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8/8/2019 Wikileaks Srbija - Beograd - Sastanak - abasadorka SAD i Ratkovic Jovan
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8/8/2019 Wikileaks Srbija - Beograd - Sastanak - abasadorka SAD i Ratkovic Jovan
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2
PREDMET: SRBIJA: PRVI SASTANAK
ambasadora sa predsJedničkim
STRANIH
Politički savetnik RATKOVIC
REF: BEOGRAD 19; DRŽAVA 9661
Svrstani po: Debora Mennuti,
politički savetnik, država SCG,
razlog: 1.4 (b), (D)
Rezime
-------¶ 1. (C) u 3. februar razgovor sa
ambasadorom, predsednički
savetnik za spoljnu politiku Jovan
Ratković preneo želju Srbije za
intenziviranje saradnje sa
SJedinjenim Državama i detalje
njegovog planira da poseti
Vašington 10-12 februara darazgovara o mogućim načinima
napretka na Kosovu, rekavši da
SrbiJa traži "realan, pragmatičan,
miran, pobednik-pobednik rešenje"
za Srbe i Albance. On Je izrazio
zabrinutost da Međunarodna civilna
kancelariJa (MCK), planira da
integriše sever Kosova mogao dadestabilizuJe situaciJu i ugroziti
političku stabilnost u SrbiJi, a neće
se angažovati na pitanje da li će
SrbiJa tražiti Un rezoluciJu koJa
poziva na nove razgovore o statusu.
Ratković istakao važnu ulogu
odigrala da Je KFOR na Kosovu i
rekao da će SrbiJa formalno otvoriti
SUBJECT: SERBIA: AMBASSADOR’S FIRST
MEETING WITH PRESIDENTIAL FOREIGN
POLICY ADVISOR RATKOVIC
REF: BELGRADE 19; STATE 9661
CLASSIFIED BY: Deborah Mennuti,
Political Counselor, State, POL;
REASON: 1.4(B), (D)
Summary
-------
¶1. (C) In a February 3 conversation
with the Ambassador, presidential
foreign policy advisor Jovan Ratkovic
conveyed Serbia’s desire for intensified
cooperation with the United States and
detailed his plans to visit Washington
February 10-12 to discuss possibleways forward on Kosovo, saying Serbia
sought a “realistic, pragmatic,
peaceful, win-win solution” for Serbs
and Albanians. He expressed concern
that the International Civilian Office
(ICO) plan to integrate northern Kosovo
could destabilize the situation and
threaten political stability in Serbia,and would not engage on the issue of
whether Serbia would seek an UNGA
resolution calling for new status talks.
Ratkovic noted the important role that
KFOR played in Kosovo and said that
Serbia would formally open its NATO
mission by mid-2010 and increase its
participation in Partnership for Peaceactivities. Progress toward EU
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3
svoJu misiJu NATO-a do sredine-
2010 i poveća svoJe učešće u
Partnerstvu za mir. Napredak ka
članstvu u EU verovatno biti usporen
zbog EU umora od proširenja i
opreznosti za prihvatanje novih
članova dok nisu u potpunosti
kvalifikovani. Ratković Je izrazio
oprezni optimizam da će proboJ u
bilateralnim odnosima sa Hrvatskom
biti moguć i zabrinutost za
stabilnost MakedoniJe, a irazočarenje zbog lošeg stanje
odnosa sa Crna Gora. KraJ Pregled.
¶ 2. (SBU) Ambasador je platio
uvodni ljubazni poziv
predsedničkog savetnika za spoljnu
politiku Jovana Ratkovića 3.
februara. Ratković Je bio u pratnjinjegovog zamenik Aleksandar
Knežević.
Bilateralni odnosi
-------------------
¶ 3. (SBU) Ambasador se zahvalio
Ratković za njegovu pomoć u
organizovanju da predstavi svoJe
akreditive predsedniku Tadiću takobrzo nakon dolaska (Ref B), koJi Je
dozvolio da ona siđe na Kuick Start
sastanak sa zvaničnicima Vlade
SrbiJe. Ona Je rekla da će ona
Ratković rade da gradi na već snažan
impuls za bilateralne odnose
širenjem saradnje na ekonomskim i
bezbednosnim pitanjima, dok se
membership would likely be slowed by
EU enlargement fatigue and wariness
of accepting new members until they
were fully qualified, he predicted.
Ratkovic expressed cautious optimism
that a breakthrough in bilateral
relations with Croatia would be
possible, concern about Macedonia’s
long-term stability, and
disappointment with the poor state of
relations with Montenegro. End
Summary.
¶2. (SBU) The Ambassador paid an
introductory courtesy call on
presidential foreign policy advisor
Jovan Ratkovic on February 3. Ratkovic
was accompanied by his deputyAleksandar Knezevic.
Bilateral Relations
-------------------
¶3. (SBU) The Ambassador thanked
Ratkovic for his help in arranging for
her to present her credentials to
President Tadic so soon after arrival
(Ref B), which had allowed her to get
off to a quick start in meeting Serbian
government officials. She told Ratkovic
that she would work to build on the
already-strong momentum of the
bilateral relationship by expanding our
cooperation on economic and security
issues, while addressing difficult issues
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bave teškim pitanjima na
konstruktivan način. Posete Codel
VoJnovič, Codel PomeroJ, i EUR DAS
Džons u februaru će biti važna
prilika za diJalog, istakla Je ona.
Ratković Je rekao da Je senator
VoJnovič Je stari priJatelj koJi Je uvek
dobrodošao u SrbiJa. Činjenica da će
on i senator Šahin se stiže 17.
februara nakon što Je posetio
Prištinu na godišnjicu proglašenja
nezavisnosti Kosova bilaproblematična, međutim, Ratković Je
bio u stanju da potvrdi da li će
predsednik Tadić sastane sa
kongresne delegaciJe čeka rešavanje
ovih itinerer zabrinutosti .
¶ 4. (S) Ratkovic jé izrazio nadu da
će 2010 biti "odlučuJuća" godina zaizgradnju bilateralnih odnosa u
koJima SJedinjene Države će tretirati
SrbiJu kao pravi partner u svim
oblastima saradnje, ne samo
bezbednost. SrbiJa namerava da
nastavi saradnju sa SAD na
osetljivim obaveštaJnim pitanjima i
da se poveća saradnja odbranuradeći na mirovnim obuku sa
Nacionalne garde OhaJa.
Multilateralno, SrbiJa Je posvećena
slanje do 50 dodatnih žandarmeriJe
da UNMISTAH na HaitiJu, pod
pokroviteljstvom EU i bio Je u
razgovorima sa ŠpaniJom oko
doprinosi trupe UNIFIL-u Libanu.
in a constructive way. The visits of
Codel Voinovich, Codel Pomeroy, and
EUR DAS Jones in February would be
important opportunities for dialogue,
she noted. Ratkovic said that Senator
Voinovich was an old friend who was
always welcome in Serbia. The fact that
he and Senator Shaheen would be
arriving on February 17 after having
visited Pristina on the anniversary of
Kosovo’s declaration of independence
was problematic, however; Ratkovic
was unable to confirm whether
President Tadic would meet with the
congressional delegation pending
resolution of these itinerary concerns.
¶4. (S) Ratkovic expressed the hope
that 2010 would be a “decisive” year
for building bilateral relations in which
the United States would treat Serbia as
a true partner in all areas of
cooperation, not just security. Serbia
intended to continue its cooperation
with the U.S. on sensitive intelligence
matters and to increase defense
cooperation by working on
peacekeeping training with the Ohio
National Guard. Multilaterally, Serbia
had committed to sending up to 50
additional gendarmerie to UNMISTAH
in Haiti under EU auspices and was in
discussions with Spain about
contributing troops to UNIFIL in
Lebanon.
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BEOGRAD 00000025 002 NA 005
Brainstorming o Kosovu
-----------------------
¶ 5. (C) Ratković Je obavestio
ambasadora da će on posetiti
Vašington 10-12 od februara, nakon
prisustvuJu Vehrkunde u Minhenu i
Konzervativne partiJe događaJ u
Londonu. On se nadao da se sastane
sa A / S Gordona, kao i kontakte u
Kongresu, za "diskretanbrainstorminga" o načinima napred
na Kosovu. Ambasador SAD preneo
zabrinutost (ref B) o indiciJe da će
SrbiJa nastaviti da se konfrontiraJuće
pristup na Kosovu posle
Međunarodnog suda pravde
savetodavno mišljenje izreklo.
OdbacuJući pitanje da li će SrbiJatražiti Unga rezoluciJu koJa poziva
na nove razgovore o statusu, kao
"samo taktički pitanje" za MSP da
odluči, Ratković Je rekao
Predsedništva bila Je fokusirana na
veće pitanje kako da se postigne
"realno, pragmatičan, mirno ,
pobednik-pobednik rešenje "za Srbei Albance. Ratković Je rekao da SrbiJa
priznaJe i poštuJe Je pokušavao da
"legitimni interesi" kosovskih
Albanaca, u povratku, SrbiJa očekuJe
Kosovarima da poštuJu legitimne
interese SrbiJa i kosovskih Srba, kao
dobro. On Je naglasio da Vlada
SrbiJe želi da bude deo SAD i
BELGRADE 00000025 002 OF 005
Brainstorming on Kosovo
-----------------------
¶5. (C) Ratkovic informed the
Ambassador that he would visit
Washington from February 10-12,
after attending Wehrkunde in Munich
and a Conservative Party event in
London. He hoped to meet with A/S
Gordon, as well as contacts in
Congress, for “discreet brainstorming”on ways forward on Kosovo. The
Ambassador conveyed U.S. concerns
(Ref B) about indications that Serbia
would continue to take a
confrontational approach on Kosovo
after the ICJ rendered its advisory
opinion. Dismissing the question of
whether Serbia would seek an UNGAresolution calling for new status talks
as a “mere tactical issue” for the MFA
to decide, Ratkovic said the Presidency
was focused on the bigger question of
how to achieve a “realistic, pragmatic,
peaceful, win-win solution” for Serbs
and Albanians. Ratkovic said that
Serbia recognized and was trying torespect the “legitimate interests” of
Kosovar Albanians; in return, Serbia
expected the Kosovars to respect the
legitimate interests of Serbia and
Kosovo Serbs as well. He stressed that
the Serbian government wanted the
U.S. to be part of and support a
solution that would lead to regionalstability and reconciliation. For that
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podrška rešenje koJe bi dovelo do
regionalne stabilnosti i pomirenja. Iz
tog razloga, on se nada visokom
nivou, slobodnog razmišljanja i
neformalne razgovore u Vašingtonu,
on Je dobio eksplicitne uputstva od
predsednika Tadića o specifičnosti
njegove poruke, ali niJe u
mogućnosti da ga delite Još.
¶ 6. (C) Ratković vratio na temu
Kosova Je kasniJe u razgovoru,
naglašavaJu
ći osetljivost kako na
severu se rukuJe. Ratković Je tvrdio
da severni deo Kosova imao istoriJu
razlikuJe od ostatka pokraJine,
tvrdeći da su tri oblasti severno od
Ibra samo priložen pokraJinu posle
Drugog svetskog rata do kontra-
balans brzog rasta albanskog
stanovništva . "Ti ljudi nisu nikadaživeli sa Albancima, nikada se
osetila deo Kosova, a neće prihvatiti
vladavinu Prištine", rekao Je
Ratković. "Beograd ne pokušava da
promeni realnost na terenu za
kosovske Albance, ali menja realnost
za Srbe na Kosovu bi takođe biti
destabilizaciJe", dodao Je on. Iz tograzloga MCK predlog da se integrišu
sever izneo Piter FeJt i podržane od
strane SJedinjenih Država "niJe
korisno", prema Ratković, koJi Je
tvrdio da Je voJna intervenciJa bila
predmet diskusiJe. On Je rekao da Je
to glavni razlog da Je Tadic odlučio
da se obrati Savetu bezbednosti UN
reason, he hoped for high-level, free-
thinking, and informal discussions in
Washington; he had received explicit
guidance from President Tadic on the
specifics of his message, but was not
at liberty to share it yet.
¶6. (C) Ratkovic returned to the topic
of Kosovo later in the conversation,
stressing the sensitivity of how thenorth is handled. Ratkovic argued that
the northern part of Kosovo had a
history distinct from the rest of the
province, claiming that the three
districts north of the Ibar were only
annexed to the province after World
War II to counter-balance the rapid
growth of the ethnic Albanianpopulation. “These people have never
lived with Albanians, have never felt
themselves part of Kosovo, and won’t
accept rule by Pristina,” Ratkovic said.
“Belgrade is not trying to change the
reality on the ground for Kosovar
Albanians, but changing the reality for
Kosovo Serbs would also bedestabilizing,” he added. For that
reason the ICO proposal to integrate
the north put forward by Peter Feith
and supported by the United States
was “not helpful,” according to
Ratkovic, who claimed that military
intervention was being discussed. He
said that this was the primary reasonthat Tadic decided to address the UN
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22. Januara: implementaciJa takve
strategiJe može dovesti do
nestabilnosti i tako postane
nacionalna bezbednost zabrinutost
da SrbiJa, preteći demokratizaciJe
zemlje i pro-zapadnu oriJentaciJu .
(Komentar: SrbiJa Je istoriJski
argumenti su rutinski suprotstavlja
albanskih istoriJskih sećanja na
suprotno Ratković Je tvrdnje
poseban istoriJski "realnost" u
SevernoJ Mitrovici, dakle, naćiće
otpor kosovskih Albanaca istoričara
KraJ komentar...)
¶ 7. (C) Ambasador Je odgovorio da
ideJe izneo FeJt niJe bilo novo;
integraciJe severnog Kosova Je uvek
bio na stolu. Ona Je naglasila da niJe
bilo diskusiJe o upotrebi sile danametnu integraciJa na celoJ
teritoriJi Kosova. KonstatuJući da mi
razumemo osetljivost Vlade SrbiJe,
ambasador naglasio potrebu da se
razmene mišljenja otvoreno na čitav
niz nerešenih pitanja i ohrabrio
Ratković da podeli svoJe razmišljanje
u detalje, dok u Vašingtonu.Ratković Je rekao da SrbiJa ima
uveravanja EU da Je dokument koJi
MCK niJe bio plan EU. On Je dodao
da obzirom na situaciJu na terenu i
stav kosovskih Srba prema ICO,
Jedini način za sprovođenje plana
biti silom.
Security Council on January 22: the
implementation of such a strategy
could result in instability and thus
become a national security concern for
Serbia, threatening the country’s
democratization and pro-Western
orientation. (Comment: Serbia’s
historical arguments are routinely
countered by Albanian historical
recollections to the contrary.
Ratkovic’s claims of a separate
historical “reality” for Northern
Mitrovica, therefore, would find
resistance from Kosovo Albanian
historians. End Comment.)
¶7. (C) The Ambassador responded
that the ideas put forward by Feith
were not new; the integration of
northern Kosovo had always been on
the table. She emphasized that therewas no discussion of the use of force
to impose the integration of the whole
territory of Kosovo. Noting that we
understand the Serbian government’s
sensitivities, the Ambassador
underscored the need to exchange
views openly on the full range of
unresolved issues and encouragedRatkovic to share his thinking in detail
while in Washington. Ratkovic said that
Serbia had the EU’s assurances that the
document produced by the ICO was
not an EU plan. He added that given
the situation on the ground and the
attitude of Kosovo Serbs toward the
ICO, the only way to implement the
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BEOGRAD 00000025 003 NA 005
Odnosi NATO
--------------
¶ 8. (SBU) Na pitanje o predsedniku
pogleda na SrbiJa odnose sa NATO-
om, Ratković Je rekao da kao bivši
ministar odbrane, predsednik Tadić
zna dobro pitanje. Tadić smatra da
SrbiJa ne može da ostane izvan
NATO-a zauvek, ali ne kaže to često
zbog političke osetljivosti ovog
pitanja. Ratković Je obJasnio da
posle pada Berlinskog zida, građani
JugoslaviJe pretpostavlja da će biti
među prvim zemljama da uđe iu
Evropsku uniJu i NATO. To niJe bilo
sve do ratova Miloševića i NATO
intervenciJe 1999 da anti-NATO
raspoloženje razviJen u SrbiJa.Ratković karakterišu trenutnu
podršku Javnosti za Partnerstvo za
mir učešće i članstvo u NATO kao
"iznenađuJuće visoka", s obzirom
SrbiJa istoriJi.
¶ 9. (C) SrbiJa preduzima konkretne
korake da se poveća svoJe
angažovanje sa NATO-om, rekao JeRatković. On Je imenovala
ambasadora u NATO-u i tamo
uspostavljena misiJa, Jednom
kancelariJa Je u potpunosti
operativan, predsednik Tadić će
otputovati u Brisel u Junu ili Julu da
ga otvorite formalno i nada se da
adresu Severnoatlantskog saveta.
plan would be by use of force.
BELGRADE 00000025 003 OF 005
NATO Relations
--------------
¶8. (SBU) Asked about the President’s
views on Serbia’s relations with NATO,
Ratkovic said that as a former Minister
of Defense, President Tadic knows the
issue well. Tadic believes that Serbia
cannot remain outside of NATO
forever, but doesn’t say this often
because of the political sensitivity of
the issue. Ratkovic explained that after
the fall of the Berlin Wall, the citizens
of Yugoslavia assumed that they would
be among the first to enter both the
European Union and NATO. It wasn’t
until the wars of the Milosevic era and
the 1999 NATO intervention that anti-
NATO sentiment developed in Serbia.
Ratkovic characterized current public
support for PfP participation and NATO
membership as “surprisingly high”
given Serbia’s history.
¶9. (C) Serbia is taking concrete steps
to increase its engagement with NATO,Ratkovic said. It has appointed an
ambassador to NATO and established a
mission there; once the office is fully
operational, President Tadic will travel
to Brussels in June or July to open it
formally and hopes to address the
North Atlantic Council. Tadic had
instructed the MFA and the MOD toincrease Serbia’s participation in PfP
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Tadić Je uputio MSP i MO da se
poveća SrbiJa Je učešće u Partnerstvu
za mir Ovi koraci treba da prethodi
bilo kakvu odluku o članstvu ", po
uzoru na AustriJu.", Rekao Je
Ratković. On Je dodao da će
predsednik Tadić sastane sa SACEUR
/ EUCOM CDR Adm DžeJmsa
Stavridisa u Beogradu 11. februara.
Ratković Je naglasio da NATO slike u
srpskoJ Javnosti imalo značaJan
uticaJ na razvoJ odnosa, pominjeulogu KFOR-a u zaštiti kosovskih
Srba i verskih obJekata i brige o
svoJim pad.
Evropske integraciJe
---------------------
¶ 10. (C) Ratković predvideo da će
španskog predsedavanja Evropskom
uniJom založiti za pokret o članstvuu EU SrbiJa Je zahtev u martu, ali niJe
znao da li napor će biti uspešan,
zahvaljuJući država članica "umor od
proširenja i opreznost za prihvatanje
bilo više novih članova koJi su nisu u
potpunosti kvalifikovani. On Je
optužen da Je NemačkoJ pogrešno
verovanje da Je proširenje biloekonomski štetno nego korisno ga
Je dovelo da uvede nove prepreke za
kandidate, uključuJući i izradu
dostavljanje aplikaciJe za članstvo u
KomisiJi za Avis političkim, a ne
tehničko pitanje. On Je tvrdio da su i
SrbiJa i Hrvatska su administrativne
kapacitete i političku volju da ispune
“on the model of Austria.” These steps
needed to precede any decision about
membership, Ratkovic said. He added
that President Tadic would meet with
SACEUR/EUCOM CDR ADM James
Stavridis in Belgrade on February 11.
Ratkovic emphasized that NATO’s
image in the Serbian public had a
significant influence on the
development of the relationship,
mentioning the role of KFOR in
protecting Kosovo Serbs and religious
sites and concerns about its
drawdown.
European Integration
---------------------
¶10. (C) Ratkovic predicted that the
Spanish EU presidency would push for
movement on Serbia’s EU membershipapplication in March but did not know
whether the effort would be successful,
due to member-states’ enlargement
fatigue and wariness of accepting any
more new members that were not fully
qualified. He charged that Germany’s
misguided belief that enlargement was
economically detrimental rather thanbeneficial had led it to introduce new
hurdles for applicants, including
making the forwarding of a
membership application to the
Commission for an avis a political
rather than a technical question. He
asserted that both Serbia and Croatia
had the administrative capacity andpolitical will to fulfill all EU criteria,
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sve kriteriJume Evropske uniJe,
ukazuJući da predstoJeće desete
godišnjice 5. oktobra, 2000,
svrgavanje Miloševic a će pružiti
priliku da podseti svet rezultata
SrbiJa Je " demokratske revoluciJe ".
Regionalne odnose
------------------
¶ 11. (C) Ambasador Je rekao
Ratković da SJedinjene Države
podržavaJu SrbiJa napore da
poboljša svoJe odnose sa Hrvatskom
i obavestio ga da Je PRM, DAS-
DeJvid Robinson će posetiti Beograd
početkom marta da pogledaJu kako
se SJedinjene Države mogu da
doprinesu rešavanju dugotraJnih
izbegličkih pitanja , posebno
BEOGRAD 00000025 004 NA 005
između SrbiJa i Hrvatska. Ratković Jerekao da Je predsedništvo diskretno
rade sa Hrvatskom na "mapi puta" za
rešavanje svih otvorenih bilateralnih
pitanja, te da su znali EU Je poslala
poruku korisno Zagrebu da Hrvatska
treba da pronađe rešenja kako bi
zatvorili poglavlje 23 od ackuis-a.
On Je rekao da Je oprezni optimistada će biti proboJ sa Hrvatskom u
2010.
¶ 12. (C) Ratković Je izrazio
pesimizam o izgledima za ustavne
reforme u Bosni i Hercegovini u
svetlu predstoJećih izbora. On Je
rekao španskog predsedavanja
Evropskom uniJom bi poslednjem
noting that the upcoming tenth
anniversary of the October 5, 2000,
overthrow of Milosevic would provide
an opportunity to remind the world of
the results of Serbia’s “democratic
revolution.”
Regional Relations
------------------
¶11. (C) The Ambassador told Ratkovic
that the United States was supportive
of Serbia’s efforts to improve itsrelations with Croatia and informed
him that PRM DAS David Robinson
would visit Belgrade in early March to
look at how the United States could
contribute to resolving protracted
refugee issues, particularly
BELGRADE 00000025 004 OF 005
between Serbia and Croatia. Ratkovic
said that the presidency was working
discreetly with Croatia on a “roadmap”
to resolve all of the outstanding
bilateral issues, and that they
understood the EU had sent a helpful
message to Zagreb that Croatia needed
to find solutions in order to closeChapter 23 of the acquis. He said he
was cautiously optimistic that there
would be a breakthrough with Croatia
in 2010.
¶12. (C) Ratkovic expressed pessimism
about prospects for constitutional
reform in Bosnia-Herzegovina in light
of upcoming elections. He said the
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su da će Jednak slovensko
stanovništvo u narednih 20 godina.
Ratković Je rekao da Je predsednik
Tadić Je razgovarao sa i Grčke i
MakedoniJe o imenu pitanje u nadi
da će deblokiranje MakedoniJe putu
ka EU i NATO-u.
¶ 14. (V) SrbiJa odnose sa Crna Gora
su bile na istoriJski niskom nivou,
rekao Je Ratković, ističući da kao on
i Tadić
su bili crnogorskog poriJeklasu smatrali žudno situaciJu. On Je
obJasnio da crnogorske vlasti morao
da se distancira od Beograda u cilju
osvaJanja referendum o
nezavisnosti, ali niJe bilo više
nikakvog razdora pitanja lopta Je na
sudu u Podgorici. To Je ostalo da se
vidi da li će Crna Gora SrbiJa tretiraJukao "strateški partner ili bogeiman",
prokomentarisao Je Ratković. Jedan
važan kriteriJum će biti kako Crna
Gora adrese organizovanog
kriminala, koJi Ratković
identifikovana kao ozbiljan problem
koJi SrbiJa mora da veruJe da se
rešava.
Komentar
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¶ 15. (C) kao spoljne politike
Ratkovic said that President Tadic was
talking to both Greece and Macedonia
about the name issue in hopes of
unblocking Macedonia’s path to both
the EU and NATO.
¶14. (C) Serbia’s relations with
Montenegro were at a historic low,
Ratkovic said, noting that as he and
Tadic were both of Montenegrin originthey felt the situation keenly. He
explained that the Montenegrin
government had had to distance itself
from Belgrade in order to win the
independence referendum, but as
there were no longer any divisive
issues the ball was in Podgorica’s
court. It remained to be seen if Montenegro would treat Serbia as “a
strategic partner or a bogeyman,”
Ratkovic commented. One important
criterion will be how Montenegro
addresses organized crime, which
Ratkovic identified as a serious
problem that Serbia believed must be
tackled.
Comment
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13
Tadićev savetnik, Ratković komentari
dolaze naJbliži odražavaJu stavove
predsednika i viziJe o pitanjima
širom spektra. Njegova odluka da
poseti Vašington iduće nedelje, u
okviru Jasne instrukciJe u okvirni
Tadićeva razmišljanja u nisko-ključ
način na post-Međunarodnog suda
pravde Je put napred konstruktivan
korak i može da obezbedi značaJna
prilika da se utiče Beograda
strategiJe. Na sastanku saambasadorom Velike BritaniJe
(molimo vas da zaštiti), raniJe ove
nedelje, Ratković istakao sledeće
ideJe koJe će verovatno odražavaJu
trenutne misli: OpciJa: neki
razumevanje veću ulogu u srpskoJ
severu i preko pet manastira na
Jugu, u kom slučaJu Beograd bi"Prihvati", ali ne priznaJu
BEOGRAD 00000025 005 NA 005
Kosovu; OpciJa B: particiJu; OpciJa C:
SrbiJa bira između Kosova i Evropske
uniJe. OpciJa (tJ., pronalaženje
načina za definisanje SrbiJa Je
posebne interese na severu i status
nekih crkava na Jugu), naJverovatniJeodražava ideJe koJe Je Beograd
naJviše zainteresovan za
istraživanje. Dok Je SrbiJa Je
nedostatak posvećenosti da prizna
Kosovo će ostati u EU spoticanja u
dugoročne, Ratković Je uvertira
sledeće nedelje može da obezbedi
početni prvi korak ka definisanju
¶15. (C ) As Tadic’s foreign policy
advisor, Ratkovic’s comments come
closest to reflecting the President’s
views and vision on issues across the
spectrum. His decision to visit
Washington next week, under clear
instruction, to outline Tadic’s thinking
in a low-key manner on a post-ICJ way
forward is a constructive step and may
provide an important opportunity to
influence Belgrade’s strategy. In a
meeting with the UK ambassador
(please protect) earlier this week,
Ratkovic outlined the following ideas
that likely reflect current thinking:
Option A: some understanding of a
bigger Serbian role in the north and
over five monasteries in the south, in
which case Belgrade would “accept” but
not recognize
BELGRADE 00000025 005 OF 005
Kosovo; Option B: Partition; Option C:
Serbia chooses between Kosovo or the
EU. Option A (i.e, finding a way to
define Serbia’s special interests in the
north and with the status of some
churches in the south) most likely
reflects the ideas that Belgrade is most
interested in exploring. While Serbia’s
lack of a commitment to recognize
Kosovo will remain an EU stumbling in
the long-term, Ratkovic’s overture
next week may provide an initial first
step toward defining a more realistic
modus vivendi, which we have been
encouraging the Serbs to explore.
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14
realniJi modus vivendi, koJi smo bili
ohrabruJući Srbe da istražuJu.
¶ 16. (C) Ratković shvata da će ideJe
koJe Je obrise naredne nedelje samo
da obezbedi osnovu za diskusiJu, s
očekivanjem, naravno, mnogo više
posla za praćenje. Ipak, mi smo
ohrabreni onim što izgleda da se sve
više priznanja i strateški i taktički
značaJ otvaranja kanala za diJalog
posle Međunarodnog suda pravde
pre nego kasniJe, kao i potrebu da
upravljaJu naredne korake na način
da ne podriva druge ključne Beograd
ciljeva, pre svega ulazak u EU. FM
Jeremićeve posete Vašingtonu
nedelje 22. februara i DAS Jones
putuJu regionu iste nedelje će
obezbediti važne nastavak o
mogućnostima za dalji angažman na
putu ispred. KraJ komentar. Vorlik
¶16. (C) Ratkovic understands that the
ideas he outlines next week will only
provide a basis for discussion, with theexpectation, of course, of much more
work to follow. Nevertheless, we are
encouraged by what appears to be a
growing recognition of both the
strategic and tactical importance of
opening channels for a post-ICJ
dialogue sooner rather than later, and
the need to manage next steps in away that does not undermine other key
Belgrade objectives, above all eventual
EU accession. FM Jeremic’s visit to
Washington the week of February 22
and DAS Jones’s travel to the region
the same week will provide important
follow-on opportunities for continued
engagement on the way ahead. EndComment. WARLICK