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Products PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Products & Services PPCPeriodicals Package Committee
Net Revenue Distribution Methodology Update
John Barr, PPC ChairNov 13, 2003
November 2003 Board Series 2Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
2003 Periodicals Package CommitteeVoting Members
Chair John Barr, MTTSMember Jim Aylor, CSMember Beth Moeller, PCSMember Joe Herkert, SSITMember Len Shaw, CSSCPC Chair Roger Sudbury, MTTSCPC Member John Reagan, Div IX Director-Elect
Corresponding MembersEby G Friedman, CASS Rangachar Kastur, CSKishore K Ramu, IES Baldwin Bridger Jr, IASPiero P Bonissone, NNS
Staff SupportPeriodicals Product Manager Laura Pohl
Committee e-mail alias: [email protected]
2
November 2003 Board Series 3Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
PPC Charter“The Periodicals Packages Committee (PPC) shall
identify and recommend to the Products & Services Committee new or enhanced technical services of benefit to IEEE technical entities and individual members”
Including “Review the distribution of TAB periodical package revenue to the TAB entities, and recommend modifications to the distribution formula, as appropriate”
November 2003 Board Series 4Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
PPC Charge“The Periodicals Packages Committee (PPC)
shall identify and recommend to the Products & Services Committee an ‘improved’ method for the distribution of TAB portion of the periodical package revenue to the TAB entities”
3
November 2003 Board Series 5Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
HistoryEarly 2002 – PPC restarted discussions on revenue distribution
algorithm and started meeting (roughly) bi-monthly
Nov 2002 – First informational presentation suggesting usage concept to TAB– CPC participation started, looking to future application of similar
concepts to conference publications
Feb 2003 – Base, Content, Usage concept presented to TAB
June 2003 – More complete proposal & presentation to TAB with actual data
Nov 2003 – Formal proposal to TAB for 2005 initial implementation
November 2003 Board Series 6Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Basic ProposalThe new algorithm will apply to only TAB’s portion of
the IEL/ASPP on-line revenue
The previous approach will be maintain for the Periodical print generated revenue
No change (at this time) to the Conference Publication revenue distribution approach
Implementation date: calendar year 2005
The basic factors in the new algorithm are: Usage, Content and a Base distribution
The weighting of these factors are: Usage (50%), Content (35%) and Base (15%) (unchanged from June presentation)
4
November 2003 Board Series 7Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Detailed Proposal (Usage)Usage defined as “Article Views” for on-line material full content (i.e.
PDF, HTML), not abstracts or search hitsIncludes access of all content in the database
For year X’s budget, based on calendar year (CY) X-2 activityIn year X, actual distribution will be based on year X revenue forecast and
usage data from year X-1, in FM13 there will be a final adjustment based on revenue actuals.
This is based on single CY access, but it’s recommended PPC monitors to determine if a different (multi-year?) time span is more appropriate. Additionally, future consideration should be given to using year X usage data in the FM13 adjustment
Usage measured by use of only institutional package users (IEL/ASPP Online), not usage in other venues (i.e. member subscription pick-up)
Publication’s portion is proportional to its share of the total institutional periodical package usage
November 2003 Board Series 8Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Detailed Proposal (Content)Based on the amount of content (“articles”) contributed to Xplore
For year X’s budget, based on CY X-2, X-3 & X-4 -- 3-year window
In year X, the actual distribution will be adjusted in FM13 based on content numbers for years X, X-1 & X-2
Publication’s portion is proportional to its share of the total periodical article content
For Magazines, only peer-reviewed content will be included in the content factor (Note: usage will include all content even non-reviewed content)
5
November 2003 Board Series 9Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Detailed Proposal (Base & Phasing)BaseEqual distribution to all societies / councils that provide
periodical publication content in that year to Xplore
PhasingThere will be a 3-year phasing-in cycle. If first year is X, then:
In the initial (X) year, 1/3 of the revenues will be distribution based on the new algorithm and 2/3 based on the ASPP (print) algorithm
In year 2 (X+1), 2/3 will be distributed using the new algorithmand 1/3 using the ASPP algorithm
In year 3 (X+2) and forward, 100% based on the new algorithm
November 2003 Board Series 10Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Detailed Proposal (Additional Items)
PPC Proposal: All new periodicals become eligible in the first year in which they have content contributed to Xplore
Does TAB want to retain explicit (vs default) control of the inclusion decision of new periodicals in the distribution algorithm?
There will be no page count penalty for the On-line revenue distribution
6
November 2003 Board Series 11Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Detailed Proposal (Regular Review)The PPC shall review prior to each budget cycle (by February
TAB meeting), the performance and parameters of the new Online Net Periodical Revenue Distribution algorithm. If appropriate, the PPC will present to PSC and TAB suggested modifications in cases where algorithm improvements are indicated. These changes could include suggestions for changing the transition period, changing the window of measurement for usage or content, modifying measurement approach for usage or content, changing weighting factors, .... PSC & TAB approval will be required for all changes.
November 2003 Board Series 12Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Usage Rates for 2003H1
• Over 2X Institutional Usage rate for 2003H1 vs 2002– Even excluding legacy data, still 2X
• Legacy Data– Pre-1988 content is now in Xplore for 43 pubs – ≈ 10% of 2003H1 usage was pre-1988 content
7
November 2003 Board Series 13Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
November 2003 Board Series 14Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Correlation between 2003H1 vs 2002 Xplore Insitutional Usage(Only Pubs that existed in 2002 & based on 1988-200x issues)
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00%
2002 Percentage Usage
2003
H1
Per
cen
tag
e U
sag
e
Usage Correlation 2003H1 vs 2002
8
November 2003 Board Series 15Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Issues from June TAB meeting (1)• Usage Data Volatility
– see previous charts
• Search, Ontology & Indexing Issues– PPC saw this as out-of-scope of our charter but
recommends that Xplore team (plus those already involved this area) continue improvements in search methodologies to get the most pertinent articles visible to users with the least effort. This will enrich the users experience and lead to increased usage for all.
November 2003 Board Series 16Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Issues from June TAB meeting (2)• Length Bias
– The PPC believes there is no bias in this proposal against longer papers. While the length of paper is not a direct factor, a paper of higher content (and potential longer) should attract more usage. As we move into the world of greater electronic publication the present negative impact of higher print cost for longer papers will be removed.
– Limited data (Top 100 articles for a couple of months) suggest the higher usage papers are slightly longer than the average article.
9
November 2003 Board Series 17Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Staff Feedback• Transition years – dual algorithms will create
some additional effort
• Separating out content as “peer reviewed” will entail additional staff effort– If not done, magazine content such as “letters to editor”,
ads, … will be count – Some would like “peer reviewed” to be broaden to include
technical columns
• “Deadline” for content inclusion is needed– PPC agrees and requests staff to make proposal similar to
present requirement for page count inclusion that the publication is “at the press” by end of January
November 2003 Board Series 18Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
PPC RecommendationThe PPC recommends that TAB adopts this
On-Line Periodical Net Revenue Distribution proposal with implementation starting in 2005.
Approved by PPC – 5 Yes, 2 No
Dissent position: Agree with algorithm in principal, concerned that it may be be premature (due lack of experience with data) to implement at this time.
10
Products PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
AppendixJune 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 20Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
What is “Periodical Package Revenue”• Revenue from Institutional Packages
– IEL, ASPP & POP -- printed and on-line• Includes periodical and conference material• Portions allocated to TAB, Standards, IEE, Proc of IEEE,
Spectrum & RAB
• Total TAB Net Revenue $47M (budgeted for 2003)– 50% distributed by “Book Broker” algorithm (CPC)– 50% distributed by “ASPP” algorithm (PPC)
• This is the “Periodical Package Revenue”• Present distribution factors are page count and Non-
Member publication subscriptions & subscription price
June 2003 TAB presentation
11
November 2003 Board Series 21Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
PPC’s Proposal• PPC has developed a new algorithm that it believes
closer relates to the “value” a periodical contributes to the overall package
• Address only the IEL/ASPP On-line portion– 2003 Budgeted amount $13.7M – Approximately 25% of total “package revenue” or
Approximately 50% of total “periodical package revenue”– Continue using ASPP algorithm for print revenue
• Buffer impacts of change• Expect with time ASPP Print portion will decrease & On-Line
portion will increase
• Understand this is initially a zero-sum game– Sensitive to the present financial issues – Initial changes mean - winners/losers in a financial sense
• Desire to motivate the right behaviors
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 22Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Issues with Present ASSP Algorithm
• Viewed as “unfair”, “out-dated”– Based principally on Page Count & Non-Member
Subscription Price (75%) – Page count may not fit future content
– Non-Member Subscriptions (25%)– Non-Member subscription base is shrinking
– Algorithm is complicated to administrate
• Hard to relate publications’ performance to distribution
• New packages will further stretch the algorithm
June 2003 TAB presentation
12
November 2003 Board Series 23Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Other Motivations For A Change• A significant shift from print to electronic distribution
is occurring• Non-text based content is beginning to appear• New methods of “packaging” are being developed
– Ontology-based packages– Article based sales
• Desire to find an approach to cover both periodicals and conference material
• Provide a clearer set of incentives for S/Cs to increase the “value” of the IEEE IP offering while still fulfilling our role to our profession
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 24Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
What is “Value”• Reason(s) purchasers pay for the package
• While “value” may be hard to measure, we can measure other proxies for “value”– On-line Usage – how often is material accessed
• Additionally, there is “value” to increasing breadth of the package the IEEE is offering– Greater breadth is seen as greater value for present users
and increases the chance of attracting new subscribers
June 2003 TAB presentation
13
November 2003 Board Series 25Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Algorithm Factors• Three factors are to be used in algorithm
– Base factor – a portion based on being an entity contributing to the Xplore database – a breadth factor
– Content Contribution factor – a portion based on amount of content in the Xplore database
– Usage factor – a portion based on the usage / access of the content provided
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 26Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Base Parameter• Recognition of the breadth all society / councils bring
to the package
• Equal distribution to all societies / councils– A factor based on individual publications, rather than S/Cs
that have publications, might encourage proliferation of publications, an undesired behavior
– The entity basis is a better fit for later generalization to conference material
• Provides funding for each S/C to have a base publication
June 2003 TAB presentation
14
November 2003 Board Series 27Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Content Contribution Factor • A portion of the distribution will be based on the
amount of content (“articles”) contributed to Xplore
• Publication’s portion is proportional to its share of the total periodical article content– 1% of “contributed content” � 1% of “contributed content” distribution
• Measure content over a multi-year (3 year) window– Smoothing factor– Approximately equal to half-life of usage– Based on publication date (not date submitted to database)
• Will need to eliminate non-technical magazine content– Non-peer review material should be not included in content totals
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 28Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Usage Parameter • Usage defined as “Article Views” for on-line material
– Access of articles’ full content (i.e. PDF), not abstracts or search hits
– Previous calendar year’s access of all articles in the database • not just past 3 years articles
• “Usage” driver needs to relate to the actual package and it’s use– Usage only by institutional package users (IEL/ASPP OnLine),
not usage in other venues (i.e. member subscription pick-up)
• Publication’s portion is proportional to its share of the total institutional periodical package usage– if 1% of total “usage” � 1% of “usage” distribution
June 2003 TAB presentation
15
November 2003 Board Series 29Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Relative Weighting Factors
• Tentative Proposal– 15% Base– 50% Usage
• Largest factor but balanced by other factors
– 35% Content
– Note: these weighting factors are levers that TAB can adjust to get a desired result
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 30Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
New Algorithm Results• First the ground rules are:
– Based on 2002 Institutional IEL/ASPP on-line Usage (the only full year data available)
– Based on Content with publication date of 2000, 2001 and 2002
– Compared to Budgeted 2003 ASSP On-Line distribution (this is the present plan)
• Note – this is just a simulation, we are not proposing changes for 2003 (actually none until 2005)
June 2003 TAB presentation
16
November 2003 Board Series 31Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Budgeted 2003 distribution versus New ProposalDelta % Delta 2003 ASPP
New Approach
01 SP $54,079 6.9% $778,359 $832,43902 BT $43,317 106.2% $40,793 $84,11003 AP $55,379 20.0% $276,228 $331,60704 CAS -$19,863 -3.1% $634,319 $614,45505 NPS $206 0.1% $368,084 $368,28906 VT $79,594 59.3% $134,237 $213,83107 R -$7,515 -7.6% $99,374 $91,85908 CE $94,898 131.6% $72,108 $167,00609 IM -$17,937 -7.8% $230,281 $212,34410 AES -$28,057 -11.5% $244,433 $216,37511 NN -$120,528 -28.2% $427,202 $306,67512 IT $101,424 51.7% $195,992 $297,41613 IE $11,061 6.9% $160,654 $171,71514 EM -$19,608 -17.9% $109,519 $89,91115 ED $178,428 48.8% $365,349 $543,77716 C -$1,319,176 -52.3% $2,523,362 $1,204,18617 MTT $147,328 37.1% $396,578 $543,90618 EMB -$43,370 -13.8% $314,306 $270,93619 COMM $390,278 49.0% $795,688 $1,185,96620 UFFC $20,558 15.5% $132,807 $153,36421 CPMT -$137,352 -40.8% $336,664 $199,31122 OE $26,843 42.6% $63,030 $89,87423 CS $47,948 12.2% $392,893 $440,84024 RA -$65,203 -30.4% $214,721 $149,51825 Ed $25,378 31.8% $79,715 $105,09326 PC $16,942 29.5% $57,499 $74,44127 EMC $8,927 9.1% $97,827 $106,754
28 SMC -$122,367 -37.1% $329,562 $207,19529 GRS $47,731 28.9% $165,018 $212,74930 SIT -$1,937 -3.0% $64,349 $62,41231 PE -$576 -0.1% $540,704 $540,12732 DEI $4,336 3.0% $143,784 $148,12033 MAG $317,228 147.5% $215,119 $532,34734 IA $28,905 14.3% $202,597 $231,50335 PEL $36,343 25.6% $141,775 $178,11936 LEOS $210,295 41.5% $507,112 $717,40737 SSC $304,665 172.4% $176,717 $481,38238 ITS -$23,110 -26.1% $88,678 $65,56839 SEN -$36,664 -33.9% $108,110 $71,44541 ASC $145,078 97.4% $148,907 $293,98542 NANO -$22,947 -28.2% $81,380 $58,433916 TMI -$52,307 -34.0% $154,017 $101,710919 JLT $59,306 30.7% $193,137 $252,443921 DIV 1 -$39,108 -51.3% $76,292 $37,184923 SCM -$60,025 -58.7% $102,213 $42,188926 MEMS -$26,631 -24.1% $110,441 $83,811928 NET -$35,265 -29.2% $120,681 $85,416930 VLSI -$59,347 -46.1% $128,815 $69,468931 MECH -$75,997 -67.7% $112,217 $36,220932 MM -$76,658 -70.8% $108,221 $31,564933 DMR $9,982 $0 $9,982934 WC $33,478 $0 $33,478935 MC $6,197 $0 $6,197936 PVC $16,223 $0 $16,223937 TNB $0 $0 $0938 ITB -$32,453 -56.3% $57,684 $25,2310 D&T -$78,349 -65.0% $120,444 $42,095
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 32Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Delta ChartsDelta $ S/C Only
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
250K-400K 150K-250K 50K to 150K 50K to -50K
-50K to -150K
-150K to -250K
-250K to -$1M
>-$1M
Delta % Change S/C Only
0123456789
10
>100%
75%
to100
%
50%to
75%
25%
to 50
%
5% to
25%
5%to -5
%
-5%to
-25%
-25%
to -50
%
-50%
to -75
%
June 2003 TAB presentation
17
November 2003 Board Series 33Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Additional Thoughts• Due to impact of changes, propose a multi-year (3?)
transition from present algorithm to new algorithm• Propose dropping 3 year delay for new publications
for On-Line portion of the distribution– Content & Usage factors provides a built-in ramp-up for
new publications
• No Opinion on +-5% page count penalty, but it will need to be addressed eventually because it uses pages
• Not proposed at this time, but this approach could be applied to on-line conference material
• PPC should plan to monitor and report annually to TAB on the performance of this algorithm
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 34Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Potential Concerns• Single year of available usage data
– Will have a 2nd year data by 2005 budget preparation
• Unknown volatility in usage data– Trade-off in responsiveness and stability
• Impacts on some S/Cs– Are these appropriate measures?– Are weighting factors correct?– If adopted, how to handle transition?
June 2003 TAB presentation
18
November 2003 Board Series 35Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Next Steps• Continue to validate / scrub data
– Work with Staff & other groups on the data collection process & integrity
• Absorb feedback from Board Series discussions– Continue dialog via e-mail/phone post-meeting
• Refine weighting factors• Refine proposal details (the if, ands & buts)• Return to TAB for final approval
– Provide update with partial 2003 data
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 36Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Next Steps (2)• Request a motion stating:
– “This Body endorses, in principle, the proposed prototype algorithm for ASPP/IEL On-Line Revenue distribution and requests a fully defined proposal is presented to TAB in November for formal approval.”
June 2003 TAB presentation
PASSED by TAB in June 2003
19
November 2003 Board Series 37Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Why Not Count Member Usage?
• Institutional package purchasers relate their costs with their usage. This seems the right way to distribute the revenue
• Membership access varies from S/C – some charge for access, some do not – this will distort the membership usage
• Some S/C’s have access to their IP outside of Xplore – again distorting the Xplore numbers
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 38Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Usage, Just a Popularity Contest?
• Shouldn’t we be more concerned about technical strength of article and not how popular there are??– We should be concerned about both!!– Base, Content and Usage – supports both
• But ultimately a “great article” not used is a problem and we need to make sure we are “providing” what is needed by our profession.
June 2003 TAB presentation
20
November 2003 Board Series 39Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Why Articles?• Why not page count?
– Future content (multi-media or HTML content as examples) does not fit the page count model
– Page count is no better model of value• Article approach better fits “single article” sales
model already adopted
• Are all articles equal?– magazines versus transactions, for example – let usage
with a higher importance (weighting) drive this?• Different article lengths?
– Unclear how article length is correlated to “value” – let usage with a higher importance drive this?
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 40Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
More Article Issues• Would this encourage publishing lots of short articles?
– Impossible to prevent all bad behavior, but the best way to increase revenue is to increase “usage”
– Increasing number of articles will cause additional work for thepublication increasing costs – a counter balancing result
• Does this encourage re-publishing conference articles and getting double credit? – This is a potential issue and we need to address this via our
publication standards since Xplore conference material is as easily accessible as periodicals (and to members as apart of MDL)
• Address as a publications’ practice issue?– This is just as much of an issue in the “page count” world
June 2003 TAB presentation
21
November 2003 Board Series 41Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Article ChartsPages/Article - S/C+Joint Pubs
0
5
10
15
20
25
3 to 4 4 to 6 6 to 8 8 to 10 10 to 12 12 to 14 14 to 16 >16
Articles/Issue - S/C+ Joint Pubs
02468
101214161820
3.5 to 5 5 to 10 10 to 15 15 to 20 20 to 25 25 to 30 >30
* budgeted pages/ actual number of article
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 42Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
How good is the usage data?Plans for perfecting our understanding & use of the usage statistics
• Usage data procedures now being audited to assure that procedures yield consistent and accurate data– Audit by Price Waterhouse Coopers to be completed by 3Q
2003 -- in advance of the use of the data in 2004 to compute the distributions for 2005.
• Committee of PSPB is reviewing data and user comments to recommend additional versions of statistics. – Additional slices now being planned include article level
usage data.
June 2003 TAB presentation
22
November 2003 Board Series 43Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Base Portion Issues• Why no Base portion for joint publications?
– Since a joint pub surplus is distributed to S/Cs – just give the base portion directly to S/C
– Moving a publication from a “S/C ownership” to a “shared ownership” would be distribution neutral
– Main intent of base was to make sure each S/C had funding for one journal
• Why not a Base portion for each publications?– Main intent of base was to make sure each S/C had
funding for one journal, did not want to create an incentive S/Cs to generate more publications just to get a larger distribution
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 44Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Alternative Factors Considered• Page Count -- traditional factor, poor fit for future media
content, may not work for conference material
• Non-Member (Price, Subscriptions) – traditional factor, only external measure at publication level, declining market, may not represent larger market, no parallel in conference material, distort due to new packages
• Citations – data lag of multiple years, can be distorted at the article level by self citation, measure of research usage vs application usage (or magazines)
• Surveys of Purchasers – difficult & costly to administrate
• Bonus factors – longer average article lengths, frequency of publication, publication performance factors (on time, time to publish cycle, …) -- Added complexity
June 2003 TAB presentation
23
November 2003 Board Series 45Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Additional DataTotal article Views / 3 year content contribution
possible distortion -- looking at 3 year article count but up to 50 year article database
average 152
Usage Acess/ Article -- S/C+Joint Pub
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
<25 25-50 50-100 100-150 150-200 200-250 250-300 300-350 350-400 >400
Percentage of Institutional Usage of Total Xplore Usage -- All Pubs
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
<50% 50-55% 55-60% 60-65% 65-70% 70-75% 75-80% 80-85% 85-90% 90-95% >95%
Institutional usage/ Total Xplore Usage
Note: some S/Cs have separate sites for their memberships’ access
average 74%
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 46Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Simulated Impact on Budgeted 2003 Revenues29 GRS $1,443.93 $1,349.41 $94.52 $142.25 3.3%30 SIT $207.29 $161.78 $45.51 $43.58 -0.9%31 PE $8,225.43 $8,556.03 ($330.59) ($331.17) 0.0%32 DEI $546.77 $635.30 ($88.53) ($84.19) 0.8%33 MAG $1,736.41 $1,646.23 $90.18 $407.41 18.3%34 IA $2,842.45 $2,734.47 $107.98 $136.88 1.0%35 PEL $1,845.08 $1,736.15 $108.93 $145.27 2.0%36 LEOS $8,731.38 $8,253.41 $477.98 $688.27 2.4%37 SSC $3,653.32 $3,503.26 $150.06 $454.72 8.3%38 ITS $430.04 $376.66 $53.39 $30.28 -5.4%39 SEN $663.83 $663.73 $0.10 ($36.57) -5.5%41 ASC $347.64 $330.04 $17.60 $162.68 41.7%42 NANO $326.98 $321.03 $5.94 ($17.00) -7.0%916 TMI $539.47 $434.10 $105.37 $53.06 -9.7%919 JLT $926.83 $926.78 $0.05 $59.35 6.4%921 DIV 1 $307.37 $299.49 $7.88 ($31.23) -12.7%923 SCM $284.90 $166.04 $118.87 $58.84 -21.1%926 MEMS $328.92 $216.27 $112.65 $86.02 -8.1%928 NET $507.61 $314.13 $193.48 $158.22 -6.9%930 VLSI $415.42 $305.06 $110.36 $51.01 -14.3%931 MECH $300.79 $197.89 $102.89 $26.90 -25.3%932 MM $318.82 $138.26 $180.56 $103.90 -24.0%933 DMR $75.34 $114.65 ($39.31) ($29.32) 13.2%934 WC $81.20 $196.08 ($114.87) ($81.40) 41.2%935 MC $128.61 $240.42 ($111.81) ($105.62) 4.8%936 PVC $199.13 $486.92 ($287.79) ($271.56) 8.1%937 TNB $38.46 $91.32 ($52.86) ($52.86) 0.0%938 ITB $158.96 $158.99 ($0.02) ($32.48) -20.4%
D&T
2003 Budgeted Rev
2003 Budgeted Exp Net
RevisedNet Delta %
01 SP $5,994.64 $5,505.82 $488.82 $542.90 0.9%02 BT $200.84 $193.96 $6.88 $50.20 21.6%03 AP $1,620.47 $1,613.92 $6.55 $61.93 3.4%04 CAS $6,011.01 $5,857.11 $153.90 $134.04 -0.3%05 NPS $2,400.67 $2,312.96 $87.71 $87.92 0.0%06 VT $1,186.58 $1,142.87 $43.72 $123.31 6.7%07 R $679.54 $865.88 ($186.34) ($193.85) -1.1%08 CE $474.09 $440.83 $33.27 $128.17 20.0%09 IM $1,220.47 $1,216.24 $4.23 ($13.71) -1.5%10 AES $1,898.68 $1,664.62 $234.06 $206.00 -1.5%11 NN $2,051.91 $1,904.88 $147.03 $26.50 -5.9%12 IT $1,099.32 $1,290.62 ($191.31) ($89.88) 9.2%13 IE $845.79 $731.07 $114.72 $125.78 1.3%14 EM $649.71 $729.00 ($79.29) ($98.90) -3.0%15 ED $5,634.25 $5,864.41 ($230.17) ($51.74) 3.2%16 C $32,691.30 $32,576.30 $115.00 ($1,204.18) -4.0%17 MTT $5,130.79 $4,888.37 $242.42 $389.75 2.9%18 EMB $2,269.07 $2,237.36 $31.71 ($11.66) -1.9%19 COMM $16,190.82 $17,105.06 ($914.24) ($523.97) 2.4%20 UFFC $1,199.67 $1,099.52 $100.15 $120.71 1.7%21 CPMT $1,798.89 $1,970.76 ($171.87) ($309.23) -7.6%22 OE $841.52 $807.48 $34.04 $60.88 3.2%23 CS $3,105.56 $2,857.32 $248.24 $296.18 1.5%24 RA $1,797.56 $1,742.89 $54.67 ($10.53) -3.6%25 Ed $353.70 $319.16 $34.54 $59.91 7.2%26 PC $259.80 $250.42 $9.38 $26.32 6.5%27 EMC $1,596.25 $1,587.98 $8.27 $17.20 0.6%28 SMC $1,292.07 $1,257.24 $34.83 ($87.54) -9.5%
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June 2003 TAB presentation
24
November 2003 Board Series 47Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
More DataSimulation of impact on S/C total 2003 RevenueNote plan is partial implementation in 2005, full implementation later
Simulation with Joint Pubs addedNote in this simulation Joint Pubs don’t receive a base amount
Causes 2 of 14 Joint Pubs to have a net loss
S/Cs only (Total Rev Delta %)
02
468
1012
>-10%
-5% to
-10%
-2.5%
to -5
%
0% to
-2.5%
2.5%
to 0%
5% to
2.5%
10% to
5%
20% to
10%
40% to
20%
>40%
S/C +Joint Pub (Total Rev Delta %)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
>-10%
-5% to
-10%
-2.5%
to -5
%
0% to
-2.5%
2.5% to
0%
5% to
2.5%
10% to
5%
20% to
10%
40% to
20%
>40%
June 2003 TAB presentation
November 2003 Board Series 48Products & Services PPC - Periodicals Package Committee
Other Issues• Why Now?
– The soonest anything will be affected is 2005 and with multi-year phase it would be 2007 /’08 before fully enacted.
• This creates problems for my S/C? This has completely changing the rules!– We are proposing a multi-year transition– 3/4ths of the IP distribution is not changing – TAB can decide to do additional overriding rules
June 2003 TAB presentation