 投資時機

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• Everyone usually asks me many questions.Basically everyone wants good advice.

You need good advice to make good decisions.• 很多人都問過我很多問題, 因為每個人都渴求好的建議, 人們需要好的建議來幫助他們做出正確決定。

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• Here is my advice. 這是我的建議: Do not try to time the market! 不要嘗試預測市場! Trying to time the market is a losing

proposition. 預測市場是一個失敗的提議。

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• Everyone wants a great deal. What is a great deal? A great deal is the ability to purchase a good

coin at a fair price.• 人人都夢想成功的交易 什麼是成功的交易呢? 成功的交易就是以一個公平的價錢買到一枚好錢幣。

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• The Modern Chinese Coin market has been expanding since 2005. Europe – Singapore – Japan – China. There are so many collectors and investors worldwide.

• 中國現代幣市場從 2005 年開始發展。從歐洲到新加坡,從日本到中國,全球的收藏家和投資者都在關注中國現代幣。

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• Since 2005, I have been told there is a bubble and to wait, save money, prices will drop.

• 從 2005 年開始,人們就告訴我這是一個泡沫市場,應該捂緊錢包,耐心等待,價格很快會下降。

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• Since 2005, I have continued to invest tremendous amounts into this market because of the so-called high prices.

• 2005 年開始,我持續在中國現代幣市場投入大量資金,買了很多當時所謂的“高價”錢幣。

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• This was the size of the Modern Chinese coin market in the year 2000.

• 這是 2000 年中國現代幣市場的規模:

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• Here was the size of the market in 2005 as the true growth began.

• 這是 2005 年的市場規模,市場即將開始經歷真正的成長:

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• This brings us to the current year 2011. The growth has been phenomenal due to the expansion of collectors, investors and dealers.

• 這是現在 2011 年的市場規模。由於收藏家、投資者和交易商數量的增長,市場發展極為顯著,有目共睹。

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• In the past 3 years, look at how many books have been released. Look at how many shows are featuring Modern Chinese Coins and, finally, look how many auction firms are entering this market.

• 在過去三年中,有多少本中國現代幣書籍上架,有 多少展會以中國現代幣為主要展品,又有多少拍賣公司進入這個火熱的市場?

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• The Mint keeps increasing the mintages to meet the growing demand. This is an estimate of the market size in 2015.

• 為滿足不斷上升的需求,造幣廠一直在增加發行量。這是預估的 2015 年市場規模:

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• When everything is increasing, people are in fear that prices will drop. The biggest mistake people make is not purchasing more in a bull market.

• 當一種物品的數量持續增加時,人們紛紛陷入價格下跌的擔心與恐慌。此時,你犯下的最大錯誤是,沒有在大牛市買入更多。

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Market Increasing 市場增長

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• I have done my greatest amount of purchasing in these cycles. Others have chosen to wait. Waiting has proved to result in not purchasing the coins you want or purchasing at higher prices in the future. I know. This has happened to me!

• 我已經在這個市場中買入大量錢幣,其他人則選擇等待。事實證明,等待的結果不是買不到你想要的錢幣,就是需要在未來以更高的價格購買。我瞭解,因為這曾經發生在我自己身上!

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• A plateau is when prices do not increase for a period of time. I call this healthy. The market needs this. This means the market is steady and building strength for its next upward movement. Plateaus are necessary during a healthy market cycle.

• 當市場平穩時,價格在一段時期內不再上升,我把這叫做“健康”。市場需要健康。健康意味著市場不僅穩定,而且蘊藏下一波上漲的力量。在一個健康的市場中,平穩是必要的。

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Plateau 平穩時期

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• There are periods when prices retreat. These also represent buying opportunities. These are common and to be expected

• 當然,價格有回落的時候,這也是買入的大好時機。這是正常現象,並且令人期待。

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Market Decline 市場下滑

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• When you put all of these graphs together, this is what it looks like. You will have increases, plateaus and decreases. These are all essential parts of the equation and market cycles.

• 當把所有這些圖示合在一起時,這就是它整體的狀態。市場會有增長、平穩和下滑。這是市場發展週期的重要部分。

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Market Cycles 市場週期

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• What confuses me is why many people are skeptical about making purchases in any of the market conditions.

• 有一點讓我非常疑惑,為什麼有那麼多人在任何市場條件下,都對買入錢幣持懷疑態度?

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• When the market is going up, people are in fear of a decline.

• 當市場上升時,人們害怕下跌。

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• When the market is steady, people are always waiting for a bargain.

• 當市場平穩時,人們總是希望能買到更便宜的錢幣。

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• When the market is decreasing, everyone is waiting to see how much it will decline.

• 當市場下跌時,人們等待觀望,看市場到底會下降多少。

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• Each cycle represents a buying opportunity. Purchase nice coins at fair prices.

• 每個階段都有買入機會。• 以公平的價格買到漂亮的錢幣。

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Buying Opportunities 買入機會

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• If you are a believer in the long term, the only mistake you can make is not purchasing nice coins when available.

• 如果你是長期效益的信奉者,你犯的唯一錯誤就是在有機會買入好錢幣的時候,沒有行動。

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• I follow basic principles and fundamentals. I don’t try to time the market, and I constantly buy nice coins, that I like, regardless of the market condition.

• 我追尋一個基本原則和原理:我不去預測市場。我一直在買進我喜歡的漂亮錢幣,不管市場環境如何。

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• Modern Chinese Coins are undervalued. • Buy now or wait and pay more later.• 中國現代幣是被低估的。• 現在購買,或者等待,然後花更多的錢來買。

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• Do not try to time the market. • Buying opportunities are right in front of you• 不要嘗試去預測市場。• 買進的機會就在你面前!

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