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Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn
ดร. สันต ิกนกธนาพร
19th February 2020
25th FTPI Anniversary International Forum onTransforming Productivity for Tomorrow Success
Productivity Movement for Future Transformation
Development of two new productivity enhancement frameworks
to drive national economy
• Sustainable Productivity Framework
• Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 2
Development of two new productivity enhancement frameworks
to drive national economy
• Sustainable Productivity Framework
• Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 3
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 4
Australian Open 2014: play halted as
heatwave see temperature reach 43 degrees and rising
Agility ?
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 5
Excellent in Productivity
Innovation ?
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 6
Excellent in Productivity
Agility ?Innovation ?
What will be the 21st century(Internet Century, and Hyper-Changing Era)
most important leadership skills?
Agility Innovation
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 7
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 8
Sust
ain
ing
Inn
ova
tio
n
Making good product better Ef
fici
ency
Inn
ova
tio
n
To do more with less D
isru
pti
ve In
no
vati
on
Build a new business model
Impact on Organization Growth
Innovation _____Three Types of Innovation for Business Continuity
Product Innovation
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 9
How can we become a
future-ready organization?
How can we become a
future-proof leader?
Do organizations have a
Strategic Foresight? (develop strategy today that prepares them for the future)
Agility _____
InnovationAgilityStrategic Foresight
Future-ready Organization
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The Three Environments of Strategic Foresight
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Outside-In Approach - To move you into the area of
thinking the unthinkable
Contextual Environment
Transactional Environment
Internal Environment
Known_KnownsProcedure and Processes System & Technology StaffCapabilitiesStaff Numbers Communication Leadership Culture Capacity
Known_UnknownsCustomers Competitors Suppliers Owners Partners Stakeholders
Unknown_UnknownsSocial
Technological Economic Environmental Political
Insight or Foresight?
• Known – Knowns
• Known – Unknowns
• Unknown - Unknowns
Insight:SOPInternal Audit
Insight:Strategy ManagementRisk Management
Foresight:Uncertainty Management(Future Management)
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How to build a Strategic Foresight?
Uncertainty Management Tools:
• Contextual awareness (Future team: Contexualist, Futurist)
• Peripheral vision (360 deg.)
• System thinking, Design thinking
• Intra-entrepreneurship
• Scenario Thinking (Scenario Planning)
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Productivity + Agility + Innovation
Excellence in productivity no longer guarantee that your organization will survive and
thrive in the world of constant change and uncertainty.
To be resilient (Agility), organizations must take a long term view to develop future
readiness strategies, taking action to address risks and seize opportunities (Innovation)
To build productivity growth that can fit and sustain in the highly
uncertainty and highly complex future, i.e., (Sustainable Productivity)
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Sustainable Productivity Framework:
Sustainable Productivity Framework:
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Productivity:Future Readiness
Agility:Contextual Awareness
Innovation:Business Continuity
Sustainable Productivity Index (SPI)
The new concept for productivity measurement to replace the outdated TFP (Total Factor Productivity)
APO (Asian Productivity Organization) has signed MOUs with OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) and KDI (Korea Development Institute) to collaborate a research and develop of the index aligned with the APO Sustainable Productivity Framework (Agility, Productivity, and Innovation).
It will be the first of such productivity measurement in the world that able to response to the hyper changing era.
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Development of two new productivity enhancement frameworks
to drive national economy
• Sustainable Productivity Framework
• Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 17
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 18
TFP,
% C
han
ge
Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2019, World Economic Forum
Between 2008 – 2017 the Central banks of US, UK, EU, and Japan injected over
$10 trillionInto the global economy.
Still, productivity continues to stagnate
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Long-term Economic Development of Thailand
1994-1996 2002-2006 2013-2017
7.3 %
5.8 %
2.8 %
Source: NESDB
Long-term Economic Growth
2013-20172002-2006
5.2 %
3.3 %
Source: BOT
Labor Productivity Growth
TFP Growth
Capital Deepening Growth
Drivers of Economic Growth
Extensive-growth Strategy
Driven by
• The expansion of unskilled labor-intensive industries
• The inflow of foreign direct investment b[(FDI, Capital injection) to those industries
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Productivity-driven Growth Strategy(Intensive-growth Strategy)
Focus on
• Sustainable productivity
• Efficient and effective use of labor and capital to generate growth in the economy
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GDP per capita growth
GDP growth
Labor productivity
growth
Standard of
living
Economic
growth
Factors Labor growth
Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 22
GDP per capita growth
GDP growth
National Labor productivity growth
Proximate
Factors
Standard of
living
Economic
growth
EnterprisesEconomic
structure
Economic
sectors
Productivity
growth
Capital deepening
growthTFP growth
Efficiency/EffectivenessDrivers
Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 23
GDP per capita growth
GDP growth
Business enablers
National Labor productivity growth
Proximate
Factors
Enablers
Standard of
living
Economic
growth
EnterprisesEconomic
structure
Economic
sectors
Productivity
growth
Capital deepening
growthTFP growth
Efficiency/EffectivenessDrivers
Macro enablers
Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 24
GDP per capita growth
GDP growth
Business enablers
National Labor productivity growth
Proximate
Factors
Enablers
Standard of
living
Economic
growth
Nati
on
al P
rod
ucti
vit
y
Mo
vem
en
t
EnterprisesEconomic
structure
Economic
sectors
Productivity
growth
Capital deepening
growthTFP growth
Efficiency/EffectivenessDrivers
Macro enablers
Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 25
Bu
ildA
gilit
yC
reat
eIn
no
vati
on
Pro
du
ctiv
ity
Man
agem
ent v
u
GDP per capita growth
GDP growth
Business enablers
National Labor productivity growth
Standard of
living
Economic
growth
Nati
on
al P
rod
ucti
vit
y
Mo
vem
en
t
EnterprisesEconomic
structure
Economic
sectors
Productivity
growth
Capital deepening
growthTFP growth
Efficiency/Effectiveness
Macro enablers
Sustainable
Productivity
Future Readiness
Productivity-driven Growth Strategy Framework
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 26
Structure to Execute Productivity-driven Growth Strategy
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 27
Institutional mechanisms
Lead productivity institution
Other key institutions
Engagement partners
Government-private sector
forum
Media
Trade unions
Provincial organisations
Other networks
Target groups
Individuals
Enterprises
Sectors
National Productivity Movement
Lead & Monitor Implement
w
PakistanPakistan Cambodia
Fiji Bangladesh
Application of SP and PDGS Framework
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In progress SNP projects: Vietnam, Lao PDR, Mongolia, Nepal
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 29
Application of SP and PDGS Framework
Goals Strategic Thrusts
Enterprises:Productive and AGILEenterprises
• Raise the productivity level of SMEs
• Grow productive, innovative, competitive, future-ready local large enterprises to drive economy’s productivity
Proximate Factors
National Productivity Movement
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Goals Strategic Thrusts
Economic sectors:Leading-edge sectorsproducing high-value-added goods and services
• Promote sustainable productivity and sustainable development in all sectors
• Diversify the economic base
• Shift to high end of production value chain
• Agriculture Transformation: Modernize, commercialize, and diversify agriculture (Digital Farming)
• Promote Future Foods (Alternative proteins)
Economic structure:New economy economic structure
• Accelerate transformation to New Economy
Proximate Factors
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Goals Strategic Thrusts
Business enablers:Robust business enablers propelling enterprise and sector growth
• Build Sustainable Productivity (Productivity; Agility; Innovation) culture
• Develop future-ready skills workforce
• Develop indigenous capabilities in technology
• Nurture pro-business environment
Macro enables:Advance macro enablers underpinning sustainable productivity growth
• Collaborate with relevant institutions to improve macro enablers continually
• Develop and implement National Productivity Master Plan
• Drive a National Productivity Movement
Enablers
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 32
19/02/2020 Dr. Santhi Kanoktanaporn 33
Sustainable ProductivityYour License to Exist !
ดร. สันต ิกนกธนาพร[email protected]