TÜRKİYE’NİN ENERJİ YAPISI VE GELECEĞİ

TRKYENN ENERJ YAPISI VE GELECEDr. Vedat GnEnerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakanl

TRKYENN KAYNAK POTANSYEL

2006 Yl Sonu tibariyle Ham Petrol RezervleriMilyon TonTrkiyenin yllk petrol tketimi 30 milyon ton civarnda olup, kalan rezervimiz yaklak 1,4 yllk tketimimizi karlayabilecek dzeydedir.301,4

Trkiyenin Ham Petrol Arz (1997 2006)

YllarYerli Ham PetrolretimiHam PetrolthalatDierrn thalatHam PetrolArz (bin ton)Yerli retim%si1997 3.457,0 23.296,1 1.502,728,255,812,21998 3.223,6 23.890,81.011,128.125,511,519992.939,923.185,41.536,027.661,310,620002.749,121.651,95.488,929.889,99,220012.551,523.242,92.835,728.630,18,920022.441,523.661,83.230,929.334,28,320032.374,624.021,53.078,329.474,48,020042.275,523.683,24.668,930.627,67,420052.281,123.389,73.678,4 29.349,27,820062.175,623.753,63.570,8(*) 29.500,0 7,4

2006 Yl Sonu tibariyle Doalgaz Rezervleri Trkiyenin yllk doalgaz tketimi 30 milyar m3 olup, kalan rezervimiz yaklak 3 aylk tketimimizi karlayabilecek dzeydedir.Milyar M3303

Trkiye Doal Gaz Arz (1997-2006)

YllarYerli Doal Gazretimithal EdilenDoal Gaz ArzYerli retim%'si19972689.87410.1422,6199857710.23410.8115,3199977212.35913.1315,9200067415.06615.7404,3200132716.36816.6952,0200237817.62418.0022,1200356120.82321.3842,6200470721.79822.5053,1200589626.57127.4673,3200690730.22131.1282,9

Grafik1

11670

576

7403

1118

4203

5691

dfd

DOAL GAZ THALATININ LKELERE DAILIMI

Sayfa1

Doal Gaz Alm Anlamalar

Mevcut AnlamalarMiktar (Plato) (Milyar m3/yl)mzalanma TarihiSre (Yl)Szleme Biti TarihiDurumu

Rus. Fed. (Bat)62/14/86252011Devrede

Cezayir (LNG)44/14/88202008Devrede

Nijerya (LNG)1.2 9 Kasm 1995222017Devrede

ran10 8 Austos 1996252021Devrede

Rus. Fed. (Karadeniz)1612/15/97252022Devrede

Rus. Fed. (Bat)82/18/98232021Devrede

Trkmenistan165/21/99302029-

Azerbaycan6.63/12/01152016-

TOPLAM67.8

Rus. Fed. (Bat)

Cezayir (LNG)

Nijerya (LNG)

ran

Rus. Fed. (Karadeniz)

Rus. Fed. (Bat)

Trkmenistan

Azerbaycan

Sayfa2

Rusya Fed.11670

Rusya Fed. (Turusgaz)576

Mavi Akm7403

Nijerya1118

Cezayir4203

ran5691

30661

Sayfa2

0

0

0

0

0

0

dfd

DOAL GAZ THALATININ LKELERE DAILIMI

Sayfa3

2006 Yl Doal Gaz Tketiminin Sektrel Dalm (Milyon cm)Sektr AdMiktar (Milyon cm)%Elektrik 16.64254,6Gbre 1570,5Sanayi 6.43521,1Konut 7.25923,8Toplam 30.493100,0

Grafik1

1664254.5764601712

1570.5148722658

643521.103204014

725923.805463549

2006 yl

2006 Yl Doal Gaz Tketiminin Sektrel Dalm(Milyon cm)

Sektr AdMiktar (Milyon cm)%

Elektrik16,64254.6

Gbre1570.5

Sanayi6,43521.1

Konut7,25923.8

Toplam30,493100.0

2006 yl

Sayfa2

BOTA'IN SEKTRLERE GRE AYLIK SATI MKTARLARI

Sektr AdMays 2006 (Milyon m)%Mays 2007 (Milyon m)%

Elektrik1,21158.31,57564.4

Gbre462.200.0

Sanayi51524.861325.1

Konut30414.625710.5

Toplam2,076100.02,445100.0

Sektr AdOcak - Mays 2006 (Milyon m)%Ocak - Mays 2007 (Milyon m)%

Elektrik6,12948.07,64851.2

Gbre1210.900.0

Sanayi2,53019.83,05920.5

Konut3,98331.24,22028.3

Toplam12,763100.014,927100.0

AylarElektrik retimiDier (Seramik vs)

May 070.4212380.424805

Hz 9.5 m/s ve zeri iin 5000 MW Hz 7.5 m/s ve zeri iin 48,000 MWolarak ngrlmektedir.Rzgar Potansiyeli

TRKYENN TOPLAM JEOTERMAL ISI POTANSYEL

31500 MWt

= 5 Milyon Konut Istma Edeeri veya 150 Bin dnm sera stmas =1 Milyonun zerinde kaplca yatak kapasitesi = 29 Milyar USD/Yl Fuel-Oil Edeeri (30 Milyon ton/yl) = 30 Milyar m3/yl doalgaz edeeri

TRKYENN TOPLAM JEOTERMAL ELEKTRK POTANSYEL

500 MWe

Gne Potansiyeli Gne enerjisi potansiyeli 61 milyon Tep olarak tahmin ediliyor.

Gne enerjisi nm iddeti ortalama 3,6 kWh/m2-gn olup, ortalama 2 640 saat gnelenme sremiz bulunmaktadr. Termik amal toplam 11 milyon m2 gne kolektr kullanmmz vardr. Gne enerjisinde lke potansiyelimizin 80 Milyon TEP olduu deerlendirilmektedir.

Biyoktle potansiyelimiz ise yaklak olarak 8.7 milyon Tep civarndadr.

Biyoyaktlar (Biodizel 1.5 milyon ton/yl, bioetanol 3 milyon ton/yl

BRNCL ENERJ ARZI (%) 2006~ 99,3 MTEP

Grafik2

23674

32910

25457

10350

Petrol 35%

Doal Gaz28%

Kmr26%

Hidrolik ve Dier Yenilenebilirler11%

Lisansllar zet

11/20/07tibar le retim Faaliyeti in Verilen Lisanslar

Yakt / Kaynak TipiYENFERAGATMEVCUTTOPLAM

AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)

Hidrolik1433,788.413728.023995.21795,511.7

Doal Gaz842,105.1184.7813,135.31665,325.0

Kmr51,171.85366.8101,538.6

Rzgar301,055.76139.5361,195.2

Linyit8737.319163.027900.3

Fuel Oil5157.133932.3381,089.5

Asfaltit1137.81137.8

Jeotermal322.3145.0467.3

p Gaz321.825.4527.2

Dier111.5111.5

Biyogaz21.313.234.5

Nafta665.1665.1

LPG319.5319.5

TOPLAM2859,210.021997.21735,685.847915,892.9

Sayfa2

Grafik1

5511.66756

1195.16

67.301

27.214

4.467

ISSUED LICENCES

Wind1,195.2 MW

Biogas4,5 MW

Geothermal67,3 MW

Gas from Municipality Waste 27,2 MW

Hydraulic5,511.7 MW

Sayfa3

BRNCL ENERJ KAYNAKLARI TKETM

(BNTEP)

JEOTERMAL

YILLARTAKMRLNYTASFALTTPETROLDOAL GAZHDROLKELEKTRKISIRZGARGNEODUNHAYVAN VE BTK ART.NET ELEKT. THALATITOPLAM

197028831732157958261233845212818872

197128371913109260224383657214320088Mtoe

1972282922077210726276384051218822411

19732803229312512595224484154225624512Coal23674

19743069245616912739289504350232025535Oil32910

197530252692196141785085643692414827437Natural Gas25457

197630532960190157421472058442025302929695Hydro & other ren.10350

197730853119187180921673758449725934232454

197828653491128178612080360457427035332571

19792988357087155363188560465228199030708

1980282439702401607421976604730295311531973

19812758418124115845151085604807291813932049

19823077461637016933411218825028290015234388

1983325552943231754079751005126293219135697

1984346464089717840361155191785177275522837425

1985377579332251813462103652325210253918439399

198639928879261196224161021383045527126096742472

1987440491892712230166916015032410530825444946883

19885204793226822590111524905834013531325273347910

198947221020717622865287815435434219534525044850705

1990615097651232390131101991693642853611847-6352987

19916501105726023315382719517036541539118212254278

1992624310743852486541972285603886054211788-1156684

199358349918442841246302920674008854511697-3260265

1994551210331027142492126306841512954821627-4659127

19955905106052829324631330577443714355121556-6063679

19967401111871530939738434817247115955121533-669862

19978452123171330515916534247153101795512151219173779

19988921126311030349969036327358212105512147125874709

199977081231412301381174129827061822365293142217674275

20009933125199322971372826566564832625081137628880500

200170111142913309361486820657768752874879133235775402

20028836104352309321610228979073043184684129027178331

200311201947114431806194503038767845350449712514983826

20041232694503103292220426396380811537543181214-5887818

20051251493263173113725014340281926538541461179-10090308

200612610107643013291025457374592976740339801147-13192261

23674

Sayfa3

0

0

0

0

Sayfa1

11/20/07tibar le retim Faaliyetinde Bulunmak zere Kurumumuza Yaplm Lisans Bavurularnn Son Durumu

Yakt / Kaynak TipiLisans VerilenlerUygun Bulunanlarnceleme-DeerlendirmeBavuruTOPLAM

AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)

Hidrolik1795,511.7581965,802.0662,528.049915,070.1

Rzgar361,195.2141375,607.5161,032.52038,309.8

Jeotermal467.315.0572.3

p Gaz527.214.0631.2

Biyogaz34.525.211.7611.4

TOPLAM2276,805.8720.033511,414.7853,571.371923,494.8

Hidrolik5,511.7Hidrolik1,228.4

Rzgar1,195.2Rzgar474.7

Jeotermal67.3Jeotermal

p Gaz27.2p Gaz

Biyogaz4.5Biyogaz

TOTAL :6,805.8 MW

Genel zet

11/20/07tibar le retim Faaliyetinde Bulunmak zere Kurumumuza Yaplm Lisans Bavurularnn Son Durumu

Yakt / Kaynak TipiLisans VerilenlerUygun Bulunanlarnceleme-DeerlendirmeBavuruTOPLAM

AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)AdetKurulu G (MW)

Hidrolik1795,511.7581,228.41965,802.0662,528.049915,070.1

Doal Gaz1665,325.0112.310344.4106,064.818711,746.4

Kmr101,538.61253.321,365.0133,156.8

Rzgar361,195.214474.71375,607.5161,032.52038,309.8

Fuel Oil381,089.5111.0386.4421,186.8

Linyit27900.32332.714.6301,237.6

Asfaltit1137.81137.8

Jeotermal467.315.0572.3

Nafta665.1665.1

p Gaz527.214.0631.2

LPG319.5319.5

Dier111.51211.5

Biyogaz34.525.211.7611.4

TOPLAM47915,892.9772,312.334911,850.19811,001.0100341,056.3

Grafik2

2225

7.54.9

22.831.6

38.5933.5

9.15

00.1

2002

2007

(%)

Trkiye Kurulu Gcnn Birincil Enerji Kaynaklarna gre dalm % (2002 & 2007)

Sayfa1

Trkiye kurulu gcnn birincil enerji kaynaklarna gre (2002)Trkiye kurulu gcnn retici kurululara gre dalm

22Coal69.6EA

7.5Liqued fuels16.6BO&BOT&TOOR

22.8Natural gas13.7Autoproducer&mobile

38.59Hydraulic&other renewables

9.1Multi fuels

Trkiye elektrik enerjisi retiminin birincil enerji kaynaklarna gre dalm(2002)Trkiye elektrik enerjisi retiminin retici kurululara gre dalm

24.8Coal63.2EA




Multi fuels

Trkiye kurulu gcnn birincil enerji kaynaklarna gre (2007)Trkiye kurulu gcnn retici kurululara gre dalm (2007)

25Coal58.5EA



33.5Hydraulic&other renewables9private

5Multi fuels0.3ankara doal elektrik

0.1other

Trkiye elektrik enerjisi retiminin birincil enerji kaynaklarna gre dalm(2007)Trkiye elektrik enerjisi retiminin retici kurululara gre dalm (2007)

27.83Coal48.27EA



18.99Hydraulic&other renewables9.55private

Multi fuels

Sayfa2

kurulu gKurulu g20022007

Kmr2225

Sv Yaktlar7.54.9

Doal Gaz22.831.6

Hidrolik ve dier Yenilenebilirler38.5933.5

ok Yaktl9.15

Dier00.1

retim20022007

retimCoal24.827.83

Liquid Fuels8.33.97

Natural Gas40.648.56

Hydraulic & Other Renewables26.218.99

kurulu g-kurulularKurulu g20022007

EAS69.658.5

BO-BOT-TOOR16.622.6

AUTO-MOBLE13.79.5

Private09

ankaradoal elektrik00.3

kurulu g-kurulularretim20022007

EAS63.248.27

BO-BOT-TOOR18.533.24

AUTO-MOBLE18.38.82

Private09.55

ankaradoal elektrik

Sayfa2

00

00

00

00

00

00

2002

2007

Type of Resources

MW(%)

Installed electricity capacity by resources % (2002 & 2007)

Grafik6

24.827.83

8.33.97

40.648.56

26.219.01

00.64

2002

2007

(%)

Trkiye Elektrik Enerjisi retiminin Birincil Enerji Kaynaklarna gre dalm % (2002&2007)

Sayfa1


22Coal69.6EA




9.1Multi fuels


24.8Coal63.2EA




Multi fuels


25Coal58.5EA





0.1other


27.83Coal48.27EA




Multi fuels

Sayfa2


Coal2225

Liquid Fuels7.54.9

Natural Gas22.831.6


Multi-Fuel9.15

Others00.1

retim20022007

retimKmr24.827.83

Sv Yaktlar8.33.97

Doal Gaz40.648.56

Hidrolik ve Dier Yenilenebilirler26.219.01

Dier00.64


EAS69.658.8

BO-BOT-TOOR16.622.6

AUTO-MOBLE13.79.5

Private Sector09


EAS63.248.27


AUTO-MOBLE18.38.82

Private Sector09.55

Sayfa2

2225

7.54.9

22.831.6

38.5933.5

9.15

00.1

2002

2007

Type of Resources

MW(%)


24.827.83

8.33.97

40.648.56

26.219.01

00.64

2002

2007

Type of Resources

MW (%)

Electricity Generation by Primary Energy Resources % (2002&2007)

69.658.8

16.622.6

13.79.5

09

2002

2007

Type of Generators

MW (%)

Installed Electricity Capacity by Generators % (2002&2007)

63.248.27

18.533.24

18.38.82

09.55

2002

2007

Type of Generators

MW (%)

Electricity generation by Generators % (2002&2007)

Grafik7

63.248.27

18.533.24

18.38.82

09.55

2002

2007

(%)

Trkiye Kurulu Gcnn retici Kurululara gre dalm % (2002&2007)

Sayfa1


22Coal69.6EA




9.1Multi fuels


24.8Coal63.2EA




Multi fuels


25Coal58.5EA





0.1other


27.83Coal48.27EA




Multi fuels

Sayfa2


Coal2225

Liquid Fuels7.54.9

Natural Gas22.831.6


Multi-Fuel9.15

Others00.1

retim20022007

retimCoal24.827.83

Liquid Fuels8.33.97



Others00.64


EAS69.658.8

BO-BOT-TOOR16.622.6

AUTO-MOBLE13.79.5

Private Sector09


EA63.248.27

Y-YD-HD18.533.24

Otoprodktr-Mobil18.38.82

zel sektr09.55

Sayfa2

00

00

00

00

00

00

2002

2007

Type of Resources

MW(%)


00

00

00

00

00

2002

2007

Type of Resources

MW (%)


00

00

00

00

00

2002

2007

Type of Generators

MW (%)


00

00

00

00

2002

2007

Type of Generators

MW (%)


Grafik8

69.658.8

16.622.6

13.79.5

09

2002

2007

(%)

Trkiye Elektrik Enerjisi retiminin retici Kurululara gre dalm % (2002&2007)

Sayfa1


22Coal69.6EA




9.1Multi fuels


24.8Coal63.2EA




Multi fuels


25Coal58.5EA





0.1other


27.83Coal48.27EA




Multi fuels

Sayfa2


Coal2225

Liquid Fuels7.54.9

Natural Gas22.831.6


Multi-Fuel9.15

Others00.1

retim20022007

retimCoal24.827.83

Liquid Fuels8.33.97



Others00.64


EA69.658.8

Y-YD-HD16.622.6

Otoprodktr-Mobil13.79.5

zel Sektr09


EAS63.248.27


AUTO-MOBLE18.38.82

Private Sector09.55

Sayfa2

2225

7.54.9

22.831.6

38.5933.5

9.15

00.1

2002

2007

Type of Resources

MW(%)


Sayfa3

24.827.83

8.33.97

40.648.56

26.219.01

00.64

2002

2007

Type of Resources

MW (%)


00

00

00

00

00

2002

2007

Type of Generators

MW (%)


00

00

00

00

2002

2007

Type of Generators

MW (%)


Trkiye nin Enerji Yaps

talep art yksekithalat bamll fazlayatrm ihtiyac yksek

TRKYE ELEKTRK RETM ARTI ORANLARI

Talep SenaryolarIIIIII1912007Dk senaryoYksek senaryo

Yksek senaryo lave ~ 56.000 MW kapasite ihtiyacDk senaryo lave ~ 40.000 MW kapasite ihtiyac

Arz, Talep & thalat Bamll

Grafik1

17358.0481466031973.429

18299.0561461632048.749

19185.65215090.634388.012

19313.2581670535696.934

20321.58616935.237424.781

21935.391734839399.165

23537.90818720.642472.48

25077.37822607.246883.215

24607.352365947910.138

25753.924104.150705.131

25477.9082847752987.3446

25500.8882652554277.9295

26793.6382907156683.662

26440.8563359560265.43

26510.8063266359126.687

26718.8663736863678.446

27386.054199469862.482

28208.55645267.773779.445

29323.834560774708.8315

27659.37446028.974274.633

26855.2225422981250.456

25173.1484945875952.076

24727.0525415878710.63

23977.83260457.583970.332

244696315787885

23821.2366486.32890307.558

268397216199000

retim

Net thalat

Tketim

x 1000 TEP

Sayfa1

retimNet thalatTketim

1980173581466031973

1981182991461632049

1982191861509134388

1983193131670535697

1984203221693537425

1985219351734839399

1986235381872142472

1987250772260746883

1988246072365947910

1989257542410450705

1990254782847752987

1991255012652554278

1992267942907156684

1993264413359560265

1994265113266359127

1995267193736863678

1996273864199469862

1997282094526873779

1998293244560774709

1999276594602974275

2000268555422981250

2001251734945875952

2002247275415878711

2003239786045883970

2004244696315787885

2005238216648690308

2006268397216199000

Sayfa1

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

retim

Net thalat

Tketim

Thousand tonnes oil equivalent

Sayfa2

Sayfa3

Trkiye- thalat BamllRETMN VE THALATIN TALEB KARILAMA ORANI

Grafik3

26.473.6

3070

3070

3268

31.065473399268.9345266008

29.630549575270.3694504248

29.234069933570.7659300665

30.181555655769.8184443443

29.941172872470.0588271276

31.047804313368.9521956867

31.979290434568.0207095655

31.679752957668.3202470424

31.355252878268.6447471218

31.114062748168.8859372519

30.472087086769.5279129133

29.670438322470.3295616776

30.50781418869.492185812

29.58039226370.419607737

retim

Net thalat

Sheet1

2005-20102010-20152015-2020

GSYH Art Hz (%)5.56.46.4

Nfus (%)1.41.21.0

iddk

Toplam Enerji Arz

YllarKmrPetrolDoalgazHidrolikDier YenilenebilirNkleerToplamToplam

20052413231137250143402672290407

200627057360752546442577160100014

200730984349282796245757246105695

200830488369233229546787248111633

200932820393163493246927266119026

201035684411843719249037312126274

201138173427844039751777452133982

2012410754451141274564676122743142861

2013446134645843107617277972743150890

2014478814837243794667380055486160211

2015514555042044747706082438229170154

2016551665216045983749194268229178455

20176011554335469367948103608229187923

20186659956510483788421107728229198911

20197289958688502638932112258229210236

20208060160918515369419117208229222424

YllarKmrPetrolDoalgazHidrolikDier YenilenebilirNkleerToplam

20052413231137250143402672290407

201035684411843719249037312126274

2015514555042044747706082438229170154

20208060160918515369419117208229222424

Kmr24132

Petrol31137

Doalgaz25014

Hidrolik3402

Dier Yenilenebilir6722

90407

66487


2005238216648790308

2006266366565092261

2007255977411499711

20083644075193111633

20093697682050119026

20103741688859126274

20113916894814133982

20124311899744142861

201345178105712150890

201449742110469160211

201554414115740170154

201656534121921178455

201758924128999187923

201861889137022198911

201964063146173210236

202065994156430222424

YILLARPetrolDoalgazKmrElektrik

2005352513

2010403712

2015494522

20206051441


20052674100

20063070100

20073070100

20083268100

20093169100

20103070100

20112971100

20123070100

20133070100

20143169100

20153268100

20163268100

20173169100

20183169100

20193070100

20203070100

20193169100

20203070100

retim26

ithalat74

retim30

ithalat70

iddk

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

Yllk Ortalama Art Hz % 6,2 90 Mtep 223 Mtep

Kmr

Petrol

Doalgaz

Hidrolik

Dier Yenilenebilir

Nkleer

Bin Ton Petrol Edeeri

Kaynaklar Baznda Genel Enerji Talebi, 2005-2020

altay

12927.43963349282688.38941120983602.46069719756820.09569377990

14919.96372904992467.06325878334256.59603554347170.33492822970

19495.7848436092284.93141613124574.70950102537246.88995215310

22786.23388407382138.27641558444677.92207792217248.80382775120

23554.35492727271951.57162173624691.86602870817266.71223513330

23661.13902241971811.13306725914902.80246069727312.37183868760

25124.34001818181690.24105085445176.89678742317452.35816814760

25842.21023458651583.00605017095645.93301435417612.71360218732743.2216906357

27297.20129569381492.26410635686172.24880382787797.26589200272743.2216906357

28503.84639945321386.72351660976672.72727272738006.0150375945486.4433811347

29902.72285194811284.47489897477060.15037593988243.33561175678229.6650717703

31323.04634039641205.55271004787490.77238550928587.69651401238229.6650717703

32955.75266712241129.04820423797947.64183185248962.67942583738229.6650717703

35115.25329460011067.13152426528420.77922077929375.52973342458229.6650717703

36452.8965388927976.5567341088932.33082706779827.61449077248229.6650717703

37223.6584550923923.91965768979419.00205058110323.17156527688229.6650717703

Kmr

Petrol ve Doal gaz

Hidrolik

Dier Yenilenebilir

Nkleer

Kaynak: Enerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakanl,2006


Kaynaklar Baznda Enerji retimi, 2005-2020

3420142005

4230202010

4941272015

6051451

Petrol

Doalgaz

Kmr

Elektrik

Kaynak : Enerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakanl ,2006

Bin ton petrol edeeri

Enerji Kaynaklar thalat, 2005-2020

000000

000000

000000

000000

Kmr

Petrol

Doalgaz

Hidrolik

Dier Yenilenebilir

Nkleer


Kaynak Talepleri, 2005-2020

00

00

00

00

30

28

40

43

49

51

60

59

Petrol: Milyon Ton Doalgaz: Milyar m3

Petrol

Doalgaz



0

0

0

0

0

90308 Bin Tep

2005 YILI ENERJ TKETM

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

23821

65994

66487

156430

9030883776

222424

retim

Net thalat

Tketim


Enerji retimi, Net thalat ve Tketimi, 2005-2020

000

000

000

000

Petrol

Doalgaz

Kmr



26.473.6

28.971.1

25.774.3

32.642737292467.3572627076

31.065473399268.9345266008

29.630549575270.3694504248

29.234069933570.7659300665

30.181555655769.8184443443

29.941172872470.0588271276

31.047804313368.9521956867

31.979290434568.0207095655

31.679752957668.3202470424

31.355252878268.6447471218

31.114062748168.8859372519

30.472087086769.5279129133

29.670438322470.3295616776

30.50781418869.492185812

29.58039226370.419607737

retim

Net thalat

Talebin Yerli retimle Karlanma Oran, 2003-2020

0

0

Arz 90308 Bin Tep


0

0

Arz 222424 Bin Tep


0000

0000

0000

0000

Petrol

Doalgaz

Kmr

Elektrik



ReferansDk TalepDSMNKLEERSZ

TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)

2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15325,17031,65349,477H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15322,24527,86635,822H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15323,24327,45037,989H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15325,17033,86949,442H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15325,17031,65349,477

Lignite+Asphaltite9,61611,30118,50924,71232,372Lignite+Asphaltite9,61611,30117,96121,63124,791Lignite+Asphaltite9,61611,30117,88021,78027,700Lignite+Asphaltite9,61611,30118,50925,06932,433Lignite+Asphaltite9,61611,30118,50924,71232,372

Oil31,80434,07342,21249,57660,215Oil31,80434,07341,06548,38258,656Oil31,80434,07341,89748,00159,048Oil31,80434,07342,21449,57260,329Oil31,80434,07342,21249,57660,215

N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33130,45541,05451,570N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33126,24237,91350,553N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33127,51938,80047,619N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33130,45541,43456,448N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33130,45541,05451,570

Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419Hydro3,0383,6024,6965,6467,948Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419

Nuclear0008,2308,230Nuclear0002,7438,230Nuclear0002,7435,486Nuclear00000Nuclear0008,2308,230

Renewables6,9646,8207,3128,24310,323Renewables6,9646,8207,3128,24310,323Renewables6,9646,8207,3128,24310,323Renewables6,9646,8207,3128,24310,323Renewables6,9646,8207,3128,24310,323

Net Electricity Import480001,398Net Electricity Import48000623Net Electricity Import480001,557Net Electricity Import48001,5571,557Net Electricity Import480001,398

TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281128,562170,528223,003TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281119,522152,425196,945TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281122,754154,079199,142TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281128,563166,805219,951TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281128,562170,528223,003

FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)

2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19421,22427,55437,833Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19418,26523,70631,389Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19419,56823,73631,618Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19421,22427,53337,769Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19421,22427,55437,833


Natural Gas8,2498,34813,19719,46325,122Natural Gas8,2498,34812,24418,10123,188Natural Gas8,2498,34812,33417,33321,753Natural Gas8,2498,34813,19719,45925,116Natural Gas8,2498,34813,19719,46325,122

Oil Products25,14726,92735,11943,86353,799Oil Products25,14726,92734,16442,75852,188Oil Products25,14726,92734,56242,78152,315Oil Products25,14726,92735,11943,88853,870Oil Products25,14726,92735,11943,86353,799


Non-Energy2,0982,2022,5142,8443,220Non-Energy2,0982,2022,5142,8443,220Non-Energy2,0982,2022,5142,8443,220Non-Energy2,0982,2022,5142,8443,220Non-Energy2,0982,2022,5142,8443,220

Electricity12,13613,80020,80930,62642,947Electricity12,13613,80018,63625,32734,955Electricity12,13613,80019,49027,65638,327Electricity12,13613,80020,80930,62642,947Electricity12,13613,80020,80930,62642,947

TOTAL67,88773,433103,425135,834176,551TOTAL67,88773,43395,944123,786158,028TOTAL67,88773,43398,788125,398160,317TOTAL67,88773,433103,425135,834176,551TOTAL67,88773,433103,425135,834176,551

FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)

2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

Industrial26,11727,00341,64655,50876,408Industrial26,11727,00334,56545,71159,154Industrial26,11727,00338,36648,12964,931Industrial26,11727,00341,64655,50876,408Industrial26,11727,00341,64655,50876,408

Residential19,63421,64829,01538,50347,542Residential19,63421,64828,99336,98347,316Residential19,63421,64827,65735,44542,786Residential19,63421,64829,01538,50347,542Residential19,63421,64829,01538,50347,542

Transport12,39514,29819,91526,54134,037Transport12,39514,29819,91526,54134,037Transport12,39514,29819,91526,54134,037Transport12,39514,29819,91526,54134,037Transport12,39514,29819,91526,54134,037

Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,750Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751


Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593Own Use4,5584,8075,5896,2667,552Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593


ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE (GWh)ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE (GWh)ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE (GWh)ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE (GWh)ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE (GWh)

2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6971,6233,563Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6011,6112,154Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,0038271,558Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6971,5363,792Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6971,6233,563

Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9799,97038,773Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9789,9799,975Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9799,97219,543Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,97919,58438,861Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9799,97038,773

Lignite23,64331,76554,30482,831117,944Lignite23,64331,76553,89069,99877,481Lignite23,64331,76552,05071,09398,495Lignite23,64331,76554,30484,661118,209Lignite23,64331,76554,30482,831117,944

NatGas63,66665,670106,759134,143166,683NatGas63,66665,67086,165122,905170,556NatGas63,66665,67093,666133,348161,149NatGas63,66665,670106,759136,554195,676NatGas63,66665,670106,759134,143166,683

HFO8,1556,3015,4135,3434,918HFO8,1556,3014,9486,5436,002HFO8,1556,3017,4866,5077,281HFO8,1556,3015,4136,3296,223HFO8,1556,3015,4135,3434,918

Diesel1,0462,0751,5271,5111,384Diesel1,0462,075235282308Diesel1,0462,075154170188Diesel1,0462,0751,527229227Diesel1,0462,0751,5271,5111,384

Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523Hydro - large35,33041,88954,60965,65292,418Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523

Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000

Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385

Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382


Net Import56300016,250Net Import5630007,244Net Import56300018,107Net Import5630018,10718,107Net Import56300016,250



Hardcoal8,68112,59311,67711,59342,337Hardcoal8,68112,59311,57811,59012,129Hardcoal8,68112,59310,98310,79821,101Hardcoal8,68112,59311,67721,12042,653Hardcoal8,68112,59311,67711,59342,337








CO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONS

Pollutant20032005201020152020Pollutant20032005201020152020Pollutant20032005201020152020Pollutant20032005201020152020Pollutant20032005201020152020

Electric68.9181.79116.53151.80221.96Electric68.9181.79107.14136.55163.06Electric68.9181.79111.85146.18193.79Electric68.9181.79116.53162.69234.07Electric68.9181.79116.53151.80221.96

Industry73.6175.29115.46146.53196.42Industry73.6175.2997.60126.74161.40Industry73.6175.29107.33128.22167.83Industry73.6175.29115.46146.52196.36Industry73.6175.29115.46146.53196.42

Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44

Residential25.0130.9245.7157.6465.21Residential25.0130.9245.3754.6664.43Residential25.0130.9242.9151.5655.82Residential25.0130.9245.7157.6465.21Residential25.0130.9245.7157.6465.21

Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61

Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00

TOTAL213.42240.73349.81450.98604.63TOTAL213.42240.73322.22412.94509.94TOTAL213.42240.73334.19420.96538.49TOTAL213.42240.73349.81461.85616.69TOTAL213.42240.73349.81450.98604.63

TOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYON


Electric70,06482,940117,980153,406223,839Electric70,06482,940108,523138,085164,684Electric70,06482,940113,216147,663195,490Electric70,06482,940117,980164,324235,985Electric1,8291,9952,6903,2604,484

Industry74,62476,230116,816148,182198,532Industry74,62476,23098,760128,183163,166Industry74,62476,230108,592129,664169,643Industry74,62476,230116,816148,166198,479Industry1,9251,8762,8183,5034,631



Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,47219,232Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,46419,232Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,47219,232Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,47219,232Agriculture398449510637791

Supply6380184210234Supply6380182198194Supply6380187209206Supply6380185212235Supply6380184210234


TOPLAM ENERJ ARZI

2005201020152020

Referans92,281128,562170,528223,003

Dk Talep92,281119,522152,425196,945

Talep Ynetimi92,281122,754154,079199,142

Nkleersiz92,281128,563166,805219,951

TOPLAM NHA ENERJ ARZI

2005201020152020

Referans73,433103,425135,834176,551

Dk Talep73,43395,944123,786158,028

Talep Ynetimi73,43398,788125,398160,317

Nkleersiz73,433103,425135,834176,551

CO2 EMSYONLARI

2005201020152020

Referans241350451605

Dk Talep241322413510

Talep Ynetimi241334421538

Nkleersiz241350462617

605

510-95

538-67

61712

Fark

Milyon ABD

Dolar

Referans Senaryo

Dk Talep-32

Talep Ynetimi-42

Nkleersiz39

CO'

ndirim

Referans Senaryo

Dk Talep-615

Talep Ynetimi-366

Nkleersiz92

CO2 EMISSIONSReferansDk TalepTalep YnetimiNkleersiz

Pollutant

Elektrik36.732.036.038.0

Sanayi32.531.731.231.8

Ulatrma16.920.119.016.6

Konut ve Hizmetler10.812.610.410.6

Tarm3.13.63.53.0

Supply

TOTAL100100100100

221.96163.06193.79234.07

196.42161.40167.83196.36

102.44102.44102.44102.44

65.2164.4355.8265.21

18.6118.6118.6118.61

0.000.000.000.00

604.63509.94538.49616.69

ELEKTRK ENERJS TALEB

2005201020152020

Referans160,470241,964356,116499,385

Dk Talep160,470216,700294,517406,482

Talep Ynetimi160,470226,623321,559445,663

Nkleersiz160,470241,964356,116499,385

92280.992976623492280.992976623492280.992976623492280.9929766234

128561.880547642119521.531463978122753.823790021128563.15257758

170528.020499385152424.746527273154078.681833219166805.437321804

223002.912877375196945.238371702199141.553913465219951.080476282

Art Hzlar R %6,1; D %5,2 ;TY %5,3 ;N %6

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz


Genel Enerji Talep Senaryolar, 2005-2020

73433.309117976873433.309117976873433.309117976873433.3091179768

103425.40316144995944.234715516198787.5701213944103425.403169105

135834.067900342123785.825919207125397.892765003135834.066676555

176551.279709774158028.339820232160316.76730745176551.277187013

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz


Nihai Enerji Talep Senaryolar, 2005-2020

240.7272212014240.7272310618240.7272310618240.7272310618

349.8127084334322.2205611366334.1894999274349.8120362414

450.9809409119412.9440058497420.9634435366461.8532846646

604.6315053485509.9424070655538.4944456755616.6863195849

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

Milyon Ton

CO2 Emisyonlar, 2005-2020

-31.6-42.439.1

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

$/ton

Ton Bana C02 ndirim Maliyet Verimlilii

-614.937-365.72492.283

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

Milyon Ton

Kmlatif C02 ndirim Miktar

36.709378071132.485510236516.942036885110.78471743383.0783573736

31.97655649431.650947851520.08793370312.63459845213.6499634994

35.987975249431.166520928519.022831800310.36623552973.456436492

37.955604340631.841646157616.610858616710.57370839323.0181824919

Elektrik

Sanayi

Ulatrma

Konut ve Hizmetler

Tarm

Sektrel Bazda CO2 Emisyonlar -2020

160470.009025736160470.009025736160470.009025736160470.009025736

241963.973294759216699.740350347226623.200081069241963.973294759

356115.976745776294517.236686325321559.262758906356115.976745776

499385.361040551406481.902362142445662.699825144499385.361040551

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

GWh

Elektrik Enerjisi Talebi, 2005-2020

Grafik2

26

74

Arz 99.8 Milyon Tep

2006 YILI RETM VE THALATI

Sheet1

2005-20102010-20152015-2020

GSYH Art Hz (%)5.56.46.4

Nfus (%)1.41.21.0

iddk

Toplam Enerji Arz

YllarKmrPetrolDoalgazHidrolikDier YenilenebilirNkleerToplamToplam

20052413231137250143402672290407

200627057360752546442577160100014

200730984349282796245757246105695

200830488369233229546787248111633

200932820393163493246927266119026

201035684411843719249037312126274

201138173427844039751777452133982

2012410754451141274564676122743142861

2013446134645843107617277972743150890

2014478814837243794667380055486160211

2015514555042044747706082438229170154

2016551665216045983749194268229178455

20176011554335469367948103608229187923

20186659956510483788421107728229198911

20197289958688502638932112258229210236

20208060160918515369419117208229222424

YllarKmrPetrolDoalgazHidrolikDier YenilenebilirNkleerToplam

20052413231137250143402672290407

201035684411843719249037312126274

2015514555042044747706082438229170154

20208060160918515369419117208229222424

Kmr24132

Petrol31137

Doalgaz25014

Hidrolik3402

Dier Yenilenebilir6722

90407

66487


2005238216648790308

2006266366565092261

2007255977411499711

20083644075193111633

20093697682050119026

20103741688859126274

20113916894814133982

20124311899744142861

201345178105712150890

201449742110469160211

201554414115740170154

201656534121921178455

201758924128999187923

201861889137022198911

201964063146173210236

202065994156430222424

YILLARPetrolDoalgazKmrElektrik

2005352513

2010403712

2015494522

20206051441


20052674100

20062971100

20072674100

20083367100

20093169100

20103070100

20112971100

20123070100

20133070100

20143169100

20153268100

20163268100

20173169100

20183169100

20193070100

20203070100

20193169100

20203070100

retim26

ithalat74

retim30

ithalat70

iddk

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

000000

Yllk Ortalama Art Hz % 6,2 90 Mtep 223 Mtep

Kmr

Petrol

Doalgaz

Hidrolik

Dier Yenilenebilir

Nkleer


Kaynaklar Baznda Genel Enerji Talebi, 2005-2020

altay

12927.43963349282688.38941120983602.46069719756820.09569377990

14919.96372904992467.06325878334256.59603554347170.33492822970

19495.7848436092284.93141613124574.70950102537246.88995215310

22786.23388407382138.27641558444677.92207792217248.80382775120

23554.35492727271951.57162173624691.86602870817266.71223513330

23661.13902241971811.13306725914902.80246069727312.37183868760

25124.34001818181690.24105085445176.89678742317452.35816814760

25842.21023458651583.00605017095645.93301435417612.71360218732743.2216906357

27297.20129569381492.26410635686172.24880382787797.26589200272743.2216906357

28503.84639945321386.72351660976672.72727272738006.0150375945486.4433811347

29902.72285194811284.47489897477060.15037593988243.33561175678229.6650717703

31323.04634039641205.55271004787490.77238550928587.69651401238229.6650717703

32955.75266712241129.04820423797947.64183185248962.67942583738229.6650717703

35115.25329460011067.13152426528420.77922077929375.52973342458229.6650717703

36452.8965388927976.5567341088932.33082706779827.61449077248229.6650717703

37223.6584550923923.91965768979419.00205058110323.17156527688229.6650717703

Kmr

Petrol ve Doal gaz

Hidrolik

Dier Yenilenebilir

Nkleer

Kaynak: Enerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakanl,2006


Kaynaklar Baznda Enerji retimi, 2005-2020

3420142005

4230202010

4941272015

6051451

Petrol

Doalgaz

Kmr

Elektrik

Kaynak : Enerji ve Tabii Kaynaklar Bakanl ,2006



000000

000000

000000

000000

Kmr

Petrol

Doalgaz

Hidrolik

Dier Yenilenebilir

Nkleer



00

00

00

00

30

28

40

43

49

51

60

59

Petrol: Milyon Ton Doalgaz: Milyar m3

Petrol

Doalgaz



0

0

0

0

0

90308 Bin Tep


000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

23821

65994

66487

156430

9030883776

222424

retim

Net thalat

Tketim


Enerji retimi, Net thalat ve Tketimi, 2005-2020

000

000

000

000

Petrol

Doalgaz

Kmr



00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

retim

Net thalat

Talebin Yerli retimle Karlanma Oran, 2003-2020

0

0

Arz 90308 Bin Tep


0

0

Arz 222424 Bin Tep


0000

0000

0000

0000

Petrol

Doalgaz

Kmr

Elektrik



ReferansDk TalepDSMNKLEERSZ

TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)TOTAL ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL (ttoe)

2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15325,17031,65349,477H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15322,24527,86635,822H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15323,24327,45037,989H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15325,17033,86949,442H. Coal+Coke+Pcoke12,90216,15325,17031,65349,477



N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33130,45541,05451,570N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33126,24237,91350,553N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33127,51938,80047,619N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33130,45541,43456,448N. Gas + LNG19,45120,33130,45541,05451,570

Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419Hydro3,0383,6024,6965,6467,948Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419Hydro3,0383,6024,9037,0609,419



Net Electricity Import480001,398Net Electricity Import48000623Net Electricity Import480001,557Net Electricity Import48001,5571,557Net Electricity Import480001,398

TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281128,562170,528223,003TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281119,522152,425196,945TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281122,754154,079199,142TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281128,563166,805219,951TPES (Prd.+Net Imp.+Net Stock)83,82592,281128,562170,528223,003

FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY FUEL (ttoe)

2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19421,22427,55437,833Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19418,26523,70631,389Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19419,56823,73631,618Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19421,22427,53337,769Hard Coal+Coke +Pcoke10,08312,19421,22427,55437,833


Natural Gas8,2498,34813,19719,46325,122Natural Gas8,2498,34812,24418,10123,188Natural Gas8,2498,34812,33417,33321,753Natural Gas8,2498,34813,19719,45925,116Natural Gas8,2498,34813,19719,46325,122

Oil Products25,14726,92735,11943,86353,799Oil Products25,14726,92734,16442,75852,188Oil Products25,14726,92734,56242,78152,315Oil Products25,14726,92735,11943,88853,870Oil Products25,14726,92735,11943,86353,799



Electricity12,13613,80020,80930,62642,947Electricity12,13613,80018,63625,32734,955Electricity12,13613,80019,49027,65638,327Electricity12,13613,80020,80930,62642,947Electricity12,13613,80020,80930,62642,947


FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)FINAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR (ttoe)

2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

Industrial26,11727,00341,64655,50876,408Industrial26,11727,00334,56545,71159,154Industrial26,11727,00338,36648,12964,931Industrial26,11727,00341,64655,50876,408Industrial26,11727,00341,64655,50876,408



Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,750Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751Agriculture3,0863,4754,3685,4416,751


Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593Own Use4,5584,8075,5896,2667,552Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593Own Use4,5584,8075,9676,9978,593



2003200520102015202020032005201020152020200320052010201520202003200520102015202020032005201020152020

Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6971,6233,563Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6011,6112,154Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,0038271,558Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6971,5363,792Dom Hardcoal2,6992,8251,6971,6233,563

Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9799,97038,773Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9789,9799,975Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9799,97219,543Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,97919,58438,861Imp Hardcoal5,9829,7689,9799,97038,773



HFO8,1556,3015,4135,3434,918HFO8,1556,3014,9486,5436,002HFO8,1556,3017,4866,5077,281HFO8,1556,3015,4136,3296,223HFO8,1556,3015,4135,3434,918

Diesel1,0462,0751,5271,5111,384Diesel1,0462,075235282308Diesel1,0462,075154170188Diesel1,0462,0751,527229227Diesel1,0462,0751,5271,5111,384

Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523Hydro - large35,33041,88954,60965,65292,418Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523Hydro - large35,33041,88957,00982,095109,523

Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000Hydro - small00000

Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385Geothermal89122385385385

Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382Wind62564,8906,6378,382





Hardcoal8,68112,59311,67711,59342,337Hardcoal8,68112,59311,57811,59012,129Hardcoal8,68112,59310,98310,79821,101Hardcoal8,68112,59311,67721,12042,653Hardcoal8,68112,59311,67711,59342,337








CO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONS


Electric68.9181.79116.53151.80221.96Electric68.9181.79107.14136.55163.06Electric68.9181.79111.85146.18193.79Electric68.9181.79116.53162.69234.07Electric68.9181.79116.53151.80221.96

Industry73.6175.29115.46146.53196.42Industry73.6175.2997.60126.74161.40Industry73.6175.29107.33128.22167.83Industry73.6175.29115.46146.52196.36Industry73.6175.29115.46146.53196.42

Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44Transport37.4543.1960.1280.03102.44

Residential25.0130.9245.7157.6465.21Residential25.0130.9245.3754.6664.43Residential25.0130.9242.9151.5655.82Residential25.0130.9245.7157.6465.21Residential25.0130.9245.7157.6465.21

Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61Agriculture8.449.5311.9914.9718.61

Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00Supply0.000.000.000.000.00

TOTAL213.42240.73349.81450.98604.63TOTAL213.42240.73322.22412.94509.94TOTAL213.42240.73334.19420.96538.49TOTAL213.42240.73349.81461.85616.69TOTAL213.42240.73349.81450.98604.63

TOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYONTOPLAM EMSYON


Electric70,06482,940117,980153,406223,839Electric70,06482,940108,523138,085164,684Electric70,06482,940113,216147,663195,490Electric70,06482,940117,980164,324235,985Electric1,8291,9952,6903,2604,484

Industry74,62476,230116,816148,182198,532Industry74,62476,23098,760128,183163,166Industry74,62476,230108,592129,664169,643Industry74,62476,230116,816148,166198,479Industry1,9251,8762,8183,5034,631



Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,47219,232Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,46419,232Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,47219,232Agriculture8,7619,89512,38915,47219,232Agriculture398449510637791

Supply6380184210234Supply6380182198194Supply6380187209206Supply6380185212235Supply6380184210234


TOPLAM ENERJ ARZI

2005201020152020

Referans92,281128,562170,528223,003

Dk Talep92,281119,522152,425196,945

Talep Ynetimi92,281122,754154,079199,142

Nkleersiz92,281128,563166,805219,951

TOPLAM NHA ENERJ ARZI

2005201020152020

Referans73,433103,425135,834176,551

Dk Talep73,43395,944123,786158,028

Talep Ynetimi73,43398,788125,398160,317

Nkleersiz73,433103,425135,834176,551

CO2 EMSYONLARI

2005201020152020

Referans241350451605

Dk Talep241322413510

Talep Ynetimi241334421538

Nkleersiz241350462617

605

510-95

538-67

61712

Fark

Milyon ABD

Dolar

Referans Senaryo

Dk Talep-32

Talep Ynetimi-42

Nkleersiz39

CO'

ndirim

Referans Senaryo

Dk Talep-615

Talep Ynetimi-366

Nkleersiz92

CO2 EMISSIONSReferansDk TalepTalep YnetimiNkleersiz

Pollutant

Elektrik36.732.036.038.0

Sanayi32.531.731.231.8

Ulatrma16.920.119.016.6

Konut ve Hizmetler10.812.610.410.6

Tarm3.13.63.53.0

Supply

TOTAL100100100100

221.96163.06193.79234.07

196.42161.40167.83196.36

102.44102.44102.44102.44

65.2164.4355.8265.21

18.6118.6118.6118.61

0.000.000.000.00

604.63509.94538.49616.69

ELEKTRK ENERJS TALEB

2005201020152020

Referans160,470241,964356,116499,385

Dk Talep160,470216,700294,517406,482

Talep Ynetimi160,470226,623321,559445,663

Nkleersiz160,470241,964356,116499,385

92280.992976623492280.992976623492280.992976623492280.9929766234

128561.880547642119521.531463978122753.823790021128563.15257758

170528.020499385152424.746527273154078.681833219166805.437321804

223002.912877375196945.238371702199141.553913465219951.080476282

Art Hzlar R %6,1; D %5,2 ;TY %5,3 ;N %6

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz


Genel Enerji Talep Senaryolar, 2005-2020

73433.309117976873433.309117976873433.309117976873433.3091179768

103425.40316144995944.234715516198787.5701213944103425.403169105

135834.067900342123785.825919207125397.892765003135834.066676555

176551.279709774158028.339820232160316.76730745176551.277187013

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz


Nihai Enerji Talep Senaryolar, 2005-2020

240.7272212014240.7272310618240.7272310618240.7272310618

349.8127084334322.2205611366334.1894999274349.8120362414

450.9809409119412.9440058497420.9634435366461.8532846646

604.6315053485509.9424070655538.4944456755616.6863195849

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

Milyon Ton

CO2 Emisyonlar, 2005-2020

-31.6-42.439.1

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

$/ton

Ton Bana C02 ndirim Maliyet Verimlilii

-614.937-365.72492.283

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

Milyon Ton

Kmlatif C02 ndirim Miktar

36.709378071132.485510236516.942036885110.78471743383.0783573736

31.97655649431.650947851520.08793370312.63459845213.6499634994

35.987975249431.166520928519.022831800310.36623552973.456436492

37.955604340631.841646157616.610858616710.57370839323.0181824919

Elektrik

Sanayi

Ulatrma

Konut ve Hizmetler

Tarm

Sektrel Bazda CO2 Emisyonlar -2020

160470.009025736160470.009025736160470.009025736160470.009025736

241963.973294759216699.740350347226623.200081069241963.973294759

356115.976745776294517.236686325321559.262758906356115.976745776

499385.361040551406481.902362142445662.699825144499385.361040551

Referans

Dk Talep

Talep Ynetimi

Nkleersiz

GWh

Elektrik Enerjisi Talebi, 2005-2020

2007-2020 YILLARI ARASINDA ENERJ SEKTR YATIRIM HTYACI (Milyon ABD DOLARI ) YKSEK SENARYO

ttk

2005-2020 YILLARI TAKMR SEKTR PROJEKSYONU

YILTAKMRTAKMR RETM (TON)YATIRIM HTYACI ($)THALAT* THAL TAKMR

TALEB (TON)TTKZEL SEKTRTOPLAMTTKZEL SEKTRTONFNANSMAN HTYACI ($)

200317,487,0002,011,1782,011,1787,700,00015,475,8222,011,856,8602019.55686

200426,054,0001,880,8471,880,8478,400,00024,173,1533,142,509,8903150.90989

200528,018,0001,900,0001,900,00015,600,00026,118,0003,395,340,0003410.94

200625,516,0003,050,000500,0003,550,00047,000,000205,000,00021,966,0002,855,580,0003107.58

200724,794,0004,050,0001,500,0005,550,00045,000,000185,000,00019,244,0002,501,720,0002731.72

200823,340,0004,500,0002,500,0007,000,00045,000,000120,000,00016,340,0002,124,200,0002289.2

200925,578,0005,000,0003,250,0008,250,00042,500,00012,000,00017,328,0002,252,640,0002307.14

201028,273,0005,000,0004,000,0009,000,00018,500,00012,000,00019,273,0002,505,490,0002535.99

201130,854,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00021,354,0002,776,020,0002801.52

201234,588,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00025,088,0003,261,440,0003286.94

201338,020,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00028,520,0003,707,600,0003733.1

201441,374,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00031,874,0004,143,620,0004169.12

201544,952,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00035,452,0004,608,760,0004634.26

201648,692,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00039,192,0005,094,960,0005120.46

201754,134,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00044,634,0005,802,420,0005827.92

201861,283,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00051,783,0006,731,790,0006757.29

201969,505,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00060,005,0007,800,650,0007826.15

202080,823,0005,000,0004,500,0009,500,00013,500,00012,000,00071,323,0009,271,990,0009297.49

* Takmr ortalama sat fiyat 130 $/TON (FOB)

tki

milyon$

LNYT

30

51

392

420

376

128

308

168

308

280

308

308

336

238

322

168

4141

elektrik

YATIRIM GDERLER (MLYON DOLAR)YATIRIM GDERLER (MLYON DOLAR)ea

REFERANS ZM (Nkleer 2012-2014-2015)DK TALEPL ZM (Nkleer 2015-2017-2018)

DITOPLAMDITOPLAM200519047947250001.6122974395161.29032

200420040002006-20202974.39516129032974.3951612903

200520901102005321243164.3951612903

200682418500200613106119

2007444117316172007221235456teda

2008959255535152008244274518

2009134032174557200944710531500yllk ortalama 3503756000

2010173135185249201089521203016

2005-2010457510972155472005-2010182338095632

YILLIK76318292591YILLIK304635939

20111872355054222011111527963911

20121796311749132012106125353596

20131539286144002013135326614014

20141289294542342014167527444419

20151587411256992015172724274155

2011-2015808416585246692011-201569311316320094

YILLIK161733174934YILLIK138626334019

20162146588780332016147122203691

201727168000107162017128327674051

201828768373112502018151336135127

201929497751107012019194747836730

202028857475103612020220657197925

2016-20201357337487510602016-202084211910227523

YILLIK2715749710212YILLIK168438205505

TOPLAM* (2005-2020)262336504391276TOPLAM* (2005-2020)171753607453249

YILLIK (2005-2020)164040655705YILLIK (2005-2020)107322553328

Not: Yatrm bedelleri sadece santral harcamalarn gstermektedir.Not: Yatrm bedelleri sadece santral harcamalarn gstermektedir.

letim hatlar yatrmlar dahil deildir.letim hatlar yatrmlar dahil deildir.

na halindeki ve EPDK'tan lisans alm santrallarn yatrmlar dahil deildir.na halindeki ve EPDK'tan lisans alm santrallarn yatrmlar dahil deildir.

Model almas 2030 ylna kadar yapld iin 2020 yl sonrasnda yaplacakModel almas 2030 ylna kadar yapld iin 2020 yl sonrasnda yaplacak

santrallarn bu dneme yansyan yatrm harcamalar dahil edilmitir.santrallarn bu dneme yansyan yatrm harcamalar dahil edilmitir.

Maliyetlere inaat dnemi faizleri dahil deildir.Maliyetlere inaat dnemi faizleri dahil deildir.

petrol

dogalgaz

DOALGAZ VE LNG THALAT HTYACI

(106Sm3)(103Sm3)

PROJE FNANSMANTHAL FNANSMANTOPLAM

20053792484108.696093792484108.69609YILLARRETMTALEPNET THALAT

20064332374842.029424332374842.029422003561213742082320823000

2007475227750047522775002004592234022281022810000

2008548114850054811485002005464257472528325283227

2009594635700059463570002006374292562888228882499

2010635486850063548685002007336320183168231681850

2011575686000057568600002008322368633654136540990

2012588276125058827612502009273399153964239642380

2013615199125061519912502010258426244236642365790

2014625069875062506987502011250463054605546054880

2015639033375063903337502012243473054706247062090

2016657088375065708837502013247494634921649215930

2017670900125067090012502014245502515000650005590

2018691962625069196262502015234513575112351122670

2019719690250071969025002016234528015256752567070

2020738100750073810075002017233539055367253672010

2018237555945535755357010

2019242578175757557575220

2020252593005904859048060

PROJE FNANSMANTHAL FNANSMANTOPLAM

toplambota

200537923792nabuko4000800

200643324332yunanistan332100

200747524752samsun-ceyhan350350

200854815481tamamlama600

200959465946drtyol-ceyhan50

201063556355depolama100

201157575757kompres ist60

201258835883bakm64040

20136152615246822700

201462516251

201563906390

201665716571

201767096709

201869206920

201971977197

202073817381

toplam

TRKYE ENERJ FATURASI

Milyon $

YILLARTAKMRLNYTTOPLAM KMRPETROLDOAL GAZELEKTRKGENEL TOPLAM

20052020302050379211059525952

20063151513202433250080358035KMR (Arama-retim)4950ARAMA RETM

200734113923803475216171017210172PETROL (Yurtd dahil rezerv ekleme ve gerekli yatrm)15350rezerv ekleme ve gerekli yatrm YURTDII DAHL

200831084203528548135151252312523DOAL GAZ1750

200927323763108594645571361113611ELEKTRK98950

037333084041639056991613116131TOPLAM121000

041693084477657180331908119081

0463433649706709107162239522395

0512023853586920112502352823528

0582832261507197107012404824048

0675716869257381103612466724667

toplam44663294947612065472670581801420

YATIRIM FNANSMAN

TAKMRLNYTTOPLAM KMRPETROLDOAL GAZELEKTRKGENEL TOPLAM

2005830380110147

2006851590500560

200716392408016172024

2008252420672035154187

2009230376606045575163

2010165128293000

201155308363000

201231168199000

201326308334000

201426280306000

201526308334056996033

201626308334080338367

20172633636201071611077

20182623826401125011513

20192632234801070111048

20202616819401036110554

toplam968414151090000

THAL FNANSMAN

TAKMRPETROLDOAL GAZGENEL TOPLAM

2005201237925804

2006314343327475

2007339547528148

2008285654818337

2009250259468448

2010212463558479

2011225357578010

2012250558838388

2013277661528928

2014326162519512

20153708639010098

20164144657110715

20174609670911318

20185095692012015

20195802719712999

20206732738114113

toplam56916095870152786

Sayfa6

Sayfa4

MBD001C92C6.xls

evrim

Hid+jeo476174761749874535795477954941573936058066035721547797482479874869279998300104249109908

TABLO 11

ENERJ EVRM TESSLER ENER TALEB VE KAYIPLAR

(Orjinal Birimler)

(BRM)/YIL200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

SANTRALLAR

Takmr(Bin Ton)36685722409445924770525052765296528252505230521452325180643589461199517915

Yerli1502216199814978581330135513741359132913091294131312671262126117892677

thal21663561309530953912392039213922392239223921392039183913517376841020615238

Linyit(Bin Ton)3478832706274174019986760881289092491176102336107531118606128826139770150731162505179048190101196504

Afin Elbistan7319517251721340440377405734067140813502675487464340737748315492629102023116134125575130294

2246Dier274692753422246267954638447555502535036352069526575426655052566165810260482629136452666210

20578Petrol(Bin Ton)226832312869286962494138116701590153716331603164913261415144714851519

2602Fuel Oil205925202238223849385107713031240119912741251128710341104112911581185

9873Motorin14388344344759166200191184196192198159170174178182

59098LPG1226201201435971171111081141121159399101104106

9132Nafta195978686215415048464948494042434546

160Doalgaz124591150814565154091516016177180402076322677231262486225258259712700927695289503078531800

47617Yenilenebilir(Bin Ton)

449Hidrolik retim(GWh)35330474374728749496531955439554557570096019665651717707759082095871029241597916103865109524

1121Jeotermal retim(GWh)89180330378384384384384384384384384384384384384384384

150634Rzgar retim61160160240238414192454148905238558759386287663669857334768480338382

Nkleer retim(GWh)105271052721052315793157931579315793157931579

Elektrik retim Kapasitesi(GWh)180787200364222371228512240352241129255054272742295975321133346212373593402642421694445400477945511411543889

Elektrik retimi(GWh)140581151306160000176400190700206400223500242020262000283500306100330300356200372136392593421493451393481383

Net Elektrik ithalat(GWh)571-6721086418107181071810718107

Tketim ve Datm Kayb(GWh)311363184432350352003650037800391004036841400428004410046200491295210055100579006150064925

KOK FABRKALARI

Takmr(Bin Ton)403241774427458147414907511353275612591162276559682372527708819287079254

Metalurjik Kok retimi(Bin Ton)287830913320348136503828401442094433467049195182545958026166655369657403

PETROL RAFNERLER

Kayp(Bin Ton)122512151241129512461319140714741531159316631731180418651944202121002178

Petrol(Bin Ton)166116901705173917751811184918871926196620082050207721222167221422622279

Elektrik(GWh)169016921694169616981700170217041706170817101712171417161718172017221724

BRKET FABRKALARI

Linyit(Bin Ton)4322222222222222222

Petrol(Bin Ton)1411111111111111111

Briket retimi(Bin Ton)4722222222222222222

DER TKETMLER

Takmr(Bin Ton)5073100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100

Linyit(Bin Ton)113278299321345371398428460531570590613659708760817878

Doalgaz246170180220240260280300300300310320320320320320260260

TABLO 12

ENERJ EVRM TESSLER ENERJ TALEB VE KAYIPLAR

(BN TEP)

200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

SANTRALLAR

Takmr1774309822612420262227782786279327882778277227662771275335085014683810389

Yerli6769614035632754264334404354254194144204054044047151247

thal109821371857185723472352235323532353235323532352235123483104461161239143

Linyit63155474449862151302813264138321386215292159531736518563199632136422972250882650127426

Afin Elbistan8055435431407424042604270428552785762675677468731972610712121941318513681

Dier5510493139554808878990049561957610014101911061010816112321163812260128941331513745

Petrol220131012755275560474132616041526147515681539158312721358138914251459

Fuel Oil19772340207920794635710001211115111141184116311969601025104910751101

Motorin14402356356761172207198190203199205165176180184188

LPG1255227227540110132125122129127130105112114118120

Nafta2101049292216445452495352534345464849

Doalgaz11338960712158128631262113470150261729818896192712072021050216452251223085241322566426511

Yenilenebilir

Santral Yakt Tketimi216282128021672242532833129986329693555738502394774242543918459634790150923556246042865786

Hidrolik retim303840804067425745754678469249035177564661726673706074917948842189329419

Jeotermal retim77155284325330330330330330330330330330330330330330330

Rzgar retimi51414207330361391421450480511541571601631661691721

Nkleer retim274327435486822982298229822982298229

Elektrik Santrallar Girdisi247482552826036290413356735355383824121044460486785218156948621546455268061732657861184485

Elektrik retim Kapasitesi155481723119124196522067020737219352345625454276172977432129346273626638304411034398146774

Elektrik retimi120901301213760151701640017750192212081422532243812632528406306333200433763362483882041399

EVRM KAYBI126581251612276138711716617604191612039721928242972585728542315213254934298370173979143086

TKETM VE DAITIM KAYBI267827392782302731393251336334723560368137933973422544814739497952895584

TOPLAM TKETM VE KAYIP153361525415058168982030520855225242386825488279772964932515357463702939036419964508048670

KOK FABRKALARI

Takmr298425482700279428922993311932503423360637984001416244244702499753115645

Metalurjik Kok retimi201421632324243725552679281029463103326934433627382140614316458748765182

EVRM KAYBI970384376357337314309304320337355374341363385410435463

PETROL RAFNERLER

KAYIP151112761303135913091385147715481608167317461818189419592041212322052287

Petrol171917361752178918271865190519461988203120752121214821962245229523472362

Elektrik145146146146146146146147147147147147147148148148148148

RAFNER TKETM186418811898193519732011205120922135217822222268229623432392244324952510

TOPLAM TKETM VE KAYIP337531583200329432813396352936413743385039684086419043024433456546994797

BRKET FABRKALARI

Linyit1311111111111111111

Petrol1311111111111111111

Yakt Talebi2622222222222222222

Briket retimi2411111111111111111

EVRM KAYBI311111111111111111

DER TKETMLER

Takmr314561616161616161616161616161616161

Linyit34839096104111119128138159171177184198212228245263

Doalgaz224155164200218237255273273273282291291291291291237237

TOPLAM TKETM288283315358383409435462472493514529536550565580543561

TKETM VE DAITIM KAYBI TOPLAMI483049034994531954945671584960276167635265296770705773747695800283268654

EVRM KAYBI TOPLAMI151421417713956155881881219304209482224923856263072795830735337573487136725395494243245837

TOPLAM KAYIP199721907918950209072430624975267972827530023326593448737505408144224444420475525075854491

TOPLAM KAYIP (Rafineri hari)181081719817052189732233422964247462618327889304813226535237385183990142028451094826351981

0.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000

ARZ-TALEP

TABLO 1

GENEL ENERJ SEKTREL TALEB

(BN TEP)NHA ENERJ SEKTREL TALEBNHA ENERJ SEKTREL TALEB

PAY %ARTI %

FERT BA.KONTROL

ENERJTOP.NHAEVRMTOP.BRNC.TKETMFARKENERJTOP.NHAENERJTOP.NHA

YILLARSANAY(*)KONUTULATIRMATARIMDIIEN.TALEBSEKTREN.TALEBkep/kiiYILLARSANAY(*)KONUTULATIRMATARIMDIIEN.TALEBYILLARSANAY(*)KONUTULATIRMATARIMDIIEN.TALEB

2003285981951712396308720986569618108838041184-083804200343.529.718.94.73.2100.02003

200430583205501323433502183699001719887098121108709832944204200443.829.418.94.83.1100.020046.95.36.88.54.16.4

200532468216501429934892244741501705291202124809120241054250200543.829.219.34.73.0100.020056.25.48.04.12.86.1

200634406229001540036452305786561897397629131709762964264506200643.729.119.64.62.9100.020066.05.87.74.52.76.1

20073647224250165503810236883450223341057841407010578481554794200743.729.119.84.62.8100.020076.05.97.54.52.76.12005-10

20083866625720177003985242988500229641114641461011146456805050200843.729.120.04.52.7100.020086.06.16.94.62.66.16.0

20094098727300187904170249393740247461184861532011848670225240200943.729.120.04.42.7100.020096.06.16.24.62.65.9

20104354229019199154370255699402261831255851601012558570995662201043.829.220.04.42.6100.020106.26.36.04.82.56.0

201146311308002110045712618105400278891332891678013328977045998201143.929.220.04.32.5100.020116.46.16.04.62.56.0

201249227326502237047752683111705304811421861769014218688976305201244.129.220.04.32.4100.020126.36.06.04.52.56.02010-15

201352013345002370049882749117950322651502151846015021580296245201344.129.220.14.22.3100.020135.75.75.94.52.55.65.7

201454724364502510052102816124300352371595371938015953793226350201444.029.320.24.22.3100.020145.25.75.94.52.55.4

201557591385072654154432886130968385181694862034016948699496668201544.029.420.34.22.2100.020155.25.65.74.52.55.4

201660949404002800056902957137996399011778972113017789784117028201644.229.320.34.12.1100.020165.84.95.54.52.55.4

201764800421502948059433030145403420281874312203018743195347407201744.629.020.34.12.1100.020176.34.35.34.42.55.42015-20

2018691024390031000620331051533104510919841923080198419109887907201845.128.620.24.02.0100.020186.64.25.24.42.55.45.4

2019737534570032500647531821616104826320987324160209873114548300201945.628.320.14.02.0100.020196.74.14.84.42.55.4

2020786904754934039675332611702925198122227325330222273124008682202046.227.920.04.01.9100.020206.74.04.74.32.55.4

2005-20155.95.96.44.52.55.9

(*) Rafineri talebi dahildir.2005-20206.15.46.04.52.55.7

2005-20300.00.00.00.00.00.0

TABLO 2

NHA ENERJ KAYNAK TALEB

(BN TEP)

(*)

FOS.VE(*)METALURJKTOPLAMTCARNHA

YILLARMOT.YAK.ELEKTRKGNEKOKF.STOCKTCAROLMAYANTALEP

20034638894613502014173559948574865696

200449843102163772163176964368553269900

200553311109784092324180368825532574150

200656694121434252437183073529512778656

200760398132614412555185878513493783450

200864219145004602679188683744475688500

200968101158584752810191489158458293740

201072260173424952946194394986441699402

20117650218972515310319801010724328105400

20128094020700536326920181074634242111705

20138520122532558344320561137914159117950

20148948624433580362720951202214079124300

20159399826408605382121351269674001130968

20169865528457650406121891340123984137996

201710359730582697431622441414363967145403

201810889632826748458723011493583952153310

201911454735088803487623591576723938161610

202012053237373862518224181663673925170292

(*) Rafineri talebi dahildir.

TABLO 3TABLO 3(DESTEK)

ELEKTRK ENERJS TALEBELEKTRK ENERJS TALEBELEKTRK ENERJS TALEBELEKTRK ENERJS TALEB

(GWh)(TEP)

ARTI %PAY %

FERT BA.TOPLAM

TKETM TKETM

BRTNET(*)(KWh/Kii)VE KAYIPBRTNET(*)BRTNETNET

YILLARTALEPTALEPSANAYKONUTULATIRMATARIM(Brt)NFUS%YILLARTALEPTALEPSANAYKONUTULATIRMATARIMYILLARTALEPTALEPSANAYKONUTULATIRMATARIMYILLARTALEPSANAYKONUTULATIRMATARIM

20031411521100165319352266890366719947077822.061.2830200312139946145754495773152003200310048.447.50.83.3

20041506341187905790056100970382020947193021.141.268120041295510216497948258332920046.78.08.87.39.04.2200410048.747.20.83.2

200516000012765061477611001060401321897310120.221.253420051376010978528752

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