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October 2014 Overview of Goldman Sachs

Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Page 1: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

October 2014

Overview of Goldman Sachs

Page 2: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

1

Cautionary Note on Forward Looking Statements

Today’s presentation may include forward-looking statements. These statements are not historical facts, but instead represent the

Firm’s belief regarding future events many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside of the Firm’s control. It is

possible that the Firm’s actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial

condition indicated in these forward-looking statements.

For a discussion of some of the risks and important factors that could affect the Firm’s future results, see “Risk Factors” in Part I,

Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2013. You should also read the forward-looking

disclaimers in our quarterly earnings release, particularly as it relates to estimated capital, liquidity, and leverage ratios, risk-

weighted assets, total assets and global core excess liquidity, and information on the calculation of non-GAAP financial measures

that is posted on the Investor Relations portion of our website: www.gs.com. The Supplementary Leverage Ratios is an estimate

based on our current interpretations, expectations and understanding of the U.S. Federal Bank regulatory agencies’ Final Rule.

The statements in the presentation are current only as of its date – October 16, 2014.

Page 3: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Key Credit Strengths

Well Positioned

with respect to

Regulatory

Captial Ratios

The firm is well-positioned for Basel III capital requirements with a 3Q14 Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 11.8%

under the Advanced approach on a transitional basis

Our gross leverage is 10.6x as of 3Q14

In addition, the vast majority of our balance sheet is marked to fair value which means our equity reflects market

value

Best in Class

Liquidity Risk

Management

We have in place a comprehensive set of liquidity policies that allow us to maintain significant flexibility to

address both GS-specific and broader industry or market liquidity events

Our two major liquidity and funding policies are based on the core tenets of:

— Excess liquidity refers to always having enough cash or cash-like instruments on hand to meet contractual

and contingent outflows in a stressed environment

— Asset-liability management refers to having a liability profile that has sufficient term and diversification

based upon the liquidity profile of the assets

The Basel Liquidity requirements are broadly consistent with how GS manages liquidity risk and under the new

rules, we believe we are well positioned for the Liquidity Coverage Ratio

Substantial

Excess Liquidity

A substantial portion of our balance sheet is highly liquid and we maintain significant levels of excess liquidity.

We call this pool of excess liquidity the Global Core Excess or “GCE”

— GCE ended 3Q14 at $180 billion, representing 21% of our period end balance sheet

— GCE is comprised of cash, high quality and narrowly defined unencumbered assets including U.S.

Treasuries and German, French, Japanese and United Kingdom government obligations

— GCE is sized well in excess of our near-term contractual and contingent outflows

As a BHC, access to the Fed as the lender of last resort provides additional liquidity protection, although we do

not rely on this funding in our liquidity planning and stress testing

Page 4: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Key Credit Strengths (cont’d)

Conservative

Asset Liability

Management

Our principal objective is to fund our balance sheet and run the firm with the ability to weather stressed market

conditions without dependence on government support

Balance sheet comprised of highly liquid assets1

— Vast majority of assets marked-to-market daily and ~93% of the balance sheet is liquid (cash, reverses / borrows,

US government/agency and other financial instruments) as of 2Q14

— Businesses subject to conservative balance sheet limits that are reviewed regularly and monitored daily

Liability term structure – we seek to have long-dated liabilities to reduce our refinancing risk

— WAM2 of approximately 8 years as of 2Q14 for long-term unsecured borrowings

— WAM > 120 days for secured funding as of 2Q14 (excluding funding collateralized by highly liquid securities that

are eligible for inclusion in our GCE)

We maintain broad and diversified funding sources globally

Counterparties well distributed throughout the U.S., Europe, and Asia

Strong Asset

Quality

The balance sheet stands at $869 billion as of 3Q14, up $9 billion vs. 2Q14 and down 22% vs. 4Q07

Our asset quality has substantially improved since 4Q07 as our balance sheet reductions targeted less liquid, legacy

exposures such as Level 3 assets

— Level 3 assets are down approximately 41% since the end of 4Q07 to $41 billion and represent roughly 4.7% of our

balance sheet as of 3Q14

Diversified Global

Business with

Profitable Track

Record

From 1999-2013, net revenues have grown at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7%

Average annual ROE from 1999-2013: 17.6%

Our diversified business model allows us to outperform through cycles

— Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through

2013, this encompasses various products, markets, and regions designed to serve our global client base, which

includes corporations, financial institutions and governments

1 Excludes sum of Level 3 and Other Assets 2 WAM stands for Weighted Average Maturity

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Goldman Sachs’ Credit Profile Credit Ratings as of October 16, 2014

S&P Moody's Fitch

GS Group Inc.

Short-term debt A-2 P-2 F1

Long-term debt A- Baa1 A

Outlook Negative Stable Stable

GS & Co.

Short-term debt A-1 — F1

Long-term debt A — A

Outlook Negative — Stable

Goldman Sachs International

Short-term debt A-1 P-1 F1

Long-term debt A A2 A

Outlook Negative Stable Stable

Goldman Sachs Bank USA

Short-term deposit — P-1 F1

Short-term debt A-1 P-1 F1

Long-term deposit — A2 A+

Long-term debt A A2 A

Outlook Negative Stable Stable

Goldman Sachs International Bank

Short-term deposit — P-1 F1

Short-term debt A-1 P-1 F1

Long-term deposit — A2 A

Long-term debt A A2 A

Outlook Negative Stable Stable

Page 6: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Diversified Net Revenue Mix

Our continued goal is to have the leading institutional franchise businesses

By Business 2009-1H14 By Geography 2009-1H14

Investment Banking

14%

FICC Client Execution

34%

Equities Client

Execution 9%

Commissions and Fees

9%

Securities Services

5%

Investment Management

14%

Investing & Lending

15%

Americas 58%

EMEA 26%

Asia 16%

Page 7: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Financial Performance

Net Revenues ($bn) Net Earnings ($bn) & ROE1 (%)

1 Return on Common Shareholders’ Equity. ROE for 2010 excludes $465mm related to the U.K. bank payroll tax, $550mm related to the SEC settlement and $305mm related to the impairment of the

firm’s NYSE Designated Market Maker rights; If these items are included, our 2010 ROE was 11.5%. 2011 ROE excludes the impact of the $1.64 billion preferred dividend relating to the redemption of

the firm’s Series G Preferred Stock; If this item is included, our 2011 ROE was 3.7%

$21.0

$25.2

$37.7

$46.0

$22.2

$45.2

$39.2

$28.8

$34.2 $34.2

$26.8

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M14

$4.6

$5.6

$9.5

$11.6

$2.3

$13.4

$8.4

$4.4

$7.5

$8.0

$6.3

19.8%

21.8%

32.8% 32.7%

4.9%

22.5%

13.1%

5.9%

10.7%

11.0% 11.2%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M14

Net Earnings ROE

Page 8: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Our Risk Philosophy

Senior management awareness of nature and amount of

risk incurred

Independence of process from the business

Fair value accounting is a critical risk mitigant and is

supported by a robust price verification process

Minimize losses and manage risk through:

— Active management

— Risk mitigation, where possible using collateral

— Diversification

— Return hurdles matched to underlying risks

Overall risk tolerance established by assessment of

opportunity relative to potential loss

— Qualitative and quantitative analysis, but not a

specific formulaic link

Variety of approaches used to monitor risk exposures

Effective risk systems, which are thorough, timely and

flexible

While we manage risk conservatively, we are in a risk-

taking business and will incur losses

Independent

Control and

Support

Functions

Revenue

Producing Units

Internal Audit

Board of Directors and Board Committees

Senior Management

(Chairman & CEO, President, CFO)

Corporate and Senior Management Oversight

Firmwide Risk Committee (Credit, Market, Finance,

Operational, Technology Risk & Investment Policy)

Firmwide Capital & Commitments Committees

(Loan / Underwriting Risk)

Firmwide Client & Business Standards Committee

(New Activities / Suitability)

Management Committee

Page 9: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Managing Our Risk

1 Represents average daily VaR for the quarterly period 2 Includes balances at GS Bank. Period end 4Q07 GCE reflects loan value and period end 3Q14 GCE reflects fair value

Balance

Sheet

Level 3

Assets

Average

Daily VaR1

End of Period

Global Core

Excess2

Common

Equity

Gross

Leverage

3Q14 $869bn $41bn $66mm $180bn $73.1bn 10.6x

4Q07 $1,120bn $69bn $151mm $61bn $39.7bn 26.2x

(22)% (41)% (56)% 84% (60)% 3.0x

Page 10: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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0-45 59%

46-90 13%

91-180 13%

181-360 10%

>360 5%

Balance Sheet Overview

1 Excludes Level 3 Assets and Other Assets 2 Reflects turnover on cash inventory primarily held by our market-making businesses within our Institutional Client Services segment; excludes derivatives

2Q14 Balance Sheet Allocation 2Q14 Inventory Turnover (days) 2

Balance sheet comprised of highly liquid assets with the vast majority marked-to-market daily

— As of 2Q14, approximately 93%1 of the balance sheet is more liquid (cash, reverses / borrows, US government/agency and

other financial instruments)

Businesses are subject to conservative balance sheet limits that are reviewed regularly and monitored daily, including aged

inventory limits

Excess Liquidity and Cash

20%

Secured Client

Financing 24%

Institutional Client

Services 45%

Investing & Lending

8%

Other Assets

3%

Page 11: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Regulatory

Minimum

Credit Risk ~$344bn

(58%)

Market Risk ~$154bn

(26%)

Op. Risk ~$94bn (16%)

4.2%

4.5%

4.9%

1Q14 2Q14 3Q14

Regulatory Capital Ratios

Firm Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR)2

1 Basel III Transitional Ratio and Basel III RWAs are calculated under the Advanced approach on a transitional basis based on the Federal Reserve Board’s final Basel III rules 2 SLR reflects our best estimate based on the U.S. Federal bank regulatory agencies’ final rule 2 Estimated SLR including the capital impact of reducing the firm’s fund investments to comply with the Volcker rule

3Q14

Basel III Common Equity Tier 1 Ratio

Advanced Approach1 2Q14 Basel III Advanced Approach RWAs: ~$592bn1

Our Basel III Common Equity Tier 1 ratio as of 3Q14 under the

Advanced approach was 11.8%1 and 11.1% under the

Standardized approach, both based on the transitional

provisions provided by the rules

With regard to the SLR, although the final rule will not take

effect until 2018, we believe we are well positioned to comply

— Including the capital impact of reducing the firm’s fund

investments to comply with the Volcker rule, the estimated

SLR is ≥5.2%

7.0%

+1.5%

11.8%

Transitional Ratio

Preliminary

G-SIB

Buffer Fully

Phased-in

Minimums

≥5.2%3

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Conservative and Comprehensive Liquidity Risk Management

Excess Liquidity Asset-Liability Management

Our most important liquidity policy is to

prefund estimated potential liquidity needs in a

stressed environment

Our GCE consists of cash and highly-liquid

government and agency securities that would

be readily convertible to cash in a matter of

days

GCE size is based on:

— Modeled assessment of the firm’s liquidity

risks, including contractual, behavioral and

market-driven outflows

— Qualitative assessment of the conditions of

the financial markets and the firm

Conservative asset and liability management

to ensure stability of financing

Focus on size and composition of assets to

determine appropriate funding strategy

Secured and unsecured financing sufficiently

long-term relative to the liquidity profile of our

assets in order to withstand a stressed

environment without relying on asset sales

Consistently manage overall characteristics of

liabilities, including term, diversification and

excess capacity

Rigorous and conservative stress tests underpin our excess liquidity and asset-liability management frameworks

Page 13: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Major Broker-Dealer

Subsidiaries 48%

Major Bank Subsidiaries

29%

GS Group 23%

$61

$127

$171 $175 $172 $175 $184 $180

4Q07 4Q08 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 3Q14

Excess Liquidity

We maintain material liquidity reserves

Our liquidity resources are substantial, reflecting 21% of our

balance sheet in 3Q14

As of 2Q14, roughly 75% of our liquidity pool was made up

of U.S. government obligations, overnight cash deposits

(which are mainly at the Federal Reserve) and U.S. federal

agency obligations, with the balance in high quality foreign

governments

Our GCE is held at our parent company and each of our

major bank and broker-dealer subsidiaries to ensure that

liquidity is available to meet entity requirements

We continually enhance the models that drive the size of

our GCE

Our Modeled Liquidity Outflow reflects potential contractual

and contingent outflows of cash or collateral

We continue to make improvements to our models and can

more granularly assess idiosyncratic risks in our businesses

2Q14 Average GCE by Entity

+3.0x

Per the final rules, we estimate that we currently exceed the fully phased-in 100% LCR requirement

End of Period GCE Trend ($bn)1

1 Prior to 4Q08, GCE reflects loan value and subsequent periods reflect fair value

Page 14: Overview of Goldman · PDF file—Although our FICC and Equities Client Execution businesses averaged 43% of net revenues from 2009 through ... Long-term deposit ² A2 A+ ... Overview

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Asset-Liability Management

We actively manage and monitor our asset base, with particular focus on liquidity and potential holding period

Through our dynamic balance sheet management process, we use actual and projected asset balances to determine our funding

requirements

We conservatively manage the overall characteristics of our funding book, with a focus on maintaining long-term, diversified

sources of financing with tenors appropriate for the anticipated holding period of our assets

Our plans are reviewed by the firmwide Finance Committee as well as senior managers in our independent control and support

functions

Principal Sources of Funding

As of 2Q14

% of Total

Assets

Equity and

Long-term

Debt Deposits

Secured

Funding

Trading

Liabilities

Excess Liquidity and

Cash 20%

Secured Client

Financing 24%

Institutional Client

Services 45%

Investing & Lending

Assets 8%

Other Assets 3%

Total Assets $859.9bn

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Shareholders' Equity

$81.6bn

Long-Term Unsecured Debt

$167.0bn

Short-Term Unsecured Debt

$45.8bn

Deposits $73.8bn

Secured Funding $141.6bn

Diversification of Core Funding Sources

2Q14

A significant, stable and

perpetual source of funding

Well diversified across the

tenor spectrum, currency,

investors and geography

Weighted average maturity

of long-term debt of 8

years

Nearly one-half of our secured

funding book is in GCE-quality

collateral1

Our secured funding book is

diversified across:

— Counterparties

— Tenor

— Geography

Term is dictated by the

composition of our fundable assets

with longer maturities executed for

less liquid assets

Short-term unsecured debt

includes $27.4bn of the

current portion of our long-

term unsecured debt

1 Based on gross secured funding trades

Deposits have become a larger source

of funding

We are focused on contractual term: 31% of our

deposits are brokered CDs with approximately 3-

year weighted average maturity

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Secured Funding Principles

We manage our secured funding liquidity risk with:

1

2

3

4

5

Term

Extending initial trade tenors and managing maturities

Pre-rolling and negotiating tenor extensions with clients

Longer tenors targeted for less liquid assets

Diversity Raising secured funding from a diverse set of funding counterparties

Excess Capacity Raising excess secured funding to insure against rollover risk or growth in assets to finance

GCE We raise excess unsecured funding and hold as GCE to mitigate any 1-month modeled

liquidity losses

Stress Tests

Imposing stress test limits to ensure we do not have excessive liquidity risk even in a

severe scenario

— “Funding at Risk” (FaR) uses various metrics over various time periods to evaluate the

risks in the secured funding book

— Matched book (“Cash gap”)

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$20.3 $20.3 $20.9 $23.1

$20.1

$24.5

$17.4 $19.3 $20.6 $20.9

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Issuance Maturities

36%

25%

GS US Peer Average

Unsecured Long-Term Issuance

GS Group Long-Term Vanilla Benchmark Issuance vs. Maturities ($bn)

Through 3Q14, we have raised $23.1bn of long-term benchmark unsecured vanilla funding, including $17.6bn of fixed-rate notes, $3.5bn of

floating-rate notes, and $2.0bn of perpetual preferred

— 9.7 year weighted average initial maturity at issuance compared to the ~8 year WAM of the entire long-term debt portfolio

Diversification across currency, channel and tenor remains a key focus

— ~40% of our year-to-date issuance has been from non-USD institutional markets

— Issuance was conducted across the tenor spectrum, with 3, 5, 7, 10 and 30 year maturities. Additionally, we issued several notes with

non-round tenors to improve maturity diversification

Going forward, we expect issuances to roughly match maturities over time, nevertheless, issuance targets will be revisited frequently

depending on the size and composition of our balance sheet

With respect to potential OLA bail-in requirements, we believe we are well positioned with estimated bail-in capital1 equal to 36% of total

Basel III Advanced RWAs

2013 Estimated Bail-In Capital as a % of Fully

Phased-In Advanced Basel III RWAs1,2

Scheduled Maturities3

2011-2013 Average

Issuance / Maturities: 101%

1 Bail-in capital is defined as Basel 3 Tier 1 Capital, Holding Company long-term debt (due in >1yr) and Holding Company subordinated debt. Basel 3 Tier 1 Capital per company filings; Holding Company data

per Bank Holding Company Performance Reports (BHCPRs) as of 4Q13 2 US Peers include JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citigroup 3 Includes the current portion of long-term debt

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Deposits As of 2Q14

As part of the Firm’s efforts to diversify its funding base, deposits have become a more meaningful share of the Firm’s funding

activities, and the Firm has more than doubled its deposit funding since late 2008

In particular, GS Bank USA has raised deposits with an emphasis on issuance of long-term certificates of deposit, private bank

deposits and long-term relationships with broker-dealer aggregators where they sweep their client cash to an FDIC-insured deposit

at GS Bank USA

GS International Bank, our main deposit-taking entity in Europe, raises deposits largely in the form of fixed term and on-demand

deposits

Deposits: $73.8bn 9% of Liabilities Deposit Growth Trends ($bn)

$27.6

$39.4 $38.6

$46.1

$70.1 $70.8 $73.8

4Q08 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 2Q14

US Deposits International Deposits

+167% increase

Private Bank

Deposits 41%

Certificates of Deposit

32%

Deposit Sweep

Program 20%

Institutional 7%

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Credit, Market & Operational Risk Management

Policies

Exposures and policies reviewed regularly

Multiple risk metrics used to monitor and manage exposures

Extensive investment in Credit, Market and Operational Risk groups

Frequent reporting to / communication with senior management

Market Risk Credit Risk Operational Risk

Risk Overview Potential loss from changes in

market prices

Risk related to failure of

counterparties to fulfill

financial and contractual

obligations

Risk of loss resulting from a failure

of internal processes, people and

systems or from external events

Management Allocate risk limits to business level

and control position sizes

Set and monitor current and

potential counterparty credit

exposure levels

Set comprehensive risk policies,

enforcing, monitoring and measuring

performance through various

benchmarks, and active participation

Committee

Oversight

Firmwide Risk Committee

reviews the activities of existing

businesses, approves new businesses

and products, approves firmwide

market risk limits and reviews business

level market risk limits

Firmwide Risk Committee

reviews existing counterparty

credit positions, approves

firmwide credit risk limits and

reviews business level credit

risk limits

Firmwide Operational Risk

Committee provides oversight

of operational risk policies, framework

and methodologies, and monitors the

effectiveness

of operational risk management

Controls &

Active

Management

Market Risk Management &

Analysis managers in revenue-

producing units discuss market

information, positions and estimated

risk and loss scenarios on an ongoing

basis

Credit Risk Management &

Advisory centrally manages

and controls counterparty

credit exposures through the

establishment of limits, use of

collateral and netting

agreements

Operational Risk

Management & Analysis

centrally manages implementation of

the framework and business level

managers actively manage and

monitor exposures to operational risks

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Market Risk Related Metrics

($ in millions)

10% Sensitivity Table Average Daily VaR ($mm)

June

2014

March

2014

Asset Categories

Equity $2,259 $2,243

Debt $1,727 $1,506

Total $3,986 $3,749

The size of the aggregate 10%

sensitivity has decreased by

24% since 4Q07

$218

$126 $109

$86 $87

$123

$90 $67 $62 $62

$46

$38

$89

$88

$65 $49

$23

$29

$31 $30 $37

$24

$38

$31 $35

$32

$24 $21

$15

$11 $14 $15

$19

$40

$38 $49

$23 $37 $26

$26

$20 $21 $18

$20

-$94 -$103 -$120

-$86 -$84 -$58 -$65 -$53 -$51 -$51 -$43

1Q09 4Q09 1Q10 4Q10 1Q11 4Q11 1Q12 4Q12 1Q13 4Q13 3Q14

Interest Rates Equity Prices Currency rates Commodity Prices Diversification Effect

$240

$181 $161

$120 $113

$135

$95

$76 $76 $81

$66