34
FINANZAS II PORTAFOLIO DE INVERSION Año Alicorp Exsa 2010 4.83% 9.11% 2011 2.80% 5.74% 2012 7.34% 0.78% 2013 8.86% 7.62% 2014 8.74% 7.20% Promedio 6.51% 6.09% Empresa Rentabilidad Alicorp 6.51% Exsa 6.09% El Comercio 15.30% A..Arequipa 5.33% Univer Textil 1.78% Lindley 3.12% Mot D Andino 8.45% Riesgo País 1.62 Beta Promedio 1.01 Rm 0.13 Rf 0.05 CAPM 1.76 r E = r f + (r M – r f ) +

Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

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Page 1: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

FINANZAS IIPORTAFOLIO DE INVERSION

Rentabilidad

Año Alicorp Exsa2010 4.83% 9.11%2011 2.80% 5.74%2012 7.34% 0.78%2013 8.86% 7.62%2014 8.74% 7.20%Promedio 6.51% 6.09%

Empresa RentabilidadAlicorp 6.51%Exsa 6.09%El Comercio 15.30%A..Arequipa 5.33%Univer Textil 1.78%Lindley 3.12%Mot D Andino 8.45%

Riesgo País 1.62 Beta Promedio 1.01 Rm 0.13 Rf 0.05 CAPM 1.76

rE = rf + (rM – rf ) + r

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Rentabilidad

El Comercio A..ArequipUniver Textil Lindley14.14% 8% 2.34% 3.53%12.94% 5.15% 0.44% 2.51%15.81% -2.14% 1.93% 4.42%15.80% 6.76% 1.74% 2.51%17.81% 8.90% 2.48% 2.65%15.30% 5.33% 1.78% 3.12%

Inversión Betas DesaRiesgo Frac Cart invert 70,000.00 0.99 7.00% 7.00% 60,000.00 1.23 6.00% 6.00% 740,000.00 1.18 74.00% 74.00% 5,000.00 0.94 0.50% 0.50% - 1.17 0.00% 0.00% 5,000.00 1.41 0.50% 0.50% 120,000.00 0.16 12.00% 12.00% 1,000,000.00 1.01 100.00% 100.00%

– rf ) + rp = CAPM

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E(re) es la tasa de rendimiento esperada de capital sobre el activo i.• βim es el Beta (cantidad de riesgo con respecto al Portafolio de Mercado)• E(rm − rf) es el exceso de rentabilidad del portafolio de mercado.• (rm) Rendimiento del mercado.• (rf) Rendimiento de un activo libre de riesgo.

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Rentabilidad

Mot D Andino9.05%8.43%6.09%

10.95%7.74%8.45%

Rent.Prom*Part0.46%0.37%

11.32%0.03%0.00%0.02%1.01%

13.20%

Page 8: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

E(re) es la tasa de rendimiento esperada de capital sobre el activo i.• βim es el Beta (cantidad de riesgo con respecto al Portafolio de Mercado)• E(rm − rf) es el exceso de rentabilidad del portafolio de mercado.• (rm) Rendimiento del mercado.• (rf) Rendimiento de un activo libre de riesgo.

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Page 10: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Fecha

Perú Argentina Brasil Chile Colombia

1998

Dic. 655 715 1207 673

1999

Ene. 701 828 1456 643

Feb. 706 771 1321 609

Mar. 590 705 1196 559

Abr. 522 623 904 471

May. 553 674 950 532

Jun. 624 749 986 187 666

Jul. 597 867 1049 185 685

Ago. 684 841 1123 192 693

Set. 637 703 1016 187 647

Oct. 607 654 940 159 576

Nov. 550 634 798 156 539

Dic. 469 579 688 146 456

2000

Ene. 446 558 692 150 442

Feb. 450 561 702 161 469

Mar. 446 535 653 173 522

Abr. 522 590 747 200 649

May. 599 686 816 184 802

Jun. 542 667 721 220 718

Jul. 546 642 705 225 701

Ago. 498 684 680 184 683

Set. 596 682 694 192 718

Oct. 714 761 744 216 756

Nov. 746 860 794 228 794

Dic. 719 803 772 228 767

2001

Ene. 659 702 718 211 726

Feb. 652 707 701 189 643

Mar. 636 848 759 190 630

Abr. 762 986 805 176 629

May 763 1007 835 179 596

Jun. 663 956 836 178 576

Jul. 643 1410 937 177 563

Diferencial de rendimientos del índice de bonos de mercados emergentes (EMBIG) / Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBIG) Stripped Spread

Page 11: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Ago. 626 1502 944 183 534

Set. 649 687 689 218 587

Oct. 665 1828 1163 227 598

Nov. 591 2768 1002 203 558

Dic. 649 1 452 939 183 531

2002

Ene. 481 5338 844 175 541

Feb. 478 4272 842 168 582

Mar. 415 4760 732 136 540

Abr. 435 4837 755 125 544

May. 506 5378 939 140 545

Jun. 567 6258 1368 169 572

Jul. 720 6847 1766 202 690

Ago. 816 6707 2001 212 874

Set. 806 6286 1954 200 986

Oct. 814 6338 2057 228 941

Nov. 672 6083 1711 198 746

Dic. 620 6181 1540 168 653

2003

Ene. 570 5983 1334 168 630

Feb. 563 6235 1308 164 683

Mar. 510 6560 1097 166 630

Abr. 427 5365 902 141 530

May. 414 5142 785 126 469

Jun. 460 4635 752 129 458

Jul. 482 4748 776 121 462

Ago. 422 5022 774 118 451

Set. 353 4995 666 108 429

Oct. 317 5272 621 97 447

Nov. 309 5918 565 87 469

Dic. 318 5578 483 86 439

2004

Ene. 302 5394 431 88 387

Feb. 361 5521 544 93 433

Mar. 357 4859 552 93 402

Abr. 351 4565 590 86 380

May. 484 4749 723 98 529

Jun. 449 4914 664 86 487

Jul. 435 4947 611 85 454

Ago. 385 5159 556 73 424

Set. 337 5360 485 72 398

Oct. 351 5235 467 78 401

Page 12: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Nov. 304 5030 435 73 361

Dic. 257 4826 394 68 347

2005

Ene. 266 4 824 416 63 359

Feb. 262 4 901 400 61 358

Mar. 264 4 869 419 66 371

Abr. 285 5 342 451 71 410

May. 267 5 799 432 70 376

Jun 243 2 796 418 66 339

Jul. 233 425 404 59 322

Ago. 206 419 396 55 304

Set. 198 396 370 56 261

Oct. 218 392 368 61 278

Nov. 203 381 346 74 253

Dic. 246 459 281 78 226

2006

Ene. 236 458 278 76 213

Feb. 184 382 237 71 174

Mar. 220 349 227 71 168

Abr. 219 332 232 77 173

May. 197 343 243 77 188

Jun. 207 383 259 82 231

Jul. 194 362 237 84 228

Ago. 173 325 217 87 196

Set. 172 332 228 85 206

Oct. 148 302 217 82 181

Nov. 147 292 219 79 189

Dic. 131 250 205 87 182

2007

Ene. 123 203 190 81 165

Feb. 127 207 183 80 163

Mar. 132 220 186 86 171

Abr. 118 235 155 82 142

May. 110 278 148 80 131

Jun. 104 290 147 80 108

Jul. 129 355 169 90 136

Ago. 169 461 201 108 186

Set. 310 852 380 242 359

Oct. 139 371 169 117 161

Nov. 175 397 211 134 196

Dic. 175 394 215 153 188

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2008

Ene. 196 443 242 165 241

Feb. 209 477 256 169 249

Mar. 221 529 276 169 263

Abr. 182 556 243 172 216

May. 154 553 204 159 179

Jun. 160 562 194 166 181

Jul. 198 627 231 181 217

Ago. 195 668 235 173 222

Set. 258 799 292 189 273

Oct. 500 1488 493 307 533

Nov. 485 1790 470 353 551

Dic. 524 1829 479 351 538

2009

Ene. 460 1574 429 383 502

Feb. 419 1645 427 371 478

Mar. 409 1863 433 319 483

Abr. 360 1786 382 303 417

May. 292 Err:512 Err:512 249 Err:512

Jun. 258 1139 279 172 298

Jul. 274 1039 268 163 297

Ago. 240 900 253 135 261

Set. 225 821 240 143 249

Oct. 197 709 227 138 220

Nov. 191 726 220 130 215

Dic. 179 720 202 111 208

2010

Ene. 180 712 206 108 211

Feb. 200 790 221 132 235

Mar. 158 705 187 128 189

Abr. 144 630 177 111 173

May. 201 766 224 140 231

Jun. 207 805 235 154 223

Jul. 186 765 222 138 198

Ago. 157 714 204 133 166

Set. 168 704 208 133 176

Oct. 156 614 184 133 158

Nov. 151 547 177 124 152

Dic. 157 521 178 116 161

2011

Ene. 146 497 171 116 146

Feb. 146 542 175 114 151

Mar. 157 566 174 114 155

Page 14: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Abr. 192 533 173 120 152

May. 187 581 171 127 147

Jun. 192 605 174 136 145

Jul. 171 595 164 129 142

Ago. 200 719 203 147 171

Set. 237 874 244 172 215

Oct. 232 908 241 168 207

Nov. 214 896 231 159 197

Dic. 217 927 222 161 188

2012

Ene. 219 851 222 164 197

Feb. 200 822 204 158 176

Mar. 166 823 179 150 149

Abr. 162 930 184 155 148

May. 180 1089 212 168 173

Jun. 188 1129 219 177 173

Jul. 163 1090 202 168 151

Ago. 133 1039 170 142 129

Set. 124 924 161 138 127

Oct. 108 893 146 127 111

Nov. 123 1195 152 137 123

Dic. 117 1035 145 122 116

2013 162 1069 215 157 164

Ene. 110 1058 143 115 113Feb. 127 1114 162 133 131Mar. 140 1207 180 145 142Abr. 133 1223 177 144 132May. 133 1174 178 137 135Jun. 180 1204 234 177 180Jul. 175 1138 232 169 169

Aug. 191 1068 243 171 183Set. 182 1064 234 173 181Oct. 173 928 227 162 172Nov. 182 823 246 164 182Dic. 222 823 327 197 253

2014 162 787 235 143 167

Ene. 177 932 256 155 183Feb. 183 971 258 159 189Mar. 167 880 239 149 177Abr. 154 788 225 138 162May. 149 798 214 136 154Jun. 145 763 209 122 144

Page 15: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Jul. 147 651 212 124 146Ago. 157 761 221 130 154Set. 150 719 216 126 152Oct 170 760 244 150 174Nov 165 674 252 151 173Dic 182 747 272 172 200

2015

Ene. 1-13 197 740 295 176 222

Nota: Var. %

Anual 11.1 -20.6 14.9 13.6 20.8Acumulada 8.2 -1.0 8.4 2.6 10.8

Mensual 8.2 -1.0 8.4 2.6 10.8

Riesgo país promedio 2011 162%Riesgo País 1.62

Page 16: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Ecuador México Venezuela

1577 753 1453

1905 769 1434

2095 710 1411

2316 606 1327

1692 538 983

1635 570 881

2047 583 943

2402 638 1007

3106 650 1124

4082 580 1037

3959 545 936

3260 472 854

3312 383 916

3673 395 866

4043 376 872

3088 316 831

3372 390 947

4024 423 1042

4414 396 887

3796 349 843

2513 328 810

1297 323 780

1301 354 844

1353 360 884

1451 389 948

1322 384 887

1246 401 844

1326 405 864

1475 375 851

1366 339 826

1303 314 827

1388 338 895

Diferencial de rendimientos del índice de bonos de mercados emergentes (EMBIG) / Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBIG) Stripped Spread

Page 17: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

1470 343 907

1486 393 954

1539 400 1032

1410 364 1052

1 488 343 0 910

1145 303 1148

1152 281 1163

1089 248 943

1001 243 894

1115 258 877

1312 302 1059

1390 343 1189

1744 379 1092

1779 403 1094

2001 386 1101

1787 347 1027

1795 312 1037

1600 310 1335

1525 323 1364

1450 299 1334

1225 259 1270

1109 229 1141

1105 232 985

1172 236 920

1162 234 833

1106 211 803

1031 212 772

942 203 716

840 207 607

724 193 598

746 194 664

724 187 679

763 180 638

921 219 686

886 216 625

922 207 612

836 193 563

802 186 508

731 187 463

Page 18: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

722 175 425

711 177 411

682 179 438

638 166 451

633 173 431

738 195 470

835 191 494

819 183 476

759 171 438

714 163 417

682 151 355

683 157 325

651 137 304

616 142 291

610 137 275

549 128 238

538 138 215

492 143 187

469 143 189

503 163 223

487 136 210

477 129 202

565 134 229

560 130 224

528 132 228

724 124 206

904 119 207

746 122 210

695 127 221

611 109 218

625 98 242

630 99 285

714 118 335

702 141 443

1318 266 914

599 126 403

617 158 497

606 166 529

Page 19: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

635 188 528

639 190 556

669 193 624

602 170 631

562 154 640

567 162 581

665 198 623

700 199 681

888 243 827

1987 436 1439

3753 459 1528

4241 463 1789

3901 422 1706

3633 433 1745

3534 449 1595

3417 370 1378

Err:512 Err:512 Err:512

2727 272 1173

1264 262 1209

1131 237 1037

1020 238 939

853 224 950

822 211 1062

820 202 1125

758 195 933

811 204 985

822 169 913

816 161 851

899 211 1096

965 208 1225

1015 200 1188

1036 179 1140

1036 199 1222

1016 183 1133

998 166 1149

928 163 1132

865 156 1120

763 157 1118

781 157 1148

Page 20: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

761 161 1113

786 162 1170

799 167 1207

783 161 1119

864 197 1259

880 238 1382

888 237 1344

868 223 1306

842 220 1261

805 229 1207

790 208 1037

803 190 911

815 190 965

850 211 1072

890 220 1145

857 188 1108

805 169 1013

753 167 971

766 155 948

815 168 940

827 161 796

685 194 1095

728 154 754704 170 728700 177 771678 169 815638 168 828643 213 994644 201 967631 206 956646 202 956568 200 1036530 209 1157

1111 261 3181

510 183 1336

571 197 1236610 196 1387549 188 1200455 178 1043354 172 1040370 160 954

Page 21: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

425 163 921477 169 1069427 168 1297520 190 1604549 192 1820817 217 2465

968 231 2814

69.6 17.2 127.618.4 6.4 14.218.4 6.4 14.2

Page 22: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Date updated: 4-Jan-11Created by:What is this data? Historical returns: Stocks, T.Bonds & T.Bills with premiumsHome Page:Data website:Companies in each indus

Variable definitions:Customixed Geometric risk premium estimatorWhat is your riskfree rate? LTEnter your starting year 1928

Value of stocks in starting year: 100Value of T.Bills in starting year: 100Value of T.bonds in starting year: 100Estimate of risk premium based on your inputs: 4.62%

Annual Returns on Investments in Compounded Value of $ 100

Year S&P 500 3-month T.Bill 10-year T. Bond Stocks1928 43.81% 3.08% 0.84% S/. 143.81 1929 -8.30% 3.16% 4.20% S/. 131.88 1930 -25.12% 4.55% 4.54% S/. 98.75 1931 -43.84% 2.31% -2.56% S/. 55.46 1932 -8.64% 1.07% 8.79% S/. 50.66 1933 49.98% 0.96% 1.86% S/. 75.99 1934 -1.19% 0.32% 7.96% S/. 75.09 1935 46.74% 0.18% 4.47% S/. 110.18 1936 31.94% 0.17% 5.02% S/. 145.38 1937 -35.34% 0.30% 1.38% S/. 94.00 1938 29.28% 0.08% 4.21% S/. 121.53 1939 -1.10% 0.04% 4.41% S/. 120.20 1940 -10.67% 0.03% 5.40% S/. 107.37 1941 -12.77% 0.08% -2.02% S/. 93.66 1942 19.17% 0.34% 2.29% S/. 111.61 1943 25.06% 0.38% 2.49% S/. 139.59 1944 19.03% 0.38% 2.58% S/. 166.15 1945 35.82% 0.38% 3.80% S/. 225.67 1946 -8.43% 0.38% 3.13% S/. 206.65 1947 5.20% 0.57% 0.92% S/. 217.39 1948 5.70% 1.02% 1.95% S/. 229.79 1949 18.30% 1.10% 4.66% S/. 271.85 1950 30.81% 1.17% 0.43% S/. 355.60 1951 23.68% 1.48% -0.30% S/. 439.80 1952 18.15% 1.67% 2.27% S/. 519.62 1953 -1.21% 1.89% 4.14% S/. 513.35 1954 52.56% 0.96% 3.29% S/. 783.18 1955 32.60% 1.66% -1.34% S/. 1,038.47 1956 7.44% 2.56% -2.26% S/. 1,115.73 1957 -10.46% 3.23% 6.80% S/. 999.05 1958 43.72% 1.78% -2.10% S/. 1,435.84 1959 12.06% 3.26% -2.65% S/. 1,608.95 1960 0.34% 3.05% 11.64% S/. 1,614.37 1961 26.64% 2.27% 2.06% S/. 2,044.40 1962 -8.81% 2.78% 5.69% S/. 1,864.26 1963 22.61% 3.11% 1.68% S/. 2,285.80 1964 16.42% 3.51% 3.73% S/. 2,661.02 1965 12.40% 3.90% 0.72% S/. 2,990.97 1966 -9.97% 4.84% 2.91% S/. 2,692.74 1967 23.80% 4.33% -1.58% S/. 3,333.69 1968 10.81% 5.26% 3.27% S/. 3,694.23

Aswath Damodaran, [email protected]

http://www.damodaran.comhttp://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/data.htmlhttp://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/datasets/indname.xls

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/variable.htm

Page 23: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

1969 -8.24% 6.56% -5.01% S/. 3,389.77 1970 3.56% 6.69% 16.75% S/. 3,510.49 1971 14.22% 4.54% 9.79% S/. 4,009.72 1972 18.76% 3.95% 2.82% S/. 4,761.76 1973 -14.31% 6.73% 3.66% S/. 4,080.44 1974 -25.90% 7.78% 1.99% S/. 3,023.54 1975 37.00% 5.99% 3.61% S/. 4,142.10 1976 23.83% 4.97% 15.98% S/. 5,129.20 1977 -6.98% 5.13% 1.29% S/. 4,771.20 1978 6.51% 6.93% -0.78% S/. 5,081.77 1979 18.52% 9.94% 0.67% S/. 6,022.89 1980 31.74% 11.22% -2.99% S/. 7,934.26 1981 -4.70% 14.30% 8.20% S/. 7,561.16 1982 20.42% 11.01% 32.81% S/. 9,105.08 1983 22.34% 8.45% 3.20% S/. 11,138.90 1984 6.15% 9.61% 13.73% S/. 11,823.51 1985 31.24% 7.49% 25.71% S/. 15,516.60 1986 18.49% 6.04% 24.28% S/. 18,386.33 1987 5.81% 5.72% -4.96% S/. 19,455.08 1988 16.54% 6.45% 8.22% S/. 22,672.40 1989 31.48% 8.11% 17.69% S/. 29,808.58 1990 -3.06% 7.55% 6.24% S/. 28,895.11 1991 30.23% 5.61% 15.00% S/. 37,631.51 1992 7.49% 3.41% 9.36% S/. 40,451.51 1993 9.97% 2.98% 14.21% S/. 44,483.33 1994 1.33% 3.99% -8.04% S/. 45,073.14 1995 37.20% 5.52% 23.48% S/. 61,838.19 1996 22.68% 5.02% 1.43% S/. 75,863.69 1997 33.10% 5.05% 9.94% S/. 100,977.34 1998 28.34% 4.73% 14.92% S/. 129,592.25 1999 20.89% 4.51% -8.25% S/. 156,658.05 2000 -9.03% 5.76% 16.66% S/. 142,508.98 2001 -11.85% 3.67% 5.57% S/. 125,622.01 2002 -21.97% 1.66% 15.12% S/. 98,027.82 2003 28.36% 1.03% 0.38% S/. 125,824.39 2004 10.74% 1.23% 4.49% S/. 139,341.42 2005 4.83% 3.01% 2.87% S/. 146,077.85 2006 15.61% 4.68% 1.96% S/. 168,884.34 2007 5.48% 4.64% 10.21% S/. 178,147.20 2008 -36.55% 1.59% 20.10% S/. 113,030.22 2009 25.94% 0.14% -11.12% S/. 142,344.87 2010 14.82% 0.13% 8.46% S/. 163,441.94 2011 2.10% 0.03% 16.04% S/. 166,871.56 2012 15.89% 0.05% 2.97% S/. 193,388.43 2013 32.15% 0.07% -9.10% S/. 255,553.31 2014 13.48% 0.05% 10.75% S/. 289,995.13

Arithmetic Average1928­2014 11.53% 3.53% 5.28%1965­2014 11.23% 5.04% 7.11%2005­2014 9.37% 1.44% 5.31%

Geometric Average1928­2014 9.60% 3.49% 5.00%1965­2014 9.84% 4.99% 6.70%2005­2014 7.60% 1.42% 4.88%

Page 24: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

4-Jan-11

US companies

Estimates of risk premiums from 1928, over the last 50 years and over the last 10 yearsare provided at the bottom of this table.

Compounded Value of $ 100

T.Bills T.Bonds Stocks - Bills Stocks - Bonds S/. 103.08 S/. 100.84 40.73% 42.98% S/. 106.34 S/. 105.07 -11.46% -12.50% S/. 111.18 S/. 109.85 -29.67% -29.66% S/. 113.74 S/. 107.03 -46.15% -41.28% S/. 114.96 S/. 116.44 -9.71% -17.43% S/. 116.06 S/. 118.60 49.02% 48.13% S/. 116.44 S/. 128.05 -1.51% -9.15% S/. 116.64 S/. 133.78 46.57% 42.27% S/. 116.84 S/. 140.49 31.77% 26.93% S/. 117.19 S/. 142.43 -35.64% -36.72% S/. 117.29 S/. 148.43 29.21% 25.07% S/. 117.33 S/. 154.98 -1.14% -5.51% S/. 117.36 S/. 163.35 -10.70% -16.08% S/. 117.46 S/. 160.04 -12.85% -10.75% S/. 117.85 S/. 163.72 18.84% 16.88% S/. 118.30 S/. 167.79 24.68% 22.57% S/. 118.75 S/. 172.12 18.65% 16.45% S/. 119.20 S/. 178.67 35.44% 32.02% S/. 119.65 S/. 184.26 -8.81% -11.56% S/. 120.33 S/. 185.95 4.63% 4.28% S/. 121.56 S/. 189.58 4.68% 3.75% S/. 122.90 S/. 198.42 17.20% 13.64% S/. 124.34 S/. 199.27 29.63% 30.38% S/. 126.18 S/. 198.68 22.20% 23.97% S/. 128.29 S/. 203.19 16.48% 15.88% S/. 130.72 S/. 211.61 -3.10% -5.35% S/. 131.98 S/. 218.57 51.60% 49.27% S/. 134.17 S/. 215.65 30.94% 33.93% S/. 137.60 S/. 210.79 4.88% 9.70% S/. 142.04 S/. 225.11 -13.69% -17.25% S/. 144.57 S/. 220.39 41.94% 45.82% S/. 149.27 S/. 214.56 8.80% 14.70% S/. 153.82 S/. 239.53 -2.71% -11.30% 6.11% S/. 157.30 S/. 244.46 24.37% 24.58% 6.62% S/. 161.67 S/. 258.38 -11.59% -14.51% 5.97% S/. 166.70 S/. 262.74 19.50% 20.93% 6.36% S/. 172.54 S/. 272.53 12.91% 12.69% 6.53% S/. 179.28 S/. 274.49 8.50% 11.68% 6.66% S/. 187.95 S/. 282.47 -14.81% -12.88% 6.11% S/. 196.10 S/. 278.01 19.47% 25.38% 6.57% S/. 206.41 S/. 287.11 5.55% 7.54% 6.60%

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/variable.htm

Historical risk premium

Page 25: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

S/. 219.96 S/. 272.71 -14.80% -3.23% 6.33% S/. 234.66 S/. 318.41 -3.12% -13.19% 5.90% S/. 245.32 S/. 349.57 9.68% 4.43% 5.87% S/. 255.01 S/. 359.42 14.80% 15.94% 6.08% S/. 272.16 S/. 372.57 -21.03% -17.97% 5.50% S/. 293.33 S/. 379.98 -33.68% -27.89% 4.64% S/. 310.90 S/. 393.68 31.01% 33.39% 5.17% S/. 326.35 S/. 456.61 18.86% 7.85% 5.22% S/. 343.09 S/. 462.50 -12.11% -8.27% 4.93% S/. 366.87 S/. 458.90 -0.42% 7.29% 4.97% S/. 403.33 S/. 461.98 8.58% 17.85% 5.21% S/. 448.58 S/. 448.17 20.52% 34.72% 5.73% S/. 512.73 S/. 484.91 -19.00% -12.90% 5.37% S/. 569.18 S/. 644.04 9.41% -12.40% 5.10% S/. 617.26 S/. 664.65 13.89% 19.14% 5.34% S/. 676.60 S/. 755.92 -3.47% -7.59% 5.12% S/. 727.26 S/. 950.29 23.75% 5.52% 5.13% S/. 771.15 S/. 1,181.06 12.46% -5.79% 4.97% S/. 815.27 S/. 1,122.47 0.09% 10.77% 5.07% S/. 867.86 S/. 1,214.78 10.09% 8.31% 5.12% S/. 938.24 S/. 1,429.72 23.37% 13.78% 5.24% S/. 1,009.08 S/. 1,518.87 -10.61% -9.30% 5.00% S/. 1,065.69 S/. 1,746.77 24.62% 15.23% 5.14% S/. 1,101.98 S/. 1,910.30 4.09% -1.87% 5.03% S/. 1,134.84 S/. 2,181.77 6.98% -4.24% 4.90% S/. 1,180.07 S/. 2,006.43 -2.66% 9.36% 4.97% S/. 1,245.15 S/. 2,477.55 31.68% 13.71% 5.08% S/. 1,307.68 S/. 2,512.94 17.66% 21.25% 5.30% S/. 1,373.76 S/. 2,762.71 28.05% 23.16% 5.53% S/. 1,438.70 S/. 3,174.95 23.61% 13.42% 5.63% S/. 1,503.58 S/. 2,912.88 16.38% 29.14% 5.96% S/. 1,590.23 S/. 3,398.03 -14.79% -25.69% 5.51% S/. 1,648.63 S/. 3,587.37 -15.52% -17.42% 5.17% S/. 1,675.96 S/. 4,129.65 -23.62% -37.08% 4.53% S/. 1,693.22 S/. 4,145.15 27.33% 27.98% 4.82% S/. 1,714.00 S/. 4,331.30 9.52% 6.25% 4.84% S/. 1,765.59 S/. 4,455.50 1.82% 1.97% 4.80% S/. 1,848.18 S/. 4,542.87 10.94% 13.65% 4.91% S/. 1,933.98 S/. 5,006.69 0.84% -4.73% 4.79% S/. 1,964.64 S/. 6,013.10 -38.14% -56.65% 3.88% S/. 1,967.29 S/. 5,344.65 25.80% 37.05% 4.29% S/. 1,969.84 S/. 5,796.96 14.69% 6.36% 4.31% S/. 1,970.44 S/. 6,726.52 2.07% -13.94% 4.10% S/. 1,971.42 S/. 6,926.40 15.84% 12.92% 4.20% S/. 1,972.72 S/. 6,295.79 32.08% 41.25% 4.62% S/. 1,973.77 S/. 6,972.34 13.42% 2.73% 4.60%

Risk Premium Standard ErrorStocks ­ T.Bills Stocks ­ T.Bonds Stocks ­ T.Bills Stocks ­ T.Bonds

8.00% 6.25% 2.17% 2.32%6.19% 4.12% 2.42% 2.74%7.94% 4.06% 6.05% 8.65%

Risk PremiumStocks ­ T.Bills Stocks ­ T.Bonds

6.11% 4.60%4.84% 3.14%6.18% 2.73%

Page 26: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

Date updated: 5-Jan-15Created by:What is this data? Beta, Unlevered beta and other risk measuresHome Page:Data website:Companies in each industry:Variable definitions:

Industry Number of firms Beta D/E RatioAdvertising 52 1.18 50.62%Aerospace/Defense 93 1.16 18.96%Air Transport 22 0.98 81.51%Apparel 64 0.99 20.73%Auto & Truck 22 1.09 105.95%Auto Parts 75 1.35 28.64%Bank (Money Center) 13 0.81 218.66%Banks (Regional) 676 0.53 77.69%Beverage (Alcoholic) 22 1.06 21.88%Beverage (Soft) 46 1.14 23.04%Broadcasting 28 1.30 71.06%Brokerage & Investment Banking 46 1.16 303.54%Building Materials 39 1.12 32.23%Business & Consumer Services 177 1.19 30.41%Cable TV 18 0.91 44.80%Chemical (Basic) 46 0.94 40.31%Chemical (Diversified) 10 1.17 33.20%Chemical (Specialty) 103 1.03 21.36%Coal & Related Energy 42 1.64 110.41%Computer Services 119 1.16 27.56%Computers/Peripherals 64 1.21 9.47%Construction Supplies 55 1.60 45.39%Diversified 23 1.00 60.89%Drugs (Biotechnology) 400 1.10 8.48%Drugs (Pharmaceutical) 151 1.03 13.42%Education 42 1.13 39.42%Electrical Equipment 126 1.24 16.86%Electronics (Consumer & Office) 28 1.37 4.43%Electronics (General) 189 1.03 14.69%Engineering/Construction 56 1.31 27.31%Entertainment 84 1.21 27.52%Environmental & Waste Services 103 1.28 40.58%Farming/Agriculture 37 0.84 60.46%Financial Svcs. (Non-bank & Insuran 288 0.67 1206.66%Food Processing 96 0.99 27.21%

Aswath Damodaran, [email protected]

http://www.damodaran.com

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/data.html

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/datasets/indname.xls

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/variable.htm

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Food Wholesalers 14 1.41 17.10%Furn/Home Furnishings 27 1.09 26.61%Green & Renewable Energy 26 1.32 109.96%Healthcare Products 261 0.99 15.67%Healthcare Support Services 138 1.05 26.66%Heathcare Information and Technol 127 0.95 19.75%Homebuilding 35 1.29 60.76%Hospitals/Healthcare Facilities 56 0.97 75.58%Hotel/Gaming 80 1.18 54.64%Household Products 135 1.03 18.89%Information Services 67 1.11 13.31%Insurance (General) 24 1.03 43.04%Insurance (Life) 25 1.04 71.23%Insurance (Prop/Cas.) 52 0.83 32.90%Investments & Asset Management 148 1.10 74.07%Machinery 137 1.23 20.43%Metals & Mining 124 1.28 50.69%Office Equipment & Services 25 1.34 51.88%Oil/Gas (Integrated) 8 0.81 11.06%Oil/Gas (Production and Exploration) 392 1.27 48.18%Oil/Gas Distribution 85 0.96 47.75%Oilfield Svcs/Equip. 161 1.54 27.63%Packaging & Container 26 0.95 48.60%Paper/Forest Products 22 0.84 51.02%Power 82 0.83 75.74%Precious Metals 147 1.29 40.80%Publshing & Newspapers 43 1.15 47.39%R.E.I.T. 213 0.79 88.52%Real Estate (Development) 18 1.02 45.42%Real Estate (General/Diversified) 11 1.82 27.56%Real Estate (Operations & Services) 52 1.30 57.34%Recreation 68 1.21 31.64%Reinsurance 4 1.35 37.59%Restaurant/Dining 79 0.89 27.87%Retail (Automotive) 30 1.18 50.19%Retail (Building Supply) 5 1.44 19.46%Retail (Distributors) 90 1.12 48.00%Retail (General) 23 1.03 31.37%Retail (Grocery and Food) 21 1.05 56.14%Retail (Online) 46 1.40 7.52%Retail (Special Lines) 128 1.07 41.45%Rubber& Tires 4 1.02 87.74%Semiconductor 100 1.21 10.75%Semiconductor Equip 47 1.23 17.63%Shipbuilding & Marine 14 1.36 53.62%

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Shoe 13 0.84 7.34%Software (Entertainment) 20 1.12 17.30%Software (Internet) 327 1.29 5.59%Software (System & Application) 259 1.10 9.70%Steel 40 1.31 64.03%Telecom (Wireless) 21 1.15 154.38%Telecom. Equipment 126 1.24 11.72%Telecom. Services 77 1.07 65.43%Tobacco 20 1.09 19.75%Transportation 21 0.86 21.03%Transportation (Railroads) 10 1.05 20.21%Trucking 30 1.32 66.66%Unclassified 8 0.10 26.26%Utility (General) 21 0.59 61.30%Utility (Water) 19 1.09 50.17%Total Market 7887 1.06 66.14%

Page 29: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

5-Jan-15

Beta, Unlevered beta and other risk measures US companies

Tax rate Unlevered beta Cash/Firm value Unlevered beta corrected for cash4.13% 0.80 3.77% 0.83

14.87% 1.00 5.61% 1.0618.71% 0.59 3.63% 0.6111.16% 0.84 2.52% 0.864.45% 0.54 7.78% 0.59

11.05% 1.07 6.06% 1.1426.43% 0.31 8.41% 0.3420.66% 0.33 12.56% 0.378.54% 0.88 1.66% 0.895.55% 0.93 4.23% 0.98

18.34% 0.82 1.58% 0.8313.99% 0.32 21.95% 0.4117.45% 0.88 5.00% 0.9313.30% 0.94 5.17% 1.0021.18% 0.67 2.98% 0.7010.88% 0.69 8.61% 0.7522.47% 0.93 5.52% 0.9911.16% 0.86 5.54% 0.910.99% 0.78 5.70% 0.83

10.48% 0.93 5.64% 0.997.35% 1.11 5.03% 1.17

16.28% 1.16 4.99% 1.2213.96% 0.66 6.32% 0.701.48% 1.02 4.02% 1.064.58% 0.91 4.08% 0.95

12.18% 0.84 11.55% 0.955.99% 1.07 6.52% 1.144.50% 1.32 4.51% 1.388.64% 0.91 10.67% 1.01

14.18% 1.06 11.07% 1.194.11% 0.95 3.26% 0.996.31% 0.93 1.17% 0.949.36% 0.54 5.94% 0.58

18.49% 0.06 2.51% 0.0613.70% 0.80 2.28% 0.82

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/data.html

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pc/datasets/indname.xls

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/variable.htm

Page 30: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

13.47% 1.23 2.10% 1.2614.48% 0.89 3.65% 0.921.94% 0.63 6.10% 0.686.73% 0.86 4.54% 0.90

13.27% 0.86 5.72% 0.916.35% 0.80 4.16% 0.84

18.11% 0.86 6.66% 0.9210.93% 0.58 1.28% 0.5911.41% 0.80 3.95% 0.8310.46% 0.88 3.40% 0.9117.93% 1.01 3.77% 1.0419.21% 0.76 4.99% 0.8024.30% 0.68 10.21% 0.7522.18% 0.66 4.74% 0.696.84% 0.65 10.82% 0.73

15.64% 1.05 5.94% 1.111.80% 0.86 5.52% 0.91

18.65% 0.94 5.51% 1.0014.56% 0.74 3.43% 0.767.04% 0.87 4.30% 0.914.68% 0.66 0.96% 0.67

10.99% 1.24 6.07% 1.3218.18% 0.68 2.50% 0.7011.54% 0.58 3.25% 0.5920.77% 0.52 1.93% 0.531.33% 0.92 11.87% 1.05

14.93% 0.82 7.41% 0.881.24% 0.42 1.69% 0.437.21% 0.72 12.23% 0.829.39% 1.46 1.32% 1.478.63% 0.85 4.50% 0.89

11.25% 0.95 4.09% 0.9915.53% 1.02 9.16% 1.1215.14% 0.72 2.35% 0.7418.76% 0.83 1.34% 0.8530.64% 1.27 1.52% 1.2916.84% 0.80 1.78% 0.8121.36% 0.83 2.68% 0.8522.94% 0.73 2.08% 0.759.38% 1.31 6.18% 1.39

20.44% 0.81 4.50% 0.8513.58% 0.58 11.24% 0.6510.11% 1.11 5.22% 1.176.88% 1.06 9.76% 1.176.75% 0.91 3.49% 0.94

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20.15% 0.80 3.53% 0.821.46% 0.95 15.83% 1.135.07% 1.22 5.58% 1.296.86% 1.01 4.58% 1.06

13.99% 0.85 6.31% 0.905.76% 0.47 7.90% 0.518.70% 1.12 6.22% 1.20

11.83% 0.68 1.96% 0.6912.39% 0.93 2.06% 0.9420.08% 0.73 4.11% 0.7721.30% 0.90 1.76% 0.9227.38% 0.89 2.72% 0.923.93% 0.08 38.92% 0.14

30.59% 0.42 0.84% 0.4215.10% 0.76 0.66% 0.7710.76% 0.67 4.95% 0.70

Page 32: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

HiLo Risk0.6900 51.52%0.4353 50.15%0.4971 53.32%0.5106 56.24%0.6152 43.52%0.4917 53.89%0.1480 39.98%0.1969 37.41%0.5838 55.14%0.6977 61.94%0.4053 62.12%0.4180 44.77%0.3410 43.52%0.5382 52.77%0.3746 52.83%0.5541 50.32%0.3198 41.14%0.4312 51.80%0.6123 74.62%0.5193 59.41%0.4644 66.35%0.3884 47.26%0.3898 32.85%0.5719 93.06%0.5615 75.04%0.5092 70.19%0.5870 65.34%0.6108 56.16%0.4862 69.01%0.5367 47.91%0.6339 58.48%0.6112 65.61%0.5378 41.59%0.2987 38.80%0.4540 42.05%

Standard deviation of

equity

Page 33: Rentabilidad Mixta - Modelo CPAM 2014

0.5645 35.73%0.4335 54.24%0.7017 53.18%0.5028 64.48%0.5200 46.72%0.5306 70.49%0.3704 53.78%0.3416 43.11%0.4525 49.55%0.5794 61.63%0.3610 42.71%0.2812 35.35%0.1725 34.48%0.2422 36.73%0.4238 41.63%0.4598 46.22%0.7351 74.49%0.3942 49.87%0.4107 33.56%0.6440 71.93%0.3010 43.15%0.5574 65.23%0.3367 31.06%0.4571 44.94%0.3032 29.70%0.7545 93.69%0.3531 50.42%0.1767 31.55%0.6338 43.65%0.4916 45.97%0.5133 50.05%0.5114 50.41%0.4123 21.20%0.3574 44.43%0.4353 48.06%0.3399 50.71%0.4701 52.06%0.3159 46.36%0.4125 51.83%0.5190 70.16%0.4280 51.42%0.3456 49.54%0.4111 57.12%0.3887 60.18%0.4613 71.45%

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0.4250 40.80%0.6514 69.84%0.6319 72.48%0.5374 61.85%0.3778 52.45%0.5844 53.05%0.4811 62.74%0.5288 55.60%0.6449 41.74%0.3829 42.36%0.3456 30.73%0.3604 48.49%0.6038 NA0.1577 23.02%0.3330 38.21%0.4697 53.60%