TOBap~ roPBA~ M.C.

K aHa~sy waKTa npHe38a B CCCP BH8HgX aMepHKaHCKHX nO~TM­

qeC~X 8eRTe~e~ (KHCCHH8!ep, BSHC, KHpKn8TpHK, BpaYH H 8p.)

r~aBHaH ~e~b npHesAa rpynrrs - B MeHbmeA Mepe 8HanH3 COC­

TOHHHH Te~X ~e~ B c~pe COBeTCKO-aMepHKaHCKHX OTHOmeHHA.

CTpaTerHqeCKaH OCHOBa - ¢oPMHpOBaHHe "H3 nepBOHCTOqRHKa" B3r~a

Ha nepCneKTHBU paSBHTHH Hame~ CTp8HH C yqeToM BepOffTHOCTH H36pa­

HHH B CmA B 1988 ro~ npe3H~eHTa, npe~CT8BRRD~erO c~e~~ee nOKO­

~eHHe npaB~e~ SRHT~ CiliA. OTcD8a - HsyqeHHe B03M~HOCTM ROB oro

C08epzaHHR H ~oPM oTHomeHHA C COBeTcKHM CaD30M.

K cepe~He 1980-x rOAoB CT~ OqeBHAeH rpy6H~ npOCqeT aMe­

pHKaHCKOa cOBeTO~OrHH, Bcex ee HanpaB~eHH~. ITepe~ H8~anOM TeKY­

~ero AeCHTHReTHH rocno~CTBOBaRH ABa "cueHapHH" rpff8Ymero pas­

BHTHH CCCP.

ITo nepBOMY - COBeTCKaH SKOHOMHKa no~o~T K rpaHH ~8BHHO­

06paSHoro KpHSHca, KOTO~~ npHBe~eT K OTKpHTOMY B~aEeHHD CO­

~aHbHoro HeAoBoRbCTB8 (npHwepHO, no "nOHbCKOMY BapM8HTy").

OTK~He Wa3H TaKoro KpHsMca nporH03HpOB8RHCb CTOpOHHKKaMM

STOM KOHUengHM Ha 1983-1984 ro~. MMeHHo Ha STHX 0QeHKaX OCHO­

BHBa~aCb, B ~aCTHOCTH, nOnHTHKa a~HHHCTpa~H Pe~raHa cpasy

xe noc~e ee npHxo~a K B~aCTH B RHBape 1981 ro~a.

ITo BTOpOUY - KpH3HC B COBeTCKOM 06~eCTBe He npHMeT OTKpH­

THe ¢OPMU, no Kpa~eM Mepe, B Te~eM ~eCHTH~8THH, - Bc~eACTBHe

BHCORoro ypOBHH TepITMMOCTH HaCeneHMH, HCTOpHqeCRHX Tpa~~~,

MO~Horo annapaTa KOHTPO~. O~aKO 3KOHOMMKa COB8TCKoro CO~3a

2.

6y~eT paSBMBaTbCR C 3aMe~eHHeM, a rnaBHoe, 6y~eT HapaCTaTb

3KOHOMMQeCROe, Ha~O-TeXHH~eCKoe H COQMa~bHoe OTCTaBaHHe

eeep He TonbRO OT 3ana~a, HO Ta~e H OT COUHaRHCT~~eCKHX

CTpaH BOCTO~O~ EBpOnH, a B ~anbHe~eM - H KHTaR. B pesynb­

TaTe eeep r~e-TO sa npe~enaMH 1993-1995 rO~OB YTpaTHT MaTe­

pHanb~e nepcneRTHB~ paSBHTHR B Ka~eCTBe MHPOBO~ ~e~aBH H

MopanbHo-nO~THqeCKH~ aBTopHTeT, eGep nepecTaHeT npe~cTaB~b

HS ce6R BoeHHYID, nORHTHqecRYID H co~anbHYD yrposy ~ 3ana~a.

ITo c~eCTBY, HaqHHafl C 1975 ro~a, nocne no~~caHHR Xenb­

CHHRCKoro aRTa, Bce BapHaHT~ ~onrOBpeMeHHO~ CTpaTerHH ellA - KaK

COCTaBnRID~He co~e~aHHe O~QManbHOro ~pca a~HHCTpa~~, TaK H

B~HraBIDHeCR B KaqeCTBe anbTepHaTHB eTOMY K,Ypcy, - HCXOAMnH HS

noc~nKH HHCXOAffmero co~anbHO-3KOHOMH~eCKOro paSBHTHR eeGP Ha

~TenbBYD nepcneKTHBY.

B ~aHHOM c~ae TaKO~ no~o~ - He npOCTO KR8CCOBOe HenpHS­

HaHHe sa KOMMYHHSMOM 6y~ero. He RBnHIDTCR TaKHe npeAcTaBneHHfl

H O,LUrnWI TOJIbKO "AeJKYPHhIMH" ynp8%HeHHRMH nponaraH,IJ;H. ~aKTH'4eCKHe

o~eH~ 6aSHpOBanHCb Ha ~aHH&X np.y, MHHHcTepcTBa TOprOBRH, aKa~e­

MHqeCKHX H ~HaHcoBO-rrpOMHmneHHHX Hccne~OBaTenbCKHX ~eHTpOB,nO~­

KpennReMHe HH~opMa~e~ OT npHesxaro~x HS eeep H cTpaH BOCTOqHO~

EBporm 3MHrpaHTOB.

o nocne~HeM MCTO~Ke He06xo~MO CKaSaTb oc060.

Kor~a B Haqane 1970-x rO~OB HS Hame~ cTpaHH nomna 3Ha~Tenb­

HaR Bo~a 3MMrpa~H H BHeX8BmMe ~aBaRM BeCbMa HeraTMBHYID xapaKTe­

pXCTHKY BHYTpeHHHM npo~eccaM B eeG?, TaKaH HH~opMa~H Ha nepBHX

nopax BOCnpMHMMBE8Cb B GllA co 3Ha~Te~bHHMH orOBopKBMH, ~aEe C

He~OBepMeM. OT 3MMrpah~oB, c06CTBeHHO, HHqerO, KpOMe oTpM~aTe~b­

Horo MHeHMR 060 BceM cOBeTcKoM, H He ~anH.

3.

Ho Ror~a R KO~Y rrpomnoro AeCflT~neT~fl ~ Ha py6e~e 70-x H

80-x rOAOB O~~ManhHafl CTaT~CT~Ka eccp, HamH ny6naqH~e o~eHR~

cranK, Ha aMepHKaHCKHH B3rnE~, nO~TBepx~aTh HH~OPM~HID SMHrpaH­

TOB, TO nocne~eH 3a~KM ~HcnOM 6~no rrpH~aao oco6oe 3Ha~eH~e. ilpo­

M30illno KaK 6~ B3aKMOyCHneHHe Tpa~~HOHHoro HeraTHSHoro rrpe~CTaBne­

HaR 0 Hame~ cTpaHe H TeKy~ onepaTHBHHX ~aHHgx. PesynhTaToM ~

cranK o~eHK~ BOSMO~OCTe~ HailleH CTPaH~ Ha nepcneKT~BY ~o XXI seRa.

TIOSTOMY nOBopOT B paSBHTHH COBeTCKoro 06meCTBa nocne anpenh­

CEoro (1985 r.) ITneHyMa UK npoHsBen s~eKT mOKa H8 aMepHKaHCKyp

nonHTH~eCKyID snHTy.

e06~THfl B eccp rrpe~enhHO B~CBeTHnH cTpaTerKqeCKHe npOMaXH

aMepHKaHCKO~ coseTonorHH H nonHTHKH, nOCKonhKY B TeopeT~eCKKX

peKOMeHA~HflX nocne~ero ~eCRTHneTHR Boo6~e He paCCMaTpHBanaCb

~e KaK ranOTesa, Rax a6CTp8KTH8R B03MO~HOCTh HSMeHeHH~ B eccp.

MMeHao B STOM KOHTeKcTe H cne~eT paCCMaTpHBaTh npa3Be~Ba­

TenbHyD" nOnHTKqecKyID MHCC~ yKasaHHoM rpynnH H3 npe~CTaBHTeneH

B~cmero smenOHa nonHTH~eCKOH snHTN. B 06c~~eHKffX, KOTop~e OHH

BenH Me~~ C060H nocne 6ece~ B MocRBe, B~RBKRHCb cne~~He OC­

HOBHue HanpaSneHHR.

I. HBnfleTcfl na rrpoHcx0AHmee B eee? nB3pHBOM HAeanH3Ma" HnM

~e GTO npogyMaHHaR H OC03HaHHafl nonHTHKa? Oco6oe SHKMaHHe ~neHa­

MH rpynnH y~enRnoCh BHflBneHHID Toro, HacKORhKO rny6oKo BH~T B

CCCP B3aMMOCBR3H Me~~ SKOHOMKqeCKKMK, CO~HanbHUMH H HHHMH ac­

neKTaMH npOBo~oro Kypca, KaK O~eHHBaDT CY~OCTb npo6neM K

nepcneKTHBH pa3BHTHR "Ha cT~Kaxn CO~HanbHoro H SKOHOM~eCKoro,

co~~anbHoro H nonHTH~eCKoro, SKOHOMwqeCKoro H BoeHHoro H T.n.

YCnHillaHHOe B MocRBe rrpHBeno ax K B~BO~ 0 TOM, qTO nonHTHKa

nepeCTpOMRH onHpaeTCR Ha npO~MaHHYro KOH~err~MID. fnaEHoe npOTHBO­

4.

P8~H8 pa3B~THR COB8TCKOrO OO~eCTBa OH~ BOCnpHHHM~T RaK "KOH­

~HKT Me~~ TpeOOBaH~RMH SKOHOM~eCROH S~eKTHBHOCT~ ~ 3anpOCaM~

CO~HanhHOH C~epH". Y~acTHHKH rpynn~ OTMeqa~H, qTO, cy~ no npo­

m8,DJIIl1M oece,n,aM, B CCCP BM~T H nOHHMaJOT STO npOTHBOpeqI-le CllHTep­

COH, BSHC, K~KTIaTpHK, ~OHC, KHCCHH~ep). CH~eHHe OCTPO~ STO­

ro npOTI-IBOpeqaH H3MeHHT OO~HR CTpaH~, nOBHCHT ee COQHanhH~~

npeCTmK.

2. HacKo~hKO pea~hH~ n~aHH cOBeTCKoro pyKoBoAcTBa? TO~hKO

O,n,HH H3 yqaCTHHRoB rpynnH - XaHReHA, - o~eHHB~ 3TH n~aHH RaK

"Hepea~bHHe". B TO ~e BpeMR B peaKqHH SToro npo~eCCHOH~bHoro

COBeTo~ora (~HoepanhHoro, no &~epHKaHCKKM KpHTepHflM) OTqeT~HBO

npOCMaTPHBa~OCb CH~bHoe pa3~~eHHe TeM, QTO nporH03H COBeTo~orHH

OKa3anHCb HanpOqb OrrpOKKHyTHMH. OH CaM yqaCTBOBa~ B COCTaB~eHHH

3TIDe rrporH030B.

OCTa~hH@e o~eHHBa~H n~aHH CO~HanbHO-SKOHOMH~eCKoropa3BHTHR

CCCP C pa3HOH ,n,o~e~ ODTHMH3Ma. HH O,ll,HH H3 HIDe He npH3Han B03MO~­

HOCTH nO~HOH ocy~ecTBHMOCTH TaKHX n~aHOB. B TO ~e BpeMR B OOmHX

OQeHKax npOH30me~ C,ll,BHr B CTOpOHy OO~bmero OnTKMH3Ma, OO~bmeH

CK~OHHOCTH BepHTb B ycnex HamIDe HaqHHaHHH. Oco6eHHO saMeTHa

TaEaR peaKQHR 6~~a y BSHca H TIHTepcoHa.

3. Xopomo H~H n~oxo ~R CiliA, eC~H CCCP oYAeT pa3BHBaTbcR

no Bocxo8Eme~? TO~bKO XaM~eH,n, B~CKa3~Ba~CR B TOM CMHcne, ~TO yK­

pen~eHHe COBeTCKoro COID3a Mo~eT 6~Tb conp~eHO C HapaCTaHHeM npo­

oneM ~R CllA, r~aBHHM 06pasOM C TOqKH 3peHHR BHemHeH nO~HTHKH,

B3aHMOOTHomeHHM C 3ana,n,HOH EBponoM. OCT~bHHe CqHTaroT, qTO pa3BH­

BaID~HMCR CCCP B OO~bmeM cTeneHH OTBe~aeT HHTepecaM 6e30naCHOCTH

CiliA, ~eM nepcneKTHBa KaKrrx-~H60 nOTpRceHHM B HameM cTpaHe. (~OHC

npRMO 3a.fiB I-m : "lKe,lIaeM ycnexa fl) •

5.

HeKOTopHe Y'QaCTH~K~ rpynn~ BHP~an~ OSa60qeHHOCTb no rrOBO~

Toro, 'QTO KOrrn;eHTpa.IJ;IDr ,lJ,Byx cTpaH' Ha COnepHW'tieCTBO .n;pyr C ,npyroM

np~Be,lJ,eT K ~ BSaHMHoMy oCRa6neHHID, a O~OBpeMeHHO TeM CaMHM - K

OTHOCHTenbAOMY YCl1neHHID TpeTbKX CTpaH, npe~,IJ,e Bcero HnOHHR. B 3ToM

CBflSH KHPKnaTp~K w HeKOTop~e ~yrHe B~CKSHBanHCb, HCXO~ I1S BHyT­

peHHMX KHTepeCOB CCCP H ernA, B nORbsy cOKpa~eH~R BoeHHHX pacxO,lJ,OB.

4. B KaKO~ Mepe HOBoe nORHTaqeCKOe M@mReHHe cTaRO qaCTbID

BHemHe~ nonHTHKW caMoro COBeTCKoro COIDsa? ~HanaSOH o~eHOK onpe,lJ,e­

RHRCR cneAYID~HM 06paSOM. Ha O~OM nORIDce 6~Ra KHpKDaTpHK, KOTopaR

c'QHTaeT, qTO pe'tib H,IJ,eT nHmb 0 RHqHOM cTHRe M.C.rop6a~eBa. ITo ee

o~eHKe, OHa "He O~H~Ra, qTO B CCCP Mo~eT 6HTb CTORb OTKp~TH~ H

,lJ,eMOKpaTHtreCRH HaCTpoeHH~M RH,IJ,ep". qTO ~e KacaeTCR co~ep~aHHR

BHemHe~ nORHTHKH cecp, TO 3~eCb, no ee cnOBa~, "npHCyTCTBYDT RRmb

OT~eRbH~e HOBHe B~~eHHR Ha CTapOM ~OHe".

~yroH BHYTpHrpynnoBo~ nORDC npe~CT8BnRn BSHC. no ero MHeHHO,

B CO,lJ,ep~He BHemHe~ nORMTHKH eGCP ~e BHeceHO MHoro HOBoro, npH­

qeM oc06eHHo BaxHO, 'QTO npHHqHrrHaRbH~e 3ReMeHT~ 3Toro HOBoro Ta­

KMe, HanpHMep, RaR KOHQen~HR BSaHMOSaBI1CaMOrO Mapa, saKpenneHH B

pemeHHRX XXYil c~es~. H~bSg He BH~eTb H Toro, OTMeqaR OH, qTO

~e~CTBHg COBeTcKoro PYKOBO~CTBa corRacyroTCR C 3TRMH 06~HMW npHH­

qHnaMH, pe'tib H~eT He TORbRO 0 nponaraH,IJ,e.

B ~eHTpe ~CKyCCHH 0 AOBOM M~ReHHH Me~,IJ,y y'tiaCTHHKaMH rpynn~

OK8S8RaCb TeMa ~raHHCTaHa.

CTopOHHmm TOM TOtrlm speHMR, trTO "HoBoe MbJIIlReHHe - RmIIb CRO­

Ba", npH,IJ,ep~HBaRHCb nos~HH, trTO "CillA HesatreM nOMoraTb CCCP B~­

6paTbCR HS AqJrarmCTaHa". B KpaillieM CJIytrae 6bJR O~ BOSMOlKeH "HetfTPa­

JIHTeT" CillA no OTHorneHHID K nOJIHTWqeCKoMY yperymrpoBaHmJ B AmraHI1C­

TaHe "B OOMeH Ha cOKpa~eHHe BCgqeCKoi1 nOMoU\M CCCP, BKJIlO'QaR 3KOHO­

MMqeCKYIO, HMKaparya l! (Xai1JIeH~).

6.

B3HC, TapHOB, CBHHr BHCKa3HBanHCb B TOM nRaHe, qTO CiliA He

~3BAeKaIDT ceMqac HMKaKOM peaRbHOH BHro~ H3 BO~HH B ~raH~CTaHe,

HO Bce oORee O~TKMO pHCKyIDT TaM pa3BanOM ITaKHCTaHa H B03MO~­

HOCTbro aMep~KaHO-HH~~CKon KOH~POHTaqM~. Yq~T~BaR 3TO, CillA, no

KX MHeHHD, CRe~OBaRO O~ He MemaTb nORHTKqeCKOMY yperYRHpOBaHHD

B ~raHMCTaHe, eCAM CCCP HaM~eT ~OPMYRY TaKoro yperynHPoBaHMR.

5. a rrpe8ilpHRTHRX C COBMeCTH@M Ran~TaROM. K 3TO~ ROHqerrqMH

OHR rrpoRBneH oonbmon HHTepec M C npaKTMqeCKOM CITHTepcoH), H C

H~eonor~ecKoM CKHcc~H~ep) TOqeK 3peHMR. fnaBHHH BOnpOC, KOTOpHM

nOKa OCTaeTCR, no MHeHMID aMep~KaH~eB, oe3 OTBeTa H c~ep~HBaeT

npaRTaqeCKOe ocy~ecTBneHHe TaKMX npoeKTOB: KaR oy~eT pa3pemaTbCR

npOTHBope~Me Me~~ H~eAeHHocTbro 3anaAH~ KaMnaHMM Ha M3BneqeHMe

npHOHnH, Ha cyryoo ~enOBHe KpHTePHH H HeOOXO~MOCTbro nO~HHRTbCR

TpeOOBaHHRM COBeTcKoro co~~anbHoro 3aKOHo~aTenbCTBa. TpeoyroT

pa30RCHeHHM H Bce npaKTHqeCKHe Bonpoc~, rrpe~~e Bcero CBR3aHH~e

C ~OAe~ CMemaHHoro npe~MRTHR Ha BHyTpeHHeM pHHKe CCCP H C no­

PR~KOM BHB03a npHoHneH.

6. B qeM 3aKflIDqaeTCR cero8Hfl crnepa OOSHX HHTepecoB CCCP

H CillA? Bce y~acTHHKH rpynrr~ OHRH e~HH B TOM,qTO npHH~KDHanb­

HaR c~pa OO~KX HHTepecoB -3TO rrpe~oTBpa~eHHe R~epHoH BOMHH,

C03~aHHe H yKperrneHHe rapaHTHM rrpOT~B ee B03HHKHOBeHHfl.

KaK c~epa pacTy~HX oo~ax HHTepecoB paccMaTpHBanacb yqaCTHHKa­

MH rpynnH H 3aHHTepeCOBaHHOCTb ~BYX cTpaH B cOKpa~eHHH BoeHHHX pac­

XO~OB. ITHTepcoH nO~qepKHBan, qTO 3a nocne~He 2-3 ro~ B ~enOB~

Kpyrax CiliA cnO~HnaCb cepbe3HaR 03aOOQeHHOCTb rrocne~CTBHRMH pOCTa

BoeHH~ paCXO~OB H CBR3aHHoro C HHMH ~e~~HTa rocy~apcTBeHHoro

7.

6D~eTa ellA. CTpax nepe~ ~~KqHTOM B ~e~OBHX Kpyrax OtfeHh 60~hmo~,

OTMetf~ OH, - TeM 60~ee, trTO ere B03~e~CTBHe MoxeT CR83aThCfl

6yKBaJIhHO Ha BceM: BHyTpeHHe~ 1lrn3HH CllIA,HX n03~Mmc B OTHOmeHIDiX

C COlO3HHRaMR, C "TpeThHM MHPQM" H T.,IJ;.

B pe3Y~hTaTe 6ece,n; B MOCRBe rroKo~e6~eHa Bepa B ~elO "M:3MOTaTh

CCCP rOHRO~ BOOPYJKeIm~". YtraCTHHKH rpynITH OTMetIBJIH, trTO rrepe,n.

JI~OM TaKoro CCCP, KaRO~ BhIpHCOBhIB8.eTCfl Ha rrepcrreKTHBy, CillA He

CMOryT ce6e n03BO~HTh qpesMepHHX BoeHHRX pacxo,n.oB (ilHTepcoH, TapHoB,

~OHC, BsHC) , HHat:re HSMOTaIOT CaMHX ce6fl.

B TO ~e BpeMfl HHHX cwep o6max HHTepecoB CCCP H CllA yqacTHHKH

rpynnbI rro c~eCTBY He BH,gHT. BechMa HaCTOpOJKeHHO BOCrrpmrnMaeTCR

~eR rrOJIHoro yHMtITOMeHHfl ~epHHX Boop~eHH~. DPOTHB 3TO~ HAeM TpH

rpynrrbI apryMeHTOB:

- y6e!\,Il;eHHe, tfTO TO~hKO MepHoe 0pyDie COxpaHMO MMp B MHHyB­

IIIHe COpoK ~eT, cnoc06Ho COxpaHRTh ero Bnpe,IJ;h;

- orraceHHe, ~o rrpH ~HKB~aqKH ~epHHX BoopyxeHH~ CCCP nO~T

rro,n.aBn~ee rrpeBOCXO,IJ;CTBO B o6~ BoopyxeHHRX;

- eCJIH MbIllineHHe B "~epHbIX" paMKax pasBHTO ,n.ocTaTo~o BbICOKO,

TO ~HKB~aqHR ~epHoro 0P~R B03Bp~aeT BHeillHerrO~TKqeCKOe COSHaHHe

CllA K ypoBHD H rrOHHTHHM 40-50-x rO~OB.

OrraceHHfl rrepcrreKTHBbI yHMtrTO~eHHR ~ep~ Boop~eHH~ HaCTO~bKO

BhlCOKH, trTO, no OTSbIBaM HeKOTOpHX ttJIeHOB rpyn.mr (Mcc~ep, BpayH) ,

CTOpom-rnKi'i KOHTPO~H H8.,ll, BoopyJCeHHHMH B CITIA cetftrac "nonpHTIDCJm" ,

CTpamaCh KaK COBeTCKoro npeBOCXO,IJ;CTBa B 06HtrHHX Boop~eHKRX, TaK H

B03MO~OCTH HeBH,n.aHHO~ rOHKH Boop~eHH~ B 3TO~ c~epe Ha OCHOBe HOBbIX

TeXHo~orH~.

BHBo~ vqaCTHHKOB rpynITbI: gnepHHe Boopy!eHHR HaA0 3Ha~TeJIhHO

COKp~aTh Ha cTa6HnH3Hp~e~ OCHOBe, HO He JIMKBH8HpoBaTh rrOAHOCThD.

8.

7. TIepcoeRTKBH cOBeTCKO-aMepHKaHCKHX oTHomeHH~, oc06eHHO Ha

6~~ee BpeMR. OTO r~aBHoe, ~TO Hccne~OB~OCb K 06c~anocb.

3~ecb yqacTHHR~ rpynnH 6HnH BHCKaSaHH ~Be TOqRH speHHR, cTporo

rOBopR, He rrpoTHBOpeq~e ~pyr ~pyry.

ilepBaE: B npKHqRne eCTb BOSMOXHOCTb ~orOBopHTbCR 0 pasopyxeHHH

B STOT nepHO~, HO TO~bKO eC~H "pa3BH3aTb" pe~RbHBHKCKH~ naKeT. B

STOM c~ae ~orOBopeHHOCTb no PC~ Mo~eT 6HTb ~OCTHrHyTa ~er~e Bcero.

~orOBopeHHOCTb no COH/TIPO T~e He HBnReTCfl HeB03MOXHO~, XOTR ,

nOTpe6yeT 60~bmHX YC~H~.

BTopaH: ~~e ecnM PenraH B OCTaBmHeCfl ~Ba ro~a "rrpoCHeTCH" H

3axOQeT 0 qeM-TO ~orOBopHTbCR, H3 SToro HHQerO He B~eT B C~

paCCTaHOBKH C~ B ~CTPaQHH H B03MOXHOCTe~ ~R Kp~e rrpaBHX

napHpOBaTb TaKHe ~orOBopeHHOCTH YTBe~eHHRMH 0 TOM, QTO OHH 6y~

rrpOTHBOpetrnTb yCTaHOBKaM, O¢~HaJIbHO YJ!e npHHflTID4 ~CTpa.qHe~

paHee.

XapawrepHo, qTO RaR nepByx> , TaR H BTOPYIO O~eHKJI1 BI::.ICKa3bfB8.1IH

O~ H Te ;,;:e ~~a (KHcc~ep, lhHC, BpaYH, TapHOB). fue OHM rro,g­

qepKHBanH, 0ARaRO, He06x08KMOCTb B ~OM cnyqae He OTKa3HBaTbCR

OT npOBe~eHHR no OTHomeHHD K CllA "HHTeHCHBHO~ nonHTHKH", KOTOpaR

Y1!.e O~HM CBOIDt !flaKTOM He~TpMH30BID38.JIa 6H yry03Y Kpa~He npaBI::.IX.

A TaKaR yrposa, no 06~en o~eHKe rpynnI::.I, peMbHa, ee MaCillTa6I::.I

HapaCTaDT no Mepe OCnOXHeHHR n03HqHH ~CTPanHH H npH6~~eHRfl

06~eH~HoHanbHHX BH60pOB B 1988 roAY.

II . MO,IW H rrpe,g.nO:IKeHHR

rroe3~Ka B MOCKBy He npHBena, KOHe~o, qneHOB rpyrrrrH K rrepeCMOT­

py CBORX 06~ Bsr~~OB - SToro HHKTO H He Mor o~~aTb. OcTaDTCR

rrpe~HMR H OpHHqHOHMbHHe ~eAeB~e yCTaHOBRH. HaM60nee O~TWMO

H3MeHHnOCb O~O - YTBep8~oCb MHeHHe B TOM, ~O B CCCP Bcepbe3

9.

HaqaTH H 6ynyT rrpOBOAHTbCH H 8anee TaK~e BHY!peHHHe npeo6pasOBaH~R,

KOTOpHe MOry! nOTpe6oBaTb rny60KHX KoppeKTHpoBOR B aMep~KaHCKHX

rrporH03ax 6YAYmero pa3BHTHE COBeTCKoro 06meCTBa - KoppeKTHpoBOK

nOnMTH~eCKHX, 3KOHOMH~eCKHX. Me;gyHapo8HHX.

rrepeCTpO~Ka He paCCMaTpHBaeTCfi KaK yrpo~aR HHTepeCaM CllA,

r JIaBHhIM 06pasOM, B~HMO, nOTOMy' , qTO ORB BI:llKH,IJ,BJOT, KaK noWT y Hac

~eJIe ~anbme. CoBeTOJIOrH CillA HBHO ~aDTCH H BO BpeMeHH ~H 60JIee

r~6oKoro aHaHH3a B3aHMOCBR3e~ BHYTPeHHe~ H BHeIDHe~ nOJIHTHKH CCCP

Ha nepcrreRTHBY. CYlJ/1 no BceMY, yqacTHHKH rpymrn HMelOT B BH,Dy

BHpa60TaTb KaI\YD-To aJIbTepHaTHBY KYPCY Pe~raHa, HO y6e~HTeJIbHO

rrpe~cTaBHTb ee o6~ecTBeHHoMy MHeHHD, nOJIHTHqeCKO~ SJIHTe CllA OHH

nORa He B COCTORHHH. V~BeCTHaR Heonpe~eJIeHHOCTb nOCJIe npOCqeTOB B

TeOpeTHQeCKKX pa3pa6oTKax H npaKTHQeCKHX ~e~CTBHRX OCTaeTCR.

TeM C~ coxpaHHeTCR 3agaqa HerrpepHBHoro H 3~eKTHBHoro

nOJIHTHqeCKOrO H~a He CllA C ~eJIb~ rrpOTHBo~e~CTBHH KYPCY Pe~raHa

H OKa3aHHfi rro~e~KH TeM CHnaM BHYTpH rocnO~CTB~~ero KnaCca CillA,

KOTopHe BHCTyTIaDT npOTHB 3Toro Kypca.

rrpe~CTaBJlHeTCfi, QTO HaH60JIee 8~eKTHBHHM marOM 3~eCb MOrJIO

6H CTaTb B HHHelliHHX YCJlOBHflX "paCWHypOBaHHe naKeTa", rrpe~o~eHHoro

Ha BCTpeqe B Pe~RbRBHKe, YT0qHeHHe B3aHMOo6ycJIOBJleHHOCTe~ M~

COCTaBJlRD~HMH ero SJIeMeHTaMR. TaKT~qeCKH TaKOe "paCIDHypOBRBaH~e"

MOrJIO 6H 6b1Tb RaK O,II,HOpasOBhTM, BHellIHe o6JIeqeHHHM B KaKyJO-JIH60

")JJ>a.MaTHqeCKyKl" epoPMJT, TaK H 60JIee paCTRHYThIM BO BpeMeHH;

RaK cpasy H rrOJlHOCTb~ OTKpHTHM, ny6JIH~, TaR H COqeT~~

B ce6e OTRpHTHe H ~ITJIOMaTHqeCKHe ~OPMH. HaH60JIee npeATIOqTHTeJIbHa

6bDIa 6hl TPaHCtPoPM~H.fi "naKeTa" B Ko~e~HlO "paMotllioro COrJIameHHR"

THrra ~~HBOCToKcKoro 1974 ro~a.

10.

A) ~BH!'\eH}1e "naKeTa" B Pe~KblIBHKe 6WIO TOl:lHHM, rrpaBIDIbHHM

H He06xo,g:m.n:n.<. Hyma 6WIa MO~aH mU1IJ;HaTHBa, KOTOpaH 3a>maTIDIa 6a

06m.ecTBeHHoe MHeHHe, npoBeJIa 6bI CWIbHyJO "pa3Be~KY 60eM" n03MIJ;~

~liCTP~HH, BI:lCBeTIDIa 6I:l 3TH rr03HIl;rm:, CTaJIa 6bl pwraroM ~aBJIeHKH

Ha HIDe. A Y MOIII.HO~ l1HHI.J;HaTHBbI ~oJI'lKHa 6HTb 11 Ha,I\emaH cTpaxoBKa.

fu e 3TH tIJyHKqHH Hama HHHIJ;MaTHBa BbIIIOJIHIDIa C 6JIec KOM :

a) npe~eJIbHO 06HaxeHbl n03~HH Pe~1"a.Ha KaR CTopomrnKa BoeHHO­

CIDIOBO~ JImnU1;

6) COR ce~qac BHyTpHnOJIMT~eCKM cJIa6ee B CllA, qeM ~o Pe~Kb1IBH­

Ka - He C.nyq~HO YaAH6ep1"ep 11 KpaAHe rrpaBI:le TaR TOporurTClI C peme­

HHeM 0 pa3BepTHBaHHH; B KOH1"pecce HaCTpoeHRff Bce 60JIee rrpOTHB

rrOJIHOMaCmTa6HoH COR, B TOM miCJIe H no cPHHaHCOBblM rrpwcrnHaM;

B) BHemHenOJIHTHqeCKH ~MHHMCTPaQKH CJIa6ee:~aH1"eMT'CTaJI

BOSMo~eH TOJIbKO nOCJIe H 6JIa1"o~aplI PeaKblIBHRY, aTO MeCTb PeHraHy

sa PeMKblIBHK (C pa3HHX CTOpOH o,gHOBpeMeHHO):

r) npoHSOmeJI 1"ny60KHH nepeJIOM B 06m.eCTBeHHOM MHeHKH 3an~a

B ~eJIOM, KOTOpHa ce~qac rronyqaeT MHo1"o06pa3HI:le BbIXO~ BO Bce ac­

neKTa OTHomeHH~ KaK Me~ BoCTOKOM Ii 3an~OM, TaK H BHyTpH RATa: nepeJIOM TeM 60JIee S~KTHB~, qTO OH HBHJIClI ~JIR 3an~a nOJIHO~

HeO~aHHOCTbJO;

~) BHPa~eH~e B "rraKeTe" ~eH pa60TaroT Ii CeHqaC, cnycTH rrOqTH

nOJIro~a nOCJIe Pe~KbHBHKa, KaK ¢aKTOp M06HJIHS~H BO BceM Mr1pe SJIe­

MeHTOB HOB01"O ITOJIHTHqeCR01"O MHmneHHH, rrpoTMBo~eHcTBHH JIHHHH ~­

HHCTP~HH Pe'tiraHa. Ho HMeHHO ~e¥1, a He "naKeT" KaK TaKOBoM.

Kopoqe, MbI C03~aJIH Kpa~He B~ M am¢eKTMB~ ITJI?q8apM ~JIlI

HaCTyilJIeHHR Ha PeA1"aHa. Tenepb, He yrryCKaH BpeMeHM, Hsgo e1"o pac­

illliPHTb, npeBp~aTb B ilJI~apM HacTynJIeHHH Ha IT03~ HaM60JIee

II.

rrpaBHX CRn, aKT~BHHX CTOpOHHHKOB rOHKH Boopy~eHHa B ~e~OM, 06ec­

rreqHBaR B03MOEHOCTH gnR COTpYAH~eCTBa 3AeCb C yMepeHHo-ROHCepBa­

THBHHME M ~H6ep~bHHMH rpyrrnHpOBKaMH B CllA ~ 3an~0~ EBpone.

06neKTMBHHe B03MO~OCT~ ~ SToro eCTb. rroc~e PeMKbRBMKa

~HCTP~M Pe~raHa nOMTHJIaCb Ha3a,IJ;. 3aJ.urB no C0l1 rr03~ e~e

60Ree BH3HBaIDmy~, qeM Ha CaMOa BCTpeqe, BamKHrToH, cy~ no BceMy,

nHTaeTCH 3apaHee HCKnDqHTb B03MOEHOCTb nO~O~TeRbHHX rrO~BHXeK no

~oMy M3 BOrrpOCOB Hamero "naKeTa", ~8.!te eC~H rry6JrWlHo YTBe~aeT

06paTHoe. OR npeBpan;aeT "rraKeT I1 B TyrrHK.

B BeJIOM ~OMe, rrOXOlKe, r.ny60Ko y6e~eHH, ~o "naKeT" HBJIReTCR

~ Hac rrpe~e~bHO~ rr03HqHe~. OTKJIZKH Ha rroc~e~e.BamM

.BblCTYrr~eHMH nORa3HBaIOT, qTO OT Hac i!,D,~H RaKIDC-TO HOBhIX rrpe,lVIO­

lKeH~ H yCTynoK. He rroJIYqHB HX, B BamMHrTOHe ~OJIEHH CeMqaC rro~a­

raTb, ~O HOBHe cepbe3BHe rrO~BMEKH B COBeTCKO~ rr03~~ MaJIOBepOHT­

RH. "PaCmHypOBbIBaHHe rraKeTa" CTMO 6bI B STHX YC~OBIDDC em.e 0rW1~

aKTOM, ~O Ko~a p8.306~aqa.ICXql1M rrO~~IDiHY~ CY~OCTb rr03HW1H CIIIA rro

BorrpoCaM orpaH~qeHHH H CORp~eHHH BoopyxeH~.

B) He pearMpoBaTb Ha oQepe8HYD y~OBKY CllA HeJIb3H. ~H Hac

"rraKeT" RaR TaKoBoft - He IJ;eJIb, a cpe~CTBO. CoBeTCKaR CTopoHa He

~OJIEHa ~orryCTMTb, qTo6H BamHHrToH CeHJI COMHeHMH B HamKX HaMepe­

HHRX, rrepeKJI~aJI Ha CCCP OTBeTCTBeHHOCTb 3a OTCYTCTB~e rrpo~~­

~eHHH Ha rreperoBopax, nepeXBaTHBaJI rrO~HT~qeCKyID HH~~aTHBY, P~CYH

06~eCTBeHHOMy MHeH~ID rrepcrreKTHBY "BnO~He pe~bHHX" 5O-rrpo~eHTHHX

COKp~eH~~ ~ rrp.

ReT YBepeHHocT~ B TOM, 'ITO ec~~ MH pa3BffiKeM "rraReT", rnmern­

HHH aAMHH~CTPaQMH CllA rro~eT Ha C6aJIaHCHpOBaHHHe ~orOBopeHHOCT~

C HaM~. ~aKT~ CB~eTe~bCTBY~T CKopee a COBepmeHHO ~O~ Te~e~RM

12.

B pa3BHTHH nOSKqHH Pe~raHa. Ho CTO~b ~e BepHO 11 ~yroe - B 06cTa­

HOBKe saCTOR OTMeqaeTCR pasMHBaHHe ~POHTOB B San~OeBporreaCKOM

06~eCTBeHHOM MHeHHH H OTqaCTH aMepHKaHCKOM, 06e CBep~ep~BH rrpe~­

CTaIDT O~HHaROBO Hecnoc06HHMH nOSHTHBHO OT~~KaTbCR Ha qaffHHR MaCC.

B nO~HTHKe BCer~a ~eHHa MaRCHManbHaff cB0608a MaHeBpa. "DaReT"

B HHHemHef:! ero <PoPMe CBHSlffiaeT HaM pyRH. Bpsr.n ~H eCTb OCHOBa.HIDi

o~aTb, qTO Bce 06pasyeTcR CaMO c060~, ~O Pe~raHa oce~T ­

B Pe~KbRBHKe OR yrryCTRn nyqmHH CBO~ maHC BOaTH B HCTOP~ He RHQe­

~eeM, a rocy~apCTBeHHHM ~eHTeneM. ~H SToro Pe~raH 11 He~OCTaTOqHO

yMeH, H C~HIDKOM OppaHHqeH B cB06o~e B~opa.

llpH aHMltI3e Cl1Tya.$U1: c~eAYeT npHHJiTb B paCqeT e~e O~I1H

acrreKT. ITPH HarrHqROM COOTHomeHHH C~ eCC? rrpoT11Bo60pcTByeT C CiliA

He TO~hKO Ha MegyHapO,gHoA apeHe, HO H BHyTpH C8.MHX CInA. KoHetlHO ,

"HylKI-IOro" HaM rrpeSM,D.eHTa MbI He 1136epeM, "HYlmYlO" CCCP nOJIHTHKy

He BHymRM. Ho rrpe~OXpaHHTb ce6R OT xy~ero Mo~ew. CerO~R aTO

SHaQMT: Hap~BaTb ~aBJIeHl1e Ha Pe~raHa H CTO~l1e sa HEM KpyrH.

llp~aHHe COBeTCROMY no~o~ 60JIbme~ rH6KoCTH H ~HHaMHSMa TaKoe

~aBJIeHHe yCRnHT.

B) B HamHX JIM HHTepecax goroBopeHHOCTH no OTAeJIbHUM BOrrpOCaM?

,IIyMaeTcR, ~ MhI HYlKor~a He CTaBMM BOrrpOC TaR: "Bce l1~H FrnQero".

He CTaBHM ero TaR 11 ce~qac: He CBRSHBaeM "naKeT" C RAepHHMM HCTIHTa­

HRffMH, XMMKqeCKHMH Boopy~eHHRMH. KaRHe ~orOBopeHHOCTH B npHHQHne

BOSM01KHbl?

I. ~ C o~oBpeMeHHHM pa3rOBoPOM no TaKTHqeCKRM paKeTaM.

~ Hac aTO 6HnO 6H paBHOSHaqHO YCTpaHeH~ OqeHb cepbe3Ho~ yrpo3H.

nO~HRJIO 6H Ham aBTopHTeT B EBpone. B KOHetniOM CqeTe o6~ertlliJIo 6H

~eJIa C MTaeM.

13.

ITp06HBaTb coa, ec~ OHa 6y~eT Cos~aHa, paKeTaMH cpe~e~

~anbHocTH B RD60M c~ae BP~ nH rrpH~eTCH. PasBHS~BaHHe "naKeTa"

~e~aeT 3Ty ~oroBopeHHocTb ~OCTKEHMOM, coxpaaeHHe "naKeTa" ee

6noKHpyeT. 3~ecb B~ro~a Pa3BH3~BaHHH HanH~O.

2. 50-rrpoqeHTHoe COKp~eHHe cTpaTerH~ecKHx Boo~e~~, C o~­

HOBpeMe~ no~~epKHB~eM H8meH rOTOBHOCTH npHcTynHTb H K nOnHO­

MY MepHoMy pB.3oPJ']\emuo. ECJrn 6hl OHO 6blno BOSMO!aiO, BhlI'O~a TaKoro

cOKp~eHHH BO Bcex OTHomeHHRX HeCOMHeHHa: nOXHTHqeCKOM, 3KOHOMH­

qeCKOM, MOpaJIbHOM, BoeHHOM. Hap8l1@BaHHe CHB MO;lleT HMeTb ct.niIcn

TOnbKO AnH rrpop~Ba coa, H TO STOT BOrrpOC e~e H§AO BcecTopoHHe

rrpoaaanK3HpOBaTb.

3. 3acny;HBaeT paccMoTpeHHR H cne8YD~aR MOAenb yperynHpOBa­

HHH - 50-rrpO~eHTHOe cOKp~eHHe cTpaTerHQeCKHX Boop~eHH~ (peaJIb­

HO HanonoBHHy YMeHbmanCR 6~ COCTaB HOCHTeneH H KO~QeCTBO 60esa­

PMOB apH OCTaBxeHHK sa R~O~ KS CTOpOH npaBa CaMOM pemaTb, Ka­

KOBO 6y~eT COOTHomeHHe MBP, IDIBP, TB), Op,HOBpeMeHHOe COKp~eHKe

Ha 50 npo~eHToB paReT cpe~e~ ~anbHOCTH CCCP H CllA B eBponeMcRoM

SOHe K COKp~eHHe Ha 50 rrpo~eHToB aMepHRaHCKHX cpe~cTB rrepe~OBO­

ro 6a3HpOBaHHH. ITPH cornaCHH anA ~eKBaTHO YMeHbmHTb CITE B HrrOHHH

H Im:.Kopee CBeCTH K IOO e,II,Hmr~a.M (no 60eSapMaM) qHC~O PC,.q B ASHK

(cooTBeTcTBeHHo Ha TeppHTopKK CiliA).

ITPH 3TOM ~T~BaeTCH, ~o CiliA CBR3blBaIDT peanK3aqHD Mep no PC~

B EBpone co cTporHM KOHTpOneM. Cne~OBaTenbHO, c06cTBeHHo aMepKRaH­

CKaB TeppHTopKH oKasanacb 6~ BHe KOHTponH, a rrpoBepKa B AHrJrnH,

~pr K ~.CTPaHax nOTpe60Bana 6~ cnoXHHX rrpo~e~ cornaCOBaHKR C

H~OHanb~ rrpaBHTenbCTBaMH.

noNJyT Jill CllA Ha TaKHe pemeIDIrr? Y7r.e HCHO, qTO !!pH PenraHe HeT'

B 3THX YC~OBH.ffX Hama rOTOBHOCTb K cornamerrnr> BHe "naKeTa" HMeJIa 6~

Tarrne ,rvIff Hac "rIJIDC~":

14.

- 06HaMana 6~ no~~e n03K~H CffiA, CTaHOBH~aCb 6~ MO~

H ~O~rOBpeMeHH&M Cpe~CTBOM H~HWa Ha aMepKKaHQeB, HX KYPC;

- Hrpana 6~ PO~b CTHMy~a K Orp8HH~eHHD aCCRrHOBaHM~ Ha CO~

B auepHKaHCKOM KOHrpeCCe, CT~Myna TaM 60~ee Ae~CTBeHHOrO, ec~ 6~

YAanOCb COxpaHHTb KMeD~eCH OrpaHH~eHHH, COKpaTHTb KaKHe-TO BOOpy­

~eHHH, XOTH 6~ ~. rrO~HTKqeCKH~ H nCHXO~OrHqeCKH~ ~~eKT TaKOrO

mara 6~ 6~ OqeHb BeCOM, oc06eHHO ~THBaH pac~e ~HHaHCOB~e

TPY~OCTH CillA.

4. C06cTBeHHo COX. nOKa COBeTCKH~ COD3 CTOHT Ha n03KQHH no~­

Horo OTBe~eHHfl Boe~ TeXHOnOrH~, 3aKn~Bae~ B OCHOBy ~aHHO~

aMepHKaHCKO~ nporpaMMH. EC~H 6~Tb ~orH~ H y6e~Tenb~ B 60­

pb6e C COM Ha ~TO~ nnaT~opMe, HaM Hy!H0 6HTb rOTOB~ K B~HXe­

HHD K~eH He oppaHKqeHHH, a nOnHoro oTKasa OT CHCTeM ITPO, T.e.

yxeCTOqeHHH Tpe60BaHH~ AoroBopa 1972 r. ]E6oe OrpaHH~eHHe BcerAa

AByc~c~eHHO, OCTa~HeT ~ase~KH ~H 06xoAa H HeAOpa3yMeHK~.

3arrpeT Ha ITPO Mano QTO MeHKn 6s ~H Hac peanbHo, K60 3a no­

c~e~ee AeCHTH~eTHe nOHBH~KCb CHCTe~, npOTHB KOTO~ nOKa He

C03AaHO 3~eKTK~ KOHTpcpeAcTB, a Ko~~eCTBe~e OrpaHKqeHHH no

AorOBOpy nnoxo YBH3~ C AeMCTBHTeXb~ MacmTa6aMH B03MO~ Mac­

CHPOB~ YAapOB. CneAOBaTe~bHO, MOCKOBCKHn pa~OH ITPO HMeeT 3Ha­

qeHKe XHmb KaK HccneAoBaTenbCKO-HCnNTaTenbHHn nonHrOH Ha c~aM,

eC~H BCTaHeT Bonpoc 0 pasBepTHBaHHH CHCTeM 060po~ H~OH~HO~

TeppHTopKH.

ilO-BH~OMY, CillA - no KpaMHe~ Mepe AO ~aKTHqeCKOrO onp060Ba­

HHH pa3pa6aT~Bae~ HMH TeXHonorH~ Ha peaHb~ ~e~HX - He CTaHyT

BCTynaTb C HaMH B neperOBOp~ Ha npeAMeT rrpeBp~eHRH AoroBopa 06

OrpaHHqeHHH B AoroBop 0 3arrpe~eHHH ITPO. rroc~e~ee 6YAeT B03M~

B cEyqae, ec~ HC~TaHHH B paMKax CO~ OK~TCR pa30qapOBHBan~

H~ CaMH CHCTe~ HaCTO~bKO c~o~ H AOpOrHMH, QTO ~HrToH

15.

npe~o~eT CBepHYTb CHCTeMY. O~aKO HCDHTaHHe sa npeAe~aMHc~eCT­

BYID~ero AorOBopa OSHaqanO 6H OKOHqaHHe ero Ae~CTBHR, eCnn,DOHRTHO,

e~e ~O v.CnHTaHK~ CTOpOHH He YC~OBRTC~ 06 HHOM.

PeQb 06 yCTynRe aMepHKaHQaM B "mHpOKOM TO~KoBaHHH" AoroBopa

no ITPO Mor~a sa~K B rrpaKTKu.ecKoM n~aHe TO~bRO np* COOTBeTCTBYD­

~e~ KOMneHCaQMH co CTOPO~ BamHHPTOHa. HanpHMep, Hax0!8eHHe cor­

naCOBaHHoro MOAYca no npaBoMY cTaTycy KOCNHqeCROrO npocTpaHcTBa.

~a~ee, Bapa60TKa pernaUeHTagHH Ha onpe8eneHHRe BH8U 8eHTenbHOCTH

B KOCMoce, a eme ~e - B OTHomeHKH KOCMHqeCKHX 06oeKTOB. HaKO­

Heg, YCTaHOB~eHHR 06oeKTHB~ KpHTepHeB An? pasrpaHHqeHHB 060POHH­

TenbHoro H He060poHHTe~bHoro xapaKTepa CHCTeM, 80gycKBeMHX K pas­

MemeHHD B KOCMoce, H MeToAHRH KOHTpOnH sa BHTIOnHeHHeM npHHBTHX

o6RsaTenbcTB.

B qeM c~cn B~~eHHff TaKoro po~a c006paMeHHR? Bo-nepBHX,

BP~ nH geneco06pasHo sa~M qHCnOM AaBaTb rrpOTHBHHKaM nOBOA

~~ff YTBe~AeHH~, 6Y~TO CCCP c~enan HeBOSU~HHM ycnex B Pe~KhRBKeKe,

CBBsaB RAepHoe pasopyxeHHe C COM. BO-BTOpHX, AeTanHSa~e~ Hamero

no~o~a (pacKpHTHe nOHRTH~, ~o TaRoe na60paTopHHe HccneAOBaHHB

H np.) 6~0 6H npoAeMOHCTpV.pOB8HO, KeROe pasBHTHe 6Hno 6H BOSMa.!­

HO e~e B Pe~KbHBHKe, eCnH 6H eIDA cTpeMH~ch K C6nH~eHHID nosHHH~.

B-TpeThHx, nOCTaHOBKa Ha60pa BonpocoB ~ 06cJXAeHHB nOSBOnHT

6e3 ypoHa AnR Hamero npecT~a OCna6v.Th BsaHMosaBHCHMOCTh Me~AY

CHB H CO~, BSRTh npHHQHn napannenhHUX neperoBopoB.

B HenOM qaCTM~e 8oroBopeHHocTH - RaR no np06neMaM COM, TaR

H no BceN ~yrHM, - B HamHX HHTepeCax H no HX rrOTe~a~HOMY CO­

Ae~a~, H TeM, QTO caMO HX H8nHqRe pacmupBno 6~, YRperr~no rro­

nMTHKO-npaBOBYID 6a3Y COBeTCKo-aMepHKaHCKHX OTHomeHH~. Hy!HO MaR­

CY-ManbHO paC~CTHTh pyTb R TaRHM cornameHHRM.

16.

r) MHHgHaTHBa ce~c HaXOAHTCR Y Hac. MH BHCKaSa~ ~aReKO

H~e npe~o~eHHH, npe~pHHRRH marH K TOMy, ~06H c~e~aTb peaRb­

HHM HX oc~eCTBReHHe. CIDA, 3ana~ OTBeTHnH Oqepe~HO~ cepHeA BCERoro

po~a "HO" H "eCRH" , HCK,YCCTBeHHUX H peanhHHX COMHeHH~. 3a~a~a

Tenepb - CRETh HCK,YCCTBeHHHe npenffTCTBHH H BHCTaBHTb H8 060speHHe

MHPOBO~ 06~eCTBeHHOCTH HCTHHHHe, rRY6HHHRe MOTHBH aMepHK8HCKO~

nOnMTHKH. ~ 3Toro HY!eH HOBH~ rrpopHB - C TeM, OARaKO, nOHHMaHHeu,

~O pea~fi H8 STOT npopHB B ellA no~eT no SHaKOMOu,y ~e Kpyry

(~O 60Ree, ~eM BepOflTHO), H CnyCTH KaKOe-TO BpeMfi Mo~eT TIOHa~O­

6HTbCH ~aRbHe~ee paSBHTHe HamHX npe~~~eHH~ B HHTepecax no~e~a­

HHR nOCTOHHHoro HaxHM8 Ha CllA (npH~n "MaTpemKH" npH ~OPMy~pOBxe

HHHnHaTHB).

e TOqKH speHHH Ha~OHaRhHO~ 6esonaCHOCTR eecp "paSBHSHBaHHe

naxeTa" He CBEsaHO HH C KaKHMH peanb~ "MHgycaMH": co~e~aHHe

npe~R~eHH~ OCTaeTCR no c~eCTBY npeXHHM. ~aKT paSBHSKH caM no ce6e

HHKaK He OSHaqaeT aBTOMaTRqeCKOrO SaKnIDqeHKH corRameHH~ Ha HeBHro~­

HHX ~ Hac yCROBHRX. OCTaeTCH H BOSM~HOCTb BHcTynReHH~ npH He06­

XO~OCTH C Ap,YrHMH YBHSK8MH H naKeTaMH.

CRO~HOCTbD nponara~CTCKoro nRaHa Mo~eT CT8Th Bonpoc, nOqeMY

B Pe~KbHBHKe MH CO~ He06xo~MHM BHCTyTIMTb HMeHHO C naKeTOM, a

He npOCTO C Ha6opOM npe~no~eHH~. AYMaeTcR, ~O aTa TPY~OCTb

Mo~eT 6HTh rrpeO~OReHa yKaSaHHeM Ha TO, ~O OTK8S OT npH~na

"naReTa" c~eRaH HaMH B OTBeT Ha HHH~aTHBH sana~HoeBpone~cKKX ro­

cy~apcTB H npe~CTaBREeT HS ce6H yCTynK,Y. TaKO~ mar pas06naQan 6H

H nosHUHH KOHcepBaTopOB 3anaAHo~ EBpOITH. nOKasan 6H, qero CTOHT

Ha ~ene HX "CTpeMReHHe K cornameHHEM C eeCP".

He 6y~eT nM pasBRsKa "naReTa" HHTeprrpeTHpoBaTbcR RBR BHpaEeHMe

Hamen KpanHe~ SBHHTepeCOBBHHoCTH B cornameHHRX? By~eT, ROHe~o.

17.

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