Thu Nhap Va Chi Tieu

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    Kinh tVm

    Thu nhpv Chi tiu

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    Nhli3 phng php tnh GDP

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    Snxut

    Thu nhpChi tiu

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    Schu chuynkinh tvm

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    Schu chuynv cc ngnhtthcquan trng Y = C + I + G + XM [1] YT = C + Sp => Y = C + Sp + T [2]

    Sp = Titkimcakhu vctnhn Sg = TG = Titkimcakhu vcchnh ph

    Sf = MX = Titkimcakhu vcncngoi = Dng vnvo [1]&[2] suy ra:

    I + G + X = Sp + T + M [3]

    (SpI) + (TG) = (XM) [4]I = Sp + Sg + Sf = Sn + Sf = S [5] nghatngng nhtthc?

    V d[5]: Chi tiu ut= Titkimqucgia + Dng vnvo

    trong mtnnkinh tm 4

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    Tngcuv tngKeynes

    Cc thnh phnchyucatngcuhay tngchi tiu(AD hay AE) l g? [Phn bitgiannkinh tngvnnkinh tm]

    tngpha cucaKeynes v cuciKhnghong1929-1933

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    Bi hchm nay:

    Nnkinh tng (khng c khu vcchnh ph)AE = C + I

    Hm tiu dng (C)

    Thu nhpkhdngtc ngchi tiu tiu dngThu nhptnglai kvngv cacitc ngnchi tiu tiu dng

    Cc nhn txc nhchi tiu ut(I)

    Phn bitutdkinv uttnkho ngoi dkin

    iuchnhtnkho - nnkinh tttrngthi cn bngmisau mtc sccu

    Tisao chi tiu utcxem l chbo quan trngcatnh trngtnglai cannkinh t

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    Chi tiu tiu dng (Consumer Spending)

    Hm tiu dng (consumption function)

    chi tiu tiu dng cahgia nhthay itheo thu nhpkhdnghinhnh.

    C = C(Y-T)

    C = a + MPC(Y-T)

    a: tiu dng tnh

    MPC: khuynh hng tiu dng bin

    V d: C = 100 + 0,8 (Y-T)

    MPC (marginal propensity toconsume): tiu dng tngthm khi thu nhpkhdngtngthm 1 nv.

    MPS (marginal propensity to

    save): Khuynh hngtitkimbin.

    MPC + MPS = 1

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    Hm tiu dng (The Consumption Function)

    MPC =C/(Y-T)

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    Thu nhpkhdng(Disposable Income) v chitiu tiu dng cangiM, 2003

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    Dchchuyncahm tiu dng

    Hm tngtiu dng dchchuynplisthay icathunhptnglai kvngv caci.

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    Chi tiu ut(Investment Spending)Chi tiu utdkin(Planned investment spending)l chi

    tiu utm cc doanh nghipln khochthchintrong sutmtthikcho trcno .

    Cc thnh phncau tI?

    I Phthucnghchbinvi:

    Li sut (interest rate), v

    Nnglcsnxuthinhu(existing production capacity)

    V phthucngbinvi:

    GDP thctnglai kvng(expected future real GDP).Theo nguyn tcgia tc(accelerator principle), mttltngtrngGDP thccao hnko theo chi tiu utdkincao hn.

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    Binngcachi tiu utv tiu dng

    I binng lnso viC qua 5 t suy gim

    kinh t Hoa K

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    Tnkho v chi tiu utngoi dkin

    Tnkho (Inventories) trlnghng ha gilithamndoanh sbn tnglai.

    uttnkho (Inventory investment) l gi trthay icatnglngtnkho cgilicannkinh tsutmtthikchotrc.

    uttnkho ngoi dkin(Unplanned inventoryinvestment) xyra khi doanh sbn thctnhiuhnhay t hnnhngg doanh nghipkvng, dnnthay itnkho ngoi dkin.

    Chi tiu utthct(Actual investment spending) l tngcachi tiu utdkinv chi tiu utngoi dkin.

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    ngsau sdchchuyncangtngcu:M hnh Thu nhpChi tiu

    Cc ginhnditintrnh snhn:1. Mcgi chung cnh.

    2. Li sutcnh.

    3. Thu, chuynnhng, chi mua cachnh phul zero.4. Khng c ngoithng.

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    Tngchi tiu dkinv GDP

    GDP = C + IYD = GDP

    C = A + MPC YD

    AEPlanned= C + IPlannedTngchi tiu dkin(Planned aggregate spending) ltngchi tiu chochnhcannkinh t.

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    Tngchi tiu dkinv GDP

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    Cn bngThu nhpChi tiu

    Nnkinh t trngthi cn bngThu nhpChi tiu (income

    expenditure equilibrium) khi GDP bngvitngchi tiu dkin(planned aggregate spending).

    GDP cn bngThu nhpChi tiu) Incomeexpenditureequilibrium GDP l mcGDP m tiGDP bngvitngchi tiu

    dkin(aggregate spending).

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    Cn bngThu nhpChi tiu

    Khi tngchi tiu dkin>Y*, uttnkho ngoi dkinm; c

    mtsstgimngoi dnh(unanticipated reduction)trongtnkho v doanh nghiptngsnxut.

    Khi tngchi tiu dkin

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    Cn bngThu nhpChi tiu

    imcho Keynes (Keynesiancross ) l sxc nhcn bngthu nhpchi tiu nhl imm ngtngchi tiu dkinctng45 .

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    Tintrnh snhn v iuchnhtnkho

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    Tintrnh snhn v iuchnhtnkho

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    Nghchl catitkim(The Paradox of Thrift)Nghchl titkim(Paradox of Thrift), hgia nhv nh sn

    xutctgimchi tiu do dkinvthikkinh tkh khntrongtnglai.

    Hnh ngny lm trmtrngthm nnkinh t, lm cho hgianhv nh snxutcng tithn.

    N cgil nghchl (a paradox) biv nhngg thngltt(titkimcung cpchnh gia nhbntrong lc kh khn) th lil

    xu (v n lm cho mingithn)

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    ngdng1

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    ngdng2

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    ngdng3

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