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7/23/2019 Thu Nhap Va Chi Tieu
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Kinh tVm
Thu nhpv Chi tiu
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Nhli3 phng php tnh GDP
2
Snxut
Thu nhpChi tiu
2
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Schu chuynkinh tvm
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Schu chuynv cc ngnhtthcquan trng Y = C + I + G + XM [1] YT = C + Sp => Y = C + Sp + T [2]
Sp = Titkimcakhu vctnhn Sg = TG = Titkimcakhu vcchnh ph
Sf = MX = Titkimcakhu vcncngoi = Dng vnvo [1]&[2] suy ra:
I + G + X = Sp + T + M [3]
(SpI) + (TG) = (XM) [4]I = Sp + Sg + Sf = Sn + Sf = S [5] nghatngng nhtthc?
V d[5]: Chi tiu ut= Titkimqucgia + Dng vnvo
trong mtnnkinh tm 4
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Tngcuv tngKeynes
Cc thnh phnchyucatngcuhay tngchi tiu(AD hay AE) l g? [Phn bitgiannkinh tngvnnkinh tm]
tngpha cucaKeynes v cuciKhnghong1929-1933
5
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Bi hchm nay:
Nnkinh tng (khng c khu vcchnh ph)AE = C + I
Hm tiu dng (C)
Thu nhpkhdngtc ngchi tiu tiu dngThu nhptnglai kvngv cacitc ngnchi tiu tiu dng
Cc nhn txc nhchi tiu ut(I)
Phn bitutdkinv uttnkho ngoi dkin
iuchnhtnkho - nnkinh tttrngthi cn bngmisau mtc sccu
Tisao chi tiu utcxem l chbo quan trngcatnh trngtnglai cannkinh t
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Chi tiu tiu dng (Consumer Spending)
Hm tiu dng (consumption function)
chi tiu tiu dng cahgia nhthay itheo thu nhpkhdnghinhnh.
C = C(Y-T)
C = a + MPC(Y-T)
a: tiu dng tnh
MPC: khuynh hng tiu dng bin
V d: C = 100 + 0,8 (Y-T)
MPC (marginal propensity toconsume): tiu dng tngthm khi thu nhpkhdngtngthm 1 nv.
MPS (marginal propensity to
save): Khuynh hngtitkimbin.
MPC + MPS = 1
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Hm tiu dng (The Consumption Function)
MPC =C/(Y-T)
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Thu nhpkhdng(Disposable Income) v chitiu tiu dng cangiM, 2003
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Dchchuyncahm tiu dng
Hm tngtiu dng dchchuynplisthay icathunhptnglai kvngv caci.
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Chi tiu ut(Investment Spending)Chi tiu utdkin(Planned investment spending)l chi
tiu utm cc doanh nghipln khochthchintrong sutmtthikcho trcno .
Cc thnh phncau tI?
I Phthucnghchbinvi:
Li sut (interest rate), v
Nnglcsnxuthinhu(existing production capacity)
V phthucngbinvi:
GDP thctnglai kvng(expected future real GDP).Theo nguyn tcgia tc(accelerator principle), mttltngtrngGDP thccao hnko theo chi tiu utdkincao hn.
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Binngcachi tiu utv tiu dng
I binng lnso viC qua 5 t suy gim
kinh t Hoa K
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Tnkho v chi tiu utngoi dkin
Tnkho (Inventories) trlnghng ha gilithamndoanh sbn tnglai.
uttnkho (Inventory investment) l gi trthay icatnglngtnkho cgilicannkinh tsutmtthikchotrc.
uttnkho ngoi dkin(Unplanned inventoryinvestment) xyra khi doanh sbn thctnhiuhnhay t hnnhngg doanh nghipkvng, dnnthay itnkho ngoi dkin.
Chi tiu utthct(Actual investment spending) l tngcachi tiu utdkinv chi tiu utngoi dkin.
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ngsau sdchchuyncangtngcu:M hnh Thu nhpChi tiu
Cc ginhnditintrnh snhn:1. Mcgi chung cnh.
2. Li sutcnh.
3. Thu, chuynnhng, chi mua cachnh phul zero.4. Khng c ngoithng.
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Tngchi tiu dkinv GDP
GDP = C + IYD = GDP
C = A + MPC YD
AEPlanned= C + IPlannedTngchi tiu dkin(Planned aggregate spending) ltngchi tiu chochnhcannkinh t.
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Tngchi tiu dkinv GDP
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Cn bngThu nhpChi tiu
Nnkinh t trngthi cn bngThu nhpChi tiu (income
expenditure equilibrium) khi GDP bngvitngchi tiu dkin(planned aggregate spending).
GDP cn bngThu nhpChi tiu) Incomeexpenditureequilibrium GDP l mcGDP m tiGDP bngvitngchi tiu
dkin(aggregate spending).
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Cn bngThu nhpChi tiu
Khi tngchi tiu dkin>Y*, uttnkho ngoi dkinm; c
mtsstgimngoi dnh(unanticipated reduction)trongtnkho v doanh nghiptngsnxut.
Khi tngchi tiu dkin
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Cn bngThu nhpChi tiu
imcho Keynes (Keynesiancross ) l sxc nhcn bngthu nhpchi tiu nhl imm ngtngchi tiu dkinctng45 .
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Tintrnh snhn v iuchnhtnkho
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Tintrnh snhn v iuchnhtnkho
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Nghchl catitkim(The Paradox of Thrift)Nghchl titkim(Paradox of Thrift), hgia nhv nh sn
xutctgimchi tiu do dkinvthikkinh tkh khntrongtnglai.
Hnh ngny lm trmtrngthm nnkinh t, lm cho hgianhv nh snxutcng tithn.
N cgil nghchl (a paradox) biv nhngg thngltt(titkimcung cpchnh gia nhbntrong lc kh khn) th lil
xu (v n lm cho mingithn)
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ngdng1
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ngdng2
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ngdng3
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