(AEC) : (AEC)

(ASEAN Economic Community: AEC) 2

2

3

AEC Blueprint 9

13

13

22

26

26

29

33

1

(ASEAN Economic Community: AEC)

1 (ASEAN) 2510 6 4 CLMV (AFTA) 2535

2546 (ASEAN Economic Community: AEC) 2558 (ASEAN Community) (ASEAN Security Community) (ASEAN Socio-Cultural Community) (ASEAN Charter)

2558 (AEC Blueprint) 4 2

1. (Harmonization of Rules and Regulations)

1 , , 15 2554. 2 , , AEC SMEs , 2553.

2

2. (Highly Competitive Economic Region)

3. SMEs (Initiative for ASEAN Integration: IAI)

4. /

2540 (Knowledge-based) (Creativity) (Value Creation)

4

4.1 (.. 2510 - 2520)

3

2519 5 Declaration of ASEAN Concord Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in Southeast Asia

4.2 (.. 2521- 2540) (ASEAN Free Trade Area: AFTA) 1 2530

4 2535 (Singapore Declaration of 1992) 2 (Framework Agreement on Enhancing ASEAN Economic Cooperation) (Agreement on the Common Effective Preferential Tariff Scheme for the ASEAN Free Trade Area) CEPT AFTA

4.3 ASEAN Vision 2020 (.. 2541 - 2547) (ASEAN Vision 2020) 2 2540 21 1 (Hanoi Plan of Action) 6 2541

4

4.4 (.. 2545-) ASEAN Vision 2020 -

2563 2 (Bali Concord II) 9 7 2546

2550 (ASEAN Community) 2563 2558 (Cebu Declaration on the Acceleration of the Establishment of an ASEAN Community by 2015) 13 2550 13 2550 2 (ASEAN Economic Community Blueprint) AEC

AFTA (ASEAN Preferential Trading Arrangements : PTA) 2520 4 (ASEAN Industrial Project: AIP) .. 2523 (ASEAN Industrial Complementation: AIC) .. 2524 (ASEAN Industrial Joint Ventures: AIJV) .. 2526

5

(Brand-to-Brand Complementation: BBC) .. 2532 4 2535 (Singapore Declaration of 1992) 2 (Framework Agreement on Enhancing ASEAN Economic Cooperation) CEPT AFTA 10 (ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services: AFAS) 2538 (ASEAN Investment Area: AIA) 2541

AFTA CEPT (ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement: ATIGA) AFTA

(ASEAN Framework Agreement on Service: AFAS)

AFAS 2538 (World Trade Organization, General Agreement on Trade in Services: GATS) AFAS

6

AFAS 7 7 2552 14 143 ( ) ( )

49 8 2553 2558

(ASEAN Industrial Cooperation Scheme: AICO) .. 2539

..2526 .. 2532 AICO 1 1 - AICO AICO

(Framework Agreement on the ASEAN Investment Area: AIA) .. 2541

AIA 2553 2563 2553

7

2563

AIA (ASEAN Agreement for the Promotion and Protection of Investments) ACIA (ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement) ACIA

(ASEAN Framework Agreement on the Facilitation of Goods in Transit) .. 2541

(Transit) 9 1 2 - 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

(Initiative for ASEAN Integration: IAI) 2544

AFTA

8

( 8,300 ) AFTA 2 0 2553 ( 8,287 ) 5 ( 0) ( 13 )

(ASEAN Economic Community: AEC)

8 4 2545 AEC EEC AEM AEC (High Level Task Force on ASEAN Economic Integration: HLTF) 10 / AEC

1.

(1) 0% 2553 (.. 2010) 2558 (.. 2015) NTBs

(2) 2563 (.. 2020)

(3) 2553 (.. 2010)

(4)

(5)

9

11 (11 Priority Sectors) (Country Coordinators) 2550 12

2.

9 7 2546 (Bali Concord II) AEC 2563 (.. 2020) 3 HLTF AEC .. 2020 12 2550 AEC 2563 2558 2558 (Cebu Declaration on the Acceleration of the Establishment of an ASEAN Community by 2015) 13 19-22 2550 (Declaration of the ASEAN Economic Community Blueprint) 2 (AEC Blueprint) (Strategic Schedule)

3. AEC Blueprint

AEC Blueprint / AEC 2558 (.. 2015) 4 2 (Bali Concord II)

10

(1) (2.) (3.) (4)

AEC Blueprint 3

AEC Blueprint

1. ( ASEAN Free Trade Area: AFTA)

(1) / 6 9 (////////) 2550 (Inclusion List: IL) 2553 4 9 0% 2555 5% 2553 0% 2558 7 0% 2561

(2) (Non-Tariff Barriers: NTBs) 2553 2555 4 2558-2561 3 NTBs 1: 1 2551 5 2: 1 2552 3: 1 2553 /

(3) (Rules of Origin: ROO) (1)

3

11

2. ( ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services: AFAS)

/

(1) (Priority Integration Sectors: PIS)

(2) (Non-Priority Services Sector) (priority services sectors) 2558 (.. 2015)

7 7 26 2552 143 ( ) ( )

49 8 2553 2558 (.. 2015)

(3) 2558 (.. 2015)

12

2549 2550 2553 2556 2558

49 51 70

49 51 70

30 49 51 70

3. ( ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement: ACIA) / (ASEAN Investment Area: AIA) (ACIA)

4.

(1)

(2)

13

5.

ASEAN Business Card

6.

( ) (SMEs) (IAI)

14

2550 Sub-Prime WTO FTA AEC

AEC (Tangible Assets) (Factor driven growth) (Intangible Assets) (Creativity driven growth) / / (Core Competency)

15

AEC 4 SWOT Analysis

(Strength)

1.

2.

3.

4. (Strategic Location) "" (Economic Location)

5. (Institute of Management and Development :

4 , 5 (.. 2553-2557), 2552.

16

IMD) (World Economic Forum : WEF)

6. (Foreign Direct Investment: FDI) 2558 (Research and Development: R&D)

(Weakness)

1. 4 (Institute of Management and Development: IMD) (Business Efficiency) (Productivity) IMD 2 (Small and Medium Enterprises: SMEs) SMEs (Infrastructure)

17

(Education) (Technical Infrastructure) (Scientific Infrastructure) (Environment & Health) IMD (Productivity) (Research and Development: R&D)

2.

3.

4.

18

5. (Labor-intensive) (Demographic Dividend) 2553 (Labor-intensive) ( )

6.

7.

19

8. 5( (Forward Linkage) (Upstream) (Backward Linkage)

9. 50

10. WEF Logistics 25 GDP WEF Logistic Performance Index 2007 (World Bank) 31 150 1 6 8 25 27 30

5 .. (The Linkages of Agriculture to the Thai Economy)

20

11.

12. IMD WEF

13. 2549

(Opportunities)

1. AEC (ASEAN Economic Community : AEC)

21

AEC AEC AEC /

2. ASEAN (plus)

3. 20 50

4. 2050 9,000

22

5. Bio-technology Material Technology (Informational Technology) (Molecular Economy) 3 1) (Bio-technology) 2) Nano-technology 3) (Material Science) (Product Life Cycle) (Convergence of Technology) Nanotechnology (GMOs) (E-commerce)

(Threat)

1.

23

.. 2000 /

2. CO2 .. 1997 (Kyoto Protocol) (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Changes) 11 .. 1997

3.

24

(Portfolio Investment) (Foreign Direct Investment : FDI) (Emerging East Asia) 3 (Direct Investment) (Foreign Borrowing) (Portfolio Investment) Real Sector

4. 49 .. 2551 59,386 1,178,000 (Human Development Report 2007/2008) (United Nations Development Program: UNDP) (Renewable Energy) (Biomass)

25

5. ( ) Domino 2009 (A-H1N1)

SWOT

SO Strategies (Strengthen - Opportunity Strategies - )

WO Strategies (Weakness - Opportunity Strategies - )

ST Strategies (Strengthen - Threat Strategies - )

WT Strategies (Weakness - Threat Strategies - )

26

SO Strategies (Strengthen - Op-portunity Strategies - )

AEC

WO Strategies (Weakness - Op-portunity Strategies - )

R&D

Aging Society (Labor Intensive) (AEC)

BRIC

27

ST Strategies (Strengthen - Threat Strategies - )

(Labor Intensive)

WT Strategies (Weakness - Threat Strategies - )

:

1. (Creative Economy Policy)

. 11 2555

2. (Cluster of City Policy)

(...)

28

(Creative Economy)

3. (ASEAN Economic Community)

(1)

(2)

(3) /

(4)

29

4. (Agro-Based Resource Economy)

30

AEC (Economy of Scale) 520 (GDP) 10 700,000 AEC

AEC

1. 1 2545 5 2547 - 30.85% 14,451.2 19.21% 2 2540 1 - 2536

31

AFTA 0% (Non-Tariff Barriers: NTBs) NTBs 2547 GDP 5.9% 2-3

2. (FDI) 20% (BOI) - 2547 9,623 8,413 2,039 AEC

3. 23.62% 2543 26.33% 2546 13.29% 6.29% 22.65% (4.65%) (3.88%) (2.82%) (2.05%) (0.67%)

AEC

32

1.

2.

3.

4. AEC GDP 8-10

5. De Dios 10 6 7.5 2.2 AEC Blueprint GDP 2-12

6.

7.

8. ( MRA)

33

9. MRA

6

1. 49 1,000 5 1,000 4 1,000 AEC

2. 1,400 15,000 3,200 7 700

3. 170 1 39 1

AEC

6 "" 2553

34

1.

2. (Infrastructure) (Labor productivity) ASEAN

3.

4. (Domestic Market)

(Single Market and Production Base) 5

AFTA (ASEAN Free Trade Area) 2535 2553 6 0% Inclusive List 4 . 0% 2558

35

(Creativity & Innovation)

AFTA (NTBs) AFTA AFTA

(Hospitality) () Medical Care () Health Care () Aging Care () Beauty Care ()

2558

( )

36

ASEAN+3 ASEAN+6 IT

2558 AEC AEC

AEC

37

.

:

38

.

:

39

AEC

1.

2.

3.

4.

5. (Production Network) Economy of Scale

6.

7.

1.

2.

3.

4. CLMV AEC Least Developed Countries (LDCs)

40

5.

6. /

7. / FTA

1.

2.

3.

4.

5.

6. / SWOT 9 +3 ( ) +6 ( )

AEC

41

1. Blueprint

2. (Safeguard Mechanism) AEC Blueprint (Safeguard (SG) Measure Act) .. 2550

3. (Adjustment Fund)

4. AEC (.) AEC 47

5. /

(1)

(2) /

(3)

(4) AD CVD Safeguards

42

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8) (SMEs)

6. / AEC

7. AEC Blueprint

43

AEC Blueprint 25492550255325562558 49 51 70 49 51 70 30 49 51 70