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Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today today future future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars with efficient power trains with or without hybrid modules

Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

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Page 1: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

Roadmap to Sustainable

Mobilitytodaytoday futurefuture

Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive

Improved & alternative fuels

Efficient cars

with efficient power trainswith or without hybrid modules

Page 2: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

The heat is on

Page 3: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 4: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

1 CO2

2271L

5443Kg

23Kg

Page 5: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

1975 1987 2005

Mass

Power

MPG

0-60mph

Page 6: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 7: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

ポルシェGT2 530PS/298g  (EU) BMWM3   400PS/276g (10.15) レクサスISF 400PS/283g (10.15)

300g/Km=8.7Km/L

Page 8: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 9: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 10: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

EU 2012 130g

New Target

Page 11: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 12: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 13: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

何が問題なのか

• 2050年自動車30億台(8億台現在)• 人口90億人(現在は62億人)• 2025年エネルギー需要は倍増(WBCSD予測)• 2025年イージーオイルの枯渇(SHELL・WBCSD)

Page 14: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

持続可能なモビリティとは

• どうなったら持続可能?• その条件は誰がいつ、どのように示す• METI/2100年に化石燃料から離脱• スウェーデン2025年に化石燃料からの離脱宣言

Page 15: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

1次エネルギーの多様性• 原子力=放射能汚染が課題• 自然エネルギー風力水力は自然破壊?• 太陽光発電は効率とLCAに課題• バイオマスでどのくらいまかなえるのか?DCAG見解25%トヨタ10~25%• 常温核融合が実現するまでが我慢か?

Page 16: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 20 30 400

( )

140

1.0Corolla

Tundra0.86

7

HV IW = 300kg

HV 2 4 IW = 1,200kg

m

/h

630 120 30

7

Page 17: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

10 20 30 400

( )140

1.0Corolla

Tundra

0.86

7

HV IW = 300kg

HV 2 4 IW = 1,200kg

m

/h

630 1

20 30

7

Page 18: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

*Compared to current F-Cell vehicle (based on A-Class)

F600 HyGenius

Page 19: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

Overall cost reduction

by almost two orders

of magnitude

is necessary to

become competitive!

in preparation

Significant Cost Reductions of

Fuel Cell Powertrains

Page 20: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 21: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

Hybrid technologies are an integral part of our strategy

Pooling expertise and resources

Powertrain integration Energy storage High-performance

electronics

Hybrid transmission

BLUETEC HybridSmart Micro Hybrid Hybrid City BusHybrid Light Truck

Hybrid modules for individual powertrain

solutions

Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility

Page 22: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 23: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

PNGV~

Freedom Car

Page 24: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 25: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars
Page 26: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

プレミアムディーゼル燃料=V Power

Page 27: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

GasolineEngine

�� Consumption

� Emissions

� Power

� Costs

G li

� DIESOTTO

Torque – Power - Consumption – Emissions - Costs

190 kW/258 hp inkl. Hybrid

400 Nm

~ 5,3 l/100km (127g CO2)

The future of the combustion engine:

DIESOTTO combines the advantages of both

Gasoline and Diesel engine!

Emissions �

Costs �DieselEngineDi l

Torque �

Consumption �

Gasoline cars as efficient as diesels;

Diesel cars as clean as gasoline carsTarget

Page 28: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

Food crops

1st generation

Diesel

Gasoline

Biomass

2nd generation

Ethanol Eco-Ethanol

BTLBio-Ester

Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility

•1区:ガソリンHVとクリーンディーゼル•2区:ディーゼルHVと先進的オットーHCCI•3区:第二世代バイオマス(BTL)とEV•4区:水素燃料電池自動車とEVのGTカー•5区:厳しい箱根路=コストが鍵

環境駅伝のロードマップ

Page 29: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

Efficiencies of Powertrains –

Tank-to-Wheel

� High energy efficiency: low demand for primary energy

� FC drive train overcompensates higher energy losses of hydrogen production

Reference: European Compact Car, NEDC

16,622 21,4

30

38

7

3

3,63

3,4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Gasoline Hybrid (G) Diesel Hybrid (D) FC-H2

Eff

icie

ncy i

n N

ED

C [

%]

Today Potential

H2 ICE

Page 30: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

“Well-to-Wheel" CO2-Emissions of Different

Propulsion Concepts

161

9

14

17

104

186

125

164

141

196Gasoline ICE

Hybrid (gasoline ICE)

Diesel ICE

Hybrid (Diesel ICE)

Hydrogen ICE (CGH2 out of CNG)

Diesel ICE (BTL)

Fuel Cell (CGH2 out of CNG)

Fuel Cell (CGH2 out of bio mass)

Fuel Cell (CGH2 out of wind power)

Reference: Compact sedan, NEDC

-28%

-16%

-36%

-91%

-46%

-93%

-95%

-5%

Source: EUCAR/CONCAWE/JRC, 2005

Diesel ICE with bio mass (2nd generation) and Fuel Cell vehicles with Hydrogen have the

highest potential to reduce CO2-emissions

-18%Natural-gas ICE (CNG)

GHG Emissions [g CO2 eq/km]

0 50 100 150 200 250

Page 31: Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility - JARI · Roadmap to Sustainable Mobility today future Zero-emission vehicles with fuel cell/battery drive Improved & alternative fuels Efficient cars

環境と愉しさの両立普及しない技術は役に立たない

• 先進ディーゼルはトルクフルで静か• 2リッターで200PSスポーツディーゼル登場=BMW123d• 500PS級の高級車もHV=環境高性能レクサスLS600h• ガソリンもまけてない=ダウンサイジングで勝負するVW1.4TSI

• レースもエコ技術• ルマン24時間ディーゼル• F1もHV• インディ・バイオマス

••• 先先先先先先進進進進進デデデデデディィィィーーーーゼゼゼゼゼルルルルははははははトトトトトルルルルルルククククククククフフフフフフフフフルルルルルルででででででで静静静静静静静かかかかかかか•• 2222リリリリリッッッッッタタタタタターーーーーーーーでででででででででででででで222222222222000000000000000000000000000PPPPPPPPPPPPPPSSSSSSSSSSSSSSススススススススススポポポポポポポポポポーーーーツツツツツツツツツデデデデデデデディィィィィィィィーーーーゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼルルルルルルルル登登登登登登登登場場場場場場場場=======BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBMMMMMMMMMMMMMMWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW11122223333dddd••• 55550000000000PPPPSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS級級級級級級級級級級級級級級ののののののののの高高高高級級級級級級級級車車車車車車もももHHHHVVVVV==環環環環環環環環環環境境境境境境境境境境境高高高高高高高性性性性性性性性能能能能能能能能能レレレレレレレレクククククククサササササササササササススススススススLLLLLLSSS660000hh•• ガガガガソソソソソソソリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリリンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンンもももももままままままままけけてててなないい===ダダダウウウウウンンンンンンンンンササササササササササイイイイイイイイジジジジジジジジンンンンンングググググググググググググググググググでででででで勝勝勝負負負すすするるるVVVVVVVWWWWWW1111111..4444444444TTTTTTTTTTSSSSSSSIIIIII

•• レレレーースススススもももももエエエエエエコココココココココココ技技技技技技技技技技技技技技技技技技技技技術術術術術術術術•• ルルマママンンンン22224444時時時時時時間間間間間間間間間間間間間間間間間間間デデデデデデデデデデデデデディィィィィィィィィィーーーーーーーーーゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼゼルルルルルル••• FF111ももももHHHHVVVV•• イインンンデデデディィ・・ババイイイイオオオオママママスススススス