1. The Future of the Intenet How will I affect my life? Imad M Tarabay Chairman & CEO Fiberlink networks [email_address] Cisco Expo 2001 July 10 th 2001 Phoenicia Hotel Beirut / Lebanon
2. Objective of My Presentation
Bring awareness to the value of internet
Bring awareness to the impacts internet may have on our lives 5 years ahead
Where are we in Lebanon today?
3. Misleading quotes
"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."
Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.
4. Misleading quotes
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
Ken Olson, President, Chairman & Founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
5. Misleading quotes
32 bits should be enough address space for Internet
Vint Cerf, 1977
6. Misleading quotes
" 640K ought to be enough
for anybody ."
Bill Gates, 1981
It is estimated that the Internet doubles in size every 11months and the World Wide Web doubles every 53 days.
Internet Today FACTS
8. The Internet Today (November 1998)!
7 new users every second are added
Doubling in data transmission every 100 days
Doubling in data storage usage every 8 months
10,000 domain names are being registered daily
Over 50 million people use the internet every week
9. Statistics from IITF Report The emerging digital economy *
To get to market of 50,000,000 people
- Radio took 38 years
- TV took 13 years
- Internet made it in 4 years (once
opened to public)
Delivered to the President and US Public on April 15 th 1999 by B. Daley, Sec. Of Commerce of the Information Infrastructure Task Force.
50 Million Users
407 Million Users
(NUA Nov 2000 )
Internet Global Statistics 22.5 Million Hosts (Bellcore June 1997) 115 Million Hosts (NW/TC Jan 2001)
11. Worldwide Internet Users Nov 2000
CAN/US 167.12M 41%
Europe 113.14M 28%
Asia/Pac 104.88M 26%
Latin Am 16.45M 4%
Africa 3.11M 0.8%
Mid-East 2.4 M 0.6%
Total - 407.1 M
12. Internet User Trends Source: Nua Internet Surveys + vgc projections
13. 2005 & beyond NGI
14. based on the Internet explosion needs: Boost Infrastructure Larger bandwidth (thirsty applications) Robust infrastructure (no last mile congestion. That moved to server level IP to every appliance (but IPs are scarce 27% left > IP v6) The big picture: Power of the mouse
Approximately 70 units are left = 27 %
Here one unit means 1/256 of the total IPv4 address space size, i.e. /8 (=equivalent size of Class A)