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Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar: Applying Classic Wyckoff Method Trading Tactics Dr. Gary Dayton

Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

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Page 1: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar: Applying Classic Wyckoff Method Trading Tactics

Dr. Gary Dayton

Page 2: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Charts

All charts used in this presentation were created with TradeStation © TradeStation Technologies, Inc.

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What We Will Cover

• A little background on Wyckoff • Basic Principles: What I look for in applying the

Wyckoff Method – Detailed applications

• Advanced methods – Detailed applications

• What it takes to get good • Resources

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Richard D. Wyckoff

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Page 5: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Basic Principles: What I Look For • Assess Supply & Demand and lack of Supply & lack of

Demand • Study the interactions of price and volume with trend lines,

especially horizontal lines of support and resistance • Look for stopping volume and climactic action • Compare the effort of buying or selling with the result • Watch for Ease of Movement & confirming retracements • Watch for a Shortening of the Trust • Look for failure to follow through • Each bar tells a story: Consider its range, whether it is an

up, down, or level bar, and the position of the close.

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Overview

“The study of responses is one of the most

valuable in the Tape Reader’s education. It is an almost unerring guide to the technical position of the market.”

- Rollo Tape*

* Note: Rollo Tape was a pen name of Richard Wyckoff

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Overview

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Page 8: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Overview

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Page 9: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Drawing Lines

“I am constantly drawing lines as the market

unfolds. They help tell the story of the chart.” - David Weis

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Page 10: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Drawing Lines

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Page 11: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Drawing Lines

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Climactic Action

“Whenever you see high volume suddenly appear

on your chart, stick a wad of peanut butter on it and mark it. You may not know what it means right away, but that volume is important.”

- Robert G. Evans

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Page 13: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Climactic Action

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Climactic Action

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Climactic Action

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Shortening of the Thrust

• Indicates a change of behavior in the market • Less and less progress made in direction of

recent trend – Supply exerts itself in an up market – Demand comes in as market moves down

• Leads to a pullback or a change in trend

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Shortening of the Thrust

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Shortening of the Thrust

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Shortening of the Thrust

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Shortening of the Thrust

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Failure to Follow-Through

“If you traded only springs and upthrusts you

could do well.” - David Weis

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Failure to Follow-Through: UpThrust

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Failure to Follow-Through: UpThrust

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Page 24: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Failure to Follow-Through: UpThrust

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UpThrust & Test

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Failure to Follow-Through: Spring

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Failure to Follow-Through: Spring

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Failure to Follow-Through: Spring

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Effort vs. Result

“A Bull Market occurs when there has been a substantial transfer of stock from Weak Holders to Strong Holders, generally at a loss to Weak Holders. A Bear Market occurs when there has been a substantial transfer of stock from Strong Holders to Weak Holders, generally at a profit to the Strong Holders.”

- Tom Williams

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Effort vs. Result

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Effort vs. Result

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Page 32: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Effort vs. Result

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Page 33: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Effort vs. Result

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Page 34: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Effort vs. Result

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Page 35: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Effort vs. Result

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Page 36: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Effort vs. Result

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Page 37: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Effort vs. Result

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Advanced Methods

“Always think in waves.” - Richard D. Wyckoff

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Advanced Methods

“The most important thing to know about the

market is the trend… But you must always be on the lookout for a change in this immediate trend … This is how you detect the change:

In an up trend, when the selling waves begin to increase in time and distance, or the buying waves shorten. Either or both will be an indication of a change in the immediate trend. Apply the same reasoning to a down trend.”

- Richard D. Wyckoff

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Advanced Methods

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Page 41: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Advanced Methods

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Page 42: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Advanced Methods

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Page 43: Reading the Market Bar-By-Bar - Discount Investment and ... · PDF fileReading the Market Bar-By-Bar: ... and the position of the close. ... (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in

Advanced Methods

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Setups: Afternoon of Fed “Twist”

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Anticipating the Downdraft

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Longer-Term Anticipation

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Developing Trading Skills: The Psychology of Expertise

• Deliberate Practice • Specific, measurable goals related to skill

development • Example: I will identify 70% of all springs occurring in

the last 12 months of 5-minute data for XYZ market.

• Do it mindfully • Track progress

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Resources

• TradingPsychologyEdge.com – Chart Reading Mastery Video Course – Weis Wave – Deep Practice

• RichardWyckoff.org • Jack Hutson, Ed. (1998). Charting the Market: The Wyckoff Method. • Rollo Tape. (1910). Studies in Tape Reading. • David Weis. (In Press). Trades About to Happen: A Modern Adaptation of the

Wyckoff Method. • Richard Wyckoff. (1930). Wall Street Ventures & Adventures Through Forty Years. • Richard Wyckoff. (1931-1933). A Course of Instruction in Stock Market Science &

Technique. • Richard Wyckoff. (1932). A Course of Instruction in Tape Reading & Active Trading. • Tom Williams. (1993). The Undeclared Secrets that Drive the Stock Market.

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Thank You!

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