AnualCenrio de Longo Prazo20102011201220132014E2015E2016E2017E2018E2019E2020E20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020Economia Mundial

Crescimento do PIB Mundial5.2%3.9%3.2%2.8%3.4%3.6%3.4%3.4%3.3%3.3%3.3% EUA2.5%1.8%2.8%1.9%2.8%3.1%2.6%2.2%2.0%2.0%2.0% Zona do Euro2.0%1.5%-0.6%-0.4%1.1%1.5%1.6%1.8%1.6%1.5%1.3% Japo4.7%-0.4%1.4%1.5%1.1%1.3%1.2%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1% China10.4%9.3%7.8%7.7%7.2%7.2%7.1%6.9%6.8%6.6%6.3% CPI EUACPI EUA1.4%3.0%1.8%1.5%2.0%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%Brasil

Setor Externo e Taxa de Cmbio BRL / USD Nominal final de perodo1.691.842.082.362.552.552.562.592.582.522.48 BRL / USD mdia do ano1.761.681.952.162.462.552.552.572.582.552.50 Balana Comercial USD Bil.20301933162338547186 Exportaes USD Bil.202256243243244252284298333384433 Importaes USD Bil.182226223241241236260260279314347 Conta Corrente % PIB-2.2%-2.1%-2.4%-3.7%-3.6%-2.9%-2.9%-2.7%-2.3%-1.8%-1.5%Atividade Econmica PIB Nominal BRL Bil.3,7704,1434,3924,8385,1925,6356,1376,6787,2637,8938,572 PIB Nominal USD Bil.2,1422,4732,2472,2402,1122,2102,4032,5942,8123,1013,431 Crescimento real do PIB7.5%2.7%1.0%2.3%1.4%2.0%2.8%2.7%2.6%2.5%2.4%Inflao IPCA5.9%6.5%5.8%5.9%6.2%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0% INPC6.5%6.1%6.2%0.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0% IGP-M11.3%5.1%7.8%0.0%6.4%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0% IPA-M13.9%4.3%8.6%0.0%6.4%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%6.0%Taxa de Juros Selic final de perodo10.75%11.00%7.25%10.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%9.00% Selic mdia do ano10.00%11.71%8.45%8.43%10.92%11.83%12.00%10.87%9.17%9.00%9.00% Taxa real de juros (SELIC/IPCA) final de perodo4.57%4.22%2.47%2.38%4.40%5.50%5.66%4.60%2.99%2.83%2.83% CDI final de perodo10.61%10.86%7.11%9.85%10.86%11.86%11.86%9.87%8.86%8.86%8.86% TJLP % Dez6.00%6.00%5.50%5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%Finanas Pblicas Supervit Primrio % do PIB1.9%3.1%2.4%1.9%1.3%1.7%1.7%1.7%1.7%1.7%1.7% Supervit Nominal % do PIB-3.3%-2.6%-2.5%-3.3%-4.4%-4.7%-3.9%-3.8%-3.4%-3.4%-3.5% Dvida Lquida % do PIB39.2%36.4%35.3%33.6%34.8%36.8%36.4%37.1%37.6%38.2%38.9%