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MAUVAIS APPARIEMENT DES COMPÉTENCES DANS LES PAYS DE L’OCDE : L’ENQUÊTE PIAAC ET LES INDICATEURS SKILLS FOR JOBS
Glenda Quintini Head of skills unit Skills and Employability Division Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs
Colloque DARES Les tensions sur le marché du travail Paris, 18 décembre 2018
Outline
1. How skills matter vs education 2. Which skills matter 3.Ensuring a good match
1. How skills matter vs occupations 2. Which skills matter where
1. How focusing on skills helps the #FutureofSkills debate
2013
A few facts about the Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC)
2016 2018
What is PIAAC
Household survey
38 countries and regions
21 EU countries and regions
Cycle 1: 3 rounds
5K to 30K observations
What we measure directly
Literacy
Numeracy
Digital/Adaptive Problem solving
Reading/Numeracy components
The background questionnaire
How skills are distributed
How people build their skills
How people use their skills
Which benefits skills bring to people
100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350 375 400
Lower than upper secondary
Upper secondary
Tertiary
Score
Italy
100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350 375 400
Lower than upper secondary
Upper secondary
Tertiary
Score
Japan
25th percentil
e
Mean and .95 conf idence interv al f or
mean
75th percentil
e
Japanese high school graduates have literacy skills comparable to
those of Italian tertiary graduates
Education Skills
0 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
High levels of trust
High levels of political efficacy
Participation in volunteer
activities
High levels of health
High wages
What people know has a major impact on economic and non- economic outcomes
Literacy and positive outcomes
Percentage-point difference between Level 4 or 5 and Level 1 or below
How skills matter…
0
5
10
15
20
25
Years of education Proficiency in literacy
…on top of education
%
Wage returns
How people use their skills is key too, on top of what they know
Wage and satisfaction returns to education, skills proficiency and skills use
Percentage change in wages
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Use of reading at work
Use of ICT skills at work
Problem solving skills at work
Skills proficiency Skills use at work Years of education
Source: Employment Outlook (2016)
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Use of reading at work Use of ICT skills at work
Problem solving skills at work
Skills proficiency Skills use at work Years of education
Percentage-point change in job satisfaction
Developing the right skills is key
Source: Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) (2012)
Incidence of Qualifications Mismatch
0 10 20 30 40 50
France Ireland
England/N. Ireland (UK) Australia
Canada Sweden
Japan Estonia
Italy Austria Norway Average
Germany Netherlands
United States Korea Spain
Finland Flanders (Belgium)
Czech Republic Denmark
Poland Slovak Republic
Overqualification
Underqualification
0 5 10 15 20 25
Ireland Spain
Austria Czech Republic
Italy Cyprus¹ ²
Slovak Republic Germany
England/N. Ireland (UK) Average Norway
Japan United States
Korea Denmark Australia
Estonia Flanders (Belgium)
Sweden France
Canada Finland Poland
Netherlands Over-skilled
Under-skilled
Incidence of Skills Mismatch
Around 4/10 workers are mismatched by field of study
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Korea England/N. Ireland (UK)
Italy Australia
Japan United States
Spain France
Russian Federation Ireland Poland
Flanders (Belgium) Average
Czech Republic Slovak Republic
Canada Estonia
Denmark Netherlands
Sweden Norway Austria
Germany Finland
Source: Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC) (2012)
Incidence of Field of Study Mismatch
Qualification, literacy and field-of-study mismatch affect wages
Percentage difference in wages
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Over-qualified (Ref: same qualifications, well-matched job)
Overskilled in literacy (Ref: same skills, well-matched job)
Field-of-study mismatched (Ref: same field of study, well-matched job)
%
Source: Skills Matter (OECD, 2016)
Literacy mismatch and productivity
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
POL CAN BEL SWE USA FRA NLDDNK JPN FIN EST KOR GBRNOR SVK AUS DEU AUT IRL CZE ESP ITA
Percentage of workers with skill mismatch (LHS)
Gains to labour productivity from reducing skill mismatch (RHS)
12
Household vs Employers Perspective
‘ ’
Not employed
Over-skilled Well-matched
Well-matched
Under- skilled
Over-skilled Under- skilled
Unfilled vacancies
Employed
‘ ’
Employed
Household survey (skills supply)
Employer survey (skills demand)
The Skills for Jobs database
Objective and comparable information
Wage
Employment
Unemployment
Hours worked
Under-qualification
Critical thinking
Complex problem solving
Engineering and technology
Arts and humanities
Deductive reasoning
Finger dexterity
Skills Shortages and surpluses
Knowledge
Abilities
Skills
13
…
1
2
Skills for Jobs Framework: from occupations to skills
Physics
ICT
Oral and Written comprehension
Critical Thinking
Complex problem Solving
32
3
33
31
Shortage
Surplus
What are the occupations in shortage?
0% 20
% 40
% 60
% 80
% 10
0%
Fi nl
an d
N et
he rla
nd s
N or
w ay
Ic el
an d
Sw ed
en Lu
xe m
bo ur
g Ge
rm an
y Sw
itz er
la nd
Be lg
iu m
N ew
Z ea
la nd
Fr an
ce Ita
ly De
nm ar
k Es
to ni
a Ire
la nd
Au st
ria Li
th ua
ni a
O EC
D Sp
ai n
La tv
ia Po
rt ug
al U
ni te
d St
at es
Au st
ra lia
Ca na
da U
ni te
d Ki
ng do
m Sl
ov en
ia Gr
ee ce
Cz ec
h Re
pu bl
ic Po
la nd
Sl ov
ak R
ep ub
lic Hu
ng ar
y Ch
ile M
ex ic
o Tu
rk ey
Bu lg
ar ia
Ro m
an ia
Ar ge
nt in
a So
ut h
Af ric
a Br
az il
Pe ru
High-skilled Medium-skilled Low-skilled
Health-care Executives Teaching Science and Eng.
ICT prof. Personal Service
Building & trades
Metal & machinery
Handicraft & creatives
Agriculture
High-skill Medium-skill Low-skill
50%
Increasing shortages of high-level cognitive skills
-0 ,2
0 -0
,1 0
0, 00
0, 10
0, 20
0, 30
W ri
tt en
E xp
re ss
io n
O ra
l E xp
re ss
io n
D ed
uc ti
ve R
ea so
ni ng
In du
ct iv
e R
ea so
ni ng
O ra
l C om
pr eh
en si
on
Fl ue
nc y
of I
de as
O ri
gi na
lit y
M at
he m
at ic
al R
ea so
ni ng
Sp ee
ch R
ec og
ni ti
on
C at
eg or
y Fl
ex ib
ili ty
N um
be r
Fa ci
lit y
Sp ee
d of
C lo
su re
M em
or iz
at io
n
Se le
ct iv
e A
tt en
ti on
V is
ua liz
at io
n
E xp
lo si
ve S
tr en
gt h
Fi ng
er D
ex te