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OCTOBER 31, 20141

THE TRUMPET WEEKLYTHE TRUMPET WEEKLYO C T O B E R 3 1 , 2 0 1 4

Egypt demolishes homes along Gaza: Yawn 2

Britain out of Afghanistan: Whimper 5

Sweden recognizes Palestinian state: First 6

Sanctions bind Russian elite to Putin: Fail 6

Argentina: We wont invade Falklands: Honest 8

BY RICHARD PALMER

T B political party dedicated to getting thecountry out o the European Union, the UK Indepen-dence Party (), had its first member elected to

Parliament, October . And its on target to see its secondelected in just a ew weeks.

An Earthquake Called UKIP Hits Britain read the titleo Wall Street Journals coverage o the subject. Its rightthis is the biggest political earthquake to hit Britain or a

generation or more.For years has done well in local and European

elections, only to remain invisible on the national scene. Ina first-past-the-post system, such as Britain and Americas,it is very hard or a new party to break out nationally, butnow has done it, and with style. Its victorywinningroughly percent o the voteset a new record or thelargest increase in votes

British Opposition to the EUReaches New Heights

see HEIGHTS page 12

Newly-elected UKIP M.P. Douglas

Carswell poses with a copy of the

local paper in eastern England.

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OCTOBER 31, 20142THE TRUMPET WEEKLY

MIDDLE EAST

Te Egyptian Army has wageda broad offensive in northern Sinaiagainst Islamic militants who haveturned several areas into strong-holds in the past three years, andthe army has destroyed many o thesprawling smuggling tunnels thatconnected the area with Gaza.

Te Egyptian news media hasaccused Hamas officials in Gaza omeddling in Egypts affairs. Some

suggest that Hamas, an Islamicmilitant group, has been supportingfighters in Egypt since the Egyp-tian military overthrew PresidentMohamed Morsio the MuslimBrotherhood last year.

NATO WithdrawnFrom HelmandREUTERS | October 27

A planes and helicop-ters airlifed the last U.S. and

British orces rom a key base insouthern Aghanistan on Monday,a day afer the international coali-tion closed the massive acilityand handed it over to the Aghanmilitary.

Te troops withdrawal and baseclosing in the province o Hel-mand is one o the largest opera-tions in the winding down o the

Iran Wants SanctionsLifted as Part ofNuclear Deal

AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE | October 30

I all Western sanctionsto be lifed as part o a deal on itscontested nuclear program by aNovember deadline, a top official saidWednesday.

Te announcement came amidintensiying efforts to conclude adefinitive pact. Te six powers inthe talks with IranBritain, China,France, Russia, the United States plusGermany, known as the P+haveset November as the deadline.

Te chairman o the Iranianparliaments National Security andForeign Policy Commission AlaeddinBoroujerdi said the U.S. proposal o agradual lifing o sanctions was unac-ceptable.

I we want a definitive accord onNovember , there must be an im-mediate lifing o sanctions, he told anews conerence in Paris.

A Western diplomat close to the ne-gotiations with Iran on Monday saida firm deal by the deadline was highlyunlikely, saying ehran would have tomake significant gestures.

Te aim is to close avenues towardsehran ever developing an atomicbomb, by cutting back its enrichment

program, shutting down suspectacilities and imposing tough interna-tional inspections.

In return, the global communitywould suspend and then gradually lifcrippling economic sanctions imposedon the Islamic republic.

Evacuation AlongGaza Border

ASSOCIATED PRESS | October 28

T E authorities on ues-day ordered residents living alongthe countrys eastern border with theGaza Strip to evacuate the area sotheir homes could be demolished anda buffer zone established to stop weap-

ons and militant movements betweenEgypt and the Palestinian territory,officials said.

Te measure came our days afermilitants attacked an army post, kill-ing at least soldiers in the restivearea in the northeastern corner othe Sinai Peninsula. Afer the attack,Egypt declared a state o emergencyand a dawn-to-dusk curew there. Teauthorities also indefinitely closed theGaza crossing into Egypt.

Related: Just What Is Iran Up To?

A to ormer Iraqi President Jalal alabani,

Kamran Karadaghi, has confirmed reports o IranianSpecial Forces being present in northern Iraq and fightingalongside Peshmerga orces.

Karadaghi wrote on his Facebook page that Iraqi Kurd-ish politician and ormer member o the Iraqi ParliamentMahmoud Osman is right in saying Iranian general com-mander, Qassem Suleimani, thinks Iraq is his home, wherehe can come and go without question.

Osmans view is correct, because Suleimani scurriesrom the south to north o Iraq, supervising Iranian SpecialForces and the Shiite militia groups with are present inIraq, wrote Karadaghi.

Last week, Osman criticized the policies o PrimeMinister Haidar Abadi and accused him o being closerto ehran than ormer Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.

Abadi has granted Iran greater influence than Maliki

did, and we see that when the Iranian Quds Force leader,Qassem Suleimani, walks around Iraq rom the northto the south o the country as i he is the countrys realleader, said Osman.

I have met with the Iranian officer who supervisesthe Iranian orces in Iraq, and he knows Iraq in terms ogeography, politics and military better than most Iraqipoliticians, revealed Karadaghi.

Iranian Special Forces in IraqBASNEWS | October 25

Related: Is Iraq About to Fall to Iran?
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international combat mission in A-ghanistan, years afer the toppling othe radical, Islamist aliban regime.

Were not reugees or anything, butit kind o reminding me o scenes o

Vietnam, o people running to the he-licopters just this mad dash to theaircraf, [said Marine communica-tions officer Capt. Anthony] Nguyen,who is Vietnamese-American.

As the Western orces proceededwith their withdrawal, a new deadlyaliban attack underscored the ragil-ity o the country they leave behind.

At least seven people were killedwhen a group o aliban militants at-tacked a court in the northern city oKunduz, officials and police said.

Staff Sgt. Kenneth Oswood, oRomney, West Virginia, is one o theew members o the squadron whoparticipated in both the Iraq with-drawal and Mondays Helmand airlif.

Its a lot different this time. Closing out Iraq, when we got there,we were told there hadnt been a shotfired in anger at us in years. And thenyou come here and they are still shoot-ing at us, he said.

Its almost like its not over here,

and were just kind o handing it overto someone else to fight.

Foreign FightersPouring Into SyriaNBC NEWS | October 29

T U.S. and British counterter-rorism officials said uesday thatthe growing number and variety ooreign fighters streaming into Syria is

unprecedented in recent history.Te rate o travel into Syria [by

oreign fighters] is greater than we sawinto Aghanistan prior to /, RandyBlake, a senior strategic adviser in theU.S. Office o Director o National In-telligence, said uesday during a panelat the annual International Associa-tion o Chies o Police conerence inOrlando, Florida. Its greater thananything weve seen into Aghanistan,into Yemen, into Somalia, into Iraq

or anything that weve seen in the last-year period.

Blake said the number o Western-ers heading to Syria to fight has risenso rapidly in recent weeks that a new

law enorcement video shown at theour-day event is already out o date.Te video said there are some-

where around , oreign fightersin Syria. We would update that num-ber to about , oreign fighterswho have traveled to Syria rom over countries, Blake said, adding thatroughly , o those fighters hailrom Western countriesincluding

at least rom the UK, romFrance, rom Germany, and morethan Americans [who] have trav-

eled, or tried to travel into Syria. o me, the instant appeal o

participating in the caliphate thatshappening now, I think that resonateswith our young people. Our culture isone that grew up with instant grati-fication, instant inormation, said[Andrew McCabe, assistant directorin charge o the s Washingtonfield office.] Al Qaedas message hashistorically been, Tis is a long war,well fight the Great Satan [and] well

Related: The Path to Defeat inAfghanistan

T O administration and Iran, engaged in directnuclear negotiations and acing a common threat romIslamic State militants, have moved into an effective stateo dtente over the past year, according to senior U.S. andArab officials.

Te shif could drastically alter the balance o power inthe region, and risks alienating key U.S. allies such as SaudiArabia and United Arab Emirates who are central to thecoalition fighting Islamic State. Sunni Arab leaders viewthe threat posed by Shiite Iran as equal to, or greater than,that posed by the Sunni radical group Islamic State .

Israel contends the U.S. has weakened the terms o itsnegotiations with Iran and played down ehrans destabi-lizing role in the region.

Over the past decade, Washington and ehran haveengaged in fierce battles or influence and power in Iraq,Syria, Lebanon and Aghanistan ueled by the U.S. over-throw o Iraqi strongman Saddam Hussein and the Arab

Spring revolutions that began in late . U.S. officials stillsay the option o military action remains on the table tothwart Irans nuclear program.

But recent months have ushered in a change as the twocountries have grown into alignment on a spectrum o

causes, chie among them promoting peaceul politicaltransitions in Baghdad and Kabul and pursuing militaryoperations against Islamic State fighters in Iraq and Syria,according to these officials.

Te Obama administration also has markedly sofened

its conrontational stance toward Irans most importantnon-state allies, the Palestinian militant group, Hamas,and the Lebanese militant and political organization, He-zbollah. American diplomats, including Secretary o StateJohn Kerry, negotiated with Hamas leaders through urk-ish and Qatari intermediaries during ceasefire talks in Julythat were aimed at ending the Palestinian groups rocketattacks on Israel, according to senior U.S. officials.

Gen. Qassem Suleimani, the commander o the Guardsoverseas operations known as the Quds Force, specifically in-structed Iraqi Shiite militias long at war with the U.S. thatAmerican efforts to weaken Islamic State were in the long-term interests o ehran and its allies, said these officials.

Te Iraqi Shiite groups went to Suleimani and saidthey wanted to go afer the American embassy and targetAmericans. Suleimani said: No, No, No. Unless they getinto your areas o control, dont attack, [said a U.S. intel-ligence officer who tracks General Suleimani].

United States-Iran Relations Move to DtenteWALL STREET JOURNAL | October 28
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Related: ISIS Declaration of Caliphate:Strategy or Blunder?

try and establish a caliphate sometimein the uture. [Islamic State] has comeorward and said, Te time is now, itshappening now. We have our own ter-ritory, come join us.

Time Is Running Outfor Obama on SyriaJamie Dettmer, DAILY BEAST | October 30

O days ago, PresidentBarack Obamas envoy to the

Syrian rebels, retired Marine Gen.John Allen, explained confidently thatthe U.S. would help to train and equipWestern-backed fighters to become acredible orce that would compel theAssad regime to negotiate a politicaldeal and end the our-year-long civilwar.

Yeah. Right. Te Obama adminis-trations plans have little or nothingto do with what is unolding all toorapidly on the ground: Rebel brigadesare demoralized, disintegrating andfighting among themselves.

Te Americans and their allies arecarrying out a desultory air campaignin Syria that appears ocused on sup-port or the Kurds. Meanwhile, Presi-dent Bashar Assads orces maintain a

withering air offensive o their own onrebels and civilians alike in northernSyria.

Last week in a -hour period,Assads air orce launched air-strikes, according to generally reliableopposition activists. Tats more thanthe entire American-led coalition has

mounted in both Iraq and Syria sinceSeptember .

[R]ebel squabbling or U.S. neglectthe rebels the Obama administra-tion wants to build up to be credibleenough to orce the Assad regime tothe negotiating table look less con-

vincing with each passing day.

Related: Syria Is Ready to Explode

EU: Beginning ofFiscal Union

EU OBSERVER | October 27

E C PresidentJean-Claude Junckers bil-lion ( billion) investment plan

is laying the ground or a fiscal unionalthough no one dares call it such yet,according to a top EU official.

Laszlo Andor, in charge o employ-ment and social affairs in the commis-sion or the last five years, said, []hiseffort to create an investment programis an attempt to bring in elements o afiscal union without calling it a fiscalunion.

Te Hungarian economist, in aninterview with EU Observer,said EUpoliticians should be honest that only

a system o transers rom Brussels tomember states will enable the euro-zone to survive.

Junckers idea to use billionto kickstart the EUs economy hasgenerated a lot o headlines althoughit remains unclear where the moneywill come rom.

I we are honest, we will say pub-licly that this money either has to beprinted or transerred, Andor said, as

repainting money will not save the

EU rom stagnation. But he noted that even this would

not be enough i the European CentralBank whenever it wants to unction asa central bank immediately finds itselunder fire and the subject o variouslegal attacks with relations betweenBerlin and the European Central Bank

() reportedly at an all-time low overpolicies the Frankurt-based bank hastaken to try and boost growth andraise inflation.

Andor suggests that i Germanydoes not change its policies and the is hindered rom taking measuresto prevent deflation, the EU may entera Japanese-style long-term period olow growth.

But while Japan survived its decadeo low growth and is not in badshape, this was due to several actors

that do not apply to the eurozoneincluding almost ull employment,being a more homogenous society andhaving a fiscal union.

Europe is a lot more ragile. So Eu-rope would not endure a -year stag-nation or deflation as Japan did.

At one point, he indicated, coun-tries (such as Greece, which has lost aquarter o its since the crisis hasbegun) will begin to ask themselveswhy they are putting up with growth

that is lower than the U.S. or Japansimply because they are in an imper-ect monetary union.

Te question is likely to becomelouder as more and more countriesincluding core ones like Austria andthe Netherlandssuffer a downturn.

Without economic governance you

ace the risk o these imbalances againbut you dont want to have economicgovernance which otherwise under-mines the unctioning o democracyor the social dialogue.

Te EU still has not managed tosquare this circlealthough the issueis becoming increasingly politicallysensitive. Andor suggests a Europeanassembly o national parliamentariansmay be the way orward.

Child Sex ExploitationIs a Social NormClaire Duffin, TELEGRAPH | October 30

M , selfies andsexting have led to the sexualexploitation o children becoming the

norm in some areas, a report claims.Te inquiry, which Teresa May,

the Home Secretary, described asalarming, ound that some girls were

EUROPE
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T between yesterdays low-key military cere-mony at Camp Bastion to mark the end o British combatoperations in Aghanistan and the way the nation celebrat-ed victory in the Falklands could not be more stark. Backin , the heroics o the victorious soldiers, sailors and air-

men who participated in the daring operation to liberate theislands rom their Argentine invaders were marked by rep-resentatives o the ask Force marching through the centero London to Guildhall or lunch with [then-Prime MinisterMargaret] Tatcher and the Lord Mayor, while overheadhelicopters and aircraf staged a triumphant fly-past.

By comparison, yesterdays event at Camp Bastion, Brit-ains main military base in Helmand province or the pasteight years, was a more perunctory affair, with pipers play-ing as the Union flag was lowered, to be replaced with thato the host nation. And there will be many who will see themanner in which we have marked the end o these two verydifferent conflicts as representing the radical change that

has taken place during the past years in our national at-titude towards conflict.

Back [then] there was nationwide rejoicing at the askForces remarkable achievement, and fitting tributes to the British Service personnel who made the ultimate sacri-fice during the endeavor.

But there will be no proud marches through the streetso London or fly-pasts to commemorate the heroic effortso the tens o thousands o British military personnel whohave served in Aghanistan or the past decade or more, ina conflict that has claimed lives .

Indeed, such was the Ministry o Deenses determina-tion to keep the official end to operations as understated aspossible that initially ministers wanted to carry it out with-out having any media present, keeping the public entirelyin the dark about the conclusion o our vexed involvement

in the Aghan mission. Te ailure o our political classes to justiy the deploy-

ment o British combat orces in order to prevent Aghani-stan acting as a sae haven or Islamist terrorists has led towidespread unease about the mission and a general reluc-tance to accept that they will leave the country a ar betterplace than they ound it. It was the same with Iraq, wherethe urore over the search or weapons o mass destructioncompletely overshadowed the UKs initial military successand meant that, rather than paying proper tribute to the British atalities, we stole away rom Basra at the end othe campaign like a thie in the night.

And it is those same politicians, certainly so ar as the

army is concerned, who are now in the process o reducingour military strength to a level where we will soon no lon-ger be able to undertake a military operation on the scale oIraq and Aghanistan, even i we wanted to.

Cuts to the Armys standing strength as a result o the Strategic Deense and Security Review have been well-documented, with a reduction rom , to ,itslowest size since the Napoleonic Wars. What is less wellunderstood is the disastrous impact these cuts are havingon the Armys ability to replicate the kind o missions ithas undertaken in Iraq and Aghanistan.

Was This the British Armys Last Hurrah?Con Coughlin, TELEGRAPH | October 27

regularly approached by older menand urged to get into cars on theirway home rom school, but that suchinstances were part o everyday liebecause they had become normalized.

It also said that almost childrenreported missing in Greater Manches-ter this year were at risk o exploita-tion.

Te independent inquiry was ledby Ann Coffey, the Labor M.P. orStockport. It was commissioned in re-

sponse to the Rochdale child sex abusescandal, which involved the groomingo young girls with alcohol, drugs andgifs.

Ms. Coffey said: My observationswill make painul reading or thosewho hoped that Rochdale was an iso-lated case. Tis is a real and ongoingproblem. I have been concerned aboutthe number o people who have toldme that in some neighbourhoods childsexual exploitation had become the

new social norm.Tis social norm has perhaps been

ueled by the increased sexualizationo children and young people andan explosion o explicit music videosand the normalization o quasi-pornographic images. Sexting, selfies,Instagram and the like have givenrise to new social norms and changedexpectations o sexual entitlement,and with it a conused understandingo what constitutes consent.

A serious case review into the Ro-chdale grooming ring criticized policeand social workers or ailing the girlswho were passed around or sex.

TW I N B R I E F

n Germany to expand operationsacross the Middle EastFrom Syria to Aghanistan, the Ger-man government is investigating waysto bee up its military presence in

the Middle East. German Chancel-lor Angela Merkel plans to talk toAmerica about extending its militaryspresence in Aghanistan beyond ,newsmagazine Der Spiegel reportedearly this month. German troops arescheduled to leave its largest base bythe end o next year, but ChancellorMerkel does not believe the Aghansecurity services will be ready totake over by then, Spiegel wrote. OnOctober , German Foreign Minis-

ter Frank-Walter Steinmeier warnedagainst a rush out o the country inthe Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntag-szeitung. On October , a Germanteam traveled to the Kurdish capital oIrbil, Iraq to lay the groundwork or apotential German training mission inthe region. And or Syria, GermanysGreen Partyone o the nations mostpacifist political groupscalled orGerman boots on the ground as parto a United Nations mission. America

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is trying to do as little as possible orthe region, while Germany is startingto take more responsibility. For moreon this trend, read Te Worlds NextSuperpower.

n Chinese cabinet visits BerlinChinese Premier Li Keqiang, hisentire cabinet and business lead-

ers were received in Berlin with ull

military honors on October . Tetwo cabinets met and, along with thebusiness leaders, signed agreementsand contracts worth over . bil-lion. German Chancellor AngelaMerkel praised the very intensivecooperation that exists between thetwo nations, while Premier Li calledGermany the locomotive or coop-

eration between China and Europe.

Germany and China have emerged asleaders o their respective regions, andthe close trade relationship betweenthe two is an important trendonethat will lead to the creation o aneconomic system that is not centeredon America. For more inormationon this trend, read Brad Macdonaldsarticle Te Significance o Improving

German-Chinese Relations.

biggest oil producer, borne out in anintensiying price war or domesticgas consumers.

Te mere suggestion that suchrivals could cooperate to reduce theimpact o sanctions is one o the

strongest signals yet o how, aferseven months, Western measures arehaving the opposite effect to the oneintended.

Far rom dividing those closest toPresident Vladimir Putin, they haveorced the main players in the energysector to rally behind him. Tis circlehas by necessity become more ocused,Western and Russian businessmen,diplomats and politicians said.

Te influence o more liberal

thinkers in the government has beencurtailed, sources close to decision-making say, including in the vitalenergy sector. Te already small innercore o decision makers has shrunkeven urther.

We underestimated the Russianreaction, said a Western envoy basedin Moscow who spoke on condition oanonymity.

Rosnef and Gazprom are bothheaded by Putin allies[Alexey]Miller at Gazprom and Igor Sechin atRosnef. Both men hail rom St. Peters-burg, where Putin started his politicalcareer afer serving in the .

But there is no obvious riendshipbetween the men. Tey barely look at

S Tursday became the biggest WesternEuropean country to recognize a Palestinian state, andIsrael swifly reacted by withdrawing its ambassador romStockholm in protest.

Coming during increased tensions between Arabs

and Jews over Israels plans to build , housing unitsin East Jerusalem, the move by Swedens new lef-leaninggovernment reflects growing international impatience withIsraels nearly hal-century control o the West Bank, EastJerusalem and its blockade o the Gaza Strip.

Foreign Minister Margot Wallstrom said Sweden, ulfill-ing a promise it had made when the Social Democratic-ledgovernment took office earlier this month, believes the Pal-estinians have met the international law criteria requiredor such recognition.

Tere is a territory, a people and government, she toldreporters in Stockholm, adding that Sweden was the thcountry in the world to recognize a Palestinian state.

It is the third Western European nation to do so, afer

Malta and Cyprus.Israel was quick to condemn Swedens announcement,

with Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman describing it asa miserable decision that strengthens the extremist ele-ments and Palestinian rejectionism.

Israel says Palestinians can gain independence onlythrough peace negotiations, and that recognition o Pales-tine at the UN or by individual countries undermines thenegotiating process. Palestinians say Israeli Prime MinisterBenjamin Netanyahu isnt serious about the peace negotia-tions.

While the U.S. and European powers have so ar re-rained rom recognizing Palestinian independence, theyhave become increasingly critical o Israeli settlementconstruction. Te -nation European Union has urgedthat negotiations to achieve a two-state solution resume assoon as possible.

In a symbolic move, British lawmakers earlier this

month voted in avor o recognizing Palestine as a state.

Sweden Recognizes Palestinian StateASSOCIATED PRESS | October 30

Sanctions BindRussias Elite to PutinREUTERS | October 29

A by Gazprom to help rival

Rosnef salvage an Arctic oil proj-ect shows how tightly sanctions havebound Russias political and businesselite together in the Ukraine crisisan unintended consequence o theWests punitive measures.

Te relationship between the twostate-run firms has long been strained.Most recently Gazprom, successor tothe Soviet gas ministry, has been wor-ried by Rosnefs ambition to increaseits gas output having become Russias

ASIA
https://www.thetrumpet.com/article/11139.32575.160.0/united-states/the-worlds-next-superpowerhttps://www.thetrumpet.com/article/11139.32575.160.0/united-states/the-worlds-next-superpowerhttps://www.thetrumpet.com/article/9456.8316.0.0/economy/the-significance-of-improving-german-chinese-relationshttps://www.thetrumpet.com/article/9456.8316.0.0/economy/the-significance-of-improving-german-chinese-relationshttps://www.thetrumpet.com/article/9456.8316.0.0/economy/the-significance-of-improving-german-chinese-relationshttps://www.thetrumpet.com/article/9456.8316.0.0/economy/the-significance-of-improving-german-chinese-relationshttps://www.thetrumpet.com/article/11139.32575.160.0/united-states/the-worlds-next-superpowerhttps://www.thetrumpet.com/article/11139.32575.160.0/united-states/the-worlds-next-superpower

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Putins propaganda machine has shift-ed into overdrive to convince Russiansto associate the new hardships with theheroic struggles of World War II ratherthan with the miscarried economy ofthe Soviet Union. As a result, most

Russians view their setbacks as noblesacrifices made in the name of the wareffort. Western attempts to isolateRussia have failed. [We] do not agreewith those who think he wont survivethe current turmoil. Trumpet,October 2014

each other at public unctions and areconspicuously silent about each other.In a surprising commentary our yearsago, Sechin criticized Gazprom or be-ing too slow in Asia and said it shouldraise its game.

With no access to unds romWestern banks or companies, thoserunning the main state oil companiesare bound even closer to Putin as theyhope to win money rom some o Rus-sias rainy-day unds.

Washington and Brussels hopedto create rifs in Putins inner circleand persuade his allies to press or achange in policy towards Ukraine,where Moscow has annexed theCrimean Peninsula and backed sepa-

ratists in the East.Tough the euphoria that ralliedRussians behind Putin over Crimea isexpected to wear off, most in Putinsinner circle have said they wear thebadge o sanctions with pride.

India Boosts DefensePreparednessRIA NOVOSTI | October 25

I on Saturday a bulk o

deense projects worth billion ina bid to boost the countrys nationaldeense preparedness, the Indian De-ense Acquisition Council () said.

According to deense ministrysources, the major decisions takenby the Deense Acquisition Councilinclude the construction o six sub-marines in India at the cost o aboutRs. , crore ( billion) and thepurchase o more than , Israeliantitank guided missiles.

Te Indian government is also go-ing to purchase upgraded Dorniersurveillance aircraf with improvedsensors and inantry fighting

vehicle rom its domestic deenseproducers.

Modernization o Indias militaryassets is long overdue. Indian expertshave repeatedly complained aboutthe countrys deteriorating militaryprowess, saying Indian deense inra-structure is age-old and has becomeobsolete.

TW I N B R I E F

n Russias expanding navyRussias navy is expanding so muchthat it has started to crowd out civilianshipbuilding, Deputy Prime MinisterDmitry Rogozin told a governmentmeeting on October . Moscow haspumped billion into a rearma-ment drive, with a quarter o thebudget billionreserved or

the Navy. Military shipbuilding thisyear has increased . percent, whichaccounts or percent o all Russianshipbuilding. Rogozin said the imbal-ance will remain until , whenthe volume o military ship order

peaks. One reason or Russia build-ing its own warships is because odifficulties it has encountered buyingwarships rom other nations. In ,Russia contracted to buy two Mistral-class helicopter carriers rom Franceor . billion. Delivery o the shipswas delayed in September whenFrench President Franois Hollandethreatened to suspend the Mistraldeliveries because o the Ukrainecrisis. In response, Russian Rear Adm.

Viktor Barsuk said Russia will notdepend on France anymore and willbuild their own warships. Last weekRussia threatened to sue France i itreuses to ulfill its contract obliga-tions. Russias first Mistral helicoptercarrier should enter naval service inNovember with the second arriving in. Both warships are capable o car-rying helicopters, armored ve-hicles, landing craf and soldiers.Te explosion o military shipbuildingreflects Russias nationwide trend as

military orders pop up over Russiasentire manuacturing sector.

n China to deploy nuclear armedsubsAccording to the United States Officeo Naval Intelligence, China is expectedto launch a new class o submarine this

C testing a new generation o military aircrafwhich includes the countrys first and most advancedstealth fighter believed to orm the backbone o its Air Force.

Te photos o ourth-generation stealth fighter J,Airborne Early Warning and Control System ()

aircraf KJ- and Y- large military transporter, report-edly conducting test flights, were published on a popularmilitary orum, Hong Kong-based South ChinaMorningPostreported.

Previous media reports have said that the aircraf

supposedly eatured in the photographs are still in the test-ing phase and could be a ew years away rom deployment.

However, they are projected to serve as the backboneo the [Peoples Liberation Army] Air Force once they aregiven the green light.

Te J, designed and built in China, is the countrys firststealth fighter and the s most advanced military jet.

Te Y-, Chinas biggest sel-built military transport

plane, is expected to serve the Air Forces need to transportlarge amounts o heavy military weaponry, while the KJ- is the nations new generation o that providesearly radar warnings to combat troops to give them an edgein potential uture battles.

New Generation of AircraftTHE ECONOMIC TIMES | October 26

Related: Putin Wont Just Survive, HellThrive

Related: Russian Navy to Receive 50New Vessels by End of 2014
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year that is capable o launching nuclearmissiles. Tese subs, known as boom-ers, can strike Hawaii and Alaska romthe coast o China and the continentalU.S. rom the mid-Pacific. Tey aredesigned to be deployed at sea orextended periods o time, and can beequipped with nuclear ballistic weap-

onry as well. Chinas navy chie calledChinas our boomers a trump cardthat makes our motherland proud andour adversaries terrified. It is a strategicorce symbolizing great-power statusand supporting national security. A

decade ago, only a ew Chinese subma-rines could fire modern antiship cruisemissiles. Now, more than hal can.China now fields a submarine fleet thatmay even rival the U.S.s supremacyin the Pacific. Its current fleet consistso five nuclear attack submarines, ournuclear ballistic missile submarines

and diesel attack submarines. Chinahas one o the worlds largest attack-sub fleets and now joins Russia andthe U.S. as the only countries capableo nuclear strikes rom land, air andsea. As disputes continue over the East

As the pride of our power continuesto be broken, as the Bri tish continue tolose their foreign sea gates and pos-sessions around the Earth, as Americasigns away ownership of the PanamaCanalcontrol over this vital sea gate

this focal prophecy alone [about theU.S. and Britain controlling the gates

of their enemies (Genesis 22:17; 24:60)]represents giant proof as to where themodern remnant of the peoples ofIsrael resides today! The United States and Britain inProphecy

The Asiatic mind is totally differentfrom the Occidental [Western] mind. I tdoesnt reason in the same manner.

[These] peoples are impressed withstrength, not talk.

Plain Truth,November 1961

Related: Czars and Emperors

China Sea, China has been ocused onexpanding its military arsenal. As theU.S. reduces its Navy, China has contin-ued to expand.

LATIN AMERICA/AFRICA

Argentina: We WontInvade FalklandsTIMES | October 29

A secretary orthe Falklands has called on Britainto close its military base there, insistingthat there is absolutely no chance oanother invasion rom the mainland.

Daniel Filmus, [Argentine] Presi-dent [Cristina] Kirchners special ap-pointee on the islands known to Latin

America as Las Malvinas, said Britainshould ollow up its withdrawal otroops rom Aghanistan by windingdown its military operations in theSouth Atlantic territory, which Argen-tina claims as its own.

On a visit to Britain and France,

Mr. Filmus said the base, which hous-

es , military personnel and costs million ( million) a year tomaintain, was no longer needed.

We as a nationthe government,the senate, the house o representa-tiveshave repeatedly stated that wedo not seek a military solution; all wewant is a dialogue to resolve our di-erences, he said.

However, deense analysts havenoted that earlier this month Argen-tina announced it was buying Saab

Gripen fighter bombers, a state-o-the-art aircraf that will be more thana match or anything the [Royal AirForce] has deployed in the region.

An Argentine military dictatorshipinvaded the Falklands in , and people died in the ensuing battle to

retake the islands. Last year President

Kirchner denounced a reerendum onthe islands, in which residents votedalmost unanimously to remain part oBritain.

ANGLO-AMERICA

Dershowitz onNetanyahu InsultNEWS MAX | October 30

F H law proessorAlan Dershowitz offered com-mentary on reports that an unnamedsenior administration official reerredto Israeli Prime Minister Benja-min Netanyahuas a chicken inan interview with theAtlantic.He

characterized it as a serious intel-ligence leak thats very counterpro-ductive and very dangerous.

Te point is not whether or notsomebody in the Obama administra-tion regards Benjamin Netanyahuas a chicken or as a coward, which isabsurd, he said, noting that Netan-yahu ought as a member o the IsraelDeense Forces. But even i peoplecall each other cowards in private, thiswas an on-the-record interview. It had

to have been authorized at a higherlevel and so the question you have toask is why has somebody in the WhiteHouse, whether it be the president orsomebody below him, authorized asenior official to publicly make thosekinds o statements? Now theyvedistanced themselves rom the state-ments because theyve seen the publicreaction to it.

More concerning, Dershowitz said,is the leak o classified inormation
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about an allys intentions, i in actthe Obama administration madethe assessment that Netanyahu was

bluffing about possible launchinga preemptive strike against Iraniannuclear acilities.

You dont reveal classified assess-ments o an allys intentions in thepublic media, he said. Tink o whatthat does. It sends the message to Iransaying, Oh, you dont have to worry

that an American public official woulddisclose that he believes that BibiNetanyahu is bluffing when it comesto Iran is a major breach o Americanoreign policy and it must be investi-gated.

In the name o diplomacy, theWhite House needs to identiy theperson who made the remarks and firethem, according to Dershowitz. I the

about an Israeli attack. Go ahead, de-velop your nuclear weapons. All youhave to worry about is sanctions andnow, by the way, that Israel is not go-ing to attack Iran. You dont even haveto worry about sanctions because theEuropeans wont comply with sanc-tions. Te only reason the Europeansaccepted sanctions is to prevent Israelrom launching an attack. So the idea

U S-I relations have gone downhillast. At the beginning o the month, President BarackObama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahuhad a riendly meeting at the White House, but in ourweeks, the ragile personal relationship has all collapsed.

Now a crisis and break between the two countries is possi-ble afer a senior Obama administration official resorted toschool yard name-calling, where he called the Israeli primeminister chicken and a coward, which was quoted intheAtlantic by journalist Jeffrey Goldberg . [Goldberg]concluded that there is now a ull-blown crisis betweenthe two supposed and long-time allies.

In the Goldberg article, the Obama administrationsenior official reused to be named, but had some explicitchoice words or Netanyahu, and openly stated the animos-ity Obama has tried to hide throughout his presidency orhis Israeli counterpart. Te official revealed the Obamaadministration has a red-hot anger against Netanyahu

and Israels government and they put the blame entirelyon Israel or the peace talks collapsing.

Te relationship between the two leaders has neverbeen good or even stable; these new remarks take it to anew level. Goldberg listed the various insults hurledat Netanyahu rom the Obama administration throughthe years, they include; recalcitrant, myopic, reactionary,obtuse, blustering, pompous, and Aspergery.

As points out, the two leaders are no longer hidinghow they eel about each other.

Te senior Obama official called Netanyahu chickenbased on the way he is handling the peace process, and

called him a coward rom threatening, but not actuallylaunching a war with Iran. Continuing, the official as-serted, Te thing about Bibi is, hes a chicken. Te goodthing about Netanyahu is that hes scared to launch wars.Te bad thing about him is that he wont do anything toreach an accommodation with the Palestinians or withthe Sunni Arab states. Te only thing hes interested in isprotecting himsel rom political deeat. Hes not [Yitzhak]Rabin, hes not [Ariel] Sharon, hes certainly no [Men-achem] Begin. Hes got no guts.

Another official rom the administration who spoke toGoldberg stated the U.S. does not believe Netanyahu wouldever attack Iran. Te official recounted that the Obama

administration no longer believes that Netanyahu wouldlaunch a preemptive strike on Irans nuclear acilities. Its toolate or him to do anything. wo, three years ago, this was apossibility. But ultimately he couldnt bring himsel to pullthe trigger. Now its too late. Te official concluded; Te

eeling now is that Bibis bluffing. Hes not Begin at Osirak.Prime Minister Netanyahu responded to the insults and

slurs in a speech to the Knesset on Wednesday, October ,in which he took the high road. Netanyahu declared: Irisked my lie or my country, and I am not willing to makeconcessions that will endanger our country. I am beingattacked because I am willing to deend the State o Israel.Te saety o Israel is not important to those who attack meanonymously and personally.

Jewish Home Party leader, coalition partner and EconomyMinister Nafali Bennett issued a statement deendingNetanyahu and [listing] all the Middle East leaders thatObama and his administration should be attacking instead;

Te leader o Syria who slaughtered , people was notawarded the name chicken, neither was the leader o SaudiArabia who stones women and homosexuals, or the leader oIran who murders reedom protesters. I what appears in thepress is true, then it seems that the current U.S. administra-tion is throwing Israel under the bus. Bennett demanded theadministration immediately reject these gross comments.

Sen. [John] McCain and [Lindsey] Graham in theirstatement wrote: Apparently the Obama administra-tion does not believe it has enough problems on its handsdealing with Americas enemies in the Middle Eastit alsowants to insult and alienate our allies.

Speaker [John] Boehner, in his terse censure o thepresident and the White House, ocused on the [presidents]delusions about the nations enemies. Boehner noted thatthe Obama administration has repeatedly chased aferadversaries at the expense o core U.S. national securityinterests and the security, confidence and trust o our allies. Over the last several months, I have watched the adminis-tration insult ally afer ally. I am tired o the administrationsapology tour.

U.S. Secretary o State John Kerry blamed Israel or end-ing the peace talks with the Palestinians, which he believesis the direct cause or the rise o terrorist and extremistgroup [Islamic State] .

Obama Official Calls Netanyahu Coward, Etc.EXAMINER | October 29

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remarks were unauthorized, the per-son should be fired on those grounds,he said, and i they were authorized,then the person needs to go beoreCongress and identiy the official whoauthorized it.

Te White House knows who didit, Dershowitz said. I they dont

know who did it, they could easilyfind out.

Hackers Breach WhiteHouse ComputerSystemAGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE | October 29

T W Houses unclassifiedcomputer network was recentlybreached by intruders, a U.S. official

said uesday, with the WashingtonPostnewspaper reporting that theRussian government was thought tobe behind the act.

In the course o assessing recentthreats, we identified activity o con-cern on the unclassified [ExecutiveOffice o the President] network,said the White House official, speak-ing on condition o not being named.

Any such activity is something wetake very seriously. In this case, we

took immediate measures to evaluateand mitigate the activity.

Te Washington Postquoted sourc-es as saying hackers believed to beworking or the Russian governmentwere believed to be responsible.

In a statement, the White Houseofficial said the Executive Office o the

President receives daily alerts concern-ing numerous possible cyberthreats. Our computers and systems have

not been damaged, though some ele-ments o the unclassified network havebeen affected. Te temporary outagesand loss o connectivity or our usersis solely the result o measures we havetaken to deend our networks, theofficial said.

No additional inormation was im-mediately available.

Hagel: I Think We AreSeeing a New WorldOrderBRIETBART | October 29

W the Aspen Insti-tutes Washington Ideas Forum,Deense Secretary Chuck Hagel saidwe are living through historic, defin-ing times .

When questioned about the ongo-ing global chaos by the nationalcorrespondent or theAtlantic,JamesFallows Hagel said, I think we areliving through one o these historic,defining times. I think we are seeing anew world order.

What were seeing in the Middle

East with [Islamic State] is going torequire a steady, long-term effort. Itsgoing to require coalitions o commoninterests, which we are orming, headded.

NYPD: Threat ofTerrorists With DronesCBS | October 29

T a new ear about drones.

Readily available, they can hover justout o sight. Te is concernedthat drones could be tools or terrorists.

Police brass havent talked aboutdrones as potential weapons, untilnow, News correspondent JeffPegues reported Wednesday.

Te is actively looking orways to stop an attack by a drone. Tedepartment told Pegues there is nointelligence showing an imminentthreat, but over the last year the coun-

trys largest police orce has been in-creasingly concerned about a potentialterror attack rom the air by a drone.

We look at it as something thatcould be a terrorists tool, DeputyChie Salvatore DiPace said.

Hes worried that the technologyhas advanced enough or someone tocarry out an air assault using chemicalweapons and firearms.

Weve seen some video where thedrone was flying at different targetsalong the route and very accurately

hitting the targets with the paintball,DiPace said.

But the sees a drone carryingexplosives as the number one threat.And one video in particular was awake-up call.

Last year in Germany, a drone washovering over a crowd o people justas German Chancellor Angela Merkeldelivered a speech.

It flew toward the podium andlanded right in ront o her.

Doers and Not HearersOnlyTHE KEY OF DAVID | November 2

God created human beings to function with joy. He intended us to

reject deception and to embrace truth.GERALD FLURRY
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She was smiling, but law enorce-ment across the globe was not.

I you really think about whatcould have happened there, the dronehit its target right on the mark andcould have took the chancellor and her

people out, DiPace said.His concern has only been height-ened by a dramatic increase in thenumber o drone incidents in NewYork Cityover in the last year.

And in some cases unmanned air-craf systems or drones are either inten-tionally or unintentionally being flowninto the airspace o helicopters.

Weve just gotta modiy thetechnology to put a system in placeat Yankee Stadium or Citi Field or the (United States ennis Associa-

tion), but we can monitor the airspaceto see i something enters that spacethat shouldnt be there.

But thats on the horizon. For nowthe department is monitoring poten-tial threats.

Weve looked at some people thathave jury-rigged these drones to carryguns, to carry different types o ex-plosives i they wanted to; theres justso many possibilities that were veryworried about, DiPace said.

U.S., China TightenSpendingAmbrose Evans-Pritchard,TELEGRAPH | October 30

M monetary gap as theworlds two superpowers turn off

the liquidity spigot at the same time.Te U.S. Federal Reserve and the

Peoples Bank o China have bothwithdrawn rom the global bondmarkets, each or their own entirelydifferent reasons. Te combined effectis a shock o sorts or the internationalfinancial system.

Te Feds message on Wednesdaynight was hawkish. It did not invokethe excuse o a stronger dollar or global

market jitters to extened bond pur-chases. It no longer sees significantconstraints to the labor market. Insteadit spoke o solid job gains and a grad-ual diminishing o under-employment.

Tis a tightening shif, and seenas such by the markets. Te eurodropped . cents against a resurgentdollar within minutes .

Te Fed is no longer printing anymore money to buy treasuries, andthereore is not injecting urther dollars

Revelation SeriesPart 11:Gods Glorious FamilyThroneTHE TRUMPET DAILY | October 27

STEPHEN FLURRY The wonder of Gods very majesticand very realgovernment.

into an interlinked global system thathas racked up trillion o cross-borderbank debt in dollars and a urther trillion in emerging market bonds.Te stock o QE remains the same. Teflow has changed. Flow matters.

Te Fed has ended QE more gentlythan QE or QE. Tis helps but it may

also have given people a alse sense osecurity. Te hard act is that the Fedhas tapered net stimulus rom bil-lion a month to zero since the start othe year.

It is no great mystery why theworld is caught in this liquidity trap,or secular stagnation i you preer.Fixed capital investment in China isstill running at trillion a year, andstill overloading the world with excesscapacity in everything rom solarpanels to steel and ships, even afer Xi

Jinpings Tird Plenum reorms.Europe has been starving the world

o demand by tightening fiscal policyinto a depression, running a bil-lion current account surplus that isnow big enough to distort the globalsystem as a whole. George Saravelos,at Deutsche Bank, dubs it the Euro-glut, the largest surplus in the historyo financial markets. Te global sav-ings rate has risen to a resh record o. percent o .

We are entering a new phase othe monetary cycle where the U.S. isstrong (relatively) and the world isweak (relatively). Te Fed has switchedrom being the riend o global assetprices, to being neutral at best, with astrong hint o menace.

It is a very odd environment. TeU.S. treasury market is pricing innear-depression conditions. Five-yearinflation expectations have suddenlycollapsed.

[]he precipitous slide in commod-

ities since June may be a warning signthat stress is building.

Tere are echoes o , whencommodity prices buckled even as theboom on Wall Street was stil l gather-ing pace, and as the credit bubble inWeimar Germany was still gatheringtowards a crescendo. Fed hawks, led byBenjamin Strong, chose to ignore thedeflation risk, instead raising rates toteach speculators a lesson. Te moveset off a global chain reaction.
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OCTOBER 31 20142THE TRUMPET WEEKLY

or any party ever in a United Kingdom by-election.Tis exceptional victory came in exceptional circum-

stances. On August , M.P. Douglas Carswell announcedhe was quitting the Conservative Party and would join. Because he was elected as a Conservative candidate,he elt he should get approval or this change rom his vot-ers. So he resigned his parliamentary seat, triggering what

is called a by-election in the United Kingdom, and stoodagain as the candidate.

In normal circumstances, he would be expected to lose.People usually vote or a party, not a candidate. InsteadCarswell won by a landslide.

Te same day came close to bringing even bigger news.In a second by-election, came within just a ew hun-dred votes o winning a seat where the Labor Party hadormerly held a ,-strong majority. Almost everyone ex-pected Carswells victory. Far ewer anticipated com-ing within percentage points o victory in Heywood andMiddleton. Here, had no nationally renown politicianwith a substantial local ollowing leading it. Moreover, it

was fighting to take the Labor Partys seat, when tradition-ally its better at taking votes rom Conservatives.

And is on target to do it again on November . Aew weeks afer Carswell switched sides, ellow Conserva-tive M.P. Mark Reckless announced he would also join, again holding a by-election to get his voters approval.While Reckless does not have the same level o personalsupport as Carswell, he is still on target to win comortably.I he does, Carswell warns it could trigger another round oConservative deections to .

Meanwhile, the EU seems to be going out o its way tohelp . Britain was slapped with a . billion (.

billion) bill by the European Commission on October .European officials recalculated national payments to theEU based on a nations economic progress since . Dueto Britains unexpected economic growth, it has beenordered to pay this bill in addition to its regular nationalpayment, bringing this years total to . billion (. bil-lion). o rub salt in the wound, Eurocrats demand that thebill be paid by December .

Te timing could scarcely be worse or UK Prime Min-ister David Cameron, wrote the EU Observer,as Camerontries to persuade right-o-center voters to support Britainscontinued membership o the EU. Te latest demand is justmore wind in the sails o .

Even ahead o that latest demand, United States thinktank Stratforpointed to the shif in Britain:

[ leader Nigel] Farages rapid rise in British politicshas moved the entire British political spectrum towardmore euroskeptical positions, and no major party is imper-

vious to s influence. Britains political ragmentationcould lead to a hung parliament afer the general electionsand make a key player in post-election negotiations.In any case, Britains traditional party system dominatedby the ories [Conservatives] and Labor will undergo atough test in .

Already we see orcing Britain to take a tougher

line on Europe. I people think I am paying that bill on December, they have another think coming, Cameronsaid. It is not going to happen. reported that Cam-eron sounded like a prime minister unleashed; by turnsscornul and urious, lectern thumping, downright angry.Paying the bill without, at the very least, a symbolic conces-sion is politically impossible.

Tis will probably be the biggest impact o . While it

has come a long way, its unlikely to win more than a handulo seats at the next general election. But it is orcing the majorparties to take an increasingly stronger stance against the EU.

odays isnt solely ocused on Europe. Its trying toappeal to anyone who eels let down or abandoned by thecurrent political system. Its clear that todays current poli-ticians dont have the answers and some voters are turningto instead.

Nonetheless, the biggest influence it exerts on Britishleadership is against Europe. Now, not only does DavidCameron have to worry about voters deserting him i heisnt tough enough, but his own M.P.s could leave tooes-pecially now that Carswell has proven they can still get

elected afer doing so.Tere is intense debate in Britains political circles about

what this means or the next election. Will split theright-wing vote, al lowing the lef-wing and pro-EU LaborParty to win? Or will voters return to the Conserva-tive old when it really matters?

Te uture o Britains government rests on this question.But the uture o its EU membership does not. Regardlesso the voting tactics o those involved, the political shifshows that more and more Britons are strongly opposed totheir countrys position in Europe. Either side may win, butthis pressure to get out o the EU wont change. Even the

Labor Party has committed to holding a reerendum beoreany new powers are given to Brussels.One way or anothereither pulled out by angry voters

or pushed out by an impatient EUBritain will not remainin the EU.

Britain is going to look back on Monday, Jan. , , inall probability, as a most tragically historic datea dateraught with ominous potentialities! wrote Herbert W.Armstrong, ounder o the Trumpets predecessor, the PlainTruth. For that date marked the United Kingdoms entryinto the European Community.

Events have proved Mr. Armstrong right.Probably Germany will lead and dominate the coming

United States o Europe, Mr. Armstrong wrote. B - !

Tis too is already coming to pass. Germany leads anddominates the eurozone today. Another economic hiccupcould soon push it into orming the United States o Eu-rope. It is clear that Britain will not be part o that.

Mr. Armstrong understood enough about Europe, Brit-ain and Bible prophecy to make these orecasts beginningnearly years ago. For more inormation on what else heknew about Britains uture, read Britain Was Warned!rom our ree booklet He Was Right.

Follow Richard Palmer: Twitter

HEIGHTS from page 1

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