October. 2015conference.imps.ac.ir/userfiles/file/نشست های 1394... · Petrochemical production is under impact of ethane from US ... (AMIR KABIR,LLD/HD(PARS),7TH OLEFIN( MARUN),

October . 2015 October . 2015 October. 2015

October . 2015 October . 2015

PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY

MAJOR CHALLENGES

Coal in China

China is using MTO/MTP technology to manufacture olefins from

its low-value coal reserves

The European position

Petrochemical production is under impact of ethane from US

shale gas and fluctuation in oil price.

Middle East

Future LNG export competition with USA and geopolitical issues

and area challenges.

North America; Shale gas

Investment in new ethane crackers in North America will lead to

exports of competitive ethylene derivatives

2


PROVEN OIL AND GAS RESERVES

US

5% Russian

Federation

17%

Iran

18% Qatar

13%

Saudi

Arabia

4%

S. & Cent.

America

4%

Europe &

Eurasia

14%

Africa

8%

Asia

Pacific

8%

Other

World

9%

Natural Gas; Proved Reserves

(End of 2013)

North

America

14%

Venezuela

19%

Russian

Federation

6%

Kazakhstan

2%

Iran

10%

Iraq

9%

Kuwait

6%

Saudi

Arabia

16%

United

Arab

Emirates

6%

Africa

8%

Asia Pacific

3%

Other

World

1%

Oil; Proved reserves

(End of 2013)

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2014

1688 Thousand million barrels 185.7 Trillion Cubic Meters

3


WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL TYPE,

1990-2040

4

(qu

ad

ril

lio

n B

tu)

Source: EIA - International Energy Outlook 2013


IRAN PETROCHEMICAL OUTPUT

CAPACITY GROWTH

18.2 20.4

29.2

38.1

44.0

49.5 51.1

54.5 57.1

60.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Mil

lion

Ton

s

5


IRAN PETROCHEMICAL EXPORT AND

DOMESTIC DEMAND

5.2 5.2 6

9.5

12.3

14.2

17.9 18.2

15.8

13

4.8 4.9 6.1 6.4

7.6 7.9

10.5 12

13.3 14.5

0

4

8

12

16

20

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Mil

lio

n T

on

s

Export Domestic Demand6


Chabahar

Special

Economic Zone

Petrochemical

Special Economic

Zone

Pars Special

Economic - Energy

Zone

Sarakhs

Qeshm Kish

Lavan

North Pars

Tehran

Caspian Sea

Iranshahr

PETROCHEMICAL DEVELOPMENT ZONES

7 Jask


PARS SPECIAL ECONOMIC/ENERGY ZONE

Assaluyeh 8


CAPACITY BY THE END OF 2012

0.1

2.7 3.1 5.4

10.3 10.6

14.2

14.5 18.2

20.4

51.1 54.5

57.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90

Mil

lion

Ton

s

Bandar Imam 1st Phase SHIRAZ

KHARG

ARAK,BANDAR IMAM(2nd phase)

SHIRAZ,RAZI2 ABADAN,RAZI

BISOOTUN,3RD METHANOL(FANAVARAN),EPOXY REZIN(KHUZESTAN)

1ST SHAHID TONDGUYAN,BUALI SINA

HDPE(AMIR KABIR), MTBE(BANDAR IMAM)

BANDAR IMAM,METHANOL(KHARG),(P.X.)TABRIZ

SHAHID TONDGUYAN-2,PTA(FANAVARAN),AA&CO(AMIR KABIR,LLD/HD(PARS),7TH OLEFIN( MARUN), ,ETHANE EXTRACTION

4TH UREA&AMMONIA(1ST PARDIS),4TH AROMATIC(NOURI),3RD AMMONIA(RAZI),4TH METHANOL(1ST ZAGROS) ,PC(KHUZESTAN)

EB/SM (PARS),HDPE(MEHR,6TH METHANOL(2ND ZAGROS),2ND AMMONIA(PARDIS),(FARSASHIMI) ,1ST ISOCYANATE (KAROON),EG(LALEH),LDPE 5TH OLEFIN(MORVARID)

3rd NF,POLYMER KERMANSHAH ,BUTEN-1(JAM) , NITRIC ACID(KAROON) , HDPE 11TH OLEFIN (1ST KAVIAN)

PET 1(TONDGUYAN),FAJR2,9TH OLEFIN((ARYA SASOL),10th OLEFIN(1st phase JAM),5TH UREA&AMMONIA(KERMANSHAH)

LDPE (AMIR KABIR),POLY STYRENE2(TABRIZ), UREA2(PARDIS)

PVC, CHLORINE-ALKALI(ARVAND)

19

62

19

64

19

66

19

68

19

70

19

72

19

74

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

20

10

20

12

9

October . 2015

10


PROJECTS UNDER IMPLEMENTATION

No. of Plans 67

Design Capacity 61 Million Ton/Year

Products Value 32 Billion USD/Yr

Average physical Progress 20%

Total Capital Investment 39 Billion $USD

11


WEST ETHYLENE PIPELINE

12


METHANOL PROJECTS UNDER IMPLEMENTATION

No. Name of Project Name of Company Capacity

1000T/Y

Progress

(%)

1 10th Methanol Kaveh PC 2310 65.85

2 7th Methanol Marjan PC 1650 22.41

3 8th Methanol Sabalan PC 1650 17.55

4 9th Methanol Dena PC 1650 17.48

5 11th Methanol Veniran Apadana PC 1650 9.5

6 12th Methanol Middle East Kimiya Pars Co. 1650

7 13th Methanol Di Polymer Aryan PC 1650 10

8 14th Methanol Arman Methanol Co. 1650 11.37

9 15th Methanol Siraf Energy PC 1650 18.56

10 1st Ammonia-Methanol Arg Shimi Parsa Co. 990 11.04

11 2nd Ammonia-Methanol Lavan Industry Exp. Co. 990 8

12 16th Olefin-Methanol Bushehr PC 1650 10.39

Sum 19140 13


EXISTING METHANOL CAPACITY

No. Name of

Project Name of Company

Capacity

1000T/Y

1 1st Methanol Shiraz PC 84

2 2nd Methanol Kharg PC 660

3 3rd Methanol Fanavaran PC 1000

4 4th & 5th Methanol Zagros1&2 PC 3300

Sum 5044

14


METHANOL PRODUCTION CAPACITY

IN YEAR OF 2018 - 2019

Plant& Project Capacity

1000 t/y

Existing Plants 5044

Projects under implementation 19140

Sum 24184

15


EVOLUTION OF IRAN PETROCHEMICALS

Basic

Chemicals

● Olefins

● Aromatics

●Chlorine

● Fertilizers

Commodity

Chemicals

Differentiated

Polymers

Performance

Polymers

● EG’s

● PTA

● Methanol

● Styrene

● PE

● PP

● PS

● PET

● ABS

● PC

● Synthetic Rubbers

● Acrylates

● Polyurethanes

Specialty

Chemicals

● MDI/TDI

● Polyols

● Amines

● Ethoxylates

● Glycol Ethers

● PO

Downstream

Industries

16

16


NEW CAPACITY BASED ON

ACHIEVABLE FEEDSTOCK

No. of Plans 36

Design Capacity 60 Million Tons/Yr

Value of Saleable Products 30 Billion USD/Yr

Total Capital Investment 42 Billion USD

17


TOTAL ACHIEVABLE FEEDSTOCK FOR

NEW PROJECTS

Amount Unit Feed Name

4 Million Ton/Year Ethane

5 Million Ton/Year Naphtha / Condensate

100 Million M3/Day Methane

( Natural Gas)

2 Million Ton/Year Propane & Butane

18


SOUTH PARS GAS FIELD PRODUCTS

Gas Phase

Condensate

Methane Ethane LPG

19


In next development plan;

Advantage of Natural Gas

feedstock in Iran, creates the

potential to move towards

MTO, MTP

and

PROPYLENE DERIVATIVES

20

October . 2015

21


IRAN’S SHARE OF THE WORLD AND MID

EAST ETHYLENE CAPACITY

The international trade of ethylene is quite limited due to expenses associated with

transportation. As a result, most ethylene that crosses international borders is in the form of

derivative chemicals, such as polyethylene, ethylene glycol, and EDC.

4

22.1

7

32

7.5

32

0

10

20

30

40

World Middle East

Per

cen

t

2015 2020 2025


4

20

6.6

33

6.7

35

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Capacity

2015 2020 2025

2.9 10.8

15.5

46.4

16.9

47.8

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Midlle East

Perc

en

t

Trade

2015 2020 2025

IRAN’S SHARE OF THE WORLD AND MID EAST

POLYETHYLENE CAPACITY & TRADE


4 12

5.8

19

8.5

24

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Capacity

2015 2020 2025

5.8 6.7 13.3

22.5

13.8

22.4

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

ent

Trade

2015 2020 2025


ETHYLENE GLYCOL CAPACITY & TRADE


1

12

2.2

19

6.5

37

0

10

20

30

40

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

2015 2020 2025


PROPYLENE CAPACITY

International trade of propylene monomer is quite limited because of the costs of

transporting highly pressurized or refrigerated liquids. Most of the propylene trade

crossing international borders is in the form of derivative chemicals, such as

polypropylene and acrylonytrile.


2

11

2.3

19

7.7

47

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Pe

rce

nt

Capacity

2015 2020 2025

0 0 5.1

21.1 23.6

39.4

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Pe

rce

nt

Trade

2015 2020 2025


EAST POLYPROPYLENE CAPACITY & TRADE


5

31

13.9

68

20.1

76

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Capacity

2015 2020 2025

13

33 37.4

65.8

28

55.6

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Trade

2015 2020 2025


METHANOL CAPACITY & TRADE

Iran has the potential to take about 50% of global trade in 2017.

Most of methanol capacities in future projects, will be used to produce olefins through

new technologies (MTO and MTP).


2

23

4.7

44

5.2

44

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Capacity

2015 2020 2025

3.3

19.2

11.4

48

13

40

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Trade

2015 2020 2025

IRAN’S SHARE OF THE WORLD AND MID.

EAST AMMONIA CAPACITY & TRADE


2

24

5.8

44

6.6

44

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Capacity

2015 2020 2025

5.6

19.8 24.4

46.5

27.8

50.8

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Middle East

Perc

en

t

Trade

2015 2020 2025


EAST UREA CAPACITY & TRADE


24%

20%

14%

20%

5%

7%

10% Middle East

Africa

S.E. Asia

Aus/PNG

S. America

Others

US/Canada

34%

23%

22%

9%

7% 5%

2013

278 mmtpa

2020

413 mmtpa

30


31


32


33


34


EXPANSION OF PANAMA CANAL

35


THE PANAMA CANAL

Rising U.S. shale-gas output is reshaping global energy

markets. The Panama Canal enlargement is central to the

change because the route cuts voyages by more than 7,500

nautical miles (8,500 miles) to Asia, where fuel demand is

growing fastest.

The waterway, handling 5 percent of world trade and shipping

333 million metric tons in the year to Sept. 30, is used by as

many as 14,000 ships a year, connecting 160 countries and

1,700 ports, according to its website.

http://www.bloomberg.com/ 36


THE PANAMA CANAL

37

37


EXPANSION OF PANAMA CANAL

“The Panama Canal is definitely good news for east

Asia, and it’s where the highest global prices for

LNG are,” Svenning said. His company is putting

together deals to build vessels to ship the fuel that

are based on using the canal for long-term charters,

he said.

http://www.bloomberg.com/ 38


39


40


41


42


GENERAL INFORMATION ON THE NEW LOCKS

43


44


45


CONCLUSION

Petrochemical demand will remain tied to GDP growth

Geopolitical factors influence investments

Average global olefins feedstock slate will become

heavier

Switching to lighter feedstock will increase the demand

for stand-alone plants to produce propylene

46


CONCLUSION – CONT’D

Petrochemical industry plays a great role in GDP

growth rate

Shortage of basic petrochemicals will be resolved

It will produce a variety of products currently not

available in Iran

New technologies will be used in the industry

Huge opportunity for more down-stream industries

contribution to GDP

Appropriate areas for cooperation with foreign

investors in Up-stream and Down-stream of

petrochemical industry

47


48

Documents

October. 2015conference.imps.ac.ir/userfiles/file/نشست های 1394... · Petrochemical production is under impact of ethane from US ... (AMIR KABIR,LLD/HD(PARS),7TH OLEFIN( MARUN),