Phan tich fx

1. ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------Gold newsGi vng giao ngay gim nh vo sng th Nm, sau khi rt gn 1% trong phintrc, khi Hy Lp ang tin gn hn n mt tha thun v n sau cc cuc thnglng ko di nhiu ngy.Lc 00g36 GMT, vng giao ngay gim 0,1% xung 1.730,99 la/ounce, cn vnggiao sau tng 0,1% ln 1.733,80 la.---------- ---------- ----------Hng Nasdaq OMX Group s tung ra hp ng vng k hn mi, trong cho phpthanh ton bng tin mt, ging vi m hnh hot ng giao dch vng giao ngay quasn OTC.---------- ---------- ----------Phn tch k thut: Vng giao ngay s tip tc gim xung 1.698 USD/oz, vn tip tcxu hng iu chnh bt u t mc cao ca ngy 3 thng Hai l 1.762,90 USD, theonh phn tch Wang Tao ca Reuters.V k thut, mc tiu trn s xut hin sau khi ngng h tr 1.718 USD b ph v.---------- ---------- ----------Lng nm gi vng, bc ca cc qu ETF ln nhtLng nm gi bc ca qu iShares Silver Trust trong ngy th T khng thay i ti310.713.159 oz, cn lng nm gi vng ca SPDR Gold Trust cng khng thay iti 41.061.167,2 oz.---------- ---------- ----------Burkina Faso ni nc ny d nh to ra mt qu pht trin x hi da mt phn tdoanh thu t khai thc vngBurkina Faso l nc sn xut vng mi ni chu Phi v ch yu giu ln t khaithc khong sn.---------- ---------- ----------Hng Yukon Nevada Gold chm dt hp ng mua vng k hn tr gi 20 triuUSD vi Deutsche Bank v chuyn sang k hp ng mua vng k hn vi chi nhnhDeutsche Bank AG London.---------- ---------- ----------Nhp khu cc loi hng ha chnh ca Trung Quc, trong c du th, ng, qungst, c th gim trong thng Ging do cc nh my ngh tt m lch, gy ra tm lthn trng i vi hu ht cc loi hng ha cng nghip.---------- ---------- ----------Nhng thng tin khc tc ng n gi vng:-Cc nh lnh o Hy Lp nht tr gim lng ti thiu i 22% nh mt phn cacc bin php ci cch cn thit t c mt gi cu tr mi.-Th trng ang theo di xem Ngn hng Trung ng chu u s lm g trong cuchp ca h vo th Nm h tr Hy Lp. ECB c d on s gi nguyn li suttrc khi h thc hin mt t cp vn ln trong thng ny.-Lm pht gi tiu dng ti Trung Quc ng 4,5% trong thng Ging, cao hn mc4,1% ca thng trc v cng cao hn nhiu d on ca th trng.-Xut khu ca c gim mnh nht trong vng gn ba nm vo thng 12, v nhpkhu cng gim. y l du hiu cho thy nn kinh t ln nht khu vc ng Euroang chu tc ng nng n t khng hong n.

2. ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------------------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------Feb 8Economic newsThm ht ngn sch ca chnh quyn trung ng Php gim xung 90,8 t Euro trongnm 2011 t 148,8 t Euro ca nm 2010, theo b ngn sch. Con s thm ht thphn 4,5 t Euro so vi d bo ngn sch, nn Php c th s vt qua mc tiu tngthm ht ngn sch ca c nc l l 5,7% GDP.Tng thng Php Nicolas Sarkozy gn y ni rng thm ht ngn sch c th gim xung tn 5,3% GDP trong nm 2011.---------- ---------- ----------Ngn hng trung ng Php d bo kinh t nc ny s tng trng 0% trong qumt nm nay do chu tc ng ca vic tng trng gim c khi Euro.Ngn hng ny ni hot ng ca ngnh cng nghip trong thng Ging khng thayi so vi thng trc , cn hot ng ca ngnh dch v gim nh.---------- ---------- ----------D tr ngoi hi ca ngn hng trung ng Thy S gim xung 227 t Franc trongthng Ging, theo s liu s b ca ngn hng ny.Trong thng 12, d tr ngoi hi ca ngn hng trung ng Thy S ng mc 254t Franc. ---------- ---------- ----------Sn lng cng nghip thng 12 ca Slovakia tng 0,9% so vi cng k, cao hn don, sau khi tng 0,4% trong thng 11.Trong c nm 2011, sn lng cng nghip ca Slovakia, nc thnh vin ca khieuro, tng 6,9%, thp hn mc tng 18,9% trong nm 2010.Thng d thng mi thng 12 ca nc ny t 82,1 triu Euro, so vi con s 303,5triu Euro ca thng 11.Thng d thng mi c nm 2011 ca Slovakia tng hn ba ln so vi nm 2010 ln2,519 t Euro.---------- ---------- ----------T l tht nghip ca Thy S tng ln 3,4% trong thng Ging t mc 3,3% ca thngtrc , theo c quan thng k nc ny.Cn ti Sc, t l tht nghip tng ln 9,1% trong Thng Ging, t mc 8,6% cathng 12 nm 2011.---------- ---------- ----------Thng d ti khon vng lai ca an Mch gim xung 9,1 t Crown t mc 10,7 tCrowns ghi nhn c trong thng 11, theo c quan thng k nc ny.Trong khi , thng d thng mi gim t 6,3 t Crown xung 6 t Crown.---------- ---------- ----------Sn lng cng nghip ca Ty Ban Nha trong thng 12 gim 3,7% so vi cng knm trc, t hn d bo l viamf 6,7% v cng hn mc gim 7% ca thng 11. 3. ---------- ---------- ----------S liu t Vn phng Thng k Lin bang c cho thy xut khu Thng 12 ca ncny ghi nhn mc gim mnh nht trong vng gn ba nm, du hiu cho thy nn kinht ln nht chu u ang suy yu do khng hong n ca khi Euro.Xut khu gim 4,3%, mc gim ln nht k t thi nh im ca cuc khng hongti chnh vo thng Ging nm 2009.Thng d thng mi gim 14,9 t Euro ca thng trc xung 13,9 t Euro trongthng 12, trong khi nhp khu gim 3,9%.---------- ---------- ----------Trung Quc d kin tng lng ti thiu 13%/nm t nay n nm 2015. y l mttrong nhng mc tiu trong k hoch ngn sch nm nm ca Trung Quc nhm thcy nn kinh t ln th hai th gii. ---------- ---------- ----------Ch s tm l ngnh dch v Nht Bn gim xung 44,1 im trong thng Ging dotm l cc h gia nh v doanh nghip gim.Ch s v trin vng, th hin mc tin tng vo tnh hnh tng lai, tng ln utin trong vng by thng. Ch s ny tng t 44,4 im ln 47,1 im.Chnh ph Nht Bn gi nguyn nh gi rng nn kinh t ang ci thin dn dn chod ng Yn ln gi tip tc km kp nn kinh t.---------- ---------- ----------Theo tin t mt t bo, cc ngn hng ca Trung Quc cho vay mi 800 t Nhndn t trong thng Ging, trong c n 320 t Nhn dn t l ca bn ngn hngln nht nc ny.Cc ngn hng ti Trung Quc tng cho vay trong thng cui cng ca nm 2011do lng cung tin tng, cng c quan im rng ngn hng trung ng nc ny cth ni lng chnh sch tin t i cht chng nh hng ca tc tng trngton cu gim.Cc ngn hng ti Trung Quc cho vay mi 640,5 t Nhn dn t trong thng 12,nhiu hn so vi mc 562,2 t Nhn dn t ca thng 11.----- ---------- ----------Theo mt cuc iu tra, vic lm lu di ti Anh tng ln u tin trong vng bnthng vo thng Ging, mt du hiu na cho thy nn kinh t ny c th ang cithin.Ch s vic lm lu di ca Recruitment and Employment Confederation (REC) tngt 48,5 im ln 51,2 im.---------- ---------- ----------Thm ht ngn sch ca M trong thng Ging c th gim gn mt na so vimt nm trc do thu thu tng v chi tiu gim.Theo Vn phng Ngn sch Ngh vin, B Ti chnh c th s cng b mc thm ht mc 27 t la, a tng thm ht bn thng u nm ti kha 2012 ln 349 t la, gim khong 70 t la so vi cng k nm ti kha 2011.Tun trc, Vn phng Ngn sch d bo M s ghi nhn mc thm ht trn 1 nghnt la trong nm th t lin tip, vi mc 1,08 nghn t la. Thm ht ngn schca M trong nm 2011 ng mc 1,3 nghn t la.---------- ---------- ---------- 4. ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------Fx news---------- ---------- ----------Euro tng ln mc cao nht trong 7 tun l trn 102,21 Yn. ng tin chung tnghn 5% k t mc thp nht trong 11 nm ghi nhn c vo thng Ging.Mc khng c ca Euro hin l 102,87 Yn, ngng trung bnh ng 90 ngy. ---------- ---------- ----------Theo mt chuyn gia ca Societe Generale, c du hiu ECB s sn sng chp nhnbt ton gim n cho Hy Lp khi p lc tng ln buc ECB phi nhy vo ph v thb tc trong tha thun v n ca nc ny.Nhng d on kiu nh th ny khin th trng lc quan i cht rng Hy Lp t ckh nng b v n hn.---------- ---------- ----------Nhn dn t tng 90 im ln 6,2959 Nhn dn t/ la M hm th T sau khi ngnhng trung ng Trung Quc n nh t gi tham chiu mc cao nht k t uThng Ging l 6,3027 Nhn dn t/ la M.Hnh ng trn ca ngn hng trung ng Trung Quc mt phn l do phn ng vivic ng la M gim gi vo m trc.Nhiu ngi d on Nhn dn t s tip tc tng gi trc chuyn thm ca Ph chtch nc Trung Quc n M vo ngy 14 thng Hai.Nhn dn t tng 8,4% k t khi b neo vo ng la M hi thng Su nm2010.---------- ---------- ----------ng Rupee ca n tng hm th T nh th trng chng khon nc ny i lnv nh ng Euro tng do hy vng v vic Hy Lp c th trnh c v n. Tuynhin, ng Rupee li khi mc cao do cc nh nhp khu mua vo la M.---------- ---------- ---------- la Australia v la Australia cng c mc tng mnh so vi la M v Ynnh li th v li sut ti hai nc ny v nh hy vng Hy Lp nht nh s t ctha thun v n. la Australia giao dch ti 1,0791 la M, sau khi ln cao nht trong su thng l1,0823 la M vo phin trc nh vic ngn hng trung ng Australia gy btng khi gi nguyn li sut 4,25%, tri ngc vi d on l gim li sut i 25im c bn.Ngng h tr ca la Australia ng 1,0765 la M, cn ngng khng c 1,0867 la M. Vi mt th trng theo hng i ln, la Australia ang hngn mc tiu 1,1081 la M, tc mc cao nht trong 30 nm vn t c vonm 2011. la New Zealand cng tng ln 0,8356 la M, gn nh ca 5 thng l 0,8380 la M. la New Zealand tng hn 7% k t u nm nay, tr thnh mt trong nhngng tin tng nhiu nht trn th gii, nhng ang trong vng bn qu.---------- ---------- ----------Hy Lp thc y cc ng tin chu 5. Hu ht cc ng tin ca nhng nc chu mi ni u tng hm th T do dngtin t bn ngoi vo v nhu cu ca cc qu nc ngoi do hy vng Hy Lp s tc tha thun v n, lm tng hng th vi cc ti sn ri ro. Tuy nhin th trngvn thn trng vi kh nng can thip ca cc nc.Ngn hng trung ng i Loan ang mua vo la M hn ch sc tng cang ni t, cn ngn hng trung ng Malaysia cng c th s lm tng t. iuny din ra khi nhiu ng tin ti chu ang tin gn ngng khng c quanttrng. la i Loan, ng Won Hn Quc, ng Ringgit ca Malaysia u tng.---------- ---------- ----------Trung Quc rt tin t cc cng c n bng ng Yn trong thng 12Theo B Ti chnh Nht Bn, nh u t t Trung Quc trong thng 12 rt mtlng ln tin t cc cng c n ngn hn bng ng Yn. Lng vn rt ra vokhong 898,6 t Yn, nhiu nht k t thng T.---------- ---------- ----------Cc nh xut khu ang ch bn EUR/JPY khong 102,50, theo mt giao dch vinca mt ngn hng ln Nht Bn.---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------Gold newsPTKT: Vng giao ngay s gim xung 1.729,51 USD/oz, tip tc xu hng iu chnhbt u t mc cao ca ngy 3 thng Hai l 1.762,90 USD, theo nh phn tch WangTao ca Reuters.---------- ---------- ----------Lng nm gi vng, bc ca cc qu ETF lnLng nm gi bc ca qu iShares Silver Trust tng 0,16% hm th Ba ln310.713.159 oz, cn lng nm gi vng ca SPDR Gold Trust khng thay i ti41.061.167,2 oz.---------- ---------- ----------CEO ca PIMCO, qu u t tri phiu khng l, khuyn co rng do kinh t ton cubp bnh v nhng ri ro v a chnh tr, nh u t nn cn nhc gim t l c phiuv tng t l vng v du m trong danh mc ca mnh.Nhn nh v s liu kinh t tt ca M gn y, ng cho rng cn qu sm tuynb chin thng v vn cn nhng ri ro do Iran v vn ti chu u c th gy ra.---------- ---------- ----------Mt nghin cu do Credit Suisse phi hp thc hin ch ra vng khng phi l cngc phng chng lm pht v gi vng qu bin ng.Tuy vng l ti sn duy nht khng b gim gi tr thc v lm pht, nhng bn thn nli khng c li sut hoc ch mang li ngun thu nhp rt thp trong di hn, thm chthp hn nhiu so vi c phiu, trong khi c phiu li mang li li sut cao hn, v do chng lm pht tt hn trong di hn.---------- ---------- ----------ECB ni d tr vng ca ngn hng trung ng ny khng thay i trong tun trc,ng ti 423,446 t Euro.D tr ngoi hi rng ca h thng ngn hng trung ng ti khi Euro tng 4 t Euroln 277,4 t Euro. 6. ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------MTn dng tiu dng ca M tng 19,3 t la trong thng 12, do ngi M s dngth tn dng nhiu hn v vay tin nhiu hn mua t v i hc.Cc chuyn gia kinh t coi vic tn dng tng trn l mt du hiu cho thy cc hgia nh bt lng hn v vic i vay khi th trng lao ng t t hi phc sau t suythoi nm 2007-2009.T l tht nghip ca M gim mnh trong nhng thng gn y nhng vn caohn nhiu so vi cc ngng trc suy thoi. T l tht nghip gim xung 8,3%trong thng Ging t con s 9,1% ca thng Tm.---------- ---------- ----------Nht BnThng d ti khon vng lai nm 2011 ca Nht Bn gim 43,9% so vi nm 2010 dob thm ht thng mi v nhp khu nhin liu tng mnh. Theo thng d tikhon vng lai t 9,6289 nghn t Yn (125 t la) trong nm 2011.Trong thng 12, thng d ti khon vng lai gim 74,7% so vi cng k nm trc, thn so vi mc gim 85,5% ca thng 11.---------- ---------- ----------JPYng Yn gim sau khi B trng ti chnh Nht Bn nhc li nc ny sn sng canthip trn p nhng bin ng v tin t mang tnh u c.Yn giao dch ti 76,78 Yn/ la M, sau khi gim xung mc thp nht k t ngyth Su tun trc l 76,970 Yn/ la M.---------- ---------- ----------USD la M gim gi so vi gi tin t ch cht, xung mc thp nht trong hai thng,sau khi ch tch Fed ni vn gi kh nng ni lng nh lng hn na bt chp boco vic lm kh quan hi cui tun trc.---------- ---------- ----------AUD la Australia duy tr c phn ln mc tng t c sau khi ngn hng trungng nc ny gi nguyn li sut hm th Ba. la Australia tip tc tng ln mc cao nht trong su thng l 1,0823 la M.---------- ---------- ----------Eurong Euro ng gn nh ca hai thng so vi la M trn th trng chu hm th T do hy vng v Hy Lp v do hng th vi ti sn ri ro ci thin.Euro giao dch ti 1,3248 la M, sau khi tng hn 1% hm th Ba ln 1,3270 la M, mc cao nht k t gia thng 12.---------- ---------- ----------VngGi vng t thay i ti chu hm th T, sau khi tng mnh nht trong vng gn 2tun vo phin trc, do nh u t vn thn trng khi Hy Lp li mt ln na hon raquyt nh v vic c nhn gi cu tr mi.Vng giao ngay tng nh 29 cent ln 1.745,19 la/ounce lc 00.41 GMT, sau khitng 1,5% trong phin trc. 7. Theo Mohamed El-Erian, CEO ca hng PIMCO, nh u t nn gim chng khontrong khi tng mt s hng ha nh vng v du trong danh mc do tnh trng kinh tton cu kh lng v ri ro a chnh tr ngy cng leo thang.---------- ---------- ----------Du thGi du th hm th T tng do s liu ca Vin Du kh M (API) cho thy lngdu lu kho ti M bt ng gim mnh.Gi du th giao thng Ba tng 31 xent ln 98,72 la M/thng lc 00.09 GMT, saukhi ng ca ngy th Ba tng 1,5 la ln 98,41 la.Theo API, lng du lu kho ti M gim 4,5 triu thng trong tun tnh n ngy 3thng Hai, ngc vi d bo l tng 2,4 triu thng. Sn phm du chng ct lu khotng 386.000 thng, ngc vi d bo l gim 700.000 thng. Xng lu kho tng 4,4triu thng, trong khi d bo l tng 700.000 thng.Cc yu t khc nh hng n gi du:-Mt nh my ch bin du ct Canada ti Alberta d kin s ng ca trong hai nba tun, theo thc y gi du th ca M.-Ngh vin Iran ni h sn sng p t lnh cp xut khu du m sang EU trc khimt lnh cm do EU cng b d kin c hiu lc vo ngy 1 thng By.-Cc v xung t Nigeria ang gy ra lo ngi v kh nng ngun cung du m ginon sau v tn cng hm Ch Nht vo mt ng ng thuc hng Eni ca Italia vv nh bom hm th Ba vo mt doanh tri qun i nc ny.-C quan Thng tin Nng lng M (EIA) nng d bo v tng trng nhu cu dum ton cu ln u tin k t thng 10, ni rng nhu cu du m nm 2012 s tng50.000 thng/ngy so vi c tnh ca thng trc ln 1,32 triu thng/ngy. C quanny cng nng d bo tng trng nhu cu ca nm 2013 thm 20.000 thng/ngy ln1,49 triu thng/ngy.-Nhu cu v xng ca M trong tun trc gim hn 5% so vi cng k nm trc,tun gim th ba lin tip v gim 2,8% so vi tun trc , theo MasterCard.---------- ---------- ----------Chng khon Nht BnCh s Nikkei hm th Ba ln nh mi ca 3 thng nh c phiu Toyota tng mnh vtrin vng li nhun ca hng tt hn d kin.Ch s ch cht Nikkei tng 0,7% ln 8.981,03 imCh s Topix tng 0,6% ln 777,48 im.---------- ---------- ----------Chng khon MChng khon M tng hm th Ba do nhiu c phiu u tu nh Microsoft, CocaCola v Apple tng, nhng th trng tng khng nhiu do vn khng chc chn vkt qu ca cc cuc thng lng v mt gi cu tr cho Hy Lp. Cc ch s ch cht u tng nh: Dow 0,3%, S&P 0,2%, Nasdaq 0,1%---------- ---------- ----------Chng khon chu uCh s chng khon chnh ca chu u FTSEurofirst 300 ng ca ch gim nh 0,2%xung 1.072,79 im, sau khi rt xung tn 1.065,07 im. Th trng c h tr 8. nh hy vng Hy Lp sp t c tha thun vi EU v IMF trnh mt v v nkhng kim sot.Trc , th trng gim mnh hn do kt qu kinh doanh km hn d bo cacc doanh nghip nh UBS hay Alfa Laval.---------- ---------- ----------Tnh hnh Hy LpTheo mt quan chc chnh ph Hy Lp, nc ny ang chun b mt dach schcc bin php ci cch h khc cn thit ginh c gi cu tr ti chnh mitr gi 130 t Euro, mt gi cu tr ng vai tr quan trng i vi nc nytrong vic trnh mt v v n khng kim sot. Hm th Ba, cc ng chnh trli mt ln na hon a ra quyt nh v vic c chp nhn cc bin php cicch hay khng.---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------------------- ---------- ----------Feb 6Chu -Ngn hng Thi Lan (BoT) ngy 3/2 d on kinh t Thi Lan s tng trnggn 4,9% nm nay, nh chi tiu tiu dng tng v u t trong nc phc hisau trn l ti t xy ra vo cui nm 2011.-Theo BoT, u t ca khu vc nh nc v t nhn s tng ln lt 20% v11,5%, so vi mc tng tng ng 8,3% v 7,4% trong nm ngoi. Tuy vy, gitr xut khu hng ha ca Thi Lan c th ch tng 7,8-8%, so vi mc tngtrn 16% ca nm 2011, do kinh t th gii chng li v nng lc sn xut cangnh ch to b l lt tc ng.>>>Xa ch -Trung Quc s gii hn cc khon th chp mua ti sn ca ngi nc ngoi ngn chn u t nc ngoi trong th trng bt ng sn.-Trong tuyn b va c a ra, y ban Ci cch v Pht trin quc gia TrungQuc cho bit c quan k hoch ca nc ny s khng ph duyt cc ch tiun nc ngoi trung v di hn cho cc ngn hng nc ngoi trong nm2012 nu cc khon vay ny c s dng ti tr cho cc khon th chp cangi nc ngoi.-Trc , Th tng n Gia Bo nhc li mc tiu kim ch s tng trngnng ca th trng bt ng sn nhm a gi ca cc loi hnh nh t vmc hp l-Kho st ca H thng ch s bt ng sn Trung Quc cho bit gi nh trungbnh thng 1/2012 gim 0,18% so vi thng trc . So vi thng cui canm 2011, gi bt ng sn ti 60 thnh ph gim trong thng 1 va quatrong khi ch c 39 thnh ph ghi nhn mc gi tng. Theo , gi nh trungbnh trong thng 1 gim 0,18% so vi thng trc, cn 8.793 nhn dn t(1.390 USD)/m2 9. >>>Tc ng n commodity curencies-Th tng Trung Quc n Gia Bo cho bit chnh ph nc ny ang xem xtti tr cho Qu n nh ti chnh chu u thng qua IMF. Trung Quc l ncs hu kho d tr ngoi hi ln nht th gii vi gi tr trn 3.200 t USD vc xem l cu cnh ca khu vc ng tin chung chu u trong cuc chinchng li cuc khng hong n cng>>>Tc ng n EuroChu u-Cc thanh tra cng n quc t tin rng h pht hin ra mt khon n khcln ti 15 t Euro (tng ng 12.5 t bng Anh) trong ti chnh cng ca HyLp. Vi khon n ny, Hy Lp, quc gia ang hng chu nhng nh hngnng n t cuc khng hong kinh t chu u, s phi i mt vi mt tai hakhng khip khc.-Ngoi ra, trong nm nay, cc quc gia Hy Lp, B o Nha, Italia, Ireland vTy Ban Nha s phi tr 700 t Euro v tr tip 400 t Euro trong nm tip theo.-B trng Ti chnh cc nc xp hng tn dng AAA khu vc ng euro khng tho lun vic ng gp thm v chng trnh cu tr th hai cho HyLp. iu ny cho thy s min cng phi tng thm gnh nng thu vingi dn cc nc ny.-Deutsche Bank, ngn hng ln nht ca c, ngy 2/2 cho hay h khngthc hin c cc mc tiu li nhun trong nm 2011, do tc ng ca khnghong n khu vc ng euro (Eurozone). Mc d vy, nhn chung nm 2011vn l nm kinh doanh tt i vi Deutsche Bank.-Deutsche Bank l 351 triu euro sau thu trong qu 4/2011. Doanh thu tronglnh vc u t ca Deutsche Bank trong cng thi gian ny gim 26%, ngay ckhi doanh thu trong lnh vc ngn hng truyn thng tng 22%, ch yu nhvic mua thm ngn hng Postbank hi nm 2010.Xt chung c nm 2011, li nhun rng ca Deutsche Bank tng 87% so vinm 2010, ln 4,3 t euro v doanh thu tng 16% ln 33,2 t euro.-Ngy 2/2, Deutsche Bank thng bo s ct gim 15% lng ca nhn vin tihai n v ca ngn hng ny. Cng ngy, hng tin Bloomberg dn ngun tingiu tn t ngn hng Barclays Capital (Anh) cho hay "nh khng l" ny s ctgim 25-30% lng ca 24.000 nhn vin, ng thi s sa thi khong 5% ing gim c, qun l hng u.-Hng AFP a tin, cc lin on lao ng i din cho cng nhn trong ngnhhng khng Php, bao gm cc phi cng, tip vin v nhn vin bc d hnhl, b phiu hm 3/2 nht tr tin hnh mt cuc nh cng trong giai ont ngy 6-9/2 c th khin nhiu chuyn bay gin on.-Theo bo co chnh thc t c quan Thng k chu u (Eurostat), doanh thubn l thng 12/2011 ca 17 quc gia khu vc ng tin chung chu u(Eurozone) gim 0,4% so vi thng trc . Trong , c dn u danh sch 10. cc quc gia c mc gim mnh nht vi 1,4%. Php, nn kinh t ln th 2 khuvc cng gim 0,3% cn Ty Ban Nha gim 0,8%. So vi cng k nm trc,doanh s bn hng ca Eurozone trong thng cui nm 2011 cn gim ti 1,6%.-Nguyn nhn ch yu ca tnh trng ny l do cc h gia nh chu u c xuhng ct gim chi tiu nhiu hn khi chnh ph cc nc ng lot y mnhcc bin php tht lng buc bng nhm gii quyt vn khng hong ncng khu vc. T l tht nghip tng ln mc cao nht t trc ti nay caEurozone (10,4%) cng khin nim tin tiu dng b nh hng nng n.>>>Tc ng n EuroChu M+Theo bo co thng 1 v th trng lao ng ca chnh ph M, cc cng ty tiM tuyn dng thm s lng nhn vin nhiu nht trong vng 9 thng qua.T l ngi tht nghip ca quc gia ny gim xung mc thp nht tronggn 3 nm.+Thng trc, M tng thm 243.000 lao ng, t l tht nghip gim xungcn 8,3%. y l bng chng cho thy kinh t M ang phc hi mnh m.Trong 5 thng va qua, trung bnh mi thng nc ny b sung thm 183.000lao ng.+Cc ch s chng khon tng lai tng mnh ngay sau bo co trn. Li suttri phiu chnh ph M tng mnh.+ng Obama ngy 3/2 t ra rt vui mng v nhng s liu kh quan hn dkin, vi 243.000 vic lm mi v mc tht nghip gim t 8,5% trong thng12/2011 xung 8,3% trong thng 1/2012. Theo ng, nhng con s ny s cnln xung trong nhng thng ti, hy cn qu nhiu ngi M cn cng n viclm hoc cn mt cng vic c mc lng cao hn cng vic ang c. Nhngkinh t ang mnh hn. hi phc ang tng tc.+Bo co v vic lm trong thng 1 va qua vic t l tht nghip gim bt ngso vi mc 8,5% ca thng 12 nm ngoi cng c th lm gia tng trin vngc ti c ca Tng thng Barack Obama, mt ng vin Dn ch tm cch tic c vo mt nhim k th hai trong cuc bu c vo thng 11 ti+Tuy nhin, trong bi pht biu trc Quc hi M gn y nht, Ch tch CcD tr Lin bang (FED) Ben Bernanke nhn mnh s ci thin trong th trngvic lm v sn xut nhng cnh bo trin vng chung ca nn kinh t vn cn"khng chc chn".+Cc yu t th hin trin vng phc hi "khng chc chn" ca M c th kn vic nim tin tiu dng gim trong thng 1, GDP tng di mc k vng, thtrng bt ng sn m m, ln sng biu tnh s phn ha giu ngho lanrng, n cng tng cao, thm ht ngn sch nghim trng,...+Tr li trc phin iu trn ca Quc hi M, Ch tch Ben Bernanke lpli quan im bo v chnh sch duy tr li sut mc gn 0% m FED ang pdng hin nay. 11. +Theo ng Bernanke, cuc khng hong n ti chu u hin nay vn ang eda ti tin trnh phc hi ca kinh t M v FED s lm mi iu c th ngn chn cc tc ng xu t chu u i vi h thng ti chnh v nn kinh tM. ng ni: "L do c bn duy tr chnh sch li sut thp ko di l lmpht thp, tng trng kinh t d kin chm li v thc t l ng USD vn lthin ng tr n an ton.">>>Tc ng n USD>> Nn a nhiu tin hn, v m hn>> Nn a tin ngn gn>> Nn tp trung theo cc ng tin>> Thng tin nn tp trung hn (vo fx, gold, oil)Feb 3chu Chnh quyn Hng Kng va tuyn b chi 80 t la Hng Kng, tng ng10,3 t USD, thc y tng trng kinh t sau khi a ra d bo mc tngtrng thp nht k t nm 2009.Theo nhn inh cua chuyn gia kinh t Donna Kwok thuc HSBC ti HngKng, chng trnh kch thch tng trng bng ti kha ca Hng Kng s htr cho hot ng chi tiu ca ngi dn trc nh hng ca s suy gim tngtrng ton cu do khng hong n chu u.Cc nh hoch nh chnh schchu s chu sc p gia tng phi ni lng chnh sch ti kha hoc tin t h tr tng trng.Ngy 31/1, B Nhn lc Singapore cho bit t l tht nghip nm 2011 canc ny gim xung mc thp nht trong 14 nm qua ch yu do vic lmtng mnh. Theo Gim c khu vc ca Randstad ti Singapore v MalaysiaKarin Clarke, Singapore thnh cng trong vic thu ht lc lng lao ng,khuyn khch lng cng nhn ln tui lm vic tng t 59% n 61,2% vonm 2011.Mi y, trn mt s ngun tin ca c v M ni bt ln vn lao ng trem chu . c bit trong mt bn bo co ca chnh ph Hoa K cp tivic tr em thng xuyn b bt sn xut ra nhng hng ha r mt - nh vti cc nc pht trin. iu nay co th la iu cn quan tm cac chinh phu cacnc chu A.Ngn hng trung ng Hn Quc cho bit, d tr ngoi hi ca nc ny tngln u tin trong 3 thng vo thng 1 do s gia tng gi tr chuyn i ca ccti sn khng phi ng USD v tng trng trong li nhun u t. D trngoi hi ca Hn Quc t 311,34 t USD tnh n cui thng 1, tng thm4,94 t USD so vi thng trc . D tr ngoi hi tng ln u tin k tthng 10 nm ngoi ln gn mc cao k lc 312,19 t USD t c vo thiim thng 8/2011. 12. Tnh n cui thng 12, d tr ngoi hi ca Hn Quc ln th 7 trn th giing sau Trung Quc, Nht Bn, Nga, i Loan, Brazil, Thy S.chu uNgy 1/2, y ban chu u quyt nh ngn chn s sp nhp ca sn chngkhon c Deutsche Boerse v sn NYSE Euronext (Php). Tha thun tr gihn 10 t USD ny l n lc sp nhp ln th t ca 2 sn chng khon nytrong 1 nm tr li y nhm thnh lp mt sn chng khon ln nht th gii.Tuy nhin y vin Hi ng cnh tranh Lin minh chu u Joaquin Almuniacho bit nu hp nht hai sn chng khon ny c th kim sot hn 90% thtrng ti chnh chu u v s khin cc sn chng khon mi, nh hn khc th cnh tranh c.Lm pht gi tiu dng ti khu vc ng tin chung euro (eurozone) vn mc2,7% trong thng th hai lin tip trong thng 1, lm tng k vng Ngn hngTrung ng chu u (ECB) s h li sut h tr nn kinh t.Lm pht vn trn mc mc tiu ca ECB, nhng st 2%, c ECB coi lmc an ton vi gi n nh v nn kinh t khe mnh.Hi ngh Cp cao EU kt thc ti Brussels (B) hm 30-1 vi li cam ktkch thch tng trng v to vic lm. Ngoi ra, cc nh lnh o EU ng a vo hot ng C ch Bnh n chu u (ESM) tr gi 500 t euro t thng7-2012, sm hn mt nm so vi k hoch, nhm h tr cc nc ang ngpchm trong n cng.D vy, theo hng tin AP, EU khng a ra bt k gi kchthch ti chnh mi no.Hi Lap ang ng trc la chon y kho khn. Hy Lp s phi thuyt phc bba nh ti tr l Lin minh chu u, Ngn hng Trung ng chu u v QuTin t Quc t rng nc ny c th ct gim chi tiu v ci cch v lao ng gim thm ht ngn sch. Nu khng lm c iu ny, c tha thun honi n v gi cu tr th hai c th ng trc ri ro.Trong vic gim n cho Hy Lp, c mt thc t l d cc nh u t chp nhngim 50% gi tr danh ngha ca s tri phiu ca nc ny m h ang nmgi th cng vn khng a mc n xung 120% GDP nh mc tiu racho nm 2020. iu ny cho thy s cn thit ca s tham gia ca cc ch ntrong lnh vc cng nh Ngn hng Trung ng chu u v cc ngn hngtrung ng khu vc ng euro trong vic ti c cu n ca Hy Lp.Ngy 1/2, cc b trng v nh ngoi giao ph trch v khoa hc v gio dctrong Lin minh chu u nhm hp ti Copenhagen (an Mch) tm bin phpci thin quan h gia cng ng nghin cu v ngnh cng nghip, nh mt nlc thc y tng trng kinh t trong khu vc.Chu MChng khoan My tng im nh lac quan v kinh t toan cu. Cc d liu kinht tt hn d kin gn y gip nh u t bt lo lng v mt kch bn xunht cho nn kinh t ton cu. Lc quan ca gii u t gip nhm c phiu 13. cng nghip, ti chnh v c phiu nguyn vt liu c bn tng t 1,1 - 1,7%.Khi lng giao dch mc cao hn so vi cc phin gn y vi khong 7,8 tc phiu c chuyn nhng trn c 3 sn NYSE, Amex v Nasdaq, cao hnso vi mc trung bnh 20 ngy giao dch 6,97 t.ng vin tranh c Tng thng M nm 2012 ca ng Cng ha ang ginhc li th v ti chnh so vi Tng thng Obama. Nhiu c nhn giu c bmtin cho cc ng vin ng Cng ha tranh c. i vi cuc bu c nm 2012,tim lc ti chnh ca Tng thng Obama vn kh tt. Tng s tin huy ngc ca ng n cui nm 2011 ng c 125 triu USD, cao hn nhiu sovi con s 56 triu USD ca ng Romney.Tuy nhin s pht trin ca nhmSuperPacs v nhiu bn vn ng tranh c khcs c th thch thc Tng thngObama rt nhiu trong tng ngun ti chnh cho cc k hoch vn ng tranh cni chung.Vn phng Ngn sch ca Quc hi M (CBO) va d bo nc ny ang tinti nm th t lin tip thm ht ngn sch trn 1.000 t USD. Cc chuyn giangn sch cho rng, con s d bo ca CBO ging ln nhng hi chung bong v vn n ca M v e da ti trin vng tng trng kinh t ca ncny. Ngoi ra, sc p i vi tnh hnh ngn sch ca M cn c th ln hnnu chng trnh ci ci t h thng chm sc sc khe do Tng thng Obama xut nm 2010 pht huy hiu lc.Ngay 1/12, d lut tng thu mi mang tn lut Buffet a c mt nhomnghi sy dn chu My trinh ln thng vin. im mu cht trong d lut mbo rng nhng ngi c thu nhp mc t 1 triu USD/nm tr ln phi chumc thu sut thu thu nhp ti thiu l 30%. Nhng ngi c mc thu nhpnm di 1 triu USD khng nm trong phm vi iu chnh ca d lut. Trong phin giao dch hm qua ngy 2/2, qu tn thc u t vng ln nht thgii SPDR mua vo 6.05 tn vng sau khi ng ngoi th trng 3 phinlin tip. Hin tng lng nm gia vng ca qu tng ln mc 1,277.14 tn.>>Nn a nhiu tin hn, v m hn>>Thng tin nn tp trung hn (vo fx, gold, oil)---------- ---------- ----------TOP Econ> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S. jobs gain outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> ET, the new alien scaring global markets [nL5E8D2482]> Weekahead-Europes shadow darkens outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Obama: risky to attack Iran, wants diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Saudi oil price cut reflects market, not Iran [nL4E8D624X]> Indonesia Q4 growth holds firm at 6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise, deflation: BOJ [nL4E8D61ML] 14. > Crude edges down on stronger dlr, but drop limited[nL4E8D50SE]> As US jobs surge, Wall St still sees Fed QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]TOP Cenbank> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> US jobs surge, Wall Street still sees Fed QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]> ET, the new alien scaring global markets [nL5E8D2482]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise, deflation - BOJ [nL4E8D61ML]> Australia retail sales subdued, rate cut looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Philippines reserve cut to boost liquidity-c.bank[nL4E8D50C4]> RBI slightly relaxes FX curbs for banks[nL4E8D61VG]> Colombia cenbank restarts dollar buying program [nL2E8D3H42]> Spanish economy to shrink 1.5% in 2012 -de Guindos[nL5E8D5061]> Jordan raises rates to boost local currency [nL5E8D507A]TOP Euro> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> European shares to drift lower, focus on Greece [nL5E8D609J]> France,German leaders meet amid euro, Syria crises[nL5E8D50GH]> Euro zone insists no Greek rescue without reforms [nL5E8D50AI]> Pro-EU Niinisto wins Finnish presidency [nL5E8D50J3]> China set to play it safe on helping Europe[nL4E8D50O2]> Eurogroup Juncker warns of possible Greek default [nL5E8D40J2]> Euro zone Christmas sales tumble, no growth signs [nL5E8D31YB]> "Vultures" identify Portuguese debt as next target[nL5E8D2576]TOP Front page> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S. jobs gain outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> China defends Syria veto, doubts Wests intentions[nL4E8D60VK]> Indonesian economic growth holds firm at 6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Economy Weekahead: Europe shadow darkens outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Glencore offers 8 pct premium to Xstrata - FT [nL4E8D600W]> Local firms vie for Yums slice of China market [nL4E8D1547]> Australia retail sales subdued, rate cut looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Scandal blow puts Indian government in danger [nL4E8D50K2]> Taiwan smartphone maker HTC faces uphill struggle [nL4E8D61MH]> Olympus ex-CEO Woodford sees more revelations [nL4E8D50KU]> Obama: risky to attack Iran, wants diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Chinas Wen: farmers rights flouted by land grabs[nL4E8D50BN] 15. > Gingrich vows to take fight to timid Romney [nL2E8D51W5]> Myanmar ambitious Dawei project faces uncertainty [nL4E8D336E]TOP Energy> Obama says Iran attack risky, wants diplomatic fix[nL5E8D50L3]> Iran to hit any country used to attack its soil [nL5E8D50FI]> Brent slips to $114 on stronger dlr, Greece risk [nL4E8D61VD]> Nigerian militants attack Eni oil pipeline[nL5E8D5064]> Blast hits Egypts gas pipeline to Israel[nL5E8D40NQ]> Iraqs Basra oil exports back to normal -sources [nL5E8D50C5]> Saudi cuts March Arab light crude price to Asia [nL5E8D50CU]---------- ---------- ----------Fxla c v N.Z. suy gim do b tc ti Hy Lp45:03 03/02/2012Euro tng gi so vi la nh ch s sn xut tng vt d onNgy ng: 07:10 02/02/2012Euro gim xung mc yu nht trong gn 1 tun so vi laNgy ng: 07:34 01/02/2012ng Nhn dn t gim thm nht 18 nmNgy ng: 02:54 31/01/2012Gi USD ngn hng tip tc tng nh 16. Ngy ng: 08:41 31/01/2012Yn tng khi lo ngi v nn kinh t thc y nhu cu ti sn an tonNgy ng: 07:16 31/01/2012Eximbank Chin lc giao dch tin t ngy 30/01/2012Ngy ng: 03:11 30/01/2012Tin tc Euro gim gi trc thm hi ngh thng nh EUNgy ng: 10:34 30/01/2012la gim so vi hu ht cc ng tin chnhNgy ng: 07:17 30/01/2012USD c tun gim so vi euro trc d bo kinh t M qu IV tng trngNgy ng: 11:46 27/01/2012Euro c tun tng so vi USD u tin trong 7 tunNgy ng: 09:11 21/01/2012la, yn thit lp gim tun so vi euroNgy ng: 08:22 20/01/2012Gi tiu dng gim y la New Zealand rt khi mc cao 11 tunNgy ng: 07:33 19/01/2012>>> Nn a nhiu hn theo di bin ng (if possible)---------- ---------- ---------- 17. GoldVng c d bo s rt xung mc 1675 USD/oz28:09 06/02/2012SPDR Gold Trust l 699 triu USD phin cui tunNgy ng: 07:35 04/02/2012Gi vng rt mnh nht trong hn 1 thng, du th tng vtNgy ng: 07:30 04/02/2012Tiu th vng ca Trung Quc vt n trong nm 2011Ngy ng: 03:25 03/02/2012Gi vng vng bc tin, mc tiu c k vng xa hnNgy ng: 08:46 03/02/2012Gi vng ln cao nht trong 2 thng, du th rt mnhNgy ng: 07:26 03/02/2012Morning report: Vng tip tc tng ln mc cao nht trong 2 thng, chi bo ca vic lm NFP caNgy ng: 07:16 03/02/2012Qu SPDR mua 6.05 tn vngNgy ng: 07:14 03/02/2012Gi vng quay u gim 150 nghn ng/lngNgy ng: 03:07 02/02/2012Gi vng ln ngng cao hn, du th xung di 98 USD/thngNgy ng: 06:53 02/02/2012Th trng vng si ng ngy thn tiNgy ng: 03:58 01/02/2012u nm, gi vng dy sng th uyNgy ng: 07:39 01/02/2012>>> C th a nhiu tin hn>>> C th a thm thng k, phn tch 18. ---------- ---------- ----------OilIran tuyn b s ct gim du th xut khu sang chu u13:08 06/02/2012Gi du gim ngy th 2 do ng USD mnh lnNgy ng: 08:56 31/01/2012Du gim gi v nhu cu xng ca M thp nht 10 nmNgy ng: 08:28 20/01/2012Du tip tc tngNgy ng: 05:00 18/01/2012Gi du tng 2% phc hi mc 100 USD/thngNgy ng: 07:34 18/01/2012Gi du gim sau tin EU hon cm nhp khu du t IranNgy ng: 08:38 14/01/2012Du tip tc mt gi trc lnh hon trng pht IranNgy ng: 04:43 13/01/2012Gi du mt mc 100 USD/thng sau tin EU hon cm vn IranNgy ng: 07:30 13/01/2012Du xung 100.87 USD/thng do d tr bt ng tngNgy ng: 08:42 12/01/2012Gi du tng ln u tin trong 4 ngy do lo ngi mi v IranNgy ng: 08:20 11/01/2012Gi du gim xung thp nht k t u nm nayNgy ng: 08:21 10/01/2012Gi du th xung 101,3 USD/thng, thp nht t u nmNgy ng: 08:08 10/01/2012Arp Xt sn sng b p ngun cung du thiu ht t IranNgy ng: 04:43 06/01/2012>>> Khng nn cch ngy (Nu mc tiu l thu ht khch hng VN thamgia)>>> a thm iu tra ca Reuters 19. ---------- ---------- ----------US newsGiao dch trm lng, chng khon M bin ng nh28:07 03/02/2012Ch tch FED Ben Bernanke ni g trong phin iu trn trc HVin?Ngy ng: 07:23 03/02/2012Chng khon M tng trong ngy th hai lin tipNgy ng: 07:19 03/02/2012Sn xut ti M tng trng nhanh nht trong 7 thngNgy ng: 07:12 03/02/2012Ph Wall tng tc trong phin giao dch u tin ca thng 2Ngy ng: 07:23 02/02/2012Dow Jones v S&P 500 c thng 1 tt nht th k 21Ngy ng: 09:03 01/02/2012Chi ph lao ng ca M ch tng 0,4% trong qu 4Ngy ng: 07:33 01/02/2012Chng khon M kt thc thng tng mnh nht 4 thng 20. Ngy ng: 07:32 01/02/2012Kinh t M c nhng du hiu c tt ln xuNgy ng: 07:55 27/01/2012Chng khon M gim do tht vng v th trng bt ng snNgy ng: 07:47 27/01/2012Khi lng giao dch trn TTCK M thp nht t khng hong ti chnh2008Ngy ng: 08:39 25/01/2012S&P 500 tng lin 5 phin, Dow Jones v Nasdaq sy chnNgy ng: 08:40 24/01/2012Chng khon M o chiu gim im cui phinNgy ng: 09:15 21/01/2012>>> Chng khon nn u n---------- ---------- ----------Feb 6Chu -Ngn hng Thi Lan (BoT) ngy 3/2 d on kinh t Thi Lan s tng trnggn 4,9% nm nay, nh chi tiu tiu dng tng v u t trong nc phc hisau trn l ti t xy ra vo cui nm 2011.-Theo BoT, u t ca khu vc nh nc v t nhn s tng ln lt 20% v11,5%, so vi mc tng tng ng 8,3% v 7,4% trong nm ngoi. Tuy vy, gitr xut khu hng ha ca Thi Lan c th ch tng 7,8-8%, so vi mc tngtrn 16% ca nm 2011, do kinh t th gii chng li v nng lc sn xut cangnh ch to b l lt tc ng.-Trung Quc s gii hn cc khon th chp mua ti sn ca ngi nc ngoi ngn chn u t nc ngoi trong th trng bt ng sn.-Trong tuyn b va c a ra, y ban Ci cch v Pht trin quc gia TrungQuc cho bit c quan k hoch ca nc ny s khng ph duyt cc ch tiun nc ngoi trung v di hn cho cc ngn hng nc ngoi trong nm2012 nu cc khon vay ny c s dng ti tr cho cc khon th chp cangi nc ngoi.-Trc , Th tng n Gia Bo nhc li mc tiu kim ch s tng trngnng ca th trng bt ng sn nhm a gi ca cc loi hnh nh t vmc hp l-Kho st ca H thng ch s bt ng sn Trung Quc cho bit gi nh trungbnh thng 1/2012 gim 0,18% so vi thng trc . So vi thng cui canm 2011, gi bt ng sn ti 60 thnh ph gim trong thng 1 va quatrong khi ch c 39 thnh ph ghi nhn mc gi tng. Theo , gi nh trungbnh trong thng 1 gim 0,18% so vi thng trc, cn 8.793 nhn dn t(1.390 USD)/m2-Th tng Trung Quc n Gia Bo cho bit chnh ph nc ny ang xem xtti tr cho Qu n nh ti chnh chu u thng qua IMF. Trung Quc l nc 21. s hu kho d tr ngoi hi ln nht th gii vi gi tr trn 3.200 t USD vc xem l cu cnh ca khu vc ng tin chung chu u trong cuc chinchng li cuc khng hong n cngChu u-Cc thanh tra cng n quc t tin rng h pht hin ra mt khon n khcln ti 15 t Euro (tng ng 12.5 t bng Anh) trong ti chnh cng ca HyLp. Vi khon n ny, Hy Lp, quc gia ang hng chu nhng nh hngnng n t cuc khng hong kinh t chu u, s phi i mt vi mt tai hakhng khip khc.-Ngoi ra, trong nm nay, cc quc gia Hy Lp, B o Nha, Italia, Ireland vTy Ban Nha s phi tr 700 t Euro v tr tip 400 t Euro trong nm tip theo.-B trng Ti chnh cc nc xp hng tn dng AAA khu vc ng euro khng tho lun vic ng gp thm v chng trnh cu tr th hai cho HyLp. iu ny cho thy s min cng phi tng thm gnh nng thu vingi dn cc nc ny.-Deutsche Bank, ngn hng ln nht ca c, ngy 2/2 cho hay h khngthc hin c cc mc tiu li nhun trong nm 2011, do tc ng ca khnghong n khu vc ng euro (Eurozone). Mc d vy, nhn chung nm 2011vn l nm kinh doanh tt i vi Deutsche Bank.-Deutsche Bank l 351 triu euro sau thu trong qu 4/2011. Doanh thu tronglnh vc u t ca Deutsche Bank trong cng thi gian ny gim 26%, ngay ckhi doanh thu trong lnh vc ngn hng truyn thng tng 22%, ch yu nhvic mua thm ngn hng Postbank hi nm 2010.Xt chung c nm 2011, li nhun rng ca Deutsche Bank tng 87% so vinm 2010, ln 4,3 t euro v doanh thu tng 16% ln 33,2 t euro.-Ngy 2/2, Deutsche Bank thng bo s ct gim 15% lng ca nhn vin tihai n v ca ngn hng ny. Cng ngy, hng tin Bloomberg dn ngun tingiu tn t ngn hng Barclays Capital (Anh) cho hay "nh khng l" ny s ctgim 25-30% lng ca 24.000 nhn vin, ng thi s sa thi khong 5% ing gim c, qun l hng u.-Hng AFP a tin, cc lin on lao ng i din cho cng nhn trong ngnhhng khng Php, bao gm cc phi cng, tip vin v nhn vin bc d hnhl, b phiu hm 3/2 nht tr tin hnh mt cuc nh cng trong giai ont ngy 6-9/2 c th khin nhiu chuyn bay gin on.-Theo bo co chnh thc t c quan Thng k chu u (Eurostat), doanh thubn l thng 12/2011 ca 17 quc gia khu vc ng tin chung chu u(Eurozone) gim 0,4% so vi thng trc . Trong , c dn u danh schcc quc gia c mc gim mnh nht vi 1,4%. Php, nn kinh t ln th 2 khuvc cng gim 0,3% cn Ty Ban Nha gim 0,8%. So vi cng k nm trc,doanh s bn hng ca Eurozone trong thng cui nm 2011 cn gim ti 1,6%.-Nguyn nhn ch yu ca tnh trng ny l do cc h gia nh chu u c xuhng ct gim chi tiu nhiu hn khi chnh ph cc nc ng lot y mnh 22. cc bin php tht lng buc bng nhm gii quyt vn khng hong ncng khu vc. T l tht nghip tng ln mc cao nht t trc ti nay caEurozone (10,4%) cng khin nim tin tiu dng b nh hng nng n.Chu M+Theo bo co thng 1 v th trng lao ng ca chnh ph M, cc cng ty tiM tuyn dng thm s lng nhn vin nhiu nht trong vng 9 thng qua.T l ngi tht nghip ca quc gia ny gim xung mc thp nht tronggn 3 nm.+Thng trc, M tng thm 243.000 lao ng, t l tht nghip gim xungcn 8,3%. y l bng chng cho thy kinh t M ang phc hi mnh m.Trong 5 thng va qua, trung bnh mi thng nc ny b sung thm 183.000lao ng.+Cc ch s chng khon tng lai tng mnh ngay sau bo co trn. Li suttri phiu chnh ph M tng mnh.+ng Obama ngy 3/2 t ra rt vui mng v nhng s liu kh quan hn dkin, vi 243.000 vic lm mi v mc tht nghip gim t 8,5% trong thng12/2011 xung 8,3% trong thng 1/2012. Theo ng, nhng con s ny s cnln xung trong nhng thng ti, hy cn qu nhiu ngi M cn cng n viclm hoc cn mt cng vic c mc lng cao hn cng vic ang c. Nhngkinh t ang mnh hn. hi phc ang tng tc.+Bo co v vic lm trong thng 1 va qua vic t l tht nghip gim bt ngso vi mc 8,5% ca thng 12 nm ngoi cng c th lm gia tng trin vngc ti c ca Tng thng Barack Obama, mt ng vin Dn ch tm cch tic c vo mt nhim k th hai trong cuc bu c vo thng 11 ti+Tuy nhin, trong bi pht biu trc Quc hi M gn y nht, Ch tch CcD tr Lin bang (FED) Ben Bernanke nhn mnh s ci thin trong th trngvic lm v sn xut nhng cnh bo trin vng chung ca nn kinh t vn cn"khng chc chn".+Cc yu t th hin trin vng phc hi "khng chc chn" ca M c th kn vic nim tin tiu dng gim trong thng 1, GDP tng di mc k vng, thtrng bt ng sn m m, ln sng biu tnh s phn ha giu ngho lanrng, n cng tng cao, thm ht ngn sch nghim trng,...+Tr li trc phin iu trn ca Quc hi M, Ch tch Ben Bernanke lpli quan im bo v chnh sch duy tr li sut mc gn 0% m FED ang pdng hin nay.+Theo ng Bernanke, cuc khng hong n ti chu u hin nay vn ang eda ti tin trnh phc hi ca kinh t M v FED s lm mi iu c th ngn chn cc tc ng xu t chu u i vi h thng ti chnh v nn kinh tM. ng ni: "L do c bn duy tr chnh sch li sut thp ko di l lmpht thp, tng trng kinh t d kin chm li v thc t l ng USD vn lthin ng tr n an ton." 23. >>> 1. Thng tin cha nhiu>>> 2. Nn a tin theo cch thng minh hn>>> 3. Tp trung theo cc ng tin---------- ---------- ----------Feb 3chu Chnh quyn Hng Kng va tuyn b chi 80 t la Hng Kng, tng ng 10,3t USD, thc y tng trng kinh t sau khi a ra d bo mc tng trngthp nht k t nm 2009.Theo nhn inh cua chuyn gia kinh t Donna Kwok thuc HSBC ti Hng Kng,chng trnh kch thch tng trng bng ti kha ca Hng Kng s h tr chohot ng chi tiu ca ngi dn trc nh hng ca s suy gim tng trngton cu do khng hong n chu u.Cc nh hoch nh chnh sch chu schu sc p gia tng phi ni lng chnh sch ti kha hoc tin t h tr tngtrng.Ngy 31/1, B Nhn lc Singapore cho bit t l tht nghip nm 2011 ca ncny gim xung mc thp nht trong 14 nm qua ch yu do vic lm tngmnh. Theo Gim c khu vc ca Randstad ti Singapore v Malaysia KarinClarke, Singapore thnh cng trong vic thu ht lc lng lao ng, khuynkhch lng cng nhn ln tui lm vic tng t 59% n 61,2% vo nm 2011.Mi y, trn mt s ngun tin ca c v M ni bt ln vn lao ng tr em chu . c bit trong mt bn bo co ca chnh ph Hoa K cp ti vic trem thng xuyn b bt sn xut ra nhng hng ha r mt - nh vt i ccnc pht trin. iu nay co th la iu cn quan tm cac chinh phu cac nc chuA.Ngn hng trung ng Hn Quc cho bit, d tr ngoi hi ca nc ny tng lnu tin trong 3 thng vo thng 1 do s gia tng gi tr chuyn i ca cc ti snkhng phi ng USD v tng trng trong li nhun u t. D tr ngoi hi caHn Quc t 311,34 t USD tnh n cui thng 1, tng thm 4,94 t USD so vithng trc . D tr ngoi hi tng ln u tin k t thng 10 nm ngoi ln gnmc cao k lc 312,19 t USD t c vo thi im thng 8/2011.Tnh n cui thng 12, d tr ngoi hi ca Hn Quc ln th 7 trn th gii ngsau Trung Quc, Nht Bn, Nga, i Loan, Brazil, Thy S.chu uNgy 1/2, y ban chu u quyt nh ngn chn s sp nhp ca sn chng khonc Deutsche Boerse v sn NYSE Euronext (Php). Tha thun tr gi hn 10 tUSD ny l n lc sp nhp ln th t ca 2 sn chng khon ny trong 1 nm trli y nhm thnh lp mt sn chng khon ln nht th gii. Tuy nhin y vinHi ng cnh tranh Lin minh chu u Joaquin Almunia cho bit nu hp nht haisn chng khon ny c th kim sot hn 90% th trng ti chnh chu u vs khin cc sn chng khon mi, nh hn kh c th cnh tranh c.Lm pht gi tiu dng ti khu vc ng tin chung euro (eurozone) vn mc2,7% trong thng th hai lin tip trong thng 1, lm tng k vng Ngn hng Trungng chu u (ECB) s h li sut h tr nn kinh t.Lm pht vn trn mc mc tiu ca ECB, nhng st 2%, c ECB coi l mcan ton vi gi n nh v nn kinh t khe mnh. 24. Hi ngh Cp cao EU kt thc ti Brussels (B) hm 30-1 vi li cam kt kchthch tng trng v to vic lm. Ngoi ra, cc nh lnh o EU ng a vohot ng C ch Bnh n chu u (ESM) tr gi 500 t euro t thng 7-2012, smhn mt nm so vi k hoch, nhm h tr cc nc ang ngp chm trong ncng.D vy, theo hng tin AP, EU khng a ra bt k gi kch thch ti chnh mino.Hi Lap ang ng trc la chon y kho khn. Hy Lp s phi thuyt phc b banh ti tr l Lin minh chu u, Ngn hng Trung ng chu u v Qu Tin tQuc t rng nc ny c th ct gim chi tiu v ci cch v lao ng gimthm ht ngn sch. Nu khng lm c iu ny, c tha thun hon i n vgi cu tr th hai c th ng trc ri ro.Trong vic gim n cho Hy Lp, c mt thc t l d cc nh u t chp nhngim 50% gi tr danh ngha ca s tri phiu ca nc ny m h ang nm gi thcng vn khng a mc n xung 120% GDP nh mc tiu ra cho nm2020. iu ny cho thy s cn thit ca s tham gia ca cc ch n trong lnh vccng nh Ngn hng Trung ng chu u v cc ngn hng trung ng khu vcng euro trong vic ti c cu n ca Hy Lp.Ngy 1/2, cc b trng v nh ngoi giao ph trch v khoa hc v gio dc trongLin minh chu u nhm hp ti Copenhagen (an Mch) tm bin php ci thinquan h gia cng ng nghin cu v ngnh cng nghip, nh mt n lc thcy tng trng kinh t trong khu vc.Chu MChng khoan My tng im nh lac quan v kinh t toan cu. Cc d liu kinh t tthn d kin gn y gip nh u t bt lo lng v mt kch bn xu nht chonn kinh t ton cu. Lc quan ca gii u t gip nhm c phiu cng nghip, tichnh v c phiu nguyn vt liu c bn tng t 1,1 - 1,7%. Khi lng giao dch mc cao hn so vi cc phin gn y vi khong 7,8 t c phiu c chuynnhng trn c 3 sn NYSE, Amex v Nasdaq, cao hn so vi mc trung bnh 20ngy giao dch 6,97 t.ng vin tranh c Tng thng M nm 2012 ca ng Cng ha ang ginh cli th v ti chnh so vi Tng thng Obama. Nhiu c nhn giu c bm tin chocc ng vin ng Cng ha tranh c. i vi cuc bu c nm 2012, tim lc tichnh ca Tng thng Obama vn kh tt. Tng s tin huy ng c ca ng ncui nm 2011 ng c 125 triu USD, cao hn nhiu so vi con s 56 triu USDca ng Romney.Tuy nhin s pht trin ca nhm SuperPacs v nhiu bn vnng tranh c khcs c th thch thc Tng thng Obama rt nhiu trong tngngun ti chnh cho cc k hoch vn ng tranh c ni chung.Vn phng Ngn sch ca Quc hi M (CBO) va d bo nc ny ang tin tinm th t lin tip thm ht ngn sch trn 1.000 t USD. Cc chuyn gia ngnsch cho rng, con s d bo ca CBO ging ln nhng hi chung bo ng vvn n ca M v e da ti trin vng tng trng kinh t ca nc ny. Ngoira, sc p i vi tnh hnh ngn sch ca M cn c th ln hn nu chng trnhci ci t h thng chm sc sc khe do Tng thng Obama xut nm 2010pht huy hiu lc.Ngay 1/12, d lut tng thu mi mang tn lut Buffet a c mt nhom nghi sydn chu My trinh ln thng vin. im mu cht trong d lut m bo rngnhng ngi c thu nhp mc t 1 triu USD/nm tr ln phi chu mc thu sutthu thu nhp ti thiu l 30%. Nhng ngi c mc thu nhp nm di 1 triuUSD khng nm trong phm vi iu chnh ca d lut. 25. Trong phin giao dch hm qua ngy 2/2, qu tn thc u t vng ln nht th giiSPDR mua vo 6.05 tn vng sau khi ng ngoi th trng 3 phin lin tip.Hin tng lng nm gia vng ca qu tng ln mc 1,277.14 tn.>>Nn a nhiu tin hn, v m hn>>Thng tin nn tp trung hn (vo fx, gold, oil)---------- ---------- ----------TOP Econ> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S. jobs gain outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> ET, the new alien scaring global markets [nL5E8D2482]> Weekahead-Europes shadow darkens outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Obama: risky to attack Iran, wants diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Saudi oil price cut reflects market, not Iran [nL4E8D624X]> Indonesia Q4 growth holds firm at 6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise, deflation: BOJ [nL4E8D61ML]> Crude edges down on stronger dlr, but drop limited[nL4E8D50SE]> As US jobs surge, Wall St still sees Fed QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]TOP Cenbank> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> US jobs surge, Wall Street still sees Fed QE-poll [nL2E8D3FDC]> ET, the new alien scaring global markets [nL5E8D2482]> Japan economy hurt by yen rise, deflation - BOJ [nL4E8D61ML]> Australia retail sales subdued, rate cut looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Philippines reserve cut to boost liquidity-c.bank[nL4E8D50C4]> RBI slightly relaxes FX curbs for banks[nL4E8D61VG]> Colombia cenbank restarts dollar buying program [nL2E8D3H42]> Spanish economy to shrink 1.5% in 2012 -de Guindos[nL5E8D5061]> Jordan raises rates to boost local currency [nL5E8D507A]TOP Euro> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> European shares to drift lower, focus on Greece [nL5E8D609J]> France,German leaders meet amid euro, Syria crises[nL5E8D50GH]> Euro zone insists no Greek rescue without reforms [nL5E8D50AI]> Pro-EU Niinisto wins Finnish presidency[nL5E8D50J3]> China set to play it safe on helping Europe [nL4E8D50O2]> Eurogroup Juncker warns of possible Greek default [nL5E8D40J2]> Euro zone Christmas sales tumble, no growth signs [nL5E8D31YB] 26. > "Vultures" identify Portuguese debt as next target[nL5E8D2576]TOP Front page> Greek parties face Monday EU bailout deadline [nL5E8D50M5]> Stocks rise, U.S. jobs gain outweighs Greece fears[nL4E8D32AT]> China defends Syria veto, doubts Wests intentions[nL4E8D60VK]> Indonesian economic growth holds firm at 6.5 pct [nL4E8D335L]> Economy Weekahead: Europe shadow darkens outlook [nL2E8D3GK6]> Glencore offers 8 pct premium to Xstrata - FT [nL4E8D600W]> Local firms vie for Yums slice of China market [nL4E8D1547]> Australia retail sales subdued, rate cut looms [nL4E8D50SW]> Scandal blow puts Indian government in danger [nL4E8D50K2]> Taiwan smartphone maker HTC faces uphill struggle [nL4E8D61MH]> Olympus ex-CEO Woodford sees more revelations [nL4E8D50KU]> Obama: risky to attack Iran, wants diplomatic fix [nL5E8D50L3]> Chinas Wen: farmers rights flouted by land grabs[nL4E8D50BN]> Gingrich vows to take fight to timid Romney [nL2E8D51W5]> Myanmar ambitious Dawei project faces uncertainty [nL4E8D336E]TOP Energy> Obama says Iran attack risky, wants diplomatic fix[nL5E8D50L3]> Iran to hit any country used to attack its soil [nL5E8D50FI]> Brent slips to $114 on stronger dlr, Greece risk [nL4E8D61VD]> Nigerian militants attack Eni oil pipeline[nL5E8D5064]> Blast hits Egypts gas pipeline to Israel[nL5E8D40NQ]> Iraqs Basra oil exports back to normal -sources [nL5E8D50C5]> Saudi cuts March Arab light crude price to Asia [nL5E8D50CU] 27. ---------- ---------- ----------16:38 05Feb12 -Iran raid likely to drag in US, hurt global economy * Israel, West differ over likely extent of retaliation* Raid would strain Israel-West alliance* Anti-Western sentiment would growBy William MacleanMUNICH, Feb 5 (Reuters) - An Israeli raid on Irans nuclear facilities woulddeliver a painful shock to the global economy, revive flagging Islamistmilitancy and possibly drag the United States into a regional war whether itbacked its allys attack or not.As if that prospect was not alarming enough, any doubts Tehran entertainedabout the wisdom of building a nuclear weapon would vanish the moment thestrike occurred.These longstanding U.S. and European assumptions about the consequencesof an Israeli attack on Iran are being re-examined with greater urgency inWestern capitals after repeated warnings by Israel that the chance of a peacefulresolution may be closing.There is concern that Israel may attack in coming months to disrupt thetransfer of parts of Irans nuclear development work to an underground sitesouth of Tehran that may be invulnerable to conventional bombing.Western experts want Israel to think long and hard before embarking on a raidmany suspect would spark a broader conflict."Whoever attacks Irans nuclear infrastructure is really making the decision togo to war with Iran," Richard Burt, a former chief U.S. negotiator at strategic 28. arms reduction talks, told Reuters on the sidelines of the Munich SecurityConference."We are talking about a range of great uncertainties, all of them basicallynegative, so this is one reason why consistently the joint chiefs of staff of theuniformed military in the U.S. do not like the idea of attacking Iran."Analysts detect a growing gap between Israeli and Western views on usingforce against Tehrans nuclear programme, which Tehran says is purely forpeaceful purposes but the West suspects is aimed at acquiring a nuclearweapons capability.The New York Times recently reported that Israeli leaders, based onintelligence estimates and academic studies, had taken the view that an Israeliattack on Iranian nuclear installations would not produce such catastrophicevents as regional war, widespread attacks by militants and massive oil pricerises.The newspaper said that Israeli leaders and agencies believe that Irans threatsto retaliate against Israeli and Western targets if attacked were "overblown" andpartly bluff.Asked to spell out the consequences of a strike, Israeli Deputy ForeignMinister Danny Ayalon said that he not want to explore a hypothetical question,arguing any risks "would be dwarfed in comparison to the danger of a nuclearIran"."One thing is clear," he told Reuters. "If Iran becomes nuclear then its the endof world order as we know it ... This is what we have to think about, and notabout what will happen in case some action is being taken.U.S. newspaper The Washington Post reported last week that DefenseSecretary Leon Panetta believed Israel was likely to bomb Iran within months tostop it building a nuclear bomb.Panetta declined to comment. But his alleged remarks and other Obamaadministration statements indicate the White House is focused on dissuadingIsrael from taking action - and distancing itself from an Israeli strike ifpersuasion fails.The consequences of an Israeli attack would be wide-ranging anddestabilising.IRAN EXPELS NUCLEAR INSPECTORS, QUITS TREATY Iran would expel International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors and quit theNuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, ending any possibility of a negotiatedsolution to the nuclear issue."There is not a country on Earth that is going to blame them for doing that,they are all going to blame Israel. Once Iran is out of the NPT, the sanctions aregone," Ken Pollack, director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at theBrookings Institution, told Reuters. 29. Leaving the NPT would disrupt the sanctions regime since its measures arepredicated upon enforcing treaty compliance. IRAN DECIDES TO GO FOR THE BOMB Experts say a raid would only delay, not destroy Irans programme. And onceit had recovered, Iran would probably seek to develop nuclear weapons. JonAlterman, director of the Middle East program at Washingtons Center forInternational and Strategic Studies, told Reuters Iran would redouble "efforts todevelop a deterrent so it never happens again." OIL PRICES SOAR, JOLT FINANCIAL MARKETSA strike on Iran and Irans response, including attempts to close the Strait ofHormuz, which is vital for oil shipments, or an attack on Saudi oilfields, wouldlead to a sharp rise in oil prices that could seriously harm the U.S. economy,jeopardizing President Barack Obamas chances for re-election.Saudi Arabia would be forced to use all its spare output capacity, a crucialsafety cushion for oil markets.But the most serious fears debated at oil trading desks include the possibilityof Iran mining the straits, attacking ships as it did during the Iran-Iraq war, orchallenging the legality of the passage of some vessels through its territorialwaters. [L6E8C54HX]In the event of a big stoppage the consuming nations International EnergyAgency would very likely release emergency government stocks to tame prices,as it did in June last year when Libyan output was lost.Israels Ayalon argues that a nuclear-armed Iran would pose a greater threat tothe oil market as it could dictate prices. "It will be the end of the free flow of oilfrom the Gulf."IRAN HITS BACK IN THE GULF, LEVANT, POSSIBLY ASIATehran has warned several times it may seal off the Strait of Hormuz, chokingthe supply of Gulf crude and gas, if attacked or if sanctions mean it cannotexport its oil.But many experts say Irans leaders will be looking for ways to harass enemiesand cause disruption while falling short of triggering massive U.S.-ledretaliation. [L5E8CO4S0]Possible Iranian actions could include harrying tanker traffic in the Gulf withfast attack boats, seizing uninhabited Gulf islands claimed by other states orgrabbing hostages from passing civilian or military ships, stoking trouble inSunni Muslim-ruled Arab states with restive Shiite Muslim communities andorchestrating attacks on U.S. forces in Afghanistan or elsewhere using militant"proxies" such as Hezbollah. 30. If the Iranian government interprets the strike as a fully-fledged attempt atregime change, it might adopt a more muscular response could include ballistic-missile salvos on civilian and military targets in the Gulf.US GETS SUCKED IN, MAY ITSELF BECOME TARGETObama also would likely come under intense domestic pressure to backIsraels actions and come to Israels defence if Iran succeeds in landing missileattacks on Israels territory.In a 2009 study for the Council on Foreign Relations, Middle East analystSteve Simon, who is now Senior Director for the Middle East and North Africaat the U.S. National Security Council, says that the United States wouldprobably become embroiled militarily in any Iranian retaliation against Israel orother countries in the region.Experts say Israel alone does not have the firepower to kill off Irans nuclearprogramme and any U.S. help in that effort would therefore be very welcome.A study by former senior British intelligence official said the "The US would beassumed complicit, and would become embroiled in defending Israel against acounter-attack. This would stretch the U.S. military."STRAIN IN ISRAELI-WESTERN TIESIn November, the top U.S. military officer told Reuters he did not knowwhether Israel would alert the United States ahead of time if it decided to takemilitary action against Iran.General Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, alsoacknowledged differences in perspective between the United States and Israelover the best way to handle Iran.In an indication of a divergence in Israeli and Western views, a senior formerBritish intelligence official wrote in a private analysis in 2011 that the West hadtwo objectives: prevent the Iranian bomb, and also "prevent Iran beingbombed"."Both outcomes would be potentially disastrous for our national security," hewrote.Referring to a strike, he went on, "the likely damage (to Irans programme)would outweigh the benefits.""There would be problems between the U.S. and Israel, and probablytensions between the U.S. and European allies as well."U.S. POSITION IN THE MIDDLE EAST CONSTRAINEDSimons CFR study states that since the United States would be viewed ashaving assisted Israel, U.S. efforts to foster better relations with Muslims wouldalmost certainly suffer. 31. Anti-U.S. sentiment would be inflamed in Muslim countries, especially Syria,Lebanon and the Palestinian Territories. Hamas and Hezbollah would be likelyto intensify attacks making a Middle East settlement even more unlikely."If the Israelis think they can attack Iran and remain immune they are living ina fools paradise," said Farhang Jahanpour of the Oxford University Faculty ofOriental Studies.He said a raid would create "huge anti-Israeli feeling" and an "Islamicbacklash" in the region.Former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski said in a Januaryinterview with The Real News website a strike would be a "disaster for us morethan for Israel in the short run, and a fundamental disaster for Israel in the longrun."Neither the Russians or Europeans would side with America in any resultingconflict. He said that the United States could be "forced out of the region", adevelopment he suggested would imperil Israels existence.WILL IRANIANS RALLY TO THEIR GOVERNMENT?A RAND Corporation report in 2011 noted that the use or threat of force tocompel Iran to halt its nuclear programme would probably strengthen domesticsupport for the government.But an analyst in Iran who asked not to be identified as the subject wassensitive said he doubted whether there would be an uptick in popularity for thegovernment, as there was during the countrys war with Iraq in the 1980s."The Iran-Iraq wartime public allegiance to the regime has diminishedbecause of various factors. Public dissatisfaction is on increase over failingeconomy, hostile foreign policy and political infighting among the elites," saidthe analyst.Michael Axworthy, director of the Centre for Persian and Iranian Studies atBritains Exeter University, told Reuters that while Iranians might not rally totheir rulers, they would tend to "go along with the statements that areproduced"."This is a regime that expects to be isolated and to some extent thrives onisolation," he said.POSSIBLE SPUR TO PROLIFERATION BY OTHERSFormer U.S. negotiator Burt said some aspirant nuclear weapons powersmight respond to a strike on Iran by redoubling efforts to get the bomb as adeterrent. But it was difficult to generalize and not all countries would take thatview.Ayalon said it would be the emergence of a nuclear-armed Iran that would bethe real spur to proliferation. (Additional reporting by Peter Apps in London,Andrew Quinn, Mark Hosenball, Tabassum Zakaria in Washington) 32. (Reporting by William Maclean)(([email protected])(+442075428908))Keywords: IRAN ISRAEL/STRIKESunday, 05 February 2012 16:38:08RTRS [nL5E8D503O] {C}ENDS

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